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Ricardo A. Alvarez www.mitigat.com [email protected] 305-332-3664 Resilience and Adaptation Planning in the Estero Bay Region 12 December 2016 Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1

Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Page 1: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

Ricardo A. Alvarezwww.mitigat.com [email protected] 305-332-3664

Resilience and Adaptation Planning in the Estero Bay Region

12 December 2016

Florida Gulf Coast University

Fort Myers, FL

12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1

Page 2: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 2

Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o BACKGROUND

o DEFINITIONS

o WHAT IS MISSING IN THE CONVERSATION?

o TOWARD RESILIENCE

o FOCUS ON THE IMPACTS

o POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS

Page 3: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o Interaction of human activity with hazards

o Dynamic interactive process

Page 4: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o Source of potential damage

o Consists of damaging components

Page 5: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o Adverse consequence from a hazard

o Direct, indirect, or consequential

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o Shelter for human activity

o Continuity of function

o Interdependency with natural environment

Page 7: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

o It is about elasticity, bouncing back

o Continuity of function

Page 8: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Page 9: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Incorporate these criteria in conversation:

o Sea level RUN: horizontal component ~ 200:1

o A BAND not a line (of risk): water meets land

o A moving target: need a temporal component

o Mitigation vs adaptation: different timelines

o Exclamation points!: exacerbation of other impacts

Page 10: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Incorporate exclamation points in conversation:

o Storm surge: water-depth dependent

o Wave impact: water-depth dependent

o Extreme rain events: water-depth dependent

Page 11: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Page 12: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Page 13: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

Page 14: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

THE SILENT KILLER: seepage, salt-water intrusion

o Raises water table

o Water-logged soils

o Damage to landscaping

o Weakens roadways and infrastructure

o Degrades functionality of septic systems

o Chloride corrosion – Structural damage

Page 15: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

THE SILENT KILLER: seepage, salt-water intrusion

Page 16: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

STORM SURGE – WAVE IMPACT

Page 17: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS: Natural, soft mitigation

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS: Based on design criteria

o Forward-looking design paradigm

o Cut-off walls

o Sea walls (except in sandy beaches)

o Surge/wave deflectors

o Alternative waste-water treatment

o Building/infrastructure elevation

o Water relocation and storage (temporary)

o Building/infrastructure relocation

Page 19: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS:

o Longshore sand transport

o Ecosystem protection

o Turtle nesting

o Navigation

Page 20: Ricardo A. Alvarez ricardoalfonso@mitigat ...€¦ · Florida Gulf Coast University Fort Myers, FL 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ - MITIGAT.com, Inc. 1. 12/13/2016 RICARDO A. ALVAREZ

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Sea level rise and the built environment:

Expected impacts and solutions

How much time do we have?

How much time can we buy?