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2 pm Tuesday Briefing for Severe Threat Wed & Thu

Synopsis:

The threat of severe weather will be possible from 4 am Wednesday to 2 am Thursday. A cold

front moving into the northern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon will stall across north Florida

Wednesday. Low pressure will develop in the Gulf with moist unstable air streaming into central

and south Florida. Florida has the potential for two or more separate severe weather events

Wednesday into Thursday.

Current Watches/Warnings/Advisories: None

Impact: Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms

Low confidence on the timing of severe weather events. We will watch for rotating

storms approaching the Gulf Coast after 4 am. Light rain ahead of the expected storms

may stabilize the atmosphere so the storms could weaken before landfall.

The threats will be damaging straight-line winds and isolated tornadoes south of a line

from Brooksville to Daytona.

Flash flooding is possible Wednesday south of a line from Sarasota to Lake Wales

The threat will end from north to south Wednesday night.

Severe Weather Outlook

7 am Wed to 7 am Thursday

7 am Thu to 7 am Friday

NWS Tampa Bay Area Briefing for January 26, 2016

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A Marginal Risk means isolated severe thunderstorms possible that are limited in duration

and/or coverage and/or intensity.

Forecast Rainfall

1 am Wed to 1 am Thursday

1”

1”

1.5”

1.5”

2-2.5”

1/2”

1/2”

1 am Thu to 1 am Friday

1/2”

1/2”

3/4”

1/4”

1/4”