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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as ‘believes’, ‘expects’, ‘anticipates’, ‘projects’, ‘intends’, ‘should’, ‘seeks’, ‘estimates’, ‘future’ or similar expressions or by discussion of, among other things, strategy, goals, plans or intentions. Various factors may cause actual results to differ materially in the future from those reflected in forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, among others:1 pricing and product initiatives of competitors;2 legislative and regulatory developments and economic conditions; 3 delay or inability in obtaining regulatory approvals or bringing products to market; 4 fluctuations in currency exchange rates and general financial market conditions; 5 uncertainties in the discovery, development or marketing of new products or new uses of existing
products, including without limitation negative results of clinical trials or research projects, unexpected side-effects of pipeline or marketed products;
6 increased government pricing pressures; 7 interruptions in production; 8 loss of or inability to obtain adequate protection for intellectual property rights; 9 litigation;10 loss of key executives or other employees; and11 adverse publicity and news coverage.
Any statements regarding earnings per share growth is not a profit forecast and should not be interpreted to mean that Roche’s earnings or earnings per share for this year or any subsequent period will necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings or earnings per share of Roche.
For marketed products discussed in this presentation, please see full prescribing information on our website – www.roche.com
All mentioned trademarks are legally protected
2012: Financial targets fully achieved
6
Targets for 2012 FY 2012
Pharma Low to mid single-digit1 +5%
Diagnostics Above market1 +4%
Group Low to mid single-digit1 +4%
Core EPS High single-digit1 +10%
Dividend Continue attractive dividend policy
CHF 7.35 +8%
1At CER=Constant Exchange Rates 2012 dividend as proposed by the Board of Directors
2012 Highlights
7
Efficiency• Implementation of annual savings from Operational Excellence (2.4 bn CHF) • Refocus of pRED following closure of Nutley site (Group R&D stable)• Adjustment of cost structure of Applied Science and Diabetes Care
Innovation • 11 out of 14 trials successful • HER2 franchise strengthened through Perjeta and T-DM1• Emerging pipeline to secure MabThera/Rituxan franchise• US launch of next-generation Accu-Chek portfolio
2012: Sales growth above market
8CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2012 2011 change in %CHF bn CHF bn CHF CER
Pharmaceuticals Division 35.2 32.8 +7 +5
Diagnostics Division 10.3 9.7 +5 +4
Roche Group 45.5 42.5 +7 +4
2012: +4%
2012: Sales growth accelerating1
9At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
-3%-5%
0% 0%
1%
4%2%
6%
4%6%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
Q3'10
Q4'10
Q1'11
Q2'11
Q3'11
Q4'11
Q1'12
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
2012: US and Emerging markets driving growth
10
-2%
2%
7%
8%
11%
15%
WE
Japan
US
CEMAI
LatinAmerica
Asia
-1%
7%
3%
15%
15%
EMEA
Japan
NorthAmerica
LatinAmerica
Asia-Pacific
Pharma DiagnosticsGrowth vs. market Growth vs. market
All growth rates at CER=Constant Exchange Rates; CEMAI=Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Central Asia, Indian Subcontinent; EMEA=Europe, Middle East and Africa. Source: IMS, company and independent estimates
Group core operating profit and margin
15.0716.27 16.59
15.15
17.16
33.0% 33.2%34.9% 35.6%
37.7%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
+11%1
1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2012: Operating profit and marginfurther increased
11
CHF bn
% of sales
2012: Cash flow and margin further increased
12
12.4
15.714.1 13.7
15.4
27.1%
32.1%29.8%
32.3%33.8%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Group operating free cash flow and margin
+10%1
CHF bn
% of sales
1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2012: Dividend further increased
13
2.002.50
3.40
4.605.00
6.006.60 6.80
7.35
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
CHF
1 compound annual growth rate
2012payout ratio
of 54%
Pay-out ratio calculated as dividend per share divided by core earnings per share (diluted); 2012 as proposed by the Board of Directors
Average yearly dividend growth (2004-2012): 18%
2012: Strong progression of pipeline11 successful late-stage clinical trials
15Positive trials
2012
ActemraADACTAActemraADACTA
AvastinTML
AvastinTML
ActemraCHERISHActemraCHERISH
dalcetrapibdal-OUTCOMES
dalcetrapibdal-OUTCOMES
AvastinAURELIAAvastin
AURELIA
MabThera SCSABRINA
MabThera SCSABRINA
AvastinBEATRICE
AvastinBEATRICE
ActemraSUMMACTA
ActemraSUMMACTA
AvastinAVAGLIOAvastin
AVAGLIOT-DM1EMILIAT-DM1EMILIA
aleglitazarAleNEPHROaleglitazar
AleNEPHRO
ActemraBREVACTA
ActemraBREVACTA
ActemraFUNCTIONActemra
FUNCTION
HerceptinHERA 2 yrsHerceptinHERA 2 yrs
dual PI3 kinase/mTORsolid tumours
2013: A rich year for late-stage enabling studiesMajor up-coming decision points
16
EGFR ADCC MAb (GA201)solid tumours
OncologyNeuroscience
MetabolismOphthalmology
PI3 kinase solid tumours
Anti-EGFL7solid tumours
Anti-PCSK9metabolic diseases
crenezumabAlzheimer's
mGluR5 antagonisttreatment-resistant depression
Anti-factor Dgeographic atrophy
mGluR2 antagonisttreatment-resistant depression
Anti-PD-L1solid tumours
etrolizumabulcerative colitis
Immunology
inclacumab (P selectin MAb)ACS/CVD
onartuzumab (MetMAb)NSCLC
ocrelizumabMS
MEKimelanoma
obinutuzumab (GA101)CLL
T-DM1HER2+ BC
bitopertinschizophrenia
aleglitazarmetabolic diseases
lebrikizumabasthma
Ph III NMEs Late stage enabling data expected in 2013
gantenerumab*Alzheimer’s
HCV comboHepC
Virology
*Phase II/III label enabling
2013 R&D to remain stable
2013 Outlook
171At constant exchange rates
Group sales growth1 In line with sales growth recorded in 2012
Core EPS growth1 Ahead of sales growth
Dividend outlook Further increase dividend
2012: Pharma salesUS and International major growth contributors
20
2012 2011 change in %CHF m CHF m CHF CER
Pharmaceuticals Division 35,232 32,794 7 5United States 13,856 12,223 13 7
Western Europe 7,926 8,221 -4 -2
Japan 4,108 3,817 8 2
International 9,342 8,533 9 9
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2012: Pharma Division Profit margin improvement driven by higher sales
21
Sales 35,232 100.0
Royalties & other op inc 1,794 5.1Cost of sales -7,097 -20.1M & D -5,851 -16.6R & D -7,529 -21.4G & A -1,061 -3.0
Core operating profit 15,488 44.0
2012 vs. 2011CER growth
2012CHF m % sales
13%
-3%
2%
2%
-3%
18%
5%
+16% in CHF
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Major clinical and regulatory news flow
22
Timeline Compound Indication Milestone
Avastin mCRC Ph III TML
2012
Perjeta 1st line HER2+ mBC US approval EU approval
Erivedge advanced BCC US approval EU approval (2012/13)
Zelboraf metastatic melanoma EU approval
Lucentis DME US approval
T-DM1 2nd line HER2+ mBC Ph III EMILIA
Herceptin subcutaneous early HER2+ BC Ph III HANNAH (data presentation)
Herceptin adjuvant HER2+ BC Ph III HERA 2 years vs. 1 year
MabThera subcutaneous front-line follicular NHL Ph III
Actemra RA DMARD IR Ph III ADACTA H2H vs. Humira
Actemra subcutaneous RA, moderate to severe Ph III SUMMACTA BREVACTA
Avastin newly diagnosed glioblastoma Ph III AVAglio
2013
dalcetrapib Atherosclerosis CV risk red. 2nd interim analysis in H1 2012
GA101 Front line CLL Ph III vs. chemotherapy
bitopertin (GlyT-1) Schizophrenia Ph III
Oncology and CV outcome studies are event driven, timelines may change
Data expected in 2014
2012: Pharma salesOncology, Actemra and Pegasys main growth drivers
2424Absolute amounts in CHF m at Constant Exchange Rates (CER) average 2011; all growth rates at CER
-600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800
Boniva/Bonviva
NeoRecormon/Epogin
Lucentis
CellCept
Pegasys
Zelboraf
Actemra/RoActemra
Avastin
MabThera/Rituxan
Herceptin
InternationalUSJapanWestern Europe
+11%
+9%
+6%
+33%
NM
-11%
-26%
+12%
-8%
-54%
2012: Oncology franchise Strong growth of established products
25
CER growth
CER=Constant Exchange Rates Oncology 2012 sales: CHF 21.3 bn
WE: Uptake in 1st L mut+ segment not yet compensating for pressure in 2nd L wt. US: 1st L mut+ filed end 2012.Growth driven mostly by US, China and Japan
Growth driven mainly by US, China and other Int’l regions; US supply of IV 5FU normalised
EU: Launch in ovarian cancer, increased share in LC and BCJapan: strong uptake in CRC, NSCLC and mBC
EU, US: Continued uptake in 1st L maintenance in FL Emerging markets: increased share and treatment duration in DLBCL
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
Tarceva
Xeloda
Avastin
Herceptin
MabThera/Rituxan +9%
+11%
+9%
+6%
+2%
CHF bn
US, Emerging markets main growth contributor; Increased HER2 testing and further uptake in HER2+ gastric cancer;SC Herceptin approval delayed at least one quarter, CHMPopinion now expected in Q2 2013
AvastinTurnaround driven by ovarian and colorectal cancer
26
ColorectalTML launch underway, offsetting competitive pressure Market share gains in EU and Japan
LungAvastin remains the standard of careMarket share gains in Japan
OvarianBest ever Avastin launch in EU. ~35% EU4 NPS in front line
BrainAVAglio met PFS co-primary endpoint. EU filing Q1 ‘13Current US glioblastoma sales ~USD 170 m
BreastFurther adoption in triple-negative segment in EU
NPS=New Patient Share
2012: Oncology franchiseNew products
27
• Good launch in US• Positive CHMP opinion in Dec ’12
• US: Market fully penetrated at ~85% 1st line NPS • WE: More than half of global sales, main growth region in 2013• Ph III in combination with MEKi started
• US: Broad prescriber base, need for education on disease definition and eligibility
• EU: Approval expected in 2013
• US PDUFA 26 February 2013, EU H2 2013• MARIANNE study data expected H1 2014
(based on current event rate)
NPS=New Patient Share
Perjeta: Encouraging launch in the US
28
Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13
US Perjeta weekly volume
• Q4 in-market demand grew by 53% over Q3
• ~75% physicians prescribing the drug
• Further increasing patient share
200
300
400
500
Q1'10
Q2'10
Q3'10
Q4'10
Q1'11
Q2'11
Q3'11
Q4'11
Q1'12
Q2'12
Q3'12
Q4'12
LucentisCompetitive pressure in wAMD
29AMD=wet age-related macular degeneration; RVO=retinal vein occlusion; DME=diabetic macular edema; NPS=New Patient Share
AMD • 0.5 mg PRN dosing approval expected
February 2013• Further pressure on AMD sales
expected in 2013, partially offset by DME
RVO• Lucentis share stable
DME• Approved in August 2012 (0.3 mg)• Strong increase in patient share
Lucentis quarterly sales (USD m)
EyleawAMD
LucentisDME
PegasysGrowth contribution to shift from US to Emerging markets
30
US• High base-line in H2 2011 • Patient warehousing ahead of
all-oral therapyWestern Europe• Slower adoption of new
combination therapies• Early warehousing observedJapan• Overall HCV market shrinkingInternational region• Main growth driver in 2013,
including HBV
US Pegasys weekly volume
DAA launch
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13
Actemra: Superiority in monotherapy (ADACTA) drives market share growth
31
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Q1'09
Q3'09
Q1'10
Q3'10
Q1'11
Q3'11
Q1'12
Q3'12
Actemra market sharein monotherapy segment2
30%
70%
Biologic monotherapyBiologic combination
Biologic therapy today(patient shares)1
• 1st line biologic use approved in US October 2012• Subcutaneous formulation filed in US and EU December 2012
1Data from biologics registries and US claims database; 2Market share for DE, FR, IT, ESP, UK, predefined target groups
2012: Emerging markets remain strong growth driver
32
Brazil+11%
China+27%
Russia+14%
2012 International region: +9%Tailor-made access programs to continue supporting growth
All growth at CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2013: Major clinical and regulatory news flow
34Outcome studies are event driven, timelines may change
Compound Indication Milestone
Regulatory
Avastin mCRC (TML) US EU approval
Avastin Newly diagnosed glioblastoma EU filing
Erivedge Advanced BCC EU approval
Herceptin subcutaneous HER2-positive BC EU approval
Lucentis AMD PRN US approval
Perjeta 1st line HER2-positive mBC EU approval
Tarceva EGFR mut+ 1st line NSCLC US approval
T-DM1 2nd line HER2-positive mBC US, EU approval
Phase III
obinutuzumab (GA101) Front line CLL Ph III
Tarceva Adjuvant NSCLC Ph III RADIANT
Xolair Chronic idiopathic urticaria Ph III
2013: Major late-stage enabling studies
35
Compound Indication
Phase II
crenezumab Alzheimer’s disease
Anti-EGFL7 Solid tumours
EGFR ADCC (GA201) Solid tumours
etrolizumab Ulcerative colitis
Anti-factor D Geographic atrophy
HCV combo Hepatitis C
inclacumab (P selectin Mab) ACS/CVD
mGluR2 antagonist Treatment-resistant depression
mGluR5 antagonist Treatment-resistant depression
Anti-PCSK9 Metabolic diseases
Anti-PD-L1 Solid tumours
PI3 kinase Solid tumours
Dual PI3 kinase/mTOR Solid tumours
Outcome studies are event driven, timelines may change
OutlookSustained sales growth with significant newsflow
36
Sales drivers• Avastin growth driven by Emerging markets and Europe (OC, TML)• Herceptin, MabThera/Rituxan continuing growth• Newly launched products (Perjeta, Zelboraf, Erivedge, T-DM1)• Actemra further increasing market share in monotherapy• Emerging markets
Newsflow• GA101 vs. MabThera/Rituxan in CLL, Ph III• T-DM1 approval in US and EU• Perjeta launch in EU• Significant number of late-stage enabling Ph II studies
38
2012: Professional Diagnostics main growth driver
Refining Diabetes Care and Applied Science
Companion Diagnostics
2011 2012 CHF in %CHF m CHF m growth CER
2012: Diagnostics Division sales Sustained growth above the market*
39
Diagnostics Division 9,737 10,267 5% 4%
Professional Diagnostics 4,709 5,165 10% 8%Diabetes Care 2,652 2,566 -3% -4%Molecular Diagnostics 1,094 1,168 7% 4%Applied Science 740 737 0% -3%Tissue Diagnostics 542 631 16% 12%
*IVD market growth estimated at 3% as of end Oct 2012 by independent IVD consultancy; CER=Constant Exchange Rates
2012: Profitability impact from pricing pressures in Diabetes Care
40
2012 vs. 2011CER growth
2012 CHF m % sales
Sales 10,267 100.0
Royalties & other op income 151 1.4Cost of sales (CoS) -4,347 -42.3M & D -2,541 -24.7R & D -946 -9.2G & A -397 -3.9
Core operating profit 2,187 21.3 -2%
21%
4%
4%
6%
14%
4%
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
0% in CHF
Key launches 2012
41
Area Product Market BA1
Instruments/
Devices
Labs cobas t 611 - Coagulation analyzer BenchMark Special Stains - Tissue stainerVENTANA iScan HT - Digital tissue scanner
EUWWEU, US
RPDRTDRTD
Point of Care
cobas b 101 - HbA1c and lipid monitoring systemcobas b 123 POC - Blood gas analyzer
EUUS
RPDRPD
Diabetes Care
Accu-Chek Nano SmartView -Small, no-code bGM2systemAccu-Chek Combo – Insulin pump & bG meter combinedAccu-Chek Mobile – Next generation strip free bGM systemSOLO Micropump – Insulin pump and bG meter combined
USUSEUEU
RDCRDCRDCRDC
Tests /Assays
Oncology HE4 - Ovarian cancerER – Breast cancerCINtec p16 Histology- Cervical cancerGS GType Sequencing Primer Sets- Leukemia
USUSWWWW
RPDRTDRTDRAS
Infectious Diseases
CMV – Cytomegalovirus infectionsCT/NG - Chlamydia and gonorrhoea infections
USUS
RMDRMD
Metabolism Vitamin D - Vitamin D2 & D3 US RPD
Achieve sales growth above the market
1 Business Areas. RPD: Roche Professional Diagnostics; RDC: Roche Diabetes Care; RMD: Roche Molecular Diagnostics;RAS: Roche Applied Science; RTD: Roche Tissue Diagnostics; 2 blood glucose monitoring
North America+3%
26% of divisional sales
Latin America+15%
8% of divisional sales
Japan+7%
6% of divisional salesEMEA1
-1%
46% of divisional sales
2012: Diagnostics Division sales Market leader in all regions
42
Asia Pacific+15%
14% of divisional sales
1Europe, Middle East and Africa; 2Brazil, China, India, Mexico, Russia, South Korea, Turkey All growth at CER=Constant Exchange Rates)
17 % growth in E7 countries2
2012: Growth driven by Professional Diagnostics
43
CHF bn 2012 vs. 2011CER growth
+8%
-4%
+4%
-3%
+12%
Launch of LightCycler 96 qPCR system; Partnership with PSS for automation of sequencing workflow
Cobas HPV Test: Registration of primary screening indication in CE Mark; Gaining traction in US market
US launch of Accu-Chek Combo system, an insulin pump & bG meter combination
FDA approval for HE4 test for ovarian cancer diagnosis; Launch of cobas b 101 HbA1c and lipid monitoring system
Companion Diagnostics (CDx): Launch of ALK test in EMEA as CDx with crizotinib in non-small cell lung cancer
EMEA=Europe, Middle East and Africa; CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Q4 Highlights
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tissue Dia
AppliedScience
MolecularDia
DiabetesCare
ProfessionalDia
EMEANorth AmericaRoW
Professional Diagnostics: Industry leader growing twice as fast as the market
44
Reagent pull-through model
2012• Instrument placements in SWA1:+13%• Expanded immunoassay menu with >100 tests
1Serum Work Area: Immunoassays and Clinical Chemistry;2RPD=Roche Professional Diagnostics; Market estimates from independent IVD consultancy, Q4 2012 forward estimate;
RPD2 sales vs. market growth (%)
20122011
FY 2012: 8%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
MarketRPD
Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1 Q4
Professional Diagnostics: ImmunoassaysInvesting in high growth areas
45
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2000 2012
+15%
New production facility in Penzberg• Invest over CHF 240 m • Capacity expansion of
immunoassay production facilities
Over a decade of consecutive double-digit growth
CHF bn
Roche and Hitachi -35 years of partnership• Securing increasing supply
of cobas instruments
Expanding capacity
All growth at CER=Constant Exchange Rates
RPD: Strengthening presence in Point of CareStrong business with new launches in 2012
46
Operating room
Hospital wards
Hos
pita
l
Home
Accu-Chek Inform II system
cobas b 123 POC system
• Next generation wireless hospital blood glucosemonitoring system
• Blood gas testing (lung function, kidney or metabolism disorders)
New PoC product launchesPoC testing site
Market-leading PoC product line
• Coagulation monitoring – continuing strong business with sales growth +8% (CER)
CoaguChek systems
RPD=Roche Professional Diagnostics
Physician office
• Targeting diabetes and dyslipidemia(metabolic syndrome)
cobas b 101 system
47
2012: Professional Diagnostics main growth driver
Refining Diabetes Care and Applied Science
Companion Diagnostics
Diabetes CareStrong presence with a comprehensive portfolio
48
Next-generation Accu-Chek Mobile
Next-generation Accu-Chek Active
Integrated systems
Prem
ium
Single strip
bGM products with selected examples
Bas
e
• Strip-free and built in lancing device
• Best fit for frequent testers
No existing market segment
• Ease of use• Maltose
independent strips
• Precise insulin dosing with bolus advisor
• Built-in software for diabetes management solutions
Accu-ChekAviva Expert
Applied Science: Focus and invest in selectareas with high growth potential
49
qPCRLaunch of LightCycler 96 System • Completes Roche’s real time PCR portfolio• Innovative features combined with ease of use• Very successful market launch
Sequencing solutions• Software upgrade for GS FLX+ platform • Partnership with PSS for improvement of
sequencing workflow• Launch of Sequence Capture Neurology and
Oncology panels
LightCycler 96
GS FLX+ platform
50
2012: Professional Diagnostics main growth driver
Refining Diabetes Care and Applied Science
Companion Diagnostics
Tissue Diagnostics: SPHERE Project in ChinaCDx collaboration for HER 2 testing & Herceptin
51
PATHWAY (4B5) IHC
INFORM Dual ISH
BenchMark automatedslide staining platform CER growth
20122011
849
2385
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Instrument placements and sales growthfor all advanced tissue staining tests
Integrated HER 2 testingexpands patient access to Herceptin
Patients starting therapy
32
58
103123
240%
158%
101%
2009 2010 2011 2012AS placements AS assays sales
Key launches 2013
52
Area Product Market BA1
Instruments/
Devices
Labs cobas 8100 – Next generation modular pre-analytics EU RPD
Life Sciences
GS FLX+ long amplicons- Software for long read targeted sequencing WW RAS
Diabetes Care
Accu-Chek Insight- Next generation insulin pump & bGm2
systemAccu-Chek Active LCM- Next-generation bGm2 meter with maltose independent test strips
EU
EU
RDC
RDC
Tests/Assays
Oncology Calcitonin – Medullary thyroid cancerproGRP- Small cell lung cancerCINtec PLUS Cytology- Cervical pre-cancerER- Breast cancerEGFR- Lung cancer
EUEUEUUS US
RPDRPDRTDRTDRMD
Infectious Diseases
MPX 2.0 – Next generation blood screening multiplex test for HIV, HCV & HBVCAP/CTM HCV 2.0 – Next generation HCV viral load test
USUS
RMDRMD
Transplant Cyclosporin, Tacrolimus – immunosuppressive drug monitoring EU RPD
Sequencing SeqCap EZ Reagent Kits - Targeted next gen. sequencing WW RAS
1 Business Areas. RPD: Roche Professional Diagnostics; RDC: Roche Diabetes Care; RMD: Roche Molecular Diagnostics;RAS: Roche Applied Science; RTD: Roche Tissue Diagnostics; 2 blood glucose monitoring
OutlookSustained sales growth driven by leading IVD business
53
Drivers
• Further growth of installed base • Expansion of test menu• Emerging markets• Stabilise Diabetes Care• Increasing CDx collaborations
2012: Highlights
56
Core EPS +10%1
• Sales translating into profit
Productivity improvements on track
Cash flow and Balance sheet• Net debt / Total assets: 16%• Operating FCF: 10% CER growth (+12% in CHF)• FCF: +15% CER growth (+19% in CHF)
1 CER = Constant Exchange Rates
Dividend• Increased for the 26th consecutive year: from CHF 6.80 to CHF 7.35 (+8%)
Sales 42,531 45,499 +7 +4Core operating profit 15,149 17,160 +13 +11
as % of sales 35.6 37.7Core net income 10,685 11,878 +11 +10
as % of sales 25.1 26.1Attributable to Roche shareholders 10,470 11,643 +11 +10
Core EPS (CHF) 12.30 13.62 +11 +10
Operating free cash flow 13,733 15,389 +12 +10% of sales 32.3 33.8 +1.5 p
Free cash flow 3,904 4,630 +19 +15% of sales 9.2 10.2 +1.0 p
2012: Group performance Core EPS growth +10%1
57
CHF m % Change2011 2012 CHF CER
1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates
15,149
16,809
-763
+1,704Productivity
improvements1
Sales growthCore
OperatingProfit2012
@ FY11Fx rates
CoreOperating
Profit2011
@ FY11Fx rates
Pricing pressure• Diabetes Care• Japan price cuts• EU austerity
+11%
+719
2012: Sales growth as main operating profit contributor
58
CHF m
1 Includes CHF ~170 m higher royalty, out-licensing income & other (net)
11%
6%
2%
3%
0%
17%
4%
2012: Group operating performance Sales main profit growth driver
59
+13% in CHF
Higher royalty and product disposal income
Lower manufacturing costs
Better utilisation of existing infrastructure
Stable R&D
IT systems
Major driversSales
Royalties & other op. inc
Cost of salesM & D
R & D
G & A
Core operating profit
2012 vs. 2011CER growth
Driven by growth in Oncology and IVD businessStrong US and Emerging markets
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Admin:+2%
16,59114,776
2,202
15,14913,406
2,178
17,16015,488
2,187
Roche Group Pharma Division Diagnostics Division
34.9% 35.6% 37.7% 39.9% 40.9% 44.0%
21.1% 22.4% 21.3%
2012: Core operating profit and marginStrong margin increase led by Pharma
60
CHF m % of sales
+2.2 %p1
(+2.1 %p)
-1.4 %p1
(-1.1 %p)
+3.4 %p1
(+3.1 %p)
-2 %1
(0 %)
+13 %1
(+16 %)
+11 %1
(+13 %)
2011 20122010
1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates CER
Restructuring in 2012
61
Reinvestments and P&L impact
Net SavingsRestructuring costs
885 920
510
49110
110
396410
190
~1,440
~810
Thereof cash out
Net Savings
FY 2012 FY 2012+One-time costs
CHF m
240
190
DiagnosticsPharma IT
R&D & Diagnostics
reinvestment
P&Lsavings
~430
~150370
20190
~580*
1,330
Offsetting price pressures in RDC and investment in RAS
Reinvestment in pipeline
* 2013 CHF 500 m, 2014+ CHF +80 m
2012: Core net financial resultLower interest expenses, higher losses from fx & bond redemptions
62
-1,581 -1,581 -1,690 -1,777 -1,816 -1,797 -1,797 -1,802
-109-87
-39 -26 +45 -5
-2'000-1'800-1'600-1'400-1'200-1'000
-800-600-400-200
0
CHF m
Net interest & debtsecurityincome
Bondredemption2011 2012
Interestexpense
Fx result,net
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
All other,net
Equitygains
Increase of 14% in CHF / 9% at CER
21.3 ,21.3,22.7 22.7
+1.5 -0.1
in %
Other2011 2012Higher core profit contribution
from US
2012: Group Core Tax Rate Higher core profit contribution from the US
63
Implications of IAS 19 Employee Benefit accounting change - effective 2013
64
Balance sheet
Net financial income
2012 2013
Actuarialgains/losses
P&L return on plan assets
Booked against equity alreadyNo impact on P&L or balance sheet
Expected return on plan assets
Net financing chargeDiscount rate applied to
net funding position
Impact
No impact
Impact on Core EPS expected to be <1%
CHF161m additional expense
pre-tax (2012)
Restated figures for 2012 will be provided ahead of HY 2013 results
31 December 2012: Balance sheetEquity ratio up due to strong net income
66
33.3 33.4
16.9 17.4
11.3 14.0
14.5 16.7
30.9 27.9
16.2 20.2
Non-currentassets
Assets Equity & liabilities
Non-currentliabilities
Equity(Net assets)
Other currentassets
Cash andmarketablesecurities
Currentliabilities
CHF bn
64.8 64.861.6
24% 26%
54%
28%
18%
51%
27%
22%
50% 43%
26% 31%
61.6
31/12/11 31/12/12 31/12/11 31/12/12
+28 %
+6 %
+3 %
+27 %
-7 %
+19 %
+8 % +8 %
% change in CER vs 31/12/11
% change in CER vs 31/12/11
CER=Constant Exchange Rates
Total equity increasing since Genentech transaction
67
53.8
9.4 11.714.5 16.7
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Genentechtransaction
71%
13%19%
24%26%
Total equity(CHF bn)
Equity ratio
Aiming for net debt leverage of 0-15%Still highly leveraged
68
32.5
23.9 27.519.2 18.0 15.6 17.3
10.6
76.6 74.6
61.0 61.055.3
61.6 59.664.8
HY 2009 2009 HY 2010 2010 HY 2011 2011 HY 2012 2012
Net debtCHF bn
Total assetsCHF bn
Net debt /Total assets
42%
32%
45%
31%
32%
25%
29%
16%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2035 2039
USD EUR CHF GBP
FY 2012: Debt maturity profile52% of Genentech related debt repaid
69Nominal values @ actual FX rates; *Original net proceeds in CHF
Of the CHF 48.2bn bonds and notes issued to finance the Genentech transaction, cumulative 24.8bn have been repaid as of December 31, 2012 *
CHF bn
Tender ofEUR 782m
Early repayment in 2013Repayments in 2012
Tender ofEUR 193m
Tender ofEUR 650m
Refinancing in Q1/2012
Call ofUSD 1.75bn
Strong Operating Free Cash Flow & Free Cash Flow
71
14.1 13.715.4
4.7 3.9 4.6
29.8%
32.3%33.8%
2010 2011 2012
+10%1
CHF bn
OFCF margin(% of sales)
1 CER=Constant Exchange Rates
OperatingFCF
FCF
+15%1
14,14912,933
1,634
13,733 12,914
1,259
15,38914,052
1,826
Roche Group Pharma Division Diagnostics Division
29.8%32.3%
33.8% 34.9%
39.4% 39.9%
15.7%12.9%
17.8%
Operating Free Cash FlowStrong cash generation in both divisions
72
% of sales
+4.9 %p1
(+4.9 %p)
+43 %1
(+45 %)
+7 %1
(+9 %)
+10 %1
(+12 %)
2011 20122010
1 At CER=Constant Exchange Rates CER
CHF m
+1.7 %p1
(+1.5 %p)
+0.8 %p1
(+0.5 %p)
Accounts receivable in Southern EuropeSignificantly reduced
73
B-BB
BBB+
BBB-
EUR m
Sovereign country ratings from Standard & Poor’s, as of 11January 2013
2'021
850
805
172
194
1'521
500
678
135
208
0 200 400 600 800 1'000 1'200 1'400 1'600 1'800 2'000 2'200
Southern EuropeanCountries
Spain
Italy
Portugal
GreeceDec 2012Dec 2011
-25%
Moderate currency impact in 2013 expected
75
Q1 HY Sep YTD
FY
Sales -2 -2 -3 -2
Core operating profit
-2 -3
Core EPS -3 -4
Assuming the 31 Dec 2012 exchange rates remain stable until end of 2013, 2013 impact is expected to be (%p):
0.94 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.970.980.94 0.96 0.94 0.920.930.94
0.890.91 0.88
0.94
J F M A M J J A S O N D
CHF / USD
1.21 1.21 1.21 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21
1.27
1.231.24
1.29
J F M A M J J A S O N D
CHF / EUR
averageYTD 2011
-2%+2% +7% +6%
-6%-5%
-3% -2%
averageYTD 2012
Monthly avg fx rates 2012
2013 Outlook
761At constant exchange rates
Group sales growth1 In line with sales growth recorded in 2012
Core EPS growth1 Ahead of sales growth
Dividend outlook Further increase dividend
7878
Roche Group development pipeline
Marketed products development programmes
Roche Pharma global development programmes
Roche Pharma research and early development
Genentech research and early development
Roche Group 2012 results
Diagnostics
Foreign exchange rate information
Phase I (36 NMEs+2 AIs)
CIF/MEK inh solid tumorsRG7167
Raf & MEK dual inh solid tumorsRG7304
PD-L1 MAb solid tumorsRG7446
BACE1 inh Alzheimer’s RG7129
GABRA5 NAM cogn. disordersRG1662
MEK inh solid tumorsRG7420AKT inhibitor solid tumorsRG7440
GIP/GLP-1 dual ago type 2 diabetesRG7697
PI3K inh solid tumorsRG7604
Steap 1 ADC prostate ca.RG7450ADC ovarian ca.RG7458
CD44 MAb solid tumorsRG7356
ALK inhibitor NSCLCRG7853PI3K inh solid tumorsCHU
Bcl-2 inh CLL and NHLRG7601
ADC ADC oncologyRG7599
ChK1 inh solid tum & lymphomaRG7602
Tweak MAb oncologyRG7212V1 receptor antag autism RG7314
ADC ADC multiple myelomaRG7598
Oncology Other disease areas
WT-1 peptide cancer vaccineCHU
IL-6 MAb RACHU
Status as of December 31, 2012
MDM2 ant solid & hem tumorsRG7112HER3 MAb solid tumorsRG7116CSF-1R MAb solid tumorsRG7155
MDM2 ant solid & hem tumorsRG7388
Zelboraf + ipilimumab met. melanomaRG7204
IL-17 MAb autoimmune diseases RG7624
TLR7 agonist HBVRG7795
ADC ADC oncologyRG7600
Lucentis sust. deliv. AMD/RVO/DMERG3645
Roche Group development pipeline
79
ADC metastatic melanomaRG7636PI3k inh glioblastoma 2L RG7666ChK1 inh(2) solid tumorsRG7741
CIM331 atopic dermatitis CHU
ACE910 hemophilia ACHU
New Molecular Entity (NME)Additional Indication (AI)
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolismNeuroscienceOphthalmologyOthers
RG-No Roche Genentech managedCHU Chugai managed
PDE10A inh schizophrenia RG7203
Ang2-VEGF MAb oncologyRG7221
Phase II (23 NMEs + 14 Als)
Phase III(9 NMEs + 23 Als)
Registration(3 NMEs + 7 Als)
1 US only: ongoing evaluation for FDA submission 2 Submitted in EU3 Approved in US, submitted in EU4 Approved in EU, submitted in US5 Submitted in US* Opt-in opportunity from SeaSide Therapeutics
New Molecular Entity (NME) Additional Indication (AI)
RG-No Roche Genentech managedCHU Chugai managedSST Seaside Therapeutics (opt-in) RG105 MabThera is branded as
Rituxan in US and JapanRG1569 Actemra is branded as
RoActemra in EU
onartuzumab NSCLC 2nd/3rd lineRG3638
Perjeta HER2+ early BC RG1273
Avastin ovarian cancer 1st lineRG4351
Xolair chronic idiopathic urticariaRG3648
Avastin HER2+ BC adjRG435
Avastin NSCLC adjRG435
bitopertin schiz neg symptomsRG1678
Avastin HER2-neg. BC adjRG435
Avastin high risk carcinoidRG435Avastin glioblastoma 1st lineRG435
aleglitazar CV risk red post ACS in T2D RG1439
obinutuzumab iNHL relapsedRG7159
Tarceva NSCLC adjRG1415
Actemra early RA RG1569
T-DM1 HER2+ mBC 1st lineRG3502
obinutuzumab CLLRG7159
ocrelizumab RMSRG1594
bitopertin schiz subopt controlRG1678
obinutuzumab DLBCLRG7159obinutuzumab iNHL front-lineRG7159
tofogliflozin (SGLT2) type 2 diabetesCHU
ocrelizumab PPMSRG1594
T-DM1 HER2+ mBC 3rd lineRG3502
Suvenyl enthesopathyCHU
lebrikizumab severe asthmaRG3637
Avastin ovarian cancer platinum resist.RG4351
arbaclofen fragile X syndrome SST*
Perjeta HER2+ mBC 1st lineRG12733
Herceptin HER2+ BC sc formRG5972
Erivedge advanced BCCRG36163
Lucentis AMD 0.5 mg PRN RG36455
Tarceva NSCLC EGFR mut 1st lineRG14154
MabThera ANCA assoc vasculRG1053
MabThera NHL sc formulationRG1052
Actemra polyarticular JIA RG1569
T-DM1 HER2+ pretreated mBCRG3502
Perjeta HER2+ mBC 2nd lineRG1273
Zelboraf papillary thyroid cancerRG7204
mericitabine HCVRG7128
onartuzumab triple-neg mBC, 1st/2nd lineRG3638onartuzumab mCRC 1st lineRG3638
danoprevir HCVRG7227
mGluR5 antag tx resistant depressionRG7090
inclacumab (P selectin MAb) ACS/CVDRG1512
quilizumab (M1 prime MAb) asthmaRG7449
etrolizumab ulcerative colitisRG7413
anti-factor D Fab geographic atrophyRG7417
EGFL7 MAb solid tumorsRG7414
crenezumab Alzheimer‘sRG7412
MAO-B inh Alzheimer’s RG1577
EGFR MAb solid tumorsRG7160
mGluR2 antag depressionRG1578
PI3K/mTOR inh solid & hem tumorsRG7422
setrobuvir HCVRG7790
Perjeta HER2+ gastric cancerRG1273
PI3K inh solid tumorsRG7321
glypican-3 MAb liver cancerRG7686Actemra systemic sclerosisRG1569
HER3/EGFR m. epithelial tumorsRG7597
onartuzumab NSCLC non squamous 1st lRG3638
PCSK9 MAb metabolic diseasesRG7652
onartuzumab NSCLC squamous 1st line RG3638onartuzumab glioblastoma 2nd line RG3638
Erivedge operable BCCRG3616
onartuzumab gastric cancerRG3638
T-DM1 HER2+ early BCRG3502T-DM1 HER2+ gastric cancerRG3502
CD22 ADC hem tumorsRG7593CD79b ADC hem tumorsRG7596
Zelboraf m. melanoma adjRG7204
Roche Group development pipeline
80
gantenerumab Alzheimer’sRG1450
aleglitazar CV risk red CVD in T2D/ pre-T2DRG1439
Status as of December 31, 2012
bitopertin obsessive compulsive disorderRG1678
rontalizumab systemic lupus erythemRG7415
arbaclofen autism (ASD)SST*
- CMV RG7667
MEK inh combo Zelboraf m. melanomaRG7421
Actemra RA sc formulationRG1569
aleglitazar type 2 diabetesRG1439
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolismNeuroscienceOphthalmology
Changes to the development pipelineQ4 2012 update
81
New to Phase I New to Phase II New to Phase III New to Registration2 NMEs transitioned from Ph0RG7221 ANG2-VEGF huMAboncologyRG7203 PDE10A inh schizophrenia1 NME changed from Chugaimanaged to Roche managedRG7853 ALK inhibitor NSCLC
1 NME transitioned from Ph1RG7667 in cytomegalovirusinfection (CMV)New AIRG1678 bitopertin obsessive compulsive disorder
1 NME transitioned from Ph1 RG7421 MEK inhibitor in combination with Zelboraf solid tumors 1 AI transitioned from Ph2RG3638 onartuzumab gastric cancer2 new AIsRG1439 aleglitazar type 2 diabetesRG1439 aleglitazar CV risk red CVD patients with type 2 diabetes/pre-type 2 diabetes
1AI following US submissionRG1415 Tarceva NSCLC EGFR mutation-positive 1st line1AI following EU submissionRG105 MabThera NHL sc formulation1AI following NDA submissionsin EU and US RG1569 Actemra RA sc formulation
Removed from Phase I Removed from Phase II Removed from Phase III Removed from Registration
2 NMEs discontinuedRG7418 oxLDL MAb metabolic diseasesRG7416 pateclizumab (LT alpha MAb) RA
1 AI following US approvalRG105 Rituxan NHL fast infusion2 AIs following EU approvalRG1569 Actemra RA DMARD IR H2HRG435 Avastin relapsed ovariancancer1 AI following EU and US approvalRG435 Avastin mCRC TML
NME submissions and their additional indicationsProjects currently in phase 2 and 3
82
Unless stated otherwise, submissions are planned to occur in US and EU. indicates a submission which has occurred with regulatory action pending# negative symptoms and sub-optimal control
NeuroscienceOphthalmologyNME
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolism
bitopertinschizophrenia#
obinutuzumab (GA101)CLL
onartuzumab (MetMAb)mNSCLC, 2nd/3rd line
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2-pos. mBC 1st line
ocrelizumabPPMS and RMS
2016 and beyondaleglitazarCV risk red post ACS in T2D
obinutuzumab (GA101) iNHL relapsed
Status as of December 31, 2012
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2-pos. pretreated mBC
MEK inhibitor(RG7421) combo Zelboraf
met melanoma
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2-pos. gastric cancer
aleglitazartype-2 diabetes (US/China)
obinutuzumab (RG7159)DLBCL and Frontline NHL
mericitabine (RG7128)HCV
danoprevir (RG7227) HCV
EGFR MAb (RG7160,GA201)solid tumors
PI3 kin inh (RG7321)solid tumors
setrobuvir (RG7790 )HCV
mGluR5 (RG7090)depression
inclacumab (RG1512)ACS/CVD
PCSK9 MAb (RG7652)metabolic diseases
crenezumab (RG7412)Alzheimer‘s
gantenerumab (RG1450)Alzheimer‘s
MAO-B inh (RG1577)Alzheimer‘s
mGluR2 antag (RG1578)depression
PI3K/mTOR inh (RG7422)solid & hem tumors
EGFL7 MAb (RG7414)solid tumors
CD22 ADC (RG7593)CD79b ADC (RG7596)
heme tumors
HER3/EGFR (RG7597)m. epithelial tumors
glypican-3 MAb (RG7686)liver cancer
quilizumab (RG7449) asthma
anti-factor D Fab (RG7417)geographic atrophy
lebrikizumab (RG3637) asthma
etrolizumab (RG7413) ulcerative colitis
bitopertin (RG1678)obsessive compulsive dis.
aleglitazarCV risk red CVD in T2D/pre-T2D
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 and beyond
onartuzumab (MetMAb)gastric cancer & other AIs
RG7667CMV
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2-pos. early BC
TarcevaNSCLC adj (US)
AvastinNSCLC adj
Tarceva (US)NSCLC EGFR mut. 1st line
2012 2013 2014 2015 and beyond
Avastinglioblastoma 1st line
AvastinHER2-pos. BC adj
AvastinHER2-neg BC adj
Actemraearly RA
Xolair (US)chronic idiopathic urticaria
ActemraRA DMARD IR H2H (EU)
Avastinovarian cancer 1st line (US)
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolism
NeuroscienceOphthalmology
Actemrasc formulation
MabTheraNHL sc formulation (EU)
indicates submission to Health Authorities has occurred.
Unless stated otherwise, submissions are planned to occur in US and EU.
Avastinrelapsed ovarian cancer (US)
TarcevaNSCLC adj (EU)
Submissions of additional indications for existing productsProjects currently in phase 2 and 3
83Status as of December 31, 2012
Actemra
systemic sclerosis
Zelboraf
papillary thyroid cancer
Herceptinsc formulation (EU)
LucentisAMD 0.5 mg PRN (US)
Perjeta
HER2-pos. EBC
Perjeta
HER2-pos. mBC 2ndline
Perjeta
HER2-pos. gastric cancer
Avastinovarian cancer platin. resist.
Avastin
mCRC TML
Actemrapolyarticular JIA
MabThera ANCA assoc vasculitis (EU)
Zelborafmet melanoma adj.
EU
US
Approved Pending approvals
Major granted and pending approvals 2012
84
ActemraRA DMARD IR
RituxanNHL faster infusion
Avastinrelapsed ovarian cancer
Lucentisdiabetic macular edema
HerceptinHer2+ BC sc formulation
Filed Mar 2012
LucentisAMD 0.5 mg PRN
Filed Apr 2012
Status as of December 31, 2012
Actemrapolyarticular JIAFiled June 2012
ActemrapolyarticularJIAFiled June 2012
MabThera ANCA associated vasculitis
Filed Apr 2012
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2-pos pretreated mBC
Filed Aug 2012
T-DM1 (RG3502)HER2+ advanced mBC
Filed Aug 2012
AvastinmCRC TML
PerjetaHER2-pos. mBC 1st line
Erivedgeadv. basal cell carcinoma
2Perjeta (RG1273)HER2-pos. mBC 1st line
Filed Dec 2011
Zelborafmet. melanoma
NeuroscienceOphthalmologyNME
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolism
Erivedgeadv. basal cell ca
Filed Nov 2011
TarcevaNSCLC EGFR mut. 1st line
Filed Nov 2012
MabTheraNHL sc formulation
Filed Dec 2012
Actemrasc formulation Filed Dec 2012
ActemraRA DMARD IR H2H
1AvastinmCRC TML
2Positive CHMP opinion Dec 2012
1FDA approval Jan 2013
Major Chugai granted and pending approvals 2012
85
Pending approvals
Actemrasc formulation
Filed March 2012
PulmozymeImprovement pulmonaryfunction in cystic fibrosis
Status as of December 31, 2012
TarcevaNSCLC EGFR mut 1st line
Filed June 2012
Boniva/Bonvivaosteoporosis
Filed July 2012
NeuroscienceOphthalmologyNME
OncologyImmunologyVirologyCardioMetabolism
Avastinovarian cancer
Filed October 2012
Avastinrecurrent glioblastomaFiled September 2012
Approved
PerjetaHER2-pos. mBCFiled May 2012
BactraminTreatment and prevention
of Pneumocystis pneumonia