Protein-Rich Vegetarian Food & Sustainable Animal Products ... · Total 1 (Danube Soy Region & EU-Rest w/o Ukraine) Ukraine Total 2 (DS Region & EU-Rest w Ukraine) Soya Meal Demand

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Protein-Rich Vegetarian Food & Sustainable Animal Products - Trends and Perspectives

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• 14:30 Soya for food – part of a European Protein Strategy, Ursula Bittner, Austrian Soya and Danube Soya Association

• 15:00 Resource Effects of Dietary Patterns, Dr. Donal Murphy-Bokern

• 15:30 Health Aspects of Soya Foods - for Vegetarians, Vegans and beyond; Dr. Markus Keller

16.30 – 18.30 Coffee Break

• 16.30 Is our Future plant-based, Sebastian Zösch, Vegetarierbund Deutschland

• 16.50 The Development of Organic Soya Production and its value chain in Europe, Amos Ramsauer, Bioland Markt GmbH & Co KG

• 17.10 New Vegetable Proteins Sources: Where do we go from here? Gerard Klein Essink, Director Bridge2Food

AGENDA

Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 2

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DANUBE SOYA

Soya for food – part of a European Protein Strategy Danube Soya Association Wiesingerstrasse 6/9 1010 Wien

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<<<<<<< Agriculture resources usage

Usage dominated by Feed • 50% of the world population

is using less than 25 g of animal proteins/day

• 18% of the world population is using more than 60 g of animal proteins per day

Denis Chéreau, Improve


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<<<<<<< Use of Soya


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<<<<<<< Use of Soya

Feeding Stuff Foods Feeding- & Food

Stuff

Soybean

Soymeal Roasted

Soyabeans

Whole Soybean

Soyoil Soya Lecithin

Soya Flour Soya Drinks

Soya Yoghurts Soya „Knabberein“ and

Chocolate Tofu (Pickled, Tofugan,

Silken Tofu) Fermented

Soyaproducts (Soy Sauce, Tempeh, Sufu, Natto, Miso, Okara,

Yuba)

30 Members

Chemical Industry und Cosmetics


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<<<<<<< The Soya Bean and its Ingredients

Soybeans contain all eight essential amino acids, in a composition the human organism can utilise directly.


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<<<<<<< Soya Beans Imports and Exports

Quelle: USDA

Tausend Tonnen

75.0 – 100.0

50.0-75.0

10.0-50.0

0.0-10.0

95,5

0 46

Soybean Mio. MT

12

74

0

Soybean Mio. MT

108

1 48

Soybean

Mio. MT

55

0 8

Soybeand Mio. MT

1

12,75

0

Soybean Mio. MT


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<<<<<<< Soya Bean Meal Import and Exports

Tausend Tonnen

75.0 – 100.0

50.0-75.0

10.0-50.0

0.0-10.0

Quelle: USDA

59

0 0

Soybean Meal Mio.

MT 10,8

19

0

Production Import Export

Soybean Meal Mio. MT

38,8

0 11,6

Production Export


29

0

14

Production Export


29

0

27

Production Export



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Europa imports the cultivated land size of 12 Mio. ha in Soya from Overseas, 77% of CO2 emission in pork production resides from this effect

16 Mio. ha

Import Soya

1

12

0


Soyabean Mio. MT

CO2 emissions per kg pork meat

Negative impact in sustainability and ecological valuation of livestock production

10

19

0


Soyabean Meal Mio. MT


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<<<<<<< Demand drivers for GMO and GMO-free Soya in livestock per country

Source: FEFAC 2014

Main drivers for non-GM feed demand

20%

stable

60-75%

stable

30-50%

increasing

10%

increasing

100%

stable

100%

stable

< 10%

stable

75%

stable

< 10%

stable30%

50%

decreasing

80%

growing

100%

stable90%

stable

< 1%

50%

stable

<5%

increasing

100%

stable

90 %

stable 90 %

stable

90 %

stable

Market share of non-GM

compound feed

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

poultry pigs cattle

rest

non‐GM

Poultry and

laying hens

35%

pork

50%

beef

and

dairy

15%

Demand of Soya Imports Europe approx.

Source: Danube Soya Estimation


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<<<<<<< Soya Demand Estimates in Europe

Source: Base 2014, Various Reports Compiled by DSI, partly estimates (red) partly recalculated by feeder statistics (blue)


Ton Volumes Soya Cultivation Actuals &

Forecasts

Average Yield excl. Ukraine

Average Yield incl. Ukraine

EU-27 (and sourrounding countries)

Country (Factor)

Austria

Belgium-Luxembourg

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bulgaria

Croatia

Czech Republic

Germany

Hungary

Italy

France

Moldavia

Netherlands

Poland

Portugal

Romania

Serbia

Slovakia

Slovenia

Spain

Switzerland

UK-Ireland

Skandinavian (DK, SWE, NOR, FIN)

Other

Total Danube Soy Region

Total 1 (Danube Soy Region & EU-Rest w/o Ukraine)

Ukraine

Total 2 (DS Region & EU-Rest w Ukraine)

Soya Meal

Demand GMO-

free

%

Distribution

of GMO-

free

demand

Soja-Meal

GMO-free

domestic

Soya for Soya

Food demand

Soja-Meal /

Feed Demand

Total

%

Distribution

of Total Soya

Feed

demand

5.000.000 1.148.000 500.000 29.725.600

ton

180.000 4% 20.000 90.000 511.000 2%

40.000 1% 0 569.400 1,9%

10.000 0% 10.000 73.000 0,2%

0 0% 0 109.500 0,4%

30.000 1% 30.000 182.500 0,6%

0 0% 10.000 474.500 1,6%

1.000.000 20% 10.000 200.000 4.445.700 15,0%

100.000 2% 0 591.300 2,0%

800.000 16% 410.000 3.336.100 11,2%

700.000 14% 160.000 20.000 3.825.200 12,9%

0 0% 100.000 102.200 0,3%

50.000 1% 0 2.518.500 8,5%

180.000 4% 21.000 1.868.800 6,3%

0 0% 0 678.900 2,3%

0 0% 0 423.400 1,4%

310.000 6% 310.000 189.800 0,6%

57.000 1% 57.000 138.700 0,5%

0 0% 0 65.700 0,2%

2.000 0% 2.000 4.197.500 14,1%

306.600 6% 8.000 306.600 1,0%

195.000 4% 2.788.600 9,4%

749.000 15% 2.138.900 7,2%

290.400 6% 190.000 189.800 0,6%

5.000.000 17% 1.148.000 500.000 29.725.600

1.007.400

30.733.000

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<<<<<<< Consumption of Protein

Denis Chéreau, Improve Thursday, 7th of May 2015 GMO-free Europe Conference 14

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<<<<<<< Meat Consumption is Dropping


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<<<<<<< Meat Consumption Germany

Figure 2.5 Meat Consumption per person in Germany, 1850 – 2010* (in kg) Source: own diagram after Alvensleben (1999) and BMELV (2011); *2010: estimated


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<<<<<<< Consumption of legumes per year and capita – Germany


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<<<<<<< Consumption in Austria

Per capita and year 1880 1926 1970 2005 2013

Potatoe 316 124 75 55 48,9

Rye Flour 83 54 16 10 10,2

Legumes (Beans, Lentils, etc.) 15 2 1 0,5 0,7

Fresh Vegetables 68 50 19 15

Meat 35 45 65 90 97,7

Dairy Products 95 135 185 215

- 88%

- 77% + 64%

+ 56%

Calories Intake per Person and Day

1964: 2950 kcal

2002: 3740 kcal

2013: 3819 kcal (OECD Average 3.410 kcal)

- 95%

- 85%

-


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0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

40,0

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Noncer fiedGMOSoya 34,0 32,4 30,5 28,0 24,8 20,8 16,2 11,9 8,0 3,1 0,0 0,0

Cer fiedGMOSoya(RTRS) 1,0 1,5 2,0 3,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 11,0 9,7

OverseasGMO-freeSoya(ProTerra) 3,0 3,5 4,0 4,5 5,0 5,5 6,0 6,5 7,0 7,5 8,0 8,0

Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeotherlegumes/be erlanduse 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,0 1,4 1,8 2,2 2,6 3,0

Poten alUkraineGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 0,0 0,1 0,3 0,6 1,5 2,1 3,2 5,0 6,5 8,7 10,2 11,2

Poten alEuropeanGMO-freeSoya(incl.Danube/EuroSoya) 2,1 2,6 3,0 3,3 3,6 4,0 4,2 4,5 4,7 5,0 5,2 5,6

Sourcing of the european Protein ( Soya) Feed Dem and Scenario unt il 2 0 2 5

Vision 2025. Europe has the potential to become self-sufficient by 50% of current soya meal demand

European protein production is able to fulfil 50% of protein feed (current soya basis). By pushing also other legumes and better use of land (grass) in a long run even higher self-sufficiency is possible

Current ProTerra certified production from overseas can bridge part of the gap

Current GMO-free demand of 5 Mio t in Europe is covered 1/3 by European production.

Rest of demand may be covered by certified (RTRS) sourcing


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<<<<<<< Development of Soya Production ha

Soja Production Europe

Acreage Potential Soya Cultivation

Country

Austria*

Bosnia Herzegovina*****

Bulgaria*

Croatia ***

Czech Republic*

Germany*

Hungary*

Italy*/++++

Moldavia****

Poland**/++

Romania*

Serbia*****/+++

Slovakia**/+

Slovenia**

Switzerland***

Total 1 (Danube Soy Region w/o Ukraine)

Soya demand in total GMO free Soy demand 2014 5,5 Mio t p.a.

35 Mio t p.a. estimated GMO-free demand will Increase over the next 3 years to 6 Mio t p.a.

Soja Acreage

2011/2012

Soja Acreage

2013

Soja Acreage

2014

Soja Acreage

2015 Estim.

ha ha % ha % ha %

Maize Maize Maize

36.955 41.919 18,0% 43.700 18,8% 50.000 21,5%

5.325 4.474 2,4% 5.900 3,1% 6.600 3,5%

1.800 300 0,1% 2.000 0,4% 20.000 4,1%

42.000 47.156 16,4% 50.000 17,3% 60.000 20,8%

3.000 6.500 5,4% 6.500 5,4% 10.000 8,3%

5.000 5.200 1,0% 5.800 1,2% 12.000 2,4%

30.000 41.000 3,3% 42.300 3,4% 70.000 5,7%

175.000 220.000 25,3% 240.000 27,6% 260.000 29,9%

58.900 42.000 9,0% 80.000 17,2% 92.000 19,7%

1.928 2.735 0,5% 14.100 2,6% 19.000 3,5%

42.000 70.300 2,6% 86.500 3,2% 100.000 3,7%

163.000 159.724 13,5% 180.000 15,2% 183.900 15,5%

12.000 11.500 5,5% 11.200 5,3% 20.000 9,5%

100 100 0,3% 100 0,3% 200 0,5%

3.633 1.409 8,4% 3.900 23,5% 4.000 23,7%

580.641 654.317 772.000 907.700

estimated GMO-free demand will Increase over the next 3 years to 6 Mio t p.a.

Soja Acreage

potential

midterm (1/6

maize+soja act)

Soja Acreage

potential

longterm (1/4

maize+soja act)

ha ha

16,67% 25,00%

82.500 102.000

37.500 53.300

83.700 124.500

98.100 122.100

26.500 36.500

89.400 131.100

248.300 351.300

385.000 457.500

157.700 196.500

103.900 148.900

541.500 769.000

377.800 476.600

46.200 63.700

6.800 10.100

6.700 8.100

2.291.600 3.051.200

Ukraine**/+

Total 2 (DS Region w Ukraine)

1.110.300 1.350.000 28,1% 1.600.000 33,3% 1.680.000 35,0%

1.690.941 2.004.317 2.372.000 2.587.700

2.400.000 2.800.000

4.691.600 5.851.200

From 2013 to 2014 19% more cultivation in the Danube Region


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Danube Soya beans are...

… from the Danube Region

… GMO free

• EU (ILO) social & labour standards

• EU Pesticide Legislation

• Agricultural Land, only

before January 2008

AREA DEFINITIONS:

GERMANY: Bavaria, Baden Württemberg

ITALY: Trentino Alto Adige, Friuli Venezia Giulia, Veneto, Emilia-Romana, Lombardia, Piemont, Vallée d’Aoste

POLAND: Dolnoslaskie, Opolskie, Slaskie, Swietokrzyskie, Podkarpackie, Malopolske

UKRAINE: Uschgorod, Tschernowzy, Winniza, Odessa, Lwow, Ternopol, Chmelnizkij, Iwano-Frankovsm


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Traceability Inspection European processors Short Transport Consumers benefit

Danube Soya is...

FEED FOOD

Danube Soya Certification


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• Nov. 2013: 80% of all laying hens in Austria (Billa, Penny, Spar, Hofer)

• Dec. 2013: Coop and UFA/fenaco poultry feed mill Sursee (compulsory

for all Coop-Naturafarm-laying hens from 2015)

• Dec. 2014 Poulet Coop

• Jan. 2015: Fa. Hütthaler

• Jan. 2015: Fa. Schirnhofer

• Mid of 2015: laying hens Switzerland Coop

Danube Soya Market & Development

Markets: Austria, Switzerland and Germany

Next step: Soya as food


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<<<<<<< Over 140 plant based products

Tofu and Alternatives for Meat

Drinks, Yoghurts, Puddings


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„Knabbersoja“ and Bars

Spreads

Export Ratio over 50% to over 30 countries


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<<<<<<< Animal vrs. Plant based protein – a comparison


How much Feeding Stuff for 1 KG Meat?

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<<<<<<< Servings made out of 9 KG Soybeans

Serving à 200g

68 12 5

Tofu Pork Beef


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<<<<<<< Efficiency in using soya beans


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<<<<<<< Use of water


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<<<<<<< CO2 Emissions


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<<<<<<< CO2 Emission change if using regional soya

A changeover to regional produced Soya may reduce CO2

emissions by about 50 % to 1,8 kg CO2 per 1 kg pork.

Just changing the pork production in Austria leads to a reduction of 1,1 Mio. t CO2


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Friday, 8th of May 2015

Comparison: Porkproduction - Soyagranules


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Friday, 8th of May 2015

GMO-free Europe Conference; GMO-free Labeling

GMO-free Europe Conference 35 Thursday, 7th of May 2015

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Calculation: How much soya must be consumed as food –

plus less meat – to reduce enormous amounts of CO2 and

lead to a European independence.


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Thank you for your attention! Ursula Bittner [email protected] www.donausoja.org

Find us on Facebook: facebook.com/danubesoya


Documents

Protein-Rich Vegetarian Food & Sustainable Animal Products ... · Total 1 (Danube Soy Region & EU-Rest w/o Ukraine) Ukraine Total 2 (DS Region & EU-Rest w Ukraine) Soya Meal Demand