37
RIIN TAMME, LARS GÖTZENBERGER, MARTIN ZOBEL, JAMES M. BULLOCK, DANNY A. P. HOOFTMAN, ANTS KAASIK, MEELIS PÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal distances from simple plant traits

R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

RIIN TAMME, LARS GÖTZENBERGER, MARTIN ZOBEL,

JAMES M. BULLOCK, DANNY A. P. HOOFTMAN, ANTS KAASIK, MEELIS PÄRTEL

Predicting seed dispersal distances from simple plant traits

Page 2: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

We collected available maximum dispersal distance data for plant species

Page 3: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal
Page 4: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

576 plant species are currently represented in our database

Page 5: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

We collected plant trait data from original studies or databases

dispersal syndromegrowth formseed mass

seed releasing heightterminal velocity

Page 6: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

We related these plant traits to maximum dispersal distances

Page 7: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Average maximum dispersal distance

increases from species with no special mechanisms for dispersal to ballistic, ant,

wind, and animal dispersal

1.1 m

3.6 m

6.5 m

47.6 m

196 m

Page 8: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Average maximum dispersal distance

also increases from herbs to shrubs and

trees5.2 m

24.4 m

295 m

Page 9: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

We then built models to predict plant species’ maximum dispersal distances from simple plant traits

Page 10: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

OBSERVED MAXIMUM DISPERSAL DISTANCE (LOG; M)

PR

ED

ICT

ED

MA

XIM

UM

DIS

PE

RS

AL

DIS

TA

NC

E

(LO

G;

M)

Simple plant traits explained up to 60%

of variation in maximum dispersal

distances

We used 2/3 of the data to build the

models and 1/3 of the data as a test set to test the predictions

For the test set we predicted dispersal

distances using parameters from the

models and related these to observed values

Page 11: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

We provide a function dispeRsal to predict maximum dispersal distances for users’ own datasets

Page 12: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

How to predict plant species’ dispersal distances using

dispeRsal function in ?

Page 13: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

1

Page 14: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Download and install http://www.r-project.org

R is a free software environment for

statistical computing and graphics

Page 15: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

2

Page 16: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Download and load dispeRsal functionhttp://www.botany.ut.ee/dispersal

Simply download the dispeRsal file

Double-clicking the file automatically

opens R and loads the dispeRsal

function

Page 17: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

3

Page 18: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

You can use Excel or similar software to

prepare the dataset

Page 19: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Enter the species names without

authorship

It is also possible to only include genus

level

Page 20: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Enter either tree, shrub, or herb

Species growth form

Page 21: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Enter either animal, ant, ballistic, wind.none, or wind.special

Species dispersal syndrome

You can use different online databases to

obtain data on species’ dispersal

syndrome

Page 22: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Seed mass

Enter the value in log10 transformed format (using mg)

If no data is available, you can

leave the cell empty

Page 23: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

If no data is available, you can

leave the cell empty

Enter the value in log10 transformed format (using m/s)

Seed terminal velocity

Page 24: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

Prepare the data fileYour data file has to follow a specific format

Species GF DS SM TV RH

If no data is available, you can

leave the cell empty

Seed releasing height (or plant

height)

Enter the data in log10 transformed format (using m)

Page 25: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

For example…

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Acer platanoides tree wind.special 2.14 0.01 1.35

Abies alba tree wind.special 1.90 1.46

Viola montana herb ballistic

Viola arvensis herb ballistic -0.29 0.48 -0.79

Viola arvensis herb ant -0.29 0.48 -0.79

Page 26: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

For example…

Save your file in a comma separated file

format (.csv)

Make sure your data file is in the same directory as the dispeRsal file

Note that you can enter a species multiple times to predict dispersal

distance for different syndromes

Species GF DS SM TV RH

Acer platanoides tree wind.special 2.14 0.01 1.35

Abies alba tree wind.special 1.90 1.46

Viola montana herb ballistic

Viola arvensis herb ballistic -0.29 0.48 -0.79

Viola arvensis herb ant -0.29 0.48 -0.79

Page 27: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

4

Page 28: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

your.data <- read.table(“YourFileName.csv”, header=TRUE, sep=“;”, dec=“.”)

You may need to modify the values for separator (sep) and

decimal (dec) depending on your

file format

Read in your data to

Page 29: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

5

Page 30: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

dispeRsal(your.data, model=5)

Use dispeRsal function

Page 31: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

dispeRsal(your.data, model=5)

The value for model can be either 1, 2, 3,

4, or 5

Use dispeRsal function

1 uses DS, GF, TV2 uses DS, GF, SM,

RH3 uses DS, GF, RH4 uses DS, GF, SM

5 uses DS, GF

Choose the model depending on the data available (you can run the function several times using different

models)

Note that the simplest model (5) only uses DS and GF data even for

species that have more data available

Page 32: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

The output…

Species Order Family DS log10MDD_Family

log10MDD_Order

log10MDD_measured

Acer platanoides Sapindales Sapindaceae wind.special 2.36 2.32 2.68

Abies alba Pinales Pinaceae wind.special 2.57 2.32 3.85

Viola montana Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 NA

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 0.38

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ant 0.82 0.69 NA

Page 33: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

The output…

The function automatically assignes your

species to a family and an order

Species Order Family DS log10MDD_Family

log10MDD_Order

log10MDD_measured

Acer platanoides Sapindales Sapindaceae wind.special 2.36 2.32 2.68

Abies alba Pinales Pinaceae wind.special 2.57 2.32 3.85

Viola montana Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 NA

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 0.38

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ant 0.82 0.69 NA

Page 34: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

The output…

The function predicts dispersal distances taking account the taxonomy of the

species (family or order)

Species Order Family DS log10MDD_Family

log10MDD_Order

log10MDD_measured

Acer platanoides Sapindales Sapindaceae wind.special 2.36 2.32 2.68

Abies alba Pinales Pinaceae wind.special 2.57 2.32 3.85

Viola montana Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 NA

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 0.38

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ant 0.82 0.69 NA

Note that the maximum dispersal distance values are

log10 transformed (in m)

Page 35: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

The output…

If possible, also the measured maximum dispersal distance

from the original data source is given

Species Order Family DS log10MDD_Family

log10MDD_Order

log10MDD_measured

Acer platanoides Sapindales Sapindaceae wind.special 2.36 2.32 2.68

Abies alba Pinales Pinaceae wind.special 2.57 2.32 3.85

Viola montana Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 NA

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ballistic 0.61 0.47 0.38

Viola arvensis Malphigiales Violacea ant 0.82 0.69 NA

Note that the maximum dispersal distance values are

log10 transformed (in m)

Page 36: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

For more information…http://www.botany.ut.ee/dispersal

Page 37: R IIN T AMME, L ARS G ÖTZENBERGER, M ARTIN Z OBEL, J AMES M. B ULLOCK, D ANNY A. P. H OOFTMAN, A NTS K AASIK, M EELIS P ÄRTEL Predicting seed dispersal

dispeRsal is being presented by a research article in Ecology, which we kindly ask you to cite in case you use the tool and its output for your own publications

Riin Tamme, Lars Götzenberger, Martin Zobel, James M. Bullock, Danny A. P. Hooftman, Ants Kaasik, and Meelis Partel (In press). Predicting species' maximum

dispersal distances from simple plant traits. Ecology. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/13-1000.1