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Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia - Opportunities & Challenges Roslyn Jettner and Dr Larisa Cato Australian Export Grains Innovation Centre Australian Grains Industry Conference 29-31 July 2013

Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

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Page 1: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Repositioning Australian wheat

in Indonesia

- Opportunities & Challenges

Roslyn Jettner and Dr Larisa Cato Australian Export Grains Innovation Centre

Australian Grains Industry Conference 29-31 July 2013

Page 2: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Wheat consumption

Indonesia Australia

Population (million) 246 23

Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145

Total wheat consumption mmt (2012)

6.35 5.5 / 2.2

Page 3: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Indonesian wheat imports

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Wh

ea

t Im

po

rts

mm

t

Indonesia Wheat Imports (mmt)

World Australia Canada United States

Page 4: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Indonesia wheat imports 2012

Australia 71%

Canada 15%

US 11%

India Russia Pakistan others

Wheat Imports 2012

WA 41%

SA 23%

Vic 15%

NSW 11%

Qld 10%

Australian Origin 2012

Page 5: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Meeting the future growth –

Milling capacity and growth

Pre-

deregulation

Post –

deregulation

TOTAL Future

1970-98

1999-08 2008-12 Next 2-3

years

No. mills 5 6 10 21 8 Co.

12 Mills

Milling

capacity

8.1mmt +2.3mmt

• Improved milling technology, gristing & blending facilities • Increased focus on quality and food safety • Fully equipped quality control labs • Trained and qualified technical personal

Page 6: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Location of Indonesian Flour Mills

Page 7: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Wheat based products

Instant noodles 25%

Wet noodles 25%

Dry noodles 5%

bread 25%

biscuit 10%

household 5%

fried food 5%

Page 8: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Future growth

23.4% growth predicted for

2012/17 due to growing

demand for convenience food

products

28.4% growth predicted for

2012/17 due to trends towards

more western style baked

products and consumers

replacing rice with baked

goods

Page 9: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Opportunity to capture growth

Meet growing demand from Indonesia

Dangerous to rely on reputation of quality,

market proximity, purpose grade for use.

These are under threat.

Indonesia is providing clear signals to Australia

- Seasonal quality information & technical

support to optimise use of Australian wheats

- Improved consistency in grain quality and

milling performance between & within

shipments

- Australian wheats for baking industry

Page 10: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Market perceptions Physical grain quality

Screenings

1.Australia

2.Canada

3.USA

Moisture

1.Australia

2.USA

3.Canada

Colour

1.Australia

2.USA

3.Canada

Page 11: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Bread

1. Canada/

USA

Market perceptions End-product quality

Noodles

1. Australia

2. Canada

3. USA

Biscuits

1. USA

2. Australia

Page 12: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

“V” shape indent

Market perceptions – Australian wheat

Advantages

Good value • Clean

• Low moisture

• Freight benefit

Very good flour colour

Good milling extract

Good starch for noodles

x

Disadvantages

cf. North American

Medium baking

Noodles with less

firmness

x

Page 13: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Indonesia product quality requirements

Product Quality Preferred grades

Noodles

•High starch swelling (instant, dried)

•Wet gluten 27-33% •Water Abs. 56-59% •Ash < 0.6%

Instant: APW Fresh YAN APH, CWRS

Breads

•Flour protein 12.5-15%db •Strong gluten (wet> 32%) •High water abs. (60-66%) •Good stability •High bread volume, oven spring, soft crumb

•CWRS, DNS •APW blended

Biscuits & cakes •Marie 10.5% protein db •Crackers 11%, w abs 60% •Wafers <9%, long extensibility

SWW preferred Blend with APW, ASW

14 12.5 11.5 11

PremiumInstant

Medium Average Low Cost

Wheat Protein %

Page 14: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Australian wheat for Indonesian baking

• Different flour grists.

-Premium

-Medium

-Low cost

• Role of Australian wheat in different grists.

• Blending–lower price, competition from new

suppliers.

Page 15: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Baking comparison

• Selected varieties and functionality

• high volume but ‘V’ shape

• strong, symmetrical, but lower volume

• CHALLENGES AHEAD

• Protein %

• Water absorption %

Page 16: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Baking comparison

• Premium baking sector accustomed to north

American wheats.

• Australian wheat will ALWAYS be measured against

higher protein wheat from other origins.

• Australian grades coming under pressure as

blending wheat due to cheaper alternatives.

• Australia must produce high quality functional

wheats that compete on value rather than price.

• Need to understand relationship between protein

content, wet gluten & end product.

• Potential for improved functionality of AH to account

for higher proportion in blends of baking flour.

Page 17: Repositioning Australian wheat in Indonesia ... · Indonesia Australia Population (million) 246 23 Wheat consumption kg/capita pa 21.5 145 Total wheat consumption mmt (2012) 6.35

Australian Wheat for baking sector

Big challenge but even bigger opportunity 1. Service market with technical information &

collaboration as Australian industry.

2. Target sector with “baking package”

- Selected Australian varieties

- Blending knowledge

- Additives

- Processing or baking method

- Understanding protein content vs bread quality.

3. Breeding of Australian wheats suited to Indonesian

baking sector.