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RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

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Page 1: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTINGRedrawing the Maps

Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Page 2: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Partisanship? Not so much.

Republican v. Democrat is outmoded and not a reflection of reality

Latino population growth and political mobilization pose challenges to non-Latino incumbents and political party leadership of both parties

Start with some context . . .

Page 3: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Texas Population Change 2000-2010

Page 4: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Population Growth in Latino-majority Districts in South Texas

Page 5: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012
Page 6: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Texas Congressional Plan - DFW

Page 7: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

CD26 “Lightning Bolt” by Race

Page 8: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Benchmark: Nueces County House Districts

Page 9: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

State Proposed: Nueces County House Districts

Page 10: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

State House Plan: “Antlers in El Paso”

Page 11: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

“Antlers” Close-up

Page 12: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Failure to Add New “Valley” House Seat

Page 13: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

What’s at Stake?

Page 14: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

What’s at Stake?

Page 15: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

What’s at Stake?

Page 16: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

The Texas 3-Ring Circus

Perez v. Perry, challenge to Texas redistricting plans under Voting Rights Act and Constitution

Texas v. U.S., lawsuit filed by Texas seeking judicial preclearance of its redistricting plans under sec. 5

Perry v. Perez, appeal to U.S. Supreme Court challenging court-drawn interim plans

Page 17: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

The Big Top

Texas must hold primary elections Texas election law calls for March 6

primaries and start of election process in late October 2011

Urgency for political parties to hold conventions in June, 2012

WDTX drew interim maps to accommodate primary schedule

Remand hearing yesterday and order for agreed maps by February 6

Page 18: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

The Continuing Relevance of Race Racially polarized voting in primary and

general elections Non-Latino Democratic incumbents

concerned about losing the primary to a Latino challenger

Non-Latino Republican incumbents concerned about pressure to change policy positions and backlash from the base

Continued fracturing by partisans of both political parties to protect incumbents

Page 19: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Texas Redistricting: Partisanship v. Oppportunity

D leadership opposes Latino-majority CD35 because they don’t want Latinos to nominate a candidate other than a nearby incumbent

Rs gerrymander CD23 because they don’t want Latinos to elect a candidate other than the incumbent

Texas Latinos flexible in partisan affiliation.

Page 20: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Latino Mobilization

Rejection of fracturing to protect non-Latino incumbents of both political parties.

Litigation to enforce the protections of the Voting Rights Act: the opportunity to elect Latino candidates of choice

Recognition that political partisans invoke the VRA to advocate for partisan goals, not well-being of Latino voters

Page 21: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Why the Confusion?

Inability to recognize political mobilization of the Latino community

Distraction of media focus on partisanship instead of voting rights

Low visibility of court proceedings Political party messaging intended to

serve incumbents, not voters Partisans suggest that the VRA has

outlived its utility

Page 22: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

Looking to the Future

Greater Latino participation in partisan primaries and associated transformation

Greater participation in general elections and the changing face of elected officials

Changes to political party platforms

Page 23: RACE AND THE VOTING RIGHTS ACT IN 2011 TEXAS REDISTRICTING Redrawing the Maps Stanford Law School January 28, 2012

THANK YOU

Nina Perales VP for Litigation MALDEF [email protected]