39
RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report Prepared for: CAMERON CONTROLS CORP. EQE INTERNATIONAL Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00056391

RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

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Page 1: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

RISK ASSESSMENT OF THEDEEPWATER HORIZONBLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM

April 2000 - Final Report

Prepared for:

CAMERON CONTROLS CORP.

EQE INTERNATIONAL

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00056391

Page 2: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

Deepwater Horizon BOP Control System Risk Assessment

• 4. EVALUATION RESULTS

April 2000

As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees by boolean

reduction results in the identification of the minimal cutsets, or the minimum

combinations of failures that will result in the occurrence of the undesired event.

Each of these cutsets is composed of one or more failures and each of the failures

is assigned a probability of failure as discussed in Section 3. The product of the

failure probabilities for all failure events in a cutset represents the probability of

occurrence of the cutset. The sum of the cutsets for each fault tree model

represents the probability of occurrence of the associated undesired event. In

addition to these quantitative results, potential problem areas are often identified

durmg the development of the model. These are discussed in Section 5. Table 4·1

summarizes the probability of occurrence of each of the undesired events. The

number of cutsets shown in the table are those with a probability of occurrence

greater than 1E-1 O. The overall potential for any of the events occurring which lead

to the failure to perform the EDS function is 3.1 2E-4 (1183 cutsets). which is less

than the sum of the individual events in Table 4-1. This is due to the fact that

some of the cutset combinations result in failure of more than one of the functions

but are correctly only counted once when looking at the overall likelihood. The

listing of the first 100 cutsets (or all if less than 100 cutsets exist above 1E-1 01 for

each of the functions is shown in Appendix C. The relative dominance of the blue

pod components should not be interpreted that the blue pod is more unreliable. The

model was developed for the condit'lon with the blue pod in operation as

representative. This same apparent dominance also appears in the importance

measures presented in Appendix 0 but in fact there is no difference between the

blue and yellow pods. The failure probability for the well control scenario is

approximately an order of magnitude lower than for the emergency disconnect

scenario.

The major contributor to the failure likelihood associated with the BOP control

system results from the selected stack configuration. With only one shear ram

capable of sealing the well in, it is extremely difficult to remove all the single failure

points from the control system. The final shuttle valve, which supplies the

hydraulics to the blind shear ram, represents such a single failure point for the

disconnect function.

37

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00056432

Page 3: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

•Deepwater Horizon BOP Control System Risk Assessment

• CDmmDn cause failure of all four pDd mDdems or all four

communication/power distribution panel modems

April 2000

As noted above, due to the selected stack configuration, the final shuttle valve

which supplies the blind shear ram represents a single failure point and accounts fDr

56% Df the failure likelihood of the system to perform an EDS.

The failure of the four choke or kill valve pairs each cDntribute about 5 % of the

failure likelihoDd Df the system for disCDnnect. This is a more significant

contribution than has been found in past analyses due to their less frequent testing

schedule (i.e., Dnce a week operation of the valves rather than the daily operation

of the valves for other systems.

The dominant failure combinations associated with well control operations show

that the additional diversity and redundancy available for well control provide

additional reliability. The likelihDDd of failure for the critical functions for well

control is almDst an order of magnitude below that fDr discDnnect. The dominant

faults are a little wider distributed than in the disconnect case but still represent a

small subset of the number of failure scenarios .

• Failure of the indication to identify need tD initiate well contrDI

actions or operator failure to initiate well control actions,

• CDmmDn cause failure of all four pod modems or all four

communication and distribution cabinet modems,

• Inadequate precharge on the pod manifold regulator pilot and

failure to switch to the inactive pod,

• Software error in the pod software or communication and

distributiDn cabinet soHware, which are undetected.

Another result of the fault tree evaluation is the development of importance factors,

The factors allow the analyst to focus in on the areas of risk which are important to

system reliability, Two measures are typically calculated, the risk reduction

measure and the risk increase measure.

For the evaluation of the BOP in terms of emergency discDnnect, the most

important factor to both risk increase and risk reduction is the final shuttle valve

39

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00056434

Page 4: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

associated with the blind shear ram. Since this area of the system is a single failure

point, the importance of the shuttle valve reliability is magnified. Care should be

taken to ensure the highest reiiability possibie from this valve. The maximum

improvement in reliability possible by improvement of the shuttle valve is about a

little more than a factor of 2. Conversely, if the reliability of the shuttle valve is

underestimated either due to the limited data available or differences in the installed

shuttle valve from the generic data sample, the reliability of the system may be

severely impacted. The maximum increase in system unavailability due to an

increased probability of shuttle valve failure is a factor about 3200. A specific data

collection effort for the particular shuttle valve used in the Cameron system may

remove some of the conservatism introduced by the use of generic data and reduce

the dominance of this component. However care must be taken to ensure

continued high reliability of the shuttle valve since it is extremely critical to the

overall BOP disconnect operation. The final shuttle valve for the casing shear ram

represents a similar potential problem, but it's importance with respect to the

overall likelihood is reduced due to the smaller fraction of time that it's operability is

required for a successful disconnect. Although the impact of failure of the casing

shear ram is not as dominant, the same attention to its reliability should be paid as

extended to the blind shear ram shuttle valve.

Deepwater Horizon BOP Control System Risk Assessment April 2000

Beyond the blind ram shuttle valve, the next most critical factor to risk decrease for

disconnect is the reliabilitY of the choke and kill valves. The identified weekly valve

exercise leads to a higher unavailability than if the valve were tested more

frequently. Additional testing of the valves would lead, at most to a 5 % reduction

in the risk. If the valves are actually cycled more than once per week under the

current operating philosophy, the contribution would in reality be lower.

Beyond these items. the largest potential item for reducing the fisk (increasing the

reliability) for both disconnect and well control operations is to ensure that the

indication, recognition, and willingness of the operator to initiate the appropriate

actions or to switch to the standby pod following failure in the active pod. The

indication, recognition, and willingness of the operator to initiate the appropriate

actions is also the next largest factor which can potentially increase the risk for

failure to disconnect or failure of well control. Given the importance of the

operator, it is essential that the indication availabie to him provides a clear picture

40

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00056435

Page 5: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

SINTEF REPORTTITLE

Deepwater Kicks and BOP Performance,Unrestricted version

AUTHOR(S)

Per Holand (SINTEF/Exprosoft) and Pål Skalle (NTNU)

CLIENT(S)

SINTEF Industrial ManagementSafety and Reliability

Address: N-7465 Trondheim,NORWAY

Location: S P Andersens veg 5Telephone: +47 73 59 27 56Fax: +47 73 59 28 96

Enterprise No.: NO 948 007 029 MVA

Minerals Management Service (MMS)

REPORT NO. CLASSIFICATION CLIENTS REF.

STF38 A01419 Unrestricted William Hauser, Michael W. HargroveCLASS. THIS PAGE ISBN PROJECT NO. NO. OF PAGES/APPENDICES

Unrestricted 82-14-01682-7 384240 107/1ELECTRONIC FILE CODE PROJECT MANAGER (NAME, SIGN.) CHECKED BY (NAME, SIGN.)

\\Ntwm\ES201017\Final REPORT Unrestricted version.docPer Holand Marvin RausandFILE CODE DATE APPROVED BY (NAME, POSITION, SIGN.)

2001-07-24 Lars Bodsberg, Research DirectorABSTRACT

A reliability study of subsea BOPs was performed in 1999. This is a follow up study focusing on thedeepwater kicks and associated BOP problems and safety availability aspects. The study is based oninformation from 83 wells drilled in water depths ranging from 400 meters (1312 feet) to more than2000 meters (6562 feet) in the US GoM OCS. These wells have been drilled with 26 different rigs in theyears 1997 and 1998.

A total of 117 BOP failures and 48 well kicks were observed in these wells. The main informationsource from the study has been the daily drilling reports.

Detailed kick statistics and parameters affecting the kick occurrence and kick killing operation arediscussed. The occurrences of BOP failures as a result of wear and tear during the kick killingoperations have been investigated.

The BOP as a safety barrier has been analyzed based on the relevant kick experience and the BOPconfiguration. An alternative BOP configuration and a BOP test procedure that will improve the safetyavailability and save costly rig time have been proposed.

KEYWORDS ENGLISH NORWEGIAN

GROUP 1 Reliability Pålitelighet

GROUP 2 Offshore Offshore

SELECTED BY AUTHOR Blowout Preventer Utblåsningssikring

Kick Brønnspark

Risk Risiko

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Deepwater Kicks and BOP Performance, Unrestricted version

Page: 96

Table 8.8 Blowout probability with the lower kill line outlet above LPR vs. the averageBOP configuration

Average BOP configuration (resultsfrom Table 8.3, page 90)

Lower kill line outlet above LPRTest strategy (see Table8.2 for details)

Average proba-bility of failing toclose in a kick

Ratio vs.basecase

Number ofwells perblowout

Average proba-bility of failing toclose in a kick

Ratio vs.base case

Number ofwells perblowout

Base test case (similar topresent regulations) 0.125 % 1.00 1382 0.111 % 1.00 1556

Body test every two weeks,in-between function test 0.134 % 1.07 1293 0.120 % 1.08 1444

Body test every two weeks,but no in-between functiontest

0.137 % 1.10 1258 0.124 % 1.11 1400

Body test every week incl.function test 0.080 % 0.64 2152 0.073 % 0.66 2358

As seen from Table 8.8, keeping the kill line outlet above the LPR will have a positive effecton the blowout probability with approximately 12 % reduction. Here it is important to notethat the analysis only regards the ability to close in the initial kick. During the kick killingoperations a line below the LPR is useful. This line is however regarded as a kill line and not achoke line. The line should therefore preferably only be used for pressure monitor and purekilling. It should not be used for circulation to avoid wear in the valve sealing area.

Discussion/conclusion

The lower pipe ram should preferably be equipped with a variable bore ram capable of sealingaround all drillpipe/workstring diameters that shall be run into the well. If due to hang-offcapacity problems a fixed ram is preferred, the size of the ram-blocks should be in accordancewith the size of the drillpipe normally running through the BOP. If running small size workstring in the well, the LPR should never have a fixed diameter ram-block to fit to this size. Ifsuch a ram-block is required for well operations it should be located in the MPR or UPR. As ageneral rule fixed rams with a diameter different from the most commonly used drillpipediameter should not be used in a BOP stack. A variable bore ram that is capable of sealingaround both the small diameter and the normal drillpipe should be used instead.

The use of two annulars does not give any significant improvement with respect to being ableto close in the initial kick. But experience shows that when stripping is required as a part of thekick killing operation, this will cause that the annular is likely to fail afterwards (a failedannular preventer was observed after two of six stripping operations, described in Section 7.3.2on page 81).

All subsea BOP stacks used for deepwater drilling should be equipped with two blind-shearrams. If replacing the upper pipe ram with a blind-shear ram, the effect of the detailed BOPpressure testing is eliminated. Body tests against the MPR and individual testing of the blind-shear rams against the casing will be adequate. Such a BOP configuration and testing willreduce the blowout probability compared to three pipe rams and the present BOP test strategy.

Page 7: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

Engineering Services, Inc.

www.westengineer.com

MINI SHEAR STUDY

For

U.S. Minerals Management Service

Requisition No. 2-1011-1003

December 2002

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WEST Engineering Services, Inc. Page 13 of 13

6 Findings WEST had experience with 14 rigs during the recent round of upgrades. Shearing data is included in Table 1 – Shear Data. As can be seen of the 14 rigs, only seven conducted shear testing. One rig did shear testing on new SQAIR 5”, 24.7 PPF, S-135 pipe. Included in the attachment is the Actual Shear Value (psi) that was necessary to shear the pipe. Thus, if the operating system pressure available has been exceeded, the pipe would not shear on the rig. As can be seen in the column “W/O Hyd Pass/Fail”, five rigs passed and two failed to shear the pipe on the surface (71% success) upon simple analysis of the testing data. This is shown below in Graph 2.

When the supplementary affect of hydrostatic pressure at maximum rated water depth is added to the surface shearing pressure, one rig should no longer be able to shear the pipe. Another rig drops out, as the actual shearing pressure was not in the WEST files. Thus, three of six rigs pass in this case (50%). This is graphically presented in Graph 3.

Graph 2Shear Testing Results

With Hydrostatic Pressures ConsideredFail

50%

Page 9: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

Engineering Services, Inc.

Evaluation of Secondary

Intervention Methods in Well Control

For

U.S. Minerals Management Service

Solicitation 1435-01-01-RP-31174

March 2003

Page 10: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

WEST Engineering Services, Inc. Page 28 of 85

4.4 Function/Pressure Tests:

Function/pressure tests are performed routinely to prove that the BOP stack works properly. The most critical secondary intervention system should probably receive the same attention to verify functionality if needed.

4.4.1 MMS

BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT 43 FR PART 3160 Requirements

Well Control Requirements 1. “Blowout preventer (BOP) and related equipment (BOPE) shall be installed, used, maintained, and tested in a manner necessary to assure well control and shall be in place and operational prior to drilling the surface casing shoe unless otherwise approved by the APD.”

4.4.2 NPD

Section 31 Requirements relating to blowout preventers with associated equipment “It follows from this provision that where the blowout preventer (BOP) has the function of a barrier, it must be designed in such a way as to ensure that the functioning of the valve as a barrier can be maintained.”

4.4.3 UK

See Section 4.1.3

4.4.4 API RP 53, section 18.3.1 Function Tests “All operational components of the BOP equipment systems should be functioned at least once a week to verify the component’s intended operations. Function tests may or may not include pressure tests. Function tests should be alternated from the driller’s panel and from mini-remote panels.”

4.4.5 NORSOK

5.2 Procedures/limitations for the operations c. “This mode will include regular remote pressure testing of subsea barriers and routine inspection and maintenance by ROV, and well rate testing.”

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WEST Engineering Services, Inc. Page 65 of 85

5.1.7 ROV Intervention

5.1.7.1 Summary

Application MUX Function discreet, several Activation manual Commonality independent

5.1.7.2 Overview ROVs are the simplest and most effective means of secondary intervention in use today. One reason they are effective is that they are not automatic systems, but require a human action in order to operate, which makes them more trusted by the rig crew. This is true in spite of the fact that design and plumbing errors can cause malfunctions of the primary control system.

Capabilities of ROVs

After docking, an ROV has the capability to push, pull and rotate with a manipulator arm, but at only 4.5 gpm (average) – 6.7 minutes is needed to close shear rams requiring 30 gallons.

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WEST Engineering Services, Inc. Page 66 of 85

Unfortunately, if an ROV is needed for well control, there is a good chance that it will be incapable of closing a ram for one or more reasons. As a result, reliance on ROV systems as the sole means of securing the well if the primary system has failed has a high probability of failure unless the ROV is docked at the appropriate ROV panel the during drilling. Weather is often a factor in the ability to launch an ROV; if it can’t get in the water, it can’t do its job. Even if the weather cooperates and the ROV can get in the water, subsurface conditions might make it impossible to reach the stack. High currents prevent ROV operations, and they are virtually useless during loop currents, which can shut them down for weeks at a time. Even if the weather and water conditions were perfect, if turbulence from an uncontrolled well flow is present, the ROV would probably be unable to fly in close enough to the stack to successfully shut in the well. Another weak area is the low pumping rate supplied by the ROV hydraulic pump. The pump rate ranges from about 1.5 to 9.0 gpm (gallons per minute), with the lower number most often found. A Cameron 18 ¾” 15,000 psi WP ram BOP requires 24.6 gallons to close fully. At 1.5 gpm, the time required to close the ram is over 16 minutes. Even at a mid range output of 4.5 gpm, over five minutes would be needed. While the sealing mechanism and cutting blades are more robust in some preventers than in others, it is considered highly unlikely that any preventer currently available would stand up to this punishment during an uncontrolled flow of wellbore fluid. However, no tests have been conducted to verify this.

There are currently no requirements to function test ROV circuits prior to running the stack, and this is often overlooked. In addition, there is no standardization concerning the stab connections, with each ROV company supplying their own equipment. Unless they are specifically requested to do so, the female stab receptacles on the stack are not replaced when the ROV comes on board, which results in incompatible equipment. A single design ROV stab should be adopted for use throughout the GoM, and all ROV operable circuits should be function tested prior to running the stack. Ram BOPs with ROV intervention capability should be wellbore pressure tested prior to running the stack after closing, locking and venting the ram with the ROV circuit. This would not require the use of the ROV, but could be done with a hydraulic pump using BOP control fluid.

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Engineering Services

www.westengineer.com

SHEAR RAM CAPABILITIES STUDY

For

U.S. Minerals Management Service

Requisition No. 3-4025-1001

September 2004

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WEST Engineering Services Page 3-1

3. Discussion

3.1 Data Acquisition

Upon being awarded this study, WEST began efforts to obtain the data required. Accordingly, four manufacturers were contacted. There was a reluctance to share data for a myriad of reasons; therefore, much time and effort was necessarily spent in this area. Eventually, Cameron, Hydril and Grant Prideco provided their data and the MMS provided data that had previously been provided to them by Varco Shaffer. At that point we began sorting through and analyzing the data provided. 3.2 Understanding the Shear Function

The well control function of last resort is to shear pipe and secure the well with the sealing shear ram. As a result, failure to shear when executing this final option would be expected to result in a major safety and/or environmental event. Improved strength in drill pipe, combined with larger and heavier sizes resulting from deeper drilling, adversely affects the ability of a given ram BOP to successfully shear and seal the pipe in use. WEST is currently aware of several failures to shear when conducting shear tests using the drill pipe that was to be used in the well. As stated in a mini shear study recently done for the MMS, only three recent new-build rigs out of fourteen were found able to shear pipe at their maximum rated water depths. Only half of the operators accepting a new-build rig chose to require a shear ram test during commissioning or acceptance. This grim snapshot illustrates the lack of preparedness in the industry to shear and seal a well with the last line of defense against a blowout. Operators and drilling contractors do not always perform shear tests when accepting new or rebuilt BOP stacks. The importance of shear tests prior to accepting a rig is better understood by some that have experienced inadequate control system pressure when attempting to shear the drill pipe to be used in their project. Shearing problems found in testing have resulted in delays as the necessary equipment modifications are made before initiation of drilling. Manufacturers cannot directly compensate for parameters such as mud weight and internal wellbore pressure in the shearing operation; but they do provide the additional compensating pressures required. There has also been little sharing of shear data that would allow for better understanding of shear requirements. Unfortunately, not all operators and drilling contractors are aware of the limitations of the equipment they are using. This study examines existing shear data, and inconsistencies in an attempt to better understand the likelihood that the rams will function as expected when activated. 3.3 Drill Pipe Evolution

As the drill pipe manufacturers have improved drill pipe technology over the years, the latest generation of high ductility pipe, known by various names, has been seen in some cases to almost double the shearing pressure compared to lower ductility pipe of the same weight, diameter, and grade. Higher ductility drill pipe can be evidenced mainly by higher Charpy impact values and slightly lower yield strengths with the Elongation % and hardnesses basically unchanged. See Table 4.1 below. Differences between the high and low ductility drill pipe cannot be visually discerned, although this data may be available on a case-by-case basis. Short of physical testing, only careful record keeping on a rig can determine which pipe is of what specification. Of equal concern, drill pipe tool joints and internal upsets can be quite problematic. Both tool joints and internal upsets are getting bigger and longer.

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WEST Engineering Services Page 6-1

6 Additional Shearing Pressure Required Additional pressures must be considered when shearing pipe, but are sometimes ignored. These include two major categories: net hydrostatic pressure at water depth and closing the rams against a wellbore kick. Hydrostatic pressure includes the net effect of the BOP hydraulic fluid, seawater, and mud weight.

Areas where mud, seawater, and BOP fluid pressures act on a BOP with a wedge type lock: 1 – Mud Pressure 2 – Seawater Pressure 3 – BOP Fluid Pressure plus hydrostatic head 4 – Seawater Pressure.

Note: Area 4 and its pressure effects do not exist on BOPs without tailrods.

Closing against pressure in the wellbore increases the pressure required to close the rams by an amount equal to the pressure divided by the closing ratio of the ram BOP. This variable must be included since closing of the shear rams should be prepared for the worst case when there is wellbore pressure under the annular equal to its maximum working pressure. One BOP manufacturer stated that the working pressure of the ram BOP should be used, but it is difficult to determine a scenario where pressure could be contained under a shear ram while shearing is still needed. Another manufacturer lists wellbore pressures of 5,000 psi and 10,000 psi on some of their shear tables, which are presumably the working pressures of the annular BOPs in use. Hydrostatic pressure includes those effects caused by BOP hydraulic fluid, seawater, and mud weight. The BOP hydraulic fluid pressure acts to close the ram while the mud acts to open the ram. The net effect is an increase in the pressure required to close the shear rams in order to overcome the opening forces of the mud. However, when the shear rams are closed and sealed and the pressure trapped between the shear ram and the annular vented, this wellbore pressure assists in maintaining the seal.

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WEST Engineering Services Page 6-2

The total effect of these additive pressures can result in considerable increases in the shearing pressure established at the surface. These issues are not always considered when reviewing the capability of the control system to operate the shear rams and to shear the drill pipe. The following tables and graphs can be used to determine the added closing pressure for selected BOPs for 12 ppg mud and kick pressures from 400 to 2500 psi. This is provided to allow an idea of the magnitude of the pressure. To assist understanding, here is one possible scenario and the additional pressure determined: Given: 18-3/4” 15K Hydril BOP with MPL and 19” operating pistons, 12 ppg mud, 6,000 ft water depth, 2000 psi kick pressure under the annular. From the tables and graphs: Closing ratio = 10.49:1 Additional pressure for the mud effects = 105 psi Additional pressure for the kick pressure = 190 psi Total additional closing pressure required = 295 psi SHAFFER®

Selected Closing Ratios

Model

SLX &

SL

SL

SL

SL

SL

SL

SL

SL

Working Pressure

(psi)

15,000

15,000

15,000

10,000

10,000

10,000

5,000

5,000

Bore (in)

18-3/4

13-5/8

11

21-1/4

18-3/4

16-3/4

16-3/4

16-3/4

Piston

Size (in)

14

14

14

14

14

14

10

14

Closing Ratio

10.85

7.11

7.11

7.11

7.11

7.11

5.54

10.85

Page 17: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

2113660152 T-212 P.DOI/DD3 F-861

r.weoc~ to..tlIt<G:I. IM:.

lJI' B~o.""","eoo

HOllSTON. TX17'Qlll

Octob r 11, 2004

BP A 'co _tion Company200 estlake Park Blvd..Reust n, TX 77079

Ann: Mr. RAndy RhoadsMail Coo. 1089 WL4

Re: Drilling ContraCt No. 980249 dated December 9, 1998 (as previously amended, "Contract") byand bctWeeD. R&.B Falcen Drilling Company, predecessor in interest to Transocean Holdings Inc.("CODtractOr") and Vaslar Resources, Inc., predecessor in interest to BP America ProductionCompany ("Company"), as amended for RBS·8D (now known as the "Deepwater Horizoo")

Letter Agrumeat fOI" Coavtrsio. ofVBR to a Test RamCONTRACTOR-SI2I-2002-ll11

executed by both parties below. this letter will document the aareement between Contractor andany for ConlrlCtor'S conversion (the "Conversion") ofan existing; variable bore ram ("VDR) into a

" on the Deepwater Horizon's blowout preventer (the ·'BOP").

ordance with Articles 5 and 1 of the Contract, Company shall reimburse Contractor for the costi'ted with the Conversion, which is estimated to be $135,000 based on the attached quote/MEing the five percent (5%) handlina fee. NotWithsandina the foregoing, Contractor shall give

y wrinen notice of any increase of more than ten percent (IOO/o) in the above: cost estimate andsue iDcreaJe shall be subject to Company's prior written approval If installation should require out-of·serv e timc, Company agrees to pay Contractor at the Standby Rate (as defined in the Contract) \lIltiloper OOns can be recommenced; provided sl,lch out-of-service time shall not exceed a maximum oftwe -four (24) hours. Reimbursement for the Conversion shall be in the fonu ofa lump sum paymentdue payable within thirty (30) days of receipt of Contractor's invoice therefore. which invoice shallbe t after the "lestnm" has been installed.

pany acknowledges that the Conversion win reduce the built-in redundancy of the BOP, thereby. y increasing ContractOr's risk profile and corresponding cost structure. Therefore, after the

crsion is compll:tcd, ifone of the two mnainina VBRs fails to "'test" on any wen for any mechanicaln (as opposed. to abnormal wear or damaee caused by operations) and the MMS requires that

ctor pull the BOP to replace the VBR.. Company agrees to pay ContrllCtor the Operating Rate (asin the Contract) for the rime req~d. to pull the BOP, replace the ram, and re-run the BOP;

"",t-Jed,however, uotle of the two remaining VBRs fail& to ''test'' a subsequent time on the same wellfor y mechanical reason, after initially testing subsea, (as opposed to abnormal wear and damagecau e<1 by operations) and thIS MMS requires that Contractor pull the BOP to replace the VBR. the timereq ired. to pull the BOP, replace the ram, and re-nut the BOP shall be considered Mechanical Downtime(as cd in the Contract).

E: (832) 5eNI506

:Ex cpt as specifically lei forth above. all other term!> and conditions of the Contract, as amended to date,sh I remain uncbaDied.

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T-2T2 P.003/003 F-8ST2813660152Fra.-ep

'C3 Production CompanyLetter ernent for Conversion ofVBR to a Te...t RamOCtober 11. 2004Pase 2 f2

Oc -18-2004

Please' dicate yom agreement to tb~ terms of this letter by signing in the space provided below andI'et1w"ijlg an executed copy to us for our files. If you have any further questions. please contact JohnKeelo at (832) 581-8533 or me 81 (832) 581-8506. Thank you for the opponuniry to be ofserv1ce.

AGREED AND ACCEPTED:__-TIDS 1'1~ DAYOF~2004

8PAMERICAPRODVCTIONCOMPANY

~=.n~TI1U Cedr.c.t .y«citJ.)gL

O""'SI.:I/I-./D"

P NE: (832) 587-8506 FAX: (832) 587-8754 EMAlL:[email protected]

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Oct 17 to Oct 31,2005

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00063579

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4.0 Asset Deficiencies

Priority A ~ Critical equipmenl items :hal may lead to loss of life, a serious injury or environmental damage as a result ot inadequate use and/or failure of equipment

Priority B = MajOr ;ferns that may iead to damage to essential eQwpmenl or have a detrimental effect on Ihe drilling operation as a resulf of inadequate use andlor failure of equipment

Priority C : Minor items that may iead to a situation that contributes to an incident or 10 circumstances in which the required standaros of operation are not met.

B

B

B

B

C

C

C

C

B

C

PRIORITY

•DW Horizon Assessment - October 14, 2005 to October 28, 2005

Page 1 of 1

Send the Mud Boost and Conduit Supply Hoses for repair. The outer protective sheathing is broken andunravelin . Ref ATP 166

Test the choke manifold to maximum working pressure, 15,000 psi., shell test. Valve # 9 was replaced,connection points were broken and the choke manifold was tested. but only to 12.000 psi with theHalliburton cement unit. Recommend this be included in the PM stem. Ref ATP 402

ASSET DESCRIPTION RECOMMENDATiON

Diverter The diverter. when closed, shock-loads the system. Raise an REA for Engineering to investigate a way oflessening the severe shock loads (hammering) as this is detrimental to the equipment. The Enterprisewas very successfUl on eliminating shock loading on the 1" BOP ram functions on the BOP stack byinstalling 1/2" restrictors in the 1" line. Prior to this the brackets were being torn off and tUbing connectionswere parting.

Coflexip Type Hose

Choke manifold

Annulars The upper annular is kept in the vent position due to a minor leak when left in the open position. The leakis intermittent. Continue trouble shooting to fix leak as rig opportunity allows.

BOP Control Panel When shifting to the yellow pod the regulators fluctuate several minutes before settling out. The eventlogger showed one hydrostatic transducer in STM 1 with a 120 psi reading and the olher in STM 2 with1800 psi in 4000 ft water depth. Investigate to determine cause of low pressure reading in STM1 andra lace com onents as necessa .

BOP Control Panel Intermittent alarms occur on unrelated functions when opening the lower inner choke with the yellow pod:A choke/kill isolation valve close coil break, B choke/kill isolation valve close coil break, a choke/kill primarconnector unlock, unlock coil break, lower outer choke close A&B coil break, wellhead connector gasketrelease A&B coil break. Investi ate and re air roblem,

MUX and Hotline Reels Replace the Hot Line due to frequent failures that have required splicing on four previous occasions.During the assessment, the hot line was observed to be leaking badly during a rig move. The leak has notbeen repaired yet due to the fact that it is located deep in the reel. This is indicative of hose deteriorationand this 'Item is critical when runnin and ullin the BOP stack, Ref ATP 186

Riser Tensioners Contract a Hydralift service engineer to assist in repairing the Riser Tensioner position transducers and insolving the frequent failure rate problem. Only one out of six riser tensioner position transducers iscurrently working, These transducers supply rod position input to the Riser Recoil System, so a failure ofthis last remainin sensor could cause ma'or e ui ment dama e.

Riser Tensioners # 6 riser tensioner leaks, change out with the spare riser tensioner after it is refurbished.

Mux Cable The yellow Mux Cable is damaged at 6500 ft. Ref ATP 291

130

126

127

129

128

125

REF124

131

132-l;::0Z

I 133I()m()

I

000(J)W010~

Page 21: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

C = Item Checked and in complianceX = Not in compliance, high risk of downtime/ = Not in compliance, low risk of downtimeo = Item Not Checked

N/A = Item Not Applicable

Prepared for Transocean

Subject: Well Control System Assessment Testing Procedure

Format for the Deepwater Horizon

Reference: Drill Through Equipment and Related Systems

Dynamically Positioned Rig - GoM

WEST Job # 001 C

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•P.O. Box 577Brookshire, TX 77423U.S.A

•~\:/~~~ En 9 ine e rln 9Ur1f~) Services

ISO 9001 :2000 Certified

•Tel: (281) 934-1500Fax: (281) 934-1600

[email protected]

ATP Generator-Revision 410112/2005 9:02SM

--I;0Z

I

I()m()

I

aaa(J)eN(Jl.......I'V

WEST©

Note: Items that are found "Not in Compliance" are appropriately addressed in theSummary ofRecommendations

Page 22: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

f" r ,- -~ - . - I T - :'1

I 11'\ ' I) j I I I

I j ,b>,;~" ... ~ _.t~"'"",.-...I" __~_.k'_' ,_ '-' . ," ". , ' ." r.__ , .~. • _ ~. _ n __~ __ ~""_ ....j;....... __.;.IollJ.:""'-.~ __"","""~"",;":,:,,,,,,",:r...._

Bolt preloading procedures for drill through connections and * API RP 53. 3rd Edition,side outlets shall be reviewed. Note: Close to YO'!() of the section 18.11.2; and

48 effects of embedment relaxation noted in API RP 53 can be * MMS CFR Title 30,counteracted by re-torquing any newly made up connection after Chapter II, Sectiona full workin ressure test. 250.446 Para ra h a

Hydraulic torquing equipment and a thread lubricant with a *API RP 53, 3rd Edition,

known coefficient of friction (suggested to contain molybdenum section 18.11.4; and47 disulfide, e.g. NSW-5(3) shall be supplied. * MMS CFR Title 30,

Chapter 11, Section250.446 Para ra h a

c

c

o

o

* MI06WEST ITP # 57, Rev 6,Equipment Repairs­WeldingAPI RP 53, 3rd Edition,section 18.11.7

•Subsea ATP - Job # 001 C"Deepwater Horizon" Transocean

•Verify that weld repairs on drill through equipment are notperformed on the rig.

45 E.2.1: End Connections and Side Outlets (JA­401

44 Section E.2: BOP Stack Ins ection

43

Targets on the subsea valves, choke manifold and high pressure * WEST ITP # 75, Rev 3,piping will be disassembled for visual inspection. Lead targets Target Flanges

46 should have a positive retention mode, a counterbore, and bedrilled to reduce the tendency of wellbore pressure forcing thelead out of its retention mode. Quiet zone targets areacce table. Record findin s.

WEST Engineering Services

Q)

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Connections broken in the last 6 months will be re-tightened to * API RP 53, 3rd Edition,prove preload accuracy. section 18.11.2; and

* MMS CFR Title 30,Chapter II, Section

250.446 Para ra h a--I;0ZI

I()m()

I

aaa(J)eN(JlI'V.j:::o,.

49

50

Hardened washers are recommended for use under the nuts on

the #5 clamps.

* API RP 53, 3rd Edition,

section 18.11.2; and

* MMS CFR Title 30,Chapter II, Section

250.446 Para ra h a

o

o

Page 23: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

EDtf).J

-DETNoRSKE VERITAS

Energy ReportBeaufort Sea Drilling Risk Study

Transocean Offshore Deepwater Drilling Inc.

Report no EP004855/DNV ref no: 12A88QH-9Rev. 1, July 31, 2009

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00063077

Page 24: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

DEl' NORSKE VERITAS

Beaufort Sea Drilling Risk Study

Trunsoceun Offshore Deepwater Drilling Inc,

[IMANAGING RISK III

DET NORSKE VERITAS (USA) INC1400 Ravello DriveKaly, TX 77449Tel: (281) 396- 1000Fax: (281) 396·1906

~ i~ep();1EI)66~48SS;i:~~,;~occa" Beaufort-SeaDrilling Risk Study ._.~.~._..._~~rf".r: AI Browning _._--~ ..---~--

Transocean Offshore Deepwater Drilling Inc.PO Box 4255HOUSTON, TX 77210 4255

1-;-,---;--;:----------------1 http://www.dnv.comAccount ref:~~---------

f~gtt no. ~ ______=rP0048~~~__.~--

Date of issue: July 31,2009 . ..._._-._~.

Report No.: 1~2A88QH·9 Subject Group:Smnmary: Del Norske Verilas (U.s.A.), Inc. (DNV) was asked by Transocean Offshore Deepwater

Drilling. Inc. to perfonn a drilling risk analysis to determine the likelihood of experiencing anuncontrolled flow of hydrocarbons in which all control options thaI arc onboard the drillshiphnve failed during exploration drilling in the Beaufort Sea in water depths of approximately600 meters. This report includes the methodology used and steps taken to estimate theresulting likelihood, which was calculated at 3.5 x 10-6

, or one uncontrolled flow event forevery 285,000 wells drilled.

Prepared by: Nallie Clndposltloll Slglla/ure ~~~ ()Chris Boylan, Senior Consultant

Prepared by: Nallle andpOS/(/OIJ Signa/lire '" ~i'-,. /'PCI' Sollie, Principal Consultant A. ,\.Verified by: Name and Position Signarj(~~ iii IIfrAnders 0fsdahl, Senior Consultant ( IlL

~----~-_._- ..-Verified by: Nallle lind Pusllion Signall ~.V

Kuhan Sivathasan, Principal Consultant -- .~

~g"at;t')r;N1 P.I;7r;x1.----Verified by: Nallle and Pos/lion

Susan Norman, Administrative Officer ----Apprnved by: Name and {Jos/lion Signatllre

~.Bryce Levett, Director of DNV EnergySolutions North America.---.. __..., _._._~- .-_._--~-

r

r

No distribution withollt pennissioll from lhe client or responsibleorgflnizationalunit (however, ffce distribution for internal use within Indexing terms

. DNY after 3 )~e,,'"':::')~----,--,--c--,--c----,-,---+----,-----,---,--,--::-::,---No dislribulion withollt pemlission from the client or responsible Key Transocean, Beaufort Sea, Drilling,organizlltional unit words Exploralion, Blowout, J)eepwlltcr

Deep and Ullmdeep Wuler

SHE Hisk Manltgcmcnl

MarkelSector

ServiceArea1\7 Strictly conlhlclllinl

-~~.~_._ ..~_ ..._-._--~~_.__...~ ...._--~..

r Unrestricted distribution"~'--'-~'--"-~-~' -------------'---'----------_.-

Rev No: Reason fOr issue:---

Approved by:Prepared by: Verified by:-C~-~ .. _..__.

0 Draft report CBOY, PERSO ANDOF, KUHAN BLEV

I Pinal report CDOY, PERSO KUHAN DLEV

C> 2009 Dcl Norske Yerilfls (U.S.A.), lllc.All rights reserved. Tllis publiclltion or pani ib~fcofmay tlo! be reproduccd m lf~llsillitled ill11ny form or by lIny means, including photocopying m recording.~~ the prior wrinen Consenl of DcI Norske Vcrilils (U.S.A.), Inc.

Reference to par! of this report which may lead to nllSlIltcrpretnhon IS nol pernHsslblc,12A88QH·9 1TriUISOt:Cfln Offshore Deepwater Drilline Inc. 131/0712009 Page i

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00063078

Page 25: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

DET NORSKE VERITAS

Beaufort Sea Drilling Risk Study

Transocean Off:<.;hol'e Deepwater Drilling Inc.

(IMANAGING RISK _

Based on the reliahility figures in Table 4-7, the one-blind shear BOP reliability on demand (100%minus probability of failure on demand) is estimated to be 99.00% whereas the 2-blind shear BOPreliability on demand is estimated to be 99.32%. There is a slight improvement (+0.32%) inreliability for the two-blind shear design. This is because the reliability is driven by single pointfailures of the control system and wellhead connector leaks which affect both BOP configurations.

4.2.3 Incorporating BOP Reliability into Analysis

In order to provide a valid comparison, the BOP reliability on demand must be rclated to thefrequency of any event that requires the BOP to be engaged, including kicks and other minor eventswhich are not included in the scope of SINTEF reporting. In order to maintain a conservativeanalysis, the loss of well control frequency as provided by SINTEF was adjusted to a higherstaliing !i'equency by which to apply the BOP reliability to. The following section outlines themethodology and results of incorporating the added BOP reliability into the analysis.

Based on the historical SINTEF data, of the 11 remaining loss of well control incidents, the BOPwas able to close and securc the well in six of the incidents (6/11 = 55% success); hence five events(45%) are classified as failures of using the BOP stack to prevent uncontrolled flow. This equatesto an uncontrolled flow event frequency of 3.1 x 10.4, or one event for every 3,205 wells drilled.The next branch in the event tree is shown in Figure 4-6 below.

55% 3.8 x 10~

Engage BOP in a Success

loss of well controlevent

6.9x 10-4

45% 3.1 x 10"

Failure,

Figure 4-6 SINTEF Historical Uncontrollcd Flow Frcqucncy

The historical data is assumed to be reprcsentative of one-blind shear BOP configurations;therefore the uncontrolled flow frequency and one-blind shear BOP reliability can be used tocalculate the total !i'equency of events requiring the BOP to be engaged. This is shown inFigure 4-7.

"'-'-'-'--'

99% 3.1 x 10.2

Success

Ell"a"C BOP

3.1 x 10.2

1% 3.1 x 10-4

Failure

Figurc 4-7 AdJustcd Frcqucncy Based on One-blmd Shear BOP

RdCrcllc~ to pmt oftl\ls l"pOrl which Ill")' lead to misinterpretation is not pcnnisslbJc]2A88QII.9 / Transocean Of1:~hore Deepwater Drilling Illc 131/07/2009 Page 20

Confidential Treatment Requested by Transocean Holdings LLC TRN-HCEC-00063103

Page 26: RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE DEEPWATER HORIZON …BLOWOUT PREVENTER (BOP) CONTROL SYSTEM April 2000 - Final Report ... As discussed in the introduction, the evaluation of the fault trees

SPE/IADC 119762

Pull Your BOP Stack-Or Not? A Systematic Method to Making This Multi..Million Dollar DecisionJeff Sattler, WEST Engineering Services

Gopynghl2009. SPEIIADG Drilling Conference and EXhibition

'Hus paper was prepared for presenlallon alilla $PEIIADC Drilling Conference and Exhibition held In Amslerdam, The Netherlands, 17--19 March 2009.

'HIls paper was selected for presenlallan by an SPEIIADC program cammilleelollowlng r.view 01 information contained in an abstract sUllmllled by the aUlhor(s). Conlents 01 the paper havenot been reviewed by Ihe Soclely of Petroleum Engineers or the Internalional Association of Drilling Contraclors and are subjeci 10 correclion by tho ""Ihor(s}. Tile rmllenal does 110tnecessarily reffect any positron of Iho Society of Pe1rolsurY'! Engineers Of lhe International Association of Drlmng Contractors, its officors, or members. Elec1ronic reproduclion, distribulion, Of

slorage 01 any part of Ihis paper withoul 1M wrilten consent 01 th. Society of Petroleum Englne.rs or Ule IntelrlallOnal Association of Drming Conlractors IS prohibited, PermiSSion 10reproduce in pnnl is reslricted 10 an ab.tracl of not more Ihan 300 wordS; illuslrallons may not be copied. The abslract musl conlaln conspICuous acknowleogmenl of SPEliADC copynght.

7 '5 , 1

AbstractCategory: Deepwater Drilling or Case Studies

Pulling your BOP stack, particularly in deep water, is one of the singularly most costly events in the drilling of a well if itoccurs. While in most cases this course of action is correctly undertaken, occasions occur when the stack pull could havebeen avoided. These regrettable incidents occur for a variety of reasons, including inadequate information and lor stafftraining, unclear understanding of regulatory or company requirements, and non-availability of expel1s to assist in thedecision making due to time zone differences, among others.

This paper presents several case studies where planned stack pulls were circumvented or could have been, as well as asystematic protocol that can be developed prior to starting a well to define the decision making process 1'01' stack pulls foryour specific program.

IntroductionCurrent deepwater rig downtime costs can easily approach $1,000,000 USD per day, allocated roughly equally between rigand spread costs, or about $700 per minute. The linancially signillcant cost of pulling your BOP stack, pal1icularly in deepwater, is one that is always noticed when it occurs. Undoubtedly, this action is necessary most of the time. However, onthose occasions when the stack pull could have been avoided, all pmiies to this action rightfully question how to take bestadvantage of the unfortunate learning situation. Avoidable stack pulls occur for a variety of reasons, inclUding:

• Inadequate information about the situation or equipment,• Inadequate staff training,• Unclear understanding of regulatory requirements,• Unclear understanding of company requirements, and• Lack of access to experts who can assist in the decision making.

This paper presents a systematic protocol that can be used prior to starting a well or during the drilling, if necessary, tohelp define the decision-making process for stack pulls for your specific program, In addition, it presents several case studieswhere planned stack pulls were circumvented, or might have been, with more preparation, experience, understanding orinspection.

It is best to make some preparations before the drilling stalis. In the thick of the drilling process, when things stal1 to gowrong, time is much more valuable and results in an atmosphere of urgency that sometimes results in what is retroactivelyidentified as a poor decision. Once a problem develops, you should take the time to identify the root cause, if possible, andthen take the necessary steps to analyze the situation and decide if drilling can safely continue 01' not. This part of the processoften requires the advice and experience of one or more experienced drilling experts, n'O!l1 within or outside the pal1iesdirectly involved in the drilling operation.

Note: Much of the information presented here is commonly available in the drilling industry, but this paper strives topresent it in a more structured framework, to encourage readers to do at least some of the preparation before starting thedrilling program and to analyze the problem and potential solutions in detail before deciding on a course of action.

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Survey of Available Data on OCS Resources and Identification of Data Gaps

6

development cost scenarios. Results of this economic analysis are called Undiscovered Economically Recoverable Resources (UERR). For the 2010-2015 Draft Proposed Program, UERR’s were generated using oil prices of $60/barrel (bbl), $110/bbl, and $160/bbl. Results are shown in Table 2 and indicate that approximately 53 percent of the total UTRR is economically recoverable on an oil-equivalent (BOE) basis, with an oil price of $60/bbl and corresponding gas price of $6.41/thousand cubic feet of gas (Mcf). This increases to about 78 percent with an oil price of $160/bbl and corresponding gas price of $17.08/Mcf.

Table 2. Mean Undiscovered Economically Recoverable Resources of the OCS

$60/bbl and $6.41/Mcf $110/bbl and $11.74/Mcf $160/bbl and $17.08/Mcf Region Oil

(Bbo) Gas (Tcf)

BOE (Bbo)

Oil (Bbo)

Gas (Tcf)

BOE (Bbo)

Oil (Bbo)

Gas (Tcf)

BOE (Bbo)

Alaska OCS 4.45 7.20 5.73 11.45 30.01 16.79 15.46 50.78 24.50 Atlantic OCS 2.58 14.55 5.17 3.07 21.85 6.96 3.28 25.79 7.87

Gulf of Mexico OCS 36.75 165.94 66.28 41.04 203.43 77.24 42.56 214.87 80.79 Pacific OCS 8.38 13.16 10.72 9.29 15.14 11.98 9.49 15.60 12.27

Total U.S. OCS 52.16 200.85 87.90 64.85 270.43 112.97 70.79 307.04 125.42

(Bbo-billion barrels of oil; Tcf-trillion cubic feet of gas.) New areas in the Atlantic, Eastern Gulf of Mexico, Pacific, and Alaska OCS have been identified for inclusion in the 2010-2015 Draft Proposed Oil and Gas Leasing Program. Although leasing has not occurred in these areas for about 25 years, previous exploration has occurred in portions of these areas, and some of these areas contain active leases with producing oil and gas fields. Updated research and exploration regarding the likely location of energy resources and environmental impacts are necessary to fill in data gaps.

Safety and the Environment

Oil Spill Risks Oil spills are of major concern to the public, offshore industry workers, and Federal and State regulators. Spill prevention offshore is achieved primarily through required, extensive safety procedures and practices, and engineering requirements such as the use of downhole shut-off valves and blowout prevention devices. The record shows good results in preventing and minimizing spills. In 2003, the National Research Council reported (for the period 1990 through 1999) that offshore oil and gas development was responsible for only 2 percent of the petroleum found in the marine environment for North America. The MMS employs advanced oil-spill risk analysis to inform its environmental assessments of offshore activities. Spill prevention, mitigation, and response plans are required and tested frequently to maintain readiness offshore.

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Survey of Available Data on OCS Resources and Identification of Data Gaps

III-34

E. Key Challenges and Information Needs

The following sections describe the key challenges and information gaps for each of the resources discussed in Section III.C above. The discussion is broken into geographic areas with some of the challenges and information gaps common to all areas discussed first.

1. All OCS Regions a. Key Challenges for Oil and Gas Development

Seafloor Habitats: The key challenges related to seafloor habitats include the impacts caused by anchoring, infrastructure and pipeline emplacement, infrastructure removal, blowouts, drilling discharges, produced water discharges, and possible oil spills. Blowouts and oil spills are very rare. The basic approach to mitigate physical impacts to sensitive biological communities on the sea floor is to identify their location and avoid those areas by impacting activities. Effectiveness of this process is demonstrated at the Flower Garden Banks in the Gulf of Mexico, which coexists in close proximity to numerous oil and gas operations, while continuing to be one of the healthiest coral reefs in the western hemisphere. Coastal Habitats: For coastal habitats, key challenges are the placement of pipelines, increased usage of ship channels, a lack of existing onshore infrastructure capable of supporting the offshore activity, and oil spills. Careful site selection for onshore support bases, pipeline placements, and new channels required for OCS offshore access can be used to minimize damage to coastal habitats. Shore base development must be closely coordinated with the affected states’ Coastal Zone Management authority as well as the appropriate Federal resource and regulatory agencies (USFWS, NOAA, and Army COE) in order to assure that impacts to sensitive coastline features and wetland areas are avoided or minimized. Maximizing the use of existing onshore facilities for fabrication, staging, support base construction utility corridors or drainage rights of way as well as other previously disturbed areas for pipeline landfalls would minimize or eliminate damage to sensitive areas. Staging of oil spill response equipment and adequate response planning would minimize coastal impacts from oil spills. Marine Fish Resources: Key challenges for oil and gas development that are common to all OCS areas include the threat of accidental oil spills, space-use conflicts, habitat alteration, and seismic surveys. The threat of an oil spill and its effects both directly and indirectly on fisheries is central to the concerns about offshore oil and gas. There is extensive information on the detrimental effects of oil on fisheries in coastal and ocean situations (NRC, 2003). Much of this research was and continues to be funded by MMS. Space-use conflicts, at the dock or offshore, and habitat alteration, as pipelines are installed and come onshore, are important challenges that can be met by working closely with stakeholder groups including industry at the time of specific projects, encouraging multiple-use of infrastructure, and open consideration of alternative locations and routes. Seismic surveys are a challenge, as noise from such activity negatively affects fish resources, temporarily affects the ability to catch fish, and limits access to an area. Mitigations for seismic surveys on fisheries include timing and notification so that there is the least amount of interference with fishing, avoidance of fish spawning locations, spawning seasons, and areas of concentrated fishing activity, limitation to the smallest area

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IBlow-out Prevention Equipment Reliability Joint Industry Project

H. Data Calculations

The Athens Group audited the collection process executed by WEST from the point data wasreadyJor loading on the website. No data was usedwithout a 100% assurance of accurate source andquality.. The software. and techniques used for the analyses were documented and transparent to the liPtechnical committee. There were NO proprietary algorithms orapplication used to manipulate the data,All statistical analyses were executed using generally accepted industry practices.

J

Data Categorization - AIIData Collected

The following data categorization is based on all data collected by WEST Engineering for the study.

Figure 4-6 showsthe data provided for this report bast:d on bottom lease number and APlnumber. Therewere a total of 4244 individual well test records. Those test records contained a totalof89,189testsonindividual pieces of equipment. The goal of the data collectionwas to have a 95% plus confidence factorin the number of well collected and the amount ofdata validated. Base on the number of individual APIwells, the confidence factor that enough data was collected andmade available for statistical analysisexceeded that factor byover4.6%, for a confidence factor of99,58%.

239238

164,244

2189,189

37599..58%

Total Number ofMMS Subsea WellsTotal Number ofWells Recorded

Total NumberofWells RemainingTotal Number ofWell TestRecords

Average Well Tests Per WellTotal Number of Well Tests

Average component Tests pet: WellCurrent Confidence Factor

Figure 4-6 Data andStatistical Confidence

I. Statistical Analyses·

Because ofthe large number ofcomponent tests, 89,189 and the smallnumber of failures,62, correlationanalysesalltrend toward zero. Correlations can be drawn from the data as categorized by severalvariables. However, theymay not be statistically valid because the failure frequency is so low.

Distribution across All Component Types

The following Figures represent the distributions of the data amongvarious independent variables thatcould be used for correlations and regression analyses for failure rate predictions. Note that NOT allgraphs total 62 failures. This is because some of the independent variables had no entries in the fieldsaggregated. Tables indicating the data on which these graphs are based maybe found in the appendix.

Page 123

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IBlow-out Prevention Equipment Reliability Joint Industry Project

As an industry, BOP pressure tests and function tests on the surface often do not reflect real world subseaconditions. Sometimes this is a conscious decision, (stump testing pressure may be dictated by the wellplan} and sometimes this is due to the·design of the rig (testing must be accomplished using hot lines).This is especially true when a rig must splitthe BOPstackandLMRP while onthe deck. The flow pathand flow rate the control fluid follows subseais significantlydifferentfrom operating the BOP on thesurface with a Yzu hotline. Slower flow rates that generally occur when testing on the surface can maskwaterhammer issues; this was one of thelessons learned when 5thgeneration rigs began operations.Another significant difference on the surfaceinvolvesthe subsea accumulators. Often the pre-chargepresstireis so high that no fluid ever enters the bottles when the BOPs are on deck. While they do getpressure tested on the surfacethey hardly ever get flow tested.

As an industry, there has been no mandate to address these types of issues although some rigs and/ordrilling contractors have acknowledged these discrepancies in the surface testing procedures and are beingproactive in addressing them by developing testing procedures that will more closely simulate subseaconditions, Typically the normal operating pressure supplied to the BOP components via the manifoldregulators is set at 1500 psi; however, nearly allthe equipmenthas a ratedoperating pressure of3,000psi.When the BOP is on the deck, the operating system may never see anything above 1,500 psL The ,mentality maybe that "I don't want to find problems; 1 want tado the minimum necessary to obtain agood test".. Due to this and other issues,therig reality maydiffer greatly from the maintenance.systemplanned bythe corporate experts andlor procedures in place on that specific rig. Table 3 ioAPI RP53sectionlS·offerssome guidance on stump tests yet, in many cases, this is not followed.

The philol'ophical approach is seen to be shifting to do more to find hidden failures before the BOP isdeployed; however, additional or more extensive testing will require more time prior to deploying theBOP stack. Often there is a great deal ofpressure to run the BOP stack before it isdeemed fit for purposebythe experts who maintain and test the equipment. Pressure tocut comers can come from the operator,the drilling contractor, or it can be imagined. Regardless ofwhere it comeS from, equipment reliabilityiscompromisedif the BOP is deployed prior to being fully tested in a manner designed to identify failuresand simulate subsea conditions as closely as possible. Testing systems and components to the maximumrated pressures on surface should be considered the norm rather than the exception. As mentioned earlier,there may bea difference between the written maintenance system and the tasks executed. All computerbased maintenance systems have the abilityto track tasks whichare notcompleted, yet there is nomandated industry standard for tracking or reporting tasks not completed.

As noted, while it is not possible to completely simulate the hydrostatic pressure the Bdp will be exposedto, there are a number oftesting procedures that would, if implemented, be a more realistic test oftheBOP and simulate some of the conditions the BOP will be exposed to subsea. We suggest thatAPIRP53 Table 3be modified to address these issues and be adopted as protocol to avoid two week pressuretesting. subsea.

Appendix! provides an overview of industry corporate preventivemaintenance philosophies currently ineffect for subsea stacks.

B. Correlations of data from WESTs databaseStump and initial installation tests were specifically excluded by the committee defining the projectrequirements. However, WEST considered it of interestto evaluate the failure distributions identified by

Page 135

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FINAL REPORT

Blow-out Prevention Equipment ReliabilityJoint Industry Project (Phase I - Subsea)

15 January 2010

~1I~lF ENGINEERING~SERVICES

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•••••••••••­•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••

, Blow-out Prevention Equipment ReJiability Joint Industry Project-Subsea

The results ofthe test data included in this project indicate the following failure frequency, MTTF (MeanTime To Failure) in units ofoperating days/failure:

Component/System MTTF,Operating days/failure

Annulars 4,595Rams

Fixed 00

VBR 3,138BSR 4,694Casing shear 00

Choke and kill valves 113,553Connectors 19,228Control systems

Biased 847Piloted 658MUX 430

Table 2-1 Equipment Failure Frequency

It is important to understand and focus on the fact that control system failures are the most likely categoryoffailures on subseaBOP equipment and that they are identified by function tests. Accordingly, thisreport recommends no change to the current weekly function test requirement.

Based on the data collected, increasing the existing testing frequency will not result in substantial changesto reliability. The recommendation to extend the 14-day pressure test requirement to 35 days maximum,results from the combination of effective failure identification through other means, and industry standardand mandated testing prior to running the stack and upon initial installation.

ps, (%) based on testComponent freclUenCY

14 days 35 daysAnnulars 99.62 99.06Rams

Fixed 100 100VBR 99.78 99.46BSR 99.82 99.55CasinJ;!; shear 100 100

Choke and kill valves 99.99 99.97Connectors 99.93 99.82

Table 2-2 BOP Stack Component Probability ofSuccess

Page /6 of 119

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RAISING PERFORMANCE. TOGETHERTM I eCAMERON

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CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUESTED CAM-HCNR00010678

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Thursday 6th May 2010

Confidential Treatment Requested BP·HZN·CEC 018930

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Top of Fl•• Joint 5006 ft

DatelTime

A 4/22/10 2:454/2212010 07:30

Cut electrical wtres to sImulate Deadman (blind shear rams)Cut nrlng pIn for Autoshear (activates blinds shear rams)

Up,",An...,.,

Loft,Annulu

-----;~~=::::;--~Choke line

Cut hydraulic hoses 10 access casing shear ramAttempt 10 close wilh coiled tubing unit - low flow rateModify hoses 10 increase flow areaAttempt 10 close wi ROV Wand - a parenll moved shuttle valve, but system leaks

Attempt 10 close by pumping Into ROV hot stab - ROV pump failureAttempt 10 close wllh ROV - only able 10 hold 2000 psiAttempt 10 close wllh ROV with portable subsea accumulator - system leaksIdentify and fix leak in conlrol syslemAttempt 10 close with ROV with pressure up to 3500psl - no Indication of movement

Attempt 10 close by pumping Into ROV hot slab -lOW now rateAttempt 10 close with ROV • low now rateAttempt 10 close with ROV with portable subsea accumulator· system leaksIdenul'y and nx leak In control systemAttempt 10 close wi ROV. Pressure u 8 lImes to 5000psl • no IndIcation of movement

C 4122120101:1541261201011:004126/2010 22:004126/201024:004127120104:00

D 4127/2010 10:004127/2010 24:004128120104:00

4128/2010 23:00

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~ 4128120106:00 Thermal survey of choke & kill lines. No Indication fn w.

~~~--Ir~~-IB 4121/201018:004125120109:00

4125/2010 22:004126120105:00

4126/201011:00

RiserConnector

Top ofW.llh.ad

Version 3 10

Confidential Treatment Requested BP·HZN·CEC 018939

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21

Blow OutPreventor

Lower MarineRiser Package

Choke Line/

Drill Pipe

?

Upper Annular

Kill Line

Lower Annular

Blind Shear Ram

Variable Bore Ram

Test Bore Ram-----' -.:

Casing Shear Ram

Variable Bore Ram

Confidential Treatment Requested BP·HZN·CEC 018950