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Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling Alex Herbert Sales Manager James Cousins Sr. Statistical Analyst March 26 th , 2019

Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

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Page 1: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling

Alex HerbertSales Manager

James CousinsSr. Statistical Analyst

March 26th, 2019

Page 2: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Agenda• Who We Are

• Implications of Churn

• Ways to Prevent Churn

• How we can help

• Q & A

Page 3: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

About Rapid Insight

Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Conway, NH

Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable insights

Serving hundreds of customers worldwide, ranging from healthcare to higher education

The Veera platform enables users to easily build predictive models, perform advanced data analysis, and share insights

Code free (but code friendly)self-service analytics platform

Page 4: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Veera Construct enables everyone from citizen data scientists to PhD statisticians to turn any data into actionable information

Veera Predict enables users of any skill level to analyze data and build predictive models in a fraction of time required by other tools

Veera Bridge empowers organizations by democratizing data with its cloud-based collaboration platform

The Veera Platform

Page 5: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling

Page 6: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Our Simple Argument Against Churn

It’s critical to your businessto be on top of churn

We offer a very convenient solution to prevent churn

There are several ways to approach churn

Page 7: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Customer Churna.k.a. Customer Attrition, Turnover, Defection,…

• Losing Customers (voluntarily or involuntarily)

Page 8: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Customer Retention(avoiding churn)

• SafeguardsRevenue

Reputation

Morale

Page 9: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Customer Churn•Acquiring a new customer is between 5 and 25 times more expensive than retaining one1

• Increasing customer retention by 5% can increase profits by 25-95%2

1. www.hbr.org/2014/10/the-value-of-keeping-the-right-customers2. www.bellycard.com/resources/customer-retention-marketing-insights/

Page 10: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Analytics in Customer Churn

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 11: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

DescriptiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•What is your churn rate?

•Where is churn occurring?

•Who is churning?

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 12: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

PredictiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•What factors predict churn?

•How much churn are you expecting

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 13: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

ProactiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•Reach out to those likely to churn

•Make changes to mitigate churn

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 14: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Prevention Strategies1

Personalization

Learn from Customers (surveys, feedback)

Gamification & Referral programs

Subscriptions

Social Proof

Education- materials to support end-users' usage

"Surprise reciprocity" (providing unexpected benefits to build loyalty)

Thanking Customers (Zappos, Chewy)

Develop towards making their lives more convenient (Starbucks, apps)

Have a "mission" (Toms, Warby Parker)

1. blog.hubspot.com/service/customer-retention-strategies

Page 15: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Churn Use-Case: Telecommunications

Page 16: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

DescriptiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•What is your churn rate?

•Where is churn occurring?

•Who is churning?

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 17: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

ConnectIntegrate data in any format, from virtually any source

PrepareCreate step-by-step processes using easy, drag-and-drop visual workflows with no coding required

AnalyzeBuild and schedule jobs to run automatically, or run on-demand analyses

ShareWrite back to databases, create and disseminate reports, publish dashboards to visual analytics tools such as Tableau, or output datasets for predictive modeling

Page 18: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

PredictiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•What factors predict churn?

•How much churn are you expecting

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 19: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

What is Predictive Analytics?= Churned

= Retained

% of Plan Utilized

Churn Likelihood

Page 20: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Predictors of ChurnOutcome: Customer Churn

Predictor Not a Predictor

• Has children

• Marital status

• % of plan used

• Weekend vs Weekday ratio

• Bill delivery method

• Gender

Page 21: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Customer Churn Predictions

Plan Type # of Customers Predicted Churn Rate Predicted Loss

Basic 1,350 17.27% 233

Family Minutes 14,956 2.49% 373

Starter Package, Basic 2,611 10.29% 269

Starter Package, Full 1,083 8.71% 94

Page 22: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Fully TransparentAll methods and calculations performed are easily viewable

Automated Data MiningIdentify statistically significant data variables without manual effort

Easy to UseNew users can build expert models within two hours of training

No Programming NeededUse simple pick lists instead of programming or custom command languages

Automated Modeling ProcessBrings complex data analyses and predictive model building to users of any skill level

Page 23: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

ProactiveAnalytics in Customer Churn

•Reach out to those likely to churn

•Make changes to mitigate churn

Descriptive

Predictive

Proactive

Page 24: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Prevention Strategies1

Personalization

Learn from Customers (surveys, feedback)

Gamification & Referral programs

Subscriptions

Social Proof

Education- materials to support end-users' usage

"Surprise reciprocity" (providing unexpected benefits to build loyalty)

Thanking Customers (Zappos, Chewy)

Develop towards making their lives more convenient (Starbucks, apps)

Have a "mission" (Toms, Warby Parker)

1. blog.hubspot.com/service/customer-retention-strategies

Page 25: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Inspire CuriosityDemocratize data by allowing users to seamlessly view and explore data

Power ExplorationAllow anyone, in any department, with any skill level, be inspired by data

One Stop for All InsightsA single hub allows you to streamline data and report publishing

Self Service ReportingBy supplying reports or datasets through Veera Bridge, have peace of mind that your users can now answer all questions dynamically

Page 26: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Personalized Demo

data prepreporting

predictive modelingadvanced analytics

cloud-based reportingdata exploration

To schedule your personalized demo contact [email protected]

Page 27: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Questions?

Page 28: Preventing Churn Using Predictive Modeling · Predictive analytics and data preparation software company empowering professionals of all skill levels to turn raw data into actionable

Thank You!

[email protected]@rapidinsight.com

[email protected]

For more information, visit www.rapidinsight.com