Sector Review - IT

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    India Gaurav LahotiSector Review Information

    Technology (IT)

    (91) [email protected]

    09 May 2011

    Please see important notice on last page Page 1 of 5

    Demand driver

    Sector Overview

    Indias IT sector is expected to cross $100 billion mark in FY 2012-2013. But,with rise in revenue it is expected that growth rate will decline in current year.

    Indias domestic market for It Industry shows growing trend of 22.4% infinancial year 2010.

    Export market CAGR for IT & ITES in 20072012 is stands at 15.4%. Due toeconomical crisis in global market in year 2010 growth trend dip in year.

    IT sector employed 2.5 million people directly & 8.1 million people indirectly inIndia.

    Indias IT industrys revenue is generated by sell of products out of India i.e.export

    Export market like US & Europe plays very important role as they are big hubfor Indian Export.

    IT sector in recent past in 2011 faces decline in growth rate due to US &European crisis as these markets are demand dr5ivers for IT Industry.

    Major players in IT industry easily raise capital from public borrowing & sharecapital.

    Interest rate of Banking firm also affect adversely to IT Industry as workingcapital of IT industry such as TCS, Infosys are financed by Banking firms.

    IT industry in past decade showing positive growth rate year over year.

    Figure 1

    Sharply surplusproduction

    Market Size of IT Sector -Domestic

    Export growth

    Employment at peak

    Factors of Production

    Positive revenue trends iIT Industr

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    Major Players

    Production Analysis of ITIndustry

    GDP contribution of IT sector rose to 6% approximately

    Source: Information Technology Annual Report

    Production is rising year over year but growth rate of production is decline over

    past two years. Amount below are in 1000 USD.

    Top 5 players in IT industries are:

    Rank Company Name Market Share

    1 Tata Consultancy Services 8.5%

    2 Infosys Technologies Ltd. 7.9%

    3 Wipro Technologies Ltd. 6.9%

    4 Cognizant 5.2%

    5 HCL Tech 4.0%

    Source: Aranca Research

    GDP contribution of ITsector

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    Comparison of two bigplayers of market

    Inventories of ITdepartment

    Foriegn Investment in ITSector

    Measures of Financial

    performanceTCS Infosys

    Market Cap 241,029 (cr.) 132,755 (cr.)

    P/E 23.76 17.59

    EV/EBITDA 16.02 11.71

    ROE (%) 49.5 31.2

    ROCE (%) 59.3 42.7

    Inventories are falling as shown in following graph. Grey scales shows US economy

    fall/ crisis

    Source: FRED

    100% of Foreign Direct investment (FDI) is allowed in Technology Sector

    SectorFDI Inflow

    (millions of Rs.)% of total inflow

    Services 787,420 22.39

    Computer Software &Hardware

    391,109 11.12

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    Government Tax policymay impact future growth

    of IT sector

    SWOT Analysis

    Geographical distributionof IT sector India

    Government policies towards taxes of raising 2% service tax this year may affect

    future of IT sector. But, in IT sector there is no big government undertaking to

    compete with Private Sector entities.

    Bangalore the Silicon Valley of India is currently leading the Information technology

    industries in India.

    Source: Tribiz

    Strength:

    1) Growing Industry with highprofitability

    2) Maximum Export Business

    Weakness :

    1) Depends on US and Europeancountries for exports

    2) Non availability of skilled workers

    Opportunities:

    1) Asia is considered to be thesecond largest IT market due to

    adoption of Technology &

    outsourcing of Technologies

    2) Demand is much more higherthan supply

    Threat:

    1) Duplicability of Product & cheaperProduct

    2) Growing Chinese market3) BRIC countries contribution is

    growing

    City

    Total inventory - office

    space

    (In million square ft.)

    Total Inventory - IT-ITES

    space

    (In million square ft.)

    Bangalore 50.35 40.28

    Chennai 45.76 36.61

    Kolkata 19.42 15.54

    Mumbai 38.80 13.52

    Pune 28.27 17.45

    Delhi NCR 15.99 11.99

    Hyderabad 14.48 11.54

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    Growth

    Drivers

    Global

    Demand

    Talented

    Workers

    Infrastru

    cture

    Policy

    SupportDomestic

    Growth

    Growth Drivers

    Merger & Acquisition in ITIndustry in recent Past

    Future of Indian IT sector

    Tech Mahindra bids to acquire Satyam for Rs.1,757 cr. for its 31% shares. Tech

    Mahindra paid Rs. 58 for each share of Satyam.

    In future Indian IT sector will flourish due to increasing demand fromoutside market and it is estimated that growth rate for IT industry is 16%for this year. Indian IT sector is supposed to touch Landmark of 225 BillionUSD till 2020 and employ over 6 million people directly till 2020. Withcontinuous growth of FDI inflow IT industry will become top contributor in

    Indias GDP.

    Take Over