16
1 July 20, 2020 $2.2 $8.0 $9.9 $10.7 $4.9 $15.8 $21.2 $21.9 $24.1 $17.0 $9.1 $9.2 $20.8 $8.2 $31.6 $19.5 $1.7 $17.0 $9.0 $0.9 $2.5 $0.1 -- 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 -- $5 $10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 61% 83% 74% 79% 39% 52% 62% 71% 93% 24% 68% 82% 91% 64% 46% 93% 51% 95% 74% 78% 67% 45% -- Number of Transactions Transaction Value ($bn) Asset Corporate Number of Transactions % Oil % Oil % Oil $64.3 Indicator Current Value Week's Change % Change Direction Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Prompt Gas Price ($/mmbtu) $1.72 ($0.06) (3.1%) Wkly Trans. Value ($mm) $92 $72 349% Wkly Trans. Count 3 2 200% US Rig Count 253 (5) (1.9%) US Oil Prod'n (mmbbl/d) 11.0 -- -- US Gas Prod'n (bcf/d) (1) 112.3 -- -- US Oil Storage (mmbbl) 531.7 (7.5) (1.4%) US Gas Storage (tcf) 3.2 0.0 1.4% Templar Energy secured a $91 million bid from Presidio Petroleum, overtaking the previously announced $65 million stalking horse bid from Tapstone Energy BMO Capital Markets has launched a new digital resource to help clients navigate the impact of the pandemic, with new insights on the reopening published every two weeks read more here Debt Markets 9 issuers priced 10 tranches for approximately $5.9 billion in proceeds last week U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of $834 million ETFs reported an inflow of $384 million, while mutual funds reported an inflow of $450 million High yield index yield was 6.13%; high yield energy index yield was 9.89% Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, EIA, PLS Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals and production reported monthly as of Apr 2020. 2. S&P E&P = S&P Oil & Gas E&P Select Industry, SPX = S&P 500 Index. Key Industry Indicators Quarterly Deal Activity S&P E&P (2) outperformed last week 4.6% vs. SPX (2) 1.0% The U.S. equity indexes mostly finished up last week. Consumer discretionary, consumer staples, industrials, materials, healthcare, and financials finished up. Real estate and tech finished down Equity Markets Oil ended last week up. Crude price continued to rally and reached a four-month high. President Trump indicated that he would not add additional sanctions against Chinese officials for now in move to diffuse tensions with Beijing. The EIA reported that crude stockpiles contracted more than expected. In addition, OPEC+ countries agreed to make oil cuts through December, tapering from 9.7 mmbbl/d to 7.7 mmbbl/d beginning in August. The near-term contract closed up $1.13, or 2.9%, at $40.75 Gas ended last week down. Natural gas futures were volatile last week. There was some bullish news from higher than expected temperatures and more E&P bankruptcies that could reduce supply. However, growing concern over a lack of demand from the second wave of the coronavirus outweighed these. The near-term contract closed down $0.06, or 3.1%, at $1.72 Commodities Week in Review Covering the Week of July 10 to July 16, 2020 All references to last week in the comments below are through Thursday

Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

1

July 20, 2020

$2.2

$8.0

$9.9 $10.7

$4.9

$15.8

$21.2 $21.9 $24.1

$17.0

$9.1 $9.2

$20.8

$8.2

$31.6

$19.5

$1.7

$17.0

$9.0

$0.9 $2.5

$0.1 --

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

--

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20

61% 83% 74% 79% 39% 52% 62% 71% 93% 24% 68% 82% 91% 64% 46% 93% 51% 95% 74% 78% 67% 45% --

Nu

mb

er

of

Tra

nsacti

on

s

Tra

nsacti

on

Valu

e (

$b

n)

Asset Corporate Number of Transactions

% Oil% Oil% Oil

$64.3

IndicatorCurrent

Value

Week's

Change

%

Change Direction

Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9%

Prompt Gas Price ($/mmbtu) $1.72 ($0.06) (3.1%)

Wkly Trans. Value ($mm) $92 $72 349%

Wkly Trans. Count 3 2 200%

US Rig Count 253 (5) (1.9%)

US Oil Prod'n (mmbbl/d) 11.0 -- --

US Gas Prod'n (bcf/d)(1) 112.3 -- --

US Oil Storage (mmbbl) 531.7 (7.5) (1.4%)

US Gas Storage (tcf) 3.2 0.0 1.4%

Templar Energy secured a $91 million bid from Presidio

Petroleum, overtaking the previously announced $65 million

stalking horse bid from Tapstone Energy

BMO Capital Markets has launched a new digital resource to

help clients navigate the impact of the pandemic, with new

insights on the reopening published every two weeks – read

more here

Debt

Markets

9 issuers priced 10 tranches for approximately $5.9 billion in proceeds last week

U.S. high yield funds reported an inflow of $834 million

ETFs reported an inflow of $384 million, while mutual funds reported an inflow of $450 million

High yield index yield was 6.13%; high yield energy index yield was 9.89%

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, EIA, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. EIA U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals and production reported monthly as of Apr 2020.

2. S&P E&P = S&P Oil & Gas E&P Select Industry, SPX = S&P 500 Index.

Key Industry Indicators

Quarterly Deal Activity

S&P E&P(2) outperformed last week 4.6% vs. SPX(2) 1.0%

The U.S. equity indexes mostly finished up last week. Consumer discretionary, consumer staples,

industrials, materials, healthcare, and financials finished up. Real estate and tech finished down

Equity

Markets

Oil ended last week up. Crude price continued to rally and reached a four-month high. President Trump

indicated that he would not add additional sanctions against Chinese officials for now in move to diffuse

tensions with Beijing. The EIA reported that crude stockpiles contracted more than expected. In addition,

OPEC+ countries agreed to make oil cuts through December, tapering from 9.7 mmbbl/d to 7.7 mmbbl/d

beginning in August. The near-term contract closed up $1.13, or 2.9%, at $40.75

Gas ended last week down. Natural gas futures were volatile last week. There was some bullish news

from higher than expected temperatures and more E&P bankruptcies that could reduce supply. However,

growing concern over a lack of demand from the second wave of the coronavirus outweighed these. The

near-term contract closed down $0.06, or 3.1%, at $1.72

Commodities

Week in Review

Let’s follow these guidelines when sorting articles:

• First priority: Domestic A&D, ranked by size

• Next: Domestic M&A

• Then: US companies doing international deals (like

Noble’s Tamar)

• Then: Others (Cabot’s Lackawanna)

• Then: Prices, rig count, completions, etc.

To paste the arrows with colors,

• FactSet

• Settings

• Presentation Linking and Formatting

• Import

• Colors

• Change Color Font Covering the Week of July 10 to July 16, 2020

This is the final issue for 2018. The Market Monitor will

return on Monday, January 7th. Happy Holidays from the

BMO Capital Markets team!

BMO is marketing PayRock Energy’s divestiture of South

Texas Eagle Ford assets (see page [x])

The October issue of BMO Calgary’s A&D (Canadian) Market

Monitor went live last week – read more here

One E&P deal priced last week

WPX Energy (b1/BB-) priced $600 million of x% Senior

Notes due 2027

One E&P issuer priced last week

Noble Energy priced $500 million of 3.25% senior notes

due 2029 and $500 million of 4.20% senior notes due

2049. BMO Capital Markets acted as a Joint

Bookrunner on this transaction

All references to last week in the comments below are through Thursday

Better international/demand data and promise for strict quota adherence by Russia

Demand signals continue to trend positively, with China’s total oil demand is nearly back to the pre-COVID levels of 13.4MM. U.S. real-time

mobility data indicated that driving activity has also recovered much of the April losses. Markets were also affected by greater than expected

Lower 48 shut-ins announced during earnings season. Jet-fuel market remains extremely weak thought travel started to tick higher off historic

lows.

Fighting in Libya intensified

The EIA announced a smaller-than-expected natural gas storage build. EQT confirmed that they had shut-in a large percentage of production

due to pricing, with management noting that sales were being deferred to take advantage of an expected significant improvement in price in the

coming months. LNG cancellations continued. Temperatures across the southern states expected to increase.

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 2: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

2

July 20, 2020

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Area Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)

10-Jul-20 Presidio Petroleum Templar Energy LLC Mid-Continent 273,400 net acres in Anadarko Basin $91 $1.78 $5,056 $333

08-Jul-20 Undisclosed Buyer Harvest Oil & Gas Corp Marcellus/Utica 713,401 net acres in Appalachia $21 $1.23 $4,201 $29

26-Jun-20 MP III Echo LLC Echo Energy Partners Mid-Continent 19,989 net acres in Anadarko Basin $33 n.a. $4,198 $1,649

22-Jun-20 Talos Energy Castex Energy Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico assets $65 $3.69 $10,156 n.a.

15-Jun-20 Sixth Street Partners Antero Resources Marcellus/Utica Overriding royalty interests in Appalachia $402 n.a. n.a. nmf

04-Jun-20 Undisclosed Buyer Black Stone Minerals Permian Midland Basin mineral and royalty assets $55 n.a. n.a. nmf

04-Jun-20 Pegasus Resources LLC Black Stone Minerals Permian Permian Basin mineral and royalty assets $100 n.a. n.a. nmf

11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Marcellus/Utica Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $2.60 $13,889 n.a.

11-May-20 Morning Star Oil Co Southland Royalty Co Other Rockies 205,000 net acres in San Juan Basin $53 n.a. $3,635 $260

04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell Marcellus/Utica 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $4.57 $12,983 $1,202

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

Permian22%

Rockies (ex. Bakken)

10%

Bakken3%

Appalachia9%

Mid-Con9%

Eagle Ford5%

Ark-La-Tex4%

Gulf of Mexico8%

Other31%

LTM By Region

y = 21.482e-0.059x

R² = 0.2514

--

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

-- 5.0x 10.0x 15.0x 20.0x 25.0x 30.0x

Sa

les

Pri

ce

/ P

rove

d R

es

erv

es

($

/bo

e @

15

:1)

R / P

R / P

Sales Value /

Proved Reserves

(15:1)

(ratio) ($ / boe) ($ / mcfe)

8x $13.37 $0.89

10x $11.87 $0.79

15x $8.82 $0.59

20x $6.56 $0.44

Oil44%

Gas56%

LTM By Commodity

Public Company

47%

PE / PE-Backed

12%

Private12%

Other29%

LTM By Buyer Type

$16.2 $27.8

$17.9 $6.4 $2.7

$7.5

$14.9

$11.4

$63.0

$0.9

$23.7

$42.7

$29.3

$69.4

$3.5

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

577 945 625 117 66

Asset Corporate

Deal Count

The 10 Most Recent Asset Transactions Over $20 Million

A&D Valuation Trends(3)

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, PLS

1. Represents total enterprise value. 2. Calculated as percentage of total LTM transaction count (number of transactions, not dollar value).

3. 68 transactions from January 2015 to 2019 with transaction value >$20mm. Adjusted for changes in price outlooks. Recalculated boe reserves are on a 15:1

(gas:oil) basis. Acreage transactions excluded by using deals with PDP of >= 40% of total proved.

4. Year-to-date data is through this week’s date for each respective year.

(2) (2) (2)

Confirm number of transactions weekly --->

Deal Activity – YTD ($bn)(4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 3: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

3

July 20, 2020

7/16/2020

Appalachia 5

Ark-La-Tex 2

Bakken --

Eagle Ford 4

Mid-Con --

Other 2

Permian --

Rockies 1

14

Select Significant Deals on the Market

Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes

no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.

Source of Select Significant Deals on the Market: BMO Transaction Database

Source of Headlines: Press releases

Industry Headlines

(Click headline to link to the full article)

M&A&D Headlines

Appalachia

5 Deals

Mid-Con

0 Deals

Eagle Ford

4 Deals

Permian

0 Deals

Other

2 Deals

Rockies

1 Deal

Bakken

0 Deals

Ark-La-Tex

2 Deals

BMO Deals (Status)

Siltstone Appalachia (In Market) – See page 6

Oil Prices Get Boost from Trump China Move

OPEC Sees Oil Demand Soaring in 2021 But Still

Below 2019

OPEC+ Preps for Next Challenge - How and When to

Restore Oil Output

OPEC+ Confident It Can Raise Oil Production Without

Lowering Prices

Trump Admin Overhauling Environmental Reviews

Energy Companies Cancel Atlantic Coast Pipeline

Dakota Access Pipeline Can Keep Running Amid

Legal Fight: U.S. Court

Biden Plots Energy Path

Offshore Wind Investment Jumps over 300%

Templar Energy Files Notice of Designation of

Successful Bidder

Talos Energy Announces Full Year 2019 Operating

and Financial Guidance (includes A&D

announcement)

+ the EQT mineral/JV Deal

+ Antero ORRI deal

[TBU]

Page 4: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

4

July 20, 2020

Historically oil price down cycles have led to increased M&A activity

Late 1990s consolidation followed a similar oil price development dynamic:

Several years of weak oil prices from 1991-95 followed by a brief upturn and then a final

downturn before corporates had truly recovered

End of down cycle investor capitulation where many were challenging the very basis of the

industry, similar to ESG today

In our view, the current dynamic has considerable parallels and we expect share-based

consolidation to increase dramatically

Market Insight: Will Current Dislocation Lead to Similar Consolidation as

Late 1990s?

Sources: Wood Mackenzie, online sources

1. Brent prices shown on an annualized basis.

DEAL VALUE OVER TIME (US$ BN) VS. BRENT PRICE (US$/BBL)(1)

-- -- 0 0 2 1 2 4

166

41

79

56

25

12

28

97

63

51

39

91

79

32

77

29

49

100

30 33

56

77

--

20

40

60

80

100

120

--

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

Bre

nt

Pri

ce (

US

$ /

bb

l)

An

nu

al

Deal

Valu

e (

US

$ b

n)

Deal Value (US$ bn) Brent Price

Notable large corporate

transactions greater than $7 bn

KEY

= 1 notable transaction

= 2 notable transactions

Page 5: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

5

July 20, 2020

Historical Prices as of 16-Jul-20 Close ($/gal)

NGLs Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

Ethane $0.22 $0.22 $0.16 $0.17

Propane $0.48 $0.48 $0.43 $0.51

Butane $0.49 $0.49 $0.67 $0.50

Iso-butane $0.58 $0.59 $0.84 $0.74

Pentane+ $0.64 $0.71 $1.20 $1.18

25%

35%

45%

55%

65%

Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20

% o

f W

TI

NGL as % of WTI

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21

($/m

mb

tu)

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21

($/b

bl)

NYMEX Gas Futures as of 16-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)

Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

12 Mo. Strip $2.41 $2.41 $2.27 $2.47

2020 $2.10 $2.12 $2.23 $2.53

2021 $2.61 $2.61 $2.43 $2.57

2022 $2.46 $2.45 $2.44 $2.59

2023 $2.42 $2.41 $2.48 $2.66

2024 $2.43 $2.43 $2.52 $2.75

Historical Prices as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.22$0.20$0.16$0.14Propane$0.48$0.47$0.46$0.47Butane$0.49$0.46$0.71$0.47Iso-butane$0.59$0.54$0.81$0.62Pentane+$0.71$0.60$1.20$1.13

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 16-Jul-20 Close ($/bbl) NYMEX Gas Futures as of 16-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)

Period(1) Current Last Wk. 6 Mo. Ago 1 Yr. Ago

12 Mo. Strip $41.57 $40.63 $57.06 $56.67

2020 $41.08 $40.01 $57.24 $55.67

2021 $42.20 $41.43 $53.62 $53.30

2022 $43.26 $42.82 $51.82 $52.40

2023 $44.32 $44.10 $51.27 $52.38

2024 $45.38 $45.30 $51.41 $52.68

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$40.63$41.20$57.79$57.132020$40.01$40.89$58.00$56.372021$41.43$41.61$54.07$54.562022$42.82$42.47$52.10$53.992023$44.10$43.48$51.46$54.162024$45.30$44.52$51.61$54.60

NYMEX Gas Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.41$2.42$2.33$2.562020$2.12$2.09$2.29$2.592021$2.61$2.63$2.43$2.582022$2.45$2.45$2.43$2.612023$2.41$2.40$2.47$2.682024$2.43$2.42$2.51$2.77 NYMEX Gas Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$2.41$2.42$2.33$2.562020$2.12$2.09$2.29$2.592021$2.61$2.63$2.43$2.582022$2.45$2.45$2.43$2.612023$2.41$2.40$2.47$2.682024$2.43$2.42$2.51$2.77

Historical Prices as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/gal)NGLsCurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. AgoEthane$0.22$0.20$0.16$0.14Propane$0.48$0.47$0.46$0.47Butane$0.49$0.46$0.71$0.47Iso-butane$0.59$0.54$0.81$0.62Pentane+$0.71$0.60$1.20$1.13

NYMEX WTI Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/bbl)NYMEX Gas Futures as of 09-Jul-20 Close ($/mmbtu)Period(1)CurrentLast Wk.6 Mo. Ago1 Yr. Ago12 Mo. Strip$40.63$41.20$57.79$57.132020$40.01$40.89$58.00$56.372021$41.43$41.61$54.07$54.562022$42.82$42.47$52.10$53.992023$44.10$43.48$51.46$54.162024$45.30$44.52$51.61$54.60

NGL PRICING(2)

HENRY HUB NATURAL GAS (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)

Commodity Prices

Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, FactSet

1. Future prices are calendar year average unless stated otherwise.

2. Assumes typical Gulf Coast barrel composition.

WTI OIL (HISTORICAL / FORECAST)

Links:

http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil.aspx

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/CL1:COM

http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/natural-gas.aspx

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NG1:COM

Link to Detailed

Futures Data

Link to Detailed

Historical Graph

Link to Detailed

Futures Data

Link to Detailed

Historical Graph

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 6: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

6

July 20, 2020

Clearbrook

Midland

Cushing

St. James

(LLS)

East Coast

U.S. (Brent)

Midland Sweet-

Sour Spread

EMS

AECO

Northern

California

Sumas

Southern

California

El Paso - SJ

Waha

HSC

Henry Hub

Panhandle

CIG Chicago

Dominion

Transco

NATURAL GAS PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO HENRY HUB ($ / MMBTU) – AS OF 16-JUL-20

Commodity Prices (cont’d)

OIL PRICING & DIFFERENTIALS TO CUSHING WTI ($ / BBL) – AS OF 16-JUL-20

Legend

Price

Diff.

$1.26

($0.46)

Legend

Price

Diff.

$1.55

($0.17)

$1.53

($0.19)

$1.50

($0.22)

$42.27

$1.52

$1.53

($0.19)

$1.64

($0.08)

$1.90

$0.18

$1.67

($0.05)

$43.37

$2.62

($0.03)

$40.75

$40.93

$0.18

$1.44

($0.28)

$1.71

($0.01)

Source: BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg

Note: Prices and differentials are for prompt month futures except for Clearbrook which is based on spot prices.

$36.75

($4.00)

$1.72

$1.44

($0.28)

$40.00

($0.75)

MAPS IN

MASTER VIEW

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

$2.45

$0.73

Page 7: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

7

July 20, 2020

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

--

100

200

300

400

500

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 124 (1) 125 Oil Differential $0.20 ($0.25) $0.45

Permitting Activity 51 (50) 101 Gas Differential ($0.28) $0.02 ($0.30)

-$4.80

-$3.20

-$1.60

$0.00

$1.60

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$18.00

-$12.00

-$6.00

$0.00

$6.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Midland Waha

784 753596

851744

803967

843706

544

296

493

208

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

4,000

8,000

12,000

16,000

20,000

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas4,778

16,855

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

04-Jun-20 Undisclosed Buyer Black Stone Minerals Midland Basin mineral and royalty assets $55 n.a. n.a. nmf

04-Jun-20 Pegasus Resources LLC Black Stone Minerals Multi-Permian mineral and royalty assets $100 n.a. n.a. nmf

14-Apr-20 Undisclosed Buyer Ring Energy 19,998 net acres in Delaware Basin $32 $3.15 $34,615 $1,575

31-Mar-20 Viper Energy Partners Undisclosed Sellers 410 net royalty acres in Permian Basin $63 n.a. n.a. nmf

14-Feb-20 Undisclosed Buyer Lilis Energy Inc 1,185 net acres in Delaware Basin $25 n.a. n.a. $21,013

Mean $55 $3.15 $34,615 $11,294

Median $55 $3.15 $34,615 $11,294

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

1 2 8 8 6 6 121315 7 2 2 7 2 5 4 1 2 0 3 0 2

$ /

acre

# Deals

$23,957

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

1 2 6 9 5 7 11 9 9 6 1 0 7 2 5 4 1 2 4 3 0 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$86,402

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS

Permian Snapshot

RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU] [TBU]

[TBU] [TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 8: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

8

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

100

200

300

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 13 1 12 Oil Differential $1.00 ($0.30) $1.30

Permitting Activity 1 (8) 9 Gas Differential ($0.01) ($0.01) $0.00

-$0.30

-$0.20

-$0.10

$0.00

$0.10

$0.20

$0.30

$0.40

$0.50

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$6.00

-$4.00

-$2.00

$0.00

$2.00

$4.00

$6.00

$8.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

MEH HSC

173201 192

221 204 204

302

170180

7843 28 10

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

6,000

6,500

7,000

7,500

8,000

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

1,396

7,355

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

21-Feb-20 Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp Undisclosed Seller Non-op Eagle Ford assets $71 n.a. $39,176 n.a.

12-Nov-19 Kimbell Royalty Partners Buckhorn Resources 400 net royalty acres in Eagle Ford $32 n.a. $117,752 nmf

07-Nov-19 Repsol Equinor 100% ownership in former Eagle Ford JV $325 n.a. $9,559 $7,476

06-Nov-19 Marathon Rocky Creek & Delago 18,000 net acres in Eagle Ford $185 n.a. $26,429 $10,278

17-Jul-19 Undisclosed Buyer Sundance Energy 6,100 net acres in Dimmit County $30 n.a. $28,069 $4,836

Mean $129 n.a. $44,197 $7,530

Median $71 n.a. $28,069 $7,476

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000$60,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 1 2 1 2 2 0 4 2 3 1 2 4 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$8,045

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

1 1 3 1 2 2 2 4 4 3 1 2 7 2 0 3 0 0 1 3 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$64,626

Eagle Ford Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 9: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

9

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

20

40

60

80

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 32 (1) 33 Oil Differential $1.60 ($0.25) $1.85

Permitting Activity 4 (1) 5 Gas Differential -- -- --

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

LLS Henry Hub

108

197218

96

168

83 8289 90

42 35 4314

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

5,000

6,500

8,000

9,500

11,000

12,500

14,000

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

69

12,726

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)

20-Dec-19 Undisclosed Buyer Riviera Operating LLC 75,873 net acres in East Texas $34 $0.17 $1,213 $448

29-Jul-19 Osaka Gas Sabine Oil & Gas Corp 175,000 net acres in East TX $610 n.a. $2,905 $9,136

19-Dec-18 Comstock Shelby Shale LLC 6,023 net acres in Haynesville $21 n.a. n.a. $3,404

19-Nov-18 Aethon III QEP Resources Inc 49,700 net acres in Haynesville $735 $0.77 $2,475 $14,789

05-Sep-18 Viking Energy Group Multiple Sellers Texas and Louisiana assets $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.

Mean $300 $0.47 $2,198 $6,944

Median $100 $0.47 $2,475 $6,270

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 3 1 1 2 1 3 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$3,180

--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000

$10,000$12,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 5 1 1 3 2 3 0 2 2 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0

$ /

mcfe

/d

# Deals

$3,983

Ark-La-Tex Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 10: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

10

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 33 (2) 35 Oil Differential $2.62 ($0.11) $2.73

Permitting Activity 19 (2) 21 Gas Differential ($0.44) ($0.04) ($0.40)

-$3.00

-$2.00

-$1.00

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$15.00

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$15.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Brent Dominion

347302 295

258232

188157

226253

186

92131

61

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

80

100

120

140

160

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

153

33,528

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/mcfe) ($/mcfe/d) ($/acre)(2)

08-Jul-20 Undisclosed Buyer Harvest Oil & Gas Corp 713,401 net acres in Appalachia $21 $0.21 $700 $29

15-Jun-20 Sixth Street Partners Antero Resources Overriding royalty interests in Appalachia $402 n.a. n.a. nmf

11-May-20 Diversified Gas & Oil EQT Appalachia Basin asset in PA and WV $125 $0.43 $2,315 n.a.

04-May-20 National Fuel Gas Shell 450,000 net acres in Appalachia $541 $0.76 $2,164 $1,202

08-Apr-20 Diversified Gas & Oil Carbon Energy Corp (USA) 1,553,754 net acres in Appalachia $110 $0.25 $1,852 $71

Mean $240 $0.41 $1,758 $434

Median $125 $0.34 $2,008 $71

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--$2,000$4,000$6,000$8,000

$10,000$12,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

3Q

20

0 1 0 0 1 2 2 4 2 4 1 3 1 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$497

--$5,000

$10,000$15,000$20,000$25,000$30,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

3Q

20

0 1 0 0 1 2 2 3 2 5 1 4 3 4 3 1 1 0 2 1 1 3 1

$ /

mcfe

/d

# Deals

$4,521

Appalachia Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $3,000/mcfepd in 2014, and $2,000/mcfepd in 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-DEC-19)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 11: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

11

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

200

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 10 -- 10 Oil Differential ($0.75) $1.10 ($1.85)

Permitting Activity 11 (6) 17 Gas Differential ($0.18) $0.12 ($0.31)

-$1.00

-$0.50

$0.00

$0.50

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$20.00

-$10.00

$0.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Clearbrook CIG

154138

110

157

8380

7867 76 67 61

83

43

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

1,500

1,800

2,100

2,400

2,700

3,000

3,300

3,600

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

1,600

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas 1,387

3,121

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

22-Apr-19 Northern Oil and Gas Flywheel Energy LLC 18,000 net acres in Williston Basin $310 n.a. $47,014 $17,238

31-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas W Energy Partners 10,600 net acres in Williston Basin $288 n.a. $42,708 $27,196

18-Jul-18 Northern Oil and Gas Pivotal Petroleum Partners LP Producing assets in Williston Basin $152 n.a. $37,032 n.a.

12-Jul-18 PetroShale Inc Slawson Exploration Co 1,981 net acres in Williston Basin $55 $6.04 $100,000 $27,764

06-Jul-18 Energy Resources 12 LP Bruin E&P Partners LLC 2.8% non-operated WI in Bakken assets $83 n.a. n.a. n.a.

Mean $178 $6.04 $56,688 $24,066

Median $152 $6.04 $44,861 $27,196

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 1 1 4 0 2 3 3 0 1 3 3 0 6 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$45,752

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

0 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 0 3 2 0 5 2 0 0 1 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$1,751

Bakken Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 12: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

12

July 20, 2020

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

16,000

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas914

13,528

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

50

100

150

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 6 -- 6 Oil Differential ($0.75) $1.10 ($1.85)

Permitting Activity 15 (8) 23 Gas Differential ($0.18) $0.12 ($0.31)

-$1.00

-$0.50

$0.00

$0.50

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$20.00

-$10.00

$0.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Clearbrook CIG

286

434

327297

168213

268199

286

210 225197

38

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

11-May-20 Morning Star Oil Co Southland Royalty Co 205,000 net acres in San Juan Basin $53 n.a. $3,635 $260

31-Jan-20 Undisclosed Buyer ConocoPhillips 98,000 net acres in DJ Basin $380 $27.14 $34,545 $3,878

09-Dec-19 YTEF Drilling Capital LLC Bayswater E&P LLC DJ Basin JV $125 n.a. n.a. n.a.

03-Sep-19 Undisclosed Buyer Crescent Point 224,000 net undeveloped acres in Uinta $525 n.a. $32,051 $2,344

14-Feb-19 Undisclosed Buyer Harvest Oil & Gas Corp San Juan Basin assets $43 $1.57 $10,835 n.a.

Mean $225 $14.36 $20,267 $2,160

Median $125 $14.36 $21,443 $2,344

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

--$20,000$40,000$60,000$80,000

$100,000$120,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

2 0 4 4 1 6 2 0 1 6 3 9 3 1 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$33,614

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 0 3 3 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$2,069

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS

Rockies (excl. Bakken) Snapshot

RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 13: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

13

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

100

200

300

400

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

H V+D % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 10 (1) 11 Oil Differential -- -- --

Permitting Activity 24 (12) 36 Gas Differential ($0.18) $0.02 ($0.20)

-$1.00

-$0.75

-$0.50

-$0.25

$0.00

$0.25

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$1.00

-$0.75

-$0.50

-$0.25

$0.00

$0.25

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

Cushing Panhandle

356330 348 345 347

296 283261

202

73 81105

67

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

H V+D

12,000

13,200

14,400

15,600

16,800

18,000

600

650

700

750

800

850

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas677

12,733

--

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

3Q

20

1 3 1 2 0 3 3 2 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

$ /

acre

# Deals

$4,284

--

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

3Q

20

1 4 1 3 1 6 3 1 4 2 4 5 2 2 5 4 2 0 4 2 0 2 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$17,593

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(1)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(2)

10-Jul-20 Presidio Petroleum Templar Energy LLC 273,400 net acres in Anadarko Basin $91 $1.78 $5,056 $333

26-Jun-20 MP III Echo LLC Echo Energy Partners 19,989 net acres in Anadarko Basin $33 n.a. $4,198 $1,649

03-Apr-20 BCE-Mach III LLC Alta Mesa Resources 130,000 net acres in STACK $160 $2.22 $5,317 $1,227

10-Dec-19 Dow Devon Energy STACK Basin JV $100 n.a. n.a. n.a.

27-Sep-19 Contango White Star Petroleum LLC 314,800 net acres in Mid-Con $133 $1.57 $8,833 $421

Mean $103 $1.86 $5,851 $907

Median $100 $1.78 $5,186 $824

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

Mid-Continent Snapshot

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million. 2. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

3. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

4. Production valued at $45,000/boepd in 2014, $30,000/boepd in 2015, $35,000/boepd in 2016 & 2017, $40,000/boepd in 2018 & 2019, and $30,000/boepd in 2020.

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(3) TRANSACTION ADJUSTED NET ACRE MULTIPLES(3,4)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 14: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

14

July 20, 2020

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

--

10

20

30

40

Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20

Deep Water Shelf % of Total Rigs

Item Value Wkly Change Last Week Item Value Wkly Change Last Week

Rig Count 12 -- 12 Oil Differential $1.60 ($0.25) $1.85

Permitting Activity 7 1 6 Gas Differential -- -- --

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

-$10.00

-$5.00

$0.00

$5.00

$10.00

$ /

mm

btu

$ /

bb

l

LLS Henry Hub

3027

21 2123

16

22 2220

1115

10

16

Jul-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 May-20 Jul-20

--

$10

$20

$30

$40

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1

$ /

bo

e

# Deals

$14.65

--

$15,000

$30,000

$45,000

$60,000

1Q

15

2Q

15

3Q

15

4Q

15

1Q

16

2Q

16

3Q

16

4Q

16

1Q

17

2Q

17

3Q

17

4Q

17

1Q

18

2Q

18

3Q

18

4Q

18

1Q

19

2Q

19

3Q

19

4Q

19

1Q

20

2Q

20

0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 0 2 0 1

$ /

bo

e/d

# Deals

$29,229

Ann'd

Date Buyer Seller Asset Description Value(2)

Proved

Multiple

Prod.

Multiple Net Acres

($mm) ($/boe) ($/boe/d) ($/acre)(3)

22-Jun-20 Talos Energy Castex Energy Gulf of Mexico assets $65 $3.69 $10,156 n.a.

12-Dec-19 W&T Offshore ConocoPhillips Deepwater GOM assets $20 $4.88 $8,696 n.a.

10-Dec-19 Talos Energy Multiple GOM assets and exploration prospects $640 $14.71 $33,684 n.a.

27-Jun-19 W&T Offshore ExxonMobil Mobile Bay assets $200 $2.70 $10,101 n.a.

13-May-19 Equinor Shell 22.45% WI in Caesar-Tonga Field $965 n.a. $60,313 n.a.

Mean $378 $6.49 $24,590 n.a.

Median $200 $4.29 $10,156 n.a.

Blue = BMO provided transaction advisory services Green = BMO provided acquisition financing or related services

Purple = BMO provided both transaction advisory services and acquisition financing or related services

Gulf of Mexico Snapshot

PERMITTING ACTIVITY BY MONTH(1)

DIFFERENTIALS RIG COUNT

Source: BMO Transaction Database, Baker Hughes, BMO Commodity Products Group, Bloomberg, Drilling Info, PLS

Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue.

1. Permits include directional and unidentified drilling permits. 2. Represents total enterprise value. Excludes transactions with deal value <$20 million.

3. $/acre multiple not adjusted for value associated with production.

4. Red line denotes average since 01-Jan-18. Calculated as the weighted average of each quarter’s transactions.

GROSS PRODUCTION (THROUGH 31-MAR-20)

TRANSACTION ACTIVITY (EXCLUDES CORPORATE DEALS)

TRANSACTION PRODUCTION MULTIPLES(4) TRANSACTION PROVED RESERVE MULTIPLES(4)

[TBU]

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200

Jan-15 Oct-15 Jul-16 Apr-17 Jan-18 Oct-18 Jul-19

mm

cf/

d

mb

bl/

d

Oil Gas

1,926

2,887

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

[TBU]

Page 15: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

15

July 20, 2020

Upcoming Industry Events

Disclaimer: The foregoing links are for convenience only and relate to materials that were not prepared or reviewed by BMO Capital Markets. BMO Capital Markets takes

no responsibility for and makes no representations with respect to the contents thereof. These materials may be inconsistent with the views of BMO Capital Markets.

Click event to open

2021

November 2020 Nov 3-4 Executive Oil Conference & Exhibition (Midland)

Nov 17 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Nov 20 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

April 2021 Apr 14 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Apr 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Apr 19-21 DUG Permian (Fort Worth)

Apr 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

July 2020 Jul 20-22 SPE Unconventional Resources Tech. (virtual)

August 2020 Aug 10 Mineral & Royalty Conference (virtual)

Aug 11-27 Summer NAPE (virtual)

Aug 17-19 Enercom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual)

Aug 18-19 DUG Midcontinent (virtual)

September 2020 Sep 8-10 DUG Permian Basin & Eagle Ford (San Antonio)

Sep 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Sep 18 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

October 2020 Oct 13-14 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)

Oct 14-15 OilComm Conference & Exposition

Oct 16 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Oct 20 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Oct 27-28 A&D Strategies and Opportunities Conference

December 2020 Dec 1-3 DUG East (Pittsburgh)

Dec 3 IPAA Texas Hold'Em Tournament

Dec 15 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

January 2021 Jan 13 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Jan 15 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Jan 18-22 API E&P Winter Standards Meeting

Jan 19 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

February 2021 Feb DUG Energy ESG Conference

Feb 8-12 NAPE Summit

Feb 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Feb 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Feb 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

March 2021 Mar 10 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

Mar 16 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

Mar 19 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

Mar 25-26 DUG Bakken and Rockies (Denver)

May 2021 May 12 IPAA Leaders in Industry Luncheon

May 18 Houston Producers Forum Luncheon

May 21 ADAM-Houston Monthly Luncheon

May 26-27 DUG Haynesville (Shreveport)

Page 16: Prompt Oil Price ($/bbl) $40.75 $1.13 2.9% Let’s follow ... · 20.07.2020  · Note: Current quarter’s data is through the week covered by this issue. 1. EIA U.S. natural gas

16

July 20, 2020

SCOOP/STACK/Merge

DJ-Niobrara

Eagle Ford

Haynesville

Granite Wash

GOM

Permian

Marcellus

Utica

Williston

Gulf Coast Onshore

Piceance

Powder River Green River

Legend

Current

Change

This material is prepared by the BMO Capital Markets’ Investment and Corporate Banking Department, for distribution to BMO Capital Markets’ clientele. It is not a product of

BMO Capital Markets’ Research Department. The views of the Investment and Corporate Banking Department may differ from those of the Research Department. No part of this

publication or its contents may be copied, downloaded, stored in a retrieval system, further transmitted, or otherwise reproduced, stored, disseminated, transferred or used, in any form or

by any means by any third parties, except with the prior written permission of BMO Capital Markets.

BMO Capital Markets is a trade name used by BMO Financial Group for the wholesale banking businesses of Bank of Montreal, BMO Harris Bank N.A. (member FDIC), Bank of Montreal

Europe p.l.c, and Bank of Montreal (China) Co. Ltd, the institutional broker dealer business of BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Member FINRA and SIPC) and the agency broker dealer

business of Clearpool Execution Services, LLC (Member FINRA and SIPC) in the U.S., and the institutional broker broker dealer businesses of BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc. (Member

Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada and Member Canadian Investor Protection Fund) in Canada and Asia, Bank of Montreal Europe p.l.c. (authorised and regulated

by the Central Bank of Ireland) in Europe and BMO Capital Markets Limited (authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority) in the UK and Australia. “Nesbitt Burns” is a

registered trademark of BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc., used under license. “BMO Capital Markets” is a trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under license. "BMO (M-Bar roundel symbol)" is a

registered trademark of Bank of Montreal, used under license. ® Registered trademark of Bank of Montreal in the United States, Canada and elsewhere. TM Trademark of Bank of

Montreal in the United States and Canada. © 2020 BMO Financial Group.

Bank of Montreal or its subsidiaries (“BMO Financial Group”) has lending arrangements with, or provide other remunerated services to, many issuers covered by BMO Capital Markets.

The opinions, estimates and projections contained in this report are those of BMO Capital Markets as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. BMO Capital

Markets endeavors to ensure that the contents have been compiled or derived from sources that we believe are reliable and contain information and opinions that are accurate and

complete. However, BMO Capital Markets makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, takes no responsibility for any errors and omissions contained

herein and accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of, or reliance on, this report or its contents. Information may be available to BMO Capital Markets or its

affiliates that is not reflected in this report. The information in this report is not intended to be used as the primary basis of investment decisions, and because of individual client

objectives, should not be construed as advice designed to meet the particular investment needs of any investor. This material is for information purposes only and is not an offer to sell or

the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates will buy from or sell to customers the securities of issuers mentioned in this report on a principal basis.

BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates, officers, directors or employees have a long or short position in many of the securities discussed herein, related securities or in options, futures or

other derivative instruments based thereon. BMO Capital Markets may act as financial advisor and/or underwriter for the issuers mentioned herein and may receive remuneration for

same. The reader should assume that BMO Capital Markets or its affiliates may have a conflict of interest and should not rely solely on this report in evaluating whether or not to buy or

sell securities of issuers discussed herein. All values in this document are in US$ unless otherwise specified.

Source of rig count stats: Baker Hughes

Rig Count Summary MAPS IN

MASTER VIEW

Contacts

Disclaimer

Jason Martinez

MD & Head of U.S. A&D

713-546-9771

[email protected]

Howard Barnwell

MD & Transactions Mgr.

713-546-9767

[email protected]

Rob Priske

MD & Transactions Mgr.

713-546-9727

[email protected]

Dan Schockling

MD & Head of Commercial

713-518-1223

[email protected]

Michael Hackett

Vice President

Marian Yu

Associate

Aaron Moeller

Associate

BMO uses updated basin outlines, and the resulting rig counts, to more accurately represent current basin knowledge. The data below reflect these changes

and is different than those shown by Baker Hughes. The totals are the same.

124

(1)

10

--

6

(2)

27

--4

--

12

--

--

--9

--

32

(1)

13

1

4

(1)

1

--

--

--1

--

Michelle Tankimovich

Analyst

This

Week Change

Last

Week

Last

Year

Total Rigs 253 (5) 258 954

Oil 180 (1) 181 779

Gas 71 (4) 75 174

Miscellaneous 2 -- 2 1

Directional 23 4 19 69

Horizontal 215 (5) 220 829

Vertical 15 (4) 19 56

Basin

Permian 124 (1) 125 440

SCOOP/STACK/Merge 9 -- 9 78

Granite Wash -- -- -- 9

Eagle Ford 13 1 12 82

Haynesville 32 (1) 33 58

Marcellus 27 -- 27 58

Utica 6 (2) 8 17

Williston 10 -- 10 55

DJ-Niobrara 4 -- 4 27

Green River 1 -- 1 15

Powder River -- -- -- 21

Piceance 1 -- 1 6

Gulf Coast Onshore 4 (1) 5 21

GOM 12 -- 12 25

Alaska 3 -- 3 10

Other 7 (1) 8 32

Mid-Con 1 (1) 2 13

Rockies -- -- -- 2

Western 5 -- 5 17

Eastern 1 -- 1 --

[TBU]