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8/13/2019 Put the Blame of the Housing Collapse Where It Belongs
1/11
Put the Blame of the Housing Collapse Where it
Belongs
Government meddling in the free markets isusually where all trouble starts. The Federal
Housing Administration, created in 1934, were
given power to insure mortgages up to 100%. It
required a 20% down payment and operated
just fine for 25 years with hardly any
bankruptcies because borrowers had skin in the
game. In 1957 the good old boys in Congress
slacked up the standards to jump start the
growth in housing. Down payments were
deflated down to 3% from 1957 to 1961.
Housing Boom Resulted
As prophesied this resulted in a FHA boom in
insured mortgages and a bubble burst in the
later 60s. This pattern keeps reoccurring and
no one seems to remember the earlier
mistakes. Keeping the Feds out of the game of
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housing would be a good start. The Feds
loosen up mortgage standards, a bubble occurs,
and then theres a crash. The governmentdeflects its involvement by using discretionary
lying, obfuscation, and new sets of laws for the
banking industry like it was their fault. Other
than the taxpayers, who eventually wind up
paying for these debacles, most of the peoplesqueezed are those who bought in the bubble
years. Then, after it was too late, when the
bubble popped, they came to discover they
could not afford their homes anymore.
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Financial Crisis of 2008
This happened again leading up to the financial
crisis of 2008. This time the federalgovernments policies were so pervasive and
pursued with such enthusiasm by two different
administrations that they caused a collapse that
was heard worldwide. The mindless wonders in
Congress planted the seeds of the fiasco to
come in 1992 with the enactment of what was
called affordable housing goals for Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac. These two entities,
before 1992, dominated the housing financial
market, especially after the Federal Savings and
Loan industry collapsed in the late 1980s,
engineered again by the geniuses in charge
who of course deflected all blame away from
them.Fannie and Freddies Role
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Their role was to conduct secondary market
operations creating a liquid market in
operations. They could not make loans butcould buy mortgages from banks and other
lenders. Their purchase provided cash for
lenders thus encouraging home ownership by
making more funds available for more
mortgages. Fannie and Freddie beingshareholder owned were chartered by
Congress and granted numerous government
benefits. These particular privileges gave the
impression they were government backed and
would be rescued if they ever went belly up.
This of course, as we will learn later, was the
wrong assumption.
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$2.25 Billion Line of Credit
With $2.25 billion line of credit at the Treasury
it was easy to see how market participants
believed Fannie & Freddie were government
backed. With borrowing rates only a little
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higher than the Treasury itself Fannie & Freddie
were able to drive all competition out of the
secondary market for middle class mortgages.They controlled 70% of the $11 trillion housing
finance market. From this dominant position
they were able to set the underwriting
standards for the market as a whole. Very few
mortgage lenders would make middle classmortgages that could to be sold to Fannie &
Freddie.
Foundational Elements
What kept delinquencies and defaults low wasthe required 10% to 20% down payment, good
credit history for borrowers, and low debt to
income ratios after the mortgage was closed.
These were the foundational elements of what
was called a prime loan that kept a stablemortgage market through the 1970s and most
of the 80s under a default of less than 1%.
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Despite these strict standards home ownership
from 1964 through 1994 remained at 64%.
Government Backing Was Their Undoing
Community activists put pressure on the Feds
arguing Fannie & Freddie underwriting
standards kept many low and moderate income
families from buying homes. The initial quota
was 30% and HUD was given authority to
increase the quota as Congress cleared the way
for more ambitious requirements reducing
down payments below 5%. HUD raised the
targeted quota to 42% in 1996, 50% in 2000,and 56% in 2008. By 2000 Fannie & Freddie
were accepting loans with zero money down
and lowering the credit standards so more
would sign up in order to meet the quota.
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The ResultFlash Forward to 2008
As a result of the gradual deterioration in loan
quality over the preceding 16 years, by 2008,
just before the housing bubble pop, 56% of all
mortgages in the United States32 million
loanswere subprime loans or otherwise what
is called low quality loans. Of the 32 million
76% were on the books of government
agencies that were controlled by government
policies. This shows absolute proof where the
demand for these mortgages originated!
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have created uncertainty and sapped the
appetite for risk taking that had once made the
U.S. financial system the largest and mostsuccessful in the world. The smothering rules &
regs of the DoddFrank Act is depressing
economic growth and lending no support for
the housing industry, thus a stagnant market
creating a drag on the GDP. A return to sanitywith credible loan standards would help buckle
down the housing market and perhaps return it
to solvency.
The answer is a thorough reorientation of the
U.S. housing finance system away from the kind
of federal government control that makes it
hostage to narrow political imperatives like
political activists. By cow towing to these
political interests it holds the whole GDPhostage to selfish interests. When the Congress
is always worried about re-election and further
feathering their nest it is time to look at term
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limits as an answer to this good old boy system.
By taking it out of the hands of Congress and
letting the voters decide on term limits is theway to go if we want true representation. If it
is good enough for the President it is good
enough for the Congress.