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DAVID V. GOLIATH: SNOHOMISH COUNTY PUD’S ROLE IN BRINGING DOWN ENRON -OR- Our Journey Through the Media Funhouse Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by: Eric Christensen Assistant General Counsel Snohomish County PUD PO Box 1107 Everett, WA 98206-1107 (425) 783-8649 [email protected]

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DAVID V. GOLIATH: SNOHOMISH COUNTY PUD’S ROLE IN BRINGING DOWN ENRON -OR- Our Journey Through the Media Funhouse. Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by: Eric Christensen Assistant General Counsel Snohomish County PUD PO Box 1107 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

DAVID V. GOLIATH: SNOHOMISH COUNTY PUD’S ROLE IN BRINGING DOWN ENRON

-OR- Our Journey Through the Media Funhouse

Presented to:2005 APPA Legal Seminar

San Antonio, TXNovember 16, 2005

Presented by:Eric Christensen

Assistant General CounselSnohomish County PUD

PO Box 1107Everett, WA 98206-1107

(425) [email protected]

Page 2: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

2000-01 Western Power Crisis

Mid C Daily Spot Price

$0$25$50$75$100$125$150$175$200$225$250$275$300$325$350$375$400$425$450$475$500$525$550$575$600$625$650$675$700$725$750$775$800$825$850$875$900$925$950$975$1,000

06/ 13/ 9908/ 02/ 9909/ 21/ 9911/ 10/ 9912/31/ 9902/ 19/ 0004/ 09/ 0005/29/ 0007/18/ 0009/06/ 0010/26/ 0012/ 16/ 0002/ 06/ 0103/ 30/ 0105/ 19/ 0107/08/ 0108/27/ 0110/16/ 0112/05/ 0101/24/ 0203/15/ 0205/04/ 0206/23/ 0208/12/ 0210/ 01/ 0211/ 20/ 0201/ 09/ 0302/ 28/ 0304/19/ 0306/08/ 0307/28/ 0309/ 17/0311/ 06/ 0312/27/ 0302/15/ 0404/05/ 0405/ 25/ 04

$/MWh HLHLLH

Page 3: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Crisis, cont’d

Page 4: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

…but some still denied it…

Page 5: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Damage is Done

• Snohomish PUD Rates Increase ~ 60%• Huge Impacts Across the West

– 589,000 lost jobs– $35 billion in lost productivity (1.5% of

regional GDP)– Helps tip region into deep recession – Recurring blackouts in California

Page 6: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Damage Is Locked In – Long-Term Contracts

• Absurdly Inflated Terms and Conditions– Enron contract:

• $109/MWh• 25 MW flat block• 4/1/01 through 12/31/09• “Two-way” termination provision• Onerous collateralization requirement

• Many other similarly inflated contracts

Page 7: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

But there were some advantages…

Page 8: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Late 2001: Enron’s House of Cards Teeters

• October 2001: Financial Scandal Begins to Come to Light

• November 27, 2001: Enron Demands $94.5 million Collateral Payment

• November 28, 2001: Snohomish Terminates Contract

Page 9: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

December 2, 2001: Enron Files Bankruptcy

Page 10: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Enron Sues Snohomish

• January 31, 2003: Enron sues the PUD for $122 million termination fee(In re Enron, Case No. 01-16034 (AJG), Enron Power Marketing, Inc. v. PUD No. 1 of Snohomish County, Adv. Pro. No. 03-02064 (AJG) (Bankr. S.D.N.Y.))

Page 11: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Snohomish’s Defense Strategy

MEDIACoordinated Media

Strategy

LEGALPursue every available remedy

POLITICALPressure a Reluctant and

Insouciant FERC

Page 12: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

FERC Proceedings• 13-Month Staff Investigation (FERC

Docket No. PA02-2)• El Paso proceeding (FERC Docket No.

EL02-113)• Market-Based Rates Stripped

Prospectively (EL03-77)• “Gaming” and “Partnership”

Proceedings (EL03-180 et al.)

Page 13: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Enron Tapes

• Seized by the FBI in 2002• Enron can’t produce tapes to FERC• Legal Fight to Get Access to the Tapes• Rush Job to Review the Tapes in 10

Weeks

Page 14: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… MANIPULATING THE

MARKET:• “So if you guys on the desk you want to do some Fat Boys or –

whatever, man, um, you know, take advantage of it.” Ex. SNO-165

• “. . one of the first things I do is look at day ahead congestion and if it’s big numbers, I throw – try and throw a perpetual loop around.” SNO-175

• “. . . I’m doing some importin’ with a Fat Boy on El Paso.” SNO-202

• “So technically Western will see it, but it’s bouncing out, just in and out of their system . . .A ricochet I guess is a good way of putting it.” SNO-180

• “Fire up the old Death Star.” SNO-351

Page 15: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… RAKING IN HUGE PROFITS:

• “Holden’s over there scraping money into buckets… He’s pretty huge today.” Ex. SNO-202

• “. . Not a single megawatt generated for 15,000 bucks! … How can you beat a deal like that?” SNO-188

• “DIANA: Yeah do you know how much overage, um, John Forney gave me for the ricochet deals and all that stuff?. . . For actually just the ricochet deal he gave me 200 grand.PERSON 1: . . .Oh, so you gotta be way over a million now.DIANA: I’m at 1.1 and haven’t finished doing May or June.” SNO-214

Page 16: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… HIDING THE BALL:

• “Hey Ryan, this is Forney. I didn't want to call you on my recorded line. Ah, can you give me a call on my cell phone? . . And I‘ll fill you in and get you ready for tonight. Some little bit different things going on so, um, give me a call.” Ex. SNO-200

• “BRENDAN: You want me to call you right now? MIKE: Yeah on a non-recorded line on your side too. BRENDAN: I love these phone calls. All right.”

SNO-229

Page 17: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… WITHOLDING POWER:

“Bill:      Ah, we want you guys to get a little creative.Rich:    OK.Bill:      And come up with a reason to go down.Rich:    OKBill:      Anything you want to do over there? Any - Rich:    Ah- Bill:      Cleaning, anything like that?Rich:    Yeah, Yeah. There's some stuff we could be doing.” SNO-525

Page 18: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… LYING TO COUNTERPARTIES:

“GREG WOLFE: No, no, just tell ‘em . . . make it sound like we’re in a competitive process. . . who have others been talking to or some shit like that, you know.

SHARI STACK: [laughs]GREG: Um, called lies, its all how well you can weave these lies

together, Shari. . . .SHARI: I feel like I’m being corrupted now –GREG: No, this is marketing.SHARI: OK.GREG: It’s not as bad as trading.SHARI: Yeah, it’s true. Oh yeah, you’re right. OK, cool, I’ll – I’ll do

it.”

Page 19: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Tapes Show Enron in the Act of… GOUGING:

“Well, man its like [expletive], if I can stick it to LA, then [expletive] right…you also have to understand there are certain people I will gouge…OK, there’s two people I will gouge. One’s LA and the other one’s Nevada.”

Page 20: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Lighting the Media Fuse

• Los Angeles Times, Seattle Times, and trade press cover initial FERC filing

• Everett Herald

Page 21: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

TV Reporters CAN Read

• Contacted by Vince Gonzales of CBS News

• Public Records Request• Story Aired June 1, 2004

Page 22: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:
Page 23: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

…Setting off a nuclear chain reaction…

• Electronic Gridlock

• Media beat a path to our door for weeks

• Dozens of national and local TV crews

• Even international press is interested

• Became a political cartoon topic

Page 24: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Quick Tour Through The Documentary Evidence

“Needs Work• California gaming – we always say that we need to

increase this activity yet we never do. Need to work more closely with cash, scheduling, and real time to maximize opportunities.”

Belden’s 1998 Performance Review

• Beginning Even Before the Market Opened, Enron Probed for Weaknesses

Page 25: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Exploring the “Billion Dollar Loophole”

• Perot Systems email advertises the “$1 billion loophole”

“Sorry to bother you. Please treat this note as confidential. You did not hear this from me!. …

The ISO has finally become aware of one of the $1B loop-holes in the protocols (as I discussed at your conference). . . .[T]he $1B game provides a very illegal "protection game" opportunity. If, for example, "an ENRON," played the $1B game, the cost of energy would easily go to 100+mills to all others. . . .”

Page 26: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Billion Dollar Loophole, cont’d

• Enron Meets With Perot Systems, Identifies “Games”

Page 27: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Billion Dollar Loophole, cont’d

• Enron Probes for Weaknesses as Market Opens“Note for Tag# 155X**This is a PHONY import we showed to the ISO, so we could sell to the Power

Exchange at the Day-Ahead price and show a balanced schedule to the ISO (Import = Sale to PX).

We cut the LA schedule (Tim Belden called the ISO) and so now, we are effectively "short our sale to the PX. Since the ISO will cover any imbalance (we refer to this as the"imbalance market") at the Ex-Post price, LA agreed to this "game."

The ISO will call & tell us we're out of balance, so tell them we intend to correct the imbalance in the "Hour-Ahead" market. In fact, we really intend to do NOTHING in the Hour Ahead Market and let the ISO serve the imbalance at the Ex-Post Price.

Our goal was to see if we could and take advantage of buying power at the Ex-Post price (which has been much lower than the day-ahead price) and sell to the PX at the Day-Ahead price.”

Page 28: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

The Billion Dollar Loophole, cont’d

• Enron Uses “Game” Suggested by Perot Systems to Overload Silver Peak Tie Line

• Overloaded 15 MW tie line to disrupt ISO congestion management and pricing

• Silver Peak I: January 20, 1999 – Scheduled 1000 MW over 15 MW Silver Peak Line

• Silver Peak II: May 25, 1999 – Scheduled 2900 MW over 15 MW Silver Peak Line

Page 29: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Silver Peak SucceedsActual Market Solution

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

19000 20000 21000 22000 23000 24000 25000 26000 27000 28000 29000Quantity (MWh)

Price

($/M

Wh)

Supply (U) Supply (U-2900) Demand CongestedPrice UnconstrainedPrice

2900$5

$15.1

1865

Hour 18 on May 25, 1999

8 of 8

Page 30: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

1999: Project Stanley

• Gamed the Alberta Power Pool• Alberta system is a small version of

California ISO• Result: “On average, trades appear to “On average, trades appear to

have increased prices by over have increased prices by over $300/MWh”$300/MWh”

Page 31: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Exercising market power in a clearing pool Trader can seek to increase prices by bidding

up prices in the Pool or withholding capacity

Profitable if the increase in Pool price over marginal cost is greater than the lost quantity

Price-quantity relationship for each trader described by a “reaction function”

Reaction function is steep when supply is highly inelastic or when there are few other sellers

Profitability increased if a trader has other infra-marginal capacity offered to market

MW

MW

h

QQ’

P’

P’

MC

Reaction function

Page 32: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Conclusions - Impact on Pool prices

Based on a simplified initial analysis, there was an impact on Pool prices:

raised Pool revs by ~ $45 million in 22 hours on total Pool volume

actual financial impact would likely be under $7million after accounting for legislated hedges

Need to model legislated hedge and price impacts more precisely

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

Jun

01 H

E13

Jun

01 H

E14

Jun

07 H

E14

Jun

07 H

E16

Jun

17 H

E13

Jun

17 H

E15

Jun

18 H

E12

Jun

18 H

E15

Jun

18 H

E16

Jul 1

2 H

E13

Aug

05

HE1

3

Aug

05

HE1

4

Aug

05

HE1

5

Aug

20

HE1

5

Aug

20

HE1

6

Aug

20

HE1

7

Aug

23

HE1

2

Aug

23

HE1

5

Sep

02 H

E13

Sep

02 H

E14

Sep

02 H

E15

Sep

02 H

E16

Date and hour of transaction

Pric

e ($

/MW

h)

Pool price

"But for bid" price

Page 33: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Project Stanley, The Tapes• Valerie Sabo: “This is on a taped line but don’t tell anyone we’re like

trying to screw with the Pool price.”

• Bill (Powerex) & Valerie (Enron):– Valerie: “You are rigging the market are you?”– Bill: “It’s a gong show”– Valerie: “You good boy. I’m proud of you, man. You make us proud .”

• John (Enron): “I proposed that he give me this power for, like, one hour today and let us pay him $200 plus the upside of the Pool price and, why don’t you guys just think about why it’s a good idea, and I can’t spell it out (laughing), for fear of jail, but he should do this deal with us.”

Page 34: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Institutionalized Corruption

Page 35: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

2000: Enron’s Attack on the Market

Number of Days with Evidence of Enron Schemes by Month(Project Stanley, Silver Peak, Wheel Out, Non-Firm Export, Load Shift, Death Star, Ricochet, Non-Firm as Firm, Get Shorty, Spread Play, Donkey Punch, Ping Pong)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

May

-98

Jan-

99M

ay-9

9Ju

n-99

Jul-9

9Au

g-99

Sep-

99D

ec-9

9Ja

n-00

Feb-

00M

ar-0

0Ap

r-00

May

-00

Jun-

00Ju

l-00

Aug-

00Se

p-00

Oct

-00

Nov

-00

Dec

-00

Jan-

01Fe

b-01

Mar

-01

Apr-

01M

ay-0

1Ju

n-01

Jul-0

1Au

g-01

Sep-

01O

ct-0

1N

ov-0

1D

ec-0

1

Month

Num

ber o

f Sch

eme

Days

Page 36: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Legal DevelopmentsState of California ex rel. Lockyer v. FERC, 383

F.3d 1006 (Sept. 9, 2004), reh’g pending.– Market-based rates are not per se illegal BUT– “With FERC abdicating its regulatory responsibility,”

“market was subjected to artificial manipulation on a massive scale”

– There was a “patent failure” to comply with reporting requirements

– FERC abused its discretion by treating these violations as a “mere punctilio”

– Market-based rates are illegal unless accompanied by effective means to assure proper market function

Page 37: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Legal Developments, cont’d– Bonneville Power Administration v. FERC,

9th Cir. No. 02-70262 (issued Sept. 6, 2005)

– Holds that FERC has no power to required consumer-owned utilities to disgorge profits

– Affirms that Sections 201(e) and (f) of the FPA mean what they say

Page 38: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Legal Developments, cont’d– A number of civil cases brought under California law – Electric Cases Rejected on Filed Rate Doctrine

Grounds: PUD No. 1 of Snohomish County v. Dynegy Power Marketing, Inc., 384 F.3d 756 (9th Cir. 2004), cert. denied, 125 S.Ct. 2957 (2005).

– BUT, California Court refuses to reject civil suits on natural gas price manipulation, and FERC refuses to interfere See Sempra Petition for Declaratory Order, FERC Docket No. EL05-130.

Page 39: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Legal Developments, cont’d– PUD No. 1 of Snohomish County v. FERC,

9th Cir. Nos. 03-72511, 03-74208 (argued 12/8/04)

– Challenges FERC refusal to provide relief on long-term contract with Morgan Stanley Capitol Group, Inc.

– Decision expected any time

Page 40: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

Legal Developments, cont’d• California Spot Market

– FERC Docket No. EL00-95 – Appeals Pending in the 9th Circuit: CPUC v. FERC,

No. 01-71051 (staged briefing)• Pacific Northwest Spot Market Proceeding

– FERC Docket No. EL01-10– 9th Cir. Appeal: Port of Seattle v. FERC, No. 03-

74139 (Pet’rs briefs filed 1-14-05)

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ENRON RESOURCES: BOOKS• Kurt Eichenwald, CONSPIRACY OF FOOLS (2005)• Bethany McLean & Peter Elkind, SMARTEST GUYS IN THE ROOM:

THE AMAZING RISE AND SCANDALOUS FALL OF ENRON (2003).• Lynn Brewer, HOUSE OF CARDS: CONFESSIONS OF AN ENRON

EXECUTIVE (available at virtualbookworm.com)• Mimi Swartz & Sherron Watkins, POWER FAILURE: THE INSIDE

STORY OF THE COLLAPSE OF ENRON• Robert Bryce, PIPE DREAMS: GREED, EGO AND THE DEATH OF

ENRON (foreword by Molly Ivins) (“If [George W.] Bush had been any more simpatico to Enron, he could’ve been charged with a misdemeanor under the State of Texas’s buggery laws.”)

• Tim Barry, THE TOTALLY UNAUTHORIZED ENRON JOKE BOOK (“Why do the bury Enron executives 20 feet underground? Because deep down, they’re all really good people.”)

Page 49: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by:

ENRON RESOURCES• THE MOVIE: “Enron: The Smartest Guys in

the Room,” directed by Alex Gibney (2004)• WEBSITES:

– www.snopud.com (“Our Fight Against Enron” tab) – www.enrontapes.com– www.llrx.com/features/enron.htm (legal document index)– www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/business/2605425

(Houston Chronicle archive)– news.findlaw.com/legalnews/lit/enron/index.html#documents

(Findlaw document index)

Page 50: Presented to: 2005 APPA Legal Seminar San Antonio, TX November 16, 2005 Presented by: