Put the Blame of the Housing Collapse Where It Belongs

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  • 8/13/2019 Put the Blame of the Housing Collapse Where It Belongs

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    Put the Blame of the Housing Collapse Where it

    Belongs

    Government meddling in the free markets isusually where all trouble starts. The Federal

    Housing Administration, created in 1934, were

    given power to insure mortgages up to 100%. It

    required a 20% down payment and operated

    just fine for 25 years with hardly any

    bankruptcies because borrowers had skin in the

    game. In 1957 the good old boys in Congress

    slacked up the standards to jump start the

    growth in housing. Down payments were

    deflated down to 3% from 1957 to 1961.

    Housing Boom Resulted

    As prophesied this resulted in a FHA boom in

    insured mortgages and a bubble burst in the

    later 60s. This pattern keeps reoccurring and

    no one seems to remember the earlier

    mistakes. Keeping the Feds out of the game of

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    housing would be a good start. The Feds

    loosen up mortgage standards, a bubble occurs,

    and then theres a crash. The governmentdeflects its involvement by using discretionary

    lying, obfuscation, and new sets of laws for the

    banking industry like it was their fault. Other

    than the taxpayers, who eventually wind up

    paying for these debacles, most of the peoplesqueezed are those who bought in the bubble

    years. Then, after it was too late, when the

    bubble popped, they came to discover they

    could not afford their homes anymore.

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    Financial Crisis of 2008

    This happened again leading up to the financial

    crisis of 2008. This time the federalgovernments policies were so pervasive and

    pursued with such enthusiasm by two different

    administrations that they caused a collapse that

    was heard worldwide. The mindless wonders in

    Congress planted the seeds of the fiasco to

    come in 1992 with the enactment of what was

    called affordable housing goals for Fannie

    Mae and Freddie Mac. These two entities,

    before 1992, dominated the housing financial

    market, especially after the Federal Savings and

    Loan industry collapsed in the late 1980s,

    engineered again by the geniuses in charge

    who of course deflected all blame away from

    them.Fannie and Freddies Role

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    Their role was to conduct secondary market

    operations creating a liquid market in

    operations. They could not make loans butcould buy mortgages from banks and other

    lenders. Their purchase provided cash for

    lenders thus encouraging home ownership by

    making more funds available for more

    mortgages. Fannie and Freddie beingshareholder owned were chartered by

    Congress and granted numerous government

    benefits. These particular privileges gave the

    impression they were government backed and

    would be rescued if they ever went belly up.

    This of course, as we will learn later, was the

    wrong assumption.

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    $2.25 Billion Line of Credit

    With $2.25 billion line of credit at the Treasury

    it was easy to see how market participants

    believed Fannie & Freddie were government

    backed. With borrowing rates only a little

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    higher than the Treasury itself Fannie & Freddie

    were able to drive all competition out of the

    secondary market for middle class mortgages.They controlled 70% of the $11 trillion housing

    finance market. From this dominant position

    they were able to set the underwriting

    standards for the market as a whole. Very few

    mortgage lenders would make middle classmortgages that could to be sold to Fannie &

    Freddie.

    Foundational Elements

    What kept delinquencies and defaults low wasthe required 10% to 20% down payment, good

    credit history for borrowers, and low debt to

    income ratios after the mortgage was closed.

    These were the foundational elements of what

    was called a prime loan that kept a stablemortgage market through the 1970s and most

    of the 80s under a default of less than 1%.

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    Despite these strict standards home ownership

    from 1964 through 1994 remained at 64%.

    Government Backing Was Their Undoing

    Community activists put pressure on the Feds

    arguing Fannie & Freddie underwriting

    standards kept many low and moderate income

    families from buying homes. The initial quota

    was 30% and HUD was given authority to

    increase the quota as Congress cleared the way

    for more ambitious requirements reducing

    down payments below 5%. HUD raised the

    targeted quota to 42% in 1996, 50% in 2000,and 56% in 2008. By 2000 Fannie & Freddie

    were accepting loans with zero money down

    and lowering the credit standards so more

    would sign up in order to meet the quota.

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    The ResultFlash Forward to 2008

    As a result of the gradual deterioration in loan

    quality over the preceding 16 years, by 2008,

    just before the housing bubble pop, 56% of all

    mortgages in the United States32 million

    loanswere subprime loans or otherwise what

    is called low quality loans. Of the 32 million

    76% were on the books of government

    agencies that were controlled by government

    policies. This shows absolute proof where the

    demand for these mortgages originated!

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    have created uncertainty and sapped the

    appetite for risk taking that had once made the

    U.S. financial system the largest and mostsuccessful in the world. The smothering rules &

    regs of the DoddFrank Act is depressing

    economic growth and lending no support for

    the housing industry, thus a stagnant market

    creating a drag on the GDP. A return to sanitywith credible loan standards would help buckle

    down the housing market and perhaps return it

    to solvency.

    The answer is a thorough reorientation of the

    U.S. housing finance system away from the kind

    of federal government control that makes it

    hostage to narrow political imperatives like

    political activists. By cow towing to these

    political interests it holds the whole GDPhostage to selfish interests. When the Congress

    is always worried about re-election and further

    feathering their nest it is time to look at term

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    limits as an answer to this good old boy system.

    By taking it out of the hands of Congress and

    letting the voters decide on term limits is theway to go if we want true representation. If it

    is good enough for the President it is good

    enough for the Congress.