Rancho Santiago Community College District Chancellor’s Community Advisors

2

2008- 2009 Workforce Report

• Demographic projections about Orange County’s current and future workforce

• Information on Orange County’s students, with a particular emphasis on science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM)

• Employment trends in Orange County’s major industry clusters, newly defined this year and including emerging clusters such as biotechnology and nanotechnology

• Projections of occupations showing fastest growth• Housing and rental costs from a workforce perspective

3

Recent Economic Challenges

• Orange County’s unemployment rate currently stands at 5.7% in July 2008, up from 4.2% a year ago and 3.4% in 2006

• The financial and construction sectors accounted for nearly 2/3rds of job losses in the last year

• Median home prices are down 28.5% in the last 12 months

4

How Our Neighbors Have Fared

• San Diego County’s current unemployment rate is 6.4%. Orange County has nearly 200,000 more jobs

• Los Angeles County’s unemployment rate is 7.8% versus 4.9% a year ago

• San Bernardino County’s unemployment rate is 8.5%, Riverside County’s is 9.5%, with median home prices down over 35%

5

Orange County Has Been Here Before

• In 1990, Orange County’s unemployment rate stood at 3.5%, rising to 5.3% in 1991, 6.7% in 1992, and peaking at 6.9% in 1993

• From then on, the Orange County economic engine began to create jobs, jobs, jobs

• Beginning in the latter half of 1993, by 1999 Orange County created over 230,000 jobs taking the unemployment rate down to 2.7%

6

Are Demographics Destiny? Projected Age in OC 2000-

2050

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

0-4

5-14

15-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

age

percent of population20502000

7

Are Demographics Destiny? Projected Ethnicity in OC

2000-2050

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050White Hispanic Asian Pacific IslanderBlack American Indian Multirace

8

2008 Workforce Clusters

• Business and Professional Services– Management and

Administration (sub-cluster)

• Construction• Finance, Insurance, Real

Estate• Healthcare• Information Technology• Logistics and

Transportation– Transportation (sub-

cluster)

• Manufacturing– Advanced Manufacturing

(sub-cluster)• Hospitality and Tourism

– Hospitality (sub-cluster)

Emerging Clusters• Biotechnology and

Nanotechnology• Energy, Environment and

Green Technologies

Orange County Cluster Employment -- 2007

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Ene

rgy

and

Env

ironm

ent

Info

rmat

ion

Tech

nolo

gy

Bio

tech

nolo

gy

Con

stru

ctio

n

Logi

stic

s an

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ansp

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Adv

ance

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anuf

actu

ring

Bus

ines

s an

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Hea

lthca

re

Fina

nce

Hot

els

and

Res

taur

ants

Man

agem

ent

and

Tour

ism

Man

ufac

turin

g

I ndustry

Em

ploy

men

t

Orange County Cluster Average Annual Salaries --

2007

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

$80,000

$90,000

Hot

els

and

Res

taur

ants

Tour

ism

Tran

spor

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n

Man

agem

ent a

nd

Adm

inis

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Hea

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Con

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s an

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ervi

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Fina

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Sala

ry

Industry

11

Top 10 OC Growth Occupations – Absolute Job

Growth Next 10 Years

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Ret

ail S

ales

pers

ons

Cas

hier

s

Wai

ters

and

Wai

tress

es

Com

bine

d Fo

od P

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rers

and

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ight

, Sto

ck, a

ndM

ater

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over

s, H

and

Cus

tom

er S

ervi

ce R

epre

sent

ativ

es

Land

scap

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and

Gro

unds

keep

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Wor

kers

Jani

tors

and

Cle

aner

s, E

xcep

tM

aids

and

Hou

seke

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g C

lean

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Gen

eral

and

Ope

ratio

ns M

anag

ersN

umbe

r of

New

Job

s

12

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Ne

twor

k Sy

stem

s an

d Da

ta C

omm

.An

alys

ts

Hom

e He

alth

Aid

es

Elem

enta

ry S

choo

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edic

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Appl

icat

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Top 10 OC Growth Occupations –

% Job Growth Next 10 Years

13

Projected OC Employment -- Minimum Training Required

Minimum Training Required

Percent of County Employment, 2004

Estimated Number of Jobs, 2007

Estimated Percent Increase, 2004-2014

Estimated Number of Jobs, 2014

High School Diploma or Less

70.4% 963,887 16.0% 1,109,882

Post-Secondary Education

7.5% 102,522 21.9% 121,084

Bachelor’s or Higher 22.1% 302,459 23.2% 373,612

Training Level Not Classified

0.0% 268 9.7% 320

14

% of Population (25 or older) without a High

School Diploma

15

% of Population (25 or older) with a Bachelor’s

Degree or Higher

16

High School Four Year Drop-Out Rate 2007

12.0%

18.7%20.2%

22.9% 23.5% 23.7% 24.2%

27.8%29.9%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

OrangeCounty

Alameda Santa Clara San DiegoCounty

SanFrancisco

RiversideCounty

Statew ide LosAngelesCounty

SanBernardino

County

Orange County Statewide

17

OC High School Exit Exam

Trend 2001-2007

71%63%

72%

54%

43%

53%

81%

72% 69%

83%82% 73%70% 83%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

English-Language Arts Math

18

2007 UC / CSU Eligible Graduates, OC Compared to

State

45.3

26.6

53.8

18.123.9

44.5

25.6

38.435.3

64.8

39.1

26.427.5

23.5

46.0

61.3

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

AmericanIndian / Alaska

Native

Asian Pacific Islander Filipino Hispanic /Latino

AfricanAmerican

White (notHispanic)

Total

Per

cent

of S

tude

nts

Orange County California

19

SAT Scores 2007: OC Compared to Peers

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Santa ClaraCounty

OrangeCounty

Raleigh Austin San DiegoCounty

UnitedStates

California LosAngelesCounty

Critical Reading Math Writing

Orange County

United States California

20

SAT Scores By OC School District, 2007

134714811493

15691589159415971612161316131630163316371668

15111497

1590

1773

0 500 1000 1500 2000

Santa Ana

Garden Grove

Anaheim

Orange

Tustin

Newport-Mesa

Los Alamitos

Placentia-Yorba Linda

Huntington Beach

Brea-Olinda

Capistrano

Fullerton

Saddleback Valley

Laguna Beach

Irvine

US

State

County

SAT Score

CountyStateUSA

21

OC English Language Learners 1996-2007

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

English LearnerFluent English ProficientRedesignated Fluent English Proficient

22

English Learners – OC Compared to Neighboring

Counties

22%

24%

25%

25%

28%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

San Bernardino County

San Diego County

Riverside County

California

Orange County

Los Angeles County

Orange County

California

23

English Learners By OC School District 2007

54.4

46.5

30.728.1

25.5 25.1 2522.6

14.812.6 11.5 11.1 10.1

7.52.9 2.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

San

ta A

na

Gar

den

Gro

ve

Fulle

rton

Join

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New

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a

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e

Sad

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ack

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ley

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Bre

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Hun

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each

Hig

h

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each

Los

Ala

mito

s

Coun

ty

24

2008 STEM 11th and 12th Grade AP Enrollment – OC Compared to

Peers

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%O

rang

e

Los

Ang

eles

Riv

ersi

de

San

Ber

nard

ino

San

Die

go

San

Fra

ncis

co

San

ta C

lara

Ala

med

a

Computer Science A Computer Science A B Calculus AB Calculus BC Statistics General biology General chemistry Physics B Physics C Environmental science

Oran

ge

25

2007 OC Enrollment in Upper Level Science and Math Courses by

Gender

18.5%

20.7%

15.6%

6.7% 6.8%

13.4%

18.7%

16.5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Intermediate Algebra Advanced Math 1st Year Chemistry 1st Year Physics

Female Male

26

% Passing (3 or Greater) AP Test Scores – OC School

Districts 2007

21.3

46.348.055.7

27.237.9

77.1

54.8

37.9

53.3

39.545.9

39.2

14.6

44.838.4

25.8

0102030405060708090

Anah

eim

Uni

on H

igh

Brea

-Olin

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nifie

d

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igh

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each

Uni

on H

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nifie

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each

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fied

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Alam

itos

Uni

fied

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port

-Mes

a U

nifie

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nge

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ba L

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leba

ck V

alle

y U

nifie

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a A

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nifie

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nifie

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Cou

nty 

(OR

ANG

E )

Stat

ewid

e 

Oran

ge C

ount

y

Stat

ewid

e

27

Is School or District Preparing Students for Future Jobs? (School

Leaders)

Response National

OC

Yes 57% 69%No 14% 10%Not Sure 17% 13%No Opinion 2% 3%I have not thought about this before

1% 0%

Source: Project Tomorrow NetDay Survey

28

Is School Preparing You for a Good Job in the Future?

(Students)

Response

G6-8 National

G9-12 National

G6-8 OC

G9-12 OC

Yes 50% 49% 54% 50%

Source: Project Tomorrow NetDay Survey

Thank You!