15
1 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy Integrated Fire Control - Counter Air (NIFC-CA) Tammy McNeley, Rick Null, Matthew Craig Lockheed Martin Note: All performance values are notional and used only for purposes of simulation development. 17th Annual Systems Engineering Conference October 27-30, 2014 Distribution Statement A: This presentation/paper is unclassified, approved for public release, distribution unlimited, and is exempt from U.S. export licensing and other export approvals under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (22 CFR 120 et seq.)

Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

1 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy Integrated Fire

Control - Counter Air (NIFC-CA)

Tammy McNeley, Rick Null, Matthew Craig Lockheed Martin

Note: All performance values are notional and used only for purposes of simulation development.

17th Annual Systems Engineering Conference October 27-30, 2014

Distribution Statement A: This presentation/paper is unclassified, approved for public release, distribution unlimited, and is exempt from U.S. export licensing and other export approvals under the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (22 CFR 120 et seq.)

Page 2: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

2 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Project Overview

• Develop rapid simulation, analysis, and visualization capability to gain understanding of fighter aircraft integration in the From-the-Sea kill chain for integrated fire control operations in counter air engagements.

– Employ integrated engagement concepts – Examine engagement outcomes – Quantify benefits of military utility and effectiveness

Page 3: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

3 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Approach

Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement

concepts • Develop Discrete Event Simulation (DES) environment • Simulate effects-based modeling of:

– Defensive fighter operations – Sea based missile defense – Communications / data link network – Threat attacks

• Generate military utility results – Rapid analysis of integrated

engagement capabilities – Understanding of top-level interactions and outcomes – Measures of Outcome, Effectiveness, and Performance

Page 4: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

4 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Engagement Scenario*

• Carrier Defense: – Airborne fighter defense – Surface destroyer defense – Integrated operations against low-altitude targets

Fighter Engagement Zone (FEZ)

Joint Engagement Zone (JEZ)

Utilizing Engage on Remote

Missile Engagement Zone (MEZ)

“Organic” Engagement

Fighter Engagement

DDG CVN Max

. DD

G E

ngag

emen

t Ran

ge

Threat Missile A

ttack

*Notional Data

Page 5: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

5 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Carrier Defense Visualization

FEZ

JEZ

MEZ

Visualization Used to Generate IFC Conops (engagement logic, timing, etc.)

Notional Data

Page 6: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

6 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Additional Visualization Capabilities* Analysis layers that can be turned on/off

CADRG Maps Measurements

Missile Flyout

Battlespace Access

• Investigate the susceptibility of aircraft flying through a threat laydown

• Visualize the interdependent effects of flight conditions, terrain effects, threat system capabilities, etc.

Line of Sight

*Notional Data

Page 7: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

7 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Carrier Defense DES “Desktop” View

Sensor Network

Shooter Network

Comms Network

*notional data

Target

Simulation Features – Threat missile attack – Missile detection and tracking – Communications networking – Missile engagement / defense

Fighters on Station

Carrier

Threat Missile Attacks

Threat Attack

Surface Defense

Destroyer

Fighter Defenses

Page 8: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

8 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Example Attack Scenario*

• 20 threat missiles launched against carrier battle group

• Surface defense provided by destroyer

• Fighter defense options… – Case 1: No fighter defense – Case 2: Integrated fighter defense (limited bandwidth) – Case 3: Integrated fighter defense (unlimited bandwidth)

• 25 Replications run for each option

*Notional Data

Threat missile speed = high subsonic Threat missile altitude = Low Destroyer supports up to 10 simultaneous engagements

Page 9: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

9 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Combined Kill Plot

Fighter Limited Bandwidth: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.58 Rmax

Fighter Unlimited Bandwidth: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.81 Rmax

Fighter Kills

Max Destroyer Engagement Range

No Fighter Defense: Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.24 Rmax

Fighters Unlimited Bandwidth

+ Fighters Limited Bandwidth

No Fighters

Averages across 25 Replications

Destroyer Organic Fire Control Engagement

Zone

Engage on Remote Zone

Fighter Engagement Zone (FEZ)

*Notional Data

Nor

mal

ized

Ran

ge

0.25

0

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.++

Radar Horizon.

Page 10: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

10 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Data Link Simulation Summary

*Notional Data from Single Replication

Simple message queuing and processing model captures link “bandwidth / capacity”

Page 11: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

11 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Engagements – No Fighter Defense

Engagement Series – Single Replication (No Fighter Defense)

No Fighters Destroyer 19 kills, 36 shots Leakers = 1 1 Replication

Nor

mal

ized

Ran

ge

0.25

0

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.++

Max. DDG Engagement Range

Destroyer Intercepts

Destroyer Kills

Fighter Intercepts

Fighter Kills

All Engagements Occur at Close Range

No Fighter Defense (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.24 Rmax

*Notional Data

Page 12: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

12 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Engagements – Limited Bandwidth

Engagement Series – Single Replication (Limited Bandwidth)

Fighters 4 kills, 8 shots Destroyer 16 kills, 23 shots Leakers = 0 1 Replication

Max. DDG Engagement Range

Destroyer Intercepts

Destroyer Kills

Fighter Intercepts

Fighter Kills

Nor

mal

ized

Ran

ge

0.25

0

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.++

Few Engagements Occur at Extended Range

Fighter Limited Bandwidth (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.58 Rmax

*Notional Data

Page 13: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

13 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

Engagements – Unlimited Bandwidth

Engagement Series – Single Replication (Unlimited Bandwidth)

Fighters 4 kills, 8 shots Destroyer 16 kills, 30 shots Leakers = 0 1 Replication

Max. DDG Engagement Range

Destroyer Intercepts

Destroyer Kills

Fighter Intercepts

Fighter Kills

Nor

mal

ized

Ran

ge

0.25

0

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.++

Many Engagements Occur at Extended Range

Fighter Unlimited Bandwidth (across all replications): Average Kill Range (nm) = 0.81 Rmax

*Notional Data

Page 14: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop

14 Copyright 2014 Lockheed Martin Corporation. All Rights Reserved

About the Author

Ms. Tammy McNeley is a Lockheed Martin Fellow and serves as Chief Engineer of the Lockheed Martin Aeronautics’ Warfare Integration Laboratories including F-35 and Advanced Development Program facilities. She has 30+ years of experience in military Operations Analysis (OA) and human-in-the-loop simulation and is certified as an Expert Systems Engineering Professional (ESEP) by the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE). She is also an active member of the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) Systems Engineering (SE) Modeling and Simulation (M&S) Committee.

Tammy McNeley Lockheed Martin Fellow Lockheed Martin Aeronautics P.O. Box 748 Fort Worth, Texas 76101 (817) 935-1022 [email protected]

Page 15: Rapid Simulation, Analysis, and Visualization for Navy ...€¦ · Approach . Approach: • Utilize visualization techniques to develop integrated engagement concepts • Develop