22
Role of Remittances in Reducing Vulnerability and Improving Livelihoods of Forest Dewellers in Northwest Pakistan Dr. Babar Shahbaz and Dr. Tanvir Ali Deptt. of Agri. Extension University of Agriculture, Faisalabad

Role of Remittances in Reducing Vulnerability and Improving Livelihoods of Forest Dewellers in Northwest Pakistan Dr. Babar Shahbaz and Dr. Tanvir Ali

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  • Role of Remittances in Reducing Vulnerability and Improving Livelihoods of Forest Dewellers in Northwest PakistanDr. Babar Shahbaz and Dr. Tanvir AliDeptt. of Agri. ExtensionUniversity of Agriculture, Faisalabad

  • Natural Resource DegradationDeforestation = - 39,000 haSoil erosionWater scarcityClimatic extremes

  • Development Disparities

  • District wise HDI in KPKRed box: Mountainous districts, Source: UNDP NHDR 2003

  • Source SDPI-WFP (2009)

  • Source SDPI-WFP (2009)

  • Methodology(impact assessment of forest related institutions on livelihoods of farmers)QualitativeKey Informant InterviewsFocus Group InterviewsPersonal ObservationLiterature ReviewQuantitativeStructured Questionnaire(400 randomly selected households)

  • Chart2

    13.3

    12

    2.3

    2

    25.8

    14.8

    18.3

    10.5

    0.5

    Both

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    sources

    Sources of Cash Income

    BothProjectNon-ProjectBothProjectNon-Project

    11869195146.545.547.5

    21577681239.253840.5

    3 or more5733243 or more14.2516.512

    Annual Income

    MinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation

    primary source40008000007465889951.1983

    secondary source100080000039616.901466430.2762

    tertiary source100015000022991.379325527.5035

    Per capita income846.15123076.9210123.714110405.2284

    sources

    13.39.517

    1216.57.5

    2.32.52

    23.50.5

    25.826.525

    14.81415

    18.314.522

    10.512.58.5

    0.50.51

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    saving expenditures loan

    46.647.545.5

    15.310.520

    7.596

    3.843.5

    33.52.5

    10.3137.5

    5.838.5

    222

    44.53.5

    1.52.50.5

    0.50.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    % Respondents

    Secondry Sources of Income

    migration

    85.883.588

    5.36.54

    2.53.51.5

    0.80.51

    3.333.5

    0.310.5

    0.81.50.5

    10.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    Tertiary Source of Income

    Non-Project

    Project

    Both

    Sources of cash income

    47%

    Non-Project 41%

    12%

    45%

    Project, 38%

    17%

    47%

    Both, 39%

    14%

    Both

    Sources of cash income (all villages)

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no savings263129134no savings65.7564.567

    livestock351916livestock8.759.58

    cash612932cash15.2514.516

    jewelry110jewelry0.250.50

    land624land1.512

    bank deposit1147bank2.7523.5

    invest in business21147business5.2573.5

    other220other0.510

    food60

    fire/fuel wood6

    timber4

    education6

    health12

    household items4

    clothings3

    rivaj etc.5

    100

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no1517477no38.035264483637.185929648238.6934673367

    yes246125121yes61.964735516462.814070351860.8040201005

    BothProjectNon ProjectBothProjectNon Project

    Relatives1437469Relatives58.130081300859.257.0247933884

    Friends513219Friends20.731707317125.615.7024793388

    Shopkeeper1637885Shopkeeper66.260162601662.470.2479338843

    Bank18108Bank7.317073170786.6115702479

    Both

    project

    non project

    % Respondents

    Savings

    Expenditures

    non project

    project

    Both

    % of househods received loans

    39%

    37%

    38%

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respondents

    Sources of loans

    Migration by any member of the household during past 5 years

    Nil56.1

    Domestic32

    Foreign11.9

    100

    74

    26

    Karachi115

    Mardan20

    Rawalpindi24

    Other44

    Azad Kashmir10

    Lahore8

    Total221

    Saudi Arab62

    Dubai5

    Other10

    Total77

    Migrant Motivations

    Labour130

    Driver39

    Army11

    Employee44

    Unemployed10

    Study15

    Other48

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    Activities/Motivations of Migrants

  • Main Sources of Cash IncomeLabour migrationDaily wage labourerSalariesFarmingBusinessIncome from forestsLivestockPension

  • Migration

    Chart1

    56.1

    32

    11.9

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    sources

    Sources of Cash Income

    BothProjectNon-ProjectBothProjectNon-Project

    11869195146.545.547.5

    21577681239.253840.5

    3 or more5733243 or more14.2516.512

    Annual Income

    MinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation

    primary source40008000007465889951.1983

    secondary source100080000039616.901466430.2762

    tertiary source100015000022991.379325527.5035

    Per capita income846.15123076.9210123.714110405.2284

    sources

    13.39.517

    1216.57.5

    2.32.52

    23.50.5

    25.826.525

    14.81415

    18.314.522

    10.512.58.5

    0.50.51

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    saving expenditures loan

    46.647.545.5

    15.310.520

    7.596

    3.843.5

    33.52.5

    10.3137.5

    5.838.5

    222

    44.53.5

    1.52.50.5

    0.50.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    % Respondents

    Secondry Sources of Income

    migration

    85.883.588

    5.36.54

    2.53.51.5

    0.80.51

    3.333.5

    0.310.5

    0.81.50.5

    10.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    Tertiary Source of Income

    000

    000

    000

    Non-Project

    Project

    Both

    Sources of cash income

    12%

    47%

    Non-Project 41%

    17%

    45%

    Project, 38%

    47%

    14%

    Both, 39%

    0

    0

    0

    Both

    Sources of cash income (all villages)

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no savings263129134no savings65.7564.567

    livestock351916livestock8.759.58

    cash612932cash15.2514.516

    jewelry110jewelry0.250.50

    land624land1.512

    bank deposit1147bank2.7523.5

    invest in business21147business5.2573.5

    other220other0.510

    food60

    fire/fuel wood6

    timber4

    education6

    health12

    household items4

    clothings3

    rivaj etc.5

    100

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no1517477no38.035264483637.185929648238.6934673367

    yes246125121yes61.964735516462.814070351860.8040201005

    BothProjectNon ProjectBothProjectNon Project

    Relatives1437469Relatives58.130081300859.257.0247933884

    Friends513219Friends20.731707317125.615.7024793388

    Shopkeeper1637885Shopkeeper66.260162601662.470.2479338843

    Bank18108Bank7.317073170786.6115702479

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    project

    non project

    % Respondents

    Savings

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Expenditures

    000

    000

    non project

    project

    Both

    % of househods received loans

    39%

    37%

    38%

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respondents

    Sources of loans

    Migration by any member of the household during past 5 years

    Nil56.1

    Domestic32

    Foreign11.9

    100

    74

    26

    Karachi115

    Mardan20

    Rawalpindi24

    Other44

    Azad Kashmir10

    Lahore8

    Total221

    Saudi Arab62

    Dubai5

    Other10

    Total77

    Migrant Motivations

    Labour130

    Driver39

    Army11

    Employee44

    Unemployed10

    Study15

    Other48

    0

    0

    0

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Activities/Motivations of Migrants

  • Chart2

    115

    20

    24

    44

    10

    8

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    sources

    Sources of Cash Income

    BothProjectNon-ProjectBothProjectNon-Project

    11869195146.545.547.5

    21577681239.253840.5

    3 or more5733243 or more14.2516.512

    Annual Income

    MinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation

    primary source40008000007465889951.1983

    secondary source100080000039616.901466430.2762

    tertiary source100015000022991.379325527.5035

    Per capita income846.15123076.9210123.714110405.2284

    sources

    13.39.517

    1216.57.5

    2.32.52

    23.50.5

    25.826.525

    14.81415

    18.314.522

    10.512.58.5

    0.50.51

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    saving expenditures loan

    46.647.545.5

    15.310.520

    7.596

    3.843.5

    33.52.5

    10.3137.5

    5.838.5

    222

    44.53.5

    1.52.50.5

    0.50.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    % Respondents

    Secondry Sources of Income

    migration

    85.883.588

    5.36.54

    2.53.51.5

    0.80.51

    3.333.5

    0.310.5

    0.81.50.5

    10.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    Tertiary Source of Income

    000

    000

    000

    Non-Project

    Project

    Both

    Sources of cash income

    12%

    47%

    Non-Project 41%

    17%

    45%

    Project, 38%

    47%

    14%

    Both, 39%

    0

    0

    0

    Both

    Sources of cash income (all villages)

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no savings263129134no savings65.7564.567

    livestock351916livestock8.759.58

    cash612932cash15.2514.516

    jewelry110jewelry0.250.50

    land624land1.512

    bank deposit1147bank2.7523.5

    invest in business21147business5.2573.5

    other220other0.510

    food60

    fire/fuel wood6

    timber4

    education6

    health12

    household items4

    clothings3

    rivaj etc.5

    100

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no1517477no38.035264483637.185929648238.6934673367

    yes246125121yes61.964735516462.814070351860.8040201005

    BothProjectNon ProjectBothProjectNon Project

    Relatives1437469Relatives58.130081300859.257.0247933884

    Friends513219Friends20.731707317125.615.7024793388

    Shopkeeper1637885Shopkeeper66.260162601662.470.2479338843

    Bank18108Bank7.317073170786.6115702479

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    project

    non project

    % Respondents

    Savings

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Expenditures

    000

    000

    non project

    project

    Both

    % of househods received loans

    39%

    37%

    38%

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respondents

    Sources of loans

    Migration by any member of the household during past 5 years

    Nil56.1

    Domestic32

    Foreign11.9

    100

    74

    26

    Karachi115

    Mardan20

    Rawalpindi24

    Other44

    Azad Kashmir10

    Lahore8

    Total221

    Saudi Arab62

    Dubai5

    Other10

    Total77

    Migrant Motivations

    Labour130

    Driver39

    Army11

    Employee44

    Unemployed10

    Study15

    Other48

    0

    0

    0

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Activities/Motivations of Migrants

    Chart3

    62

    5

    10

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    sources

    Sources of Cash Income

    BothProjectNon-ProjectBothProjectNon-Project

    11869195146.545.547.5

    21577681239.253840.5

    3 or more5733243 or more14.2516.512

    Annual Income

    MinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation

    primary source40008000007465889951.1983

    secondary source100080000039616.901466430.2762

    tertiary source100015000022991.379325527.5035

    Per capita income846.15123076.9210123.714110405.2284

    sources

    13.39.517

    1216.57.5

    2.32.52

    23.50.5

    25.826.525

    14.81415

    18.314.522

    10.512.58.5

    0.50.51

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    saving expenditures loan

    46.647.545.5

    15.310.520

    7.596

    3.843.5

    33.52.5

    10.3137.5

    5.838.5

    222

    44.53.5

    1.52.50.5

    0.50.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    % Respondents

    Secondry Sources of Income

    migration

    85.883.588

    5.36.54

    2.53.51.5

    0.80.51

    3.333.5

    0.310.5

    0.81.50.5

    10.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    Tertiary Source of Income

    000

    000

    000

    Non-Project

    Project

    Both

    Sources of cash income

    12%

    47%

    Non-Project 41%

    17%

    45%

    Project, 38%

    47%

    14%

    Both, 39%

    0

    0

    0

    Both

    Sources of cash income (all villages)

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no savings263129134no savings65.7564.567

    livestock351916livestock8.759.58

    cash612932cash15.2514.516

    jewelry110jewelry0.250.50

    land624land1.512

    bank deposit1147bank2.7523.5

    invest in business21147business5.2573.5

    other220other0.510

    food60

    fire/fuel wood6

    timber4

    education6

    health12

    household items4

    clothings3

    rivaj etc.5

    100

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no1517477no38.035264483637.185929648238.6934673367

    yes246125121yes61.964735516462.814070351860.8040201005

    BothProjectNon ProjectBothProjectNon Project

    Relatives1437469Relatives58.130081300859.257.0247933884

    Friends513219Friends20.731707317125.615.7024793388

    Shopkeeper1637885Shopkeeper66.260162601662.470.2479338843

    Bank18108Bank7.317073170786.6115702479

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    project

    non project

    % Respondents

    Savings

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Expenditures

    000

    000

    non project

    project

    Both

    % of househods received loans

    39%

    37%

    38%

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respondents

    Sources of loans

    Migration by any member of the household during past 5 years

    Nil56.1

    Domestic32

    Foreign11.9

    100

    74

    26

    Karachi115

    Mardan20

    Rawalpindi24

    Other44

    Azad Kashmir10

    Lahore8

    Total221

    Saudi Arab62

    Dubai5

    Other10

    Total77

    Migrant Motivations

    Labour130

    Driver39

    Army11

    Employee44

    Unemployed10

    Study15

    Other48

    0

    0

    0

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Activities/Motivations of Migrants

  • VulnerabilityTrend (Human Factors) during past 5 yearsAt least one adult male in 43.5% of the households was unemployed

    Chart3

    4.47

    4.55

    3.83

    4.35

    Both

    1=Decrease a lot...5=Increase a lot

    Perceived trend past 5 years

    all-t-test

    TRENDS PAST 5 YEARS

    MeanS.D.T-valueSig

    ForestsProject2.220.92

    Non-Project1.660.63

    Both1.940.847.0810.00**

    Water Resources

    Project2.390.81

    Non-Project2.470.74

    Both2.430.78-1.0320.303

    Population

    Project4.510.52

    Non-Project4.430.51

    Both4.470.511.6560.099

    Price of Food

    Project4.530.61

    Non-Project4.580.5

    Both4.550.56-0.8940.372

    Conflicta Over Land

    Project2.820.66

    Non-Project30.67

    Both2.910.67-2.6950.007**

    Conflicta Over Forests

    Project2.810.61

    Non-Project3.020.74

    Both2.910.68-3.1020.002**

    Political Conflict

    Project2.860.53

    Non-Project3.130.5

    Both2.990.54-5.2930**

    Tribal Conflicts

    Project2.850.52

    Non-Project2.990.57

    Both2.910.55-2.5590.011**

    Rains/Snow

    Project2.060.82

    Non-Project2.350.87

    Both2.20.86-3.4930.001**

    Soil QualityProject2.620.81

    Non-Project2.650.76

    Both2.630.78-0.3830.702

    Diseases

    Project3.830.63

    Non-Project3.840.64

    Both3.830.63-0.1580.874

    Earthquake

    Project3.070.55

    Non-Project3.10.54

    Both3.080.54-0.4590.647

    Landslides

    Project2.990.55

    Non-Project3.050.63

    Both3.010.59-1.0130.312

    Floods

    Project2.850.72

    Non-Project2.950.59

    Both2.90.66-1.510.132

    Forest Fires

    Project2.780.81

    Non-Project2.980.95

    Both2.880.89-2.2670.024*

    crop Pest/Diseases

    Project3.570.67

    Non-Project3.680.7

    Both3.620.69-1.6050.109

    Livestock Diseases

    Project3.640.67

    Non-Project3.740.67

    Both3.690.67-1.5660.118

    Unemployment

    Project4.330.65

    Non-Project4.380.58

    Both4.350.62-0.8110.418

    Afghan Refugee

    Project2.670.72

    Non-Project2.880.5

    Both2.770.63-3.4830.001**

    Illegal Cutting (outsider)

    Project2.650.93

    Non-Project3.661.07

    Both3.151.13-10.0910**

    Illegal Cutting (villagers)

    Project2.970.98

    Non-Project3.970.92

    Both3.471.07-10.4830**

    Corruption in govt

    Project4.440.73

    Non-Project4.470.63

    Both4.460.68-0.5160.606

    TREND

    NATURAL

    ForestWaterRain/SnowSoil QualityLand slidesForest FireCrop PestLivestock PestIllegal cutting (villagers)Illegal cutting (villagers)

    decreased a lot133387225631112811

    decreased a little1811852161444782818681

    remained same651447218628420316916313083

    increased a little213339426174186192104160

    increased a lot001321036435165

    ForestWaterRain/SnowSoil QualityLand slidesForest FireCrop PestLivestock PestIllegal cutting (villagers)Illegal cutting (outsiders)

    decreased a lot33.259.5186.251.57.750.250.2572.75

    decreased a little45.2546.25543611.7520.520.2521.520.25

    remained same16.25361846.57150.7542.2540.7532.520.75

    increased a little5.258.259.7510.515.2518.546.5482640

    increased a lot000.250.750.52.5910.7512.7516.25

    natural

    TRENDS PAST 5 YEARS

    MeanS.D.T-valueSigProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    ForestsForests2.221.661.94

    Project2.220.92illeg Cut (out)2.653.663.15

    Non-Project1.660.63illegCut (vill)2.973.973.47

    Both1.940.847.0810**Forest Fires2.782.982.88

    Illegal Cutting (outsider)Conf (Forest)2.813.022.91

    Project2.650.93Pest (crop)3.573.683.62

    Non-Project3.661.07Diseese (l.s)3.643.743.69

    Both3.151.13-10.0910**Rains/Snow2.062.352.2

    Illegal Cutting (villagers)Soil Quality2.622.652.63

    Project2.970.98Water2.392.472.43

    Non-Project3.970.92

    Both3.471.07-10.4830**

    Forest Fires

    Project2.780.81

    Non-Project2.980.95

    Both2.880.89-2.2670.024*

    crop Pest/Diseases

    Project3.570.67

    Non-Project3.680.7

    Both3.620.69-1.6050.109

    Livestock Diseases

    Project3.640.67

    Non-Project3.740.67

    Both3.690.67-1.5660.118

    Conflicta Over Forests

    Project2.810.61

    Non-Project3.020.74

    Both2.910.68-3.1020.002**

    Rains/Snow

    Project2.060.82

    Non-Project2.350.87

    Both2.20.86-3.4930.001**

    Soil Quality

    Project2.620.81

    Non-Project2.650.76

    Both2.630.78-0.3830.702

    Water Resources

    Project2.390.81

    Non-Project2.470.74

    Both2.430.78-1.0320.303

    Trend (Past 12 months)

    MeanS.D.T-valueSigProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    ForestsForests2.641.872.25

    Project2.640.85Distrib of Sapling3.22.692.95

    Non-Project1.870.68Illegal Cutting3.022.242.63

    Both2.2550.76510.0340**Water3.192.93.05

    Distribution of Sapling

    Project3.20.67

    Non-Project2.690.55

    Both2.9450.618.4130**

    Illegal Cutting

    Project3.020.85

    Non-Project2.240.9

    Both2.630.8758.9840**

    Water

    Project3.190.68

    Non-Project2.90.84

    Both3.0450.761.0750.283

    Suffered During past 12 months

    MeanS.D.T-valueSigProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    Lack of woodLack of wood1.471.341.4

    Project1.471.67Animal Diseases0.840.570.7

    Non-Project1.341.7Natural Disaster0.490.40.45

    Both1.4051.685-1.5930.112

    Animal Diseases

    Project0.841.49

    Non-Project0.571.32

    Both0.7051.4050.5650.573

    Natural Disaster

    Project0.491.22

    Non-Project0.41.14

    Both0.4451.18-1.5930.112

    natural

    Project

    Non-Project

    Both

    1=Decreased a lot....5=increased a lot

    Trend (Natural Factors) in past 5 years

    human

    Project

    Non-Project

    Both

    Trend (Natural) - past 12 months

    physical

    MeanS.D.T-valueSigProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    PopulationPopulation4.514.434.47

    Project4.510.52Price of Food4.534.584.55

    Non-Project4.430.51Diseases3.833.843.83

    Both4.470.511.6560.099Unemployment4.334.384.35

    Price of Food

    Project4.530.61

    Non-Project4.580.5

    Both4.550.56-0.8940.372

    Diseases

    Project3.830.63

    Non-Project3.840.64

    Both3.830.63-0.1580.874

    Unemployment

    Project4.330.65

    Non-Project4.380.58

    Both4.350.62-0.8110.418

    House Suffered During Past 12 months

    MeanS.D.T-valueSig

    Insufficient Food

    Project1.491.43

    Non-Project1.731.52

    Both1.611.475-1.5930.112

    Illness

    Project2.261.43

    Non-Project2.171.58

    Both2.2151.5050.5650.573

    EducationHealth

    nil11.911.2

    poverty39.525.5

    too far2330.9

    poor service9.128.6

    poverty + too far10.61.3

    culture2.80

    physical

    Project

    Non-Project

    Both

    Trend (Human) past 5 years

    social

    Education

    Health

    % of respondents

    Constraints in Education & Health

    financial

    Past 12 months

    MeanS.D.T-valueSigProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    Educational ServicesEducational Services3.192.93

    Project3.190.68Health Services2.892.62.75

    Non-Project2.90.84Roads3.222.732.98

    Both3.0450.763.8840**

    Health Services

    Project2.890.61

    Non-Project2.60.58

    Both2.7450.5954.7990**

    Roads

    Project3.220.78

    Non-Project2.730.68

    Both2.9750.736.7180**

    financial

    Project

    Non-Project

    Both

    Trends (Physical) - past 12 months

    Sheet7

    Conflicta Over Land

    Project2.820.66ProjectNon-ProjectBoth

    Non-Project30.67Conflicts Over Land2.8232.91

    Both2.910.67-2.6950.007**Conflicts Over Forests2.813.022.91

    Conflicta Over ForestsPolitical Conflict2.863.132.99

    Project2.810.61Tribal Conflicts2.852.992.91

    Non-Project3.020.74

    Both2.910.68-3.1020.002**

    Political Conflict

    Project2.860.53

    Non-Project3.130.5

    Both2.990.54-5.2930**

    Tribal Conflicts

    Project2.850.52

    Non-Project2.990.57

    Both2.910.55-2.5590.011**

    Sheet7

    Project

    Non-Project

    Both

    Trends (Social) Conflicts - past 5 years

    Household suffered during past 12 months

    MeanS.D.T-valueSig

    Lack of Cash

    Project1.831.38

    Non-Project1.821.45

    Both1.8251.4150.0350.972

    Unemployment

    Project1.61.55

    Non-Project2.021.61

    Both1.811.58-2.6720.008**

    Lack of cash

    Lack of Cash

    not at all27

    to a very great extent16.5

    to great extent16.3

    to some extent27.8

    to less extent12.5

    Total

    SEASONALITY

    PrimarySecondaryTertiary

    full year75.853.341.4

    8-10 months9.87.11.7

    6 months1427.422.4

    less than 6 months0.512.332.8

    Household suffered due to lack of cash

    full year

    8-10 months

    6 months

    less than 6 months

    % of respondents

    Seasonality of Income Sources

    T-valueSig

    Forests7.0810.000**

    Illegal Cutting (outsider)-10.0910.000**

    Illegal Cutting (villagers)-10.4830.000**

    Forest Fires-2.2670.024*

    Conflicta Over Forests-3.1020.002**

    Political Conflict-5.2930.000**

    MBD002E44DA.bin

    MBD002E72F9.bin

    MBD002E8745.bin

    MBD002E5870.bin

    MBD002DB6D8.bin

  • Remittances for Subsistence

    Chart7

    60

    6

    4

    6

    12

    4

    3

    5

    Expenditures

    sources

    Sources of Cash Income

    BothProjectNon-ProjectBothProjectNon-Project

    11869195146.545.547.5

    21577681239.253840.5

    3 or more5733243 or more14.2516.512

    Annual Income

    MinimumMaximumMeanStd. Deviation

    primary source40008000007465889951.1983

    secondary source100080000039616.901466430.2762

    tertiary source100015000022991.379325527.5035

    Per capita income846.15123076.9210123.714110405.2284

    sources

    13.39.517

    1216.57.5

    2.32.52

    23.50.5

    25.826.525

    14.81415

    18.314.522

    10.512.58.5

    0.50.51

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respodents

    Primary Sources of Income

    saving expenditures loan

    46.647.545.5

    15.310.520

    7.596

    3.843.5

    33.52.5

    10.3137.5

    5.838.5

    222

    44.53.5

    1.52.50.5

    0.50.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    % Respondents

    Secondry Sources of Income

    migration

    85.883.588

    5.36.54

    2.53.51.5

    0.80.51

    3.333.5

    0.310.5

    0.81.50.5

    10.50.5

    All

    Project

    Non Project

    Tertiary Source of Income

    000

    000

    000

    Non-Project

    Project

    Both

    Sources of cash income

    12%

    47%

    Non-Project 41%

    17%

    45%

    Project, 38%

    47%

    14%

    Both, 39%

    0

    0

    0

    Both

    Sources of cash income (all villages)

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no savings263129134nil65.7564.567

    livestock351916livestock8.759.58

    cash612932cash15.2514.516

    jewelry110jewelry0.250.50

    land624land1.512

    bank deposit1147bank2.7523.5

    invest in business21147business5.2573.5

    other220other0.510

    food60

    fire/fuel wood6

    timber4

    education6

    health12

    household items4

    clothings3

    rivaj etc.5

    100

    Bothprojectnon projectBothprojectnon project

    no1517477no38.035264483637.185929648238.6934673367

    yes246125121yes61.964735516462.814070351860.8040201005

    BothProjectNon ProjectBothProjectNon Project

    Relatives1437469Relatives58.130081300859.257.0247933884

    Friends513219Friends20.731707317125.615.7024793388

    Shopkeeper1637885Shopkeeper66.260162601662.470.2479338843

    Bank18108Bank7.317073170786.6115702479

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    project

    non project

    % Respondents

    Savings

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Expenditures

    000

    000

    non project

    project

    Both

    % of househods received loans

    39%

    37%

    38%

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Both

    Project

    Non Project

    % of Respondents

    Sources of loans

    Migration by any member of the household during past 5 years

    Nil56.1

    Domestic32

    Foreign11.9

    100

    74

    26

    Karachi115

    Mardan20

    Rawalpindi24

    Other44

    Azad Kashmir10

    Lahore8

    Total221

    Saudi Arab62

    Dubai5

    Other10

    Total77

    Migrant Motivations

    Labour130

    Driver39

    Army11

    Employee44

    Unemployed10

    Study15

    Other48

    0

    0

    0

    Migration by any household member during the past 5 years

    Foreign12%

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Domestic)

    0

    0

    0

    Migrant Destinations (Foreign)

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Activities/Motivations of Migrants

  • Conclusionsmajority of the local people were not dependent on the natural resource for their cash income rather they had adopted diverse non-natural resource based activities such as migration, labour, small business etc.

    Financial livelihood concerns are not met from forests (e. g. by selling timber), but by selling labour in the context of migration.

    due to inadequate human capital (illiteracy, poor health) most of the migrants were doing minor and irregular jobs.

    Remittances are used for subsistence and thus ease-up the vulnerability to food insecurity

    The institutional changes in the agriculture and forestry sector of KPK might have had an impact on the current livelihood strategies by employing rural youth in the activities such as forest protection, new plantations etc. and thus providing a regular source of income for them.

  • Emerging Issues for Further Research

    Links between migration, rural development (interventions) and natural resource (forest) management.

    Social Networks / social capitalUses of migrants knowledge Sustainability..?

  • THANKS.!

    *Infrastructure is minimal, large family size, agricultural productivity,................... ..............social networking and tradition to support one another*