Saturday, August 1, 2020

8:30 a.m. ET

National Current Operation

Significant Incidents or Threats:

• Tropical Cyclone Isaias Response

• Heavy rain and flash flooding possible – Ohio Valley to Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic

• Severe thunderstorms possible – Ohio Valley to Mid-Atlantic

• COVID-19

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic:

o Hurricane Isaias

o Tropical Depression Ten

o Disturbance 1: Medium (60%)

• Eastern Pacific: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days

• Central Pacific: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days

• Western Pacific: No activity affecting U.S. interests

Declaration Activity:

• Emergency Declaration Approved – Florida

• Emergency Declaration Request – North Carolina

• Amendment No.1 to FEMA-4546-DR-AL

Atlantic OverviewTROPICAL OUTLOOK

Hurricane IsaiasSATELLITE LOOP

8 AM EDT• NW at 12 mph

• 987 mb

• 85 mph

Hurricane IsaiasFORECAST TRACK

8 AM EDT• NW at 12 mph

• 987 mb

• 85 mph

Hurricane IsaiasFORECAST TRACK

8 AM EDT• NW at 12 mph

• 987 mb

• 85 mph

Hurricane IsaiasMOST LIKELY ARRIVAL OF TS WINDS

TS Wind ProbabilitiesMyrtle Beach, SC 29%

Jacksonville, FL 13%

Cocoa Beach, FL 64%

W Palm Beach, FL 75%

Miami, FL 25%

Hurricane IsaiasMOST LIKELY ARRIVAL OF TS WINDS

TS Wind ProbabilitiesNantucket, MA 19%

Montauk Point, NY 17%

Ocean City, MD 18%

Norfolk, VA 15%

Cape Hatteras, NC 29%

Wilmington, NC 24%

Hurricane IsaiasPEAK STORM SURGE FORECAST

2–4 ft

1–3 ft

Hurricane Isaias5 DAY RAINFALL

10 in

6 in

4 in

2 in

1 in

South/Central Florida

2 – 4”Isolated 6”

Carolinas/Mid-Atlantic

2 – 4”Isolated 6”

East Pacific OverviewTROPICAL OUTLOOK

Central Pacific OverviewTROPICAL OUTLOOK

Tropical Cyclone Isaias – Preparations/Response

Situation: Tropical Cyclone Isaias threatens portions of the Eastern US

from Florida to New England.

Lifeline Impacts:

Safety and Security

• PR: Preliminary damage assessments are ongoing

Food, Water, & Shelter

• PR: 47 shelters open with 53 occupants (ESF-6 shelter report as of 6:00 a.m. ET)

• PR: 197k (15%) of customers without water, due to power outage

• All FEMA Distribution Centers stocked; DC Atlanta has 1 million meals,

2.7 million liters of water with commodities and generators; contracted to

store 3 million meals with the vendor in TN

• FEMA leased additional storage space in AL for staging; Logistics

moving 53 trailers of water to AL next week

Health and Medical

• PR: 15 hospitals running on generator power

Energy

• PR: 115k (peak 440k) customers without power territory-wide; ongoing

restoration

• DLA alerted for bulk fuels, up to 239 additional generators, deployable

depot teams to run staging bases

Transportation

• Tren Urbano service suspended until further notice

State/Local Response:

• PR EOC Full Activation (Isaias and COVID-19); PR Governor declared a state of

emergency; National Guard activated

• USVI Full Activation (Isaias and COVID-19)

• FL EOC at Full Activation (COVID-19); Governor declared state of emergency;

requested Emergency Declaration on July 31

• GA EOC Partial Activation (Flooding and COVID-19)

• SC EOC Partial Activation (COVID-19); will go to 24/7 Aug 2

• NC EOC Partial Activation (Flooding and COVID-19); Governor declared state of

emergency; requested Emergency Declaration on July 31

• VA EOC at Partial Activation (COVID-19); Governor declared state of emergency

• NJ EOC at Partial (COVID-19 and Isaias)

Federal Response:

• Region I IMAT demobilizing from PR this weekend

• Region II RRCC at Level III, Partial Activation (COVID-19); to Level II Aug 2

• IMAT deployed to USVI is demobilizing

• LNOs on standby to support NY and NJ

• ISB team staff deployed to Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst

• Region III RRCC at Level III (COVID-19); IMAT on alert

• LNOs deployed (virtually) to VA and DE and to ISB Lakehurst today

• Alpha Team (virtual)

• Region IV RWC at Enhanced Watch (day shift only)

• IMAT-1 and LNO deploying to NC today, August 1

• IMAT-2 and LNO deployed to FL EOC

• NRCC remains activated to Level I (COVID-19)

• HQ Logistics: all staging teams on alert and prepared to provide staging

operations support; assets in PR are demobilizing; ISB Charlie, SMT PR, and

MCU demobilized

• Atlanta DC has additional reservist staff to support an initial ISB location

• MERS deployed to USVI and PR demobilizing August 2; MERS deployed to FL

• Emergency Declarations approved for PR (FEMA-3532-EM-PR) and USVI

(FEMA-3531-EM-VI)

COVID-19 Update

Situation: Upward trajectory in COVID-19 case count continues

across 9 states, with 20 (+4) states in a plateau status. 28,632(+10)

Federal employees deployed / activated; 2,159 FEMA employees

deployed.

Nationwide Testing: 59,066,987 (+839,671) cumulative (as of July 31)

COVID-19 positive cases continue to increase globally

• Confirmed Cases of COVID-19

o United States: 4,473,974 (+68,042)

o Worldwide: 17,106,007 (+292,527)

• Deaths caused by COVID-19

o United States: 151,499 (+1,216)

o Worldwide: 668,910 (+6,812)

Response:

• NRCC at Level I

• Regions I, II, III, V, VI, & X RRCCs at Level III

• Regions IV, VII, VIII, & IX RRCCs are rostered

• Regions VII & IX COVID-19 response being worked from the

Virtual JFO

• NWC, all RWCs, and MOCs are monitoring

(COVID-19 SLB, July 31)

National Weather Forecast

Sat Sun

Mon

Sun

Mon

Precipitation & Excessive Rainfall

Sat

Sat-Mon

Hazards Outlook – Aug 3-7

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/threats/final/hazards_d3_7_contours.png

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

RegionState /

LocationEvent IA/PA

Number of CountiesStart – End

Requested Complete

VI TXHurricane Hanna

July 25 and continuing

IA 6 0 7/29 – TBD

PA 6 0 7/29 – TBD

Declaration Approved

PA

Declaration: Emergency Declaration FEMA-3533-

EM-FL for Florida

Requested: July 31, 2020

Approved: Aug 1

Incident: Hurricane Isaias

Incident Period: July 31, 2020 and continuing

Provides:

• PA: Debris removal and emergency protective

measures (Categories A and B), including direct

Federal assistance for 19 counties

FCO: Terry L. Quarles

Declaration Request

PA

Declaration: Emergency Declaration – North

Carolina

Requested: July 31, 2020

Incident: Hurricane Isaias

Incident Period: July 31, 2020 and continuing

Requesting:

• PA: Emergency protective measures (Category

B), including direct Federal assistance for all

100 counties and the Eastern Band of Cherokee

Indians

Declaration Requests in Process – 4

State / Tribe / Territory – Incident Description Type IA PA HM Requested

Poarch Band of Creek Indians – COVID-19 Pandemic DR X X May 15

MS – Tropical Storm Cristobal DR X X Jul 7

LA – Severe Storm and Tornadoes DR X X Jul 10

NC – Hurricane Isaias EM X Jul 31

FL – Hurricane Isaias – Approved (Aug 1) As Briefed EM X Jul 31

Team:Status

US&R>65%

MERS>66%

FCOs≤1 Type I

FDRCs= 2

IM

WORKFORCE

IM CADRE AVAILABILITY SUMMARY

Cadres with 25% or Less Availability

Assigned: 28 36 46 11 13,775

EHP 23% (197/655); FL 22% (34/156); FM 22% (55/245); HM 24% (296/1,233);

PA 22% (683/3,127); SAF 20% (11/55)Unavailable 2 0 1 0 2,728

Deployed: 2 2 37 (-2) 9 5,560

Available: 24 34 8 (+2) 2 5,487/ 40%

N-IMATs3 Teams

Red

Blue

Gold

R-IMATs4 -6 Teams

I PR

II USVI

III

IV-1

IV-2 FL

V

VI-1

VI-2

VII VJFO-COVID

VIII VJFO

IX-1

IX-2 Demobing

X RRCC

FMC PMC

NMC Deployed

FEMA Common Operating PictureFEMA HQ

NWC NRCCMonitoring Level I

FEMA REGIONS

WATCH RRCC

Monitoring I Level III

Monitoring II Level III

Monitoring III Level III

Monitoring IV Rostered

Monitoring V Level III

Monitoring VI Level III

Alt Location VII Rostered

Monitoring VIII Rostered

Monitoring IX Rostered

Monitoring X Level III

Notes:

NRCC and RRCCs

activated for COVID-

19

RII: Hurricane Isaias

MS: Flooding

PR: EQ, Isaias

USVI: Isaias

All EOCs activated for

COVID-19

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