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Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas John Simmons Sherwood Geotechnical and Research Services Peregian Beach QLD 4573 BOHOGS Peak Downs Mine 9 May 2017

Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

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Page 1: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas

John Simmons

Sherwood Geotechnical and Research Services

Peregian Beach QLD 4573

BOHOGS Peak Downs Mine 9 May 2017

Page 2: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Simple Guide to Slope Mechanics

R

Du

t

u

RESULTANT FORCE IN DIRECTION OF MOVEMENT:DF = D – R

MOVEMENT IN RESPONSE TO UNEQUILIBRATED FORCE:DF = M a, a = ü

velocity-t1

velocity-t2

Acceleration~ D(velocity)/Dt

ACCELERATION > 0.0 IMPLIES THAT LOCAL OR GLOBAL FACTOR OF SAFETY IS 1.0 OR LESS

Page 3: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Displacement Rate: Pre-Radar Guidance

after Figure 21 of Sullivan, TD, 2007. Hydromechanical coupling and pit slope movements. Keynote Address, Slope Stability 2007, Proceedings of the 2007 International Symposium on Rock Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, Perth. Australian Centre for Geomechanics, pp 3-43. ISBN 9780975675687

Page 4: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Intention of PHMP’s

OPERATIONSHistoryExperienceObservations → TARPs• SOPs• JHAs

• consequences• exposures• likelihoods

DESIGNHistoryExperienceData, Assumptions → Assessment• Standard Designs• Specific Recommendations

• consequences• exposures• likelihoods

ACT → High-Level Risk Assessment → PH Consequences

“Strata Failure” Principal Hazard Management Plan(what, where, when, how, who, why)

Page 5: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Generic Advice on Trigger Levels

ACARP Project C15033 (2011)ESFC-Based Trigger Levels for Monitoring Pit Wall StabilitySherwood Geotechnical and Research Services Report Number 7260-1-2 www.acarp.com.au

Page 6: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Explanation: Composite Failure

Potential failure path includes:

• Pre-existing defects(sliding and separation)

plus:

• Rock material(fracture, sliding, and separation)

Failure can occur very quickly with little warning

Most frequently duringCoal Mining

Page 7: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 Microseismic Array

Page 8: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 Radar Monitoring SSR14

Page 9: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2)

Page 10: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models

Page 11: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers

Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

DIP = 0°

Page 12: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers

DIP = 5°

Page 13: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

In a Nutshell ...

1) Extension Strain Fracturing is real and inevitable and is generated by deformation in response to stress removal

2) Microseismic monitoring is not a practical tool for risk control in an open pit mining environment

3) Pre-collapse movements can be detected for about 2 days prior to collapse but absolute resolution has to be ≤ 5mm/day

4) Radar can detect such movements but only if platform movements can be rigorously assessed

5) The extent of stable extensional fracturing can be reliably predicted with a joint network rock mass model

6) Collapse trigger levels can be developed using a joint network rock mass model, by assuming 20mm in excess of background movement rate, or by assuming > 25mm/d

Page 14: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

TARPS REQUIRE TRIGGER LEVELS

Page 15: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

DILEMMAS FOR TRIGGER SETTING1. Trigger Levels must be in accordance with levels of RISK as

described in the PHMP

2. Where do I get meaningful numbers for Trigger Levels?

Displacement over time? Computed Velocity? Acceleration?

Applying:

• Anywhere? Use maximum identified by radar?

• Specific Locations? Guided by suspected mechanism?

3. When increasing displacements are detected, how do I use the tools available with the radar software to give adequate warning?

4. How do I minimise the likelihood of false or excessive alarms?

5. How do I report the process to keep people adequately informed?

Page 16: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Example Daily Status Report

Page 17: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

Example Daily Status Report

Page 18: Radar Movement Monitoring TARP Trigger Setting Dilemmas · JPS16 Deformation Model (Phase2) JPS16 Rock Mass Response Models. JPS16 ESFC-Related Triggers Summarise Simmons 2011 Vancouver

OPEN DISCUSSION: RADAR TRIGGER SETTING1. Where do I get meaningful numbers for Trigger Levels?

Displacement over time? Computed Velocity? Acceleration?

Applying:

• Anywhere? Use maximum identified by radar?

• Specific Locations? Guided by suspected mechanism?

2. When increasing displacements are detected, how do I use the tools available with the radar software to give adequate warning?

3. How do I minimise the likelihood of false or excessive alarms?

Barry Ward – contributions Peter Saunders – contributions