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8/12/2019 s07 chap 3-1
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Time Value of Money
Chapter 3-1
Contemporary Engineering EconomicsCopyright 2006
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
edition 2007
Chapter Opening StoryTake a Lump Sum or
Annual Installments
Mrs. Louise Outing won alottery worth $5.6 million.
Before playing the lottery,she was offered to choosebetween a single lump sum
$2.912 million, or $5.6million paid out over 20years (or $280,000 peryear).
She ended up taking theannual installment option,
as she forgot to mark theCash Value box, bydefault.
What basis do we comparethese two options?
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Year Option A
(Lump Sum)
Option B
(Installment Plan)
01
2
3
19
$2.912M $283,770$280,000
$280,000
$280,000
$280,000
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What Do We Need to Know?
To make such comparisons (the lotterydecision problem), we must be able tocompare the value of money at different point
in time. To do this, we need to develop a method for
reducing a sequence of benefits and costs to
a single point in time. Then, we will make ourcomparisons on that basis.
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Time Value of Money
Money has a time value
because it can earn moremoney over time (earningpower).
Money has a time valuebecause its purchasing
power changes over time(inflation).
Time value of money ismeasured in terms ofinterest rate.
Interest is the cost ofmoneya costto theborrower and an earningtothe lender
This a two-edged sword whereby earninggrows, but purchasing power decreases(due to inflation), as time goes by.
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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The Interest Rate
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Cash Flow Transactions for Two Types of Loan
Repayment
End of Year Receipts PaymentsPlan 1 Plan 2
Year 0 $20,000.00 $200.00 $200.00
Year 1 5,141.85 0Year 2 5,141.85 0
Year 3 5,141.85 0
Year 4 5,141.85 0
Year 5 5,141.85 30,772.48The amount of loan = $20,000, origination fee = $200, interest rate = 9% APR(annual percentage rate)
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Cash Flow Diagram for Plan 2
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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End-of-Period Convention
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Methods of Calculating Interest
Simple interest: the practice of charging aninterest rate only to an initial sum (principal
amount). Compound interest: the practice of
charging an interest rate to an initial sum
and to any previously accumulated interestthat has not been withdrawn.
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Simple Interest
P= Principal amount
i = Interest rate
N= Number ofinterest periods
Example:
P= $1,000
i= 10% N= 3 years
End ofYear
Beginning
Balance
Interestearned
EndingBalance
0 $1,000
1 $1,000 $100 $1,100
2 $1,100 $100 $1,200
3 $1,200 $100 $1,300
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Simple Interest Formula
( )
where
= Principal amount
= simple interest rate
= number of interest periods
= total amount accumulated at the end of period
F P iP N
P
i
N
F N
$1,000 (0.10)($1,000)(3)
$1,300
F
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Compound Interest
P= Principal amount
i = Interest rate
N= Number ofinterest periods
Example:
P= $1,000
i = 10% N= 3 years
Endof
Year
BeginningBalance
Interestearned
EndingBalance
0 $1,000
1 $1,000 $100 $1,100
2 $1,100 $110 $1,210
3 $1,210 $121 $1,331
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Compounding Process
$1,000
$1,100
$1,100
$1,210
$1,210
$1,33101
2
3
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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0
$1,000
$1,331
12
3
3$1,000(1 0.10)
$1,331
F
Cash Flow Diagram
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Compound Interest Formula
1
2
2 1
0 :
1: (1 )
2 : (1 ) (1 )
: (1 )N
n P
n F P i
n F F i P i
n N F P i
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Some Fundamental Laws
2
F m a
V i R
E m c
The Fundamental Law of Engineering Economy
(1 )NF P i
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Compound Interest
The greatest mathematical discovery of
all time,Albert Einstein
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Market Value
Assume that the companys stock will continue to
appreciate at an annual rate of 23.15% for thenext 24 years.
24$115.802 (1 0.2315)
$17.145 trillions
F M
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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EXCEL Template
In 1626 the Indians sold Manhattan Island to Peter Minuitof the Dutch West Company for $24.
If they saved just $1 from the proceeds in a bank account
that paid 8% interest, how much would their descendents
have now?
As of Year 2006, the total US population would be close to
300 millions. If the total sum would be distributed equally
among the population, how much would each person receive?
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Excel Solution
380
$18%
380 years
$1(1 0.08) $5,023,739,194,020
P
i
N
F
=FV(8%,380,0,1)
= $5,023,739,194,020
$5,023,739,194,020Amount per person
300,000,000
$16,746
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4th
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Practice Problem
Problem Statement
If you deposit $100 now (n= 0) and $200 twoyears from now (n= 2) in a savings account
that pays 10% interest, how much would youhave at the end of year 10?
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4
th
edition 2007
Solution
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$100$200
F
10
8
$100(1 0.10) $100(2.59) $259
$200(1 0.10) $200(2.14) $429$259 $429 $688F
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4
th
edition 2007
Practice problem
Problem StatementConsider the following sequence of depositsand withdrawals over a period of 4 years. Ifyou earn a 10% interest, what would be thebalance at the end of 4 years?
$1,000 $1,500
$1,210
0 1
2 3
4
?$1,000
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Contemporary Engineering Economics, 4
th
edition 2007
$1,000$1,500
$1,210
0 1
2
3
4
?
$1,000
$1,100
$2,100 $2,310
-$1,210
$1,100
$1,210
+ $1,500
$2,710
$2,981
$1,000
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