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Risk Ranking : An Example Process
and Method
Risk Ranking : An Example Process
and Method
www.STRUCTINT.com877-4SI-POWER
Nuclear Cable WorkshopAugust 6-7, 2012
Richmond, VA
Shane A. McManusSenior Engineer, SI
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 2
Objectives
• Project Basis• Cable Aging Management Tools• Yard Cable Assessment• Data Handling • Risk Ranking• Inspection Prioritization • Concepts within a Building
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 3
Determine Scope – Define which cable / connector components (MV, LV, Instrument, EQ and/or non-EQ, splices, etc.) are within the scope of the program at each plant.
Data Collection/Integration – Relevant data, whether from existing databases (e.g., cable, operating experience, corrective action) or other sources are collected and organized.
Risk Ranking – A risk assessment is performed to gain insights that best focus station resources in a way that mitigates the likelihood of failure and potential consequences of failure.
Inspection Planning – Develop risk prioritized inspection walkdown scope and most appropriate tests based on environment, service conditions and materials of construction.
Determine Scope
Data Collection and Integration
Risk RankingInspection Planning
Baseline Phase – Scoping & Prioritization
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 4
Project Basis• NUREG/CR-7000
– Select cables to be monitored.– Develop database for monitored cables.– Characterize and monitor service environments.– Identify stressors and expected aging mechanisms.– Select condition monitoring techniques suitable to monitored
cables.– Establish baseline condition of monitored cables.– Identify cable characteristics and aging effects being monitored
by each selected condition monitoring technique.– Perform test and inspection activities for periodic condition
monitoring of cables.– Periodically review and incorporate plant and industry
experience.– Periodically review, assess, and trend the condition of
monitored cables.– Identify degraded conditions and take prompt corrective
actions.
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 5
Cable Aging Management (CAM)
Tools
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 6
Yard Cable Assessment Example -GIS Tools
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 7
Visualization of Cable InformationA visual representation of cable database information (inspection & risk results, drawings, PDF or pictures) through a GIS interface can offer the following benefits. – Visual review and analysis of data allows for multi-variant
analysis and the recognition of patterns not possible with tabular information.
– Combinations of cable information (layers) can be selectively ‘turned on’ by user. Simply ‘clicking’ on a feature reveals a table of information relevant to the cables in that area.
– View assets associated with a specific cable or other information near cables (pipes, equipment, tanks, etc.) that may potentially contribute to degradation, such as from leakage.
– Data can help facilitate inspection planning. – For underground cable, the risk associated with accidental
contact during excavations (associated with fencing installation, buried pipe excavations, monitoring wells and other modifications) can be minimized.
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 8
SQL Database CAM Solution
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 9
CAM Foundation and Design Inputs
• Raceway
• Cable Type
• Equipment
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Dynamic Segmentation
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Risk Calculations
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Risk Calculations
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 13
Walkdowns, Inspections, and Testing
• Based on the raw risk data derived from the CAM Algorithms and the IsoRisk graphs a few observations were made:– MV submerged cables selected for testing and
inspections per GALL AMP X1.E3.– Cables with the highest ROF values selected for
walkdowns. Walkdown results dictated further inspections and testing.
– Cables with the highest LOD selected for inspections.• Overall COF was low.• Did not impact plant operability.• Located in more adverse environments.• Sentinel concept implemented and results extrapolated.
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 14
Building Interior Cable Concept
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 15
Conclusions• NUREG/CR-7000 CAM Program Elements Addressed
– Select cables to be monitored.– Develop database for monitored cables.– Characterize and monitor service environments.– Identify stressors and expected aging mechanisms.– Select condition monitoring techniques suitable to monitored
cables.– Establish baseline condition of monitored cables.– Identify cable characteristics and aging effects being
monitored by each selected condition monitoring technique.– Perform test and inspection activities for periodic condition
monitoring of cables.– Incorporate plant and industry experience.– Periodically review, assess, and trend the condition of
monitored cables.– Identify degraded conditions and take prompt corrective
actions.
Risk Ranking: An Example Process and Method - SLIDE 16
Questions?