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PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

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Page 1: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

PROBABILITYthe extent to which an event is likely

to occur

Page 2: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Heads Tails

Heads

Tails

How many different outcomes are there when flipping 2 coins?

H;H H;T

T;H T;T

There are a total of 4 outcomesThere is a 1 in 4 chance (25%) of

getting two headsThere is a 2 in 4 chance (50%) of getting a head and a tail

Page 3: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Drawing a tree diagramevent 1 event 2 outcomes

Heads, Heads

Heads, Tails

Tails, Heads

Tails, Tails

12

12

12

12

12

12

14

14

14

14

Page 4: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

1 2 3 4 5 6

Heads

Tails

H;1 H;2 H;3 H;4 H;5

H;6

T;1 T;2 T;3 T;4 T;5 T;6

There are a total of 12 outcomes

What is the chance of getting tails and a 5?

1 in 12

What is the chance of getting tails?6 in 12 or 1 in 2

What is the chance of getting 3?2 in 12 or 1 in 6

How many different outcomes are there when flipping a coins and throwing a dice?

Page 5: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Drawing a tree diagram

16

16

16

16

16

16

12

121

2

12

12

12

1212 1

2

12

12

12

Page 6: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

1 2 3 4 5 6

1

2

3

4

5

6

1;1 1;2 1;3 1;4 1;5 1;62;1 2;2 2;3 2;4 2;5 2;6

3;1 3;2 3;3 3;4 3;5 3;6

4;1 4;2 4;3 4;4 4;5 4;6

5;1 5;2 5;3 5;4 5;5 5;6

6;1 6;2 6;3 6;4 6;5 6;6

How many different outcomes are there when throwing 2 dice?

There are a total of 36 outcomesWhat is the chance of getting 2 sixes?1 in

36What is the chance of getting a 1 and a 4?

2 in 36What is the chance of getting a 6?11 in

36

Page 7: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Ice Cream choicesCones

Plain Chocolate

Ice-Cream Flavours

Vanilla Strawberry Fudge

Toppings

Nuts Jelly tots Banana

How many combo’s can be made? Draw a tree-diagram

Page 8: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur
Page 9: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

A couple decides to have 2 children. There are a few possibilities: 2 boys, 2 girls, the eldest a boy and the younger a girl or the eldest a girl and the youngest a boy.

Show their options in a two-way table. How many combinations would there be if the couple wants 3 children? Why would you not be able to show your answer in (b) in a two-way table? Show the options for (b) in a tree diagram. How many combinations would there be if the couple decides to have 4 children?

Page 10: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

A restaurant sells a variety of sandwiches. They have the following options available:

3 types of bread: White, Brown or Whole-wheat bread

4 different fillings: Chicken mayo, Ham and cheese, Cheese and Tomato, Bacon and Egg fillings

2 different side orders: Salad or Chips

How many different sandwich orders can be made if all orders include 1 type of bread, 1 filling and a side order?

Show all the combinations in a tree diagram.

Page 11: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Emily just got a new job at the local coffee shop. For her uniform, she must wear a white, brown or burgundy shirt with a brown skirt or pants.

How many outfits can she make? Create a tree diagram to illustrate your solution.

Page 12: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

When Chanel bought her new iPod player, she could choose between 1G, 2G, and 5G memories and a choice of red, pink and black cases. Draw a tree diagram for this situation.

Page 13: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

A box contains 20 chocolates, of which 15 have soft centres and 5 have hard centres. Two chocolates are taken at random, one after the other.

a) Draw a tree-diagram to represent the

situation b) Calculate the probability that, both

chocolates have soft centres, c) one of each chocolate is taken, d) both chocolates have hard centres,

given that the second chocolate has a hard centre

Page 14: PROBABILITY the extent to which an event is likely to occur

Soft centre

Hard centre

Soft centre

Soft centre

Hard centre

Hard centre

5 in 20

15 in 20

4 in 19

15 in 19

5 in 19

14 in 19