Supplementary Information

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Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico LAM&C China India EuropeanUnion

UnitedStates

World

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e in

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Coal Oil Natural Gas Nuclear Hydro Biofuels Non-bio Renewables

Figure 1. Shares of fuels in electricity production for selected countries in 2010 (IEA, 2012a, b)

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Fossil Fuel and Industrial

Land Use Change CO2

All GHG

Non-CO2

AMPERE

Figure 2. Emissions in 2050 relative to 2010 for Latin America (vertical axis) relative to the world as a whole (horizontal axis). The upper left panel shows all GHGs, the upper right panel shows only fossil fuel and industrial emissions, the lower left panel shows non-CO2 emissions (including non-CO2 emissions from agriculture), and the lower right panel shows CO2

emissions from land use change. [Note on AMPERE data points. POLES, IMACLIM and MERGE are missing from the All GHG, Non-CO2 and Land Use Change CO2 charts because they do not report Non-CO2 or LUC data. In the LUC chart, GCAM and

DNE21 are not displayed because the data does not lie within the range of the displayed axes. In the Fossil Fuel and Industrial chart, POLES is omitted because it reports negative emissions for LAM in the 450 concentration scenario.]

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BaselineAMPERE

AMPERE

Figure 3. Baseline emissions relative to 2010 for Latin America (vertical axis) relative to the world as a whole (horizontal axis) in 2030 and 2050 [upper panels] and emissions reductions relative to baseline emissions for Latin America (vertical axis)

relative to the world as a whole (horizontal axis) in 2030 and 2050 [lower panels]. [Note on AMPERE data points. MERGE is missing from all 4 panels. IMACLIM is missing from 2050 in the top panel because it is outside the range of displayed axes.

POLES is missing from 2050 in the bottom panel because the data lies outside of range of displayed axes.]

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0510152025

0 0.5 1 1.5

EPPA GCAM TIAM-ECN POLES IMAGE Phoenix TIAM-WORLD Adage

010

0 1 2 3

20% abatement (FF&I) 50% abatement (FF&I)

Figure 4. Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions in 2050 relative to 2010 for Brazil and Mexico (vertical axis) relative to Latin America as a whole (horizontal axis).

0510152025

0 0.5 1 1.5

EPPA GCAM TIAM-ECN POLES IMAGE Phoenix Adage

Figure 5. Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions and non-CO2 emissions in 2030 relative to 2010 for Brazil and Mexico (vertical axis) relative to Latin America as a whole (horizontal axis) [Notes. Not all models precisely followed the scenario

protocol for these scenarios. Emissions reductions for Latin America relative to 2010 do not consistently match those specified by the protocol.]

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0510152025

0 0.5 1 1.5

EPPA GCAM TIAM-ECN POLES IMAGE Phoenix Adage

Figure 6. Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions and non-CO2 emissions in 2050 relative to 2010 for Brazil and Mexico (vertical axis) relative to Latin America as a whole (horizontal axis). [Notes. Not all models precisely followed the scenario

protocol for these scenarios. Emissions reductions for Latin America relative to 2010 do not consistently match those specified by the protocol.]

0510152025

0 0.5 1 1.5

EPPA GCAM TIAM-ECN POLES IMAGE Phoenix TIAM-WORLD Adage

010

0 1 2 3

20% abatement (FF&I) 50% abatement (FF&I)

Figure 7. Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions in 2030 relative to baseline emissions in that same year for Brazil and Mexico (vertical axis) relative to Latin America as a whole (horizontal axis).

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0510152025

0 0.5 1 1.5

EPPA GCAM TIAM-ECN POLES IMAGE Phoenix TIAM-WORLD Adage

010

0 1 2 3

20% abatement (FF&I) 50% abatement (FF&I)

Figure 8. Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions in 2050 relative to baseline emissions in that same year for Brazil and Mexico (vertical axis) relative to Latin America as a whole (horizontal axis).

Figure 9. Marginal abatement cost functions for total Latin America Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions – relative to 2010 levels – in 2030 and 2050. The round symbols show the 20% abatement (FFI) scenarios; the triangular symbols the 50% abatement (FFI) scenarios. [Note: Marginal abatement cost functions approximated by plotting carbon prices against

emissions reductions relative to 2010 emissions.]

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Figure 10. Marginal abatement cost functions for total Latin America Fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions and total non-CO2 emissions – relative to 2010 levels – in 2030 and 2050. The round symbols show the 20% abatement (GHG) scenarios; the triangular symbols the 50% abatement (GHG) scenarios. [Note: Marginal abatement cost functions approximated by

plotting carbon prices against emissions reductions relative to 2010 emissions.]

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Figure 11. Marginal abatement cost functions in 2050 for fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions, relative to baseline emissions, across Countries in Latin America (LAM). [Note: Marginal abatement cost function approximated by plotting

carbon prices against emissions reductions relative to baseline emissions.]

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Figure 12. Marginal abatement cost functions in 2030 for fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions and total non-CO2 emissions, relative to baseline emissions, across countries in Latin America (LAM). [Note: Marginal abatement cost function

approximated by plotting carbon prices against emissions reductions relative to baseline emissions.]

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*

Figure 13. Marginal abatement cost functions in 2050 for fossil fuel and industrial CO2 emissions and total non-CO2 emissions, relative to baseline emissions, across countries in Latin America (LAM). [Note: Marginal abatement cost function

approximated by plotting carbon prices against emissions reductions relative to baseline emissions.]

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