Primavera Pertmaster User Case Presenter: Steve Malaszecki ... · Primavera Pertmaster User Case. Presenter: Steve Malaszecki Executive VP. Project Controls | Public Involvement |

Project Controls | Public Involvement | Technology Services

We're an end‐to‐end project and construction management firm.

We know what's important.

We understand your needs.

We have the right tools for the project.


Envision Consultants, Ltd.

DBE | SBE | WBE

www.eclimited.com

Corporate Overview

Envision

Consultants,

Ltd.

provides

professional

project

and

construction

management,

as

well

as

technology,

GIS,

and

public

outreach

services. Headquartered

in

southern

New

Jersey,

with

offices

in

Philadelphia,

New

York,

and

Baltimore,

the

firm

is

certified

as

a

DBE/SBE/WBE

and

has

been established for more than 20 years.

Our

commitment

to

client

satisfaction

has

resulted

in

the

successful

completion

of

diversified

construction

projects

on

highways

and

bridges,

transit

systems,

airports,

and

other public and private facilities and infrastructure.

Headquarters 3 Wheatley BoulevardMullica Hill, NJ 08062

Philadelphia Office30 S. 15th

Street, Suite 702Philadelphia, PA 19102

Baltimore Office400 East Pratt Street, 8th Floor

Baltimore, MD 21202

New York Office112 W. 34th Street, 18th Floor

New York, NY 10120


Value‐Added Services

CPM Scheduling

Cost Estimating

Construction Claims Analysis

Claims Avoidance/Dispute Resolution

Document Control

Project Cost/Change Management

Public Involvement

Community Outreach

Risk Assessment/Risk Management

Enterprise Project Management

Software Solutions

Planning

Geographic Information Systems

Technology Services

Information Security

IT Assessments

ORACLE®

Primavera Value‐Added

Reseller/Trainer

ORACLE®

Primavera Systems Software

Implementation, Training and Consulting

Implementing Web‐based Project

Management Software Tools

Time Impact Analysis

Progress Reporting


•Validate project schedule and capital cost estimate assumptions;

• Evaluate the adequacy of schedule and budget contingency levels

•Identify key areas of project risk

•Provide a basis for monitoring risk levels and contingency management throughout the project delivery.

Purpose of Risk Assessment Workshop

•Review any comments from Workshop #3 Report, Addendum to Workshop #2, and any outstanding issues and actions from TCC report.

•Review results of risk analysis, ranges, and input data with MUNI.

•Make any agreed changes to the schedule, 10th percentile estimate, and Beta Factors and re-run models.

•Discuss and agree minimum contingency levels at hold points.

•Discuss and agree minimum schedule contingency at hold points.

•Agree secondary mitigation capacity.

•PMOC Presentation to management of process, results, and conclusions.

Process of Risk Assessment

Workshop


Top Ten “Red “ Risks


Beta Factors Agreed to in Risk Workshop


Schedule Sensitivity Index

2%

2%

3%

3%

3%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

6%

6%

6%

7%

7%

9%

10%CTS1200 - CTS Headhouse Final Structure

STS1100 - Risk #74 /105- Systems testing time too short

CTS1210 - CTS Excavate Emergency Exit

STS1080 - STS Systems Startup & Commissioning

CTS1230 - CTS M/E/P/A

CTS1010 - CTS Install Secant Pile Walls

CTS1400 - Risk #54 - Insufficent station fit out time

CTS1190 - CTS Cross Cut Final Structure

STS1070 - STS CTS Systems Installation

CTS1020 - CTS Excavate Headhouse & Bracing to El. +65

CTS1030 - CTS Temporary Decking

STU1010 - CSP Pre-Revenue Operations

CTS1000 - CTS Building Demolition

CTS1005 - CTS Site Setup

BUF0030 - Risk #47 - SEM slower than expected

FDS1795 - Risk #94 - bid Addendum extn and / or protest

CTS1340 - Risk #52 - Settlement - Install C/Grouting

Schedule Sensitivity Index


Milestones and Hold Points


Milestones and Hold Points Basis


Validated the project schedule Using 3 Processes:

1. Detailed review of their schedule2. Parametric (Top Down) analysis based

FTA guidance (20% float from Entry into FD through Rev Ops

Date)

3. Bottom up schedule risk analysis based on the SFMTA schedule and risk register

Baseline Schedule – FTA calculation of Float


Minimum Schedule Contingency Levels


Minimum Cost Contingency Levels


Minimum Schedule Float at Hold Points


Schedule Contingency

San Francisco Central Subway (SFMTA)Schedule Contingency Graphic

Contingency Float

Buffer Float

Minimum Float

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

2Q08

4Q08

2Q09

4Q09

2Q10

4Q10

2Q11

4Q11

2Q12

4Q12

2Q13

4Q13

2Q14

4Q14

2Q15

4Q15

2Q16

4Q16

2Q17

4Q17

2Q18

4Q18

Floa

t in

Mon

ths

Contingency Float Buffer Float Minimum Float


Project Master Schedule Analysis

FTA PMOC Schedule Risk AnalysisFTA PMOC Schedule Risk Analysis

Latest Rev Ops Date: August 2020Latest Rev Ops Date: August 2020

Most Likely Rev Ops Date: Most Likely Rev Ops Date:

November 2018November 2018

Earliest Rev Ops Date: March 2017Earliest Rev Ops Date: March 2017


Schedule Analysis: Award Tunnel Contract


Latest Date: October 27, 2011Latest Date: October 27, 2011

Most Likely Date: February 10, 2011Most Likely Date: February 10, 2011

Earliest Date: August 5, 2010Earliest Date: August 5, 2010

06/Aug/10 14/Nov/10 22/Feb/11 02/Jun/11 10/Sep/11

Distribution (start of interval)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Hits

0% 05/Aug/10

5% 05/Oct/10

10% 26/Oct/10

15% 10/Nov/10

20% 24/Nov/10

25% 08/Dec/10

30% 21/Dec/10

35% 04/Jan/11

40% 14/Jan/11

45% 28/Jan/11

50% 10/Feb/11

55% 24/Feb/11

60% 10/Mar/11

65% 24/Mar/11

70% 07/Apr/11

75% 20/Apr/11

80% 05/May/11

85% 20/May/11

90% 08/Jun/11

95% 06/Jul/11

100% 27/Oct/11

Cum

ulat

ive

Freq

uenc

y

FDS1386 - Award/Execute Tunnel Contract : Start Date


Schedule Analysis: FTA Execute FFGA


Latest Date: May 8, 2012Latest Date: May 8, 2012

Most Likely Date: October 11, 2011Most Likely Date: October 11, 2011

Earliest Date: March 26, 2011Earliest Date: March 26, 2011

02/Jun/11 10/Sep/11 19/Dec/11 28/Mar/12


0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

240

Hits

0% 26/Mar/11

5% 03/Jun/11

10% 30/Jun/11

15% 21/Jul/11

20% 10/Aug/11

25% 27/Aug/11

30% 14/Sep/11

35% 27/Sep/11

40% 08/Oct/11

45% 20/Oct/11

50% 28/Oct/11

55% 08/Nov/11

60% 17/Nov/11

65% 29/Nov/11

70% 07/Dec/11

75% 15/Dec/11

80% 28/Dec/11

85% 10/Jan/12

90% 21/Jan/12

95% 10/Feb/12

100% 08/May/12

Cum

ulat

ive

Freq

uenc

y

MS0002 - FTA Execute FFGA - Project Milestone #2 : Start Date


Schedule Analysis: Demobilize from Tunnel

FTA PMOC Schedule Risk FTA PMOC Schedule Risk

AnalysisAnalysis

Latest Date: September 22, 2014Latest Date: September 22, 2014

Most Likely Date: August 27, Most Likely Date: August 27,

20132013

Earliest Date: October 3, 2012Earliest Date: October 3, 2012

14/Oct/12 02/May/13 18/Nov/13 06/Jun/14


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Hits

0% 30/Oct/12

5% 03/Apr/13

10% 07/May/13

15% 29/May/13

20% 13/Jun/13

25% 28/Jun/13

30% 12/Jul/13

35% 25/Jul/13

40% 05/Aug/13

45% 15/Aug/13

50% 27/Aug/13

55% 09/Sep/13

60% 18/Sep/13

65% 01/Oct/13

70% 14/Oct/13

75% 28/Oct/13

80% 11/Nov/13

85% 02/Dec/13

90% 27/Dec/13

95% 31/Jan/14

100% 22/Sep/14

Cum

ulat

ive

Freq

uenc

y

TUN1170 - Demobilize from Tunnel : Start Date


Schedule Analysis: UMS Construct Platform


Latest Date: August 30, 2017Latest Date: August 30, 2017

Most Likely Date: January 24, Most Likely Date: January 24,

20162016

Earliest Date: December 4, 2014Earliest Date: December 4, 2014

23/Dec/14 11/Jul/15 27/Jan/16 14/Aug/16 02/Mar/17


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

Hits

0% 04/Dec/14

5% 19/May/15

10% 09/Jul/15

15% 19/Aug/15

20% 16/Sep/15

25% 12/Oct/15

30% 29/Oct/15

35% 17/Nov/15

40% 07/Dec/15

45% 23/Dec/15

50% 14/Jan/16

55% 01/Feb/16

60% 17/Feb/16

65% 09/Mar/16

70% 28/Mar/16

75% 18/Apr/16

80% 12/May/16

85% 10/Jun/16

90% 18/Jul/16

95% 07/Sep/16

100% 30/Aug/17

Cum

ulat

ive

Freq

uenc

y

UMS1340 - UMS Construct Platform Structure : Start Date


Schedule Analysis: CTS Headhouse Structure


Latest Date: August 17, 2018Latest Date: August 17, 2018

Most Likely Date: March 1, 2017Most Likely Date: March 1, 2017

Earliest Date: September 4, 2015Earliest Date: September 4, 2015

27/Jan/16 14/Aug/16 02/Mar/17 18/Sep/17 06/Apr/18


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Hits

0% 04/Sep/15

5% 03/May/16

10% 20/Jun/16

15% 28/Jul/16

20% 25/Aug/16

25% 26/Sep/16

30% 21/Oct/16

35% 14/Nov/16

40% 09/Jan/17

45% 06/Feb/17

50% 01/Mar/17

55% 15/Mar/17

60% 28/Mar/17

65% 11/Apr/17

70% 28/Apr/17

75% 23/May/17

80% 19/Jun/17

85% 18/Jul/17

90% 28/Aug/17

95% 02/Nov/17

100% 17/Aug/18

Cum

ulat

ive

Freq

uenc

y

CTS1200 - CTS Headhouse Final Structure : Start Date


Conclusions‐

Validate the Project Schedule & Capital Cost Estimate

‐

Track Project Milestones to Ensure Project is on Schedule

‐

Review Contingency float to Verify Meeting Revenue Service Date

‐

Expedite FFGA

‐

Build Tunnel Launch Box Prior to FFGA

‐

Accelerate Final Design

‐

Top Down for China town Station

‐

Shut Down Stockton Street (for construction of the UMS Station)

‐

Accelerate Testing & Commissioning

‐

Accelerate Pre‐Revenue Activities


Slide Number 1Slide Number 2Slide Number 3Slide Number 4Slide Number 5Slide Number 6Slide Number 7Slide Number 8Slide Number 9Slide Number 10Slide Number 11Slide Number 12Slide Number 13Slide Number 14Slide Number 15Slide Number 16Slide Number 17Slide Number 18Slide Number 19Slide Number 20Slide Number 21Slide Number 22Slide Number 23Slide Number 24

Documents

Primavera Pertmaster User Case Presenter: Steve Malaszecki ... · Primavera Pertmaster User Case. Presenter: Steve Malaszecki Executive VP. Project Controls | Public Involvement |