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Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 1
Chapter 1:
Introduction to MacroeconomicsI- Definition:
- m:aRkUesdækic©- sikSaBIdMeNIrRbRBwtþénexÓnesdækic©kñúgRTg;RTayTUlaydUcCakareRbIR)as; srub> karvinieyaKsrub/ karnaMecjsrub/ nigéfømFüménTMnij nig esvakmµTaMgGs; .
- mIRkUesdækic©- sikSaBIdMeNIrRbRBwtþénmuxgar \riyabf nig esckþIsMerccitþrbs ;shRKas rWRKYsar kñúgRTg;RTaytUc rWÉkbuKÁl dUcCa³ tMrUvkar nigkarpÁt;pÁg;rbs;GñkeRbIR)as;> PaBejacéntMrUvkar rWkarpÁt;pÁg;eTAnwgéfø> CMerIs nig GtßRbeyaCn_rbs;GñkeRbIR)as; CaedIm.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 2
•kñúgkareRCIserIsnUv neya)aym:aRkUesdækic©
eFVI[RbCaCatimYyGac³1- BnøÓn b¤ BnüWtkMenInesdækic© 2- beBa¢H[man
GtiprNa b¤ bnßykareLIgéfø 3- eFVI [man»n PaBBaNiC¢kmµ b¤ begáIt[manplelIsxagBaNiC¢kmµ .
•enAkñúgm:aRkUesdækic©viTüaeyIgBinitüemIlkMritTUlayén³
1- bNþakalaGnuvtþPaB (Opportunity) 2- ]bsKÁEdlRbQmmuxedayexOnesdækic©TaMg mUl dUcCa³ karekIneLIgénkMritéfø GRtanikmµPaB
•kñúgkarviPaKm:aRkUesdækic©eyIgEtgEtCYbRbTHGBaØatþiCaKnøwHénm:aRkUesdækic©xøH dUcCa ³ GNP, GDP, The unemployment rate, Net Export, . . .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 3
The Diverse Fields of Economics
Examples of microeconomic and macroeconomic concernsProduction Prices Income Employment
Microeconomics
Production/Output in Individual Industries and Businesses How much steelHow many officesHow many cars
Price of Individual Goods and Services Price of medical carePrice of gasolineFood pricesApartment rents
Distribution of Income and Wealth Wages in the auto industryMinimum wagesExecutive salariesPoverty
Employment by Individual Businesses & IndustriesJobs in the steel industryNumber of employees in a firm
Macroeconomics
National Production/Output Total Industrial OutputGross Domestic ProductGrowth of Output
Aggregate Price Level Consumer pricesProducer PricesRate of Inflation
National IncomeTotal wages and salaries
Total corporate profits
Employment and Unemployment in the Economy Total number of jobsUnemployment rate
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 4
II- Major Macroeconomic Issues
1-Economic Growth: CakarekIneLIgén TniñplsrubnigTinñplkñúg mñak;². keNIenHmann½yfakMrit CIvPaBrs;enA CamFümekIneLIg .
•bBaðamYyeTotkMnt;fakarlUtlas;esdækic© Tak;TgeTAnwgeKal neya)ayrbs; rdæaPi)al. ]bmafa »nPaBfvikarbs;rdæaPi)al eFVI[mankarkat;bnßyPaBlUt las;esdækic©. krNI enHdUcCa³ - cMnayelIscMnUlBnV- karx©IluyxageRkA - karmanGRtakarR)ak;x<s;- karkat;bnßykarvinieyaK- karFøak;cuHesdækic©.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 5
2-Business Cycles
esdækic©manninñkarpøas;bþÚrCabnþbnÞab; KWmaneLIg nigcuHEdleKehAfaxYbGaCIvkmµ . xYbGaCIvkmµsMedAeTAelIkarFøak;cuHnwglMhUrénskmµPaBGaCIvkmµCabnþbnÞab ;Edl)anekIt
eLIgCMrujninñakarry³eBlEvg . Figure1-1: Business Cycle Trough
Rec
over
y
Peak
Recession
Trend Growth
Rea l
GD P
Time
Trough
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 6
Trouhg ¬Føak;cuHdl;)at¦- FFansl;TMenreRcIn.- kMritén
TinñplTabeFobeTAnwgsmtßPaBplitrbs;exOnesdækic©. dUecñHmanTMhM énsmtßPaBplitd¾FMminRtUv)an eKeRbI .
- R)ak;cMenjGaCIvkmµTabRkumh‘unmYycMnYnmankarxatbg;eTotpg.
- KµanPaBeCOCak;elIsßanPaB esdækic©eBlGnaKt CalTV plnaM[shRKasmYy cMnYnKµanqnÞHcg;vinieyaKfµI .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 7
Recovery ¬karegIbeLIgvij¦ - ]bkrN_brikçacas;²
hYssm½yRtUv)andUrecj. - kareRbIR)as;FnFan/ cMnUl/ nig
cMnayrbs;GñkeRbIR)as;cab;epIþmekIneLIg .
- kþIsgÇwmelIGaCIvkmµekIneLIg CalTVplnaM[plitkmµ/ karlk; nig R)ak;cMenj ekIneLIg.
- GnikmµPaB nig TinñplsrubekIneLIg .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 8
Peak ¬ekIneLIgdl;kMBUl¦- smtßPaBEdlmanRtUv)aneKeRbIdl;kMri
tkMBUl.- BlkmµxVH
CaBiessRbePTBlkmµEdlmanCMnajx<s;
- vtßúFatuedImsMxan;²Rk naM[éføedIm plitkmµekIneLIg b:uEnþedaysarEt éfø plitplekIneLIgEdr GaCIvkmµenAEtcMenj .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 9
Recession ¬karFøak;cuH¦- skmµPaBesdækic©Føak;cuH .
karFøak;cuHenHmann½yfaplitplCatisrub
(Gross Domestic Product=GDP) Føak;cuH . - tMrUvkarFøak;cuHCalTVplnaM[plitkmµ
nig GnikmµPaB Føak;cuH . enAeBl GnikmµPaBFøak;cuH cMnUlrbs;RkumRKYsarFøak;cuH .
- R)ak;cMeNjFøak;cuH naM[ shRKas mYycMnYnmanbBaðaxaghirBaØvtßú .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 10
III- Key Macroeconomic Phenomena
1-Output and Income ¬Tinñpl nig cMnUl¦
National Income:
CatMélTwkR)ak;srubénplitplnigesvakmµcugeRkaykñúgesdækic©mYy
elIry³eBlCak;lak; Biessry³eBlmYyqñaM.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 11
Output or National product:
CacMnYnsrubénplitplnigesvakmµcugeRkayEdlRtUv)anplit. ehIyRtUv )anvas;CaÉkta
dUcCa KitCaetanénEdkEfb CaetA énRsUvsaLI
CacMnYnmnusSénesvakmµkat;sk;. l. tamniymn½yplitplCati (National Output)
esµInwgcMNUlsrub (National Income) Edl)an begáIteLIgedayplitkmµTMnij nig esvakmµenaH . GacniyayedayxøIfa eBlEdleyIg sikSaBIplitplCati (National Product or National
Output) KWeyIgkMBugsikSapgEdr BIcMnUlCati (National Income)
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 12
The Circular Flow of Expenditure and Income
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 13
1.1- Aggregating Total Output ¬Tinñpl srubTaMgmUl¦
CakarbUkbBa©ÚlnUvTinñplxus²KñaCatMélsac;R)ak;. tamry³ karKuN brimaN TinñplénTMnij mYyCamYynwg éføkñúgmYyÉktarbs;eKehIybnÞab;mk bUktMélTaMgenaHcMeBaH TMnij nImYy²Edl)an plit eyIgGacKNnabrimaN én Tinñpl srubEdl)anKitCaduløar.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 14
1.2- Real and Nominal Values ¬tMélBit nig tMélrUbPaB¦- Nominal National Income:
CakarbUkbBa©ÚlnUvTinñplxus²KñaCatMélsac; R)ak;. karERbRbYlénrgVas; enHGacbNþalmkBIkar ERbRbYlTaMgbrimaN nigTaMg éføCamUldæan rbs;va .
- Real National Income :
Canic©CakalRtUv)aneKehAfacMnUlCatiCaduløaefr. karvas;EvgenH tMélrbs;Tinñpl mYy² KWminEmnCaéføbc©úb,nñeT KWCa
éføefr EdlKitkñúgkMritéføqñaMeKal. dUecñHkrNI Real National Income mankar ERbRbYlKWvaERbRbYlEtbrimaNb:ueNÑaH.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 15
1.3- National Income ¬R)ak;cMnUlCati¦
rgVas;Edl)aneRbICaTUeTAbMputénR)ak;cMnUlCatiehAfaplitplCatidul ( Gross Domestic Product = GDP)
National Income:
CatMélTwkR)ak;srubénplitpl nigesvakmµcugeRkay
kñúgesdækic©mYy elIry³eBlCak;lak; Biessry³eBlmYyqñaM.
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 16
2- Employment, Unemployment and the Labor Force
•PaBmankargareF VI¬GnikmµPaB =
Employment) sMedAeTAelIcMnYnGñk eFVIkar eBjv½y ¬tamc,ab; enA shrdæGaemrikcab; BI16qñaMeLIgeTA¦mankargareFVI .
•PaBKµankargareF VI¬nikmµPaB =
Unemployment) sMedAeTAelIcMnYnGñk eFVIkareBjv½yEdlminRtUv)an eKeRbI b:uEnþkMBugEtEsVgrkkargareFVI .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 17
•kMlaMgBlkmµ ( Labor force)
KWCacMnYnRbCaCnsrubEdlmankargareFVIbUknwgcMMnYnEdlKµankargareFVI .
cMnYnnikmµCn GRtanikmµPaB =
KuN 100 cMnYnénkMlaMgBlkmµ•enAeBlEdlexOnesdækic©sßitenARtg; GDP
skþanuBleyIgcat;Tukfa kMritén PaBmankargareFVIx<s; b¤eBlxøHmankargareFVIRKb;²Kña (Full
employment) .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 18
3-Inflation and the price Level ¬GtiprNa nig kMritéfø¦• GtiprNa (Inflation)
mann½yfaéføCaTUeTAeLIgx<s;minEmnRKan;EtéføénTMnijb¤
esvakmµ EtmYymux b¤BIrmuxenaHeT EtCaéfø esÞIr Et RKb; TMnij TaMgGs; .
• edIm,IsikSaGtiprNa (Inflation) Gñkesdækic©eRbIsBaØaNBIr ³
- TImYyKWkMritéfø (Price level)
EdlsMedAeTAelIkMriitCamFüménéføTaMgGs; kñúgexOnesdækic©ehIy tag eday (P) .
- TIBIrKWGRtaGtiprNa (Rate of inflation) CaGRtaEdlkMritéføTUeTA kMBugEt
ekIneLIg .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 19
•]TahrN_tMélén CPI kñúgEx5 qñaM1998 esµInwg 162,8 nigkñúgEx5 qñaM1997 esµI160,1 . GRtaGtiprNakñúgkMLúgeBlmYyqñaMKWCa PaKry bMERbbMrYl kMritéfø EckeGaykMritéføqñaMdMbUg ehIyKuNnwg 100.
162,8 – 160,1
GRtaGtiprNa Inflation = x 100 = 1,7 %
160,1
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 20
•edIm,Ivas;EvgkMritéfømFüm Gñkesdækic©begáItnUvsnÞsSn_éfø (Price Index) EdlCamFümPaKénéførbs;TMnijepSg² .
•snÞsSn_éføEdleKniym eRbICageKKW snÞsSn_éførbs;GñkeRbIR)as; (Consumer
Price index = CPI) Edlvas;EvgéfømFüménTMnij nig esvakmµ TijedayGñkeRbIR)as;mFüm (Average consumer) .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 21
Price of Basket of Goods and Service CPI = × 100 Price of Basket in Base Year
CPI in Year 2 - CPI in Year 1 Inflation in Year 2 = × 100 CPI in Year 1
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 22
•]TahrN_³ manTinñn½ydUctaragxageRkamYear
1 Basket= 4 Coca + 2 Beer
Cost of the
Basket
Consumer
Price Index (CPI)
(Base year 2005) The Rate of InflationPrice
of Coca
Price of Beer
2005 1$ 2$1×4+2×2=
8$/ basket8/8×100= 100
2006 2$ 3$2×4+3×2=
14$/ bask.
14/8×100= 175(175 – 100)/ 100×100 = 75%
2007 3$ 4$3×4+4×2=
20$/ bask.
20/8×100= 250(250 – 175)/ 175×100 =
43%
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 23
• Why inflation matters ¬ehtuGVIGtiprNaCabBaða¦• karERbRbYlkMritéfømYy eFVI[mankarpøas;bþÚr
tMélBitrbs;rUbiyvtßú . BaküfakMlaMgTijén rUbiyvtßú (Purchasing power of money ) nigtMél BiténrUbiyvtßú (Real value of money ) sMedAeTAelIbrimaNénTMnij nigesvakmµ EdlGacRtUv)an eKTijCamYy nwg cMnYnluymYykMnt;. kMlaMgTijénrUbiyvtßú manTMnak;TMngCaGviC¢man CamYykMritéfø.
]TahrN_ebIsinCakMritéføekIn BIrdg enaHmYyduløanwgTij)anEtBak; kNþal b:ueNÑaH ebIsinCakMritéføfycuHBak;kNþalenaH naM[mYy duløanwgTij)anBIrdg.
•GtiprNa k¾kat;bnßypgEdrnUvtMélBiténGVImYy Edl éførbs;vaefr KitCasac;R)ak; . dUecñH tMélBiténR)ak;Ex KNnIsnSM RtUv)ankat;bnßyedayGtiprNa .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 24
4- The Interest Rate ¬GRtakarR)ak;¦ GRtakarR)ak;KWCaéføEdlRtUv)aneKTUTat;cMeBaHluyx©IsMrab;ry³eBlmYykMNt; ehIyRtUv)an eKKitCacMnYnPaKrykñúgmYy duløaEdl)anx©I . ]TahrN_ GRtaTUTat; 12 % kñúgmYyqñaM mann½yfa Gñk x©I RtUvTUTat; 12
% kñúg 1qñaM sMrab; erogral;duløa EdleKx©I .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 25
4.1- Interest Rates and Inflation ¬GRtakarR)ak; nig GtiprNa
¦ etIGtiprNaCH\TVBlelIGRtakarR)ak;dUcemþc?
]bmafa x©I $100 sgvij $108 mann½yfa $100 CaR)ak;edIm cMENkÉ $8 CakarR)ak; . kñúgkrNIenHGRtakarR)ak;rUbPaBesµI $8. enAeBlkMritéføekIneLIgnaM[tMélénduløaEdl GñkeRbI sMrab;TUTat;fycuH . GRtakarR)ak;Bit vas;nUvplcMnUlelIkm©IBit (Real return on loan) EdlCakMlaMgTijénluy .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 26
- ebIsinCakMritéføkñúgqñaMenaHenA efrdédl GRtakarR)ak;BitesµInig 8% BIeRBaH Kat;GacTijTMnijnigesvakmµeRcInCagmun 8% CamYy nwg $108 eFobnwg $100 R)ak;edIm .
- ebIsinkMritéfø ekIn 8% enaHGRta karR)ak;BitesµI 0 BIeRBaH $108 Tij)an TMnijkñúgbrimaNdUc $100 EdlKat;[x©IdMbUg .
- ebIsinkMritéf ekIneLIg 10% enaHGRtakarR)ak;BitesµInwg -2% . mann½yfaR)ak; $108 nigTij)anbrimaNTMnijticCagkm©IedIm $100 .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 27
4.2- why Interest Rate Matter ¬ehtuGVI)anCaGRtakarR)ak;manbBaða¦
• karERbRbYlGRtakarR)ak;BitCH\TViBlelIsþg;darénkarrs;enArbs;GñksnSMpgGñkx©Ipg . ]ThrN_GñkcUlnivtþn_CaeRcInenAedImTsvtSqñaM 1990s
enAeBlGRtakarR)ak;Føak;dl; 2-3% naM[GñkcUl nivtþn_CYbRbTHnUvkarFøak;cuHy:agxøaMgéncMNUlBitrbs;BYkeK . pÞúyeTAvijbNþaGñkx©Inwgl¥CagCamYynwgGRtakarR)ak;BitTab .
• GRtakarR)ak;manbBaðapgEdrcMeBaHexOnesdækic©TaMgmUl . GRtakarR)ak;BitCYykMNt;
TMhM karvinieyaK . GRtakarR)ak;Bitx<s;karvinieyaKticCagGRtakarR)ak;BitTab . dUecñHtamry³\TViBl énkarvinieyaK GRtakarR)ak;Bit k¾CH\TViBlelIGnikmµPaB nig TinñplkñúgdMeNIrkarx©I .
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 28
We can calculate real interest rate in mathematical terms:
r = i – I
r: the real interest rate, i: the nominal, or market, interest rate,
I: the inflation rate,
Prepared By Mr. Bin Chhom 29
Real interest rates in the years following:
Year Interest rate % Inflation rate %Real interest rate %
1970 6.5 5.7 0.8
1975 5.8 9.1 -3.3
1980 11.5 13.5 -2.0
1985 7.5 3.6 3.9
1990 7.5 5.4 2.1
1995 5.5 2.8 2.7
2000 5.9 3.4 2.5