Renewable Energy in China

Liu Jiandong, Sun PeijunChina National Renewable Energy Centre

2016/12/15

China’s Energy Consumption

2

China’s energy consumption continued to grow in many

successive years, reaching 4.3 billion tce, and it has become the

world's largest energy consumer.

2.9 3.1

3.6 3.9

4.0 4.2 4.3 4.3

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Primary Energy Consumption/

billion tce

CHINA’S ENERGY CONSUMPTION STRUCTURE

3

66 64

17.1 18.1

5.7 5.9

7.7 7.8 8.6 8.0 9.4 10.4 11.2 12

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Non-fossil Energy

Natural Gas

Oil

Coal

4

China’s New Energy

Development Status and the

Future Plans

NON-FOSSIL ENERGY TARGET

52010 2015 2020

8.6%

11.4%

15%

5

20%

2030

709.67

768.34819.68

862.38915.69

990

216.06

232.98

248.9

280.02

301.83

319

31.31

47.84

62.66

77.16

96.37

129

253.13

290.15323.25

383.13

435.73

501.69

26% 27% 28%30% 32%

33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Thermal Power Nuclear Hydro Wind Biomass Solar Share of RE

Unit:GW

CHINA’S POWER CAPACITY STRUCTURE

CHINA’S RE POWER GENERATION STRUCTURE

49 74.1

103134.9

153

186

25 32

34

40

42

51.7

761 774

996

1080

1286

1392

18%16%

20% 20%

23%25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Hydro Wind Biomass Solar RE Share

Unit:TWh

HYDRO—RESOURCES OVERVIEW

Rich in resources: potential

capacity of 660GW, potential

annual generation of 3000TWh.

Mainly distributed in major rivers

of China’s Western area, where

Sichuan Yunnan and Tibet

account for 60% of its total

resources

China implemented the “west-to-

east electricity transmission

strategy“ since the major power

load is concentrated in eastern

areas.

8

全国水力资源复查成果

• Accumulative capacity installations in 2015: 319 GW, increased by 4%；

• By 2020, it is estimated to have 420GW hydro power installations in total

Hydro Power—Development Status

912.8 16.8

29.9 21.9 17.5

101

233.0 249.5

280.0 301.8

319.4

420

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020

Unit:GW New Accumulated

• The power genertion in 2015: 1114.3 TWh, increased by 3%。

10

Hydro Power—Development Status

686.7 668.1

855.6 896.3

1064.3 1114.3

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Unit:Twh

• China is rich in wind

resources, with its onshore

technical available potential of

7.5TW (wind density capacity

≥300W/m2).

• Offshore wind capacity at

water depth of between 5-25 m

(above 100m height) : 190 GW

and 320 GW at water depth of

between 25-50 m

Wind —Resources

11

Wind power FiT policy

12

• Updated onshore power pricing

based on costing reduction:

1. For first-class, second-class and

third-class resource areas: the wind

power price reduced by

0.02CNY/kWh in 2016 and

0.03CNY/kWh in 2018

2. For Fourth-class resource area:

the wind power price reduced by

0.01CNY/kWh in 2016 and

0.02CNY/kWh in 2018

• Offshore wind power pricing keep

unchanged, FIT with 0.85CNY/kWh

commissioned before 2017 and tidal

wind power with 0.75CNY/kWh。

Estimated142GW grid-connected wind power

installations in 2015;

Annual electric power more than 180TWh, top

three power source;

560MW Offshore wind installations,5GW

Offshore will be installed

Wind power development status

13

49.4

73.2

100.8

134.9

153.4

186.3

230.0

0

50

100

150

200

250

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Unit:TWh

13.6 16.5 14.8 14.5 19.8 32.9

12.7

68

31.3

47.8

62.7

77.2

96.4

129.3 142.0

210 77%

53%

31%

23% 25%

34%

10%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020E

New Accumulated Growth rate

SOLAR ENERGY—RESOURCE OVERVIEW

Solar energy resources are

abundant in China. The

territorial area and buildings’

light receiving areas suitable

for solar generation are vast.

Solar resource-rich regions

accounted for two-thirds of

land area, and it has huge

resource potential for large

scale development and

utilization of solar energy.

14

Solar PV power pricing policy

15

New solar PV power pricing in 2016:

FIT in first-class resource area: 0.80CNY/kWh, reduced by 0.10CNY

FIT in second-class resource area:0.88CNY/kWh, reduced by 0.07CNY

FIT in third-class resource area:0.98CNY/kWh, reduced by 0.02CNY

SOLAR ENERGY DEVELOPMENT STATUS

16

76GW grid-connected Solar PV installations in 2016, 65GW Utility-Scale, 7GW

distributed PV. Annual electric power more than 41TWh. By 2020, 10 GW CSP

2.3 4.2

14.8

23.4

37.1

6670.0

0.6 2.3

2.7

4.7

6.1

10

40.0

2.9 , 452%6.6 , 81%

17.5 , 252%

28.1 , 58%

43.2 , 59%

76, 78%

110.0 , 6%

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2020

Unit:GW, rate%

Utility-Scale Distributed PV

China is large country with solar heating utilization and solar heating collection

area reached 450 million square meter in 2015,increased by 3.4% compared

with 2014. By 2020, Solar heating will reach to 450 million square meter and 400

million square meter in industry sector

17

Solar energy development status

221.7 271.1 323.1 374.7 413.6 435 450

23.8%22.3%

19.2%

16.0%

10.4%

5.2%

3.4%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020

Installations (million m2) Growth rate

BIOMASS—RESOURCES

The installed capacity of biomass is estimated to reach 12GW in 2016, with its generating capacity of

more than 60TWh.

The utilization availability of agricultural waste is 195 million tce per year

The utilization availability of forestry waste is 198 million tce per year

The utilization availability of municipal waste, livestock breeding waste and high concentration

organic wastewater is 45 million tce per year

4.65.5

7.07.7

8.79.5

10.3

11.7

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

China biomass power

Installed capacity GW

Biomass installed capacity of

12GW

6 million tons of

pellet fuel

Annual biogas supply of 16

billion cubic meters

2.1 million tons bio-ethanol and 40 million tons of bio-diesel

Biomass—development status

19

- 15GW of installed capacity

- Focus on major grain producing areas

Electricity Generation

Objectives:

GasLiquidFuel

- Annual use of Forestry biomass briquette reaches 25 million tons

Pellet

Biomass layout

20

By 2020 productions of biomass will reach 100 million tce.

- Annual use of 800 billion cubic meters of biogas

- Annual use of fuel ethanol reaches 4 million tons, annual use of biodiesel reaches 2 million tons

Thanks!谢谢！