58
DOI 10.1378/chest.11-2306 2012;141;e637S-e668S Chest Lansberg, Gordon H. Guyatt and Frederick A. Spencer Frank A. Sonnenberg, Pablo Alonso-Coello, Elie A. Akl, Maarten G. Per Olav Vandvik, A. Michael Lincoff, Joel M. Gore, David D. Gutterman, Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines ed: American College of Chest Physicians Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th Cardiovascular Disease : Antithrombotic Primary and Secondary Prevention of http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/141/2_suppl/e637S.full.html services can be found online on the World Wide Web at: The online version of this article, along with updated information and e637S.DC1.html http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/suppl/2012/02/03/141.2_suppl. Supplemental material related to this article is available at: ISSN:0012-3692 ) http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/site/misc/reprints.xhtml ( written permission of the copyright holder. this article or PDF may be reproduced or distributed without the prior Dundee Road, Northbrook, IL 60062. All rights reserved. No part of Copyright2012by the American College of Chest Physicians, 3300 Physicians. It has been published monthly since 1935. is the official journal of the American College of Chest Chest © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012 chestjournal.chestpubs.org Downloaded from

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Page 1: Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease ... · CHEST / 141 / 2 / FEBRUARY, 2012 SUPPLEMENT e637S ANTITHROMBOTIC THERAPY AND PREVENTION OF THROMBOSIS, 9TH ED: ACCP

DOI 10.1378/chest.11-2306 2012;141;e637S-e668SChest

 Lansberg, Gordon H. Guyatt and Frederick A. SpencerFrank A. Sonnenberg, Pablo Alonso-Coello, Elie A. Akl, Maarten G. Per Olav Vandvik, A. Michael Lincoff, Joel M. Gore, David D. Gutterman, Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelinesed: American College of Chest Physicians Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9thCardiovascular Disease : Antithrombotic Primary and Secondary Prevention of

  http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/141/2_suppl/e637S.full.html

services can be found online on the World Wide Web at: The online version of this article, along with updated information and 

e637S.DC1.html http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/suppl/2012/02/03/141.2_suppl.Supplemental material related to this article is available at:

ISSN:0012-3692)http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/site/misc/reprints.xhtml(

written permission of the copyright holder.this article or PDF may be reproduced or distributed without the priorDundee Road, Northbrook, IL 60062. All rights reserved. No part of Copyright2012by the American College of Chest Physicians, 3300Physicians. It has been published monthly since 1935.

is the official journal of the American College of ChestChest

 © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012chestjournal.chestpubs.orgDownloaded from

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CHEST Supplement

www.chestpubs.org CHEST / 141 / 2 / FEBRUARY, 2012 SUPPLEMENT e637S

ANTITHROMBOTIC THERAPY AND PREVENTION OF THROMBOSIS, 9TH ED: ACCP GUIDELINES

Background: This guideline focuses on long-term administration of antithrombotic drugs designed for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease, including two new antiplatelet therapies. Methods: The methods of this guideline follow those described in Methodology for the Develop-ment of Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis Guidelines: Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th ed: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines in this supplement. Results: We present 23 recommendations for pertinent clinical questions. For primary prevention of cardiovascular disease, we suggest low-dose aspirin (75-100 mg/d) in patients aged . 50 years over no aspirin therapy (Grade 2B). For patients with established coronary artery disease, defi ned as patients 1-year post-acute coronary syndrome, with prior revascularization, coronary stenoses . 50% by coronary angiogram, and/or evidence for cardiac ischemia on diagnostic testing, we recommend long-term low-dose aspirin or clopidogrel (75 mg/d) (Grade 1A). For patients with acute coronary syndromes who undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with stent placement, we recommend for the fi rst year dual antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin in combination with ticagrelor 90 mg bid, clopidogrel 75 mg/d, or prasugrel 10 mg/d over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B). For patients undergoing elective PCI with stent place-ment, we recommend aspirin (75-325 mg/d) and clopidogrel for a minimum duration of 1 month (bare-metal stents) or 3 to 6 months (drug-eluting stents) (Grade 1A). We suggest continuing low-dose aspirin plus clopidogrel for 12 months for all stents (Grade 2C). Thereafter, we recommend single antiplatelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B). Conclusions: Recommendations continue to favor single antiplatelet therapy for patients with established coronary artery disease. For patients with acute coronary syndromes or undergoing elective PCI with stent placement, dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 1 year is warranted. CHEST 2012; 141(2)(Suppl):e637S–e668S

Abbreviations: ACS 5 acute coronary syndrome; BMS 5 bare-metal stent; CAD 5 coronary artery disease; CAGB 5 coronary artery bypass graft; CAPRIE 5 Clopidogrel vs Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischaemic Events; CHARISMA 5 Clopidogrel for High Atherothrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilization, Management, and Avoidance; CURE 5 Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina to Prevent Recurrent Events; DES 5 drug-eluting stent; INR 5 international normalized ratio; LV 5 left ventricular; MI 5 myocardial infarction; PCI 5 percutaneous coronary intervention; PLATO 5 Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes; QALY 5 quality-adjusted life year; RCT 5 randomized controlled trial; RR 5 risk ratio; TIA 5 transient ischemic attack

Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th ed: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines

Per Olav Vandvik , MD , PhD ; A. Michael Lincoff , MD ; Joel M. Gore , MD ; David D. Gutterman , MD , FCCP ; Frank A. Sonnenberg , MD ; Pablo Alonso-Coello , MD, PhD ; Elie A. Akl , MD , MPH, PhD ; Maarten G. Lansberg , MD, PhD ; Gordon H. Guyatt , MD , FCCP ; and Frederick A. Spencer , MD

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e638S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

period for very small benefi ts will be disinclined to use aspirin for primary prophylaxis. Individuals who value preventing an MI substantially higher than avoiding a GI bleed will be, if they are in the mod-erate or high cardiovascular risk group, more likely to choose aspirin.

3.1.1-3.1.5. For patients with established coro-nary artery disease (CAD), defi ned as patients 1-year post-acute coronary syndrome (ACS), with prior revascularization, coronary ste-noses . 50% by coronary angiogram, and/or evidence for cardiac ischemia on diagnostic testing, (including patients after the fi rst year post-ACS and/or with prior coronary artery bypass graft [CABG] surgery):

• We recommend long-term single antiplate-let therapy with aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily over no antiplate-let therapy (Grade 1A) .

• We suggest single over dual antiplatelet ther-apy with aspirin plus clopidogrel (Grade 2B) .

3.2.1-3.2.5. For patients in the fi rst year after an ACS who have not undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI):

• We recommend dual antiplatelet therapy (ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily) over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) .

• We suggest ticagrelor 90 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin over clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin (Grade 2B) .

For patients in the fi rst year after an ACS who have undergone PCI with stent placement:

• We recommend dual antiplatelet therapy (ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily, clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin, or prasugrel 10 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin over single antiplatelet therapy) (Grade 1B) .

Remarks: Evidence suggests that prasugrel results in no benefi t or net harm in patients with a body weight of , 60 kg, age . 75 years, or with a previous stroke/tran-sient ischemic attack.

• We suggest ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin over clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin (Grade 2B) .

For patients with ACS who undergo PCI with stent placement, we refer to sections 4.3.1 to

Summary of Recommendations

Note on Shaded Text: Throughout this guideline, shading is used within the summary of recommenda-tions sections to indicate recommendations that are newly added or have been changed since the publica-tion of Antithrombotic and Thrombolytic Therapy: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines (8th Edition). Recom-mendations that remain unchanged are not shaded.

2.1. For persons aged 50 years or older without symptomatic cardiovascular disease, we suggest low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily over no aspirin therapy (Grade 2B) .

Remarks: Aspirin slightly reduces total mortality regardless of cardiovascular risk profi le if taken over 10 years. In people at moderate to high risk of cardio-vascular events, the reduction in myocardial infarc-tion (MI) is closely balanced with an increase in major bleeds. Whatever their risk status, people who are averse to taking medication over a prolonged time

Revision accepted August 31, 2011. Affi liations: From the Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services and Department of Medicine (Dr Vandvik), Innlandet Hospital Trust Gjøvik, Gjøvik, Norway; Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Cleveland Clinic Coordinating Center for Clinical Research (C5Research) (Dr Lincoff), Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH; Department of Medicine (Dr Gore), Univer-sity of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA; Department of Medicine (Dr Gutterman), Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; Department of Medicine (Dr Sonnenberg), University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey, Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, NJ; Iberoamerican Cochrane Centre (Dr Alonso-Coello), CIBERESP-IIB Sant Pau, Barcelona, Spain; Department of Medicine and Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Dr Akl), State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY; Stanford Stroke Center (Dr Lansberg), Stanford University Medical Center, Palo Alto, CA; and Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics (Dr Guyatt) and Department of Medicine (Drs Guyatt and Spencer), McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada. Funding/Support: The Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th ed: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines received support from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute [R13 HL104758] and Bayer Schering Pharma AG. Support in the form of educational grants was also provided by Bristol-Myers Squibb; Pfi zer, Inc; Canyon Pharmaceuticals; and sanofi -aventis US. Disclaimer: American College of Chest Physician guidelines are intended for general information only, are not medical advice, and do not replace professional medical care and physician advice, which always should be sought for any medical condition. The complete disclaimer for this guideline can be accessed at http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/141/2_suppl/1S. Correspondence to: Frederick A. Spencer, MD, Department of Medicine, McMaster University, St. Joseph’s Health Care, 50 Charlton Ave E, Hamilton, ON, L8N 4A6, Canada; e-mail: [email protected] © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http://www.chestpubs.org/site/misc/reprints.xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

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recommend discontinuation of warfarin and continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recom-mendations (see recommendations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, antiplatelet therapy is recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommenda-tions 3.1.1-3.1.5).

4.1.1-4.3.5. For patients who have undergone elective PCI with placement of BMS:

• For the fi rst month, we recommend dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1A) .

• For the subsequent 11 months, we suggest dual antiplatelet therapy with combination of low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single anti-platelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• After 12 months, we recommend single anti-platelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) .

For patients who have undergone elective PCI with placement of DES:

• For the fi rst 3 to 6 months, we recommend dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1A) .

Remarks: Absolute minimum duration will vary based on stent type (in general, 3 months for -limus stents and 6 months for -taxel stents).

• After 3 to 6 months, we suggest continua-tion of dual antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg and clopidogrel (75 mg daily) until 12 months over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• After 12 months, we recommend single antiplatelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) . Sin-gle antiplatelet therapy thereafter is rec-ommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients who have undergone elective BMS or DES stent placement:

• We recommend using low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily alone rather than cilostazol in addition to these drugs (Grade 1B) .

4.3.5 for recommendations concerning minimum and prolonged duration of treatment.

3.2.6-3.2.7. For patients with anterior MI and left ventricular (LV) thrombus, or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection fraction , 40%, antero-ap ical wall motion abnormality), who do not undergo stenting:

• We recommend warfarin (international nor-malized ratio [INR] 2.0-3.0) plus low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily over single anti-platelet therapy or dual antiplatelet therapy for the fi rst 3 months (Grade 1B) . Thereafter, we recommend discontinuation of warfarin and continuation of dual antiplatelet ther-apy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recommendations (see recommendations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, single anti-platelet therapy is recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus, or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection frac-tion , 40%, anteroapical wall motion abnor-mality), who undergo bare-metal stent (BMS) placement:

• We suggest triple therapy (warfarin [INR 2.0-3.0], low-dose aspirin, clopidogrel 75 mg daily) for 1 month over dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• We suggest warfarin (INR 2.0-3.0) and single antiplatelet therapy for the second and third month post-BMS over alternative regimens and alternative time frames for warfarin use (Grade 2C) . Thereafter, we recommend discontinuation of warfarin and use of dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recommenda-tions (see recommendations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, antiplatelet ther apy is recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus, or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection frac-tion , 40%, anteroapical wall motion abnor-mality) who undergo drug-eluting stent (DES) placement:

• We suggest triple therapy (warfarin INR 2.0-3.0, low-dose aspirin, clopidogrel 75 mg daily) for 3 to 6 months over alternative regimens and alternative durations of war-farin therapy (Grade 2C) . Thereafter, we

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e640S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

by coronary angiogram, and/or evidence for cardiac ischemia on diagnostic testing); includ ing those post-ACS and post-coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery; (3) patients with recent or remote percu-taneous coronary intervention (PCI) with or without stents (bare-metal stents [BMS] or drug-eluting stents [DES]); and (4) patients with systolic left ventricular (LV) dysfunction (ischemic and nonischemic).

1.0 Methods

Table 1 describes the clinical questions (ie, population, inter-vention, comparator, and outcome) for each of the recommenda-tions that follow. We defi ne only patient characteristics relevant to our questions. For example, because whether ACS occurs with or without ST-segment elevation is not relevant to long-term sec-ondary prevention, we provide a single set of recommendations for all patients following ACS. We have selected the same patient-important outcomes across all recommendations (eg, total mor-tality, nonfatal myocardial infarction [MI], nonfatal stroke, major extracranial bleed). We consider burden of treatment an impor-tant outcome for patients taking warfarin.

Stent thrombosis frequently is reported in trials evaluating antiplatelet agents in patients undergoing PCI with stent place-ment. We have not included stent thrombosis as an important outcome because stent thrombosis derives its patient impor-tance from consequent MI and deaths. Additional reporting of stent thrombosis along with MI and deaths would result in double counting of events and a distorted balance of benefi ts and harms.

Nonfatal hemorrhagic strokes and ischemic strokes are included together as nonfatal strokes. Although the former is a complica-tion and prevention of the latter is a benefi cial effect of anti-thrombotic therapy, their impact on patient morbidity is similar.

Estimation of Baseline Risks and Absolute Effects of Treatment

In order to estimate absolute benefi ts and harms associated with a given therapy, we performed the several steps. We fi rst generated relative effect estimates (relative risks) from the highest-quality published meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing therapies for a specifi c indication. If no such meta-analyses were available, we conducted our own meta-analyses of relevant RCTs or used relative risk estimates from single RCTs in the absence of other relevant RCTs.

Ideally, in order to approximate the benefi t of a given therapy in the real world, population-based observational studies would inform estimates of baseline risk. Unfortunately, for most of our clinical questions, we were unable to identify observational studies of suffi cient quality that reported all relevant outcomes. In such cases, we estimated control group risk from the control arm of either a relevant meta-analysis or a relevant RCT and adjusted them to our specifi ed time frame. Individual sections present detailed explanations of our choices.

There are limited data to guide us with respect to the relative impact of outcomes on patient quality of life (see MacLean et al 1 in this supplement). As described in the methodology article by Guyatt et al 2 in these guidelines, we have used ratings from guide-line panelists striving to infer a patient’s valuation of the outcomes of interest. The ratings suggest that major extracranial bleeding (which is usually readily treated and with few long-lasting con-sequences) carries only slightly less weight than a nonfatal MI (which also often has minimal long-term consequences) but sub-stantially less weight than a stroke (which is often associated with

• We suggest aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily as part of dual anti-platelet therapy rather than the use of either drug with cilostazol (Grade 1B) .

• We suggest cilostazol 100 mg twice daily as substitute for either low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily as part of a dual antiplatelet regimen in patients with an allergy or intolerance of either drug class (Grade 2C) .

For patients with CAD undergoing elective PCI but no stent placement:

• We suggest for the fi rst month dual anti-platelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over sin-gle antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C) . Single antiplatelet therapy thereafter is rec-ommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

5.1-5.3. For patients with systolic LV dysfunc-tion without established CAD and no LV throm-bus, we suggest not to use antiplatelet therapy or warfarin (Grade 2C) .

Remarks: Patients who place a high value on an uncertain reduction in stroke and a low value on avoiding an increased risk of GI bleeding are likely to choose to use warfarin.

For patients with systolic LV dysfunction with-out established CAD with identifi ed acute LV thrombus (eg, Takotsubo cardiomyopathy), we suggest moderate-intensity warfarin (INR 2.0-3.0) for at least 3 months (Grade 2C) .

For patients with systolic LV dysfunction and established CAD, recommendations are as per the established CAD recommendations (see rec-ommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

This article is devoted to long-term administration of antithrombotic drugs designed for primary and

secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease. It does not address initial management of acute coro-nary syndromes (ACS) or periprocedural use of anti-thrombotic therapies.

We consider the desirable and undesirable conse-quences of antithrombotic treatment in the follow-ing populations and patient groups: (1) persons without established coronary artery disease (CAD); (2) patients with established CAD (established CAD is defi ned throughout as patients 1-year post ACS, with prior revascularization, coronary stenoses . 50%

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(Con

tinu

ed)

Tabl

e 1—

Qu

esti

on D

efi n

itio

n an

d E

ligi

bil

ity

Cri

teri

a fo

r A

ntit

hrom

bot

ic T

reat

men

ts i

n P

rim

ary

and

Seco

ndar

y P

reve

ntio

n of

Car

diov

ascu

lar

Dis

ease

Sect

ion

Info

rmal

Que

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n

PIC

O Q

uest

ion

Popu

latio

nIn

terv

entio

nsC

ompa

rato

rO

utco

me(

s)

2.0

Prim

ary

prev

entio

n of

car

diov

ascu

lar

dise

ase

2.1

Cho

ice

of a

ntith

rom

botic

ther

apy

Pers

ons

with

out s

ympt

omat

ic

card

iova

scul

ar d

isea

seA

spir

inPl

aceb

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tal m

orta

lity

Non

fata

l MI

Non

fata

l str

oke

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

3.0

Seco

ndar

y pr

even

tion

of c

ardi

ovas

cula

r di

seas

e (in

clud

es p

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with

pri

or C

AB

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-ter

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ntith

rom

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s w

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lity

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Non

fata

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Maj

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den

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for

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Dos

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. 1

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of a

ntith

rom

botic

ther

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the

fi rst

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llow

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s w

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ecen

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al w

all m

otio

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( � st

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IPa

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I w

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alo

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Stro

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pido

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1 as

piri

n4.

2D

ose

of a

spir

in fo

llow

ing

PCI

Patie

nts

unde

rgoi

ng P

CI

� 1

00 m

g A

spir

in .

100

mg

Asp

irin

4.3.

1D

urat

ion

of D

AT (c

lopi

dogr

el

plus

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irin

) fol

low

ing

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with

pl

acem

ent o

f BM

S

Patie

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unde

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CI

with

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um d

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1 m

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ende

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n D

AT 6

-12

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DAT

1 m

o

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AT fo

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ith D

ES

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AT 3

-6 m

oN

o D

AT4.

3.4

Ext

ende

d du

ratio

n D

AT 1

yD

AT 3

-6 m

o4.

3.5

Ext

ende

d du

ratio

n D

AT .

1 y

DAT

1 y

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e642S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

long-term disability). Our decisions are based on a disutility of stroke of three times the disutility, or negative weight, of a major extracranial bleed.

Trade-offs between desirable and undesirable consequences of alternative management strategies sometimes represent close-call situations. For example, in the comparison of clopidogrel and aspirin vs aspirin alone in established CAD, available evidence from the Clopidogrel for High Atherothrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilization, Management and Avoidance (CHARISMA) trial cannot rule out a benefi t of dual antiplatelet therapy over aspirin alone, with a nonsignifi cant trend for benefi t in cardiovas-cular outcomes such as vascular mortality, MI, and stroke. 3 There is, however, suggested harm in terms of increased major bleeding events, with imprecise estimates of borderline statistical signifi -cance. In making recommendations in such situations, we have taken a primum non nocere approach, placing the burden of proof with those who would claim a benefi t of treatment. In other words, when there is uncertain benefi t and an appreciable probability of important harm (such as the aforementioned situation), we rec-ommend against such treatments.

We identifi ed the relevant evidence for our clinical questions with the assistance of a team of methodologists and medical librarians as outlined in the methodology article in this supplement. 2 Sys-tematic literature searches for systematic reviews and original studies were performed until the date of January 15, 2010. After that date, we scanned the literature regularly, although this was not performed as systematic literature searches.

2.0 Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

In this section, we address the effects of aspirin in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. In addition, we consider recent meta-analyses dem-onstrating a reduction in cancer mortality and total mortality with long-term use of aspirin. 4-6 We do not include other antiplatelet therapies (eg, clopidogrel alone or in combination with aspirin) or oral antico-agulation (eg, warfarin) because they are not likely used in primary prevention. Whether aspirin should be prescribed in patients already receiving warfarin for atrial fi brillation (or other conditions) to enhance primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease remains controversial. This topic is addressed in You et al. 7

Users of this guideline require a tool to estimate risk of a cardiovascular event in the individual patient. Figure 1 shows the Framingham risk score that predicts the 10-year risk of developing a cardiovas-cular event (composite end point of MI and coro-nary death) as low ( , 10%), moderate (10%-20%), and high ( . 20%) risk. 8

We present absolute risk estimates for people at low, moderate, and high cardiovascular risk in a 10-year time frame based on the widely used Framingham risk score ( Table 2 ). In order to derive our baseline control group risk estimates, we assumed patients with low, moderate, and high risk to have a 5%, 15%, and 25% risk of experiencing combined nonfatal and fatal MI, respectively.

Tabl

e 1—

Con

tinu

ed

Sect

ion

Info

rmal

Que

stio

n

PIC

O Q

uest

ion

Popu

latio

nIn

terv

entio

nsC

ompa

rato

rO

utco

me(

s)

5.0

Ant

ithro

mbo

tic th

erap

y in

pat

ient

s w

ith s

ysto

lic L

V d

ysfu

nctio

n5.

1C

hoic

e of

ant

ithro

mbo

tic th

erap

y in

pa

tient

s w

ith n

onis

chem

ic s

ysto

lic

LV d

ysfu

nctio

n an

d no

LV

th

rom

bus

Patie

nts

with

non

isch

emic

sys

tolic

LV

dy

sfun

ctio

n (w

ithou

t AF

) and

no

LV

thro

mbu

s

VK

AN

o V

KA

Tota

l mor

talit

yN

onfa

tal M

IN

onfa

tal s

trok

eM

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

edB

urde

n of

trea

tmen

t (fo

r V

KA

)

Asp

irin

No

aspi

rin

5.2

Cho

ice

of a

ntith

rom

botic

ther

apy

in

patie

nts

with

non

isch

emic

sys

tolic

LV

dys

func

tion

and

LV th

rom

bus

Patie

nts

with

non

isch

emic

sys

tolic

LV

dy

sfun

ctio

n (w

ithou

t AF

) and

LV

th

rom

bus

VK

AN

o w

arfa

rin

5.3

Cho

ice

of a

ntith

rom

botic

ther

apy

in

patie

nts

with

isch

emic

LV

dy

sfun

ctio

n

Patie

nts

with

isch

emic

sys

tolic

LV

dy

sfun

ctio

nA

spir

inPl

aceb

oC

lopi

dogr

elA

spir

inC

lopi

dogr

el 1

aspi

rin

Asp

irin

VK

A m

oder

ate

inte

nsity

1 as

piri

nA

spir

in

AC

S 5

acut

e co

rona

ry sy

ndro

me;

AF

5 at

rial

fi br

illat

ion;

BM

S 5

bar

e-m

etal

sten

t; C

AB

G 5

coro

nary

art

ery

bypa

ss g

raft

surg

ery;

CH

D 5

coro

nary

hea

rt d

isea

se; D

AT 5

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

; DE

S 5

dru

g-el

utin

g st

ent;

LV 5

left

ven

tric

ular

; MI 5

myo

card

ial

infa

rctio

n; P

CI 5

per

cuta

neou

s co

rona

ry i

nter

vent

ion;

PIC

O 5

pop

ulat

ion,

int

erve

ntio

n, c

ompa

rato

r, ou

tcom

e; S

TE

MI 5

ST-

segm

ent

elev

atio

n m

yoca

rdia

l inf

arct

ion;

VK

A 5

vita

min

K a

ntag

onis

t.

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stroke. The Framingham risk score does not allow separate calculation of nonfatal and fatal MI, and it does not include stroke or major extracranial bleeding.

We believe that it is important to provide estimates separately for outcomes that patients value differ-ently, as is the case for nonfatal MI, fatal MI, and

Figure 1. [Section 2.0] Framingham risk score for cardiovascular events. A, Calculator for men. B, (Continued next page) Calculator for women. Determine the number of points a patient receives for each risk factor (steps 1 through 6) and add them together (step 7). Using the point total in step 8 (using appropriate column - LDL or cholesterol depending on which was used in step 2), fi nd the corresponding 10-year CHD risk. (Reprinted with permission from Wilson et al.101) CHD 5 coronary heart disease; HDL-C 5 high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LDL-C 5 low-density lipoprotein cholesterol.

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e644S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

nonfatal stroke, and a 1% risk of a major nonfatal extracranial bleed. Similar calculations were made to derive control group risk estimates for moderate- and high-risk strata. 9

We made one additional modifi cation to estimates from the Framingham risk score. The Framingham risk score overestimates 10-year coronary heart dis-ease risk by 32% in men and 10% in women and is of little value in people aged . 85 years. 10,11 We have adjusted our control group risk estimates accordingly,

Therefore, to estimate the probability of each of these critical outcomes, we used the observed ratio of non fatal MI to fatal MI to nonfatal stroke to major extracranial bleeding events in an individual partic-ipant data meta-analysis assessing benefi ts and harms of aspirin in primary prevention of cardiovas-cular disease. 9 For example, a patient with a 5% (low) risk of fatal and nonfatal MI over 10 years based on the Framingham score would have a 3.3% risk of nonfatal MI, a 1.7% risk of a fatal MI, a 2.6% risk of

Figure 1. Continued.

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Tabl

e 2—

[Sec

tion

2.1

] A

spir

in (

75-1

00 m

g) C

ompa

red

Wit

h N

o A

spir

in i

n th

e P

rim

ary

Pre

vent

ion

of C

ardi

ovas

cula

r D

isea

se a,9

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

10 y

Ris

k W

ithou

t Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y a 10

0,07

6 (9

), 3.

8-10

yM

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.9

4 (0

.88

to 1

.00)

60-y

-old

man

c 10

0 de

aths

per

1,0

00 c

6 fe

wer

dea

ths

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

12

few

er to

0 fe

wer

)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s95

,000

(6),

3.8-

10 y

Hig

hR

R 0

.77

(0.6

9-0.

86)

Low

-car

diov

ascu

lar-

risk

pop

ulat

ion d

27 M

I pe

r 1,

000 e

6 fe

wer

MI

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

8 fe

wer

to 4

few

er)

Mod

erat

e-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

ris

k po

pula

tion d

83 M

I pe

r 1,

000 e

19 fe

wer

MI

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

26

few

er to

12

few

er)

Hig

h-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k po

pula

tion d

136

per

1,00

0 e 31

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 4

2 fe

wer

to 1

9 fe

wer

)St

roke

incl

udes

non

fata

l isc

hem

ic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

okes

f 95

,000

(6),

3.8-

10 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.95

(0.8

5-1.

06)

Low

-car

diov

ascu

lar-

risk

pop

ulat

ion d

23 s

trok

es p

er 1

,000

e N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 1

few

er s

trok

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 3

few

er to

1 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k po

pula

tion d

65 s

trok

es p

er 1

,000

e N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 3

few

er s

trok

es p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

10

few

er to

4 m

ore)

Hig

h-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k po

pula

tion d

108

stro

kes

per

1,00

0 e N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er s

trok

es p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

16

few

er to

8 m

ore)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

95,0

00 (6

), 3.

8-10

yH

igh

RR

1.5

4 (1

.30-

1.82

)L

ow-c

ardi

ovas

cula

r-ri

sk p

opul

atio

n g 8

blee

ds p

er 1

,000

e 4

mor

e bl

eeds

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

2 m

ore

to 7

mor

e)M

oder

ate-

card

iova

scul

ar r

isk

popu

latio

n g 24

ble

eds

per

1,00

0 e 16

mor

e bl

eeds

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

7 m

ore

to 2

0 m

ore)

Hig

h-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k po

pula

tion g

40 b

leed

s pe

r 1,

000 e

22 m

ore

blee

ds p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

2 m

ore

to 3

3 m

ore)

GR

AD

E 5

Gra

des

of R

ecom

men

datio

ns, A

sses

smen

t, D

evel

opm

ent,

and

Eva

luat

ion;

RR

5 ri

sk r

atio

. See

Tab

le 1

lege

nd fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

n. a T

his

syst

emat

ic r

evie

w r

epor

ts t

otal

mor

talit

y an

d in

clud

es t

he m

ost

rece

nt t

rial

s bu

t do

es n

ot r

epor

t sp

ecifi

c ca

uses

of

mor

talit

y. O

ther

met

a-an

alys

es t

hat

use

indi

vidu

al p

atie

nt d

ata

repo

rt r

elat

ive

risk

es

timat

es fo

r vas

cula

r mor

talit

y (R

R, 0

.97;

95%

CI,

0.8

7-1.

09),

canc

er m

orta

lity

(RR

, 0.6

6; 9

5% C

I, 0

.50-

0.87

), an

d fa

tal i

ntra

cran

ial b

leed

s (R

R, 1

.73;

95%

CI,

0.9

6-3.

13).

The

risk

of a

fata

l ble

ed (i

nclu

ding

ex

trac

rani

al a

nd in

trac

rani

al) w

as lo

w (0

.3%

with

asp

irin

and

0.2

% w

ith c

ontr

ol).

b The

95%

CI

for

the

abso

lute

eff

ect i

nclu

des

no b

enefi

t of

asp

irin

. We

did

not r

ate

dow

n fo

r ri

sk o

f bia

s, b

ut th

is w

as a

bor

derl

ine

deci

sion

. Thr

ee o

f the

tria

ls d

id n

ot b

lind

patie

nts,

car

egiv

ers,

or

outc

ome

adju

dica

tors

. Sen

sitiv

ity a

naly

ses

in m

eta-

anal

ysis

by

Raj

u et

al 4 d

id n

ot s

how

evi

denc

e of

ris

k of

bia

s. c C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

e fo

r 10

-y m

orta

lity

appl

y to

a 6

0-y-

old

man

and

cam

e fr

om p

opul

atio

n-ba

sed

data

from

Sta

tistic

s N

orw

ay. M

orta

lity

incr

ease

s w

ith a

ge (e

g, 5

0-y-

old

man

; 50

deat

hs p

er 1

,000

in

10 y

) and

is lo

wer

in w

omen

than

in m

en (e

g, 3

% in

wom

en a

ged

50 y

vs

5% in

men

age

d 50

y).

d Ris

k gr

oups

cor

resp

ond

to lo

w r

isk

(5%

), m

ediu

m r

isk

(15%

), hi

gh r

isk

(25%

) acc

ordi

ng to

the

Fra

min

gham

sco

re (o

r ot

her

risk

tool

) to

estim

ate

10-y

ris

k. e C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es in

low

-, m

oder

ate-

, and

hig

h-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k gr

oups

are

bas

ed o

n th

e F

ram

ingh

am s

core

. As

expl

aine

d in

the

text

, we

have

use

d da

ta fr

om a

n in

divi

dual

pat

ient

dat

a m

eta-

anal

ysis

to p

rovi

de e

stim

ated

ris

ks fo

r pa

tient

-impo

rtan

t out

com

es n

ot c

over

ed b

y th

e F

ram

ingh

am r

isk

scor

e. W

e ha

ve a

lso

adju

sted

for

20%

ove

rest

imat

ion

asso

ciat

ed w

ith F

ram

ingh

am r

isk

scor

e. f O

f the

str

okes

in th

e tr

ials

, 89

of 6

82 (1

3%) w

ithou

t asp

irin

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic a

nd 1

16 o

f 655

(18%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic.

g In

the

indi

vidu

al p

atie

nt d

ata

met

a-an

alys

is r

isk

for

futu

re m

ajor

ble

edin

g co

rrel

ated

with

ris

k fo

r fu

ture

car

diov

ascu

lar

even

ts. T

here

fore

, we

mak

e th

e as

sum

ptio

n th

at a

pat

ient

at l

ow, m

ediu

m, o

r hi

gh

risk

of f

utur

e ca

rdio

vasc

ular

eve

nts

(det

erm

ined

by

Fra

min

gham

sco

re) w

ill b

e at

low

, med

ium

, or

high

ris

k fo

r fu

ture

maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

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e646S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

data meta-analysis by Baigent et al 9 reported a rel-ative risk estimate for vascular mortality of 0.97 (95% CI, 0.87-1.09) associated with aspirin over a 10-year period. In another individual patient data meta-analysis, aspirin was associated with a reduction in cancer mortality (risk ratio [RR], 0.66; 95% CI, 0.50-0.87), which translated to � 20 fewer cancer deaths (30 fewer to eight fewer) per 1,000 treated for 10 years. 5 The impressive relative and anticipated absolute effect of aspirin therapy on cancer mor-tality contrast with the more-modest relative and absolute effect of aspirin on total mortality (three fewer deaths per 1,000). The difference in absolute effect is likely partly explained by the high 10-year risk of cancer mortality derived from the trials included in the individual participant data meta-analysis (60 per 1,000) compared with the low 10-year risk of total mortality derived from population-based data in a 50-year-old man (10 per 1,000). Appar-ently, patients enrolled in trials of aspirin aimed at reducing vascular risk were a population at high risk for cancer deaths.

We do not make specifi c recommendations for the use of aspirin based on patient characteristics, such as older age, sex, and diabetes mellitus. Other guide-lines that do modify recommendations according to the presence or absence of such characteristics largely ignore any differences in bleeding risks and base their recommendations on evidence from what we believe are subgroup analyses of questionable validity. 18-22 Sophisticated risk calculators used in deci-sion aids for specifi c populations may enhance indi-vidual decision-making, and when well done, we encourage their use.

Concerning diabetes, we (in contrast to some others) interpret current evidence as suggesting that the relative benefi t of aspirin is similar in patients with and without diabetes. In two systematic reviews that include recent trials of patients with diabetes, CIs for the diabetes subgroup overlap with our estimates of relative effects from the combined population. 23,24 Furthermore, analyses from the individual partici-pant data meta-analysis provide no support for a dif-ference in relative effect of aspirin in those with or without diabetes. 9

Recommendation

2.1. For persons aged 50 years or older without symptomatic cardiovascular disease, we sug-gest low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily over no aspirin therapy (Grade 2B) .

Remarks: Aspirin slightly reduces total mortality regardless of cardiovascular risk profi le if taken over 10 years. In people at moderate to high risk of cardio-vascular events, the reduction in MI is closely balanced

assuming 20% overestimation across sexes. For example, whereas Framingham estimates that 33 of 1,000 people at low cardiovascular risk will have a nonfatal MI without aspirin, our best estimate is that 27 of 1,000 people will have a nonfatal MI. Similar adjustments have been performed for vascular and bleeding outcomes because the Framingham risk estimate for nonfatal MI serves as the basis for the other risk estimates through our use of ratios from the individual participant data meta-analysis described later in this article. 9

2.1 Aspirin

Table 2 (Table S1) summarizes results from an individual participant data meta-analysis that provides the best evidence regarding the benefi ts and harms of aspirin in primary prevention of cardiovascular dis-ease. 9 The meta-analysis includes 95,000 individuals (660,000 person-years, 3,554 vascular events) from six large trials (British Doctor Study, US Physicians’ Health Study, Thrombosis Prevention Trial, Hyper-tension Optimal Treatment Trial, Primary Prevention Project, and Women’s Health Study) that compared long-term aspirin use vs control. 12-17 Doses of aspi-rin varied between 75 mg and 300 mg without an apparent difference in benefi t or harm. For total mortality, we used the relative-effect estimate derived from a high-quality systematic review and meta-analysis that included the most recent trials omitted from the individual participant data meta-analysis. 4

Based on these analyses, aspirin use in patients at low risk would be associated with six fewer MIs and four more major bleeding events per 1,000 treated, with little or no effect on nonfatal stroke over a 10-year period (Table 2, Table S1). Aspirin would be associated with six fewer total deaths, but the 95% CI includes zero fewer deaths. For moderate- to high-risk patients, aspirin again would reduce nonfatal MI (19 fewer/1,000 treated and 31 fewer/1,000 treated, respectively) and increase major bleeding (16 more/1,000 treated and 22 more/1,000 treated, respectively), with a similar impact on total mortality (six fewer total deaths) as in the low-risk group. Our baseline risk estimate of 10-year mortality is derived from population-based data in Norway (www.ssb.no) and applies to a 60-year-old man. The overall qual ity of evidence is rated as moderate given the impreci-sion in the relative effect estimates for total mortality.

Patients averse to taking therapy for an extended duration for the potential of a very small decrease in total mortality may be disinclined to use long-term aspirin therapy for primary cardiovascular preven-tion. Patients (and physicians) may be interested in the effects on cause-specifi c mortality when consid-ering aspirin prophylaxis. The individual participant

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adjusted to a 5-year time frame. 9 Because this meta-analysis does not provide data on total mortality or nonfatal major extracranial bleeds, we derived baseline risk estimates from the aspirin arm in the CHARISMA trial (total mortality) and Clopidogrel Versus Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischaemic Events (CAPRIE) trial (major extracranial bleeds). 3,29 To estimate control group risks for total mortality and major bleeds in patients not taking aspirin, we used estimates from the aspirin arm in these trials as the starting point and then applied the relative risks for total mortality and major bleeds to get to the control group risk estimate without aspirin. 3,29 We used data regarding relative effects from the clopidogrel arm of the CAPRIE study, applied to baseline risks as previ-ously mentioned, to generate control group risk esti-mates of vascular events and bleeding in patients taking clopidogrel alone. 29

3.1.1 Aspirin: Table 3 (Table S2) summarizes the quality of evidence and main fi ndings from a meta-analysis of individual participant data from 16 ran-domized trials with 17,000 patients with established vascular disease (six trials of previous MI and 10 trials of previous transient ischemic attack [TIA] or stroke). 9 In this population at high risk for a serious vascular event (8.2% yearly risk), aspirin signifi cantly reduced total mortality, nonfatal MI, and nonfatal stroke at the cost of increased nonfatal extracranial bleeding events. The number of vascular events and total deaths prevented is far greater than the number of bleeding events that result from aspirin.

The benefi cial effects of aspirin are likely to also apply to patients with stable angina pectoris without prior MI. A well-performed systematic review and meta-analysis of antiplatelet therapy for prevention of vascular events in high-risk patients found that antiplatelet agents exerted similar effects on vascular events in patients with a history of MI (12 trials) and in patients with a history of stable angina and CAD (seven trials). 30

3.1.2 Clopidogrel vs Aspirin: The CAPRIE trial is the only randomized trial directly comparing clo-pidogrel and aspirin in the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events, and we consider this trial to be the most credible source of evidence. 29 More than 19,000 patients with atherosclerotic vascular disease manifested as a recent stroke, recent MI, or symp-tomatic peripheral arterial disease received clopid-ogrel or aspirin. After a mean follow-up of 1.9 years, clopidogrel was associated with a possible reduction in nonfatal MI and nonfatal extracranial bleeding and little or no effect on total mortality. Table 4 (Table S3) summarizes the quality of evidence and main fi ndings of the CAPRIE trial with anticipated

with an increase in major bleeds. Whatever their risk status, people who are averse to taking med ication over a prolonged time period for very small benefi ts will be disinclined to use aspirin for primary prophylaxis. Individuals who value preventing an MI substantially higher than avoiding a GI bleed will be, if they are in the moderate or high cardiovascular risk group, more likely to choose aspirin.

3.0 Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

The evidence supporting the use of specifi c anti-thrombotic therapies sometimes differs between patients who have recently experienced an ACS and those with stable CAD. For purposes of these guide-lines, and based on available data, recommenda-tions for therapy following ACS will apply to the postdischarge period and extend to 1 year. There-after, patients will be considered to have established CAD. This defi nition is by necessity somewhat arbi-trary, and we acknowledge that the higher-risk period following ACS may end before 1 year.

Most studies evaluating antithrombotic therapy immediately following CABG surgery have focused on a surrogate outcome, bypass graft patency, as the primary outcome. However, in making our recommen-dations, we focus exclusively on the relevant patient-important outcomes: nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, major extracranial bleeding, and death. Although substudies of large RCTs of antiplatelet therapy in patients with either CAD or recent ACS have exam-ined clinical end points in patients with a history of remote CABG, these analyses do not suggest any sig-nifi cant differences in the associated relative benefi t or harm compared with the overall study population. 3,25-27 In addition, loss of bypass graft patency derives its patient importance from consequent MI and deaths. Additional reporting of graft patency along with MI and death would result in double counting of events and a distorted balance of benefi ts and harms.

Accordingly, our recommendations for antithrom-botic therapy in patients following elective CABG or CABG following ACS mirror those for patients with chronic CAD or recent ACS, respectively. For recommendations regarding continuation and dis-continuation of antithrombotic therapy and timing of reinitiation relative to CABG, see Douketis et al 28 in this supplement.

3.1 Choice of Long-term Antithrombotic Therapy in Patients With Established CAD

Control group risk estimates for nonfatal MI and stroke in patients not taking aspirin and in patients taking aspirin come from a meta-analysis of 16 RCTs

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e648S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

Tabl

e 3—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

1.1-

3.1.

5, 3

.2.1

] A

spir

in v

s N

o A

spir

in i

n P

atie

nts

Wit

h E

stab

lish

ed C

AD

9

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

5 y

Ris

k W

ithou

t Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y17

,000

(16

RC

Ts),

27 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to

im

prec

isio

n a R

R 0

.90

(0.8

2-0.

99)

133

per

1,00

0 b 13

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 2

4 fe

wer

to 1

few

er)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

17,0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

Hig

hR

R 0

.69

(0.6

0-0.

80)

117

per

1,00

0 b 37

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 4

7 fe

wer

to 2

3 fe

wer

)St

roke

incl

udes

non

fata

l isc

hem

ic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

okes

c 17

,000

(16

RC

Ts),

27 m

oH

igh

RR

0.8

1 (0

.71-

0.92

)13

5 pe

r 1,

000 b

26 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

39

few

er to

11

few

er)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

17,0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

indi

rect

ness

d R

R 2

.69

(1.2

5-5.

76)

15 p

er 1

,000

e 25

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 4

mor

e to

71

mor

e)

CA

D 5

coro

nary

art

ery

dise

ase;

CA

PRIE

5 C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in i

n Pa

tient

s at

Ris

k of

Isc

hem

ic E

vent

s; C

HA

RIS

MA

5 C

lopi

dogr

el f

or H

igh

Ath

erot

hrom

botic

Ris

k an

d Is

chem

ic S

tabi

lizat

ion,

M

anag

emen

t, an

d A

void

ance

; RC

T 5

rand

omiz

ed c

ontr

olle

d tr

ial.

See

Tabl

e 1

and

2 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

beca

use

the

95%

CI

sugg

ests

pos

sibl

e be

nefi t

and

no

effe

ct o

n to

tal m

orta

lity.

b Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

(w

ithou

t as

piri

n) f

or M

I an

d st

roke

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

year

ly e

vent

rat

es in

16

RC

Ts r

epor

ted

in t

he m

eta-

anal

ysis

, adj

uste

d to

a 5

-y t

ime

fram

e. T

he c

ontr

ol g

roup

rat

e es

timat

e fo

r to

tal m

orta

lity

with

out a

spir

in is

der

ived

from

the

even

t rat

e in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l, us

ing

the

RR

of 0

.90

to g

et th

e co

ntro

l gro

up r

ate

estim

ate

with

out a

spir

in.

c Of t

he s

trok

es in

the

met

a-an

alys

is, 0

.8%

with

asp

irin

wer

e in

trac

rani

al h

emor

rhag

es, a

nd 0

.4%

of s

trok

es w

ithou

t asp

irin

wer

e in

trac

rani

al h

emor

rhag

es.

d Rat

ed d

own

for

indi

rect

ness

bec

ause

ble

edin

g ev

ents

wer

e on

ly r

epor

ted

in a

sub

set o

f tri

als

with

str

oke

and

tran

sien

t isc

hem

ic a

ttac

k po

pula

tions

. e T

o es

timat

e co

ntro

l gro

up r

isks

for

maj

or b

leed

s, w

e ha

ve u

sed

maj

or b

leed

eve

nt r

ates

from

the

aspi

rin

arm

in th

e C

APR

IE tr

ial a

djus

ted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame

as th

e st

artin

g po

int (

to e

nsur

e co

nsis

tenc

y ac

ross

evi

denc

e pr

ofi le

s). W

e th

en u

sed

the

RR

of 2

.69

for

the

com

pari

son

of a

spir

in to

no

aspi

rin

obse

rved

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

to d

eriv

e th

e co

ntro

l gro

up r

ate

estim

ate

with

out a

spir

in.

Tabl

e 4—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

1.1-

3.1.

5] C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in f

or P

atie

nts

Wit

h E

stab

lish

ed C

AD

29

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

5 y

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el (9

5% C

I)

Tota

l mor

talit

y a 19

,185

(1 R

CT

), 1.

9 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.9

8 (0

.87-

1.10

)12

0 pe

r 1,

000 c

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 2 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

16

few

er to

12

mor

e)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s19

,185

(1 R

CT

), 1.

9 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.8

5 (0

.72-

1.00

)80

per

1,0

00 c

12 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

22

few

er to

0 m

ore)

Stro

ke in

clud

es n

onfa

tal i

sche

mic

an

d he

mor

rhag

ic s

trok

es d

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.94

(0.8

3-1.

06)

110

per

1,00

0 c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 7

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

9 fe

wer

to 7

mor

e)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

e 19

,185

(1 R

CT

), 1.

9 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.8

8 (0

.7-1

.12)

40 p

er 1

,000

f N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

2 fe

wer

to 5

mor

e)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

dea

ths

in C

APR

IE, 2

7 of

571

(4.7

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

23

of 5

60 (4

.1%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Rat

ed d

own

for i

mpr

ecis

ion

due

to w

ide

CIs

for a

bsol

ute

effe

cts,

sugg

estin

g po

ssib

le h

arm

with

clo

pido

grel

for m

orta

lity,

stro

ke, a

nd b

leed

ing

and

poss

ible

no

effe

ct fo

r MI.

Not

rate

d do

wn

for i

ncon

sist

ency

, al

thou

gh s

ubgr

oup

anal

ysis

of t

he c

ompo

site

end

poi

nt r

epor

ted

a re

lativ

e ri

sk r

educ

tion

of 7

.3%

for

patie

nts

with

str

oke

and

23.8

% fo

r pa

tient

s w

ith p

erip

hera

l art

eria

l dis

ease

and

a r

elat

ive

risk

incr

ease

of

3.7

% fo

r pa

tient

s w

ith M

I (t

est f

or in

tera

ctio

n P

5 .0

43).

Bas

ed o

n cr

iteri

a fo

r cr

edib

ility

, we

did

not b

elie

ve th

e re

sults

from

the

subg

roup

ana

lysi

s; th

eref

ore,

we

did

not r

ate

dow

n fo

r in

cons

iste

ncy.

c Con

trol

gro

up ri

sk e

stim

ates

for t

otal

mor

talit

y co

me

from

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l. E

stim

ates

for M

I an

d st

roke

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

even

ts in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f 16

RC

Ts

in s

econ

dary

pre

vent

ion

(Bai

gent

et a

l 9 ), a

djus

ted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame.

d Of t

he s

trok

es in

CA

PRIE

, 24

of 4

86 (4

.9%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic a

nd 1

4 of

528

(2.6

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. e O

f the

maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

s in

CA

PRIE

, 68

of 1

49 (4

5.6%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e G

I an

d 47

of 1

32 (3

5.6%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e G

I ( P

5 .0

5).

f Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts in

the

CA

PRIE

tria

l, ad

just

ed to

a 5

-y ti

me

fram

e, a

nd n

ot fr

om th

e 16

stu

dies

incl

uded

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

bec

ause

thes

e st

udie

s di

d no

t rep

ort m

ajor

ble

eds

cons

iste

ntly

.

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Tabl

e 5—

[Sec

ions

3.1

.1-3

.1.5

] A

spir

in P

lus

Clo

pido

grel

vs

Asp

irin

in

the

Seco

ndar

y P

reve

ntio

n of

Car

diov

ascu

lar

Eve

nts 3

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

5 y

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith A

spir

in 1

C

lopi

dogr

el (9

5% C

I)

Tota

l mor

talit

y a 15

,603

(1 R

CT

), 28

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.99

(0.8

6-1.

14)

120

per

1,00

0 c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 1

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

17

few

er to

17

mor

e)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s15

,603

(1 R

CT

), 28

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.94

(0.7

5-1.

18)

80 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

20

few

er to

14

mor

e)St

roke

incl

udes

non

fata

l isc

hem

ic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

okes

d 15

,603

(1 R

CT

), 28

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.81

(0.6

4-1.

02)

110

per

1,00

0 c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 2

1 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

0 fe

wer

to 2

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed e

15,6

03 (1

RC

T),

28 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

1.2

5 (0

.97-

1.61

)40

per

1,0

00 f

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 10

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

24

mor

e)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

dea

ths

in th

e C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l, 17

of 5

71 (3

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

26

of 5

74 (4

.5%

) with

clo

pido

grel

and

asp

irin

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

beca

use

of w

ide

CIs

for

abs

olut

e ef

fect

s, s

ugge

stin

g im

port

ant

bene

fi t, n

o be

nefi t

, or

impo

rtan

t ha

rm w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el f

or a

ll ou

tcom

es. N

ot r

ated

dow

n fo

r in

cons

iste

ncy,

al

thou

gh s

ubgr

oup

anal

ysis

foun

d no

sig

nifi c

ant e

ffec

t of c

lopi

dogr

el o

n va

scul

ar m

orta

lity

in p

atie

nts

with

est

ablis

hed

card

iova

scul

ar d

isea

se in

con

tras

t with

incr

ease

d m

orta

lity

in a

sym

ptom

atic

pat

ient

s.

We

judg

ed c

laim

of s

ubgr

oup

effe

ct to

be

not c

redi

ble

(hig

h nu

mbe

r of

sub

grou

p hy

poth

eses

test

ed, u

ncle

ar w

heth

er a

ppro

pria

te te

st fo

r in

tera

ctio

n us

ed).

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

for

tota

l mor

talit

y co

me

from

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l. E

stim

ates

for

MI

and

stro

ke c

ome

from

obs

erve

d ev

ents

in a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f 16

RC

Ts in

sec

onda

ry

prev

entio

n (B

aige

nt e

t al 9 )

, adj

uste

d to

a 5

-y ti

me

fram

e. d O

f the

str

okes

in C

HA

RIS

MA

, 27

of 1

89 (1

4%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

, and

26

of 1

50 (1

7%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

. e W

e ex

clud

ed fa

tal b

leed

ing

and

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

age

to a

void

the

doub

le c

ount

ing

of e

vent

s in

the

CH

AR

ISM

A tr

ial.

Prop

ortio

n of

seve

re G

I bl

eeds

in C

HA

RIS

MA

was

0.6

5% (n

ot re

port

ed se

para

tely

fo

r ea

ch tr

eatm

ent a

rm).

f Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts in

the

CA

PRIE

tria

l, ad

just

ed to

a 5

-y ti

me

fram

e, a

nd n

ot fr

om th

e 16

stu

dies

incl

uded

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

or

from

CH

AR

ISM

A

beca

use

thes

e st

udie

s di

d no

t rep

ort m

ajor

ble

eds

cons

iste

ntly

.

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e650S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

thrombosis With Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients With Recent TIA or Ischemic Stroke (MATCH) study evaluated the effi cacy and safety of clopidogrel plus aspirin compared with clopidogrel alone for 18 months in 7,599 patients with recent stroke or TIA and one other risk factor. 38 Dual antiplatelet therapy was associated with a possible reduction in nonfatal stroke and a signifi cant increase in major extracranial bleeding. Results failed to demonstrate or exclude an effect of dual antiplatelet therapy on vascular mor-tality or nonfatal MI (Table S6). We rated the overall quality of evidence from this trial as moderate given imprecision of point estimates for outcomes of MI, stroke, and total mortality. We did not rate down for indirectness because we considered the relative effects generated from this trial of patients with cere-brovascular disease to be directly applicable to patients with established CAD.

3.1.4 Moderate-Intensity Warfarin (International Normalized Ratio 2.0-3.0) Plus Aspirin vs Aspirin Alone: Prior studies evaluating low-dose warfarin (international normalized ratio [INR] , 2.0) plus aspi-rin have not shown it to be more effective than aspi-rin alone in patients with CAD. 39-41 High-intensity warfarin (INR 2.8-4.2) without aspirin has proven to be more effective than aspirin alone in two prior randomized controlled clinical trials but was associ-ated with increased bleeding risk. 42,43 As a result, low-intensity warfarin plus aspirin or high-intensity warfarin are seldom used and will not be discussed further.

Rothberg et al 44 performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of 10 randomized trials involving 5,938 patients with recent ACS who were random-ized to moderate-to-high-intensity warfarin plus low-dose aspirin vs aspirin alone. We have performed our own meta-analysis of these studies (Table S7). In brief, the meta-analysis provides evidence of a sub-stantial reduction in MI and nonfatal stroke with moderate-intensity warfarin plus aspirin at the costs of increased major extracranial bleeds.

These studies were completed in the pre-stent era, the majority started therapy immediately after ACS and had , 1-year follow-up, and we identifi ed het-erogeneity for the prevention of vascular events among patients with CAD, peripheral arterial disease, and nonembolic stroke. It is diffi cult to apply this evidence to patients with chronic CAD or ACS in the current era; therefore, we do not make recommenda-tions for warfarin in these patient populations.

3.1.5 Aspirin Doses in Established CAD: The best evidence of the effects of different aspirin doses on vascular and bleeding events comes from subgroup anal-yses in the Antithrombotic Trialists’ Collaboration 30

absolute effects in a 5-year time frame for patients with established CAD. The results indicate no effect of clopidogrel on total mortality compared with aspi-rin. These results are consistent with a meta-analysis of 10 studies examining the effects of thienopyridine derivatives (eg, clopidogrel, ticlopidine) vs aspirin in patients at high vascular risk. 31

Resource considerations— Four studies that met criteria for review examined the cost-effectiveness of clopidogrel vs aspirin for secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease (Table S4). These studies con-sidered multiple patient populations. Three studies 32-34 were based on the CAPRIE trial 29 (patients with ischemic stroke in the prior 6 months, MI in the prior 35 days, or peripheral arterial disease). The fourth study was based on patients with prior TIA or non-disabling ischemic stroke. 35 The latter study was included because patients with prior TIA or stroke are at higher risk for coronary heart disease. Coro-nary heart disease was considered as an outcome in all these studies. All these studies demonstrated that clopidogrel was cost-effective compared with aspi-rin, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios similar after adjustment for the cost year. These results are limited in that they neglect any possible incremental benefi t of aspirin over clopidogrel after . 5 years of use on cancer incidence (see section 2.1).

3.1.3 Dual Antiplatelet Therapy With Clopidogrel and Aspirin vs Single Antiplatelet Therapy: A Cochrane systematic review evaluated short- and long-term dual antiplatelet therapy in patients with established CAD. 36 Only one large-scale RCT, the CHARISMA trial, has evaluated the long-term effi cacy of clopid-ogrel and aspirin vs aspirin alone. 3 This trial followed 15,603 patients with established vascular disease or multiple risk factors for a mean period of 28 months. Table 5 (Table S5) summarizes the quality of the evi-dence and fi ndings from this trial. Results of the study failed to demonstrate or exclude an effect of dual antiplatelet therapy relative to aspirin on total mor-tality or nonfatal MI. Dual antiplatelet therapy was associated with a possible reduction in nonfatal stroke and a possible increase in nonfatal extracranial bleeding. The quality of evidence is rated moderate because of imprecise effect estimates for all outcomes. Although this study included patients with other vas-cular diseases, we considered its fi ndings directly applicable to patients with established CAD. We did not deem subgroup analyses suggesting different effects of dual antiplatelet therapy in symptomatic vs asymptomatic patients to be credible based on cri-teria by Sun et al. 37

There are no studies comparing aspirin and clo-pidogrel to clopidogrel for secondary prevention in patients with CAD. The Management of Athero-

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Tabl

e 6—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

2.1-

3.2.

5] C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in f

or P

atie

nts

Wit

h R

ecen

t A

CS 2

9

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

1 y

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

inD

iffer

ence

With

Clo

pido

grel

(95%

CI)

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y a 19

,185

(1 R

CT

), 1.

9 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.92

(0.8

0-1.

07)

60 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

2 fe

wer

to 4

mor

e)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s19

,185

(1 R

CT

), 1.

9 y

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.85

(0.7

2-1.

00)

70 p

er 1

,000

c 10

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 2

0 fe

wer

to 0

mor

e)

Stro

ke in

clud

es n

onfa

tal i

sche

mic

an

d he

mor

rhag

ic s

trok

es d

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yH

igh

RR

0.9

4 (0

.83-

1.06

)20

per

1,0

00 c

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 1 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

3 fe

wer

to 1

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed e

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yH

igh f

RR

0.8

8 (0

.7-1

.12)

30 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 3

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 9

few

er

to

3 m

ore)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

dea

ths

in C

APR

IE 2

7 of

405

(6.7

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

23

of 3

72 (6

.2%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

for

MI

beca

use

of a

wid

e C

I, in

clud

ing

impo

rtan

t ben

efi t

and

no b

enefi

t w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

for

deat

h, M

I, s

trok

e, a

nd b

leed

ing

com

e fr

om th

e C

UR

E tr

ial (

adju

sted

to 1

-y ti

me

fram

e).

d Of t

he s

trok

es in

CA

PRIE

, 24

of 4

86 (4

.9%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic, a

nd 1

4 of

528

(2.6

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. e O

f the

maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

s in

CA

PRIE

, 68

of 1

49 (4

5.6%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e G

I, a

nd 4

7 of

132

(35.

6%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

GI.

f Our

dec

isio

n no

t to

rate

dow

n fo

r im

prec

isio

n is

due

to th

e lo

w c

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k fo

r st

roke

s an

d m

ajor

ble

eds

that

res

ult i

n no

impo

rtan

t har

m o

f clo

pido

grel

(as

judg

ed b

y th

e up

per

limit

of th

e 95

% C

I fo

r th

e ab

solu

te e

ffec

t).

meta-analysis of antiplatelet therapy, which included direct and indirect comparisons of different daily doses of aspirin (500-1,500 mg vs 160-325 mg vs 75-150 mg vs , 75 mg) on vascular events. In the direct comparisons of high- vs low-dose aspirin, there were no signifi cant differences (ie, lower doses of aspirin were just as effective as higher doses). How-ever, the small number of studies with aspirin , 75 mg left uncertainty about whether such low doses are as effective as daily doses of � 75 mg. The indirect com-parisons of higher daily doses of aspirin vs no aspirin provide no evidence to support that high doses of aspirin (eg, . 160 mg/d) are more effective than 75 to 160 mg. A subsequent systematic review of aspirin doses for the prevention of cardiovascular events in 2007 identifi ed eight prospective trials that included nearly 10,000 patients taking aspirin 30 to 1,300 mg/d. 45 A signifi cant benefi t of higher doses of aspirin was not identifi ed in any of these studies, and in most, the lowest event rates were seen among patients randomized to the lower-dose group.

With respect to bleeding, a number of studies have suggested a potential relationship between increased aspirin doses and bleeding. A systematic review assess-ing bleeding rates associated with different doses of aspirin included . 190,000 patients enrolled in 31 RCTs. 46 Aspirin . 200 mg was associated with an � 30% increase in major bleeding compared with doses , 200 mg ( P 5 .05). There was an increase in nonmajor bleeding in patients receiving 100 to 200 mg of aspirin per day compared with patients taking , 100 mg/d. The Antiplatelet Trialists’ Col-laboration 30 found no difference in the proportional increase in the risk of a major extracranial bleed between differing aspirin doses ( , 75, 75-150, and 160-325 mg) compared with placebo but did not comment on doses . 325 mg. Taken together, the fi ndings provide moderate-quality evidence (rated down for risk of bias because of indirect comparisons of different aspirin doses) to support the use of aspirin 75 to 100 mg/d for patients with established CAD.

Recommendations

3.1.1-3.1.5. For patients with established CAD (including patients after the fi rst year post-ACS and/or with prior CABG surgery):

• We recommend long-term single antiplate-let therapy with aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily over no anti-platelet therapy (Grade 1A) .

• We suggest single over dual antiplatelet ther-apy with aspirin plus clopidogrel (Grade 2B) .

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e652S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

3.2 Choice of Antithrombotic Therapy Following ACS

For the purposes of these guidelines, we include patients with ST-segment elevation MI, non-ST-segment elevation MI, and unstable angina in the ACS population. This refl ects our judgment that the rela-tive effi cacy and safety of specifi c therapies in the year following presentation does not differ substan-tially between these diagnostic entities. In addition, many studies evaluating antithrombotic therapy follow-ing ACS have included patients undergoing early PCI, stent placement, or both. Therefore, we use evidence from the total study cohorts, and for the most part, our recommendations apply to patients with ACS regardless of whether they undergo PCI. One exception is prasugrel, which has been studied primarily in patients with ACS with planned PCI; recommendations for this agent are restricted to this specifi c population. Recommendations for patients undergoing elective PCI/stenting (without ACS) are presented in a subsequent section.

Estimation of Baseline Risk— There have been numerous studies of antithrombotic therapy follow-ing ACS. Depending on study population, date, and use of concomitant interventions, baseline risks vary widely. Ideally, we would identify a single population receiving different antithrombotic strategies in order to derive baseline risks. Because this is not possible, we use control group risks from Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina To Prevent Recurrent Events (CURE) for comparisons where aspirin constitutes the control group (as it did in CURE) and the Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes (PLATO) study for compar-isons where aspirin and clopidogrel constitute the control group. 47,48 We selected CURE and PLATO because they were designed as large, simple trials; use accepted defi nitions for both vascular and bleed-ing events; and include a large proportion of patients who underwent cardiac catheterization/PCI, which refl ects current practice in high-income countries.

3.2.1 Aspirin vs Placebo: Table 3 summarizes the evidence from a meta-analysis with individual par-ticipant data from 16 RCTs with 17,000 patients with established vascular disease treated with aspirin vs placebo (including six trials of patients with pre-vious MI). 9 We deem this meta-analysis directly appli-cable to patients with recent ACS.

3.2.2 Clopidogrel vs Aspirin: We again base our recommendation on evidence from the CAPRIE study, a randomized comparison of clopidogrel vs aspi-rin in the secondary prevention of cardiovascular events. 29 Table 6 (Table S8) summarizes the evi-dence from the CAPRIE trial as it applies to an ACS population.

Tabl

e 7—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

2.1-

3.2.

5] A

spir

in P

lus

Clo

pido

grel

vs

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

a R

ecen

t A

CS 4

7

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

1 y

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el 1

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y a 12

,562

(1 R

CT

), 9

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.93

(0.7

9-1.

08)

60 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 4

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

13

few

er to

5 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oH

igh

RR

0.7

7 (0

.67-

0.89

)70

per

1,0

00 c

16 fe

wer

per

100

0 (f

rom

23

few

er to

8 fe

wer

)St

roke

incl

udes

non

fata

l isc

hem

ic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

okes

d 12

,562

(1 R

CT

), 9

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.86

(0.6

3-1.

18)

20 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 3

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

7 fe

wer

to 4

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed e

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

1.3

8 (1

.13-

1.67

)30

per

1,0

00 c

11 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

4 m

ore

to 2

0 m

ore)

CU

RE

5 C

lopi

dogr

el in

Uns

tabl

e A

ngin

a to

Pre

vent

Rec

urre

nt E

vent

s. S

ee T

able

1-3

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

tota

l dea

ths

in th

e C

UR

E tr

ial,

15 o

f 390

(3.8

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

11

of 3

59 (3

.1%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

beca

use

wid

e C

Is in

clud

ed b

enefi

t an

d ha

rm.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om e

vent

rat

es in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

UR

E tr

ial (

adju

sted

to 1

-y ti

me

fram

e).

d Of t

he s

trok

es in

CU

RE

, fi v

e of

87

(5.7

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

, and

sev

en o

f 75

(9.3

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. e M

ajor

ble

ed w

as d

efi n

ed a

s a su

bsta

ntia

lly d

isab

ling

blee

d, in

trao

cula

r ble

ed le

adin

g to

the

loss

of v

isio

n, o

r ble

edin

g ne

cess

itatin

g th

e tr

ansf

usio

n of

at l

east

2 u

nits

of b

lood

. Of t

he m

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

eds

in C

UR

E, 4

7 of

169

(27.

8%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

GI,

and

83

of 2

31 (3

5.9%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e G

I.

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3.2.3 Aspirin and Clopidogrel vs Aspirin: During the past decade, the use of clopidogrel in addition to aspirin during the fi rst 9 to 12 months after an ACS has become standard clinical practice. As recognized in a Cochrane systematic review, 36 the CURE trial is the only study that has addressed the effects of clo-pidogrel in addition to aspirin in patients with ACS without ST-segment elevation. 47 Table 7 (Table S9) presents the quality of the evidence and main fi nd-ings of this trial that randomized 12,562 patients with a recent ACS to clopidogrel and aspirin or aspirin alone for 3 to 12 months, included 2,658 patients who underwent PCI following ACS, and provided moderate-quality evidence that dual antiplatelet ther-apy reduces MI and increases major bleeding events. Results failed to demonstrate or exclude an effect of dual antiplatelet therapy vs aspirin alone on vascular mortality or nonfatal stroke.

Resource Considerations— Six studies 33,49-53 exam-ined the cost-effectiveness of combined antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel plus aspirin vs aspirin alone in patients after a recent ACS. These studies are consistent in demonstrating the cost-effectiveness of combined antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel plus aspirin compared with aspirin alone after ACS. Schleinitz et al 53 examined the effect of varying treat-ment duration and found that longer treatment duration was increasingly expensive, with incremen-tal cost-effectiveness ratios (in 2010 US dollars) of $38,252/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for 2 years, $74,204/QALY for 3 years, and $883,665/QALY for 5 years of treatment. Not only does cost-effectiveness decrease after 1 year but also the estimates represent extrapolation from the available data (patients were followed for only 1 year). Furthermore, evidence from a comparison of aspirin and clopidogrel vs aspirin raise serious questions about the extrapolation. 3 Over-all, the benefi ts of combined antiplatelet therapy with clopidogrel plus aspirin come at acceptable cost for the fi rst year after ACS.

3.2.4 Ticagrelor and Aspirin vs Clopidogrel and Aspirin: Ticagrelor is an oral, reversible, direct-acting inhibitor of the adenosine diphosphate receptor P2Y12 that has more-rapid onset and more-pronounced plate-let inhibition than clopidogrel. 54,55 Table 8 (Table S10) summarizes the quality of evidence and key fi ndings from the PLATO trial that evaluated the effects of ticagrelor vs clopidogrel in patients with a recent ACS. 56 In this study, 18,624 patients were randomized to receive, in addition to aspirin 75 mg/d, ticagrelor (180-mg loading dose, 90 mg bid thereafter) or clo-pidogrel (300-to 600-mg loading dose, 75 mg there-after) for 6 to 12 months. At 12-month follow-up, ticagrelor signifi cantly reduced vascular mortality and MI. Results failed to demonstrate or exclude an

Tabl

e 8—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

2.1-

3.2.

5] T

icag

relo

r P

lus

Asp

irin

vs

Clo

pido

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in i

n P

atie

nts

Wit

h a

Rec

ent

AC

S 56

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

1 y

Ris

k W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el a

nd A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith T

icag

relo

r an

d A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y a 18

,624

(1 R

CT

), 6-

12 m

oH

igh

RR

0.7

9 (0

.69-

0.91

)50

per

1,0

00 b

10 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

15

few

er to

4 fe

wer

)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s18

,624

(1 R

CT

), 6-

12 m

oH

igh

RR

0.8

4 (0

75-0

.95)

70 p

er 1

,000

b 11

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

7 fe

wer

to 3

few

er)

Stro

ke in

clud

es n

onfa

tal i

sche

mic

an

d he

mor

rhag

ic s

trok

es c

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n d R

R 1

.17

(0.9

1-1.

52)

13 p

er 1

,000

b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 2

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

7 m

ore)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n d R

R 1

.25

(1.0

1-1.

53)

22 p

er 1

,000

b 6

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 0

mor

e to

11

mor

e)

PLAT

O 5

Pla

tele

t Inh

ibiti

on a

nd P

atie

nt O

utco

mes

. See

Tab

le 1

-3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Of t

he to

tal d

eath

s in

the

PLAT

O s

tudy

, 20

of 3

99 (5

.0%

) with

tica

grel

or w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

23

of 5

06 (4

.5%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b One

-yea

r co

ntro

l gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om e

vent

rat

es in

the

clop

idog

rel a

rm o

f PL

ATO

adj

uste

d to

a 1

-y ti

me

fram

e. c O

f the

tota

l str

okes

in P

LAT

O, 2

3 of

125

(18.

4%) w

ith ti

cagr

elor

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic, a

nd 1

3 of

106

(12.

3%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. d R

ated

dow

n fo

r im

prec

isio

n du

e to

wid

e C

Is in

clud

ing

harm

with

tica

grel

or fo

r st

roke

and

ble

eds.

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e654S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

effect on nonfatal stroke. The rate of death from any cause was also reduced with ticagrelor (4.5% vs 5.9% with clopidogrel, P , .001). However, ticagrelor was associated with a higher rate of major bleeding not related to CABG (2.8% vs 2.2%, P 5 .03). The quality of evidence from this study was deemed moderate because of imprecision in nonfatal stroke and major extracranial bleeding.

A separate publication reports results from the subset of patients who underwent PCI. 48 PCI was performed during the index hospitalization in 61% of patients, of whom 60% received intracoronary stents. The effects of ticagrelor compared with clopidogrel on vascular mortality, MI, stroke, and major bleeds appear to be similar in this subset of patients com-pared with the overall population.

Although the original study design was not intended to stratify observed outcomes by geographical region, patients enrolled in North America reportedly had a higher incidence of adverse cardiovascular outcomes (whereas net benefi t was observed in other areas), which initially delayed US approval of ticagrelor pend ing further data review. After further post hoc analysis, the only baseline covariate identifi ed as possibly contributing to geographic variation was use of higher doses of aspirin in the United States. To date, these data have not been published. The US Food and Drug Administration approved ticagre-lor for patients with ACS in July 2010 but recommend against this agent in patients taking . 100 mg of aspirin per day.

3.2.5 Prasugrel and Aspirin vs Clopidogrel and Aspirin: Prasugrel is a novel thienopyridine that achieves more-rapid and more-consistent platelet inhibition than standard-dose clopidogrel. Table 9 (Table S11) summarizes the quality of evidence and key fi ndings from the TRITON-TIMI (Trial to Assess Improvement in Therapeutic Outcomes by Opti-mizing Platelet Inhibition With Prasugrel-Thrombol-ysis in Myocardial Infarction) 38, the only published randomized trial to evaluate prasugrel vs clopidogrel in patients with recent ACS who undergo PCI. 57 In this trial, 13,608 patients with moderate- to high-risk ACS and a scheduled PCI were randomized to receive, in addition to aspirin 75 mg/d, prasugrel (60-mg load-ing dose followed by 10 mg/d) or clopidogrel (300-mg loading dose followed by 75 mg/d) for 6 to 15 months. Ninety-nine percent of patients had PCI at the time of randomization, and 94% received intracoronary stents. Prasugrel signifi cantly reduced MI but increased major bleeding, including life-threatening and fatal bleeds. Prasugrel was associated with a possible reduc-tion in vascular mortality. Results failed to demonstrate or exclude an effect on nonfatal stroke. The quality of

Tabl

e 9—

[Sec

tion

s 3.

2.1-

3.2.

5] P

rasu

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in v

s C

lopi

dogr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

a R

ecen

t A

CS

and

PC

I 57

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts

(Stu

dies

), F

ollo

w-u

pQ

ualit

y of

the

Evi

denc

e (G

RA

DE

)R

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

1 y

Ris

k W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el a

nd A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith P

rasu

grel

and

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y a 13

,608

(1 R

CT

), 14

.5 m

oL

ow d

ue to

inco

nsis

tenc

y b an

d im

prec

isio

n c R

R 0

.89

(0.7

0-1.

12)

50 p

er 1

,000

d N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

15

few

er to

6 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

in

cons

iste

ncy c

RR

0.7

6 (0

.67-

0.85

)70

per

1,0

00 d

17 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

23

few

er to

10

few

er)

Stro

ke in

clud

es n

onfa

tal i

sche

mic

an

d he

mor

rhag

ic s

trok

es e

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

Low

due

to in

cons

iste

ncy b

and

impr

ecis

ion c

RR

1.0

2 (0

.71-

1.45

)13

per

1,0

00 d

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 0 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

4 fe

wer

to 6

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed13

,608

(1 R

CT

), 14

.5 m

oL

ow d

ue to

inco

nsis

tenc

y b an

d im

prec

isio

n c R

R 1

.32

(1.0

3-1.

68)

22 p

er 1

,000

d 7

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 0

mor

e to

15

mor

e)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3, a

nd 8

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Fat

al b

leed

s w

ere

0.4%

with

pra

sugr

el a

nd 0

.1%

with

clo

pido

grel

. b R

ated

dow

n fo

r in

cons

iste

ncy

for

all o

utco

mes

due

to c

redi

ble

subg

roup

ana

lyse

s sh

owin

g ne

t har

m fo

r co

mpo

site

end

poi

nt in

cer

tain

sub

grou

ps.

c Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

due

to w

ide

CIs

sug

gest

ing

impo

rtan

t ben

efi t

or h

arm

with

pra

sugr

el.

d Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om th

e ev

ent r

ates

in th

e cl

opid

ogre

l arm

of t

he P

LAT

O s

tudy

, adj

uste

d to

a 1

-y ti

me

fram

e. e H

emor

rhag

ic s

trok

es c

onst

itute

d 0.

3% o

f all

stro

kes

in b

oth

grou

ps.

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evidence is rated down because of imprecision in vascular mortality, nonfatal stroke, and major extra-cranial bleeding.

Post hoc exploratory subgroup analyses spurred by these observations suggested that patients with a history of stroke or TIA before enrollment had net harm from prasugrel treatment, whereas elderly (aged . 75 years) patients and patients with a body weight , 60 kg had no net benefi t from prasugrel (composite outcome of all-cause mortality, MI, stroke, and non-CABG-related TIMI major bleeding) (tests for interaction P 5 .06 for both). We judged the claimed subgroup effects to be of moderate credibility. The Food and Drug Administration labeling includes a boxed warning that the drug should not be used in patients with a history of TIA or stroke or urgent need for surgery, including CABG. The manufacturer rec-ommends a decreased maintenance dose of 5 mg/d for patients weighing , 60 kg, although this particular recommendation is based on pharmacokinetic/phar-macodynamic modeling rather than on clinical data. Experts have expressed concern about the increased bleeding risks with intensifi ed platelet inhibition. 58

Recommendations

3.2.1-3.2.5. For patients in the fi rst year after an ACS who have not undergone PCI:

• We recommend dual antiplatelet therapy (ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily) over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) .

• We suggest ticagrelor 90 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin over clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin (Grade 2B) .

For patients in the fi rst year after an ACS who have undergone PCI with stent placement:

• We recommend dual antiplatelet therapy (ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin 75-100 mg daily, clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin, or prasugrel 10 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin over single antiplatelet therapy) (Grade 1B) .

Remarks: Evidence suggests that prasugrel results in no benefi t or net harm in patients with a body weight of less than 60 kg, age above 75 years, or with a pre-vious stroke/TIA.

• We suggest ticagrelor 90 mg twice daily plus low-dose aspirin over clopidogrel 75 mg daily plus low-dose aspirin (Grade 2B) .

For patients with ACS who undergo PCI with stent placement, we refer to sections 4.3.1 to

4.3.5 for recommendations concerning minimum and prolonged duration of treatment.

3.2.6 Antithrombotic Therapy in Patients With Acute Anterior MI and LV Thrombus (or at Risk for LV Thrombus): Patients with large anterior MI have a high risk of developing LV thrombus and sub sequent systemic embolization (eg, stroke, periph-eral embolization). Observational studies prior to the advent of thrombolysis and PCI suggested rates of LV thrombus formation as high as 20% to 50%. 59-62 More recent studies suggest LV thrombus rates of � 15% in patients with anterior MI 63,64 and up to 27% with anterior ST-segment elevation MI and LV ejection fraction , 40%. 65

Embolization rates in patients with anterior MI who develop LV thrombus and who are not treated with warfarin therapy are more diffi cult to estimate. In a natural history study of 198 consecutive patients with MI conducted from 1985 to 1987, 62 LV throm-bus occurred in 38 of 124 (31%) of patients with anterior MI. Deterioration in LV function, discharge ejection fraction � 35%, or apical aneurysm/dyskine-sis predicted development of LV thrombus by logistic regression analysis. Six of 35 patients (17%) with LV thrombus on predischarge echocardiogram experienced systemic embolization. Unfortunately, presence or absence of warfarin treatment was not included as a variable in regression analyses.

Vaitkus et al 66 performed a meta-analysis of 11 observational studies of the effects of anticoagulation on the incidence of LV thrombosis and systemic embolization in patients with Q-wave (transmural) anterior MI. Anticoagulation with vitamin K antago-nists decreased the risk of LV thrombus formation (adjusted OR, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.20-0.52) (four studies, 307 patients) and embolization (adjusted OR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.04-0.52) (seven studies, 270 patients). Systemic embolization was � 11% in patients with LV thrombus vs 2% in those without LV thrombus (adjusted OR, 5.45; 95% CI, 3.02-9.83).

Given these data as well as prior studies suggesting that warfarin plus aspirin is more effective in patients with established CAD than aspirin alone (Table S7), the benefi ts of adding warfarin to aspirin in patients with large anterior MI (ejection fraction , 40%, antero-apical wall motion abnormality) who are not under-going stent placement, particularly those with LV thrombus, likely outweighs the bleeding risk.

3.2.7 Anterior MI, LV Thrombus, and Stent Placement: Extrapolating these data to the current era in which most patients with a large anterior MI will undergo PCI and stent placement is diffi cult. Although aspirin and clopidogrel are superior to warfarin for the pre-vention of acute stent thrombosis, their relative effect

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e656S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

Tabl

e 10

— [S

ecti

ons

3.2.

6-3.

2.7]

Tri

ple

The

rapy

(W

arfa

rin,

Asp

irin

, Clo

pido

grel

) vs

Du

al A

ntip

late

let

The

rapy

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Acu

te L

arge

Ant

erio

r M

I at

Ris

k fo

r or

Wit

h LV

Thr

omb

us

Who

Und

ergo

PC

I W

ith

Sten

t P

lace

men

t 44

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts

(Stu

dies

), F

ollo

w-u

pQ

ualit

y of

the

Evi

denc

e (G

RA

DE

)R

elat

ive

Eff

ect (

95%

CI)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

3 m

o

Ris

k W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el a

nd A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith W

arfa

rin

1 C

lopi

dogr

el

and

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y10

,883

(10

RC

T),

3-60

mo

Low

due

to in

dire

ctne

ss a

and

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

1.0

0 (0

.82-

1.22

)25

per

1,0

00 c

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 0 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

few

er to

6 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

10,8

83 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ser

ious

in

dire

ctne

ss a

RR

0.6

9 (0

.54-

0.88

)35

per

1,0

00 c

11 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

16

few

er to

4 fe

wer

)

Stro

ke in

clud

es n

onfa

tal i

sche

mic

an

d he

mor

rhag

ic s

trok

es d

6,70

9 (1

RC

T),

1.3

yL

ow d

ue to

indi

rect

ness

d an

d im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.56

(0.3

9-0.

82)

Ant

eroa

pica

l MI

with

out L

V th

rom

bus

15 p

er 1

,000

e 7

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 9

few

er to

3 fe

wer

)A

nter

oapi

cal M

I w

ith L

V th

rom

bus

100

per

1,00

0 e 44

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 1

8 fe

wer

to 6

1 fe

wer

)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed10

,883

(10

RC

Ts),

3-60

mo

Low

due

to in

dire

ctne

ss a

RR

2.3

7 (1

.62-

3.47

)11

per

1,0

00 c

15 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

7 m

ore

to 2

7 m

ore)

Bur

den

of tr

eatm

ent f

Not

app

licab

leH

igh

War

fari

n .

aspi

rin

War

fari

n: d

aily

med

icat

ion,

die

tary

and

act

ivity

res

tric

tions

, fre

quen

t blo

od

test

ing/

mon

itori

ng, i

ncre

ased

hos

pita

l/clin

ic v

isits

Asp

irin

: dai

ly m

edic

atio

n on

ly

AC

TIV

E-W

5 A

tria

l Fib

rilla

tion

Clo

pido

grel

Tri

al W

ith I

rbes

arta

n fo

r Pr

even

tion

of V

ascu

lar

Eve

nts.

See

Tab

le 1

-3, a

nd 8

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a R

elat

ive

risk

for

war

fari

n, a

spir

in, a

nd c

lopi

dogr

el v

s du

al a

ntip

late

let t

hera

py w

as d

eriv

ed fr

om a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f stu

dies

com

pari

ng w

arfa

rin

plus

asp

irin

to a

spir

in a

lone

in p

atie

nts

follo

win

g A

CS.

b Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

for

tota

l mor

talit

y du

e to

wid

e C

Is s

ugge

stin

g im

port

ant h

arm

and

ben

efi t

with

war

fari

n pl

us a

spir

in. F

or s

trok

e, w

e ra

ted

dow

n fo

r im

prec

ise

base

line

risk

est

imat

es.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

(asp

irin

1 cl

opid

ogre

l) co

me

from

PL

ATO

tria

l, ad

just

ed to

a 3

-mo

time

fram

e as

sum

ing

that

one

-hal

f of t

he to

tal e

vent

s at

1 y

occ

urre

d in

the

fi rst

3 m

o (a

s w

as th

e ca

se in

the

PLAT

O tr

ial).

d We

assu

med

tha

t th

e re

lativ

e ri

sk f

or t

he o

utco

me

of n

onfa

tal s

trok

e (is

chem

ic a

nd h

emor

rhag

ic)

wou

ld b

e th

e sa

me

as o

bser

ved

in t

he A

CT

IVE

-W s

tudy

, whi

ch c

ompa

red

war

fari

n to

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t th

erap

y (a

spir

in 1

clop

idog

rel).

We

calc

ulat

ed th

e R

R a

nd 9

5% C

I af

ter

extr

actin

g th

e nu

mbe

r of

non

fata

l str

okes

(is

chem

ic a

nd h

emor

rhag

ic)

in e

ach

grou

p fr

om th

e pu

blis

hed

repo

rt b

ecau

se it

did

not

di

rect

ly r

epor

t RR

in th

e ar

ticle

. e C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es f

or n

onfa

tal s

trok

e is

bas

ed o

n an

� 1.

5% r

ate/

3 m

o (s

ee t

ext)

with

clo

pido

grel

and

asp

irin

fol

low

ing

ante

rior

MI

and

10%

rat

e/3

mo

in p

atie

nts

with

ant

erio

r M

I an

d LV

th

rom

bus.

The

re is

con

side

rabl

e im

prec

isio

n in

thes

e es

timat

es.

f The

re a

re s

tudi

es e

valu

atin

g qu

ality

of l

ife in

pat

ient

s du

ring

war

fari

n tr

eatm

ent (

with

dis

para

te fi

ndin

gs),

but t

hese

are

lim

ited

by s

mal

l sam

ple

size

, lac

k of

com

para

tor,

and

othe

r de

sign

issu

es.

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on the prevention of systemic embolization in patients with LV thrombus is largely unknown. Physicians must attempt to weigh the potential benefi ts and risks of adding warfarin to dual antiplatelet therapy in these patients.

Table 10 (Table S12) summarizes the evidence and anticipated absolute effects of triple therapy vs dual antiplatelet therapy in patients with large anterior MI at risk for or with LV thrombus who undergo PCI with stent placement. In the absence of direct com-parisons, we used indirect evidence to address this question. For nonstroke outcomes (death, MI, and major bleeds), we make the assumption that the rela-tive impact of triple therapy (aspirin, clopidogrel, and warfarin) vs dual therapy (aspirin plus clopidogrel) is similar to that of warfarin plus aspirin vs aspirin alone. We use data from studies included in the meta-analysis by Rothberg et al 44 that compared warfarin plus aspi-rin to aspirin alone following ACS to derive relative risk estimates for the outcomes of mortality, nonfatal MI, and major bleeding (Table S7).

We also assumed that the relative effects of triple therapy vs dual therapy on nonfatal stroke would be similar to that of warfarin alone vs aspirin plus clopidogrel. We used data from the Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial With Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events (ACTIVE-W) study to derive the rela-tive risk estimate for nonfatal stroke. 67 This assump-tion may underestimate the potential benefi t of triple therapy relative to dual antiplatelet therapy on vascu-lar outcomes.

In patients with large anterior MI but no thrombus, LV thrombus is estimated to develop in � 15%. 62,66 Given the estimated 10% associated risk of embolic stroke, there is 1.5% risk of stroke at 3 months without warfarin therapy. As shown in Table 10 (Table S12), we estimated that patients with large anterior MI but no initial thrombus who receive warfarin in addition to dual antiplatelet therapy will have seven fewer nonfatal strokes and 15 more extracranial nonfatal bleeds per 1,000 treated. For patients with large anterior MI and demonstrated LV thrombus, the addition of warfarin to antiplatelet therapy would be expected to result in 44 fewer nonfatal strokes and 15 more nonfatal extracranial bleeds. The addition of warfarin to dual antiplatelet therapy following MI may result in an absolute decrease of 11 MIs per 1,000 patients treated.

Given the increased risk of major bleeding, the duration of triple therapy, if chosen, should be mini-mized. Although the formation of LV thrombus was observed in most patients in the fi rst few weeks, addi-tional clots developed up to 3 months after anterior MI. For patients at risk for LV thrombus (but no thrombus identifi ed on initial echocardiogram) in whom warfarin therapy is withheld, repeat echocardiogram

in 1 to 2 weeks to rule out subsequent development of thrombus may be advisable.

As is discussed subsequently, we suggest that the minimal duration of dual antiplatelet therapy should be 1 month following BMS and 3 to 6 months fol-lowing DES. These time periods were considered in developing our recommendations for this section.

Recommendations

3.2.6-3.2.7. For patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection fraction , 40%, anteroapical wall mo-tion abnormality) who do not undergo stenting:

• We recommend warfarin (INR 2.0-3.0) plus low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy or dual antiplate-let therapy for the fi rst 3 months (Grade 1B) . Thereafter, we recommend discontinua-tion of warfarin and continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recommendations (see rec-ommendations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, single antiplatelet therapy is recommended as per the established CAD recommenda-tions (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus, or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection frac-tion , 40%, anteroapical wall motion abnormal-ity), who undergo BMS placement:

• We suggest triple therapy (warfarin [INR 2.0-3.0], low-dose aspirin, clopidogrel 75 mg daily) for 1 month over dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• We suggest warfarin (INR 2.0-3.0) and single antiplatelet therapy for the second and third month post-BMS over alternative regimens and alternative time frames for warfarin use (Grade 2C) . Thereafter, we recommend discontinuation of warfarin and use of dual antiplatelet therapy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recommen-dations (see recommendations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, antiplatelet therapy is recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus or at high risk for LV thrombus (ejection frac-tion , 40%, anteroapical wall motion abnormal-ity) who undergo DES placement:

• We suggest triple therapy (warfarin [INR 2.0-3.0], low-dose aspirin, clopidogrel

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75 mg daily) for 3 to 6 months over alter-native regimens and alternative durations of warfarin therapy (Grade 2C) . There-after, we recommend discontinuation of warfarin and continuation of dual anti-platelet therapy for up to 12 months as per the ACS recommendations (see recommen-dations 3.2.1-3.2.5). After 12 months, anti-platelet therapy is recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

4.0 Antithrombotic Therapy Following Elective PCI

Choice and duration of antiplatelet therapy follow-ing PCI depends on the setting (acute vs elective), whether a stent is placed, and the type of stent (DES vs BMS) placed. We have previously discussed evi-dence for antithrombotic therapy following PCI in patients with ACS. In this section, we discuss anti-thrombotic therapy following elective PCI. As in prior sections, we address the patient-important outcomes of death, nonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke (if reported), and major bleeding.

Estimation of Baseline Risk— For the comparison of thienopyridines plus aspirin vs warfarin plus aspi-rin following elective PCI, we chose vascular and bleeding risks from the warfarin plus aspirin arm of a systematic review of four RCTs. 68 For the compari-sons involving cilostazol as part of dual or triple anti-platelet therapy vs aspirin plus clopidogrel, we chose baseline risks from the clopidogrel plus aspirin arm of a systematic review of 10 RCTs examining cil-ostazol following elective PCI. 69 For the comparison of high- vs low-dose aspirin following PCI, we chose the low-dose aspirin arm of the CURRENT-OASIS 7 (Clopidogrel Optimal Loading Dose Usage To Reduce Recurrent Events/Optimal Antiplatelet Strategy for Interventions) study. 70 For duration of dual antiplate-let therapy following placement of BMS (12 months vs 1 month), we chose baseline risks from the 1-month dual antiplatelet therapy arm from a meta-analysis we performed of relevant RCTs. For duration of dual antiplatelet therapy following placement of DES ( . 1 vs , 1 year), we used the risk estimate from the , 1 year arm of the merged REAL LATE (Corre-lation of Clopidogrel Therapy Duration in Real-World Patients Treated with Drug-Eluting Stent Implanta-tion and Late Coronary Arterial Thrombotic Events) and ZEST LATE (Evaluation of the Long-Term Safety after Zotarolimus-Eluting Stent, Sirolimus-Eluting Stent, or Paclitaxel-Eluting Stent Implantation for Coronary Lesions-Late Coronary Arterial Throm-botic Events) studies. 71 These studies were merged

Tabl

e 11

— [S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3] T

hien

opyr

idin

e P

lus

Asp

irin

vs

War

fari

n P

lus

Asp

irin

in

the

Fir

st M

onth

Fol

low

ing

PC

I 68

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts

(Stu

dies

), F

ollo

w-u

pQ

ualit

y of

the

Evi

denc

e (G

RA

DE

)R

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

30 d

Ris

k W

ith W

arfa

rin

and

Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

Thi

enop

yrid

ine

and

Asp

irin

(9

5% C

I)

Tota

l mor

talit

y2,

436

(4 R

CTs

), 4-

6 w

kM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n a R

R 0

.73

(0.2

5-2.

18)

7 pe

r 1,

000 b

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 2 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 5

few

er to

8 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

ris

k of

bia

s c R

R 0

.50

(0.2

9-0.

83)

39 p

er 1

,000

b 19

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m 2

8 fe

wer

to 7

few

er)

Stro

keT

his

criti

cal o

utco

me

was

not

rep

orte

d in

the

met

a-an

alys

isM

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed d

2,43

6 (4

RC

Ts),

4-6

wk

Low

due

to in

cons

iste

ncy,

e im

prec

isio

n, a a

nd r

isk

of b

ias c

RR

0.3

8 (0

.14-

1.02

)64

per

1,0

00 b

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 40

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

55

few

er to

1 m

ore)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a W

ide

CIs

incl

udin

g be

nefi t

and

har

m (t

otal

mor

talit

y) o

r no

ben

efi t

(maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts).

b Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

. c L

ack

of b

lindi

ng in

RC

Ts.

d Ble

edin

g de

fi niti

ons

vari

ed g

reat

ly a

cros

s st

udie

s. e H

eter

ogen

eity

was

obs

erve

d fo

r m

ajor

ble

edin

g ev

ents

( I 2 5

72%

).

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while ongoing because of slow enrollment and similar study designs.

4.1.1 Antithrombotic Therapy Following Balloon Angioplasty Without Stent Placement: All patients undergoing stent procedures undergo balloon angio-plasty, but on rare occasions, balloon angioplasty is not followed by stent placement. In many respects, balloon angioplasty can be considered a controlled rupture of a coronary plaque. Short-term antithrom-botic therapy following this iatrogenic plaque rupture is necessary to prevent initiation of subsequent throm-botic events that may lead to MI. In the prestent era, patients undergoing balloon angioplasty generally were treated with aspirin alone. Extrapolation of evi-dence from patients with ACS and undergoing stent placement suggests that dual antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin plus clopidogrel may achieve additional reduction in thrombosis (see sections 3.2.3, 3.2.4, and 4.3.1).

4.1.2 Short-term Dual Antiplatelet Therapy (Thienopyridine and Aspirin) Following Elective PCI With Stenting: Stent placement following balloon angioplasty was initially limited by high rates of acute or subacute stent thrombosis (6%-24%) secondary to the thrombogenicity of metal stent struts. 72-75 Con-comitantly, a number of studies compared a new strategy, aspirin plus ticlopidine, to the previously most successful strategy of aspirin plus warfarin in patients undergoing stent placement. A Cochrane systematic review of four randomized trials including 2,436 patients found that a 30- to 42-day course of ticlopidine plus aspirin vs warfarin plus aspirin reduced the 30- to 42-day risk of nonfatal MI (RR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.30-0.83; number needed to treat, 55) and revascularization (RR, 0.29; 95% CI, 0.16-0.56; number needed to treat, 33), with a possible reduction in major bleeding (RR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.14-1.02). 68 Table 11 (Table S13) summarizes the quality of evi-dence and main fi ndings from the meta-analysis. Given the thrombocytopenia/neutropenia as well as rare cases of thrombotic thrombocytopenic pur-pura associated with ticlopidine, ticlopidine has been largely replaced by clopidogrel. In the current era of dual antiplatelet therapy, early stent thrombosis occurs rarely ( , 2%).

4.1.3 Cilostazol Plus Clopidogrel Plus Aspirin vs Clopidogrel Plus Aspirin: Cilostazol is a phos-phodiesterase III inhibitor that has antiplatelet and antithrombotic effects and reduces intimal hyper-plasia after endothelial injury, properties that have led to trials evaluating its effi cacy for the preven-tion of restenosis after PCI. A systematic review by Tamhane and colleagues 69 identifi ed 10 RCTs

Tabl

e 12

— [S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Tri

ple

The

rapy

Wit

h C

ilos

tazo

l vs

Clo

pido

grel

1 A

spir

in F

ollo

win

g E

lect

ive

PC

I W

ith

Sten

ting

69

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts

(Stu

dies

), F

ollo

w-u

pQ

ualit

y of

the

Evi

denc

e (G

RA

DE

)R

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

6-9

mo

Ris

k W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el a

nd A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith C

ilost

azol

1 C

lopi

dogr

el

and

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y2,

809

(10

RC

Ts),

6-9

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion a

RR

0.7

3 (0

.25-

2.12

)20

per

1,0

00 b

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

5 fe

wer

to 2

2 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

2,80

9 (1

0 R

CTs

), 6-

9 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n a R

R 1

.12

(0.5

7-2.

24)

50 p

er 1

,000

b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 6

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 2

1 fe

wer

to 6

2 m

ore)

Stro

ke

Thi

s cr

itica

l out

com

e w

as n

ot r

epor

ted

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

2,80

9 (1

0 R

CTs

), 6-

9 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n a R

R 0

.87

(0.4

4-1.

74)

50 p

er 1

,000

b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 6

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

28

few

er to

37

mor

e)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a C

Is in

clud

e be

nefi t

and

har

m fo

r m

orta

lity,

MI,

and

maj

or b

leed

s. b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

the

met

a-an

alys

is p

erfo

rmed

for

dual

ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

follo

win

g PC

I w

ith s

tent

pla

cem

ent (

Tam

hane

et a

l 69 ).

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e660S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

(n 5 2,809) comparing cilostazol 1 clopidogrel 1 aspirin vs clopidogrel and aspirin following stent placement. Treatment and follow-up ranged from 6 to 9 months. Table 12 (Table S14) summarizes the quality of evi-dence and main fi ndings from the meta-analysis of triple therapy with cilostazol vs dual therapy. Results failed to demonstrate or exclude an effect of cil-ostazol on reinfarction, major bleeding, and mortality between the two groups. Triple therapy showed an increased risk of skin rash (OR, 3.67; 95% CI, 1.86-7.24) (three RCTs). Sensitivity analyses did not materially affect the results, and there was no evi-dence of publication bias or statistical heterogeneity.

The recently published randomized trial Infl uence of Cilostazol-Based Triple Antiplatelet Therapy on Ischemic Complications After Drug-Eluting Stent Implantation (CILON-T) confi rms and extends these fi ndings. 76 In this open-label study, 960 patients undergoing DES implantation were randomized to either 6 months of aspirin plus clopidogrel vs aspirin, clopidogrel, and cilostazol 100 mg bid. At 6 months, there was no signifi cant difference in the prespecifi ed primary outcome (cardiac death, nonfatal MI, clini-cally driven target vessel revascularization, ischemic stroke) (9.2% vs 8.5%, P 5 .74), any of the individual components of the primary outcome, or TIMI major bleeding (0.2% vs 0.4%, P 5 .51).

4.1.4 Cilostazol as Part of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy: A systematic review by Biondi-Zoccai and colleagues 77 identifi ed 23 randomized trials (5,428 patients; median follow-up, 6 months) comparing the effects of cilostazol to a range of control therapies (includ-ing thienopyridines) on stent thrombosis, revascular-ization, major adverse cardiac events, and bleeding. Table S15 summarizes the fi ndings from the meta-analysis of 13 studies of 3,437 patients comparing cilostazol 1 aspirin vs thienopyridine 1 aspirin. We rate the quality of evidence as very low because of risk of bias, indirectness (lacking reporting of death, MI, and stroke), publication bias, and imprecision. Cilostazol was not associated with signifi cant improve-ment in clinical outcomes but was associated with a reduction in repeat revascularization and binary angiographic restenosis. Again, we consider the latter outcomes to be of little relevance to patients.

4.2 Aspirin Dose Following PCI With Stent Placement

We do not address loading doses of aspirin or clo-pidogrel prior to PCI in this section, but we do review evidence for aspirin therapy dosing following PCI. There has been only one RCT comparing higher- vs lower-dose aspirin post-PCI. The Clopidogrel Optimal Loading Dose Usage to Reduce Recurrent

Tabl

e 13

— [S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Hig

h-D

ose

Asp

irin

vs

Low

-Dos

e A

spir

in f

or 3

0 D

ays

Pos

t P

CI 7

8

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (s

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I) a

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

30 d

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

in 7

5-10

0 m

gR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith A

spir

in 3

00-3

25 m

g (9

5% C

I)

Tota

l mor

talit

y b 17

,236

(1 R

CT

), 30

dM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n c R

R 0

.87

(0.7

4-1.

03)

25 p

er 1

,000

d N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 3

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

7 fe

wer

to 1

mor

e)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s17

,236

(1 R

CT

), 30

dM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n c R

R 0

.97

(0.8

2-1.

16)

21 p

er 1

,000

d N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 1

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

4 fe

wer

to 3

mor

e)St

roke

e 17

,236

(1 R

CT

), 30

dM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n c R

R 1

.19

(0.8

4-1.

68)

5 pe

r 1,

000 d

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 1 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

1 fe

wer

to 3

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed f

17,2

36 (1

RC

T),

30 d

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion c

RR

1.0

9 (0

.89-

1.34

)14

per

1,0

00 d

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 1 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

2 fe

wer

to 5

mor

e)

CU

RR

EN

T-O

ASI

S 7

5 C

lopi

dogr

el O

ptim

al L

oadi

ng D

ose

Usa

ge to

Red

uce

Rec

urre

nt E

vent

s/O

ptim

al A

ntip

late

let S

trat

egy

for

Inte

rven

tion

s; T

IMI 5

Tho

mbo

lysi

s in

Myo

card

ial I

nfar

ctio

n. S

ee

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Stu

dy r

epor

ts h

azar

d ra

tios.

We

have

con

vert

ed to

rel

ativ

e ri

sks

(RR

) for

con

sist

ency

. b O

f the

tota

l dea

ths

in th

e C

UR

RE

NT-

OA

SIS

7 st

udy,

nin

e of

314

(2.9

%) w

ith lo

w-d

ose

aspi

rin

and

10 o

f 273

(2.7

%) w

ith h

ighe

r-do

se a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

. c W

ide

CIs

sug

gest

ben

efi t

and

harm

with

hig

h-do

se a

spir

in.

d Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om e

vent

rat

es in

pat

ient

s al

loca

ted

to lo

w-d

ose

aspi

rin

unde

rgoi

ng P

CI

in C

UR

RE

NT-

OA

SIS

7. e I

t is

uncl

ear

from

the

artic

le w

heth

er h

emor

rhag

ic a

nd fa

tal s

trok

es w

ere

incl

uded

in to

tal s

trok

es.

f TIM

I cr

iteri

a us

ed. I

t is

uncl

ear

from

the

artic

le w

heth

er h

emor

rhag

ic a

nd fa

tal b

leed

ing

wer

e in

clud

ed in

tota

l maj

or b

leed

ing.

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Events/Optimal Antiplatelet Strategy for Interventions (CURRENT OASIS-7) trial randomized 25,086 patients with ACS referred for PCI in a two-by-two fashion to (1) clopidogrel 600 mg load followed by 150 mg for 6 days vs clopidogrel 300 mg load followed by 75 mg for 6 days and (2) aspirin 325 mg load followed by 300 to 325 mg/d for 29 days vs 75 mg/d for 29 days. 70 The investigators published a separate article reporting on the prespecifi ed analysis of a sub-set of 17,263 patients who actually underwent PCI. 78 Table 13 (Table S16) summarizes the relevant evi-dence, data, and quality of evidence for aspirin from this analysis.

The American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guidelines 79 recommend aspirin 162 to 325 mg for 1 month following PCI with BMS, 3 months for sirolimus stent, and 6 months for pac-litaxel stent (to be followed by aspirin 75-162 mg thereafter). This recommendation is based on aspirin doses used in prior clinical studies evaluating stent type or adjunctive therapy with stent placement. In contrast, the European Society of Cardiology recom-mends low-dose aspirin following PCI. 80 In a post hoc analysis of data from PCI-CURE, patients were stratifi ed into three groups based on aspirin dose ( � 200, 101-199, and � 100 mg). 81 All three groups had similar rates of the composite end point of cardio-vascular death, MI, or stroke at long-term follow-up (8.6%, 7.4%, 7.1%, respectively). Major bleeding was signifi cantly increased with high-dose aspirin com-pared with medium- or low-dose aspirin (3.9%, 1.5%, 1.9%, respectively).

4.3 Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following PCI With Placement of BMS or DES

4.3.1.,4.3.3 Minimum Duration of Dual Antiplate-let Therapy Following Stent Placement: Antithrom-botic therapy following PCI with stent placement is necessary to prevent thrombosis due to exposure of blood to metal stent struts. This risk is decreased after healing of the lesion and endothelialization of the bare metal struts (in � 4-6 weeks). 82,83

In the past decade, there has been an increased use of DES. These have been shown to decrease the rate of angiographic restenosis and need for repeat revascularization, although the effect relative to BMS on more important outcomes remains less cer-tain. 84 The antiinfl ammatory/antiproliferative effects of drug-coated stents result in delayed healing char-acterized by poor endothelialization that increases the duration of stent thrombogenicity. As a result, extended dual antiplatelet therapy has been used: a minimum of 3 months for -limus stents and 6 months for -taxel stents. Initial comparative studies (DES vs BMS; sirolimus vs paclitaxel) used these or longer

Tabl

e 14

— [S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Six

to

Twel

ve M

onth

s vs

One

Mon

th o

f C

lopi

dogr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

Fol

low

ing

PC

I W

ith

Pla

cem

ent

of B

MS 8

9-92

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

6-9

mo

Ris

k W

ith 1

mo

Clo

pido

grel

1 A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith 6

-12

mo

Clo

pido

grel

1 A

spir

in

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y a 3,

390

(3 R

CT

), 6-

12 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ris

k of

bia

s b and

im

prec

isio

n c R

R 0

.73

(0.4

8-1.

13)

28 p

er 1

,000

d N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 8

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

15

few

er to

4 m

ore)

MI

nonf

atal

eve

nts

4,85

2 (3

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

ris

k of

bia

s a R

R 0

.66

(0.5

0-86

)28

per

1,0

00 d

9 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

14

few

er to

4 fe

wer

)St

roke

d 2,

194

(2 R

CTs

), 6-

12 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ris

k of

bia

s a and

im

prec

isio

n c R

R 0

.46

(0.1

6-1.

32)

10 p

er 1

,000

d N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

8 fe

wer

to 3

mor

e)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed e

5,05

2 (3

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias a a

nd

impr

ecis

ion c

RR

1.1

7 (0

.86-

1.60

)50

per

1,0

00 d

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 8 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

7 fe

wer

to 3

0 m

ore)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a F

atal

ble

edin

g ev

ents

not

rep

orte

d. b B

erna

rdi e

t al 92

and

Pek

dem

ir e

t al 90

wer

e no

t blin

ded,

and

ther

e w

as n

o pl

aceb

o co

ntro

l; B

erna

rdi e

t al s

topp

ed e

arly

for

bene

fi t. T

he A

kbul

ut e

t al 93

des

ign

was

unc

lear

(no

men

tion

of r

ando

miz

atio

n, b

ut

the

Hea

lth T

echn

olog

y A

sses

smen

t rep

ort r

efer

red

to it

as

rand

omiz

ed).

Meh

ta e

t al 89

had

var

iabl

e fo

llow

-up.

c CIs

incl

ude

impo

rtan

t ben

efi t

and

harm

. d C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es d

eriv

ed fr

om r

ates

in s

ubje

cts

trea

ted

with

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

for

1 m

o in

incl

uded

tria

ls.

e Maj

or b

leed

ing

not s

trat

ifi ed

by

type

of b

leed

; unc

lear

whe

ther

maj

or b

leed

ing

incl

uded

any

fata

litie

s.

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e662S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

durations of dual antiplatelet therapy. 85 Discontinua-tion of clopidogrel therapy before this minimum dura-tion has been associated with stent thrombosis and clinically adverse outcomes. 86-88 In a prospective obser-vational study of 2,229 consecutive patients under-going DES implantation, 1.3% of patients had stent thrombosis at 9 months; case fatality was 45% (13/29) in these patients. 86 Premature clopidogrel therapy discontinuation ( , 3 months sirolimus, , 6 months paclitaxel) was the strongest predictor of stent throm-bosis (hazard ratio, 89.8; 95% CI, 29.9-269.6). There are no RCTs evaluating shorter duration of dual anti-platelet therapy for these different stent subtypes.

4.3.2 Extended Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following Elective PCI and BMS Placement: As described previously, the risk of BMS thrombosis is decreased after 1 month of dual antiplatelet ther-apy. Potential benefi t of extended dual antiplatelet therapy beyond 1 month might result from a decrease in later stent thrombosis events or a decrease in coro-nary vascular events occurring at other plaque sites. Table 14 (Table S17) summarizes the quality of evi-dence and main fi ndings from our systematic review and meta-analysis of RCTs identifi ed by a systematic literature search (updated January 2010) compar-ing 1 month of dual antiplatelet therapy vs 6 to 12 months in patients undergoing PCI with place-ment of BMS. 89-93 The quality of evidence is rated as low because of risk of bias, indirectness (populations varied from PCI in ACS [PCI-CURE] to elective PCI in stable angina), and large imprecision in effect esti-mates for all outcomes. The results suggest that dual antiplatelet therapy for 6 to 12 months signifi cantly reduces MI (RR, 0.66) but does not confi rm or exclude a signifi cant effect on mortality, stroke, or major bleeds.

4.3.4 Extended Duration of Dual Antiplatelet Therapy Following Elective PCI and DES Placement:

Dual Antiplatelet Therapy for Up to One Year— No randomized trials have evaluated the effi cacy and safety of dual antiplatelet therapy in patients undergoing DES for up to 1 year (compared with the minimum of 3-6 months). A number of observa-tional studies have suggested that patients with DES are at increased risk of late-stent thrombosis and poor outcomes after discontinuation of dual antiplate-let therapy at 6 months. A consecutive series of 746 unselected patients enrolled in the Basel Stent Kosteneffektivitäts Trial (BASKET) study (a ran-domized trial of DES vs BMS) received aspirin and clopidogrel for 6 months and were followed for another 1 year. 94 The incidence of cardiac death and MI after discontinuation of clopidogrel was higher in patients undergoing DES than those undergoing BMS (4.9% vs 1.3%).

Tabl

e 15

— [S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Ext

ende

d D

ura

tion

of

Clo

pido

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in F

ollo

win

g P

CI

Wit

h P

lace

men

t of

DE

S 71

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

19 m

o

Ris

k W

ith 1

2 m

o C

lopi

dogr

el 1

Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

19

mo

Clo

pido

grel

1 A

spir

in

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y2,

701

(2 R

CTs

), 19

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion a

RR

1.6

5 (0

.80-

3.36

)6

per

1,00

0 b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 4

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

14

mor

e)M

I no

nfat

al e

vent

s2,

701

(2 R

CTs

), 19

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion a

RR

0.6

6 (0

.16-

1.32

)3

per

1,00

0 b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 2

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

13

mor

e)St

roke

2,70

1 (2

RC

Ts),

19 m

oM

oder

ate

due

to im

prec

isio

n a R

R 0

.46

(0.1

6-1.

32)

2 pe

r 1,

000 b

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 3 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

1 fe

wer

to 1

6 m

ore)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

c 2,

701

(2 R

CTs

), 19

mo

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion a

RR

1.1

7 (0

.86-

1.60

)1

per

1,00

0 b N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 2

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

19

mor

e)

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a R

ated

dow

n fo

r im

prec

isio

n du

e to

wid

e C

I fo

r ab

solu

te e

ffec

ts, i

nclu

ding

sub

stan

tial h

arm

with

ext

ende

d du

ratio

n of

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t th

erap

y. W

e di

d no

t ra

te d

own

for

risk

of

bias

, alth

ough

it w

as a

n op

en-la

bel s

tudy

bec

ause

end

poi

nts

wer

e ad

judi

cate

d by

blin

ded

asse

ssor

s. b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

sub

ject

s re

ceiv

ing

dual

ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

for

1 y

in th

e m

erge

d tr

ials

. c M

ajor

ble

edin

g de

fi ned

by

TIM

I (T

hrom

boly

sis

in M

yoca

rdia

l Inf

arct

ion)

cri

teri

a; n

o in

form

atio

n w

as p

rovi

ded

on th

e ty

pe o

f maj

or b

leed

ing

even

t in

eith

er g

roup

. No

fata

l ble

edin

g w

as r

epor

ted.

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clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single anti-platelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• After 12 months, we recommend single anti-platelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) .

For patients who have undergone elective PCI with placement of DES:

• For the fi rst 3 to 6 months, we recommend dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1A) .

Remarks: Absolute minimum duration will vary based on stent type (in general 3 months for -limus stents and 6 months for -taxel stents).

• After 3 to 6 months, we suggest continua-tion of dual antiplatelet therapy with low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg and clopidogrel (75 mg daily) until 12 months over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C) .

• After 12 months, we recommend single antiplatelet therapy over continuation of dual antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1B) . Sin-gle antiplatelet therapy thereafter is rec-ommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

For patients who have undergone elective BMS or DES stent placement:

• We recommend use of low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily alone rather than cilostazol in addi-tion to these drugs (Grade 1B).

• We suggest aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily as part of dual antiplatelet therapy rather than the use of either drug with cilostazol (Grade 1B).

• We suggest cilostazol 100 mg twice daily as substitute for either low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily or clopidogrel 75 mg daily as part of a dual antiplatelet reg-imen in patients with an allergy or intol-erance of either drug class (Grade 2C).

For patients with CAD undergoing elective PCI but no stent placement:

• We suggest for the fi rst month, dual anti-platelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 2C). Single antiplatelet therapy thereafter is

In another observational study, 4,666 consecutive patients undergoing PCI with either BMS (n 5 3,165) or DES (n 5 1,501) were followed up at 6, 12, and 24 months. 95 In patients with DES who were event free at 6 months, clopidogrel use at 6 months was asso-ciated with lower rates of adjusted death (2% vs 5.3% without, P 5 .03) and death and MI (3.1% vs 7.2%, P 5 .02) at 24 months. There was a trend for decreased rates of nonfatal MI (2.6% vs 1.3%, P 5 .24). Bleeding outcomes were not reported in either study. Based on these and other observational studies, it has become standard practice to treat patients with DES with dual antiplatelet therapy for 12 months.

4.3.5 Dual Antiplatelet Therapy for More Than One Year: Table 15 (Table S18) summarizes the quality of evidence and main fi ndings from two merged RCTs (REAL LATE and ZEST LATE), examining the effects of prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy (clopidogrel 75 mg 1 aspirin 100-200 mg/d for a median of 19 months) vs 12 months in patients who had undergone implantation of DES. 71 These studies were merged by their respective executive committees because of slower-than-expected enroll-ment and similar study designs. The indication for the initial PCI with DES placement was stable angina (37%), unstable angina (41%), or ACS (21%, equally distributed between non-ST-elevation ACS and ST-elevation ACS ). Sirolimus-eluting stents were most commonly used (57%) followed by paclitaxel- (24%) and zotarolimus-eluting stents (19%).

As shown in Table 15 (Table S18), these data did not confi rm or exclude benefi t of an extended dura-tion of dual antiplatelet therapy vs 12 months of dual antiplatelet therapy for any of the outcomes. The very-low baseline risk for all outcomes results in only moderately imprecise absolute effects, although the relative risk estimates are considerably more impre-cise. The results suggest a trend favoring short-term over prolonged dual antiplatelet therapy for all out-comes. In summary, the available evidence suggests no benefi t and possible harm of continuing dual anti-platelet therapy beyond 12 months.

Recommendations

4.1.1-4.3.5. For patients who have undergone elective PCI with placement of BMS:

• For the fi rst month, we recommend dual antiplatelet therapy with aspirin 75 to 325 mg daily and clopidogrel 75 mg daily over single antiplatelet therapy (Grade 1A) .

• For the subsequent 11 months, we suggest dual antiplatelet therapy with combination of low-dose aspirin 75 to 100 mg daily and

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e664S Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

recommended as per the established CAD recommendations (see recommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

5.0 Antithrombotic Therapy in Patients With Systolic LV Dysfunction

Approximately 70% of patients with systolic LV dys-function and heart failure have ischemic heart disease. The remaining 30% of patients with systolic heart failure are considered to have a nonischemic etiology (eg, hypertensive heart disease, valvular heart disease, idiopathic). Because the majority of these latter patients are free of concomitant CAD, risk for MI is lower than that of patients with ischemic systolic LV dysfunction.

Assessment of Baseline Risk

For the comparison of warfarin vs aspirin in patients with systolic LV dysfunction (ischemic and nonisch-emic), we used risks from the aspirin-only arm of a meta-analysis we performed of three RCTs pertinent to this question.

A prior Cochrane systematic review had identifi ed only one pilot RCT. 96 We performed an updated systematic literature search and performed a meta-analysis based on four randomized trials evaluating antithrombotic therapy in patients with symptomatic heart failure and ejection fraction , 35%. 97-100 In brief, results could not demonstrate or exclude a signifi cant difference for patient-important outcomes between patients receiving warfarin or aspirin compared with those receiving no antithrombotic therapy. Table 16 presents evidence from our meta-analysis of data from the three studies comparing warfarin to aspirin (Table S19). 97-99 Warfarin was associated with a sig-nifi cant decrease in strokes. The data do not confi rm or exclude a benefi t of warfarin vs aspirin for the other end points. Quality of this evidence is low because of imprecision and risk of bias. Approximately 75% of patients were designated as having systolic LV dys-function of an ischemic etiology. Unfortunately, there were insuffi cient data for us to examine possible differences in antithrombotic effi cacy and safety in patients classifi ed by type of heart failure (ischemic vs nonischemic).

Finally, there will be patients who develop acute dilated cardiomyopathy from noncardiac causes (eg, acute viral myocarditis, Takotsubo cardiomyopathy) who may develop acute LV thrombosis. We found no studies comparing anticoagulation strategies in such patients. Based on indirect evidence from studies of patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus (see sec-tion 3.6), we assume that systemic embolization rates from acute LV thrombus in patients with nonisch-emic cardiomyopathy are similarly high ( � 10%).

Tabl

e 16

— [R

ecom

men

dati

ons

5.1-

5.3]

War

fari

n vs

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Syst

olic

LV

Dys

func

tion

(Is

chem

ic a

nd N

onis

chem

ic) 9

7-99

Out

com

esPa

rtic

ipan

ts (S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Qua

lity

of th

e E

vide

nce

(GR

AD

E)

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (95

% C

I)

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts O

ver

5 y

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

inR

isk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith W

arfa

rin

(95%

CI)

Tota

l mor

talit

y1,

358

(3 R

CT

), 23

-27

mo

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias a a

nd im

prec

isio

n b R

R 0

.95

(0.7

6-1.

19)

193

per

1,00

0 c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 1

0 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

6 fe

wer

to 3

6 m

ore)

MI d

1,35

8 (3

RC

T),

23-2

7 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ris

k of

bia

s a and

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.9

9 (0

.35-

2.84

)33

per

1,0

00 c

No

sign

ifi ca

nt d

iffer

ence

; 0 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

1 fe

wer

to 6

0 m

ore)

Stro

ke e

1,35

8 (3

RC

T),

23-2

7 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ris

k of

bia

s a and

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

0.3

4 (0

.13-

0.97

)24

per

1,0

00 c

16 fe

wer

per

100

0 (f

rom

21

few

er to

1 fe

wer

)M

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

ed f

1,35

8 (3

RC

T),

23-2

7 m

oL

ow d

ue to

ris

k of

bia

s a and

impr

ecis

ion b

RR

1.9

7 (0

.89-

4.3)

30 p

er 1

,000

c N

o si

gnifi

cant

diff

eren

ce; 2

9 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

3 fe

wer

to 9

9 m

ore)

Bur

den

of tr

eatm

ent

Not

app

licab

leH

igh

War

fari

n .

Asp

irin

War

fari

n: d

aily

med

icat

ion,

die

tary

and

act

ivity

res

tric

tions

, fre

quen

t bl

ood

test

ing/

mon

itori

ng, i

ncre

ased

hos

pita

l/clin

ic v

isits

Asp

irin

: dai

ly m

edic

atio

n on

ly

See

Tabl

e 1-

3 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a T

wo

of th

ree

tria

ls w

ere

stop

ped

earl

y (o

ne fo

r be

nefi t

, one

for

slow

enr

ollm

ent)

; pro

blem

s w

ith b

lindi

ng.

b Wid

e C

Is in

clud

e be

nefi t

and

har

m.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

der

ived

from

eve

nt r

ates

from

asp

irin

arm

of t

he p

oole

d st

udie

s. d F

atal

and

non

fata

l MIs

not

rep

orte

d se

para

tely

in a

ll st

udie

s. e F

atal

and

non

fata

l str

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Recommendations

5.1-5.3. For patients with systolic LV dysfunc-tion without established CAD and no LV throm-bus, we suggest not to use antiplatelet therapy or warfarin (Grade 2C) .

Remarks : Patients who place a high value on an uncertain reduction in stroke and a low value on avoiding an increased risk of GI bleeding are likely to choose to use warfarin.

For patients with systolic LV dysfunction with-out established CAD with identifi ed acute LV thrombus (eg, Takotsubo cardiomyopathy), we suggest moderate-intensity warfarin (INR 2.0-3.0) for at least 3 months (Grade 2C) .

For patients with systolic LV dysfunction and established CAD, recommendations are as per the established CAD recommendations (see rec-ommendations 3.1.1-3.1.5).

Acknowledgments Author contributions: As Topic Editor, Dr Vandvik oversaw the development of this article, including the data analysis and subse-quent development of the recommendations contained herein. Dr Vandvik: served as Topic Editor. Dr Lincoff: served as a panelist. Dr Gore: served as a panelist. Dr Gutterman: served as a panelist. Dr Sonnenberg: served as a resource consultant. Dr Alonso-Coello: served as a panelist. Dr Akl: served as a panelist. Dr Lansberg: served as a panelist. Dr Guyatt: served as a panelist. Dr Spencer: served as Deputy Editor. Financial/nonfi nancial disclosures: The authors of this guide-line provided detailed confl ict of interest information related to each individual recommendation made in this article. A grid of these disclosures is available online at http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/141/2_suppl/e637S/suppl/DC1. In summary, the authors have reported to CHEST the following confl icts of interest: Dr Lincoff is Director of the Cleveland Clinic Coordinating Cen-ter for Clinical Research (C5Research), which has research grants from Anthera Pharmaceuticals, Inc; AstraZeneca; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Eli Lilly and Company; Kai Pharmaceuticals, Inc; Pfi zer, Inc; Hoffmann La-Roche Inc; Novartis AG; Sanofi -Aventis LLC; Merck/Schering-Plough; Scios, Inc; Takeda Pharmaceutical Com-pany Limited, and Johnson & Johnson. He has received honoraria for consultations or advisory board activities from AstraZeneca; Avanir Pharmaceuticals; Baxter; Bristol-Myers Squibb; Ikaria, Inc; Hoffmann La-Roche Inc; and Merck/Schering-Plough. Dr Gutterman has had the following relationships that are entirely unrelated to the AT9 guidelines: ACCP President, GlaxoSmithKline plc grant to study vasodilation in adipose tissue, National Insti-tutes of Health grant to study human coronary dilation, and GE Healthcare consultation on a study for ECG evaluation of chronic heart disease. Dr Guyatt is co-chair of the GRADE Working Group. Drs Vandvik, Alonso-Coello, and Akl are members of and prominent contributors to the GRADE Working Group. Drs Gore, Sonnenberg, Lansberg, and Spencer have reported that no poten-tial confl icts of interest exist with any companies/organizations whose products or services may be discussed in this article . Role of sponsors: The sponsors played no role in the develop-ment of these guidelines. Sponsoring organizations cannot recom-

mend panelists or topics, nor are they allowed prepublication access to the manuscripts and recommendations. Guideline panel members, including the chair, and members of the Health & Sci-ence Policy Committee are blinded to the funding sources. Fur-ther details on the Confl ict of Interest Policy are available online at http://chestnet.org. Other contributions: We thank Louis Kuritzky, MD, for pro-viding his frontline primary-care clinician perspective on the content of this article, John You, MD, for methodologic contri-butions (triple therapy in patients with acute LV thrombus), and Colin Baigent, MD, for sharing his methodologic expertise on primary prevention of cardiovascular disease with aspirin. Endorsements: This guideline is endorsed by the American Associ-ation for Clinical Chemistry, the American College of Clinical Pharmacy, the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists, the American Society of Hematology, and the International Society of Thrombosis and Hematosis. Additional information: The supplement Tables can be found in the Online Supplement at http://chestjournal.chestpubs.org/content/141/2_suppl/e637S/suppl/DC1.

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86 . Iakovou I , Schmidt T , Bonizzoni E , et al . Incidence, predictors, and outcome of thrombosis after successful implantation of drug-eluting stents . JAMA . 2005 ; 293 ( 17 ): 2126 - 2130 .

87 . Spertus JA , Kettelkamp R , Vance C , et al . Prevalence, pre-dictors, and outcomes of premature discontinuation of thienopyridine therapy after drug-eluting stent placement: results from the PREMIER registry . Circulation . 2006 ; 113 ( 24 ): 2803 - 2809 .

88 . Jeremias A , Sylvia B , Bridges J , et al . Stent thrombosis after successful sirolimus-eluting stent implantation . Circulation . 2004 ; 109 ( 16 ): 1930 - 1932 .

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1 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

CHEST Online Data Supplement

Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease

Antithrombotic Therapy and Prevention of Thrombosis, 9th ed: American College of Chest Physicians Evidence-Based Clinical Practice Guidelines

Per Olav Vandvik , MD, PhD ; A. Michael Lincoff , MD ; Joel M. Gore , MD ; David D. Gutterman , MD, FCCP ; Frank A. Sonnenberg , MD ; Pablo Alonso-Coello , MD ; Elie A. Akl , MD, PhD, MPH ; Maarten G. Lansberg , MD, PhD ; Gordon Guyatt , MD, FCCP ; and Frederick A. Spencer , MD

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2 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

—[S

ecti

on 2

.1]

Asp

irin

(75

-100

mg)

Com

pare

d W

ith

No

Asp

irin

in

the

Pri

mar

y P

reve

ntio

n of

Car

diov

ascu

lar

Dis

ease

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

0 y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

With

out

Asp

irin

With

Asp

irin

(9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Ove

rall

mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng c

ance

r m

orta

lity,

vas

cula

r m

orta

lity,

and

fata

l ble

eds a

100,

076

(9),

3.8-

10 y

No

seri

ous

risk

of b

ias b

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es n

o be

nefi t

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

4 (0

.88-

1.00

)60

-y-o

ld m

an c

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n 10

0 de

aths

pe

r 1,

000

6 fe

wer

de

aths

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

2 fe

wer

to

0 fe

wer

)

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

95,0

00 (6

), 3.

8-10

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

No

seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.7

7 (0

.69-

0.86

)L

ow-r

isk

popu

latio

n e H

igh

27

MI

per

1,00

0 d 6

few

er

MI

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

8 fe

wer

to

4 fe

wer

)

M

oder

ate-

risk

pop

ulat

ion e

83

MI

per

1,00

0 d 19

few

er

MI

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

26

few

er

to 1

2 fe

wer

)

H

igh-

risk

pop

ulat

ion e

13

6 M

I pe

r 1,

000 d

31 fe

wer

M

I pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 4

2 fe

wer

to

19

few

er)

(Con

tinu

ed)

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3 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

0 y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

With

out

Asp

irin

With

Asp

irin

(9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

, hem

orrh

agic

, and

unk

now

n ca

use f

95,0

00 (6

), 3.

8-10

y

No

seri

ous

risk

of b

ias b

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssN

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

nU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.95

(0.8

5-1.

06)

Low

-ris

k po

pula

tion e

Hig

h

23

str

okes

pe

r 1,

000 d

1 fe

wer

str

oke

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

3

few

er to

1 m

ore)

M

oder

ate-

risk

pop

ulat

ion e

65 s

trok

es

per

1,00

0 d 3

few

er

stro

kes

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

10

few

er

to 4

mor

e)

H

igh-

risk

pop

ulat

ion e

10

8 st

roke

s pe

r 1,

000 d

5 fe

wer

st

roke

s pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

6 fe

wer

to

6 m

ore)

Tabl

e S1

—C

onti

nued

(Con

tinu

ed)

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4 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

0 y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

With

out

Asp

irin

With

Asp

irin

(9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

, mai

nly

GI

and

usua

lly d

efi n

ed a

s bl

eed

requ

irin

g tr

ansf

usio

n or

res

ultin

g in

dea

th e

95,0

00 (6

), 3.

8-10

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

No

seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.5

4 (1

.30-

1.82

)L

ow-r

isk

popu

latio

n g H

igh

8

blee

ds

per

1,00

0 d 4

mor

e bl

eeds

pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 2

m

ore

to 7

mor

e)

M

oder

ate-

risk

pop

ulat

ion g

24

ble

eds

per

1,00

0 d 16

mor

e bl

eeds

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 7

mor

e to

20

mor

e)

H

igh-

risk

pop

ulat

ion g

40

ble

eds

per

1,00

0 d 22

mor

e bl

eeds

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

2 m

ore

to 3

3 m

ore)

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Bai

gent

C, B

lack

wel

l L, C

ollin

s R

, et a

l; A

ntith

rom

botic

Tri

alis

ts’ C

olla

bora

tion.

Asp

irin

in th

e pr

imar

y an

d se

cond

ary

prev

entio

n of

vas

cula

r di

seas

e: c

olla

bora

tive

met

a-an

alys

is o

f ind

ivid

ual

part

icip

ant d

ata

from

ran

dom

ized

tria

ls. L

ance

t . 20

09;3

73(9

678)

:184

9-18

60. R

aju

N e

t al.

Eff

ect o

f asp

irin

on

card

iova

scul

ar a

nd a

ll-ca

use

mor

talit

y in

pri

mar

y pr

even

tion

of c

ardi

ovas

cula

r di

seas

e: a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f ran

dom

ized

con

trol

led

tria

ls. A

m J

Med

. 201

1;24

(7):6

21-6

29. a M

I 5 m

yoca

rdia

l inf

arct

ion;

RR

5 ri

sk r

atio

. a T

his

syst

emat

ic r

evie

w r

epor

ts to

tal m

orta

lity

and

incl

udes

the

mos

t rec

ent t

rial

s bu

t doe

s no

t rep

ort s

peci

fi c c

ause

s of

mor

talit

y. O

ther

met

a-an

alys

es th

at u

se in

divi

dual

pat

ient

dat

a re

port

rel

ativ

e ri

sk

estim

ates

for v

ascu

lar m

orta

lity

(RR

, 0.9

7; 9

5% C

I, 0

.87-

1.09

), ca

ncer

mor

talit

y (R

R, 0

.66;

95%

CI,

0.5

0-0.

87),

and

fata

l int

racr

ania

l ble

eds (

RR

, 1.7

3; 9

5% C

I, 0

.96-

3.13

). T

he ri

sk o

f a fa

tal b

leed

(inc

ludi

ng

extr

acra

nial

and

intr

acra

nial

) was

low

(0.3

% w

ith a

spir

in a

nd 0

.2%

with

con

trol

). b B

orde

rlin

e de

cisi

on w

here

we

did

not

rate

dow

n fo

r ri

sk o

f bi

as. T

hree

of

the

tria

ls d

id n

ot b

lind

patie

nts,

car

egiv

ers,

or

outc

ome

adju

dica

tors

. Sen

sitiv

ity a

naly

ses

in m

eta-

anal

ysis

by

Raj

u et

al d

id n

ot

show

evi

denc

e of

ris

k of

bia

s.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ate

for

10-y

mor

talit

y ap

plie

s to

a 6

0-y-

old

man

and

com

es f

rom

pop

ulat

ion-

base

d da

ta f

rom

Sta

tistic

s N

orw

ay. M

orta

lity

incr

ease

s w

ith a

ge (

eg, 5

0-y-

old

man

, 50

deat

hs p

er

1,00

0 in

10

y) a

nd is

low

er in

wom

en th

an in

men

(eg,

3%

in w

omen

age

d 50

y v

s 5%

in m

en a

ged

50 y

). d C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es in

low

-, m

oder

ate-

, and

hig

h-ca

rdio

vasc

ular

-ris

k gr

oups

are

bas

ed o

n th

e F

ram

ingh

am s

core

. As

expl

aine

d in

the

artic

le, w

e us

ed d

ata

from

an

indi

vidu

al p

atie

nt d

ata

met

a-an

alys

is to

pro

vide

est

imat

ed r

isks

for

patie

nt-im

port

ant o

utco

mes

not

cov

ered

by

the

Fra

min

gham

ris

k sc

ore.

We

have

als

o ad

just

ed fo

r 20

% o

vere

stim

atio

n as

soci

ated

with

Fra

min

gham

ris

k sc

ore.

e R

isk

grou

ps c

orre

spon

d to

low

ris

k (5

%),

med

ium

ris

k (1

5%),

or h

igh

risk

(25%

) acc

ordi

ng to

the

Fra

min

gham

sco

re (o

r ot

her

risk

tool

) to

estim

ate

10-y

ris

k.

f Of t

he s

trok

es in

the

tria

ls, 8

9 of

682

(13%

) with

out a

spir

in w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

, and

116

of 6

55 (1

8%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. g I

n th

e in

divi

dual

pat

ient

dat

a m

eta-

anal

ysis

, ris

k fo

r fu

ture

maj

or b

leed

ing

corr

elat

ed w

ith r

isk

for

futu

re c

ardi

ovas

cula

r ev

ents

; the

refo

re, w

e m

ake

the

assu

mpt

ion

that

a p

atie

nt a

t low

, med

ium

, or

high

ri

sk o

f fut

ure

card

iova

scul

ar e

vent

s (d

eter

min

ed b

y F

ram

ingh

am s

core

) will

be

at lo

w, m

ediu

m, o

r hi

gh r

isk

for

futu

re m

ajor

ble

edin

g ev

ents

, res

pect

ivel

y.

Tabl

e S1

—C

onti

nued

 © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012chestjournal.chestpubs.orgDownloaded from

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5 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S2

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.5,

3.2

.1]

Asp

irin

vs

No

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Est

abli

shed

CA

D

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 5

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Ris

k W

ithou

t A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith A

spir

in

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng s

udde

n de

ath,

pul

mon

ary

embo

lism

, hem

orrh

age,

and

unk

now

n ca

use

(pro

port

ion

not r

epor

ted)

17,0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Impr

ecis

e a CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

no e

ffec

t

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

0 (0

.82-

0.99

)13

3 pe

r 1,

000 b

13 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

1 fe

wer

to

1 fe

wer

)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

ision

a

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

17,0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.6

9 (0

.60-

0.80

)11

7 pe

r 1,

000 b

37 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

7 fe

wer

to

23

few

er)

Hig

h

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

, hem

orrh

agic

, and

unk

now

n ca

use c

17 0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

1 (0

.71-

0.92

)13

5 pe

r 1,

000 b

26 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 3

9 fe

wer

to

11

few

er)

Hig

h

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

17,0

00 (1

6 R

CTs

), 27

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Indi

rect

ness

on

ly r

epor

ted

in s

trok

e/T

IA

tria

ls d

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

2.6

9 (1

.25-

5.76

)15

per

1,0

00 e

25 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

44

mor

e to

71

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

in

dire

ctne

ss

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Bai

gent

C, B

lack

wel

l L, C

ollin

s R, e

t al;

Ant

ithro

mbo

tic T

rialis

ts’ C

olla

bora

tion.

Asp

irin

in th

e pr

imar

y an

d se

cond

ary

prev

entio

n of

vas

cula

r dise

ase:

col

llabo

rativ

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

of in

divi

dual

par

ticip

ant

data

from

rand

omiz

ed tr

ials.

Lan

cet .

2009

;373

(967

8):1

849-

1860

. CA

D 5

coro

nary

art

ery

dise

ase;

CA

PRIE

5 C

lopi

dogr

el V

ersu

s Asp

irin

in P

atie

nts a

t Risk

of I

scha

emic

Eve

nts;

CH

AR

ISM

A 5

Clo

pido

grel

for H

igh

Ath

erot

hrom

botic

Risk

and

Isch

emic

Sta

biliz

atio

n, M

anag

emen

t, an

d Av

oida

nce;

RC

T 5

rand

omiz

ed c

ontr

olle

d tr

ial;

TIA

5 tr

ansie

nt is

chem

ic a

ttack

. See

Tab

le S

1 le

gend

for e

xpan

sion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

n.

a Rat

ed d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

beca

use

the

95%

CI

sugg

ests

pos

sibl

e be

nefi t

and

no

effe

ct o

n to

tal m

orta

lity.

b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es (

with

out

aspi

rin)

for

MI

and

stro

ke c

ome

from

obs

erve

d ye

arly

eve

nt r

ates

in 1

6 R

CTs

rep

orte

d in

the

met

a-an

alys

is, a

djus

ted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame.

The

con

trol

gro

up r

ate

estim

ate

for

tota

l mor

talit

y w

ithou

t asp

irin

is d

eriv

ed fr

om th

e ev

ent r

ate

in th

e as

piri

n ar

m o

f the

CH

AR

ISM

A tr

ial,

usin

g th

e R

R o

f 0.9

0 to

get

the

cont

rol g

roup

rat

e es

timat

e w

ithou

t asp

irin

. c O

f the

str

okes

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

, 0.8

% w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

, and

0.4

% o

f str

okes

with

out a

spir

in w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

. d R

ated

dow

n fo

r in

dire

ctne

ss b

ecau

se b

leed

ing

even

ts w

ere

only

rep

orte

d in

a s

ubse

t of t

rial

s w

ith s

trok

e an

d T

IA p

opul

atio

ns.

e To

estim

ate

cont

rol g

roup

ris

ks fo

r m

ajor

ble

eds,

we

have

use

d m

ajor

ble

ed e

vent

rat

es fr

om th

e as

piri

n ar

m in

the

CA

PRIE

tria

l adj

uste

d to

a 5

-y ti

me

fram

e as

the

star

ting

poin

t (to

ens

ure

cons

iste

ncy

acro

ss e

vide

nce

profi

les)

. We

then

use

d th

e R

R o

f 2.6

9 fo

r th

e co

mpa

riso

n of

asp

irin

to n

o as

piri

n ob

serv

ed in

the

met

a-an

alys

is to

der

ive

the

cont

rol g

roup

rat

e es

timat

e w

ithou

t asp

irin

.

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6 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S3

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.5]

Clo

pido

grel

vs

Asp

irin

for

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Est

abli

shed

CA

D

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 5

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng fa

tal M

I, fa

tal i

sche

mic

str

oke,

fata

l hem

orrh

agic

str

oke,

and

oth

er v

ascu

lar

deat

h a

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

subg

roup

ana

lysi

s su

gges

ted

no

bene

fi t in

pat

ient

s w

ith a

cute

MI b

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

har

m

with

clo

pido

grel

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

8 (0

.87-

1.10

)12

0 pe

r 1,

000 c

2 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

6 fe

wer

to

12

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

no

bene

fi t

with

clo

pido

grel

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

5 (0

.72-

1.0)

80 p

er 1

,000

c 12

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

22

few

er

to 0

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

oke d

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

har

m w

ith

clop

idog

rel

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

4 (0

.83-

1.06

)11

0 pe

r 1,

000 c

7 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

9 fe

wer

to

7 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng a

ny b

leed

ing

diso

rder

, sev

ere e

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

har

m w

ith

clop

idog

rel

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

8 (0

.7-1

.12)

40 p

er 1

,000

f 5

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

12

few

er

to 5

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: CA

PRIE

Ste

erin

g C

omm

ittee

. A r

ando

mis

ed, b

linde

d, tr

ial o

f clo

pido

grel

ver

sus

aspi

rin

in p

atie

nts

at r

isk

of is

chae

mic

eve

nts

(CA

PRIE

). L

ance

t . 19

96;3

48(9

038)

:132

9-13

39. S

ee T

able

S1

and

S2 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

dea

ths

in C

APR

IE, 2

7 of

571

(4.7

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

23

of 5

60 (4

.1%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Sub

grou

p an

alys

is o

f com

posi

te e

nd p

oint

rep

orte

d re

lativ

e ri

sk r

educ

tion

of 7

.3%

for

patie

nts

with

str

oke

and

23.8

% fo

r pa

tient

s w

ith p

erip

hera

l art

eria

l dis

ease

and

a r

elat

ive

risk

incr

ease

of 3

.7%

for

patie

nts

with

MI

(tes

t for

inte

ract

ion

P 5

.043

). B

ased

on

crite

ria

for

cred

ibili

ty, w

e di

d no

t bel

ieve

the

resu

lts fr

om th

e su

bgro

up a

naly

sis;

ther

efor

e, w

e di

d no

t rat

e do

wn

for

inco

nsis

tenc

y.

c Con

trol

gro

up ri

sk e

stim

ates

for t

otal

mor

talit

y co

me

from

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l. E

stim

ates

for M

I an

d st

roke

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

even

ts in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f 16

RC

Ts

in s

econ

dary

pre

vent

ion

(Bai

gent

et a

l 9 ), a

djus

ted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame.

d O

f the

str

okes

in C

APR

IE, 2

4 of

486

(4.9

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

and

14

of 5

28 (2

.6%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic.

e Of t

he m

ajor

ext

racr

ania

l ble

eds

in C

APR

IE, 6

8 of

149

(45.

6%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

GI

and

47 o

f 132

(35.

6%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

GI

( P 5

.05)

. f C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

obs

erve

d m

ajor

ble

edin

g ev

ents

in th

e C

APR

IE tr

ial,

adju

sted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame,

and

not

from

the

16 s

tudi

es in

clud

ed in

the

met

a-an

alys

is b

ecau

se th

ese

stud

ies

did

not r

epor

t maj

or b

leed

s co

nsis

tent

ly.

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7 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S4

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.6]

Res

ourc

e Im

plic

atio

ns: C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in f

or S

econ

dary

Pre

vent

ion

of V

ascu

lar

Dis

ease

Aut

hor/

Year

Pa

tient

Pop

ulat

ion

Con

clus

ion

ICE

RE

ffec

tiven

ess

Uni

tYe

ar o

f Cos

t Bas

isTy

pe o

f Ana

lysi

sTy

pe o

f Mod

elTi

me

Fra

me

Sara

sin

et a

l1 /200

0A

ged

65 y

with

pri

or

stro

ke o

r T

IAC

ost-

effe

ctiv

e$

26,5

80Q

ALY

1998

Cos

t util

ityM

arko

vL

ifetim

e

Schl

eini

tz e

t al2 /2

004

Age

d 63

y in

the

CA

PRIE

tr

ial p

opul

atio

n a w

ith P

AD

Cos

t-ef

fect

ive

$ 25

,100

QA

LY20

02C

ost u

tility

Mar

kov

Life

time

Schl

eini

tz e

t al2 /2

004

Age

d 63

y in

the

CA

PRIE

tr

ial p

opul

atio

n a w

ith P

AD

with

str

oke

past

6 m

o

Cos

t-ef

fect

ive

$ 31

,200

QA

LY20

02C

ost u

tility

Mar

kov

Life

time

Schl

eini

tz e

t al2 /2

004

CA

PRIE

pop

ulat

ion

with

MI

in th

e pa

st 3

5 d

Dom

inat

edD

omin

ated

2002

Cos

t util

ityM

arko

vL

ifetim

e

Kar

non

et a

l3 /200

5M

en a

ged

60 y

in

the

CA

PRIE

tria

lC

ost-

effe

ctiv

21,4

89Q

ALY

2003

Cos

t util

ityM

arko

vL

ifetim

e

Dur

and-

Zale

ski a

nd

Ber

tran

d4 /200

4C

APR

IE b

ase

case

pop

ulat

ion

Cos

t-ef

fect

ive

£ 13

,390

LYG

2003

Cos

t-ef

fect

iven

ess

Mar

kov

2 y

Dur

and-

Zale

ski a

nd

Ber

tran

d4 /200

4C

APR

IE s

ubgr

oup

with

pri

or s

trok

e or

MI

Cos

t-ef

fect

ive

£ 6,

310.

00LY

G20

03

LYG

5 li

fe y

ear

gain

ed; P

AD

5 p

erip

hera

l art

eria

l dis

ease

; QA

LY 5

qua

lity-

adju

sted

life

yea

r. Se

e Ta

ble

S1 a

nd S

2 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a LYG

.

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8 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S5

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.5]

Asp

irin

Plu

s C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in i

n th

e Se

cond

ary

Pre

vent

ion

of C

ardi

ovas

cula

r E

vent

s

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e fr

ame:

5 y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith A

spir

in 1

C

lopi

dogr

el

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng d

eath

s fr

om c

ardi

ovas

cula

r ca

use

and

hem

orrh

age a

15,6

03 (1

RC

T),

28 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy b

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion c

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

9 (0

.86-

1.14

)12

0 pe

r 1,

000 d

1 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

7 fe

wer

to

17

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

15,6

03 (1

RC

T),

28 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion c

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

4 (0

.75-

1.18

)80

per

1,0

00 d

5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

0 fe

wer

to

14

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

, hem

orrh

agic

, and

unk

now

n ca

use e

15,6

03 (1

RC

T),

28 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion c

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

1 (0

.64-

1.02

)11

0 pe

r 1,

000 d

21 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

0 fe

wer

to

2 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

sev

ere

blee

ding

as

defi n

ed b

y th

e G

UST

O c

rite

ria

but e

xclu

ding

fata

l and

intr

acra

nial

ble

eds f

15,6

03 (1

RC

T),

28 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion g

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.2

5 (0

.97-

1.61

)40

per

1,0

00 h

10 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

1 fe

wer

to

24

mor

e

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Bha

tt D

L, F

ox K

A, H

acke

W, e

t al

; CH

AR

ISM

A I

nves

tigat

ors.

Clo

pido

grel

and

asp

irin

ver

sus

aspi

rin

alon

e fo

r th

e pr

even

tion

of a

ther

othr

ombo

tic e

vent

s. N

Eng

l J

Med

. 200

6;35

4(16

):17

06-1

717.

Bai

gent

C, B

lack

wel

l L, C

ollin

s R, e

t al;

Ant

ithro

mbo

tic T

rialis

ts’ C

olla

bora

tion.

Asp

irin

in th

e pr

imar

y an

d se

cond

ary

prev

entio

n of

vas

cula

r dise

ase:

col

llabo

rativ

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

of in

divi

dual

par

ticip

ant

data

from

rand

omiz

ed tr

ials.

Lan

cet.

2009

;373

(967

8):1

849-

1860

. GU

STO

5 G

loba

l Use

of S

trat

egie

s To

Ope

n O

cclu

ded

Art

erie

s. Se

e Ta

ble

S1, S

2, a

nd S

4 le

gend

s for

exp

ansio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

dea

ths

in th

e C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l, 17

of 5

71 (3

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

, and

26

of 5

74 (4

.5%

) with

clo

pido

grel

and

asp

irin

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b Sub

grou

p an

alys

is fo

und

no si

gnifi

cant

eff

ect o

f clo

pido

grel

on

vasc

ular

mor

talit

y in

pat

ient

s with

est

ablis

hed

card

iova

scul

ar d

isea

se in

con

tras

t with

incr

ease

d m

orta

lity

in a

sym

ptom

atic

pat

ient

s. W

e ju

dged

th

e cl

aim

of s

ubgr

oup

effe

ct to

be

not c

redi

ble

(hig

h nu

mbe

r of

sub

grou

p hy

poth

eses

test

ed; u

ncle

ar w

heth

er a

ppro

pria

te te

st fo

r in

tera

ctio

n us

ed).

c CI

incl

udes

impo

rtan

t ben

efi t

and

harm

(for

mor

talit

y) a

nd n

o be

nefi t

(for

str

oke)

. d C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es fo

r to

tal m

orta

lity

com

es fr

om th

e as

piri

n ar

m o

f the

CH

AR

ISM

A tr

ial.

Est

imat

es fo

r M

I an

d st

roke

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

even

ts in

a m

eta-

anal

ysis

of 1

6 R

CTs

in s

econ

dary

pr

even

tion

(Bai

gent

, Lan

cet 2

009 )

, adj

uste

d to

5-y

tim

e fr

ame.

e O

f the

str

okes

in C

HA

RIS

MA

, 27

of 1

89 (1

4%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

, and

26

of 1

50 (1

7%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

ages

. f W

e ex

clud

ed fa

tal b

leed

ing

and

intr

acra

nial

hem

orrh

age

to a

void

the

doub

le c

ount

ing

of e

vent

s in

the

CH

AR

ISM

A tr

ial.

Prop

ortio

n of

seve

re G

I bl

eeds

in C

HA

RIS

MA

was

0.6

5% (n

ot re

port

ed se

para

tely

fo

r ea

ch tr

eatm

ent a

rm).

g CI

incl

udes

no

bene

fi t a

nd im

port

ant h

arm

. h C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

obs

erve

d m

ajor

ble

edin

g ev

ents

in th

e C

APR

IE tr

ial,

adju

sted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame,

and

not

from

the

16 R

CTs

incl

uded

in th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

or

from

CH

AR

ISM

A

beca

use

thes

e st

udie

s di

d no

t rep

ort m

ajor

ble

eds

cons

iste

ntly

.

 © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012chestjournal.chestpubs.orgDownloaded from

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9 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S6

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.6]

Asp

irin

Plu

s C

lopi

dogr

el v

s C

lopi

dogr

el i

n th

e Se

cond

ary

Pre

vent

ion

of C

ardi

ovas

cula

r E

vent

s

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e fr

ame:

1 y

Pos

t-A

CS

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el

Diff

eren

ce W

ith

Asp

irin

1 C

lopi

dogr

el

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng fa

tal b

leed

s a

7,59

9 (1

RC

T),

18 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n b U

ndet

ecte

dR

R 1

.06

(0.8

4-1.

34)

119

per

1,00

0 c 7

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m

19 fe

wer

to 4

0 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

7,59

9 (1

RC

T),

18 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n b U

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.85

(0.5

7-1.

26)

68 p

er 1

,000

d 10

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m

29 fe

wer

to 1

8 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

, hem

orrh

agic

, and

unk

now

n ca

use e

7,59

9 (1

RC

T),

18 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n b U

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.90

(0.7

7-1.

04)

103

per

1,00

0 d 10

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m

24 fe

wer

to 4

mor

e)M

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

life

-thr

eate

ning

and

maj

or b

leed

ing f

7,59

9 (1

RC

T),

18 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssN

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

nU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 2

.44

(1.8

3-3.

24)

35 p

er 1

,000

g 60

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m

29 to

78

mor

e)H

igh

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Die

ner

HC

, Bog

ouss

lavs

ky J

, Bra

ss L

M, e

t al;

MAT

CH

Inv

estig

ator

s. A

spir

in a

nd c

lopi

dogr

el c

ompa

red

with

clo

pido

grel

alo

ne a

fter

rec

ent i

scha

emic

str

oke

or tr

ansi

ent i

scha

emic

att

ack

in

high

-ris

k pa

tient

s (M

ATC

H):

rand

omis

ed, d

oubl

e-bl

ind,

pla

cebo

-con

trol

led

tria

l. L

ance

t. 20

04;3

64(9

431)

:331

-337

. Bai

gent

C, B

lack

wel

l L, C

ollin

s R

, et a

l; A

ntith

rom

botic

Tri

alis

ts’ (

ATT

) C

olla

bora

tion.

A

spir

in in

the

prim

ary

and

seco

ndar

y pr

even

tion

of v

ascu

lar d

isea

se: c

olla

bora

tive

met

a-an

alys

is o

f ind

ivid

ual p

artic

ipan

t dat

a fr

om ra

ndom

ised

tria

ls. L

ance

t. 20

09;3

73(9

678)

:184

9-18

60. A

CS

5 ac

ute

coro

-na

ry s

yndr

ome.

See

Tab

le S

1, S

2, a

nd S

4 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Ris

k of

fata

l ble

edin

g w

as 0

.43%

(16

even

ts) a

nd 0

.29

(11

even

ts) i

n th

e tr

eatm

ent a

nd c

ontr

ol g

roup

s, r

espe

ctiv

ely.

b C

Is in

clud

e po

ssib

le b

enefi

t an

d po

ssib

le h

arm

and

low

num

ber

of e

vent

s.

c Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

for

tota

l mor

talit

y w

ere

deri

ved

by a

pply

ing

rela

tive

risk

rat

io fo

r cl

opid

ogre

l vs

aspi

rin

to th

e to

tal m

orta

lity

rate

obs

erve

d in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he C

HA

RIS

MA

tria

l. d C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es fo

r no

nfat

al M

I an

d no

nfat

al s

trok

e w

ere

deri

ved

by a

pply

ing

rela

tive

risk

rat

io fo

r cl

opid

ogre

l vs

aspi

rin

to th

e ob

serv

ed e

vent

rat

es in

the

aspi

rin

arm

of a

met

a-an

alys

is o

f 16

RC

Ts in

sec

onda

ry p

reve

ntio

n (B

aige

nt e

t al ),

adj

uste

d to

a 5

-y ti

me

fram

e.

e In

nonf

atal

isch

emic

str

oke,

the

rate

s of

pri

mar

y in

trac

rani

al h

emor

rhag

e w

ere

0.7%

(27)

and

0.4

% (1

5) in

the

trea

tmen

t and

con

trol

gro

ups,

res

pect

ivel

y.

f Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

for

ext

racr

ania

l ble

edin

g fr

om o

bser

ved

maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts in

the

CA

PRIE

tri

al, a

djus

ted

to a

5-y

tim

e fr

ame,

and

not

fro

m t

he 1

6 R

CTs

incl

uded

in t

he m

eta-

anal

ysis

be

caus

e th

ese

stud

ies

did

not r

epor

t maj

or b

leed

s co

nsis

tent

ly.

 © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012chestjournal.chestpubs.orgDownloaded from

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10 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S7

—[S

ecti

ons

3.1.

1-3.

1.6]

Mod

erat

e-In

tens

ity

War

fari

n P

lus

Asp

irin

vs

Asp

irin

Alo

ne i

n P

atie

nts

Wit

h E

stab

lish

ed C

AD

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 5

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in a

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith W

arfa

rin

Plus

A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Tota

l mor

talit

y

7,83

5 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsSe

riou

s b Im

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.0

(0

.82-

1.22

)12

0 pe

r 1,

000 a

0 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

22

few

er

to 2

6 m

ore)

Low

due

to

indi

rect

ness

and

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

7,83

5 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.69

(0.5

4-0.

88)

80 p

er 1

,000

a 25

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

37

few

er

to 1

0 fe

wer

)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

and

hem

orrh

agic

7,07

3 (5

RC

Ts),

3-60

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.5

6 (0

.37-

0.86

)11

0 pe

r 1,

000 a

48 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 6

9 fe

wer

to

15

few

er)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e) c

7,83

5 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 2

.37

(1.6

2-3.

47)

40 p

er 1

,000

d 55

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 2

5 m

ore

to 9

9 m

ore)

Hig

h

Bur

den

of tr

eatm

ent (

impo

rtan

t out

com

e) e

N/A

e W

arfa

rin

.

aspi

rin

War

fari

n: d

aily

med

icat

ion,

die

tary

an

d ac

tivity

res

tric

tions

, fre

quen

t bl

ood

test

ing/

mon

itori

ng, i

ncre

ased

ho

spita

l/clin

ic v

isits

Hig

h

A

spir

in: d

aily

med

icat

ion

only

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Joh

nson

WC

, Will

iford

WO

. Ben

efi ts

, mor

bidi

ty, a

nd m

orta

lity

asso

ciat

ed w

ith lo

ng-t

erm

adm

inis

trat

ion

of o

ral a

ntic

oagu

lant

ther

apy

to p

atie

nts

with

per

iphe

ral a

rter

ial b

ypas

s pr

oced

ures

: a

pros

pect

ive

rand

omiz

ed s

tudy

. J V

asc

Surg

. 200

2;35

:413

-421

. Sar

ac T

P, H

uber

TS,

Bac

k M

R, e

t al.

War

fari

n im

prov

es th

e ou

tcom

e of

infr

aing

uina

l vei

n by

pass

gra

ftin

g at

hig

h ri

sk fo

r fa

ilure

. J V

asc

Surg

. 19

98;2

8:44

6-45

7. A

nand

S, Y

usuf

S, X

ie C

, et a

l. O

ral a

ntic

oagu

lant

and

ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

and

per

iphe

ral a

rter

ial d

isea

se. N

Eng

l J M

ed. 2

007;

357:

217-

227.

Rot

hber

g M

B, C

eles

tin C

, Fio

re L

D, L

awle

r E,

Coo

k JR

. War

fari

n pl

us a

spir

in a

fter

myo

card

ial i

nfar

ctio

n or

the

acut

e co

rona

ry s

yndr

ome:

met

a-an

alys

is w

ith e

stim

ates

of r

isk

and

bene

fi t. A

nn I

nter

n M

ed. 2

005;

143(

4):2

41-2

50. B

aige

nt C

, Bla

ckw

ell L

, C

ollin

s R, e

t al;

Ant

ithro

mbo

tic T

rial

ists

’ (AT

T) C

olla

bora

tion.

Asp

irin

in th

e pr

imar

y an

d se

cond

ary

prev

entio

n of

vas

cula

r dis

ease

: col

labo

rativ

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

of i

ndiv

idua

l par

ticip

ant d

ata

from

rand

omis

ed

tria

ls. L

ance

t. 20

09; 3

73(9

678)

:184

-186

0 . N

/A 5

not

app

licab

le; O

ASI

S 5

Opt

imal

Ant

ipla

tele

t Str

ateg

y fo

r In

terv

entio

ns. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S4

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es f

or v

ascu

lar

mor

talit

y, M

I, a

nd s

trok

es (

isch

emic

, hem

orrh

agic

, and

unk

now

n ca

use)

com

e fr

om o

bser

ved

even

ts in

a m

eta-

anal

ysis

of

16 R

CTs

in s

econ

dary

pre

vent

ion

(Bai

gent

et a

l).

b Can

not d

eter

min

e ca

rdio

vasc

ular

mor

talit

y, o

nly

tota

l mor

talit

y. I

mba

lanc

e in

one

stu

dy fo

r ca

ncer

dea

ths.

c I

n th

e O

ASI

S tr

ial,

ther

e m

ay b

e do

uble

cou

ntin

g of

hem

orrh

agic

str

okes

as

maj

or b

leed

ing

and

deat

h.

d Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

for

maj

or b

leed

s co

me

from

the

aspi

rin-

alon

e ar

m o

f the

CA

PRIE

tria

l. e T

here

are

stu

dies

eva

luat

ing

qual

ity o

f life

in p

atie

nts

duri

ng w

arfa

rin

trea

tmen

t (w

ith d

ispa

rate

fi nd

ings

), bu

t the

se a

re li

mite

d by

sm

all s

ampl

e si

ze, l

ack

of c

ompa

rato

r, an

d ot

her

desi

gn is

sues

.

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11 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S8

—[S

ecti

ons

3.2.

1-3.

2.5]

Clo

pido

grel

vs

Asp

irin

for

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Rec

ent

AC

S

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith C

lopi

dogr

el

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng fa

tal M

I, fa

tal i

sche

mic

str

oke,

fata

l hem

orrh

agic

str

oke,

and

oth

er v

ascu

lar

deat

h a

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

y Su

bgro

up a

naly

sis

sugg

este

d no

ben

efi t

in p

atie

nts

with

ac

ute

MI b

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

No

seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

2 (0

.80-

1.07

)60

per

1,0

00 c

5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

2 fe

wer

to

5 m

ore)

Hig

h

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

y b N

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es n

o be

nefi t

w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

5 (0

.72-

1.0)

70 p

er 1

,000

c 10

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

22

few

er

to 0

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

impr

ecis

ion

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

and

hem

orrh

agic

str

oke d

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

y b N

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssN

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

n e U

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.94

(0.8

3-1.

06)

20 p

er 1

,000

c 1

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

3 fe

wer

to

1 m

ore)

Hig

h

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng a

ny b

leed

ing

diso

rder

, sev

ere f

19,1

85 (1

RC

T),

1.9

yN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

y b N

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssN

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

n e U

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.88

(0.7

0-1.

12)

30 p

er 1

,000

c 3

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

9 fe

wer

to

3 m

ore)

Hig

h

Bib

liogr

aphy

: CA

PRIE

Ste

erin

g C

omm

ittee

. A ra

ndom

ised

, blin

ded,

tria

l of c

lopi

dogr

el v

ersu

s asp

irin

in p

atie

nts a

t ris

k of

isch

aem

ic e

vent

s (C

APR

IE).

Lan

cet .

1996

;348

(903

8):1

329-

1339

. CU

RE

5 C

lopi

dogr

el

in U

nsta

ble

Ang

ina

To P

reve

nt R

ecur

rent

Eve

nts.

See

Tab

le S

1, S

2, S

4, a

nd S

6 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Of t

he d

eath

s in

CA

PRIE

, 27

of 4

05 (6

.7%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts, a

nd 2

3 of

372

(6.2

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

. b S

ubgr

oup

anal

ysis

of c

ompo

site

end

poi

nt r

epor

ted

rela

tive

risk

red

uctio

n of

7.3

% fo

r pa

tient

s w

ith s

trok

e an

d 23

.8%

for

patie

nts

with

per

iphe

ral a

rter

ial d

isea

se p

atie

nts

and

rela

tive

risk

incr

ease

of 3

.7%

fo

r pa

tient

s w

ith M

I (t

est f

or in

tera

ctio

n P

5 .0

43).

Bas

ed o

n cr

iteri

a fo

r cr

edib

ility

, we

did

not b

elie

ve th

e re

sults

from

sub

grou

p an

alys

is; t

here

fore

, we

did

not r

ate

dow

n fo

r in

cons

iste

ncy.

c C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es fo

r de

ath,

MI,

str

oke,

and

ble

eds

com

e fr

om th

e C

UR

E tr

ial (

9-m

o fo

llow

-up

slig

htly

adj

uste

d to

fi t 1

-y ti

me

fram

e).

d Of t

he s

trok

es in

CA

PRIE

, 24

of 4

86 (4

.9%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic, a

nd 1

4 of

528

(2.6

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. e O

ur d

ecis

ion

not t

o ra

te d

own

for

impr

ecis

ion

is d

ue to

the

low

con

trol

gro

up r

isk

for

stro

kes

and

maj

or b

leed

s th

at r

esul

t in

no im

port

ant h

arm

of c

lopi

dogr

el (a

s ju

dged

by

the

uppe

r lim

it of

the

95%

CI

for

the

abso

lute

eff

ect)

. f O

f the

maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

s in

CA

PRIE

, 68

of 1

49 (4

5.6%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e G

I, a

nd 4

7 of

132

(35.

6%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

GI.

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12 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S9

—[S

ecti

ons

3.2.

1-3.

2.5]

Asp

irin

Plu

s C

lopi

dogr

el v

s A

spir

in i

n P

atie

nts

Wit

h a

Rec

ent

AC

S

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith A

spir

in 1

C

lopi

dogr

el (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

a

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

3 (0

.79-

1.08

)60

per

1,0

00 b

4 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

13

few

er to

5 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(impo

rtan

t out

com

e)

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.77

(0.6

7-0.

89)

70 p

er 1

,000

b 16

few

er p

er 1

,000

(fro

m

23 fe

wer

to 8

few

er)

Hig

h

Non

fata

l str

oke

(impo

rtan

t out

com

e) c

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

6 (0

.63-

1.18

)20

per

1,0

00 b

3 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

7

few

er to

4 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

d,e

12,5

62 (1

RC

T),

9 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

no

subs

tant

ial h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.3

8 (1

.13-

1.67

)30

per

1,0

00 b

11 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

4

mor

e to

20

mor

e)M

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Yus

uf S

, Zha

o F,

Meh

ta S

R, C

hrol

avic

ius

S, T

ogno

ni G

, Fox

KK

; Clo

pido

grel

in U

nsta

ble

Ang

ina

to P

reve

nt R

ecur

rent

Eve

nts

Tria

l Inv

estig

ator

s. E

ffec

ts o

f clo

pido

grel

in a

dditi

on to

asp

irin

in

pat

ient

s w

ith a

cute

cor

onar

y sy

ndro

mes

with

out S

T-se

gmen

t ele

vatio

n. N

Eng

l J M

ed . 2

001;

345(

7):4

94-5

02. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S6

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Of t

he to

tal d

eath

s in

the

CU

RE

(Clo

pido

grel

in U

nsta

ble

Ang

ina

To P

reve

nt R

ecur

rent

Eve

nts)

tria

l, 15

of 3

90 (3

.8%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts, a

nd 1

1 of

359

(3.1

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

. b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

the

CU

RE

tria

l (9-

mo

follo

w-u

p ad

just

ed to

fi t 1

-y ti

me

fram

e).

c Of t

he s

trok

es in

CU

RE

, fi v

e of

87

(5.7

%) w

ith a

spir

in w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

, and

sev

en o

f 75

(9.3

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

. d M

ajor

ble

ed d

efi n

ed a

s su

bsta

ntia

lly d

isab

ling

blee

d, in

trao

cula

r bl

eed

lead

ing

to th

e lo

ss o

f vis

ion,

or

blee

ding

nec

essi

tatin

g th

e tr

ansf

usio

n of

at l

east

2 u

nits

of b

lood

. e O

f the

maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

s in

CU

RE

, 47

of 1

69 (2

7.8%

) with

asp

irin

wer

e G

I an

d 83

of 2

31 (3

5.9%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e G

I.

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13 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

0 —[S

ecti

ons

3.2.

1-3.

2.5]

Tic

agre

lor

Plu

s A

spir

in v

s C

lopi

dogr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

a R

ecen

t A

CS

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts,

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

y a

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ris

k W

ith

Clo

pido

grel

an

d A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith T

icag

relo

r an

d A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

a

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.7

9 (0

.69-

0.91

)50

per

1,0

00 b

10 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

5 fe

wer

to

4 fe

wer

)

Hig

h

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

4 (0

.75-

0.95

)70

per

1,0

00 b

11 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

7 fe

wer

to

3 fe

wer

)

Hig

h

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e) c

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Impr

ecis

e C

I in

clud

es im

port

ant

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.1

7 (0

.91-

1.52

)13

per

1,0

00 b

2 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

1 fe

wer

to

7 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

maj

or n

on-C

AB

G-r

elat

ed b

leed

ing

TIM

I cr

iteri

a

18,6

24 (1

RC

T),

6-12

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Impr

ecis

e C

I in

clud

es

impo

rtan

t har

mU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 1

.25

(1.0

1-1.

53)

22 p

er 1

,000

b 6

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 0

mor

e to

11

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: W

alle

ntin

L,

Bec

ker

RC

, B

udaj

A,

et a

l; PL

ATO

Inv

estig

ator

s. T

icag

relo

r ve

rsus

clo

pido

grel

in

patie

nts

with

acu

te c

oron

ary

synd

rom

es.

N E

ngl

J M

ed .

2009

;361

(11)

:104

5-10

57.

CA

BG

5 co

rona

ry a

rter

y by

pass

gra

ft; T

IMI 5

Thr

ombo

lysi

s in

Myo

card

ial I

nfar

ctio

n. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S6

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a O

f the

tota

l dea

ths

in P

LAT

O (P

late

let I

nhib

ition

and

Pat

ient

Out

com

es),

20 o

f 399

(5.0

%) w

ith ti

cagr

elor

wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts, a

nd 2

3 of

506

(4.5

%) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el w

ere

fata

l ble

edin

g ev

ents

. b O

ne-y

ear

cont

rol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

PL

ATO

, with

eve

nts

repo

rted

at 1

2 m

o.

c Of t

he to

tal s

trok

es in

PL

ATO

, 23

of 1

25 (1

8.4%

) with

tica

grel

or w

ere

hem

orrh

agic

, and

13

of 1

06 (1

2.3%

) with

clo

pido

grel

wer

e he

mor

rhag

ic.

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14 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

1 —[S

ecti

ons

3.2.

1-3.

2.5]

Pra

sugr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

vs

Clo

pido

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in i

n P

atie

nts

Wit

h a

Rec

ent

AC

S an

d P

CI

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts,

Tim

e F

ram

e: 1

y a

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ris

k W

ith

Clo

pido

grel

an

d A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith P

rasu

grel

and

A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Vasc

ular

mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

, inc

ludi

ng fa

tal b

leed

s 0.

4% w

ith p

rasu

grel

and

0.1

% w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Seri

ous

limita

tions

b N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

9 (0

.70-

1.12

)50

per

1,0

00 a

5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

5 fe

wer

to

6 m

ore)

Low

due

to

inco

nsis

tenc

y an

d im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Seri

ous

limita

tions

b N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

nU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.76

(0.6

7-0.

85)

70 p

er 1

,000

a 17

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

23

few

er

to 1

0 fe

wer

)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

in

cons

iste

ncy

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

hem

orrh

agic

(0.3

%) i

n bo

th g

roup

s

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Seri

ous

limita

tions

b N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.0

2 (0

.71-

1.45

)13

per

1,0

00 a

0 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

few

er

to 6

mor

e)

Low

due

to

inco

nsis

tenc

y an

d im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

maj

or n

on-C

AB

G-r

elat

ed b

leed

ing

TIM

I cr

iteri

a

13,6

08 (1

RC

T),

14.5

mo

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Seri

ous

limita

tions

b N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

neg

ligib

le

and

subs

tant

ial h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.3

2 (1

.03-

1.68

)22

per

1,0

00 a

7 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

0 m

ore

to 1

8 m

ore)

Low

due

to

inco

nsis

tenc

y an

d im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: W

ivio

tt S

D,

Bra

unw

ald

E,

McC

abe

CH

, et

al;

TR

ITO

N-T

IMI

38 I

nves

tigat

ors.

Pra

sugr

el v

ersu

s cl

opid

ogre

l in

pat

ient

s w

ith a

cute

cor

onar

y sy

ndro

mes

. N

Eng

l J

Med

. 20

07;3

57(2

0):

2001

-201

5. P

CI 5

per

cuta

neou

s co

rona

ry in

terv

entio

n. P

LAT

O 5

Pla

tele

t Inh

ibiti

on a

nd P

atie

nt O

utco

mes

. See

Tab

le S

1, S

2, S

6, a

nd S

10 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om th

e PL

ATO

stu

dy, a

djus

ted

to a

1-y

tim

e fr

ame.

b R

ated

dow

n fo

r in

cons

iste

ncy

for

all o

utco

mes

bec

ause

of c

redi

ble

subg

roup

ana

lyse

s sh

owin

g ne

t har

m fo

r co

mpo

site

end

poi

nt in

cer

tain

sub

grou

ps.

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15 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

2 —[S

ecti

ons

3.2.

6-3.

2.7]

Tri

ple

The

rapy

(W

arfa

rin,

Asp

irin

, Clo

pido

grel

) vs

Du

al A

ntip

late

let

The

rapy

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Acu

te L

arge

Ant

erio

r M

I at

Ris

k fo

r or

Wit

h LV

Thr

omb

us

Who

Und

ergo

PC

I W

ith

Sten

t P

lace

men

t

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 3

mo

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

C

lopi

dogr

el 1

Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith W

arfa

rin

1

Clo

pido

grel

and

A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

10,8

83 (1

0 R

CT

), 3-

60 m

o N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsVe

ry s

erio

us

indi

rect

ness

a Im

prec

ise

confi

den

ce

inte

rval

incl

udes

be

nefi t

and

har

m

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.0

0 (0

.82-

1.22

)25

per

1,0

00 b

0 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

4 fe

wer

to

6 m

ore)

Low

due

to

indi

rect

ness

and

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

10,8

83 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsVe

ry s

erio

us

indi

rect

ness

a N

o se

riou

s im

prec

isio

nU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.69

(0.5

4-0.

88)

35 p

er 1

,000

b 11

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

16

few

er

to 4

few

er)

Low

due

to

indi

rect

ness

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e), i

nclu

ding

isch

emic

and

hem

orrh

agic

6,70

9 (1

RC

T),

1.3

yN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsVe

ry s

erio

us

indi

rect

ness

c Se

riou

s im

prec

isio

n B

asel

ine

risk

es

timat

es im

prec

ise d

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.5

6 (0

.39-

0.82

)A

nter

oapi

cal M

I w

ithou

t LV

thro

mbu

sL

ow d

ue to

in

dire

ctne

ss a

nd

impr

ecis

ion

15 p

er 1

,000

d 7

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

9 fe

wer

to

3 fe

wer

)

A

nter

oapi

cal M

I w

ith L

V th

rom

bus

10

0 pe

r 1,

000 d

44 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 1

8 fe

wer

to

61

few

er)

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

10,8

83 (1

0 R

CTs

), 3-

60 m

oN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsVe

ry s

erio

us

indi

rect

ness

a N

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 2

.37

(1.6

2-3.

47)

11 p

er 1

,000

c 15

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 7

mor

e to

27

mor

e)

Low

due

to

indi

rect

ness

(Con

tinu

ed)

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16 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 3

mo

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

C

lopi

dogr

el 1

Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith W

arfa

rin

1

Clo

pido

grel

and

A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Bur

den

of tr

eatm

ent (

impo

rtan

t out

com

e) e

N/A

e W

arfa

rin

.

aspi

rin

War

fari

n: d

aily

med

icat

ion,

die

tary

and

act

ivity

re

stri

ctio

ns, f

requ

ent b

lood

test

ing/

mon

itori

ng, i

ncre

ased

hos

pita

l/clin

ic v

isits

Hig

h

A

spir

in: d

aily

med

icat

ion

only

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Rot

hber

g M

B, C

eles

tin C

, Fio

re L

D, L

awle

r E

, Coo

k JR

. War

fari

n pl

us a

spir

in a

fter

myo

card

ial i

nfar

ctio

n or

the

acut

e co

rona

ry s

yndr

ome:

met

a-an

alys

is w

ith e

stim

ates

of r

isk

and

bene

fi t.

Ann

Int

ern

Med

. 200

5;14

3(4)

:241

-250

. AC

TIV

E-W

5 A

tria

l Fib

rilla

tion

Clo

pido

grel

Tri

al W

ith I

rbes

arta

n fo

r Pr

even

tion

of V

ascu

lar

Eve

nts;

LV

5 le

ft v

entr

icul

ar. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

S6,

and

S11

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

oth

er a

bbre

viat

ions

. a R

elat

ive

risk

for

war

fari

n, a

spir

in, a

nd c

lopi

dogr

el v

s du

al a

ntip

late

let t

hera

py d

eriv

ed fr

om m

eta-

anal

ysis

of s

tudi

es c

ompa

ring

war

fari

n pl

us a

spir

in to

asp

irin

alo

ne in

pat

ient

s fo

llow

ing

AC

S.

b Thr

ee-m

onth

ris

k es

timat

es fo

r co

ntro

l (as

piri

n 1

clo

pido

grel

) eve

nt r

ates

com

e fr

om P

LAT

O s

tudy

. Ass

umed

that

one

hal

f of t

otal

eve

nts

at 1

y o

ccur

red

in fi

rst 3

mo

base

d on

the

PLAT

O s

tudy

. c W

e as

sum

ed t

hat

the

rela

tive

risk

for

the

out

com

e of

non

fata

l str

oke

(isch

emic

and

hem

orrh

agic

) w

ould

be

the

sam

e as

obs

erve

d in

AC

TIV

E-W

, whi

ch c

ompa

red

war

fari

n to

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t th

erap

y (a

spir

in 1

clo

pido

grel

). W

e ca

lcul

ated

the

RR

and

95%

CI

afte

r ex

trac

ting

the

num

ber

of n

onfa

tal s

trok

es (i

sche

mic

and

hem

orrh

agic

) in

each

gro

up fr

om th

e pu

blis

hed

repo

rt b

ecau

se it

did

not

dir

ectly

re

port

RR

in th

e ar

ticle

. d C

ontr

ol g

roup

risk

est

imat

es fo

r non

fata

l str

oke

is b

ased

on

� 1

.5%

rate

/3 m

o (s

ee te

xt) w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el a

nd a

spir

in fo

llow

ing

ante

rior

MI

and

10%

rate

/3 m

o in

pat

ient

s with

ant

erio

r MI

and

LV th

rom

bus.

T

here

is c

onsi

dera

ble

impr

ecis

ion

in th

ese

estim

ates

. e T

here

are

stu

dies

eva

luat

ing

qual

ity o

f life

in p

atie

nts

duri

ng w

arfa

rin

trea

tmen

t (w

ith d

ispa

rate

fi nd

ings

), bu

t the

se a

re li

mite

d by

sm

all s

ampl

e si

ze, l

ack

of c

ompa

rato

r, an

d ot

her

desi

gn is

sues

.

Tabl

e S1

2—C

onti

nued

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17 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

3 —[S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Thi

enop

yidi

ne P

lus

Asp

irin

vs

War

fari

n P

lus

Asp

irin

in

the

Fir

st M

onth

Fol

low

ing

PC

I

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts,

Tim

e F

ram

e: 3

0 d

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ris

k W

ith

War

fari

n an

d A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith T

hien

opyi

dine

an

d A

spir

in

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

2,43

6 (4

RC

Ts),

4-6

wk

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Impr

ecis

e C

I in

clud

es

bene

fi t a

nd h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.7

3 (0

.25-

2.18

)7

per

1,00

0 a 2

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

5 fe

wer

to

8 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

2,43

6 (4

RC

Ts),

4-6

wk

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

sL

ack

of b

lindi

ng

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

No

seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.5

0 (0

.29-

0.83

)39

per

1,0

00 a

19 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

8 fe

wer

to

7 fe

wer

)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

ri

sk o

f bia

s

Stro

ke (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

; not

rep

orte

d in

met

a-an

alys

is

Maj

or b

leed

b (cr

itica

l out

com

e)

2,43

6 (4

RC

Ts),

4-6

wk

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

sL

ack

of b

lindi

ng

Seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

y I 2 5

72%

No

seri

ous

limita

tions

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

no

bene

fi tU

ndet

ecte

dR

R 0

.38

(0.1

4-1.

02)

64 p

er 1

,000

a 40

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

55

few

er

to 1

mor

e)

Low

due

to

impr

ecis

ion,

he

tero

gene

ity,

and

stud

y lim

itatio

ns

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Cos

mi B

, Rub

boli

A, C

aste

lvet

ri C

, Mila

ndri

M. T

iclo

pidi

ne v

ersu

s or

al a

ntic

oagu

latio

n fo

r co

rona

ry s

tent

ing.

Coc

hran

e D

atab

ase

Syst

Rev

. 200

1;(4

): CD

0021

33 . S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S11

le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

viat

ions

. a C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

the

met

a-an

alys

is.

b Ble

edin

g de

fi niti

ons

vari

ed g

reat

ly a

cros

s st

udie

s.

 © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians at Metrohealth Medical Center on February 16, 2012chestjournal.chestpubs.orgDownloaded from

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18 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

4 —[S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Tri

ple

The

rapy

Wit

h C

ilos

tazo

l vs

Clo

pido

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in F

ollo

win

g E

lect

ive

PC

I W

ith

Sten

ting

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 6

-9 m

o

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)

Ris

k W

ith

Clo

pido

grel

1

Asp

irin

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

with

C

ilost

azol

1 C

lopi

dogr

el 1

A

spir

in (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

; vas

cula

r m

orta

lity

not r

epor

ted

2,80

9 (1

0 R

CTs

), 6-

9 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk o

f bia

sN

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.7

3 (0

.25-

2.12

)20

per

1,0

00 a

5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

15

few

er to

22

mor

e)M

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

2,68

9 (9

RC

Ts),

6-9

mo

No

seri

ous

risk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es b

enefi

t an

d ha

rm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.1

2 (0

.57-

2.24

)50

per

1,0

00 a

6 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

21

few

er to

62

mor

e)M

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e); n

ot r

epor

ted

in m

eta-

anal

ysis

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

; not

cle

arly

defi

ned

19,1

85 (1

RC

Ts),

6-9

mo

No

seri

ous

risk

of b

ias

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es b

enefi

t an

d ha

rm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.8

7 (0

.44-

1.74

)50

per

1,0

00 a

6 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

28

few

er to

37

mor

e)M

oder

ate

due

to

impr

ecis

ion

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Tam

hane

U, M

eier

P, C

hetc

uti S

, et

al. E

ffi ca

cy o

f ci

lost

azol

in r

educ

ing

rest

enos

is in

pat

ient

s un

derg

oing

con

tem

pora

ry s

tent

bas

ed P

CI:

a m

eta-

anal

ysis

of

rand

omis

ed c

ontr

olle

d tr

ials

. E

uroI

nter

vent

ion .

200

9;5(

3):3

84-3

93. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S11

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

per

form

ed fo

r du

al a

ntip

late

let t

hera

py fo

llow

ing

PCI

with

ste

nt p

lace

men

t (Ta

mha

ne e

t al).

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19 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

5 — [ S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5 ]

Cil

osta

zol

Plu

s A

spir

in v

s C

lopi

dogr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

Fol

low

ing

Ele

ctiv

e P

CI

Wit

h St

enti

ng

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Est

imat

ion

of A

bsol

ute

Eve

nt R

ates

and

R

isk

Diff

eren

ces

Tim

e F

ram

e: 6

-9 m

o

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Eve

nt R

ate

With

C

lopi

dogr

el 1

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

W

ith C

ilost

azol

1

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

; not

rep

orte

d

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e); n

ot r

epor

ted

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e); n

ot r

epor

ted

Maj

or a

dver

se c

ardi

ac e

vent

s (im

port

ant o

utco

me)

; the

onl

y va

scul

ar e

vent

out

com

e re

port

ed in

met

a-an

alys

is, b

ut n

ot s

peci

fi ed

furt

her

3,43

7 (1

3 R

CTs

), 6

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of b

ias

vari

able

blin

ding

, lo

ss to

follo

w-u

p

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

ySe

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ss

Com

posi

te

outc

ome

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Publ

icat

ion

bias

de

tect

edR

R 0

.56

(0.2

5-1.

27)

75 p

er 1

,000

a 33

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

56

few

er

to 2

0 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of

bias

, ind

irec

tnes

s,

impr

ecis

ion,

and

pu

blic

atio

n bi

as

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

Not

cle

arly

defi

ned

3,43

7 (1

3 R

CTs

), 6

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of b

ias

vari

able

blin

ding

, lo

ss to

follo

w-u

p

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es

bene

fi t a

nd h

arm

Publ

icat

ion

bias

de

tect

edR

R 0

.66

(0.3

2-1.

39)

50 p

er 1

,000

a 17

few

er p

er 1

,000

(f

rom

34

few

er

to 2

0 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias,

impr

ecis

ion,

an

d pu

blic

atio

n bi

as

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Bio

ndi-Z

occa

i GG

, Lot

rion

te M

, Ans

elm

ino

M, e

t al.

Syst

emat

ic r

evie

w a

nd m

eta-

anal

ysis

of r

ando

miz

ed c

linic

al tr

ials

app

rais

ing

the

impa

ct o

f cilo

staz

ol a

fter

per

cuta

neou

s co

rona

ry in

ter-

vent

ion.

Am

Hea

rt J

. 200

8;15

5(6)

:108

1-10

89. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S11

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om th

e m

eta-

anal

ysis

(Bio

ndi-Z

occa

i et a

l).

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20 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

6 —[S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Hig

h-D

ose

Asp

irin

vs

Low

-Dos

e A

spir

in f

or 3

0 d

Pos

t-P

CI

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 3

0 d

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

HR

(95%

CI)

Ris

k W

ith A

spir

in

75-1

00 m

g

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

A

spir

in 3

00-3

25 m

g (9

5% C

I)Q

ualit

y of

E

vide

nce

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

a

17,2

36 (1

RC

T),

30 d

No

seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

im

port

ant b

enefi

t an

d no

ben

efi t c

Und

etec

ted

HR

0.8

7 (0

.74-

1.03

)25

per

1,0

00 d

3 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 7

few

er

to 1

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

17,2

36 (1

RC

T),

30 d

No

seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

be

nefi t

and

har

m c

Und

etec

ted

HR

0.9

7 (0

.82-

1.16

)21

per

1,0

00 d

1 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

few

er

to 3

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Stro

ke (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

e

17,2

36 (1

RC

T),

30 d

No

seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

be

nefi t

and

har

m c

Und

etec

ted

HR

1.1

9 (0

.84-

1.68

)5

per

1,00

0 d 1

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er

to 3

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

f

17,2

36 (1

RC

T),

30 d

No

seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s b N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

be

nefi t

and

har

m c

Und

etec

ted

HR

1.0

9 (0

.89-

1.34

)14

per

1,0

00 d

1 m

ore

per

1,00

0 (f

rom

2 fe

wer

to

5 m

ore)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Meh

ta S

R, T

angu

ay JF

, Eik

elbo

om JW

, et a

l; C

UR

RE

NT-

OA

SIS

7 tr

ial i

nves

tigat

ors.

Dou

ble-

dose

ver

sus s

tand

ard-

dose

clo

pido

grel

and

hig

h-do

se v

ersu

s low

-dos

e as

piri

n in

indi

vidu

als u

nder

-go

ing

perc

utan

eous

cor

onar

y in

terv

entio

n fo

r acu

te c

oron

ary

synd

rom

es (C

UR

RE

NT-

OA

SIS

7): a

rand

omis

ed fa

ctor

ial t

rial

. Lan

cet .

2010

;376

(974

8):1

233-

1243

. CU

RR

EN

T-O

ASI

S 5

Clo

pido

grel

Opt

imal

L

oadi

ng D

ose

Usa

ge T

o R

educ

e R

ecur

rent

Eve

nts/

Opt

imal

Ant

ipla

tele

t Str

ateg

y fo

r In

terv

entio

ns; H

R 5

haz

ard

ratio

. See

Tab

le S

1, S

10, a

nd S

11 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of o

ther

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Of t

he to

tal d

eath

s in

CU

RR

EN

T-O

ASI

S 7,

15

of 3

14 (4

.8%

) occ

urre

d w

ith lo

w-d

ose

aspi

rin,

and

16

of 2

73 (5

.9%

) wer

e fa

tal b

leed

ing

even

ts.

b OA

SIS

aspi

rin

dose

was

not

blin

ded.

c B

orde

rlin

e de

cisi

on to

rat

e do

wn

for

impr

ecis

ion.

Alth

ough

CIs

for

abso

lute

eff

ects

are

fair

ly n

arro

w, t

he 3

0-d

time

fram

e su

gges

ts im

prec

ise

effe

ct e

stim

ates

(eg,

thre

e m

ore

stro

kes

and

blee

ds p

er 1

,000

tr

eate

d fo

r 30

d).

d Con

trol

gro

up r

isk

estim

ates

com

e fr

om e

vent

rat

es in

pat

ient

s al

loca

ted

to lo

w-d

ose

aspi

rin

unde

rgoi

ng P

CI

in C

UR

RE

NT-

OA

SIS

7.

e Unc

lear

from

the

artic

le w

heth

er h

emor

rhag

ic a

nd fa

tal s

trok

es w

ere

incl

uded

in to

tal s

trok

es.

f TIM

I cr

iteri

a us

ed. I

t is

uncl

ear

from

the

artic

le w

heth

er h

emor

rhag

ic a

nd fa

tal b

leed

ing

wer

e in

clud

ed in

tota

l maj

or b

leed

ing.

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21 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

7 —[S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Six

to

Twel

ve M

onth

s vs

One

Mon

th o

f C

lopi

dogr

el P

lus

Asp

irin

Fol

low

ing

PC

I W

ith

Pla

cem

ent

of B

are

Met

al S

tent

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts T

ime

Fra

me:

6-9

mo

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

1 m

o C

lopi

dogr

el 1

Asp

irin

Risk

Diff

eren

ce W

ith 6

-12

mo

Clo

pido

grel

1 A

spir

in

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

3,39

0 (3

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s a N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

impo

rtan

t be

nefi t

and

har

m

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.7

3 (0

.48-

1.13

)28

per

1,0

00 b

8 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

15

few

er to

4 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

4,85

2 (3

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s a N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

No

seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.6

6 (0

.50-

0.86

)28

per

1,0

00 b

9 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

14

few

er to

4 fe

wer

)M

oder

ate

due

to ri

sk o

f bia

s

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

2,19

4 (2

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s a N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

uded

impo

rtan

t be

nefi t

and

har

m

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.4

6 (0

.16-

1.32

)10

per

1,0

00 b

5 fe

wer

per

1,0

00 (f

rom

8

few

er to

3 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

; not

cle

arly

defi

ned

c

5,05

2 (3

RC

Ts),

6-12

mo

Seri

ous

risk

of

bia

s a N

o se

riou

s in

cons

iste

ncy

No

seri

ous

indi

rect

ness

Seri

ous

impr

ecis

ion

CI

incl

udes

impo

rtan

t be

nefi t

and

har

m

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.1

7 (0

.86-

1.6)

50 p

er 1

,000

b 8

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m

7 fe

wer

to 3

0 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Dat

a fo

r m

eta-

anal

ysis

ext

ract

ed fr

om fo

llow

ing

stud

ies:

Meh

ta S

R, Y

usuf

S, P

eter

s R

J, e

t al.

Eff

ects

of p

retr

eatm

ent w

ith c

lopi

dogr

el a

nd a

spir

in fo

llow

ed b

y lo

ng-t

erm

ther

apy

in p

atie

nts

unde

rgoi

ng p

ercu

tane

ous

coro

nary

inte

rven

tion:

the

PC

I-C

UR

E s

tudy

. Lan

cet .

2001

;358

(928

1):5

27-5

33. P

ekde

mir

H, C

in V

G, C

amsa

ri A

, et

al. A

com

pari

son

of 1

-mo

and

6-m

o cl

opid

ogre

l the

rapy

on

clin

ical

and

ang

iogr

aphi

c ou

tcom

e af

ter

sten

t im

plan

tatio

n. H

eart

Ves

sels

. 200

3;18

(3):1

23-1

29. S

tein

hubl

SR

, Ber

ger

PB, M

ann

JT I

II, e

t al

. Ear

ly a

nd s

usta

ined

dua

l ora

l ant

ipla

tele

t th

erap

y fo

llow

ing

perc

utan

eous

cor

onar

y in

terv

entio

n: a

ran

dom

ized

con

trol

led

tria

l. JA

MA

. 200

2;28

8(19

):241

1-24

20. B

erna

rdi V

, Sza

rfer

J, S

umm

ay G

, et a

l. L

ong-

term

vs

shor

t-te

rm c

lopi

dogr

el th

erap

y in

pat

ient

s un

der-

goin

g co

rona

ry s

tent

ing

(fro

m th

e R

ando

miz

ed A

rgen

tine

Clo

pido

grel

Ste

nt [R

AC

S] tr

ial).

Am

J C

ardi

ol . 2

007;

99(3

):349

-352

. Akb

ulut

M, O

zbay

Y, K

arac

a I,

Ilk

ay E

, Gun

dogd

u O

, Ars

lan

N. T

he e

ffec

t of

long

-ter

m c

lopi

dogr

el u

se o

n ne

oint

imal

form

atio

n af

ter

perc

utan

eous

cor

onar

y in

terv

entio

n. C

oron

Art

ery

Dis

. 200

4;15

(6):3

47-3

52. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

and

S11

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Ber

nard

i et a

l and

Pek

dem

ir e

t al w

ere

not b

linde

d, a

nd th

ere

was

no

plac

ebo

cont

rol;

Ber

nard

i et a

l sto

pped

ear

ly fo

r ben

efi t.

Akb

ulut

et a

l des

ign

was

unc

lear

(no

men

tion

of ra

ndom

izat

ion,

but

the

Hea

lth

Tech

nolo

gy A

sses

smen

t rep

ort r

efer

s to

it a

s ra

ndom

ized

); M

ehta

et a

l had

var

iabl

e fo

llow

-up.

b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es w

ere

deri

ved

from

rat

es in

sub

ject

s tr

eate

d w

ith d

ual a

ntip

late

let t

hera

py fo

r 1

mo

in in

clud

ed tr

ials

. c M

ajor

ble

edin

g no

t str

atifi

ed b

y ty

pe o

f ble

ed; u

ncle

ar w

heth

er m

ajor

ble

edin

g in

clud

ed a

ny fa

talit

ies.

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22 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

8 —[S

ecti

ons

4.1.

1-4.

3.5]

Ext

ende

d D

ura

tion

of

Clo

pido

grel

Plu

s A

spir

in F

ollo

win

g P

CI

Wit

h P

lace

men

t of

Dru

g-E

luti

ng S

tent

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e fr

ame:

19

mo

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

Bia

sIn

cons

iste

ncy

Indi

rect

ness

Impr

ecis

ion

Publ

icat

ion

Bia

sR

elat

ive

Eff

ect

(95%

CI)

Ris

k W

ith 1

2 m

o C

lopi

dogr

el 1

A

spir

in

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

19

mo

Clo

pido

grel

1

Asp

irin

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

2,70

1 (2

RC

Ts),

19 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias a

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

ed

no b

enefi

t an

d im

port

ant h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.6

5 (0

.80-

3.36

)6

per

1,00

0 b 4

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

14

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

2,70

1 (2

RC

Ts),

19 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias a

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es n

o be

nefi t

and

im

port

ant h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.7

3 (0

.54-

5.53

)3

per

1,00

0 b 2

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

13

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Non

fata

l str

oke

(cri

tical

out

com

e)

2,70

1 (2

RC

Ts),

19 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias a

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es n

o be

nefi t

an

d im

port

ant h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

2.6

4 (0

.76-

9.16

)2

per

1,00

0 b 3

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

16

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Maj

or e

xtra

cran

ial b

leed

(im

port

ant o

utco

me)

Not

cle

arly

defi

ned

c

2,70

1 (2

RC

Ts),

19 m

oN

o se

riou

s ri

sk

of b

ias a

No

seri

ous

inco

nsis

tenc

yN

o se

riou

s in

dire

ctne

ssSe

riou

s im

prec

isio

n C

I in

clud

es n

o be

nefi t

an

d im

port

ant h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

2.9

7 (0

.43-

20.7

2)1

per

1,00

0 b 2

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 1

few

er to

19

mor

e)

Mod

erat

e du

e to

im

prec

isio

n

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Par

k SJ

, Par

k D

W, K

im Y

H, e

t al.

Dur

atio

n of

dua

l ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

aft

er im

plan

tatio

n of

dru

g-el

utin

g st

ents

. N E

ngl J

Med

. 201

0;36

2(15

):137

4-13

82. S

ee T

able

S1,

S2,

S10

, and

S11

lege

nds

for

expa

nsio

n of

abb

revi

atio

ns.

a Ope

n-la

bel s

tudy

, alth

ough

stu

dy e

nd p

oint

s w

ere

adju

dica

ted

by b

linde

d as

sess

ors.

b C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es c

ome

from

sub

ject

s re

ceiv

ing

dual

ant

ipla

tele

t the

rapy

for

1 y

in th

e m

erge

d tr

ials

. c M

ajor

ble

edin

g de

fi ned

by

TIM

I cr

iteri

a; n

o in

form

atio

n w

as p

rovi

ded

on th

e ty

pe o

f maj

or b

leed

ing

even

ts in

eith

er g

roup

. No

fata

l ble

edin

g w

as r

epor

ted.

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23 Copyright © 2012 American College of Chest Physicians. Reproduction of this article is prohibited without written permission from the American College of Chest Physicians ( http :// www . chestpubs . org / site / misc / reprints . xhtml ). DOI: 10.1378/chest.11-2306

Tabl

e S1

9 —[S

ecti

ons

5.1-

5.3]

War

fari

n vs

Asp

irin

in

Pat

ient

s W

ith

Syst

olic

LV

Dys

func

tion

(Is

chem

ic a

nd N

onis

chem

ic)

Qua

lity

Ass

essm

ent

Sum

mar

y of

Fin

ding

s

Ant

icip

ated

Abs

olut

e E

ffec

ts

Tim

e F

ram

e: 5

y

Part

icip

ants

(S

tudi

es),

Fol

low

-up

Ris

k of

B

ias

Inco

nsis

tenc

yIn

dire

ctne

ssIm

prec

isio

nPu

blic

atio

n B

ias

Rel

ativ

e E

ffec

t (9

5% C

I)R

isk

With

A

spir

in a

Ris

k D

iffer

ence

With

W

arfa

rin

(95%

CI)

Qua

lity

of

Evi

denc

e

Tota

l mor

talit

y (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

1,35

7 (3

RC

Ts),

23-2

7 m

oSe

riou

s b lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

5 (0

.76-

1.19

)19

3 pe

r 1,

000 a

10 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 4

6 fe

wer

to

36 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

MI

(cri

tical

out

com

e) c

1,35

8 (3

RC

Ts),

23-2

7 m

oSe

riou

s b lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

ben

efi t

and

harm

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.9

9 (0

.35-

2.84

)33

per

1,0

00 a

0 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

1 fe

wer

to

60 m

ore)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Stro

ke (c

ritic

al o

utco

me)

d

1,35

8 (3

RC

Ts),

23-2

7 m

oSe

riou

s b lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

no

bene

fi t

Und

etec

ted

RR

0.3

4 (0

.13-

0.97

)24

per

1,0

00 a

16 fe

wer

per

1,0

00

(fro

m 2

1 fe

wer

to

1 fe

wer

)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Maj

or b

leed

(cri

tical

out

com

e) e

1,35

8 (3

RC

Ts),

23-2

7 m

oSe

riou

s b lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsN

o se

riou

s lim

itatio

nsIm

prec

ise

CI

incl

udes

im

port

ant h

arm

Und

etec

ted

RR

1.9

7 (0

.89-

4.3)

30 p

er 1

,000

a 29

mor

e pe

r 1,

000

(fro

m 3

few

er to

99

mor

e)

Low

due

to r

isk

of b

ias

and

impr

ecis

ion

Bur

den

of tr

eatm

ent (

impo

rtan

t out

com

e)

W

arfa

rin

.

aspi

rin

War

fari

n: d

aily

med

icat

ion,

die

tary

an

d ac

tivity

res

tric

tions

, fre

quen

t bl

ood

test

ing/

mon

itori

ng, i

ncre

ased

ho

spita

l/clin

ic v

isits

Hig

h

A

spir

in: d

aily

med

icat

ion

only

Bib

liogr

aphy

: Dat

a fo

r m

eta-

anal

ysis

ext

ract

ed fr

om th

ree

stud

ies.

Cle

land

JG

, Fin

dlay

I, J

afri

S, e

t al.

The

War

fari

n/A

spir

in S

tudy

in H

eart

failu

re (

WA

SH):

a ra

ndom

ized

tria

l com

pari

ng a

ntith

rom

botic

st

rate

gies

for

patie

nts

with

hea

rt fa

ilure

. Am

Hea

rt J

. 200

4;14

8(1)

:157

-164

. Mas

sie

BM

, Col

lins

JF, A

mm

on S

E, e

t al.

Ran

dom

ized

tria

l of w

arfa

rin,

asp

irin

, and

clo

pido

grel

in p

atie

nts

with

chr

onic

hea

rt

failu

re: t

he W

arfa

rin

and

Ant

ipla

tele

t The

rapy

in C

hron

ic H

eart

Fai

lure

(WAT

CH

) tri

al. C

ircu

lati

on . 2

009;

119(

12):1

616-

1624

. Cok

kino

s D

V, H

aral

abop

oulo

s G

C, K

ostis

JB

, Tou

touz

as P

K. E

ffi ca

cy o

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rom

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in c

hron

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eart

failu

re: t

he H

EL

AS

stud

y. E

ur J

Hea

rt F

ail.

2006

;8(4

):428

-432

. See

Tab

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1, S

2, a

nd S

12 le

gend

s fo

r ex

pans

ion

of a

bbre

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ions

. a C

ontr

ol g

roup

ris

k es

timat

es w

ere

deri

ved

from

eve

nt r

ates

from

the

aspi

rin

arm

of t

he p

oole

d st

udie

s.

b Tw

o of

thre

e tr

ials

wer

e st

oppe

d ea

rly

(one

for

bene

fi t, o

ne fo

r sl

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robl

ems

with

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ding

. c F

atal

and

non

fata

l MIs

not

rep

orte

d se

para

tely

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udie

s.

d Fat

al a

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onfa

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epor

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