San Joaquin Valley AdvocacyContext and Trends for Change

San Joaquin Valley Funders MeetingDecember 5, 2013

Bay Area Central Coast

Southern California

San Joaquin Valley

Northern Counties

Sacramento Valley

Sierra Foothills

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

Existing and Projected Developed Land

2004 2050

Total New Development: 2.1 million acres

High Quality Farmland Lost: 676,000 acres

Other Major Trends

Potential Impact of Climate Change

• Reduction in crop yields

• Reduction in suitable areas for some tree fruit and nut crops

• Reduction in available water (Agriculture 21%; Urban .7%)

• Consequent reduction in agricultural land (18.7% Central Valley)

High Poverty in the Midst of Plenty

Fresno Growth Pattern (Pre/Post 1945)

Educational Attainment

Population in Poverty

Environmental Vulnerability Zones

Health Challenges

• One of every five children suffers from asthma

• Four times more people die in the Valley from air pollution than they do from traffic fatalities

• Obesity related illnesses such as Type 2 Diabetes is higher than other areas of the state (over 9% of adults)

Demographic Trends

• Between 2010 and 2050, the Valley's population will grow from about 4 million to nearly 7.5 million residents

• This represents a population increase of 87.5%

• By 2050, 56.5% of the Valley's population will be Latino

• Potential electoral change

Civic Engagement: Voices for Change

• Building Healthy Communities

• Central Valley Air Quality Coalition

• Groundswell San Joaquin Valley

• SB 375 San Joaquin Valley Coalition