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SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN [email protected]

SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN [email protected]. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

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Page 1: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

SDS-WAS

Yihong DUAN

[email protected]

Page 2: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

WW

RP

-G

AW

Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

KMA, S. Korea

MRI, Japan

U of Arizona, USA

Tel Aviv U, Israel

METU, Turkey

BSC, Spain

US Navy, USA

ECMWF

CMA, China

U of Athens, GreeceUK MET OFFICE

Operational Research Dust Forecasting Centres

METEOFRANCE

WMO SDS WAS

May 2007, the 14th WMO Congress endorsed the launching of the SDS-WAS.

Page 3: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

WW

RP

-G

AW

Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

3

Shanghai, November-2006. “Steering committee of the “Steering committee of the Sand and Dust Storm Project”Sand and Dust Storm Project” proposed: “Sand and Dust Storm Warning Advisory and Assessment System (SDS-WAS)”.

Tunis, November-2008. First meeting of the African African Node Node “SDS Regional steering group“SDS Regional steering group

Barcelona, November-2007. “WMO/GEO/SDS WAS Expert meeting”

Athens, June-2008. Drafting “Plan of Implementation for SDS WAS “

Beijing, Oct.-2008. First meeting of the Asian Asian Node Node “SDS Regional steering group“SDS Regional steering group

Seoul, Oct.-2009. Second meeting of the Asian Node Asian Node “SDS Regional steering group“SDS Regional steering group

Page 4: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

African Node Web African Node Web PortalPortal Portalhttp://www.bsc.es/sds-wasPortalhttp://www.bsc.es/sds-was

RSMC-ADSF for

the region

consisting of

Northern Africa

(north of

Equator), the

Middle East and

Europe at

Barcelona, SpainApproved by WMO EC-65

Page 5: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

WMO SDS WAS AISA REGIONAL NODE Meeting,

Seoul, Korea125

FY-2C satellite SDS retrieval

Grid TS Scoring

Validation(near-real time)

SDS TS Scoring SystemSDS TS Scoring System

Near real time model validation againstNear real time model validation againstground-based and satellite data in Asian ground-based and satellite data in Asian CentreCentre

Near real time model validation againstNear real time model validation againstground-based and satellite data in Asian ground-based and satellite data in Asian CentreCentre

Page 6: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

18 UTC, 7 May 2002 30-hr forecast

Forecast Models

GALIONSurface-based LIDAR

System Components:

NASA A-Train MODIS CALIPSO

Global AOD Network Long-term Sites4+ years in operation, >50% coverage, as of March 2004

Total count = 90

AERONET-LTOther

GAW/AERONET/SKYNET

Surface-based AOD

WMO Supported Data to the evaluation of dust prediction models

European PM10Asian Vis & PM10

China FY SDS index & AOD

Page 7: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

7

Near real time model validation againstAERONET data in Europan Centre

Tamanrasset, Algeria

Verificación frente a AERONETVerificación frente a AERONET

Page 8: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Two-way feedback between soil dust and radiation

Data Assimilation, using NRT Data for improving the operational SDS forecast

Page 9: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Surface T↓

Soil dust aerosol interacted with

radiationSSA↑

0.90-0.95

CUACE/Chem

Page 10: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Forecasting system

Data AssimilationData Assimilation

SDS Observations…SDS Observations…

拟建区域本底站

已建本底站

沙尘暴一期站点

中韩合作沙尘暴站点

拟建区域本底站

已建本底站

沙尘暴一期站点

中韩合作沙尘暴站点

lidar

Ground Obs.

Satellite

Gong and Zhang 2007, ACP

SDS-data assimilation

Page 11: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

According to CAS 8.2.6 -SDS related issues

Three major things needed in the near future (1-2 years)

Page 12: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

New web portal of

Future Asian

RSMC-ADSF

http://eng.weather

.gov.cn/dust/prod

uct/8001.html#

1) To approve the recommendation to formally designate the SDS-WAS regional node in Beijing, China, as another RSMC-ADSF for the

region consisting of Asia and the Central Pacific.

Page 13: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Research

SDS-WAS

Op

eration

al fo

recasts

Future

2) to produce and deliver atmospheric sand and dust storm forecasts after the evaluation of dust prediction models to address concerns expressed at CBS-15 and report on it to the CAS Management Group (MG) leading by a Joint CBS-CAS Task Team on Atmospheric Sand and Dust Storm Forecasts

Page 14: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Page 15: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

Long term

Page 16: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

CMA in MongoliaCMA in Mongolia

4) encourages the efforts to increase the observational capacity, and to support regular training events aimed to encourage and facilitate the use of the products supplied by the SDS-WAS.

Page 17: SDS-WAS Yihong DUAN duanyh@cma.gov.cn. WWRP- GAW Seminar on sand and dust storms in the Arab Region, Kingdom of Bahrain - 30 January to 1 February 2011

中国气象科学研究院Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

5) Encourage in possible future to establish the Pan American and West Asia Centers

6) Encourage to carry out capacity building activities of dust forecasting systems and on development of dust products from remote sensing observations specially focused to developing countries in Africa and Asia severely affected by dust storms.