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Statistics Unit, Bank of Finland Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding statistics - a case study by the Bank of Finland IFC-BNM Satellite Seminar on Fintech, Bank Negara Malaysia, 17.8.2019 Harri Kuussaari

Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

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Page 1: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Statistics Unit, Bank of Finland

Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding statistics - a case study by the Bank of FinlandIFC-BNM Satellite Seminar on Fintech, Bank Negara Malaysia, 17.8.2019

Harri Kuussaari

Page 2: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Fintech landscape in Finland

17.8.2019 2

Crowdfundingand

peer-to-peer lending

Page 3: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Motivation Background

• Growth of alternative finance channels is changing the market

• New digital business models challenge existing structures

• New types of risks for investors• Risk of increased indebtedness

for households• New models make stability

analysis more complicated

• Ministry of Finance collected data for 2014-2016 to supportpreparation of national legislation

• Further demand from nationalusers for stability analysis

• Bank of Finland launchedcrowdfunding and peer-to-peerlending statistics in 2018.

• Experience from two compilationrounds so far

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Page 4: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Online alternative finance by country in Europe in 2017

17.8.2019 4

91010111215272833436177819192107142160173196197241280

595661

7060

0 2000 4000 6000 8000

PortugalSlovakiaRomaniaBulgariaNorway

SloveniaCzech Republic

RussiaAustria

DenmarkLithuania

SwitzerlandEstoniaBelgium

LatviaIrelandPolandSpain

GeorgiaSwedenFinland

ItalyNetherlands

GermanyFrance

UK

Source: Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance

2.232.503.453.743.753.97

7.077.207.537.999.119.85

16.3419.5121.6822.19

35.7046.6247.51

61.76107.04

0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00

NorwayCzech Republic

SpainAustriaPoland

ItalySloveniaGermanyDenmarkBelgium

SwitzerlandFrance

NetherlandsSweden

LithuaniaIreland

FinlandGeorgia

LatviaEstonia

UKPer capita –tasolla Suomi viidenneksi suurin Euroopassa

Volume in € millions Volume per capita (€)

Page 5: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

… but compared to US and Asia, Europe is lagging behind

17.8.2019 5

1.1 2.8 5.4 7.7 10.43.2 9.730.0 31.8 39.5

4.120.3

94.6

221.7

320.9

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

EuropeUnited StatesAsia

€ Billions

Source: Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance

Page 6: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

A wide variety of business models under crowdfunding

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Alternative Finance Model Definition

P2P Consumer LendingIndividuals or institutional funders provide a loanto a consumer borrower.

P2P Business LendingIndividuals or institutional funders provide a loanto a business borrower.

Invoice TradingIndividuals or institutional funders purchaseinvoices or receivable notes from a businessat a discount.

P2P Property LendingIndividuals or institutional funders provide a loan secured against a property to a consumer or business borrower.

Balance Sheet Business LendingThe platform entity provides a loan directly toa business borrower.

Balance Sheet Property LendingThe platform entity provides a loan secured against a property directly to a consumer or business borrower.

Balance Sheet Consumer LendingThe platform entity provides a loan directly to a consumer borrower.

Equity-based CrowdfundingIndividuals or institutional funders purchaseequity issued by a company.

Profit Sharing CrowdfundingIndividuals or institutions purchase securities froma company, such as shares or bonds, and share inthe profits or royalties of the business.

Real Estate CrowdfundingIndividuals or institutional funders provide equityor subordinated-debt financing for real estate.

Debt-based SecuritiesIndividuals or institutional funders purchasedebt-based securities, typically a bond ordebenture at a fixed interest rate.

Mini-bondsIndividuals or institutions purchase securities from companies in the form of an unsecured retail bonds.

Donation-based Crowdfunding

Donors provide funding to individuals, projectsor companies based on philanthropic or civicmotivations with no expectation of monetary ormaterial return.

Reward-based CrowdfundingBackers provide finance to individuals, projectsor companies in exchange for non-monetaryrewards or products.

Lending

Investing

Donating

Page 7: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Bank of Finland’s data collection and statistics• Annual frequency, 15 platforms:

• € Volumes in four crowdfunding categories• Flows and stocks• Number of projects• Number and type of investors (household/other)• Interest rates and maturities for loan based funding

• Active cooperation and discussion with reporting agents• Legal basis: Act on Bank of Finland• Still ”experimental” statistics• Data published annually in March

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17.8.2019 8

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Reward-based crowdfundingInvestment-based crowdfundingLoan-based crowdfundingPeer-to-peer lending to consumers

EUR million

Sources: Bank of Finland (2016–2018)* and Ministry of Finance (2014–2015). * The figures only include domestic parties seeking finance.

Funding volumes mediated in Finland through different forms of crowdfunding

+29 %+67 %

+40 %

+64 %

+4 % -27 %

+64 %-8 %

+65 % +24 %

+123 %

+56 %+68 %

+163 %

+85 %

+16 %

+50 %+75 %

+112 %+36 %

Growth %= “Funding against eg. a product or service to be delivered in the future”= “Funding against equity or debt securities or other instruments”= “Large group of investors lending to a company”= “Large group of investors lending to an individual”

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17.8.2019 9

22 35 84 139 156

20,85718,634

17,298 17,08418,656

0.11%

0.19%

0.51%

0.83%0.84%

0.0 %

0.1 %

0.2 %

0.3 %

0.4 %

0.5 %

0.6 %

0.7 %

0.8 %

0.9 %

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Crowdfunding raised by Finnish CompaniesBanks' Loans to Finnish Companies during the yearCrowdfunding to Companies, % of Bank Loans (right hand scale)

€ Millions

Sources: Bank of Finland and Ministry of Finance

Crowdfunding versus traditional bank loans for companies

%

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17.8.2019 10

3,7294,012 4,234

4,603 4,637

0.8 %0.9 %

1.5 %

2.3 %

3.2 %

0.0 %

0.5 %

1.0 %

1.5 %

2.0 %

2.5 %

3.0 %

3.5 %

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Crowdfunding raised by Finnish HouseholdsBanks' Consumer Credit to Households (right hand scale)P2P Consumer lending, % of Bank loans (right hand scale)

€ Millions

Sources: Bank of Finland and Ministry of Finance

Crowdfunding versus consumer credit from banks

Page 11: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Interest rates higher and maturities shorter than in traditional bank loans

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Average interest ratesLoan-based crowdfunding for companies 8 %Traditional company loans from banks 1,60 %Peer-to-peer funding to households 12 %Traditional consumer credit from banks 4,80 %

Average maturitiesLoan-based crowdfunding for companies 21 monthsTraditional company loans from banks 55 monthsPeer-to-peer funding to households 32 monthsTraditional consumer credit from banks 75 months

Page 12: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Number of investors low, number of investments high…

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⇒ Investors typically have several investments and the average value of individual investment is low

Number of Investors Loan-based Investment-based P2PHouseholds 8 052 6 676 7 785Other 1 039 663 497

Number of Investments Loan-based Investment-based P2PHouseholds 362 288 9 403 1 481 150Other 75 705 931 417 875

Avarage Number of Investments per Investor Loan-based Investment-based P2PHouseholds 45 1 190Other 73 1 841

Avarage €-amount of Investment per Investor Loan-based Investment-based P2PHouseholds 172 3 638 57Other 476 19 429 156

Page 13: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Share of successful projects is very low in P2P, higher in loan based funding

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Successful 3%

Failed15%

Rejected82%

Successful59%Failed

18%

Rejected23%

Peer-to-peerconsumer funding

Loan-based fundingfor companies

Page 14: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Key messages

• There is keen demand and interest for new data even if the volumes are still relatively low.

• Market develops rapidly and new players emerge => challenge to keep up with reporting population

• Need to invest time in reporting agent cooperation.• Experimental statistics can be set up in a cost efficient manner• Data profiles of new funding channels are significantly different

from traditional bank lending data

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Page 15: Setting up new peer-to-peer and crowdfunding …2016 2017 2018 Reward-based crowdfunding Investment-based crowdfunding Loan-based crowdfunding Peer-to-peer lending to consumers EUR

Thank you for your attention!

[email protected]

17.8.2019 15