4

PropIndex | Magicbricksproperty.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/pdf... · 2020-04-01 · PropIndex | Magicbricks Residential Market Insights Demand started picking up but

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

PropIndex | Magicbricks

Residential Market Insights

Demand started picking up but options are limited

After a couple of dull quarters, Delhi witnessed an overall increase in demand by 3.5% in the last quarter of the yearprimarily because of the festive season. Although the property prices are about 4% down in the last five years, theYoY increase in ready to move prices and QoQ increase in the under-construction segment indicates a silver lining.

In our opinion, the projects under INR 5000 per sq ft and smaller configurations (1 and 2 BHKs) are more in demand inDelhi. However, availability is more in bigger configurations, and higher price segments, which makes it unaffordablefor buyers and they are either compelled to increase the investment ticket size or flock to the nearby more affordablesatellite cities such as Noida, Greater Noida, Ghaziabad, Faridabad and Gurgaon.

5 YearChange YoY QoQ

-1.6%1.8%-3.9%

5 YearChange YoY QoQ

0.8%-2.2%-11.1%

"Unlike the overallprice change, the Under

Constructionproperties in the cityfell by a 2.2% YoY butmanaged to staypositive for thequarter."

Delhi Q4 2019

Parameters India New Delhi

Demand+                     +4.0%           +3.5%Supply++                     +1.5%           +4.5%   Price Index+++           +1.2%           -1.6%

"While the city pricesremained lower in thelast 5 years, an

increase of 1.8% in lastone year is a positivedevelopment for

residential segment ofthe city"

Notes: + represents the QoQ change in volume of propertysearches on Magicbricks website in Q4 2019 ++ represents the QoQ change in volume of activelistings on Magicbricks website in Q4 2019 +++ represents the QoQ change in the weighted averageprice at India and city level

Source: Magicbricks Research

Key Developers based onactive listings

Delhi Development Authority (DDA)

DLF Limited

SB Builders and Developers

Vasant Builders

Planner N Maker

Partap Builders

Emaar India

East India Earth Movers

Forward Real Estate

Unity Group

Key Projects based onconsumer searches

DDA Flats Sarita Vihar Sarita Vihar

DDA Flats Vasant Kunj Vasant Kunj

DLF Capital Greens Moti Nagar

DLF Chattarpur Farms Chhattarpur

JVTS Gardens Chhattarpur

The Amaryllis Karol Bagh

The Elite Spire Dwarka

Price Bracket (INR/sqft)

<5,000 5,000-10,000 10,000-15,000 >15,000

RM UC RM UC RM UC RM UC

1.6%

-3.6%

1.4%

0.2% 0.1%

-0.2%

2.3%

-3.7%

QoQ changes in various price segments

Market Dynamics

Ready to Move Price Index

Under Construction Price Index

- The latest Repo rate reduction as wellas other liquidity measures by RBI areexpected to further lower the homeloan rates, boosting housing demand

- With narrowing price differencebetween the UC and RM properties,buyers will continue to prefer RMproperties, given the low associatedrisk.

- The 'INR 5,000-10,000 per sqft'segment belonging to establishedlocalities of Dwarka and Rohini willcontinue to remain in vogue.

"All price segments inDelhi had Under

Construction propertieswitnessing higher pricechange than Ready to

Move ones"

Key Trends to Watch Out

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Avg. Price psf

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

Avg. Price psf

Average Price INR psf

Average Price INR psf

Note:The above table represents the top developers by numberof active listings on Magicbricks website in Q4 2019

Source: Magicbricks Research

Note:The above table represents the top projects by consumerpreference on Magicbricks website in Q4 2019

Source: Magicbricks Research

Notes:1. Ready to move price index represents the weighted average price of completed properties listed in the city on Magicbricks website as on Q4 20192. The data represents price trend for properties in multistorey and builder floors only Source: Magicbricks Research

Notes:1. Under-construction price index represents the weighted average price of under-construction properties listed in the city on Magicbricks website as on Q4 20192. The data represents price trend for properties in multistorey and builder floors only

Source: Magicbricks Research

Note:Above table represents the price changes for Ready to move (RM) and Under construction (UC) properties on Magicbricks website in Q4 2019 for various price buckets

Source: Magicbricks Research

Page 1© magicbricks.com

1 BHK12%

Above 3 BHK11%

3 BHK39%

2 BHK37%

DEMAND

Demand Supply Analysis DELHI Q4 2019

Buyers favouring affordable properties

2 and 3BHK configurations most in demandConsumers looking foraffordability

In Q4 2019, we witnessed a clear preference forthe affordable properties across Delhi. Wedissect the consumer searches in variousdimensions in terms of typology, configurationand price segments. The data suggest thefollowing trends   

"Consumers showed a clearpreference for properties in the'less than INR 5000' per sqftsegment (40%), displaying thedemand for affordable houses."

- Demand was mostly concentrated in 1 and 2BHKs configurations, together contributing toaround 50% of searches, respectively.

- The supply-demand mismatch is evident as1, and 2 BHKs supply formed only 31% of theactive listings' pie in comparison to 50%searches. Eventually, buyers are compelled toconsider the bigger size options, which increasethe overall ticket size of the investment. 

- Interestingly, above 3 BHK houses, whichformed only 11% of the searches, had 22% ofthe city's active listings.

- The propensity of demand wasconcentrated in affordable localities such asDwarka, Uttam Nagar, Janakpuri, and MayurVihar, which ranked continuously high in termsof searches.

- Dwarka, Greater Kailash, Uttam Nagar,Green Park and Rohini ranked high in terms ofactive listings. 

Top Micromarkets by consumersearches

Propensity of demand and supply in terms of searchesand listings by localities

1 BHK7%

2 BHK24%

3 BHK47%

Above 3 BHK22%

SUPPLY

5000-1000036%

Less than 500024%

10000-1500010%

>1500029%

SUPPLY Price buckets in INR per sqft

Top Micromarkets by activelistingsa

Less than 500040%

>1500019%

10000-1500011%

5000-1000031%

DEMAND Price buckets in INR per sqft

Notes:1. Demand represents property searches on Magicbricks website during Q4 2019, segregated by Bedroom, Hall, Kitchen (BHK) configuration2. Supply represents active listings on Magicbricks website during Q4 2019, segregated by BHK configuration

Source: Magicbricks Research

.Notes:1. Demand represents property searches on Magicbricks website during Q4 2019, segregated by price buckets2. Supply represents active listings on Magicbricks website during Q4 2019, segregated by price buckets

Source: Magicbricks Research

Note:1.Above map depicts the key localities of the city, with the size of the bubble depicting the consumer preference for properties in the localities onMagicbricks in Q4 20192. This is an interactive map available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

Source: Magicbricks Research

Note:1. Top micro-markets of the city, ranked by their active listings onMagicbricks in Q4 20192. Price ranges are in INR per sqft

Source: Magicbricks Research

Note:1. Top micro-markets of the city, ranked by number of searches onMagicbricks in Q4 20192. Price ranges are in INR per sqft

Source: Magicbricks Research

Ashok Vihar Phase 1

Connaught Place

Rohini Sector 22

St Nagar Burari

Defence Colony

Tagore Garden

Shahdara

Inderpuri

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Demand/SupplyDemand

Dwarka 3216 - 10711

Uttam Nagar 2972 - 5897

Janakpuri 2978 - 14465

M G Road 2901 - 5193

Mayur Vihar 3822 - 13860

Saket 4597 - 23113

Laxmi Nagar 4158 - 19692

11

23

42

36

64

55

107

Dwarka 3216 - 10711

Greater Kailash 9708 - 29097

Uttam Nagar 2972 - 5897

Green Park 15135 - 37791

Rohini 5301 - 16939

Janakpuri 2978 - 14465

Saket 4597 - 23113

11

33

22

44

55

76

67

Micro-Market Price Range Q4 Rank Q3 Rank

(Price in INR per Sqft)

Micro-Market Price Range Q4 Rank Q3 Rank

Page 2© magicbricks.com

Note:1. Size of the bubble depicts demand, measured by volume of property searches in localities in Q4 20192. Color of the bubble represents price change in Q4 2019, with green color representing price increase and red color price decrease.3. This is an interactive map available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

Locality Name Avg. PricePriceChange

Burari

Chhattarpur

Jamia Nagar

Khanpur

Mehrauli

Mohan Garden

New Ashok Nagar

Uttam Nagar

Uttam Nagar West

Uttam Nagar(E)

Okhla

-5.5%

-1.0%

-11.9%

-7.6%

-3.7%

5.2%

-6.5%

-6.6%

-9.1%

3.4%

4,662

4,435

4,321

3,796

4,021

4,047

3,726

4,263

4,052

4,038

-7.4%4,209

less than INR 5,000 psf INR 5,000-10,000 psf INR 10,000-15,000 psf >INR 15,000 psf

Price Analysis DELHI Q4 2019

- Interestingly, the price segment above INR 15000 per sq ft witnessed a price decline in the range of 2-7% QoQ.- Most of the peripheral localities in east and south of Delhi witnessed a price decrease.- Price increase was mostly visible in some sectors of Dwarka and Rohini.- The price movement for localities in the 'INR 10,000-15,000 per Sqft' price segment had a mix of price increases and declines.

Source: Magicbricks Research

Dwarka Sector 221.1%

New Ashok Nagar-7.6%

Rohini Sector 222.7%

Dilshad Garden-0.6%

Vasant Vihar-7.3%

Laxmi Nagar-2.9%

Chhattarpur-4.6%

Sarita Vihar-0.6%

Moti Nagar-5.6%

Karol Bagh1.9%

Pitampura3.6%

Alaknanda-0.3%

Shahdara-7.4%

Burari3.4%

© OpenStreetMap contributors

Locality Name Avg. PricePrice

Change

Paschim Vihar

Dwarka

Vikaspuri

Sarita Vihar

Laxmi Nagar

Vasundhara ..

Shahdara

Rohini

Mayur Vihar 1

-14.8%

-6.3%

-5.7%

-0.6%

1.1%

6.0%

3.2%

5,708

8,629

6,445

9,570

8,877

8,691

9,784

-7.6%

3.2%

5,185

7,909

Locality NameAvgPrice

PriceChange

Paschim Vihar

Vikaspuri

Alaknanda

East Of Kailash

Indraprastha Extn

Janakpuri

Kalkaji

Karol Bagh

Mayur Vihar 1

Moti Nagar

Patparganj

1.1%

3.2%

10,929

12,272

-13.2%

-6.5%

3.2%

-1.6%

3.7%

7.2%

-1.8%

-5.6%

-7.6%

1.9%

1.6%

4.6%

-3.5%

3.5%

-0.3%

28,118

13,735

11,564

10,407

14,457

25,187

10,289

11,188

11,056

13,103

21,201

21,204

10,290

12,797

12,579

Locality NameAvg.Price

PriceChange

Anand Niketan

Chittaranjan Park

Defence Colony

Geetanjali Enclave

Greater Kailash 1

Greater Kailash 2

Green Park

Green ParkExtension

-7.3%

-7.6%

2.8%

-6.4%

-6.4%

-4.6%

-6.8%

-3.2%

-5.9%

-7.7%

2.4%

1.1%

-7.3%

1.9%

-3.9%

-5.7%

-7.1%

-7.3%

-6.9%

-1.2%

-2.4%

-6.4%

-3.4%

2.3%

-7.7%

24,997

15,445

16,646

39,590

19,871

20,906

22,666

23,757

23,656

19,374

21,075

16,993

49,901

18,268

22,652

21,327

28,100

19,574

20,562

19,154

18,326

18,659

28,066

15,700

29,485

-7.5% 7.5%

Avg Price Change %ge

Note:1. Above is the list of major localities of the city, with information about their average prices and QoQ price changes in Q4 2019. This is an interactive table available on Magicbricks.com under Propindex section.2. The locality prices are calculated by averaging the prices of all properties in a locality in multi-storey and builder floor segment, after removing the outlier properties that might distort the overall prices.3. The four tables above categorize the localities in various price buckets.4. The color of the numbers represent the price change in Q4 2019, with green color representing price increase, red color price decrease, and grey as neutral. Source: Magicbricks Research

Disclaimer: The data represented above is compiled by MagicBricks from multiple sources. MagicBricks gives no warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, reliability, and completeness of any information and does not acceptany liability on the information which may or may not be subject to change from time to time due to Governmental or non Governmental regulations/directions.

Q4 2019 Price changes for the city's major localities

For more information , subscription and research related queries, please contact:

Surabhi Arora | Head of Research Devendra Lohmor | Chief Manager Ankur Upadhyay | Data Manager Prateek Pareek | Assistant [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]

Please go to https://property.magicbricks.com/microsite/buy/propindex/ to access the full dashboard.

-5% -2.5% 0% 2.5% 5%

Page 3© magicbricks.com