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Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 1© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
About: SurveyUSA interviewed 400 registered voters from North Carolina's 9th State Senate District 10/26/18 through 10/31/18. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode.
Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer, using Registration-list Based Sample (RBS) from
Aristotle of Washington, DC. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Already Voted 37% 40% 35% 17% 31% 38% 58% 25% 47% 34% 40% 100% 47% 100% 0% 0% 0%
Very Likely 53% 53% 52% 54% 60% 57% 40% 57% 49% 55% 51% 0% 50% 0% 100% 0% 0%
Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 6% 17% 5% 4% 2% 10% 3% 6% 9% 0% 3% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Unlikely 2% 0% 4% 8% 2% 1% 0% 5% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 5% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Already Voted 37% 42% 38% 29% 37% 46% 31% 42% 31% 44% 38% 42% 39% 36% 37% 26% 41% 38%
Very Likely 53% 49% 59% 58% 53% 52% 54% 50% 57% 47% 52% 53% 40% 53% 56% 48% 53% 55%
Somewhat Likely 6% 7% 2% 8% 7% 2% 4% 5% 7% 6% 5% 1% 13% 5% 5% 16% 2% 5%
Unlikely 2% 1% 0% 3% 1% 0% 6% 1% 3% 0% 2% 3% 8% 3% 1% 7% 3% 0%
Not Voting 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1%
Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 2© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Already Voted 37% 40% 36% 35% 20% 50%
Very Likely 53% 49% 54% 56% 59% 48%
Somewhat Likely 6% 8% 5% 9% 11% 2%
Unlikely 2% 2% 3% 0% 5% 0%
Not Voting 1% 2% 1% 0% 3% 0%
Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Right Direction 39% 44% 34% 37% 24% 52% 39% 30% 46% 39% 48% 0% 35% 35% 42% 39% 11%
Wrong Track 45% 44% 45% 43% 55% 37% 46% 50% 41% 44% 38% 100% 35% 55% 43% 8% 46%
Not Sure 16% 12% 21% 20% 21% 11% 15% 21% 13% 17% 15% 0% 30% 10% 15% 53% 43%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Right Direction 39% 50% 26% 36% 52% 26% 33% 48% 36% 29% 49% 21% 41% 39% 39% 45% 32% 43%
Wrong Track 45% 33% 60% 48% 29% 63% 51% 32% 48% 64% 33% 64% 37% 42% 49% 29% 53% 45%
Not Sure 16% 18% 14% 16% 18% 11% 16% 20% 16% 8% 17% 15% 22% 19% 13% 25% 14% 12%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 3© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Right Direction 39% 39% 39% 43% 39% 39%
Wrong Track 45% 49% 44% 45% 40% 48%
Not Sure 16% 12% 17% 13% 21% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Michael Lee (R) 47% 54% 40% 28% 54% 57% 44% 42% 51% 47% 37% 100% 42% 50% 48% 42% 0%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 39% 41% 40% 35% 34% 51% 38% 42% 40% 49% 0% 33% 48% 40% 14% 3%
Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 6% 1% 2% 1% 0%
Undecided 11% 6% 16% 31% 8% 7% 4% 18% 6% 11% 11% 0% 19% 1% 10% 43% 97%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Michael Lee (R) 47% 85% 11% 30% 88% 5% 35% 89% 28% 8% 86% 4% 45% 44% 49% 33% 52% 49%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 8% 80% 44% 4% 92% 35% 6% 54% 83% 4% 87% 37% 41% 40% 40% 35% 45%
Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 5% 1% 2% 3% 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1%
Undecided 11% 6% 6% 24% 6% 3% 26% 5% 16% 6% 7% 9% 16% 13% 9% 21% 13% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 4© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Michael Lee (R) 47% 50% 45% 56% 42% 50%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 42% 40% 28% 32% 46%
Ethan Bickley 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 1%
Undecided 11% 6% 14% 16% 23% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Favorable 39% 46% 33% 26% 42% 48% 35% 35% 42% 37% 37% 100% 29% 47% 39% 5% 3%
Unfavorable 27% 26% 27% 21% 22% 19% 43% 22% 30% 28% 20% 0% 45% 38% 23% 0% 11%
Neutral 25% 22% 28% 34% 23% 29% 15% 28% 23% 26% 25% 0% 26% 12% 31% 52% 43%
No Opinion 9% 6% 13% 20% 12% 3% 6% 15% 5% 9% 17% 0% 0% 3% 7% 43% 43%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Favorable 39% 69% 19% 16% 70% 13% 27% 73% 21% 15% 68% 10% 35% 40% 40% 26% 51% 35%
Unfavorable 27% 6% 52% 34% 4% 59% 24% 3% 32% 65% 4% 59% 23% 20% 32% 20% 22% 33%
Neutral 25% 20% 20% 39% 20% 21% 33% 19% 37% 8% 23% 20% 27% 30% 21% 34% 18% 27%
No Opinion 9% 5% 9% 11% 6% 7% 16% 6% 9% 11% 6% 10% 15% 10% 7% 20% 9% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 5© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Favorable 39% 42% 36% 57% 35% 42%
Unfavorable 27% 22% 30% 20% 14% 36%
Neutral 25% 24% 25% 18% 35% 18%
No Opinion 9% 12% 9% 4% 16% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Favorable 32% 32% 32% 29% 31% 25% 44% 30% 34% 32% 41% 0% 25% 36% 33% 14% 14%
Unfavorable 32% 38% 26% 14% 30% 44% 33% 23% 39% 29% 35% 100% 29% 40% 29% 15% 21%
Neutral 24% 19% 27% 21% 27% 24% 21% 24% 23% 26% 12% 0% 40% 18% 28% 12% 43%
No Opinion 13% 11% 14% 37% 12% 7% 2% 23% 5% 14% 12% 0% 6% 6% 10% 59% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Favorable 32% 8% 63% 34% 4% 74% 26% 6% 38% 73% 6% 70% 37% 34% 29% 37% 29% 31%
Unfavorable 32% 55% 11% 19% 58% 5% 26% 60% 17% 10% 58% 4% 26% 34% 32% 26% 37% 29%
Neutral 24% 25% 17% 29% 24% 15% 34% 18% 34% 6% 23% 16% 23% 19% 27% 22% 21% 27%
No Opinion 13% 12% 9% 17% 15% 5% 15% 15% 11% 11% 13% 10% 14% 14% 11% 15% 13% 12%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 6© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Favorable 32% 32% 32% 22% 23% 38%
Unfavorable 32% 39% 29% 25% 21% 40%
Neutral 24% 19% 26% 25% 32% 18%
No Opinion 13% 10% 12% 28% 24% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Favorable 2% 1% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 0%
Unfavorable 7% 8% 6% 1% 8% 10% 7% 5% 9% 6% 12% 0% 12% 9% 7% 0% 0%
Neutral 38% 42% 34% 53% 36% 30% 37% 43% 33% 35% 34% 100% 54% 39% 36% 53% 21%
No Opinion 54% 49% 58% 45% 54% 59% 54% 50% 57% 56% 51% 0% 34% 51% 54% 47% 79%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Favorable 2% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1% 5% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% 3% 2% 8% 1% 1%
Unfavorable 7% 9% 9% 3% 10% 8% 1% 9% 3% 10% 8% 7% 9% 6% 7% 5% 10% 5%
Neutral 38% 38% 39% 36% 35% 43% 34% 38% 42% 30% 36% 35% 35% 42% 34% 42% 39% 33%
No Opinion 54% 52% 49% 58% 54% 49% 59% 52% 53% 58% 54% 58% 56% 49% 56% 45% 50% 61%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 7© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Favorable 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Unfavorable 7% 7% 8% 4% 3% 9%
Neutral 38% 37% 32% 77% 47% 30%
No Opinion 54% 54% 58% 18% 46% 59%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Republican 48% 56% 40% 27% 57% 57% 44% 44% 51% 47% 45% 100% 42% 53% 46% 61% 0%
Democratic 41% 37% 44% 48% 33% 33% 52% 40% 41% 42% 44% 0% 39% 46% 40% 28% 25%
Another Party 2% 0% 4% 6% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 6% 0% 3% 0% 21%
Undecided 9% 7% 11% 19% 7% 10% 3% 12% 6% 10% 8% 0% 13% 1% 11% 11% 54%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Republican 48% 90% 8% 29% 93% 4% 32% 89% 31% 6% 87% 1% 49% 45% 50% 36% 52% 50%
Democratic 41% 6% 86% 50% 2% 96% 36% 5% 54% 86% 2% 93% 30% 44% 41% 42% 36% 44%
Another Party 2% 0% 2% 3% 0% 0% 7% 0% 3% 2% 2% 1% 7% 2% 2% 6% 2% 1%
Undecided 9% 4% 5% 19% 4% 0% 24% 6% 12% 6% 8% 4% 14% 10% 7% 16% 10% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 8© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Republican 48% 51% 45% 63% 43% 52%
Democratic 41% 39% 42% 30% 36% 45%
Another Party 2% 4% 2% 0% 4% 1%
Undecided 9% 6% 11% 7% 18% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Education 23% 17% 28% 27% 27% 19% 20% 27% 19% 24% 23% 0% 23% 22% 22% 21% 57%
Energy / Environment 12% 13% 12% 17% 8% 11% 14% 12% 13% 14% 3% 0% 10% 9% 13% 23% 0%
Government Spending 10% 11% 9% 4% 6% 15% 12% 5% 14% 10% 11% 0% 16% 10% 12% 0% 0%
Healthcare 20% 23% 17% 23% 8% 22% 26% 15% 24% 19% 26% 0% 28% 24% 18% 12% 21%
Jobs / Economy 16% 14% 17% 17% 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 16% 21% 0% 0% 10% 17% 37% 21%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 7% 7% 1% 12% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 5% 0% 11% 8% 8% 0% 0%
Taxes 8% 12% 4% 3% 21% 6% 1% 13% 4% 5% 4% 100% 0% 14% 5% 0% 0%
Other 3% 2% 5% 6% 4% 2% 2% 5% 2% 3% 2% 0% 13% 3% 3% 0% 0%
Not Sure 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 5% 0% 0% 0% 2% 7% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 9© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Education 23% 20% 24% 24% 17% 25% 28% 15% 27% 31% 18% 24% 17% 27% 21% 24% 24% 22%
Energy / Environment 12% 4% 22% 16% 4% 22% 11% 3% 20% 18% 3% 22% 1% 8% 17% 8% 9% 17%
Government Spending 10% 14% 6% 7% 15% 2% 12% 22% 4% 0% 17% 2% 18% 7% 10% 6% 13% 8%
Healthcare 20% 13% 33% 15% 14% 32% 16% 10% 23% 34% 12% 32% 29% 21% 17% 22% 21% 17%
Jobs / Economy 16% 20% 6% 21% 23% 5% 18% 25% 8% 9% 22% 10% 18% 17% 15% 22% 15% 14%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 8% 5% 11% 8% 9% 5% 9% 9% 3% 9% 6% 7% 5% 9% 8% 4% 10%
Taxes 8% 16% 2% 1% 16% 0% 5% 13% 5% 6% 14% 0% 4% 11% 7% 3% 10% 8%
Other 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4%
Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 7% 1% 0% 4% 1% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Education 23% 21% 23% 31% 32% 16%
Energy / Environment 12% 6% 16% 1% 10% 14%
Government Spending 10% 8% 10% 15% 3% 15%
Healthcare 20% 17% 20% 29% 12% 25%
Jobs / Economy 16% 18% 15% 16% 18% 14%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 10% 7% 1% 7% 8%
Taxes 8% 19% 4% 0% 12% 5%
Other 3% 2% 3% 7% 4% 3%
Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 10© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Democrats 38% 36% 39% 42% 27% 31% 52% 34% 41% 38% 41% 0% 39% 46% 37% 13% 3%
Republicans 52% 59% 45% 33% 62% 62% 45% 49% 54% 51% 46% 100% 55% 52% 52% 59% 21%
Not Sure 11% 5% 16% 25% 11% 7% 3% 17% 5% 11% 13% 0% 6% 2% 10% 28% 75%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Democrats 38% 5% 87% 38% 2% 93% 30% 5% 48% 82% 2% 86% 31% 38% 38% 36% 37% 38%
Republicans 52% 91% 12% 40% 96% 6% 39% 92% 34% 15% 91% 8% 50% 48% 55% 41% 53% 55%
Not Sure 11% 5% 1% 22% 2% 0% 32% 3% 18% 3% 8% 6% 18% 13% 7% 22% 10% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Democrats 38% 36% 39% 28% 30% 43%
Republicans 52% 53% 50% 62% 50% 53%
Not Sure 11% 11% 11% 10% 20% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 11© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Approve 75% 74% 76% 68% 71% 85% 72% 69% 79% 74% 73% 100% 77% 78% 71% 81% 75%
Disapprove 13% 14% 13% 7% 23% 8% 15% 16% 11% 13% 16% 0% 19% 14% 15% 1% 3%
Not Sure 12% 12% 11% 25% 6% 7% 13% 15% 10% 13% 10% 0% 3% 8% 14% 18% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Approve 75% 78% 74% 67% 75% 78% 70% 80% 72% 74% 75% 73% 76% 77% 73% 78% 77% 71%
Disapprove 13% 11% 15% 16% 10% 11% 21% 10% 15% 16% 15% 13% 13% 10% 16% 9% 12% 16%
Not Sure 12% 10% 11% 17% 15% 11% 9% 11% 13% 10% 10% 15% 11% 13% 11% 12% 11% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Approve 75% 83% 72% 61% 76% 74%
Disapprove 13% 10% 15% 17% 15% 12%
Not Sure 12% 6% 14% 22% 9% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 12© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 27% 18% 32% 16% 14% 30% 23% 21% 24% 14% 0% 23% 25% 24% 8% 0%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 41% 46% 44% 43% 53% 33% 43% 44% 45% 44% 0% 37% 38% 45% 55% 43%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 24% 32% 21% 26% 32% 33% 24% 32% 29% 34% 0% 33% 26% 29% 30% 57%
Not Sure 6% 8% 4% 2% 15% 1% 4% 9% 3% 2% 8% 100% 6% 10% 2% 7% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 6% 45% 23% 6% 48% 19% 2% 26% 59% 5% 45% 16% 21% 24% 17% 23% 24%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 63% 22% 34% 63% 18% 48% 66% 32% 23% 64% 17% 38% 35% 50% 40% 41% 48%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 23% 30% 38% 24% 31% 29% 23% 37% 18% 23% 36% 40% 32% 24% 36% 27% 27%
Not Sure 6% 8% 3% 5% 8% 3% 4% 9% 5% 0% 8% 3% 5% 12% 1% 7% 10% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 20% 22% 31% 14% 29%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 45% 44% 37% 43% 44%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 23% 31% 28% 33% 25%
Not Sure 6% 11% 3% 3% 10% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 13© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Favor 62% 64% 61% 46% 77% 69% 53% 63% 62% 62% 56% 100% 66% 58% 66% 50% 67%
Oppose 30% 28% 32% 35% 18% 26% 44% 26% 34% 31% 33% 0% 28% 40% 28% 16% 0%
Not Sure 7% 8% 7% 19% 5% 5% 3% 11% 4% 7% 11% 0% 6% 2% 6% 34% 33%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Favor 62% 90% 30% 54% 91% 27% 62% 94% 50% 26% 92% 28% 56% 66% 61% 52% 73% 57%
Oppose 30% 4% 66% 36% 3% 69% 29% 4% 36% 74% 3% 69% 27% 26% 34% 34% 25% 33%
Not Sure 7% 6% 4% 10% 6% 4% 9% 2% 15% 0% 5% 4% 17% 8% 5% 14% 2% 10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Favor 62% 64% 61% 70% 70% 57%
Oppose 30% 27% 33% 20% 18% 40%
Not Sure 7% 8% 6% 10% 12% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 14© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Gender Age <50 / 50+ Race Likely To Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Already Very Somew Unlikely
Approve 48% 52% 43% 28% 53% 58% 46% 42% 52% 46% 49% 100% 42% 54% 45% 38% 25%
Disapprove 46% 41% 51% 59% 44% 36% 51% 51% 43% 49% 40% 0% 52% 46% 48% 41% 54%
Not Sure 6% 7% 5% 12% 4% 6% 3% 8% 5% 5% 11% 0% 6% 0% 8% 22% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 48% 52% 20% 25% 30% 26% 44% 56% 82% 13% 3% 2% 37% 53% 6% 2%
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Party Registration Party Affiliation Ideology 2016 Vote Education Income
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Republi Democr Unaffilia Republi Democr Indepen Conser Modera Liberal Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-year < $40K $40K - > $80K
Approve 48% 83% 10% 33% 87% 5% 42% 85% 31% 8% 89% 4% 56% 46% 47% 40% 50% 49%
Disapprove 46% 13% 85% 62% 9% 92% 51% 12% 59% 89% 7% 94% 35% 46% 49% 47% 46% 46%
Not Sure 6% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 8% 3% 10% 3% 4% 2% 10% 8% 4% 13% 3% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 40% 30% 24% 39% 30% 29% 38% 41% 18% 49% 36% 11% 36% 53% 20% 40% 40%
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Urbanicity Cell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Urban Suburb Rural Cell Ph Landlin
Approve 48% 49% 45% 63% 42% 52%
Disapprove 46% 43% 49% 35% 48% 45%
Not Sure 6% 8% 6% 2% 10% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 30% 61% 8% 43% 57%
All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 15© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Already Voted 37% - - - - - - 34% 46% 22% 40% 44% 26% 3% 45% 53% 18% 11%
Very Likely 53% - - - - - - 57% 50% 49% 54% 52% 69% 47% 53% 46% 64% 40%
Somewhat Likely 6% - - - - - - 6% 1% 20% 5% 2% 5% 23% 1% 0% 13% 28%
Unlikely 2% - - - - - - 1% 2% 6% 0% 0% 0% 20% 0% 1% 4% 11%
Not Voting 1% - - - - - - 3% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 8%
Not Sure 1% - - - - - - 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 5% 0% 0% 1% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Already Voted 37% 41% 47% 29% 17% 13% 49% 39% 35% 41% 42% 7% 3%
Very Likely 53% 53% 48% 62% 43% 87% 51% 51% 53% 51% 51% 71% 62%
Somewhat Likely 6% 3% 3% 3% 28% 0% 0% 9% 5% 8% 4% 0% 7%
Unlikely 2% 1% 2% 4% 4% 0% 0% 1% 3% 0% 1% 22% 14%
Not Voting 1% 2% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 8%
Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 16© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Already Voted 37% 36% 28% 36% 45% 25% 43% 65% 35% 0% 45% 38% 6% 39% 38% 26%
Very Likely 53% 50% 57% 62% 49% 56% 57% 35% 57% 66% 52% 53% 52% 50% 59% 61%
Somewhat Likely 6% 6% 11% 0% 4% 14% 0% 0% 0% 34% 2% 7% 16% 7% 1% 9%
Unlikely 2% 6% 0% 0% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 17% 2% 1% 4%
Not Voting 1% 2% 4% 0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 7% 2% 0% 0%
Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 8% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0% 2% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
1North Carolina will hold elections for national and state offices in November 2018. Have you already voted? Are you very likely to vote? Somewhat likely to vote? Unlikely to vote? Or notvoting?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Already Voted 37% 41% 33% 34% 69% 35% 49% 10% 42% 37% 3%
Very Likely 53% 56% 54% 54% 19% 56% 48% 46% 49% 54% 67%
Somewhat Likely 6% 2% 8% 6% 7% 5% 3% 28% 5% 5% 22%
Unlikely 2% 0% 2% 5% 0% 3% 0% 10% 1% 3% 8%
Not Voting 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 7% 2% 1% 0%
Not Sure 1% 0% 1% 0% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 17© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Right Direction 39% 35% 42% 39% 11% 79% 0% - - - 55% 25% 0% 27% 54% 18% 45% 16%
Wrong Track 45% 55% 43% 8% 46% 0% 50% - - - 29% 64% 68% 37% 34% 77% 33% 31%
Not Sure 16% 10% 15% 53% 43% 21% 50% - - - 16% 10% 32% 36% 12% 5% 22% 52%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Right Direction 39% 26% 49% 42% 40% 21% 32% 38% 41% 53% 24% 12% 33%
Wrong Track 45% 62% 37% 40% 29% 48% 61% 46% 42% 31% 63% 66% 33%
Not Sure 16% 12% 14% 18% 31% 31% 7% 16% 17% 16% 13% 22% 34%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Right Direction 39% 40% 28% 32% 41% 49% 53% 37% 12% 27% 23% 52% 31% 42% 28% 30%
Wrong Track 45% 46% 50% 46% 51% 23% 40% 59% 70% 6% 66% 29% 46% 42% 63% 41%
Not Sure 16% 14% 22% 22% 8% 28% 8% 3% 19% 67% 11% 19% 23% 16% 9% 29%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 18© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
2 In general, is the state of North Carolina headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Right Direction 39% 25% 49% 40% 5% 47% 17% 60% 53% 22% 54%
Wrong Track 45% 71% 32% 38% 75% 35% 72% 18% 31% 62% 20%
Not Sure 16% 4% 19% 21% 21% 18% 11% 22% 16% 15% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Michael Lee (R) 47% 50% 48% 42% 0% 40% 0% 66% 30% 46% - - - - 91% 2% 35% 20%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 48% 40% 14% 3% 40% 0% 26% 58% 25% - - - - 6% 92% 40% 32%
Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3% 4% - - - - 0% 3% 1% 7%
Undecided 11% 1% 10% 43% 97% 21% 100% 8% 9% 25% - - - - 2% 2% 23% 41%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 39% 27% 25% 9%
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Michael Lee (R) 47% 5% 93% 38% 55% 21% 65% 47% 45% 92% 1% 34% 16%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 92% 0% 39% 11% 15% 29% 38% 44% 4% 90% 4% 13%
Ethan Bickley 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 64% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 31% 6%
Undecided 11% 1% 4% 22% 33% 0% 6% 14% 10% 3% 8% 31% 65%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 19© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Michael Lee (R) 47% 24% 24% 93% 27% 69% 64% 91% 32% 27% 3% 86% 9% 49% 43% 36%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 53% 61% 4% 65% 18% 35% 1% 36% 23% 90% 6% 28% 41% 29% 48%
Ethan Bickley 2% 3% 1% 0% 4% 0% 1% 2% 8% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 8% 1%
Undecided 11% 19% 14% 3% 4% 12% 0% 6% 23% 50% 4% 6% 62% 9% 20% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
3 In the election for State Senate District 9, how do you vote? Republican Michael Lee? Democrat Harper Peterson? Or Libertarian Ethan Bickley?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Michael Lee (R) 47% 8% 73% 35% 58% 70% 2% 37% 87% 7% 38%
Harper Peterson (D) 40% 85% 13% 51% 16% 17% 89% 29% 4% 77% 36%
Ethan Bickley 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 0%
Undecided 11% 6% 10% 13% 27% 12% 5% 33% 8% 13% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Favorable 39% 47% 39% 5% 3% 40% 0% 54% 29% 29% 76% 6% 5% 8% - - - -
Unfavorable 27% 38% 23% 0% 11% 0% 0% 12% 46% 8% 1% 61% 43% 6% - - - -
Neutral 25% 12% 31% 52% 43% 0% 50% 29% 19% 33% 19% 25% 19% 52% - - - -
No Opinion 9% 3% 7% 43% 43% 60% 50% 4% 7% 30% 4% 8% 33% 35% - - - -
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 20© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Favorable 39% 7% 79% 31% 33% 25% 65% 40% 36% 70% 7% 26% 18%
Unfavorable 27% 65% 3% 20% 1% 44% 30% 22% 28% 3% 59% 13% 10%
Neutral 25% 20% 16% 48% 21% 0% 5% 35% 22% 22% 25% 34% 39%
No Opinion 9% 8% 2% 2% 46% 31% 0% 3% 14% 5% 9% 27% 32%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 39% 31% 15% 73% 24% 52% 45% 74% 27% 0% 10% 66% 10% 42% 35% 26%
Unfavorable 27% 27% 43% 2% 51% 9% 39% 1% 15% 6% 62% 5% 7% 25% 29% 35%
Neutral 25% 32% 40% 24% 16% 24% 16% 17% 31% 0% 20% 23% 50% 24% 31% 23%
No Opinion 9% 10% 2% 0% 9% 16% 0% 8% 26% 94% 8% 6% 33% 9% 5% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
4 Is your opinion of Michael Lee ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 39% 20% 55% 25% 61% 59% 4% 15% 67% 11% 28%
Unfavorable 27% 67% 9% 25% 6% 7% 69% 16% 3% 53% 14%
Neutral 25% 10% 24% 39% 21% 24% 20% 57% 22% 26% 37%
No Opinion 9% 3% 12% 10% 13% 10% 8% 12% 8% 10% 21%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 21© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Favorable 32% 36% 33% 14% 14% 40% 0% 21% 45% 23% 3% 74% 32% 3% 6% 78% 25% 27%
Unfavorable 32% 40% 29% 15% 21% 0% 0% 40% 26% 27% 63% 0% 51% 11% 65% 3% 20% 7%
Neutral 24% 18% 28% 12% 43% 0% 50% 26% 21% 26% 19% 23% 11% 47% 19% 18% 45% 4%
No Opinion 13% 6% 10% 59% 21% 60% 50% 13% 8% 24% 15% 4% 7% 38% 11% 1% 11% 62%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Favorable 32% - - - - 44% 27% 31% 33% 4% 70% 38% 7%
Unfavorable 32% - - - - 29% 49% 31% 30% 60% 4% 3% 13%
Neutral 24% - - - - 8% 22% 26% 22% 22% 21% 26% 46%
No Opinion 13% - - - - 19% 2% 12% 15% 15% 5% 33% 34%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 32% 38% 46% 3% 52% 17% 32% 0% 52% 27% 71% 6% 20% 32% 29% 36%
Unfavorable 32% 16% 4% 78% 18% 46% 43% 66% 22% 6% 2% 56% 16% 33% 28% 28%
Neutral 24% 39% 27% 18% 21% 13% 15% 26% 3% 6% 20% 22% 43% 23% 30% 20%
No Opinion 13% 7% 22% 1% 10% 24% 9% 8% 23% 61% 7% 16% 22% 12% 13% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 22© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
5 Is your opinion of Harper Peterson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 32% 69% 13% 35% 16% 15% 71% 16% 6% 62% 9%
Unfavorable 32% 11% 47% 19% 56% 48% 5% 1% 58% 7% 17%
Neutral 24% 15% 22% 34% 19% 22% 19% 58% 20% 25% 41%
No Opinion 13% 5% 18% 12% 9% 15% 5% 25% 16% 6% 33%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Favorable 2% 1% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 70% 0% 1% 3% 0% 7%
Unfavorable 7% 9% 7% 0% 0% 0% 0% 6% 9% 3% 10% 5% 0% 4% 11% 8% 1% 0%
Neutral 38% 39% 36% 53% 21% 0% 0% 37% 38% 37% 38% 36% 11% 47% 38% 32% 52% 13%
No Opinion 54% 51% 54% 47% 79% 100% 100% 56% 50% 56% 52% 58% 19% 50% 49% 57% 47% 81%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Favorable 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% - - - - 1% 1% 31% 6%
Unfavorable 7% 6% 11% 6% 1% - - - - 9% 5% 9% 0%
Neutral 38% 36% 37% 42% 34% - - - - 37% 37% 22% 46%
No Opinion 54% 55% 51% 51% 62% - - - - 53% 56% 38% 48%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 23© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 2% 3% 2% 0% 3% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 5% 2%
Unfavorable 7% 11% 1% 10% 5% 8% 4% 7% 4% 0% 6% 9% 2% 7% 9% 4%
Neutral 38% 40% 43% 32% 42% 27% 36% 48% 31% 0% 38% 35% 46% 39% 33% 36%
No Opinion 54% 46% 54% 57% 50% 63% 59% 44% 64% 100% 54% 54% 51% 53% 54% 58%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
6 Is your opinion of Ethan Bickley ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favorable 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 1% 5% 0% 1% 3% 2%
Unfavorable 7% 8% 8% 4% 4% 8% 7% 0% 7% 8% 2%
Neutral 38% 44% 29% 40% 64% 40% 30% 45% 35% 38% 52%
No Opinion 54% 47% 59% 55% 32% 51% 58% 55% 57% 51% 44%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Republican 48% 53% 46% 61% 0% 0% 0% 66% 33% 46% 94% 4% 23% 13% 86% 5% 42% 24%
Democratic 41% 46% 40% 28% 25% 40% 0% 26% 57% 32% 1% 92% 11% 28% 8% 90% 41% 38%
Another Party 2% 0% 3% 0% 21% 0% 0% 1% 3% 3% 2% 0% 38% 6% 2% 1% 3% 7%
Undecided 9% 1% 11% 11% 54% 60% 100% 8% 7% 19% 3% 3% 28% 53% 4% 4% 14% 31%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 24© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Republican 48% 6% 90% 44% 54% 21% 65% 47% 47% - - - -
Democratic 41% 89% 6% 36% 16% 18% 32% 41% 43% - - - -
Another Party 2% 3% 0% 2% 6% 35% 3% 1% 2% - - - -
Undecided 9% 2% 4% 18% 24% 25% 0% 11% 8% - - - -
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54%
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Republican 48% 35% 19% 88% 25% 67% 65% 91% 41% 27% 1% 89% 11% 50% 43% 40%
Democratic 41% 51% 65% 3% 65% 25% 35% 1% 33% 33% 95% 4% 28% 41% 29% 51%
Another Party 2% 3% 5% 0% 1% 5% 0% 2% 0% 0% 3% 1% 8% 2% 5% 2%
Undecided 9% 12% 11% 9% 10% 3% 0% 6% 26% 40% 2% 6% 53% 7% 23% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
7 If the election for the state House of Representatives were today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, Democratic candidate, or a candidate from another party?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Republican 48% 9% 71% 41% 58% 72% 1% 37% 90% 5% 45%
Democratic 41% 87% 16% 47% 17% 16% 94% 33% 1% 85% 16%
Another Party 2% 0% 4% 2% 0% 2% 2% 7% 2% 3% 2%
Undecided 9% 4% 9% 11% 25% 10% 3% 23% 7% 8% 37%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 25© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Education 23% 22% 22% 21% 57% 40% 0% 23% 23% 20% 12% 30% 32% 40% 18% 23% 29% 24%
Energy / Environment 12% 9% 13% 23% 0% 40% 0% 9% 14% 16% 6% 19% 5% 16% 5% 20% 20% 3%
Government Spending 10% 10% 12% 0% 0% 0% 50% 8% 10% 14% 20% 1% 0% 3% 19% 1% 10% 0%
Healthcare 20% 24% 18% 12% 21% 0% 0% 21% 23% 10% 11% 32% 39% 8% 12% 38% 13% 19%
Jobs / Economy 16% 10% 17% 37% 21% 21% 0% 20% 8% 27% 23% 7% 0% 17% 21% 5% 15% 26%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 8% 8% 0% 0% 0% 0% 10% 6% 3% 10% 6% 4% 0% 8% 11% 5% 0%
Taxes 8% 14% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 7% 10% 2% 15% 0% 7% 4% 15% 0% 5% 7%
Other 3% 3% 3% 0% 0% 0% 50% 1% 5% 4% 2% 3% 14% 7% 2% 2% 4% 9%
Not Sure 1% 0% 2% 7% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 5% 1% 1% 0% 5% 0% 0% 0% 12%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Education 23% 27% 12% 38% 12% 28% 37% 24% 20% 16% 28% 29% 29%
Energy / Environment 12% 18% 2% 14% 21% 15% 1% 14% 12% 5% 20% 26% 15%
Government Spending 10% 1% 25% 7% 1% 0% 15% 9% 11% 18% 1% 0% 9%
Healthcare 20% 32% 11% 17% 15% 33% 14% 22% 19% 10% 31% 6% 21%
Jobs / Economy 16% 8% 23% 9% 29% 13% 19% 11% 18% 22% 10% 34% 5%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 7% 10% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7% 8% 10% 6% 0% 0%
Taxes 8% 0% 16% 9% 5% 6% 7% 10% 6% 15% 0% 5% 6%
Other 3% 5% 2% 0% 6% 0% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 0% 9%
Not Sure 1% 1% 0% 0% 6% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 26© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Education 23% - - - - - - - - - 26% 16% 46% 26% 17% 9%
Energy / Environment 12% - - - - - - - - - 20% 7% 8% 10% 25% 15%
Government Spending 10% - - - - - - - - - 1% 17% 5% 11% 8% 9%
Healthcare 20% - - - - - - - - - 34% 12% 10% 17% 12% 46%
Jobs / Economy 16% - - - - - - - - - 7% 22% 17% 17% 7% 14%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% - - - - - - - - - 7% 9% 1% 8% 7% 2%
Taxes 8% - - - - - - - - - 2% 14% 1% 7% 17% 2%
Other 3% - - - - - - - - - 3% 3% 8% 3% 6% 1%
Not Sure 1% - - - - - - - - - 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
8Which one of the following issues is the most important for the state government to address in 2019? Education? Energy and the environment? Government spending? Healthcare? Jobsand the economy? Roads and infrastructure? Taxes? Or something else?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Education 23% 28% 21% 23% 15% 24% 21% 21% 14% 32% 22%
Energy / Environment 12% 18% 9% 14% 7% 4% 24% 34% 4% 20% 18%
Government Spending 10% 1% 16% 8% 6% 15% 1% 0% 19% 2% 0%
Healthcare 20% 44% 12% 17% 4% 12% 37% 12% 10% 29% 26%
Jobs / Economy 16% 7% 21% 16% 2% 20% 9% 9% 25% 8% 1%
Roads / Infrastructure 7% 1% 7% 13% 0% 10% 4% 0% 9% 6% 6%
Taxes 8% 0% 8% 4% 52% 10% 0% 16% 14% 0% 17%
Other 3% 0% 6% 3% 0% 4% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1%
Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 1% 13% 1% 0% 7% 1% 1% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 27© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Democrats 38% 46% 37% 13% 3% 0% 0% 22% 55% 25% 3% 85% 48% 14% 10% 88% 31% 31%
Republicans 52% 52% 52% 59% 21% 40% 50% 69% 34% 60% 95% 8% 46% 28% 88% 9% 48% 32%
Not Sure 11% 2% 10% 28% 75% 60% 50% 8% 11% 15% 2% 8% 7% 58% 3% 3% 21% 37%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Democrats 38% 84% 3% 31% 19% 41% 33% 38% 38% 1% 87% 48% 6%
Republicans 52% 10% 92% 50% 63% 52% 64% 49% 52% 97% 6% 16% 32%
Not Sure 11% 7% 5% 19% 18% 6% 3% 13% 10% 2% 7% 37% 62%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Democrats 38% 43% 62% 4% 64% 17% 34% 8% 33% 33% - - - 38% 35% 40%
Republicans 52% 36% 31% 91% 31% 71% 65% 91% 41% 27% - - - 51% 53% 53%
Not Sure 11% 21% 7% 5% 5% 12% 1% 2% 26% 40% - - - 11% 13% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 75% 13% 12%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 28© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
9 Who do you trust more to handle policies affecting jobs and the economy in North Carolina: Democrats in the state legislature or Republicans in the state legislature?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Democrats 38% 83% 14% 42% 19% 14% 89% 25% 2% 77% 21%
Republicans 52% 10% 74% 48% 62% 75% 8% 37% 92% 11% 47%
Not Sure 11% 7% 12% 10% 19% 11% 2% 39% 6% 12% 32%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Approve 75% 78% 71% 81% 75% 100% 50% 81% 70% 71% 79% 76% 35% 61% 80% 70% 73% 73%
Disapprove 13% 14% 15% 1% 3% 0% 50% 10% 19% 7% 12% 10% 59% 24% 12% 15% 16% 7%
Not Sure 12% 8% 14% 18% 21% 0% 0% 9% 11% 21% 9% 14% 7% 15% 8% 16% 11% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Approve 75% 74% 78% 73% 72% 58% 77% 77% 74% 78% 76% 62% 57%
Disapprove 13% 12% 12% 17% 13% 30% 17% 12% 13% 12% 9% 29% 34%
Not Sure 12% 13% 11% 10% 15% 12% 6% 11% 13% 10% 15% 9% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 29© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Approve 75% 86% 58% 79% 65% 83% 84% 69% 74% 51% 75% 74% 76% - - -
Disapprove 13% 10% 27% 10% 8% 6% 13% 28% 24% 16% 12% 14% 16% - - -
Not Sure 12% 5% 14% 10% 28% 11% 3% 3% 2% 33% 13% 12% 8% - - -
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11%
10 Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the state government handled the aftermath of Hurricane Florence?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-6.2 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Approve 75% 68% 76% 78% 78% 78% 69% 70% 74% 73% 92%
Disapprove 13% 13% 16% 9% 17% 13% 12% 20% 16% 12% 0%
Not Sure 12% 19% 9% 13% 6% 9% 19% 10% 10% 14% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 25% 24% 8% 0% 0% 0% 14% 35% 5% 4% 47% 9% 12% 11% 56% 9% 7%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 38% 45% 55% 43% 79% 50% 55% 31% 50% 68% 15% 75% 41% 61% 15% 42% 55%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 26% 29% 30% 57% 21% 0% 30% 24% 37% 21% 36% 16% 34% 19% 27% 45% 30%
Not Sure 6% 10% 2% 7% 0% 0% 50% 1% 9% 7% 7% 2% 0% 14% 9% 1% 5% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 30© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 48% 8% 14% 8% 9% 27% 26% 19% 4% 47% 4% 9%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 18% 65% 40% 61% 75% 53% 34% 48% 65% 17% 75% 42%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 31% 17% 41% 27% 16% 17% 30% 29% 24% 33% 21% 33%
Not Sure 6% 3% 10% 5% 4% 0% 3% 10% 3% 7% 2% 0% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% 28% 33% 1% 49% 10% 4% 0% 0% 0% 49% 4% 15% 20% 22% 36%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% 40% 32% 71% 26% 60% 44% 46% 75% 6% 16% 62% 48% 44% 51% 31%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% 29% 32% 24% 24% 29% 52% 16% 25% 34% 32% 26% 27% 30% 20% 30%
Not Sure 6% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 0% 38% 0% 60% 3% 7% 10% 6% 7% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
11Continuing to think about state government, would you rather have more government services if that meant higher tax rates, fewer government services in order to reduce tax rates, orservices and tax rates about as we have them now?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
More Services / Higher Taxes 22% - - - - 6% 56% 15% 4% 43% 9%
Fewer Services / Reduce Taxes 44% - - - - 58% 13% 47% 65% 25% 18%
Services And Taxes About As They 29% - - - - 29% 27% 30% 23% 30% 62%
Not Sure 6% - - - - 7% 3% 7% 8% 3% 11%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 62% 30% 7% 48% 46% 6%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 31© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Favor 62% 58% 66% 50% 67% 60% 100% 75% 48% 69% 93% 27% 30% 65% 94% 17% 59% 66%
Oppose 30% 40% 28% 16% 0% 0% 0% 13% 49% 21% 1% 68% 63% 13% 3% 79% 24% 25%
Not Sure 7% 2% 6% 34% 33% 40% 0% 11% 3% 10% 6% 5% 7% 22% 3% 4% 17% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Favor 62% 29% 95% 57% 74% 27% 70% 66% 59% 94% 24% 52% 71%
Oppose 30% 67% 5% 25% 12% 73% 30% 25% 33% 1% 70% 26% 10%
Not Sure 7% 4% 0% 18% 14% 0% 0% 9% 8% 6% 6% 22% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favor 62% 65% 20% 97% 38% 78% 83% 83% 78% 50% 23% 90% 66% 65% 61% 46%
Oppose 30% 29% 59% 3% 57% 18% 17% 1% 22% 6% 72% 5% 7% 28% 28% 48%
Not Sure 7% 7% 20% 0% 5% 4% 0% 16% 0% 44% 5% 5% 27% 7% 11% 6%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 32© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
12North Carolina voters will be considering a number of state constitutional amendments on the ballot this November. Would you favor or oppose a state constitutional amendment torequire voters to provide photo identification before voting in person?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-6.9 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Favor 62% 18% 83% 63% 74% - - - 94% 29% 63%
Oppose 30% 77% 9% 29% 17% - - - 1% 64% 3%
Not Sure 7% 5% 8% 8% 10% - - - 5% 7% 33%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 48% 46% 6%
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
November Vote NC Direction Senate Vote Opinion Of Lee
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Already Very Lik Somew Unlikely Not Voti Not Sur Right Di Wrong Not Sur Michael Harper Ethan B Undeci Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi
Approve 48% 54% 45% 38% 25% 60% 100% 65% 33% 47% 88% 5% 30% 33% 83% 5% 43% 38%
Disapprove 46% 46% 48% 41% 54% 40% 0% 27% 64% 44% 7% 90% 70% 53% 13% 92% 48% 49%
Not Sure 6% 0% 8% 22% 21% 0% 0% 8% 3% 10% 5% 5% 0% 14% 4% 3% 9% 13%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 37% 53% 6% 2% 1% 1% 39% 45% 16% 47% 40% 2% 11% 39% 27% 25% 9%
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Opinion Of Peterson Opinion Of Bickley House Vote
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Favora Unfavor Neutral No Opi Republi Democr Another Undeci
Approve 48% 8% 87% 40% 61% 27% 46% 44% 51% 90% 2% 43% 35%
Disapprove 46% 90% 10% 49% 23% 67% 52% 48% 44% 5% 96% 51% 40%
Not Sure 6% 2% 3% 11% 15% 6% 2% 8% 5% 6% 2% 6% 24%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 32% 32% 24% 13% 2% 7% 38% 54% 48% 41% 2% 9%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 33© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Issue Trust More Handling Of Florence
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points Educati Energy Govern Healthc Jobs / E Roads / Taxes Other Not Sur Democr Republi Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Approve 48% 29% 16% 92% 24% 75% 58% 86% 64% 33% 2% 85% 27% 47% 57% 40%
Disapprove 46% 65% 75% 8% 68% 24% 38% 1% 33% 23% 95% 10% 55% 45% 43% 56%
Not Sure 6% 6% 9% 0% 8% 1% 5% 13% 3% 44% 3% 5% 18% 7% 0% 4%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 23% 12% 10% 20% 16% 7% 8% 3% 1% 38% 52% 11% 75% 13% 12%
13 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?
400 Registered VotersAll
Prefer Photo ID Trump Approval
Credibility Interval: +/-7.1 pct points More S Fewer Service Not Sur Favor Oppose Not Sur Approv Disappr Not Sur
Approve 48% 8% 71% 38% 67% 72% 2% 31% - - -
Disapprove 46% 89% 26% 49% 21% 22% 98% 42% - - -
Not Sure 6% 2% 2% 13% 12% 6% 1% 27% - - -
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Composition of Registered Voters 100% 22% 44% 29% 6% 62% 30% 7%
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525Geography: NC 9th State Senate District Sponsor:
Data Collected: 10/26/2018 - 10/31/2018 Civitas Institute (Raleigh, NC)
Release Date: 10/31/2018
Percentages
Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #24525 - Page 34© 2018 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com
Statement of Methodology: SurveyUSA is an independent, non-partisan, apolitical research company that conducts opinion surveys for media, academic institutions, commercial clients,
non-profits, governments, agencies, and elected officials. SurveyUSA opinion research is conducted using a methodology optimized for each particular project. In some cases, this means data is
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