Ronald Van der Linden

5th European Space Weather WeekBrussels, 17-21 November 2008

European Resources for Space Weather Applications

An Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services.

Ronald Van der Linden

5th European Space Weather Week

Brussels, 17-21 November 2008

Mission: impossible



COST – ES0803 WG Structure



WG2 of COST – ES0803

WG 2. Space weather products and services

WG Leaders: R. Van der Linden & H. Lundstedt

SG 2.1: Identification of current space weather resources

WG Leaders: I. Stanislawska & D. Heynderickx

SG 2.2: Market segmentation including cartography and users requirements

SG 2.3: Feasibility study for new market-oriented products and services

+ at this conference: splinter “Data and Application Services”


European Resources for Space Weather Applications

An INCOMPLETE Overview of Existing and Planned Data, Tools and Services,Easily Accessible, Near-Real-Time and Known to Me

Ronald Van der Linden



Why ‘EUROPEAN’?

• autonomy?• redundancy?• ease of networking and existence of frameworks

relevance depends on category:• data• tools• services



Which Resources?DATA

Event catalogs

Event warnings

SERVICES:• monitoring (nowcasting)• Post-event analyses (postcasting)• Forecasting

Modeling tools

Data browsing

tools

Image analysis

tools

Integrated service

Client



Data Sources– Space

• Solar• In-situ

– Solar Wind– Magnetosphere

– Mixed• GNSS-based ionospheric profiles

– Ground-based• Solar

– Images– Indices

• Geomagnetic• Ionospheric (atmospheric)• Other



Data browsing: SolarMonitorhttp://www.solarmonitor.org

• solar images with active region information• contains links to other solar data• includes per regions details, with event information• includes statistical solar flare prediction



Data browsing: SIDC Latest SW Datahttp://sidc.be/LatestSWData/LatestSWData.php

• part of RWC Belgium website• contains mainly links to external data sources• includes all categories of SW data• needs some updating

SWB is a quick-look solar data browserIt’s an answer to a challenge regarding science

data access:

• Solar data & metadata are spread over the Internet

• New observatories produce huge amount of data

• Increasing complexity of instruments & processing software

It is aimed at:• Scientists & Operators (Quick contextual

event analysis)• Space weather forecasters• Public (outreach & education)

SWB summary: • Client-Server design• Displays & combines Sun-centered images

& contextual information: flares, CMEs...• Client available for popular OS (open

source)

Download it at:http://sidc.be/swb

Data browsing: Solar Weather Browser



Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal

http://www.spaceweather.eu

• developed under COST724• pan-European, multi-site web portal• multi-language• strong outreach component• promising ‘centralized access to European SW resources’• contains links to many external datasets & model websites• contains some model capacity (includes SOLPENCO)• would benefit from some updating, expansion & homogenisation



Data browsing: European Space Weather Portal



Data browsing: other sources

• SWENET, http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet- see splinter session at this meeting

• EGSO, http://www.egso.org/- no longer updated (?)- contains also features catalogs- follow-up: HELIO (?)

• BASS2000 http://bass2000.bagn.obs-mip.fr/- data from Meudon, Pic du Midi and THEMIS

• see also other talks in this session• …



DiDigital Upper gital Upper AAtmosphere tmosphere SServer (DIAS)erver (DIAS)

DIAS consortium was formed around 11 partners

National Observatory of Athens, GreeceRutherford Appleton Laboratory, UK

National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, ItalySwedish Institute of Space Physics, Sweden

Leibniz-Institute of Atmospheric Physics, GermanySpace Research Center, Poland

University of Athens, GreeceBlustaff, Italy

BAE Systems, UKInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Republic

Observatorio de l’ Ebre, Spain

the DIAS project was funded by the eContent Programme of EC FP6

Integrated service



Aim of DIAS To improve access to data from all possible

ground-based ionospheric stations in Europe To develop a European service for the

specification and the prediction of the state of the ionosphere

• Ionograms with the results of the automatic scaling

[from the network of DIAS stations in a common layout]

• Ionospheric scaled parameters

[f-plots and ASCII values of foF2, fmin, and M(3000)F2]

• Electron Density Ne(h) profiles over each DIAS station

• Maps for the specification of the ionosphere over Europe

[maps of foF2, M(3000)F2, MUF, Electron Density Ne]

• Daily plot of the Effective Sunspot Number

• Point to point calculation of the MUF for user-defined coordinates

DIAS products 1. Ionospheric Specification

• Long term ionospheric predictions for the next 3 months

- maps of foF2

- maps of M(3000)F2

- maps of MUF

• Short-term ionospheric forecasting 24 hours ahead

- maps of foF2

- plots of the forecasted foF2 over each DIAS station

• Ionospheric Activity Index (alerts and warnings)

DIAS products 2. Ionospheric Forecast

DIAS delivers data, products and services since August 2006

http://dias.space.noa.gr



Operational Services: SWENET SDAs

– Auroras Now!

– BINCASTS

– GAFS

– GIC Forecast

– GIC Now!

– GIC Simulator

– GIFINT

– GPS Validation

– ISGI

– MuSTAnG

– Pipeline SWS

– SWIMIC

– DIFS

– Ionosfera

– Scintillation Quickmaps

– SFC

– SIDC

– SOARS

– SPECTRE

– STIF

– SWIPPA

– TSRS

– GEISHA

– GEOSHAFT

– SAAPS

– SEIS

– SOARS

http://www.esa-spaceweather.net/swenet/index.html

Not all equally active!!

http://www.spenvis.oma.be/

Operational Service: SPENVIS



Worldwide network for data exchange and services

Operational Service: International Space Environment Service (ISES)

http://www.ises-spaceweather.org

Each node (RWC) is an independent service center with its own specificity

‘One stop shopping’



ISES in Europe• RWC Belgium (Brussels)

• RWC Czech Republic (Prague)

• Associated RWC France (Toulouse)

• RWC Poland (Warsaw)

• RWC Russia (Moscow)

• RWC Sweden (Lund)

• Collborative expert centre: ESA/ESTEC (Noordwijk)

Standard RWC Service ContentsOur standard daily messages contain:

• Forecasts of probability of solar flares (next 3 days)

• Forecasts of possibility of proton events (next 3 days)

• Forecasts of 10.7cm flux (next 3 days)

• Forecasts of geomagnetic conditions (next 3 days)

• Overview of current SW conditions

• Summary data of previous day(s)

Other date or information distributed is often RWC-specific and client-related. This may include e.g.:

• “All-quiet alerts”

• (Fast) warnings of significant events, often based on automated data and image processing

ESWW5

Brussels, 17-21/11/2008

SIDC@STCE: a European Space Weather Service



Feb 08, 2008 Space Weather: international affairs and beyond

CME propagationCoronal hole outflowSolar Wind predictionsPrediction of B_z

10cm solar radio flux

Flares

CME occurrenceCoronal Holes

Geomagnetism

Proton events

Regional Warning Center Belgium

MonitoringForecastsFast AlertsData & Tools

Operational component &information gateway

Signatures of CMEs in EUV

flares

EIT waves

dimmingsProminence eruptions

Limb signaturesSolar image processing

SIDC operational product: NEMOhttp://sidc.be/nemo/

NEMO = 'Novel EIT wave Machine Observing' = A software package for automated EIT wave detection

Space Weather interest: EIT wave = CME precursor

Also applied to STEREOSTEREO data

Online catalogue for EITEIT data:• Monthly scans• Real-time detection: 2 runs per day

SIDC operational product: CACTus

• Online LASCO-based catalog September 1997 – January

2007• Automatic near-real-time detection based on LASCO• Automated alert distribution in case of important event• Human verification and follow-up message

07h45

10h00

15h00


SFC Solar Forecast Centerdaily monitoring of Solar Energetic

Particles Events

J.-J. Valette, Ph. Yaya

CLS (Collecte Localisation Satellites)

Associated RWC France (Toulouse)



• Presently, there is no forecast model of SEPE

• At CLS : development of an empirical approach based on continuous analysis of the solar structures and evolution of favorable conditions :

- location & morphology of the sunspots- magnetic connection to Earth- past activity: flares, radio bursts, proton flux variation (even under SWPC threshold)

Daily bulletin at SFC (7 days a week)

Applications & studies

• Application for ESA & CNES during the ATV demo flight

• CNES R&T 2007-2008 study to improve the method and to evaluate the performance on a statistical basis over the last solar cycle

Co-operation with LESIA (Paris/Meudon Observatory), CPHT (École Polytechnique), ONERA (French Aerospace Lab.)



Example of a daily bulletin

Actual team:

Beata Dziak-Jankowska [email protected]

Grzegorz Juchnikowski [email protected]

Zbigniew Kłos [email protected]

Maria Miłodrowska [email protected]

Zenka Sawicka [email protected]

Iwona Stanisławska [email protected]

Anna Świątek [email protected]

Łukasz Tomasik [email protected]

Contact:Tel: + 48 22 8511165

+48 22 8403766 ext.371, 380

Fax: + 48 22 8403131

E-mail: [email protected]

http://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/

ftp://www.cbk.waw.pl/rwc/idce/

http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/sw_europe

http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/

http://rwc.cbk.waw.pl/cost296/wg1

RWC Poland (Warsaw)

RWC Warsaw is operating as

Heliogeophysical Prediction Service of Space Research Centre Polish Academy of Sciences

and performs duty as:

• data provider,• service provider,• applied science developer related to space

weather data assessment, modeling and prediction techniques

Data Provider

RWC Warsaw is involved in current collection of large portion of data received directly from:

• various international observatories in the frame of ISES,

• Polish operated geophysical stations inside the country and at Spitsbergen and Antarctic,

• continuously carried out monitoring of the ionosphere with the ionosonde in Warsaw,

is managing the ionospheric data Dispatch Centre

Service Provider

PRESENT• On the basis of continuous flow of data daily the expected

influence of heliogeophysical activity on monthly forecasts of communication conditions trough-out the world is prepared for Governmental and commercial customers

• The SRC-developed software package for data processing and system of prediction of HF communication is continuously modified and new versions are provided to users.

Ionospheric activity (review and forecast) characteristics from about 25 stations, regional maps

Quiet days and disturbances catalogues

HF propagation conditions



Still many not so known services…



To be continued … in 4 years

Documents

Ronald Van der Linden