RES Policy in Hungary - iet.jrc.ec.europa.eu · Mun. waste Hydro Wood PV Wind Biogas Magyarország célba ér The development of the RES-E ... BAU (-EVHAT) BAU facttény prognosisprognózis

Magyarország célba érMagyarország célba ér

RES Policy in HungaryHuba Bence

Energy Center Istanbul 15. 11. 2007


1. About the Energy Centre2. Present Situation3. Hungarian Energy Policy4. Support scheme 5. Energy efficiency6. Development7. Different kinds of RES8. Electricity, heating-cooling 9. Conclusions


Energy CentreEnergy Centre

Department for Grants

Department forStrategy

and Environment

Department forStatistics

Energy Efficiency, Environment and Energy Efficiency, Environment and Energy Information Agency Energy Information Agency

NonNon--Profit CompanyProfit Company


Activities - StatisticsActivities - Statistics

Data collection and analysis for national and international goals in the full scale of the energetics

national Statistics (Hungarian Statistical Office, Ministries, Government)

EU Statistics (Eurostat)

International Statistics(IEA – International Energy Agency)

Data collection and analysis for national and international goals in the full scale of the energetics

national Statistics (Hungarian Statistical Office, Ministries, Government)

EU Statistics (Eurostat)

International Statistics(IEA – International Energy Agency)


Activities – Granting programs Activities – Granting programs

Coordination all grants in Hungary concerning energy efficiency and RES

National grants(for the residential sector, RES&EE)

EU grantsEIOP (Environment und Infrastructure) EEOP (Environment and Energy) 2007-13

EE 150 Mio. EuroRES 250 Mio. Euro

Coordination all grants in Hungary concerning energy efficiency and RES

National grants(for the residential sector, RES&EE)

EU grantsEIOP (Environment und Infrastructure) EEOP (Environment and Energy) 2007-13

EE 150 Mio. EuroRES 250 Mio. Euro


Activities – Strategical Dep.Activities – Strategical Dep.

Supporting the Hungarian government by the preparation and implementation all decisions concerning:

Energy efficiency

Renewable energies

Supporting the Hungarian government by the preparation and implementation all decisions concerning:

Energy efficiency

Renewable energies


Hungarian Energy Strategy 2008-2020Hungarian Energy Strategy 2008-2020

Reliability reducing the import dependencyRES&EE (Mix opt, diversif., storage, infrastr.)

Competitiveness cost reduction RES&EE (Liberalisation, real prices, R&D)

Sustainability environmental protectionRES&EE (climate change)


Actual questions of the Hungarian energy politicsActual questions of the Hungarian energy politics

The governmental decision is prepared:

RES Strategic Development Plan

Energy efficiency strategy and action plan

National climate change strategy

Changes in the legislationElectricity law

Gas law

The governmental decision is prepared:

RES Strategic Development Plan

Energy efficiency strategy and action plan

National climate change strategy

Changes in the legislationElectricity law

Gas law


Final energy consumption 1994-2005 (1.000 toe)Final energy consumption 1994-2005 (1.000 toe)


Trends of the energy consumptionTrends of the energy consumption

196189182164PJTransport sector

52 28948 91445 54041 982GWh

Total electricity consumption

29 49729 49728 18427 544Ktoe

1 2351 2351 1801 153,2PJTotal primer energy consumption

2020201520102005


Energy intensity [PP corrected GDP, in EU%]

Energy consumption [PJ TPES/capita]

Energy intensity [PP corrected GDP, in EU%]

Energy consumption [PJ TPES/capita]

0

30

60

90

120

150

180

210

240

270MÁLTA

OLA

SZO

RSZÁ

G

ÍRORSZÁ

G

DÁNIA

AUSZTRIA

PORTU

GÁLIA

GÖRÖGORSZÁ

G

NAGY-BRITANNIA

SPANYOLO

RSZÁ

G

NÉMETO

RSZÁ

G

HOLLANDIA

CIPRUS

FRANCIAORSZÁ

G

LUXEMBURG

SZLOVÉNIA

MAGYARORSZÁ

G

LENGYELO

RSZÁ

G

SVÉDORSZÁ

G

LETTORSZÁ

G

FINNORSZÁ

G

LITV

ÁNIA

BELG

IUM

CSEHORSZÁ

G

SZLOVÁKIA

ÉSZTORSZÁ

G

97,5100,9106,3111,9

124,8135,7

144,4148,2153,7158,3160,4163,7

171,2175,8

186202,2

230,7286,8

373,9379,3

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400

LengyelországMagyarország

PortugáliaGörögországOlaszország

SpanyolországSzlovákiaSzlovénia

DániaAusztria

Egyesült KirályságÍrország

CsehországNémetország

FranciaországHollandiaBelgium

FinnországSvédországLuxemburg


National energy efficiency action planNational energy efficiency action plan

Obilgation as EU Member State

Target 2016 (2006/32/EK ) 9 years 1%/year(sum 63 PJ/year, financed by EEOP 11 PJ/év (estimated))

EU Target 2020 20 %

Final consumption (without ETS) 695 PJ/év

Difficulty: 2016-2020 next 11 % reduction

Obilgation as EU Member State

Target 2016 (2006/32/EK ) 9 years 1%/year(sum 63 PJ/year, financed by EEOP 11 PJ/év (estimated))

EU Target 2020 20 %

Final consumption (without ETS) 695 PJ/év

Difficulty: 2016-2020 next 11 % reduction


Support of RES&EESupport of RES&EEFeed-in Tariff

GrantsEHA since 1991 (functioning)PHARE (2008 will closed)EHP programs (1997-1999)SZTEN-NEP (2000-2005)EU EIOP (2004-2006)

Sum of the past activities in EE (1991-2007)76 Mio. Euro grant100 Mio. Euro special credit17,23 PJ/year (1,5 %)

EU EEOP 2007-2015

Feed-in Tariff

GrantsEHA since 1991 (functioning)PHARE (2008 will closed)EHP programs (1997-1999)SZTEN-NEP (2000-2005)EU EIOP (2004-2006)

Sum of the past activities in EE (1991-2007)76 Mio. Euro grant100 Mio. Euro special credit17,23 PJ/year (1,5 %)

EU EEOP 2007-2015


RES targets for 2010 were set comfortableRES targets for 2010 were set comfortable

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

AT SE LV PT SL FI SK ES DK IT FR EL IE DE UK NL CZ PL LT BE CY LU EE MT HU

%

2004Cél 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

AT SE LV PT SL FI SK ES DK IT FR EL IE DE UK NL CZ PL LT BE CY LU EE MT HU

%

2004Cél 2010


Electricity and gas pricesElectricity and gas prices

0,00

20,00

40,00

60,00

80,00

100,00

120,00

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Villamos, nem háztartásiátlagár Ft/kWhVillamos, háztartásiátlagár Áfa-val Ft/kWhFöldgáz, nem háztartásiátlagár Ft/m3Fölgáz háztartási átlagárÁfa-val Ft/m3

Electricity, non residential [HUF/kWh]Electricity, residential [HUF/kWh]

Gas, residential [HUF/m3]

Gas, non residential [HUF/m3]


Energy mix in Hungary (TPES)Energy mix in Hungary (TPES)

28,7 23,7

31,0 44,8

15,8

14,4

19,913,1

2,1 0,42,6 3,7

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

1990 2004

MegújulóEgyébSzén AtomGázOlaj

RES

Other

Coal

Nuclear

Gas

Oil

Import dependency (67,3%) 78,5 %


Distribution of RES 2006Distribution of RES 2006

Tűzifa 47.4%

Egyéb biomassza 38.3%

Vízenergia1.2%

Bioüzemanyag1.7%

Biogáz0.8%

Szélenergia0.3%

Napenergia0.2%

Települési hulladék biológiailag

lebontható része3.6%

Geotermikus6.6%

WoodSolar

Wind

Biogas

Hydro

Biofuel

GeothermalOther biomass

Municipal waste


RES by consumption areasRES by consumption areas,

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

motorhajtó üzemanyag célú

villamosenergia termelésre

hőtermelésre

PJ

Biofuel

RES-H

RES-E


Proportion of RES-EProportion of RES-E

Országos villamosenergia igény és a megújuló bázisú termelés részaránya

Magyarországon

3.7

2.3

0.80.60.7

4.5

32000

34000

36000

38000

40000

42000

44000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

GWh

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

%The Hungarian electricity consumption and RES-E proportion

Target for 2010


Sum of feed-in costsSum of feed-in costsA támogatott áron történő kötelező átvételi rendszer

pénzügyi terhei (folyó kifizetés)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 várharó

Mrd Ft

kapcsolt+hulladék+nyomásejtő

megújuló


The development of the RES-E productionThe development of the RES-E production

Magyarországon

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

GWh

KommunálishulladékFotovillamos

Szélenergia

Vízenergia

Biogáz

Biomassza egyébforrásbólTűzifa

Other biomass

Mun. waste

Hydro

Wood

PV

Wind

Biogas


The development of the RES-Eby sourcesThe development of the RES-Eby sources

Megújuló és hulladék bázisú villamosenergia termelő kapacitások

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Vízenergia Szélenergia Kommunálishulladék

Biomassza Biogáz

MW

20012002

20032004

20052006

Hydro Wind M. waste Biomass Biogas

Installed RES-E capacity


Fuel mix - heatingFuel mix - heatingDecentralizált hőpiac (főzés nélkül)

tüzelőanyagszerkezete, 2005

Egyéb0.4%

Tüzifa, megújuló5.3%Fűtőolaj,

tüzelőolaj7.3%

Szilárd8.7%

PB gáz1.1%

Földgáz77.3%

A távhőpiac tüzelőanyagszerkezete, 2005

Faapríték, termálvíz, 1.5% Fűtőolaj,

tüzelőolaj, 1.4%

Földgáz82.8%

Szilárd9.3%

Egyéb5.0%

Decentralised heat market 2005

District heating 2005


RES-H fuel mix 2006 (37,5 PJ)RES-H fuel mix 2006 (37,5 PJ)

Napenergia 0,2%

Geotermikus energia 10,1%

Tüzifa 37,8%

Erdészeti hulladék és egyéb biomassza 49,0%

Biogáz 0,5%

Települési Szilárd Hulladék 2,4%

Biomassza 89,7%

Solar 0,2%

Wood 37,8%

Forestry waste and other biomass 49,0%

Biomass 89,7%

M. waste 2,4%

Biogas 0,5%

Geothermal 10,1%


Targets for the increase of RES until 2020Targets for the increase of RES until 2020RES Electricity form RESPJ GWh

BAU POLICY BAU POLICY (2020%) (11%) (15%) (14,5%) (18%)

2005 55 55 1570 1570

2015 115 149 6070 7120

2020 136 186 7560 9470

Increase until 2015 60 94 4500 5550

EEOP (estimated) 41 1170

Increase until 2020 81 131 5990 7900

RES Electricity form RESPJ GWh

BAU POLICY BAU POLICY (2020%) (11%) (15%) (14,5%) (18%)

2005 55 55 1570 1570

2015 115 149 6070 7120

2020 136 186 7560 9470

Increase until 2015 60 94 4500 5550

EEOP (estimated) 41 1170

Increase until 2020 81 131 5990 7900


Potential of RESPotential of RES

53,82600-2700Sum-total

0,16532,8wind

49,2203-328biomass

3,663,5geothermal

0,714,4hydro

0,11838solar

Used in2006 (PJ)

Estimation of theHAS (PJ)RES Type

HAS – Hungarian Academy of Sciences


Biomass potential estimated by the Ministry of Agriculture (5/2007)Biomass potential estimated by the Ministry of Agriculture (5/2007)

~260 PJTotal sum25 PJBiogas

188,26 PJSolid biomass (combustion)

250 kt/year = 9,5 PJ

Biodiesel

1330 kt/year = 36 PJ

BioethanolBiofuels

Biomass for energetic use

EEA estimation for the Hungarian biomass potential 145 PJ(sustainable use)


Analysis of the renewable energy sources’ evolution up to 2020Analysis of the renewable energy sources’ evolution up to 2020

Source: Forres


Estimated development of RES-E Estimated development of RES-E g y pj

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Policy (-EVHAT)PolicyBAU (-EVHAT)BAU

tény prognózisfact prognosis


Estimated use of RES in 2020Estimated use of RES in 2020

21.443.0

62.379.728.3

50.2

70.9

87.1

0.2

10.5

16.3

19.6

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2005 2010 2015 2020

Motorhajtó üzemanyag célú

HőtermelésVillamosenergia-termelés

PJ

BiofuelsRES-HRES-E


Planed mix of RES in 2020 (policy)Planed mix of RES in 2020 (policy)

Napenergia0.9%

Geotermikus6.1%

Bioüzemanyag10.5%

Vízenergia0.5%

Szél3.3%

Biomassza70.2%

Biogáz, biometán

6.7%

Hulladék megújuló része

1.8%


Future RES-E development by energy sourcesFuture RES-E development by energy sources

Megújuló alapú villamosenergia-termelés várható alakulása energiaforrásonként (Policy forgatókönyv)

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

2005 2010 2015 2020

GWh

Hulladék megújuló részeBiogázBiomasszaGeotermikusNapenergia (napelem)SzélVízenergia

wastebiogasbiomassgeothermalsolarwindhydro


Planed RES-H mix in 2020Planed RES-H mix in 2020

79.0%

1.7%1.9%

10.3%

7.0%

Solar (thermal)

Geothermal

Biogas

Biomass, wood

Waste


Estimated production from RES in 2020Estimated production from RES in 2020

1.491.271.050.57PJWaste68.7956.9541.5823.94PJWood, biomass6.124.561.840.07PJBiogas + biometan9.007.075.143.63PJGeothermal1.661.100.530.08PJSolar (thermal)

87.0570.9550.1528.30PJTotal2020201520102005RES-H14212110059GWhWaste71750022925GWhBiogas

6,0114,5792,8091,506GWhBiomass6563701280GWhGeothermal0.50.40.30.1GWhSolar (PV)

1,7001,12256010GWhWind243219196202GWhHydro

9,4706,9124,0231,803GWhTotal2020201520102005RES-E

Documents

RES Policy in Hungary - iet.jrc.ec.europa.eu · Mun. waste Hydro Wood PV Wind Biogas Magyarország célba ér The development of the RES-E ... BAU (-EVHAT) BAU facttény prognosisprognózis