Reinert Intra Industry

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    Chapter 4: Intra-Industry

    Trade

    An Introduction to International

    Economics: New Perspectives on theWorld Economy

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Analytical Elements

    Countries

    Sectors

    Tasks

    Firms

    Factors

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Table 4.1: Types of Trade

    Type of Trade Phrase Meaning Source

    Inter-industry Either/or Eitherimports or exports

    in a given sector of the

    economy

    Comparative

    advantage

    Horizontal intra-

    industry

    Both/and/

    same

    Bothimports andexports

    in a given sector of the

    economy at the same

    stage of processing.

    Product

    differentiation

    Vertical intra-

    industry

    Both/and/

    different

    Bothimports andexports

    in a given sector of theeconomy at different

    stages of processing.

    Fragmentation

    (comparativeadvantage in

    some instances)

    A. Reinert, CambridgKenneth e UniversityPress 2012

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    Figure 4.1 The Evolution of Intra-Industry Trade at the 5-

    and 3-Digit SITC Levels (percent of total trade)

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Global Patterns of Intra-Industry Trade

    Approximately one third of world trade takes place as

    intra-industry trade

    Especially prominent in manufactured goods among the

    developed or high-income countries of the world

    Probably accounts for up to 70% of trade

    Globally, intra-industry trade is becoming more important

    over time, particularly in Asia

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Global Patterns of Intra-Industry Trade

    The increasing extent of intra-industry trade in world

    trading system has some important implications for the

    adjustmentof economies to increasing trade

    Increases in inter-industry trade based on absolute or

    comparative advantage involve import sectors

    contracting and export sectors expanding

    Requires that productive resources, most notably workers, shift

    from contracting to expanding sectors in order to avoid

    unemployment Not always an easy processoften gives rise to calls for

    protection

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Global Patterns of Intra-Industry Trade

    The adjustment process in the case of intra-industry

    trade is very different A given sector experiences increases in imports and exports

    simultaneously

    Workers are less likely to need to shift between sectors Demands for protection from increased imports are less likely

    This is known as the smooth adjustment hypothesis

    Smoothness:

    Inter-industry trade: Low (not at all smooth)

    Vertical intra-industry trade: Medium (somewhat smooth)

    Horizontal intra-industry trade: High (smooth)

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    An Explanation of Intra-Industry Trade

    Will develop an explanation of intra-industry

    trade using the example of US trade in cheese

    Have to allow for product differentiation among types

    of cheese Will restrict ourselves to two types of cheese: blue

    cheese (denoted by B) and food-service cheese

    (denoted by F)

    This situation is represented in Figure 4.2 Trade implications of these supply and demand

    relationships are illustrated in Figure 4.3

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Figure 4.2: Markets for Blue and Food-

    Service Cheese

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Figure 4.3: U.S. Intra-Industry Trade in

    Cheese

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Gains from Intra-Industry Trade

    Does intra-industry trade in cheese benefit

    the United States, or is it unnecessary and

    wasteful?

    Take up this issue in Figure 4.4

    Areas B and D represent gains from trade

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Figure 4.4: The Gains from Intra-

    Industry Trade

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

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    Grubel-Lloyd Index

    The Grubel-Lloyd index looks at a given

    product category denoted by letteri

    It is calculated as:

    This index is illustrated in Figure 4.5

    Pure inter-industry trade is along the axes

    Pure intra-industry trade is along the 45 degree

    diagonal

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012

    1001

    ii

    ii

    iZE

    ZE

    B

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    The Grubel-Lloyd Index for China

    The Grubel-Lloyd Index for China is

    presented in Table 4.2

    Note as we disaggregate further (moving

    from right to left), the amount of intra-industrytrade declines but does not disappear

    Note that the amount of intra-industry trade

    increases over time

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    Table 4.2: Measuring Chinas Intra-Industry Trade Using

    the Grubel-Lloyd Index. Source: Van Marrewijk (2009)

    Year 3-digit SITC or237 Sectors

    2-digit SITC or237 Sectors

    1-digit SITC or10 Sectors

    1980 20 30 63

    1985 20 29 44

    1990 36 45 60

    1995 38 48 67

    2000 39 48 57

    2005 42 49 58

    Kenneth A. Reinert, Cambridge UniversityPress 2012