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Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC) Release Date: 10/31/2018 Percentages Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 1 © 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 9th State Senate District 10/26/18 through 10/31/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. 1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting? 400 Registered Voters All Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely Already Voted 37% 40% 35% 17% 31% 38% 58% 25% 47% 34% 40% 100% 47% 100% 0% 0% 0% Very Likely 53% 53% 52% 54% 60% 57% 40% 57% 49% 55% 51% 0% 50% 0% 100% 0% 0% Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 6% 17% 5% 4% 2% 10% 3% 6% 9% 0% 3% 0% 0% 100% 0% Unlikely 2% 0% 4% 8% 2% 1% 0% 5% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 5% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1 North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or not voting? 400 Registered Voters All Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K Already Voted 37% 42% 38% 29% 37% 46% 31% 42% 31% 44% 38% 42% 39% 36% 37% 26% 41% 38% Very Likely 53% 49% 59% 58% 53% 52% 54% 50% 57% 47% 52% 53% 40% 53% 56% 48% 53% 55% Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 2% 8% 7% 2% 4% 5% 7% 6% 5% 1% 13% 5% 5% 16% 2% 5% Unlikely 2% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 6% 1% 3% 0% 2% 3% 8% 3% 1% 7% 3% 0% Not Voting 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

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Page 1: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 1© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 9th State Senate District 10/26/18 through 10/31/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.

Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS) from

Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Already Voted 37% 40% 35% 17% 31% 38% 58% 25% 47% 34% 40% 100% 47% 100% 0% 0% 0%

Very Likely 53% 53% 52% 54% 60% 57% 40% 57% 49% 55% 51% 0% 50% 0% 100% 0% 0%

Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 6% 17% 5% 4% 2% 10% 3% 6% 9% 0% 3% 0% 0% 100% 0%

Unlikely 2% 0% 4% 8% 2% 1% 0% 5% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%

Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 5% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Already Voted 37% 42% 38% 29% 37% 46% 31% 42% 31% 44% 38% 42% 39% 36% 37% 26% 41% 38%

Very Likely 53% 49% 59% 58% 53% 52% 54% 50% 57% 47% 52% 53% 40% 53% 56% 48% 53% 55%

Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 2% 8% 7% 2% 4% 5% 7% 6% 5% 1% 13% 5% 5% 16% 2% 5%

Unlikely 2% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 6% 1% 3% 0% 2% 3% 8% 3% 1% 7% 3% 0%

Not Voting 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 2: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 2© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Already Voted 37% 40% 36% 35% 20% 50%

Very Likely 53% 49% 54% 56% 59% 48%

Somewhat Likely 6% 8% 5% 9% 11% 2%

Unlikely 2% 2% 3% 0% 5% 0%

Not Voting 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Right Direction 39% 44% 34% 37% 24% 52% 39% 30% 46% 39% 48% 0% 35% 35% 42% 39% 11%

Wrong Track 45% 44% 45% 43% 55% 37% 46% 50% 41% 44% 38% 100% 35% 55% 43% 8% 46%

Not Sure 16% 12% 21% 20% 21% 11% 15% 21% 13% 17% 15% 0% 30% 10% 15% 53% 43%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Right Direction 39% 50% 26% 36% 52% 26% 33% 48% 36% 29% 49% 21% 41% 39% 39% 45% 32% 43%

Wrong Track 45% 33% 60% 48% 29% 63% 51% 32% 48% 64% 33% 64% 37% 42% 49% 29% 53% 45%

Not Sure 16% 18% 14% 16% 18% 11% 16% 20% 16% 8% 17% 15% 22% 19% 13% 25% 14% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 3: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 3© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Right Direction 39% 39% 39% 43% 39% 39%

Wrong Track 45% 49% 44% 45% 40% 48%

Not Sure 16% 12% 17% 13% 21% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Michael Lee (R) 47% 54% 40% 28% 54% 57% 44% 42% 51% 47% 37% 100% 42% 50% 48% 42% 0%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 39% 41% 40% 35% 34% 51% 38% 42% 40% 49% 0% 33% 48% 40% 14% 3%

Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 6% 1% 2% 1% 0%

Undecided 11% 6% 16% 31% 8% 7% 4% 18% 6% 11% 11% 0% 19% 1% 10% 43% 97%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Michael Lee (R) 47% 85% 11% 30% 88% 5% 35% 89% 28% 8% 86% 4% 45% 44% 49% 33% 52% 49%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 8% 80% 44% 4% 92% 35% 6% 54% 83% 4% 87% 37% 41% 40% 40% 35% 45%

Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 5% 1% 2% 3% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1%

Undecided 11% 6% 6% 24% 6% 3% 26% 5% 16% 6% 7% 9% 16% 13% 9% 21% 13% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 4: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 4© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Michael Lee (R) 47% 50% 45% 56% 42% 50%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 42% 40% 28% 32% 46%

Ethan Bickley 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1%

Undecided 11% 6% 14% 16% 23% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 39% 46% 33% 26% 42% 48% 35% 35% 42% 37% 37% 100% 29% 47% 39% 5% 3%

Unfavorable 27% 26% 27% 21% 22% 19% 43% 22% 30% 28% 20% 0% 45% 38% 23% 0% 11%

Neutral 25% 22% 28% 34% 23% 29% 15% 28% 23% 26% 25% 0% 26% 12% 31% 52% 43%

No Opinion 9% 6% 13% 20% 12% 3% 6% 15% 5% 9% 17% 0% 0% 3% 7% 43% 43%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 39% 69% 19% 16% 70% 13% 27% 73% 21% 15% 68% 10% 35% 40% 40% 26% 51% 35%

Unfavorable 27% 6% 52% 34% 4% 59% 24% 3% 32% 65% 4% 59% 23% 20% 32% 20% 22% 33%

Neutral 25% 20% 20% 39% 20% 21% 33% 19% 37% 8% 23% 20% 27% 30% 21% 34% 18% 27%

No Opinion 9% 5% 9% 11% 6% 7% 16% 6% 9% 11% 6% 10% 15% 10% 7% 20% 9% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 5: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 5© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 39% 42% 36% 57% 35% 42%

Unfavorable 27% 22% 30% 20% 14% 36%

Neutral 25% 24% 25% 18% 35% 18%

No Opinion 9% 12% 9% 4% 16% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 32% 32% 32% 29% 31% 25% 44% 30% 34% 32% 41% 0% 25% 36% 33% 14% 14%

Unfavorable 32% 38% 26% 14% 30% 44% 33% 23% 39% 29% 35% 100% 29% 40% 29% 15% 21%

Neutral 24% 19% 27% 21% 27% 24% 21% 24% 23% 26% 12% 0% 40% 18% 28% 12% 43%

No Opinion 13% 11% 14% 37% 12% 7% 2% 23% 5% 14% 12% 0% 6% 6% 10% 59% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 32% 8% 63% 34% 4% 74% 26% 6% 38% 73% 6% 70% 37% 34% 29% 37% 29% 31%

Unfavorable 32% 55% 11% 19% 58% 5% 26% 60% 17% 10% 58% 4% 26% 34% 32% 26% 37% 29%

Neutral 24% 25% 17% 29% 24% 15% 34% 18% 34% 6% 23% 16% 23% 19% 27% 22% 21% 27%

No Opinion 13% 12% 9% 17% 15% 5% 15% 15% 11% 11% 13% 10% 14% 14% 11% 15% 13% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 6: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 6© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 32% 32% 32% 22% 23% 38%

Unfavorable 32% 39% 29% 25% 21% 40%

Neutral 24% 19% 26% 25% 32% 18%

No Opinion 13% 10% 12% 28% 24% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Favorable 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0%

Unfavorable 7% 8% 6% 1% 8% 10% 7% 5% 9% 6% 12% 0% 12% 9% 7% 0% 0%

Neutral 38% 42% 34% 53% 36% 30% 37% 43% 33% 35% 34% 100% 54% 39% 36% 53% 21%

No Opinion 54% 49% 58% 45% 54% 59% 54% 50% 57% 56% 51% 0% 34% 51% 54% 47% 79%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favorable 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 5% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 8% 1% 1%

Unfavorable 7% 9% 9% 3% 10% 8% 1% 9% 3% 10% 8% 7% 9% 6% 7% 5% 10% 5%

Neutral 38% 38% 39% 36% 35% 43% 34% 38% 42% 30% 36% 35% 35% 42% 34% 42% 39% 33%

No Opinion 54% 52% 49% 58% 54% 49% 59% 52% 53% 58% 54% 58% 56% 49% 56% 45% 50% 61%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 7: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 7© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favorable 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%

Unfavorable 7% 7% 8% 4% 3% 9%

Neutral 38% 37% 32% 77% 47% 30%

No Opinion 54% 54% 58% 18% 46% 59%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Republican 48% 56% 40% 27% 57% 57% 44% 44% 51% 47% 45% 100% 42% 53% 46% 61% 0%

Democratic 41% 37% 44% 48% 33% 33% 52% 40% 41% 42% 44% 0% 39% 46% 40% 28% 25%

Another Party 2% 0% 4% 6% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 6% 0% 3% 0% 21%

Undecided 9% 7% 11% 19% 7% 10% 3% 12% 6% 10% 8% 0% 13% 1% 11% 11% 54%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Republican 48% 90% 8% 29% 93% 4% 32% 89% 31% 6% 87% 1% 49% 45% 50% 36% 52% 50%

Democratic 41% 6% 86% 50% 2% 96% 36% 5% 54% 86% 2% 93% 30% 44% 41% 42% 36% 44%

Another Party 2% 0% 2% 3% 0% 0% 7% 0% 3% 2% 2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 6% 2% 1%

Undecided 9% 4% 5% 19% 4% 0% 24% 6% 12% 6% 8% 4% 14% 10% 7% 16% 10% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

Page 8: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 8© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Republican 48% 51% 45% 63% 43% 52%

Democratic 41% 39% 42% 30% 36% 45%

Another Party 2% 4% 2% 0% 4% 1%

Undecided 9% 6% 11% 7% 18% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Education 23% 17% 28% 27% 27% 19% 20% 27% 19% 24% 23% 0% 23% 22% 22% 21% 57%

Energy / Environment 12% 13% 12% 17% 8% 11% 14% 12% 13% 14% 3% 0% 10% 9% 13% 23% 0%

Government Spending 10% 11% 9% 4% 6% 15% 12% 5% 14% 10% 11% 0% 16% 10% 12% 0% 0%

Healthcare 20% 23% 17% 23% 8% 22% 26% 15% 24% 19% 26% 0% 28% 24% 18% 12% 21%

Jobs / Economy 16% 14% 17% 17% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 16% 21% 0% 0% 10% 17% 37% 21%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 7% 7% 1% 12% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 5% 0% 11% 8% 8% 0% 0%

Taxes 8% 12% 4% 3% 21% 6% 1% 13% 4% 5% 4% 100% 0% 14% 5% 0% 0%

Other 3% 2% 5% 6% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% 2% 0% 13% 3% 3% 0% 0%

Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

Page 9: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 9© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Education 23% 20% 24% 24% 17% 25% 28% 15% 27% 31% 18% 24% 17% 27% 21% 24% 24% 22%

Energy / Environment 12% 4% 22% 16% 4% 22% 11% 3% 20% 18% 3% 22% 1% 8% 17% 8% 9% 17%

Government Spending 10% 14% 6% 7% 15% 2% 12% 22% 4% 0% 17% 2% 18% 7% 10% 6% 13% 8%

Healthcare 20% 13% 33% 15% 14% 32% 16% 10% 23% 34% 12% 32% 29% 21% 17% 22% 21% 17%

Jobs / Economy 16% 20% 6% 21% 23% 5% 18% 25% 8% 9% 22% 10% 18% 17% 15% 22% 15% 14%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 8% 5% 11% 8% 9% 5% 9% 9% 3% 9% 6% 7% 5% 9% 8% 4% 10%

Taxes 8% 16% 2% 1% 16% 0% 5% 13% 5% 6% 14% 0% 4% 11% 7% 3% 10% 8%

Other 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 7% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Education 23% 21% 23% 31% 32% 16%

Energy / Environment 12% 6% 16% 1% 10% 14%

Government Spending 10% 8% 10% 15% 3% 15%

Healthcare 20% 17% 20% 29% 12% 25%

Jobs / Economy 16% 18% 15% 16% 18% 14%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 10% 7% 1% 7% 8%

Taxes 8% 19% 4% 0% 12% 5%

Other 3% 2% 3% 7% 4% 3%

Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

Page 10: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 10© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Democrats 38% 36% 39% 42% 27% 31% 52% 34% 41% 38% 41% 0% 39% 46% 37% 13% 3%

Republicans 52% 59% 45% 33% 62% 62% 45% 49% 54% 51% 46% 100% 55% 52% 52% 59% 21%

Not Sure 11% 5% 16% 25% 11% 7% 3% 17% 5% 11% 13% 0% 6% 2% 10% 28% 75%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Democrats 38% 5% 87% 38% 2% 93% 30% 5% 48% 82% 2% 86% 31% 38% 38% 36% 37% 38%

Republicans 52% 91% 12% 40% 96% 6% 39% 92% 34% 15% 91% 8% 50% 48% 55% 41% 53% 55%

Not Sure 11% 5% 1% 22% 2% 0% 32% 3% 18% 3% 8% 6% 18% 13% 7% 22% 10% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Democrats 38% 36% 39% 28% 30% 43%

Republicans 52% 53% 50% 62% 50% 53%

Not Sure 11% 11% 11% 10% 20% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

Page 11: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 11© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Approve 75% 74% 76% 68% 71% 85% 72% 69% 79% 74% 73% 100% 77% 78% 71% 81% 75%

Disapprove 13% 14% 13% 7% 23% 8% 15% 16% 11% 13% 16% 0% 19% 14% 15% 1% 3%

Not Sure 12% 12% 11% 25% 6% 7% 13% 15% 10% 13% 10% 0% 3% 8% 14% 18% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Approve 75% 78% 74% 67% 75% 78% 70% 80% 72% 74% 75% 73% 76% 77% 73% 78% 77% 71%

Disapprove 13% 11% 15% 16% 10% 11% 21% 10% 15% 16% 15% 13% 13% 10% 16% 9% 12% 16%

Not Sure 12% 10% 11% 17% 15% 11% 9% 11% 13% 10% 10% 15% 11% 13% 11% 12% 11% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Approve 75% 83% 72% 61% 76% 74%

Disapprove 13% 10% 15% 17% 15% 12%

Not Sure 12% 6% 14% 22% 9% 14%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

Page 12: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 12© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 27% 18% 32% 16% 14% 30% 23% 21% 24% 14% 0% 23% 25% 24% 8% 0%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 41% 46% 44% 43% 53% 33% 43% 44% 45% 44% 0% 37% 38% 45% 55% 43%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 24% 32% 21% 26% 32% 33% 24% 32% 29% 34% 0% 33% 26% 29% 30% 57%

Not Sure 6% 8% 4% 2% 15% 1% 4% 9% 3% 2% 8% 100% 6% 10% 2% 7% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 6% 45% 23% 6% 48% 19% 2% 26% 59% 5% 45% 16% 21% 24% 17% 23% 24%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 63% 22% 34% 63% 18% 48% 66% 32% 23% 64% 17% 38% 35% 50% 40% 41% 48%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 23% 30% 38% 24% 31% 29% 23% 37% 18% 23% 36% 40% 32% 24% 36% 27% 27%

Not Sure 6% 8% 3% 5% 8% 3% 4% 9% 5% 0% 8% 3% 5% 12% 1% 7% 10% 1%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 20% 22% 31% 14% 29%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 45% 44% 37% 43% 44%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 23% 31% 28% 33% 25%

Not Sure 6% 11% 3% 3% 10% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

Page 13: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 13© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Favor 62% 64% 61% 46% 77% 69% 53% 63% 62% 62% 56% 100% 66% 58% 66% 50% 67%

Oppose 30% 28% 32% 35% 18% 26% 44% 26% 34% 31% 33% 0% 28% 40% 28% 16% 0%

Not Sure 7% 8% 7% 19% 5% 5% 3% 11% 4% 7% 11% 0% 6% 2% 6% 34% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Favor 62% 90% 30% 54% 91% 27% 62% 94% 50% 26% 92% 28% 56% 66% 61% 52% 73% 57%

Oppose 30% 4% 66% 36% 3% 69% 29% 4% 36% 74% 3% 69% 27% 26% 34% 34% 25% 33%

Not Sure 7% 6% 4% 10% 6% 4% 9% 2% 15% 0% 5% 4% 17% 8% 5% 14% 2% 10%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Favor 62% 64% 61% 70% 70% 57%

Oppose 30% 27% 33% 20% 18% 40%

Not Sure 7% 8% 6% 10% 12% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

Page 14: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 14© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely

Approve 48% 52% 43% 28% 53% 58% 46% 42% 52% 46% 49% 100% 42% 54% 45% 38% 25%

Disapprove 46% 41% 51% 59% 44% 36% 51% 51% 43% 49% 40% 0% 52% 46% 48% 41% 54%

Not Sure 6% 7% 5% 12% 4% 6% 3% 8% 5% 5% 11% 0% 6% 0% 8% 22% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K

Approve 48% 83% 10% 33% 87% 5% 42% 85% 31% 8% 89% 4% 56% 46% 47% 40% 50% 49%

Disapprove 46% 13% 85% 62% 9% 92% 51% 12% 59% 89% 7% 94% 35% 46% 49% 47% 46% 46%

Not Sure 6% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 8% 3% 10% 3% 4% 2% 10% 8% 4% 13% 3% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin

Approve 48% 49% 45% 63% 42% 52%

Disapprove 46% 43% 49% 35% 48% 45%

Not Sure 6% 8% 6% 2% 10% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%

All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions

Page 15: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 15© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Already Voted 37% - - - - - - 34% 46% 22% 40% 44% 26% 3% 45% 53% 18% 11%

Very Likely 53% - - - - - - 57% 50% 49% 54% 52% 69% 47% 53% 46% 64% 40%

Somewhat Likely 6% - - - - - - 6% 1% 20% 5% 2% 5% 23% 1% 0% 13% 28%

Unlikely 2% - - - - - - 1% 2% 6% 0% 0% 0% 20% 0% 1% 4% 11%

Not Voting 1% - - - - - - 3% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 8%

Not Sure 1% - - - - - - 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 1% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Already Voted 37% 41% 47% 29% 17% 13% 49% 39% 35% 41% 42% 7% 3%

Very Likely 53% 53% 48% 62% 43% 87% 51% 51% 53% 51% 51% 71% 62%

Somewhat Likely 6% 3% 3% 3% 28% 0% 0% 9% 5% 8% 4% 0% 7%

Unlikely 2% 1% 2% 4% 4% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 22% 14%

Not Voting 1% 2% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 8%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 16: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 16© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Already Voted 37% 36% 28% 36% 45% 25% 43% 65% 35% 0% 45% 38% 6% 39% 38% 26%

Very Likely 53% 50% 57% 62% 49% 56% 57% 35% 57% 66% 52% 53% 52% 50% 59% 61%

Somewhat Likely 6% 6% 11% 0% 4% 14% 0% 0% 0% 34% 2% 7% 16% 7% 1% 9%

Unlikely 2% 6% 0% 0% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 17% 2% 1% 4%

Not Voting 1% 2% 4% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 7% 2% 0% 0%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Already Voted 37% 41% 33% 34% 69% 35% 49% 10% 42% 37% 3%

Very Likely 53% 56% 54% 54% 19% 56% 48% 46% 49% 54% 67%

Somewhat Likely 6% 2% 8% 6% 7% 5% 3% 28% 5% 5% 22%

Unlikely 2% 0% 2% 5% 0% 3% 0% 10% 1% 3% 8%

Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 7% 2% 1% 0%

Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

Page 17: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 17© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Right Direction 39% 35% 42% 39% 11% 79% 0% - - - 55% 25% 0% 27% 54% 18% 45% 16%

Wrong Track 45% 55% 43% 8% 46% 0% 50% - - - 29% 64% 68% 37% 34% 77% 33% 31%

Not Sure 16% 10% 15% 53% 43% 21% 50% - - - 16% 10% 32% 36% 12% 5% 22% 52%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Right Direction 39% 26% 49% 42% 40% 21% 32% 38% 41% 53% 24% 12% 33%

Wrong Track 45% 62% 37% 40% 29% 48% 61% 46% 42% 31% 63% 66% 33%

Not Sure 16% 12% 14% 18% 31% 31% 7% 16% 17% 16% 13% 22% 34%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Right Direction 39% 40% 28% 32% 41% 49% 53% 37% 12% 27% 23% 52% 31% 42% 28% 30%

Wrong Track 45% 46% 50% 46% 51% 23% 40% 59% 70% 6% 66% 29% 46% 42% 63% 41%

Not Sure 16% 14% 22% 22% 8% 28% 8% 3% 19% 67% 11% 19% 23% 16% 9% 29%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

Page 18: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 18© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Right Direction 39% 25% 49% 40% 5% 47% 17% 60% 53% 22% 54%

Wrong Track 45% 71% 32% 38% 75% 35% 72% 18% 31% 62% 20%

Not Sure 16% 4% 19% 21% 21% 18% 11% 22% 16% 15% 26%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Michael Lee (R) 47% 50% 48% 42% 0% 40% 0% 66% 30% 46% - - - - 91% 2% 35% 20%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 48% 40% 14% 3% 40% 0% 26% 58% 25% - - - - 6% 92% 40% 32%

Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 4% - - - - 0% 3% 1% 7%

Undecided 11% 1% 10% 43% 97% 21% 100% 8% 9% 25% - - - - 2% 2% 23% 41%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 39% 27% 25% 9%

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Michael Lee (R) 47% 5% 93% 38% 55% 21% 65% 47% 45% 92% 1% 34% 16%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 92% 0% 39% 11% 15% 29% 38% 44% 4% 90% 4% 13%

Ethan Bickley 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 64% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 31% 6%

Undecided 11% 1% 4% 22% 33% 0% 6% 14% 10% 3% 8% 31% 65%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 19: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 19© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Michael Lee (R) 47% 24% 24% 93% 27% 69% 64% 91% 32% 27% 3% 86% 9% 49% 43% 36%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 53% 61% 4% 65% 18% 35% 1% 36% 23% 90% 6% 28% 41% 29% 48%

Ethan Bickley 2% 3% 1% 0% 4% 0% 1% 2% 8% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 8% 1%

Undecided 11% 19% 14% 3% 4% 12% 0% 6% 23% 50% 4% 6% 62% 9% 20% 15%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Michael Lee (R) 47% 8% 73% 35% 58% 70% 2% 37% 87% 7% 38%

Harper Peterson (D) 40% 85% 13% 51% 16% 17% 89% 29% 4% 77% 36%

Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 0%

Undecided 11% 6% 10% 13% 27% 12% 5% 33% 8% 13% 26%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 39% 47% 39% 5% 3% 40% 0% 54% 29% 29% 76% 6% 5% 8% - - - -

Unfavorable 27% 38% 23% 0% 11% 0% 0% 12% 46% 8% 1% 61% 43% 6% - - - -

Neutral 25% 12% 31% 52% 43% 0% 50% 29% 19% 33% 19% 25% 19% 52% - - - -

No Opinion 9% 3% 7% 43% 43% 60% 50% 4% 7% 30% 4% 8% 33% 35% - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11%

Page 20: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 20© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Favorable 39% 7% 79% 31% 33% 25% 65% 40% 36% 70% 7% 26% 18%

Unfavorable 27% 65% 3% 20% 1% 44% 30% 22% 28% 3% 59% 13% 10%

Neutral 25% 20% 16% 48% 21% 0% 5% 35% 22% 22% 25% 34% 39%

No Opinion 9% 8% 2% 2% 46% 31% 0% 3% 14% 5% 9% 27% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 39% 31% 15% 73% 24% 52% 45% 74% 27% 0% 10% 66% 10% 42% 35% 26%

Unfavorable 27% 27% 43% 2% 51% 9% 39% 1% 15% 6% 62% 5% 7% 25% 29% 35%

Neutral 25% 32% 40% 24% 16% 24% 16% 17% 31% 0% 20% 23% 50% 24% 31% 23%

No Opinion 9% 10% 2% 0% 9% 16% 0% 8% 26% 94% 8% 6% 33% 9% 5% 15%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 39% 20% 55% 25% 61% 59% 4% 15% 67% 11% 28%

Unfavorable 27% 67% 9% 25% 6% 7% 69% 16% 3% 53% 14%

Neutral 25% 10% 24% 39% 21% 24% 20% 57% 22% 26% 37%

No Opinion 9% 3% 12% 10% 13% 10% 8% 12% 8% 10% 21%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

Page 21: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 21© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 32% 36% 33% 14% 14% 40% 0% 21% 45% 23% 3% 74% 32% 3% 6% 78% 25% 27%

Unfavorable 32% 40% 29% 15% 21% 0% 0% 40% 26% 27% 63% 0% 51% 11% 65% 3% 20% 7%

Neutral 24% 18% 28% 12% 43% 0% 50% 26% 21% 26% 19% 23% 11% 47% 19% 18% 45% 4%

No Opinion 13% 6% 10% 59% 21% 60% 50% 13% 8% 24% 15% 4% 7% 38% 11% 1% 11% 62%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Favorable 32% - - - - 44% 27% 31% 33% 4% 70% 38% 7%

Unfavorable 32% - - - - 29% 49% 31% 30% 60% 4% 3% 13%

Neutral 24% - - - - 8% 22% 26% 22% 22% 21% 26% 46%

No Opinion 13% - - - - 19% 2% 12% 15% 15% 5% 33% 34%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 32% 38% 46% 3% 52% 17% 32% 0% 52% 27% 71% 6% 20% 32% 29% 36%

Unfavorable 32% 16% 4% 78% 18% 46% 43% 66% 22% 6% 2% 56% 16% 33% 28% 28%

Neutral 24% 39% 27% 18% 21% 13% 15% 26% 3% 6% 20% 22% 43% 23% 30% 20%

No Opinion 13% 7% 22% 1% 10% 24% 9% 8% 23% 61% 7% 16% 22% 12% 13% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

Page 22: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 22© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 32% 69% 13% 35% 16% 15% 71% 16% 6% 62% 9%

Unfavorable 32% 11% 47% 19% 56% 48% 5% 1% 58% 7% 17%

Neutral 24% 15% 22% 34% 19% 22% 19% 58% 20% 25% 41%

No Opinion 13% 5% 18% 12% 9% 15% 5% 25% 16% 6% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favorable 2% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 70% 0% 1% 3% 0% 7%

Unfavorable 7% 9% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% 9% 3% 10% 5% 0% 4% 11% 8% 1% 0%

Neutral 38% 39% 36% 53% 21% 0% 0% 37% 38% 37% 38% 36% 11% 47% 38% 32% 52% 13%

No Opinion 54% 51% 54% 47% 79% 100% 100% 56% 50% 56% 52% 58% 19% 50% 49% 57% 47% 81%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Favorable 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% - - - - 1% 1% 31% 6%

Unfavorable 7% 6% 11% 6% 1% - - - - 9% 5% 9% 0%

Neutral 38% 36% 37% 42% 34% - - - - 37% 37% 22% 46%

No Opinion 54% 55% 51% 51% 62% - - - - 53% 56% 38% 48%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 23: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 23© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 2% 3% 2% 0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 2%

Unfavorable 7% 11% 1% 10% 5% 8% 4% 7% 4% 0% 6% 9% 2% 7% 9% 4%

Neutral 38% 40% 43% 32% 42% 27% 36% 48% 31% 0% 38% 35% 46% 39% 33% 36%

No Opinion 54% 46% 54% 57% 50% 63% 59% 44% 64% 100% 54% 54% 51% 53% 54% 58%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favorable 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 5% 0% 1% 3% 2%

Unfavorable 7% 8% 8% 4% 4% 8% 7% 0% 7% 8% 2%

Neutral 38% 44% 29% 40% 64% 40% 30% 45% 35% 38% 52%

No Opinion 54% 47% 59% 55% 32% 51% 58% 55% 57% 51% 44%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Republican 48% 53% 46% 61% 0% 0% 0% 66% 33% 46% 94% 4% 23% 13% 86% 5% 42% 24%

Democratic 41% 46% 40% 28% 25% 40% 0% 26% 57% 32% 1% 92% 11% 28% 8% 90% 41% 38%

Another Party 2% 0% 3% 0% 21% 0% 0% 1% 3% 3% 2% 0% 38% 6% 2% 1% 3% 7%

Undecided 9% 1% 11% 11% 54% 60% 100% 8% 7% 19% 3% 3% 28% 53% 4% 4% 14% 31%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

Page 24: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 24© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Republican 48% 6% 90% 44% 54% 21% 65% 47% 47% - - - -

Democratic 41% 89% 6% 36% 16% 18% 32% 41% 43% - - - -

Another Party 2% 3% 0% 2% 6% 35% 3% 1% 2% - - - -

Undecided 9% 2% 4% 18% 24% 25% 0% 11% 8% - - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54%

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Republican 48% 35% 19% 88% 25% 67% 65% 91% 41% 27% 1% 89% 11% 50% 43% 40%

Democratic 41% 51% 65% 3% 65% 25% 35% 1% 33% 33% 95% 4% 28% 41% 29% 51%

Another Party 2% 3% 5% 0% 1% 5% 0% 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 8% 2% 5% 2%

Undecided 9% 12% 11% 9% 10% 3% 0% 6% 26% 40% 2% 6% 53% 7% 23% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Republican 48% 9% 71% 41% 58% 72% 1% 37% 90% 5% 45%

Democratic 41% 87% 16% 47% 17% 16% 94% 33% 1% 85% 16%

Another Party 2% 0% 4% 2% 0% 2% 2% 7% 2% 3% 2%

Undecided 9% 4% 9% 11% 25% 10% 3% 23% 7% 8% 37%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

Page 25: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 25© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Education 23% 22% 22% 21% 57% 40% 0% 23% 23% 20% 12% 30% 32% 40% 18% 23% 29% 24%

Energy / Environment 12% 9% 13% 23% 0% 40% 0% 9% 14% 16% 6% 19% 5% 16% 5% 20% 20% 3%

Government Spending 10% 10% 12% 0% 0% 0% 50% 8% 10% 14% 20% 1% 0% 3% 19% 1% 10% 0%

Healthcare 20% 24% 18% 12% 21% 0% 0% 21% 23% 10% 11% 32% 39% 8% 12% 38% 13% 19%

Jobs / Economy 16% 10% 17% 37% 21% 21% 0% 20% 8% 27% 23% 7% 0% 17% 21% 5% 15% 26%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 8% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 6% 3% 10% 6% 4% 0% 8% 11% 5% 0%

Taxes 8% 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 10% 2% 15% 0% 7% 4% 15% 0% 5% 7%

Other 3% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 50% 1% 5% 4% 2% 3% 14% 7% 2% 2% 4% 9%

Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 7% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 12%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Education 23% 27% 12% 38% 12% 28% 37% 24% 20% 16% 28% 29% 29%

Energy / Environment 12% 18% 2% 14% 21% 15% 1% 14% 12% 5% 20% 26% 15%

Government Spending 10% 1% 25% 7% 1% 0% 15% 9% 11% 18% 1% 0% 9%

Healthcare 20% 32% 11% 17% 15% 33% 14% 22% 19% 10% 31% 6% 21%

Jobs / Economy 16% 8% 23% 9% 29% 13% 19% 11% 18% 22% 10% 34% 5%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 7% 10% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% 8% 10% 6% 0% 0%

Taxes 8% 0% 16% 9% 5% 6% 7% 10% 6% 15% 0% 5% 6%

Other 3% 5% 2% 0% 6% 0% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 0% 9%

Not Sure 1% 1% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 5%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 26: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 26© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Education 23% - - - - - - - - - 26% 16% 46% 26% 17% 9%

Energy / Environment 12% - - - - - - - - - 20% 7% 8% 10% 25% 15%

Government Spending 10% - - - - - - - - - 1% 17% 5% 11% 8% 9%

Healthcare 20% - - - - - - - - - 34% 12% 10% 17% 12% 46%

Jobs / Economy 16% - - - - - - - - - 7% 22% 17% 17% 7% 14%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% - - - - - - - - - 7% 9% 1% 8% 7% 2%

Taxes 8% - - - - - - - - - 2% 14% 1% 7% 17% 2%

Other 3% - - - - - - - - - 3% 3% 8% 3% 6% 1%

Not Sure 1% - - - - - - - - - 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Education 23% 28% 21% 23% 15% 24% 21% 21% 14% 32% 22%

Energy / Environment 12% 18% 9% 14% 7% 4% 24% 34% 4% 20% 18%

Government Spending 10% 1% 16% 8% 6% 15% 1% 0% 19% 2% 0%

Healthcare 20% 44% 12% 17% 4% 12% 37% 12% 10% 29% 26%

Jobs / Economy 16% 7% 21% 16% 2% 20% 9% 9% 25% 8% 1%

Roads / Infrastructure 7% 1% 7% 13% 0% 10% 4% 0% 9% 6% 6%

Taxes 8% 0% 8% 4% 52% 10% 0% 16% 14% 0% 17%

Other 3% 0% 6% 3% 0% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1%

Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 13% 1% 0% 7% 1% 1% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

Page 27: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 27© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Democrats 38% 46% 37% 13% 3% 0% 0% 22% 55% 25% 3% 85% 48% 14% 10% 88% 31% 31%

Republicans 52% 52% 52% 59% 21% 40% 50% 69% 34% 60% 95% 8% 46% 28% 88% 9% 48% 32%

Not Sure 11% 2% 10% 28% 75% 60% 50% 8% 11% 15% 2% 8% 7% 58% 3% 3% 21% 37%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Democrats 38% 84% 3% 31% 19% 41% 33% 38% 38% 1% 87% 48% 6%

Republicans 52% 10% 92% 50% 63% 52% 64% 49% 52% 97% 6% 16% 32%

Not Sure 11% 7% 5% 19% 18% 6% 3% 13% 10% 2% 7% 37% 62%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Democrats 38% 43% 62% 4% 64% 17% 34% 8% 33% 33% - - - 38% 35% 40%

Republicans 52% 36% 31% 91% 31% 71% 65% 91% 41% 27% - - - 51% 53% 53%

Not Sure 11% 21% 7% 5% 5% 12% 1% 2% 26% 40% - - - 11% 13% 7%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 75% 13% 12%

Page 28: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 28© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Democrats 38% 83% 14% 42% 19% 14% 89% 25% 2% 77% 21%

Republicans 52% 10% 74% 48% 62% 75% 8% 37% 92% 11% 47%

Not Sure 11% 7% 12% 10% 19% 11% 2% 39% 6% 12% 32%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Approve 75% 78% 71% 81% 75% 100% 50% 81% 70% 71% 79% 76% 35% 61% 80% 70% 73% 73%

Disapprove 13% 14% 15% 1% 3% 0% 50% 10% 19% 7% 12% 10% 59% 24% 12% 15% 16% 7%

Not Sure 12% 8% 14% 18% 21% 0% 0% 9% 11% 21% 9% 14% 7% 15% 8% 16% 11% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Approve 75% 74% 78% 73% 72% 58% 77% 77% 74% 78% 76% 62% 57%

Disapprove 13% 12% 12% 17% 13% 30% 17% 12% 13% 12% 9% 29% 34%

Not Sure 12% 13% 11% 10% 15% 12% 6% 11% 13% 10% 15% 9% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 29: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 29© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 75% 86% 58% 79% 65% 83% 84% 69% 74% 51% 75% 74% 76% - - -

Disapprove 13% 10% 27% 10% 8% 6% 13% 28% 24% 16% 12% 14% 16% - - -

Not Sure 12% 5% 14% 10% 28% 11% 3% 3% 2% 33% 13% 12% 8% - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11%

10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 75% 68% 76% 78% 78% 78% 69% 70% 74% 73% 92%

Disapprove 13% 13% 16% 9% 17% 13% 12% 20% 16% 12% 0%

Not Sure 12% 19% 9% 13% 6% 9% 19% 10% 10% 14% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 25% 24% 8% 0% 0% 0% 14% 35% 5% 4% 47% 9% 12% 11% 56% 9% 7%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 38% 45% 55% 43% 79% 50% 55% 31% 50% 68% 15% 75% 41% 61% 15% 42% 55%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 26% 29% 30% 57% 21% 0% 30% 24% 37% 21% 36% 16% 34% 19% 27% 45% 30%

Not Sure 6% 10% 2% 7% 0% 0% 50% 1% 9% 7% 7% 2% 0% 14% 9% 1% 5% 8%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

Page 30: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 30© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 48% 8% 14% 8% 9% 27% 26% 19% 4% 47% 4% 9%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 18% 65% 40% 61% 75% 53% 34% 48% 65% 17% 75% 42%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 31% 17% 41% 27% 16% 17% 30% 29% 24% 33% 21% 33%

Not Sure 6% 3% 10% 5% 4% 0% 3% 10% 3% 7% 2% 0% 16%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 28% 33% 1% 49% 10% 4% 0% 0% 0% 49% 4% 15% 20% 22% 36%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 40% 32% 71% 26% 60% 44% 46% 75% 6% 16% 62% 48% 44% 51% 31%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% 29% 32% 24% 24% 29% 52% 16% 25% 34% 32% 26% 27% 30% 20% 30%

Not Sure 6% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 38% 0% 60% 3% 7% 10% 6% 7% 3%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

More Services / Higher Taxes 22% - - - - 6% 56% 15% 4% 43% 9%

Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% - - - - 58% 13% 47% 65% 25% 18%

Services And Taxes About As They 29% - - - - 29% 27% 30% 23% 30% 62%

Not Sure 6% - - - - 7% 3% 7% 8% 3% 11%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%

Page 31: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 31© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Favor 62% 58% 66% 50% 67% 60% 100% 75% 48% 69% 93% 27% 30% 65% 94% 17% 59% 66%

Oppose 30% 40% 28% 16% 0% 0% 0% 13% 49% 21% 1% 68% 63% 13% 3% 79% 24% 25%

Not Sure 7% 2% 6% 34% 33% 40% 0% 11% 3% 10% 6% 5% 7% 22% 3% 4% 17% 9%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Favor 62% 29% 95% 57% 74% 27% 70% 66% 59% 94% 24% 52% 71%

Oppose 30% 67% 5% 25% 12% 73% 30% 25% 33% 1% 70% 26% 10%

Not Sure 7% 4% 0% 18% 14% 0% 0% 9% 8% 6% 6% 22% 19%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favor 62% 65% 20% 97% 38% 78% 83% 83% 78% 50% 23% 90% 66% 65% 61% 46%

Oppose 30% 29% 59% 3% 57% 18% 17% 1% 22% 6% 72% 5% 7% 28% 28% 48%

Not Sure 7% 7% 20% 0% 5% 4% 0% 16% 0% 44% 5% 5% 27% 7% 11% 6%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

Page 32: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 32© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Favor 62% 18% 83% 63% 74% - - - 94% 29% 63%

Oppose 30% 77% 9% 29% 17% - - - 1% 64% 3%

Not Sure 7% 5% 8% 8% 10% - - - 5% 7% 33%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 48% 46% 6%

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi

Approve 48% 54% 45% 38% 25% 60% 100% 65% 33% 47% 88% 5% 30% 33% 83% 5% 43% 38%

Disapprove 46% 46% 48% 41% 54% 40% 0% 27% 64% 44% 7% 90% 70% 53% 13% 92% 48% 49%

Not Sure 6% 0% 8% 22% 21% 0% 0% 8% 3% 10% 5% 5% 0% 14% 4% 3% 9% 13%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci

Approve 48% 8% 87% 40% 61% 27% 46% 44% 51% 90% 2% 43% 35%

Disapprove 46% 90% 10% 49% 23% 67% 52% 48% 44% 5% 96% 51% 40%

Not Sure 6% 2% 3% 11% 15% 6% 2% 8% 5% 6% 2% 6% 24%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%

Page 33: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 33© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 48% 29% 16% 92% 24% 75% 58% 86% 64% 33% 2% 85% 27% 47% 57% 40%

Disapprove 46% 65% 75% 8% 68% 24% 38% 1% 33% 23% 95% 10% 55% 45% 43% 56%

Not Sure 6% 6% 9% 0% 8% 1% 5% 13% 3% 44% 3% 5% 18% 7% 0% 4%

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%

13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?

400 Registered VotersAll

Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval

Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur

Approve 48% 8% 71% 38% 67% 72% 2% 31% - - -

Disapprove 46% 89% 26% 49% 21% 22% 98% 42% - - -

Not Sure 6% 2% 2% 13% 12% 6% 1% 27% - - -

Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7%

Page 34: Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 · 2018. 11. 1. · Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor: Data Collected:

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:

Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)

Release Date: 10/31/2018

Percentages

Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 34© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com

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