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Georgetown UniversityRedefining Geopolitical Relationships
(INAF 515)
Fall 2009
Draft as of September 8, 2009Professor:Senator Chuck Hagel
Research Assistant: Sarah King (smk66@
Tuesdays 4:15-6:05pm
"Nations have no permanent friends and no permanent enemies. Only permanent interests."
--LordHenry John Temple, 3rd Viscount Palmerston
Introduction
Welcome to INAF 515.
The 21st Century has ushered in a global transformation that is redefining the world order. Thistransformation is shifting geo-political centers of gravity and is re-casting geo-political
influences as the world experiences an unprecedented diffusion of power. This course willexamine the above thesis is this in fact happening? Are the six and a half billion people in the
world soon to be eight billion and the nations they reside in, redefining geo-politicalrelationships governed by the new realities of global challenges? Global challenges such as an
interconnected global economy, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, terrorism,
environmental and energy issues, pandemic health threats, poverty, despair, and newtechnologies. Are we entering a new era of global engagement and accommodation? Is all ofthis reshaping and redefining relationships? This course will focus on a wide-lens optic of global
relationships and its impact on American foreign policy and Americas future.
Scope and Purpose
In this course students will examine the past, present, and future. They will seek to determine
whether geopolitical relationships are shifting, why, and how they may be impacting the worldorder. Students will go beyond their survey of scholarly information to draw realistic and useful
conclusions about how organizations (private, public, non-profit, transnational, etc.) and
individuals can best prepare to take on the challenges of the 21st
Century.
Students will learn from and consult scholarly research, a variety theoretical perspectives, case
studies, foreign policy leaders, and current events to contribute to class discussions, assignments,and overall expertise. We will also invite experts and leaders from the international affairs
community to select seminars to provide on-the-ground insight. Beyond acquiring newknowledge and perspectives, building strong analytical writing and presentation skills will be
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important. In and out of class exercises will illustrate key concepts and challenge students to bethinking, articulate, and conscientious international affairs professionals.
Course Requirements
INAF 515 will employ a variety of mechanisms to allow students to demonstrate their
comprehension of topics and contribute to the classroom community. Graded assignments willconsist of one short paper (5-6pgs15%), one policy memo (1-2pgs10%), one Op-Ed (750-
1000 words) one oral presentation/briefing and questions for other students briefings (20%), anda final paper/memo (no more than 10pgs25%). Further, class participation will be critical and
account for 20% of each students grade. The class participation grade will be based onconsistency of quality and quantity, evaluating the students ability to bring in relevant readings,
current events, and personal experiences to augment dialogue. Students will be expected tocreate cogent arguments and respectfully challenge their peers, professor, and guests in order to
leave the class with well-developed conclusions about 21
st
Century geopolitical relationships.
Required Text
Students should purchase the following books:
1) The Age of the Unthinkable: Why the New World Disorder Constantly Surprises Us And What WeCan Do About It, Joshua Ramo
2) Power Rules: How Common Sense Can Rescue American Foreign Policy, Leslie Gelb3) The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century, George Friedman4) The Post American World, Fareed Zakaria
*Reading assignments from these texts will not be available on Blackboard
A significant amount of reading will be assigned from the following books. All of the assigned
reading from these books will be posted on Blackboard by the first day of class on Tuesday,September 8.
1) World is Flat, Tom Friedman2) America: Our Next Chapter, Chuck Hagel3) The Second World, Parag Khanna4) A Brief History of the Middle East:From Abraham to Arafat, Christopher Catherwood
Administration
Office Hours
Office Hours will be by appointment only due to travel schedules. Please contact Sarah King to arrange.
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Blackboard
All reading material beyond the four required texts will be posted on Blackboard. In an effort to use the
most relevant sources, reading assignments will be added throughout the semester. Students will be
notified via email when this occurs.
Assignments
All assignments must be turned in at the beginning of class the day they are due in both hardcopy and via
email to [email protected].
Assignment Due Date Grade Breakdown
Short Paper September 25 (by 5pm) 15%
Op-Ed October 6 10%
Policy Memo 1 October 20 10%
Oral Presentations Individual Date Assigned 20%
Proposed Paper Topic November 1 --
Final Paper December 8 25%
Class Participation 20%
TOTAL 100%
Assignment Descriptions
Short Paper: Write a 5-6 page paper reflecting Part I of the class, Defining and Redefining
Relationships.
Op-Ed: Write an Op-Ed for a major newspaper, between 750 -1000 words on one of the following topics:
Oil, Gas, Water, Food, Poverty, Health, Human Rights, Waste, Population, or Climate Change.
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Policy Memo: Write one policy memos to the US President, National Security Council (NSC),
Congressional Committee, or foreign government entity. Tailor to your chosen audience. The topic will
be assigned to students at least one week prior to due date.
Oral Presentation: Prepare a briefing to the US President, National Security Council (NSC),
Congressional Committee, or foreign government entity on assigned topic, no longer than 7 minutes.Your briefing should be clearly tailored to your audience. Be prepared for questions.
Final Paper: Write a research paper, no more than 10 pages, on a topic of your choosing. Email
proposed topic to [email protected] by Nov. 1
Weekly Topics and Reading Assignments
I. Defining and Redefining Relationships
September 8 How do we define global
relationships?
Past, present, and future
The Next 100 Years, Overture,Chapters 1, 2, 4
Age of the Unthinkable, Chapter 1,2
The Post American World,Chapter 1
America: Our Next Chapter,Chapter 1, 7
September 15 What are relationships based on? What
structures wield power today and in
the future?
States/InternationalOrganizations/Regional
Organizations
Sovereigntyex. EuropeanUnion
Private Sector: resource/tradeinstitutions, financial
institutionsex. OPEC,
APEC, Stock Exchanges
The Post American World,Chapter 3
The Age of the Unthinkable,Chapter 3, 4
Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 6The Death of Kings, Nick
Paumgarten (New Yorker)
America: Our Next Chapter,Chapter 12, 13
September 22 Global Interactions
The power of media, socialThe Next 100 Years, Chapter 3World is Flat, Chapter 5, 13
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technology, trade, people-to
people relations, culture Articles TBA
II. Drivers of Change
September29 Critical Resources
Oil, Gas, Water, FoodThe Second World, Chapter 18Alexei Monsarrat Food, Energy,
and Water Presentation
The Feeding of the Nine Billion:Global Food Security for the 21st
Century, World Food Programme,
Executive Summary
Facing the Hard Truths aboutEnergy, National Petroleum
Council,Executive Summary
Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 4October 6 Challenges to Governing
Poverty, Health, Human Rights,
Waste, Population, and Climate
Change
Time for Climate ChangeRealism, Richard Haass
Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 2
October 13 Weapons, Terrorism, and Non-stateactors
Age of the Unthinkable, Chapter 5,6, 8Eisenhower Speech, 1953 Speech
on Nuclear Weapons
Power Rules, Chapter 6, 8The Post American World,
Chapter 2
III. Authority and Ideology
October 20 What will govern? Sources of Power
Political Ideology:Democracy, 21
stCentury
Authoritarianism,
Dictatorship, Capitalism?
Resources Other
World is Flat, Chapter 15
Power Rules, Part IIn Crisis, Banks Dig In for Fight
Against Rules, Gretchen
Morgenson and Don Van Natta Jr.
A Brief History of the Middle East,
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The Age of the Unthinkable,Chapter 7
October 27 1) Afghanistan/Pakistan: The Most
Combustible Crossroads
2) East vs. West (Part 1)
Why is there a perceiveddivision?
Is it real? Middle East
The Post American World,Chapter 4
American Power Is on theWane, Kennedy, Paul
Power Rules, Chapter 12Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 3The GCC in 2020: Outlook for the
Gulf and the Global Economy
November 3 Warfare in the 21st
Century
Intelligence Nuclear Weapons Justice and jurisdiction Weapons of Mass Destruction Asymmetric warfare
Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 5The Age of the Unthinkable,
Chapter 9
The Next 100 Years, Chapter 6, 10,11
Articles TBANovember 10 East vs. West (Part 2)
Will one side prevail? If so,which one and why?
Asia
The Post American World,Chapter 6
Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 3The Next 100 Years, Chapter 5World is Flat, Chapter 8Rebalancing Relations with
China, Henry Kissinger,
Washington Post, 19 August 2009
IV. Transforming America for the 21s
Century
November 17 Imperfections of Foreign Policy
Few good choicesfewgood options
A Brief History of the Middle East,Chapter 7
Power Rules, Chapter 5, 7, 11Articles TBA
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November 24 Transforming the US Government
Will structural changes berequired in the USG to meet
the challenges of the 21st
Century?
The Age of the Unthinkable,Chapter 10, 11
The Next 100 Years, Chapter 121961 Farewell Address
(Eisenhower)
Articles TBADecember 1 Policy Transformation
21st Century Doctrines: Willthe US be forced to be more or
less accommodating to
adjustments in a complex
world?
The Post American World,Chapter 5, 7
Power Rules, Chapter 13Global Trends, 2025 Chapter 7America: Our Next Chapter,
Chapter 14, 15
December 8 Spill-over from other classes,
Conclusions and Wrap-up
America: Our Next Chapter,Chapter 16
Articles TBA
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INAF 515: Redefining Geopolitical RelationshipsFall 2012
Professor: Senator Chuck Hagel
Teaching Assistant:Michelle Melton (mnm43@
Thursday 3:30-6:00pm
Healy 106
Office Hours
Open daily 8:00 AM 6:00 PM. Meetings are by appointment.
"Diplomacy should be judged by what it prevents, not only by what it initiates and creates. Much of it is a
holding action, designed to avoid explosion until the unifying forces of history take humanity into their
embrace.
--Abba Eban
Scope and Purpose
Pointing to the increasingly global nature of the worlds economy, the proliferation of weapons of
mass destruction, terrorism, environmental and energy issues, pandemic health threats, poverty,despair, and new technologies, some have argued that a global transformation is underway that is
shifting geopolitical centers of gravity and re-casting geopolitical influences. This course examineswhether the 21st century has ushered in a global transformation that is redefining the world order and
geopolitical relationships. Students will seek to determine whether geopolitical relationships areshifting, why, and how they may be impacting the world order. The course poses the following
questions:
Is the world experiencing an unprecedented diffusion of power? Are economic, technological, and demographic transformations in fact having the impact that
proponents claim?
Are we entering a new era of global engagement and accommodation? Are these new challenges and realities reshaping and redefining traditional political and
security relationships?
This course will focus on the big picture of global relationships and their impact on American foreignpolicy now and in the future. Students will learn from and consult scholarly research using a variety
of theoretical perspectives, case studies, foreign policy leaders, and current events to contribute to
class discussions, written and oral assignments, and overall expertise. Students will go beyond theirsurvey of scholarly information to draw realistic and useful conclusions about how organizations(private, public, non-profit, transnational, etc.) and individuals can best prepare to meet the 21
st
centurys challenges. We will also invite experts and leaders from the international affairs communityto select seminars to provide on-the-ground insight.
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Beyond acquiring new knowledge and perspectives, the course also aims to build and hone stronganalytical writing and presentation skills. The course challenges students to be thoughtful, articulate,
and conscientious global citizens.
Course Requirements
INAF 336 employs a variety of mechanisms to allow students to demonstrate their comprehension oftopics and contribute to the classroom community. Graded assignments will consist of:
a short paper (1,800-2,000 words -- 15%), a policy memo (900-1000 words -- 10%), an Op-Ed (900-1000 words -- 10%), an oral presentation/briefing (7 minute presentation -- 20%), prior to questions from other
students
a final paper (2,800-3,000 words -- 25%).
Class participation (20%)
The class participation grade will be based on consistency of quality and quantity of participation and
the students ability to bring in relevant readings, current events, and personal experiences toaugment dialogue. Students will be expected to create cogent arguments and respectfully challenge
their peers, professor, and guests in order to leave the class with well-developed conclusions about21
stcentury geopolitical relationships.
Required Texts
Students should purchase the following books, as reading assignments from these texts will not be
available on Blackboard:
The Future of Power, Joseph NyeThe Age of the Unthinkable, Joshua Ramo
Monsoon: The Indian Ocean and the Future of American Power, Robert KaplanThe Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21
stCentury, George Friedman
Other readings will be assigned from daily newspapers, magazines, and think tank papers and reports.
All reading material beyond the required texts will be posted on Blackboard. In an effort to use themost relevant sources, reading assignments will also be added throughout the semester. Students will
be notified via email when this occurs.
Assignments
All assignments must be turned in at the beginning of class the day they are due in both hardcopy andvia email (MS Word format) to [email protected].
Unless otherwise indicated, all written assignments should be formatted as follows:
Name, date, and paper title at the top of first page (no cover pages) Times New Roman size 14 font
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INAF 515: Redefining Geopolitical RelationshipsFall 2012
One-inch margins and 1.5 paragraph spacing
Page numbers at bottom center of each page Total word count at end of assignment (text only citations not included)
Assignment Due Date Grade Breakdown
Short Paper September 20 15%
Op-Ed October 4 10%
Policy Memo October 18 10%
Oral Presentations Individual Date Assigned 20%
Proposed Final Paper Topic November 8 ----
Final Paper December 7 25%
Class Participation Ongoing 20%
TOTAL 100%
Assignment Descriptions
Proposals for all assignments must be sent to Michelle Melton ([email protected]) for
approval one week before the due date (with the exception of the final paper topic, which is due onemonth before the due date). All assignments must be submitted electronically and in hard copy at the
beginning of class the day they are due. Each assignment should address a different topic and regionof the world and should reflect elements of geopolitical change. Samples of each assignment are
posted on Blackboard.
Short Paper: Write a paper (1,800-2,000 words) reflecting on the theme Defining and Redefining
Relationships, that makes up the first section of the course. You may choose to reflect upon thelarger themes of defining global relationships in the 21
stcentury or instead focus on a particular
defining incident or case that demonstrates how geopolitical relationships are currently beingredefined. This paper is meant to be an opinion piece -- please use this latitude to be creative. You are
welcome to draw from course readings, current events, and personal experiences as these supportyour arguments. Please use appropriate citations (any citation style is accepted, provided it is
consistent throughout the paper).
Op-Ed: Write an Op-Ed (900-1000 words) for a major newspaper on one of the following topics:Oil, Gas, Water, Food, Poverty, Health, Human Rights, Waste, Population, or Climate Change.
Citations can be included on a separate page if necessary and will not count against the word limit.
Policy Memo: Write a policy memo (900-1000 words) to the U.S. President, National SecurityCouncil (NSC), Congressional Committee, or foreign government entity on a foreign policy topic of
your choice. Tailor to your chosen audience. Citations can be included on a separate page ifnecessary and will not count against the word limit.
Oral Presentation: Prepare a briefing to the U.S. President, NSC, Congressional Committee, or
foreign government entity on a topic of your choice. Your briefing should be no longer than 7
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minutes, clearly tailored to your audience, and on a topic of your own choosing. Be prepared forquestions and bring a hard copy of your presentation to turn in in class. An oral presentation schedule
will be circulated by the end of the second week of class. Two or three students will present on eachday of class that we do not have a guest speaker.
Final Paper: Write a research paper (2,800-3,000 words), on a topic of your choice. The topic shouldbe broad and reflect the overall focus of the course.
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INAF 515: Redefining Geopolitical RelationshipsFall 2012
Weekly Topics and Reading Assignments
I. Defining and Redefining Relationships
Class 1:August 30
What is the US role in theworld? And what does it mean
to have power in geopoliticalrelationships?
Past, present, and future Are we moving towards
a multipolar world? How dispersed is
geopolitical power?
National Intelligence Council, Global Trends 2025:A transformed world, Executive Summary and
Chapter 1
No Ones World(Kupchan), Ch. 1Washington Rules (Bacevich), IntroductionAmerica: Our Next Chapter(Hagel), Chapter 1, 7Nye, The Future of Power, Preface, Chapter 1Tatlow, Didi Kirsten. BRICS Agitate for a Seat at the
Table. The New York Times. 19 April 2012.
Class 2:September 6
Global Interactions The power of media,
social technology, trade,people-to-people
relations, culture
Age of the Unthinkable (Ramo), Chapter 6Cyber-Mobilization, Audrey Cronin, Parameters
(2006)
Revolution in a Box: Why Television and notFacebook or Twitter, is going to revolutionize the
world (Charles Kenny), Foreign Policy
November/December 2009
Clay Shirky, The Political Power of Social Media:Technology, the Public Sphere, and Political Change,
Foreign Affairs
Taiwan President: China Trade Pact Will HelpPeace,Associated Press, April 27, 2010
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Class 3:
September13
Are state-to-state relationships
still the most important?
What structures wield powertoday and in the future?
States International
Organizations/RegionalOrganizations
Private Sector:resource/trade
companies, financialinstitutions,
corporations, banks,foundations
Transnationalorganizations (drugcartels, terroristorganizations, etc)
Age of the Unthinkable (Ramo), Chapter 4Running the World After the Crash,Foreign Policy The Future of Power, Nye, chapter 5Has economic power replaced military might? (Nye)
Naim, Moises. Mafia States: Organized CrimeTakes Office.Foreign Affairs
Another EU to the East? Wall Street Journal, July13, 2012
II. Drivers of Change
Class 4:September
20Short
Paper due
Transnational Problems- Poverty, health, human
rights, population, andclimate change
- How functional istransnational governance?
Is it redefining traditionalstate-to-state
relationships?
America: Our Next Chapter(Hagel), Chapter 12, 13Global Governance 2025: At a Critical Juncture,
Executive Summary, Introduction, Annexes (all)(produced for EU Institute for Security Studies and
US National Intelligence Council)
Chapter 3: Potential Consequences of Climate Changein Trends and Implications of Climate Change forNational and International Security, Defense Science
Board, 2011
ScientificAmerican, Climate Change Poses ArcticChallenge for US Navy.
Planet of Slums, (Davis), Chapter 1, 2
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INAF 515: Redefining Geopolitical RelationshipsFall 2012
Class 5:
September27
Critical Resources: Oil, Gas,
Water, Food
Looks like a lot but most are veryshort!
The Quest(Yergin), Chapter 11-13, 16 Center for International Forestry Research The
Anatomy of Large-Scale Land Acquisitions in
Africa.
VOA Leasing Land, Leasing Water. National Intelligence Council report Water
Scarcity. National Geographic Growing Food Demand
Strains Energy, Water Supplies. Bjorn Lomborg, Environmental Alarmism, then an
now,Foreign Affairs
Reuters, Oil supply surge could risk price collapse:Harvard analysis 26 June 2012
North America: The New Middle East? (PPT) Verrastro, Frank The Unconventional Revolution
Class 6:October 4
Op-Ed due
Weapons, Terrorism, and Non-state actors
Age of the Unthinkable (Ramo), Chapters 5 & 8Dwight Eisenhower, 1953 Speech on Nuclear
Weapons
How to Run the World(Khanna), Chapter 6 Al-Qaida threat declines in global scope, The
Guardian, April 30 2012
III. Authority and Ideology
Class 7:
October 11
What is the source of political
authority? What is the longerterm fate of economic and
political liberalism?
How to Run theWorld(Khanna), Chapter 1Strategic Vision (Brzezinski), Part 2 The Waning of
the American Dream
Liberal Levithian (Ikenberry), Chapter 1, 8Nye, The Future of Power, Chapter 7 Magic and Mayhem (Leebaert), Introduction &
Chapter 3
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Class 8:
October 18
Policy
Memo due
East and West (Part 1)
Why is there aperceived division?
Is it real?Babones, Salvatore. The Middling Kingdom: The
Hype and Reality of Chinas Rise.
Monsoon (Kaplan), Preface, Chapter 1Halper, Stefan. The Beijing Consensus: How ChinasAuthoritarian Model Will Dominate the 21stCentury.New York: Basic Books, 2010.Chapter 1, 5
Optional: Annual Report to Congress: Military andSecurity Developments Involving the PeoplesRepublic of China, 2012
Class 9:October 25
East and West (Part 2) Is it a competition? Will one side prevail?
If so, which one and
why?
The Next 100 Years (Friedman), Chapter 5Reset(Kinzer), Introduction & Chapter 5, 7, 8Monsoon (Kaplan), Chapter 11, 12, and 15Wong, Edward. Chinas Growth Slows, and ItsPolitical Model Shows. The New York Times. 10 May
2012.
Walker, Martin. Chinas Bubble.Optional: Challenges in Solving Chinas Structural
Problems (PPT)
Class 10:November 1
Is warfare changing in the 21stCentury?
Intelligence Justice and jurisdiction Asymmetric warfare
and counterinsurgency
Cyberwar The importance of
public opinion
Note: This looks like a lot ofreadings, but they are mostly
short
Age of the Unthinkable (Ramo), Chapter 9The Next 100 Years (Friedman), Chapter 6, 10, 11Nye, Chapter 2 Snyder, Timothy. War No More: Why the World
Has Become More Peaceful [Review: The BetterAngels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declinedby
Steven Pinker].Foreign Affairs
Nakashima, Ellen. China Testing Cyber-AttackCapabilities, Report Says. The Washington Post.
With Plan X, Pentagon Seeks to Spread MilitaryMight to Cyberspace TheWashington Post
IV. Transforming America for the 21st
Century
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INAF 515: Redefining Geopolitical RelationshipsFall 2012
Class 11:
November 8
Final Paper
TopicProposal
Due
Imperfections of Foreign Policy
Few good choicesfewgood options
Magic and Mayhem (Leebaert), Chapter 5The Icarus Syndrome (Beinart), Introduction &
Chapter 8
Zenko, Micah and Michael A. Cohen. Clear andPresent Safety: The United States is More SecureThan Washington Thinks.Foreign Affairs
Class 12:
November15
Transforming the US
Government Will structural changes
be required in the USGto meet the challenges of
the 21st century?
How will future resourceconstraints affect theconduct of foreign policy
and defense?
The Next 100 Years (Friedman), Chapter 12Eisenhower Farewell Address 196150 Years Later, Were Still Ignoring Ikes Warning,
Susan Eisenhower, Washington Post(January 16,
2011)
CRS Report: Organizing the US Gobt for NationalSecurity
Odierno, Raymond T. The U.S. Army in a Time ofTransition: Building a Flexible Force.Foreign
Affairs
Gates, Robert. Remarks Delivered by the Secretary ofDefense on Defense Spending at the Eisenhower
Library.
Class 13:
November29
Policy Transformation
Will the US need toemploy different
strategies to achieve itsforeign policy goals? If
so, what will suchstrategies be?
What is the fate ofAmerican
exceptionalism, and whatrole should it play in
future policy?
America: Our Next Chapter(Hagel), Chapter 14, 15The Future of Power(Nye),
Chapter 6
Fostering Stability or Creating a Monster?(Christensen)
Parent, Joseph M. and Paul K. MacDonald.The Wisdom of Retrenchment: America Must Cut
Back to Move Forward.Foreign Affairs
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Class 14:
December 6
Final Paper
due
December7
Spill-over from other classes,
Conclusions and Wrap-upAmerica: Our Next Chapter(Hagel), Chapter 16Zakaria,Post-AmericanWorld, Ch. 7Magic and Mayhem (Leebaert), ConclusionEisenhower articles, Washington PostandNew YorkTimes
The Limits of Force, Chuck Hagel, WashingtonPost 9/3/09
Geography Strikes Back, Washington Post, RobertKaplan
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Cyber Security Simulation Scenario
BREAKING NEWS
April 6. 20:00
An unknown entity has conducted a cyber attack on Bank of America and Wells Fargo,affecting several parts of the nations financial infrastructure over the course of the pasttwo weeks. Specifically, credit-card processing facilities are hacked and numbers arereleased to the Internet, causing 20 million cards to be cancelled; automated tellermachines (ATMs) fail nearly simultaneously across the nation; major companies reportpayroll checks are not being received by workers; and several large pension and mutualfund companies have computer malfunctions so severe that they are unable to operate formore than a week. The two companies hold over $1.3 billion in deposits.
Analysts believe these attacks will shatter faith in the stability of the financial system,
which is already weak due to the global financial crisis. Citizens are loosing trust in allparts of the U.S. financial system and foreign speculators are making a run on the dollar.
Although it is unclear who is behind this attack, initial reports indicate this was severalyears in the making.
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Cyber Security Simulation
April 2010
Context:
Cyber security has become an increasingly relevant international security issue, one thatwill only become more pressing in the 21
stCentury. In the most recent Annual Threat
Assessment, DNI Dennis Blair put cyber security at the top of the list of security issues
the U.S. is likely to face.
The United States confronts a dangerous combination of known and unknownvulnerabilities, strong and rapidly expanding adversary capabilities, and a lack of
comprehensive threat awarenessSensitive information is stolen daily from bothgovernment and private sector networks, undermining confidence in our
information systems, and in the very information these systems were intended toconvey.
It is not only the U.S. government that fears attack. U.S. companies are keenly aware of
the threat it poses to their businesses. Google has publically condemned the Chinese foralleged attacks on its system along with other U.S. firms.
Cyber security is a true 21st
Century challenge. It crosses all traditional barriers; a
transnational threat affecting governments, the private sector, and individuals and can beeasily perpetrated by state and non-state actors.
Scenario:
The specific scenario that you will react to will be posted on blackboard at 8pm onTuesday, April 6 at 20:00
In addition to the specifics of the scenario, you should keep in mind the following:
The role of the private sector and their stake in reducing cyber attacks The implications for U.S. policy on acts of terrorism and terrorist groups U.S. domestic politics and privacy issues The global nature of cyber security threats The pre-existing policy on Internet Freedom outlined by the Secretary of State
Meetings have and will take place on cyber security. The UN Security Council willconvene a special meeting to address the issue.
Role Play Agenda:
The Cyber Security Simulation will take place over a two-week period, both in and out ofclass.
The simulation schedule will be as follows:
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April 6 20:00 Scenario is posted to Blackboard
April 6-8 Public statements in reaction to the
scenario are made (you may choose not tomake a statement)
April 8-12 Policy formulation and initial negotiations
April 12 17:00 One page policy/strategy memo due
April 13-20 Carry out your strategy and advance your
agenda; prep for in person meetings (inclass)
April 20*16:15 Principle Committee Meeting16:50 UN Security Council Meeting
17:25 Break
17:45 Briefing to the President
Bilateral meetings should occur on themargins of these discussions.
*A detailed schedule will be released
before April 12.
During the negotiation period you may use any tools that would be commonly used bythe person whose role you are playing, including:
! Statements to the press! Fact sheets! Bilateral meetings! Classified memos! Lobbying
All pubic statements should be posted to the Discussion Board on Blackboard entitlesCyber Security Simulation.
You may conduct negotiations via email or in person, by telephone, or any other means
of communication. On all email correspondence, please cc dfakdf;lkasjdf;lkajsdf;kajf
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If you negotiate offline, please send an email to your counterpart briefly detailing the
outcome of your conversations and cc dfakdf;lkasjdf;lkajsdf;kajf. Additionally, pleasesign all email with your name and your role.
Example Email:
Objective:
At the conclusion of the Cyber Security Role Play, the goal is to provide Senator Hagel a
Cyber Security strategy and to update him on significant developments of the day. Whatare the options on the table for dealing with cyber security threats and future attacks?
What is the recommendation for immediate actions? What is the recommendation for alonger-term policy?
One Page Policy MemoYour one page memo should discuss your role in the cyber security scenario, why you are
a stakeholder, what your objectives are, and your strategy for achieving your objectives.
Dear Mr. Smith (National Security Advisor),
Below are the notes from our conversation over lunch today.
-The US and the UK stand together on the importance of cyber
security.
-We agree on X, Y, and Z
-We have differences on point A and B
The next steps we discussed were:
-I will speak with the Minister of Defense
-You will have a meeting with the Secretaries of State and Defense.
Cheers,
Jane Doe
UK Ambassador to the UN)
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Roles for Cyber Security Simulation
U.S. Principals Committee Meeting
1. National Security Advisor 2. White House Chief of Staff 3. Director of National Intelligence 4. Secretary of State 5. U.S. Ambassador to the UN 6. Secretary of Defense 7. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff 8. Secretary of Homeland Security
UN Special Security Council Meeting
9. UK Ambassador to the UN 10.China Ambassador to the UN 11.Russia Ambassador to the UN 12.Japan Ambassador the UN (Also President of the UNSC) 13.France Ambassador to the UN 14.Brazil Ambassador to the UN 15.Turkey Ambassador to the UN
*Note: The U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. will also attend this meeting
Non-UN Security Council Member
16.CEO Bank of America 17.CEO Wells Fargo 18.Chairman of the Senate Commerce Committee --!