Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Q3 2015 results
11 November 2015
Teleconference
2
Safe Harbor Statement
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements.
Such statements reflect TORM's current expectations and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could negatively impact
TORM's business.
To understand these risks and uncertainties, please read TORM's announcements to NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen.
The presentation may include statements and illustrations concerning risks, plans, objectives, goals, strategies, future events or
performance, and underlying assumptions and other statements, which are other than statements of historical facts. The forward-looking
statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions,
including without limitation, TORM's examination of historical operating trends, data contained in our records and other data available from
third parties. As many of these factors are subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies which are difficult or impossible to predict
and are beyond our control, TORM makes no warranties or representations about accuracy, sequence, timeliness or completeness of the
content of this presentation.
3
Today’s presenters
Jacob Meldgaard
▪ CEO of TORM since April 2010
▪ Previously Executive Vice President of the Danish shipping company NORDEN where he was in charge of the company’s dry cargo division
▪ Prior to that he held various positions with J. Lauritzen and A.P. Møller-Mærsk
▪ More than 20 years of shipping experience
Mads Peter Zacho
▪ CFO of TORM since September 2013
▪ Previously CFO of Svitzer
▪ Prior to that held various positions with A.P. Møller-Mærsk, Nordea and IFC
4
Highlights for Q3 2015
Q3 2015
Results
Tanker
Dry bulk
Guidance
• The product tanker freight rates across segments has been USD/day ~26,000 in Q3 which are the
highest freight rates earned since 2008
• The Tanker segment reported a gross profit of USD 104m in Q3 2015 (PF USD 114m)
• Planned wind-down of dry bulk activities completed with redelivery of last T/C-in vessel and sale of our
last two Panamax vessels
• TORM’s dry bulk segment reported a gross result of USD -1m for Q3
Corporate
events
• The new Restructuring Agreement was implemented on 13 July 2013 giving TORM strategic and
financial flexibility
• New ownership structure and Board in place
• TORM has secured undrawn financing of USD 67m for the first three MR newbuildings and undrawn
financing of USD 26m for two of the second-hand MR vessels mentioned above
• Full year 2015 guidance is an EBITDA of USD 200 - 220m and a PBT of USD 115 - 135m
• Pro forma guidance, reflecting the combined fleets’ full year performance, is an EBITDA of USD 310 –
330m and a PBT of USD 185 - 205m
S&P (Tanker)
• During Q3, TORM purchased three modern second-hand MR vessels (2007, 2010 and 2012 built) for a
total consideration of USD 80m
• The value of TORM’s product tanker fleet increased by USD 77m (~5%) during Q3
USDmReported
Q3 2015
Pro forma
Q3 2015
Pro forma
Q3 2014
Pro forma
Q1-Q3 2015
EBITDA 96 105 26 257
Profit before tax 65 81 -4 169
5
Product tanker freight rates continued at strong levels
Source: Clarksons. Spot earnings: LR2: TC1 (Ras Tanura-> Chiba), LR1: TC5 (Ras Tanura-> Chiba) and MR: average basket of Rotterdam->NY, Bombay->Chiba, Mina
Al Ahmadi->Rotterdam, Amsterdam->Lome, Houston->Rio de Janeiro, Singapore->Sidney.
Freight rates in ‘000 USD/day
East (Q3 2015)
• The LR market benefitted from the ramp-up of
refinery capacity in Saudi Arabia and the UAE
• The Far East exported large volumes of gasoil to
West Africa and north-western Europe
• Declining freight rates for dirty trading led LR2s
to switch back into the clean market
West (Q3 2015)
• Freight rates driven by high European refinery
margins yielding export volumes to West Africa
• Considerable European export of gasoline to the
US East Coast due to US demand and capacity
restrictions
• The refineries in the Mexican Gulf area had high
exports to South and Latin America
• High naphtha flows from West to East in
July/Aug
6
TORM has significant operating leverage in an structurally
improving product tanker market
Fleet Spot Days
5783,956 4,015826
2015 Q4 2016 2017
5,631
3,692536
28,922
19,161
2,5453,260
28,943
18,723
2,5553,650
HandyLR2 LR1 MR
Illustrative change in cash flow generation potential for the TORM Fleet
∆ Average TCE/day 2015 Q4 2016 2017
USD 2,000 11.3 57.8 57.9
USD 1,000 5.6 28.9 28.9
USD (1,000) (5.6) (28.9) (28.9)
USD (2,000) (11.3) (57.8) (57.9)
USDm
# of spot days
Spot, % 84% 99% 100%
7
Peer comparison shows that TORM has continued to perform
commercially despite financial difficulties and an older fleet
Notes:
• Peer gorup is based on Ardmore (split by ECO and ECO-modified); d’Amico, Frontline 2012, Norden, BW, Teeday Tankers and Scorpio
• Q3 2015 figures are missing Frontline, BW and d’Amico
USD/day
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15
MR - Total reported TCE
Peer Hi-Lo TORM PF spot Peer avg
8
Pro forma OPEX is trending downwards
7,500
9,500
9,000
6,500
8,500
7,000
0
8,000
USD/operating day
Handysize
LR2
MR
LR1
Q3 15Q2 15Q1 15Q4 14Q3 14
Y-o-Y
change
-13%
-18%
-10%
-13%
9
TORM has a fully integrated business model and admin
expenses are trending significantly down
TORM has maintained a fully
integrated business model…
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
-19%
-54%2015 Q1-3
proforma
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
… and TORM’s cost program has trimmed admin expenses
significantly
Admin. expenses (quarterly avg. in USD m)
• TORM has a fully integrated
business model to obtain the
highest possible
‒ trading flexibility
‒ earning power
• TORM manages
‒ ~80 vessels commercially
‒ ~75 vessels technically
• Global reach ensures proximity to
customers
• Outsourced technical and
commercial management would
affect other line items of the P&L
• Average admin cost per earning
day is below 1,500 USD
10
Forecasted EBITDA for the combined company in the range of USD 200m
- USD 220m for FY2015
Earnings
sensitivity Q4
2015
EBITDA
(USDm)
Change in freight rates (USD/day)
Segment -2,000 -1,000 1,000 2,000
Tankers (USDm) -11 -6 6 11
EPS per shares (USD) -0.18 -0.09 0.09 0.18
* Applying 63.8m shares
** The financial results for 2015 will reflect Oaktree activities in the period from January 2015 until completion of TORM’s Restructuring (13 July 2015) and the combined entity from completion of
TORM’s Restructuring until 31 December 2015
*** Pro forma figures prepared as though the Restructuring occurred at 1 January 2014 and include the combined TORM and Oaktree fleet
Profit before
tax (USDm)
EPS* (USD)
1 January – 30 June
(Oaktree)
Full-year
(Combined)**
53 200 – 220
35 115 – 135
Pro forma guidance
(Combined)***
310 – 330
185 – 205
1.8 – 2.1 2.9 – 3.2
11
TORM has has a fully funded newbuilding program with a favourable
financing profile
Ample headroom under
our attractive covenant
package:
Loan-to-Value
(depending on facility)
Minimum liquidity:
USD 50m*
Minimum book equity
ratio: 25% (adjusted
for market value of
vessels)
Debt repayments do not include any potential cash sweep under TORM’s loan facilities. ** Of which USD 20m must be cash or cash equivalents
425155
801708
2016 20182017Q4 2015
(incl bulk
sale)
49
57
2019
93
Total
debt
Debt as
30 Sep.
2015
16 23
Future
secured
draw
down
2020 Hereafter
75
189
9280
2015
17172
2016 Total
NB
SH 168
338
170
Total available
liquidity
Cash position Available
debt facility
Capex commitments Available liquidity
Capex and Liquidity (USDm)
TORM is well
positioned to service
future CAPEX and debt
commitments
Scheduled debt repayments (USDm)
100% 2% 3% 6% 9% 19% 7% 53%