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    A N O T E T O I N S T R U C T O R S

    T H E C O V E R A N D T H E T I T L E

    Operations and Supply Management: The Core derives its title from a combinationof ideas and trends. First, in order to be lean and focused, the book presents the im-portant core ideas. A review by Professor Jacobs of the syllabi of over a dozen repre-sentative U.S. universities revealed that, as expected, there was a wide variety of top-ics covered; all of which would lead naturally to a comprehensive text such asOperations Management for Competitive Advantage. The topics covered in all of thesesampled schools, i.e., the consistent or Core topics, is what this text includes, and onlythose.

    In addition to that study, the authors participated in a two-session meeting chairedby Mark Berenson at the National DSI meeting in Boston in which faculty suggestedthat four areas ought to be considered core in Operations Management courses.These areas are Processes, Quality, Inventory, and Supply Chain Management,

    roughly similar to the sections of this text.Finally, as is well known in the field, success for companies today requires success-

    fully managing the entire supply flow, from the sources of the firm, through the value-added processes of the firm, and on to the customers of the firm.

    The cover illustration might be considered symbolic or representative of the core aswell as the supply flow.

    Just as lava flows from the core of the earth, operations and supply management isthe core of business. Materials must flow through supply processes to create cash out-put and profits.

    In Operations and Supply Management: The Core, we take students to the center ofthe business and focus on the core concepts and tools needed to ensure that theseprocesses run smoothly.

    I-ii

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    Instructors Walkthroug

    The following section

    highlights the key features

    developed to provide you

    with the best overall teaching

    text available. We hope these

    features give you maximum

    support while allowing you

    to tailor your course to fit the

    needs of your students.

    Chapter Opener

    Chapter10DEMANDMANAGEMENTANDFORECASTING

    Afterreadingthechapteryouwill:1. Understandtheroleofforecastingasabasisforsupplychainplanning.

    2. Knowhowindependentdemandanddependentdemanddiffer.3. Knowthebasiccomponentsofindependentdemand:average, trend,seasonal,and

    randomvariation.4. BecomefamiliarwithcommonqualitativeforecastingtechniquessuchastheDelphi

    method.5. Know how to make time series forecasts usingmoving averages, exponential

    smoothing,andregression.6. UnderstandhowtheInternetisusedtoimproveforecasting.

    250 Wal-MartsDataWarehouse251 DemandManagemen

    tDependentdemanddefinedIndependentdemanddefined

    252 TypesofForecasting

    Timeseriesanalysisdefined252 ComponentsofDemand254 QualitativeTechniquesinForecastingMarketResearch

    PanelConsensusHistoricalAnalogyDelphiMethod

    256 TimeSeriesAnalysisSimpleMovingAverageExponentialsmoothingdefined

    WeightedMovingAverageSmoothingconstantalpha()defined

    ExponentialSmoothingSmoothingconstantdelta()defined

    ForecastErrorsMean

    absolutedeviation(MAD)defined

    SourcesofError

    Trackingsignaldefined

    MeasurementofErrorLinearregressionforecastingdefined

    LinearRegressionAnalysis

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    I-iv INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

    A P P L E S I P O D H A S I T S O W N P R O D U C T

    D E V E L O P M E N T T E A MHow does Apple develop the innovative products it sells? Apple has two separate product

    development teams, one organized around its Macintosh computer and the other focused

    on the iPod music player. By organizing this way Apple can precisely focus resources on its

    amazingly successful products. The iPod has reinvigorated Apple and its bottom line over

    the past two years.

    Much of theunderlying iPod designwas performed byoutsidecompanies. Consumer elec-

    tronics is a fast moving area and using established experts linked together in what could be

    called a design chain, Apple was ableto quickly bring the iPod to market.

    Apple developed a layered project

    that relied on a platform created by a

    thirdparty, PortalPlayer,ofSantaClara,

    California.PortalPlayerhad developed

    a base platform for a variety of audio

    systems, including portable digital

    music devices, general audio systems,

    andstreamingaudio receivers.

    Apple started with a vision of

    what theplayer shouldbeandwhat it

    should look like. The subsequent de-

    sign parameters were dictated by its

    appearance and form factor. That outside-in perspective helped determine a number of the

    components, including the planar lithium battery from Sony and the 1.8-inch Toshiba hard

    Opening Vignettes

    Each chapter opens with a short vignette to set the stage and help pique studentsinterest in the material about to be studied. A few examples include:

    IKEA, Chapter 1, page 5

    iPod, Chapter 2, page 21

    DHL, Chapter 5, page 107

    Solectron, Chapter 9, page 224

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    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-v

    The Motorola RAZR Cell Phone

    The unique design process Motorolas team used for the newhit product.

    Breakthrough

    chargerport, andso on.Scheduled foran hour, themeetingsfre-

    quently ran past 7 P.M. The thin clam project became a rebel

    outpost. Money wasnt an object or a constraint, but secrecyandspeed were. Theteam prohibited digital picturesof thepro-

    ject so that nothing could be inadvertently disseminated by

    e-mail. Models of the phone could leave the premises only

    when physically carried or accompanied by a team member.

    There were two key innovations that allowed the team to make

    quantum leaps in thinness, one of the key design features they

    aimed at. The first was placing the antenna in the mouthpiece

    of the phone instead of at the top. While this had not been

    done in cell phones before, it was also a technical challenge.

    The second brainstorm was rearranging the phones innards, pri-

    marily by placing the battery next to the circuit board, or inter-

    nal computer, rather than beneath it. That solution, however,

    created a new problem: width. Motorolas human factors ex-

    perts had concluded that a phone wider than 49 millimeters

    wouldnt fit well in a persons hand. The side-by-side design

    yielded a phone 53 millimeters wide. But the RAZR team didnt

    accept the companys research as gospel. The team made its

    own model to see how a 53-millimeter phone felt and in the

    end, theteammembers decided ontheirownthatthe company

    was wrong and that four extra millimeters were acceptable.

    Thecompanysold its 50-millionthRAZR in June2006! Motorola

    will sell more RAZRs this year than Apple will iPods. Several key

    players fromthe RAZRdevelopmentteam were asked to appear

    at a meeting of top executives at company headquarters. They

    werent told why. Then, as the team members filed in, the

    Motorola brass awaiting them raised in applause, delivering a

    standing ovation. Team members were also told they would berewarded witha significant bonusof stock options.

    The new Motorola RAZR was incubated and hatched in color-less cubicles in Libertyville, a northern Chicago suburb. It was a

    skunkworks project whose tight-knit team repeatedly flouted

    Motorolas own company rules for developing new products.

    They kept the project top-secret, even from their colleagues.

    They used materials and techniques Motorola had never tried

    before. After contentious internal battles, they threw out ac-

    cepted models of what a mobile telephone should look and

    feel like. In short, the team that created the RAZR broke the

    mold, and in the process rejuvenated the company.

    To design the look and feel as well as the internal configuration

    of a telephone takes a team of specialists, in the case of the

    RAZR about 20people. The full team metdaily at4 P.M. inacon-

    ference room in Libertyville to hash over the previous days

    progress as they worked down a checklist of components: an-tenna, speaker, keypad,camera,and display, light source,battery,

    Adapted from RAZRS edge, Fortune Magazine,June 1, 2006.

    Breakthrough Boxes

    The Breakthroughs provide examples or expansions of the topics presented byhighlighting leading companies practicing new, breakthrough ways to run their

    operations. Examples include: America West Boarding, page 8

    Motorola RAZR Design, page 24

    J. D. Power and Associates Defines Quality, page 141

    Capability Sourcing at 7-Eleven, page 191

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    I-vi INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

    Example 5.1: Customers in Line

    Western National Bank is considering opening a drive-through window for customer service. Man-

    agement estimates that customers will arrive at the rate of 15 per hour. The teller who will staff the

    window can service customers at the rate of one every three minutes or 20 per hour.

    Part 1 Assuming Poisson arrivals and exponential service, find

    1. Utilization of the teller.

    2. Average number in the waiting line.

    3. Average number in the system.

    4. Average waiting time in line.

    5. Average waiting time in the system, including service.

    SOLUTIONPart 1

    1. The average utilization of the teller is (using Model 1)

    =

    =

    15

    20= 75 percent

    2. The average number in the waiting line is

    Lq =2

    ( )=

    (15)2

    20(20 15)= 2.25 customers

    3. The average number in the system is

    Ls =

    =15

    20 15

    = 3 customers

    4. Average waiting time in line is

    Service

    ExcelQueue.xls

    Examples with Solutions

    Examples follow quantitative topics and demonstrate specific procedures andtechniques. Clearly set off from the text, they help students understand thecomputations.

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    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-vi

    Supply Chain

    These icons highlight areas witha direct link to supply chain

    management.

    Global

    Global icons identify internationalexamples and text discussion.

    Cross FunctionalThese icons highlight areaswhere operations managementconcepts link and integratewith other business functions.

    Interactive OperationsManagement

    These icons direct students toInteractive OperationsManagement Java applets thatare available on the text Web site

    Internet

    These icons highlight exercisesthat direct students to theInternet for research.

    SupplyChain

    Global

    Excel

    These icons point out conceptswhere Excel templates areavailable on the DVD and textWeb site.

    CrossFunctional

    InteractiveOperationsManagement

    Internet

    Excel

    Tutorials

    The tutorial icons highlight linksto the ScreenCam tutorials on theDVD included with the text.

    Tutorials

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    I-viii INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGHI-viii INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

    MANUFACTURING PROCESSES chapter 4 83

    e x h i b i t 4 . 1ProductProcess Matrix: Framework Describing Layout Strategies

    ManufacturingCell

    Project

    Low Product Volume High

    Low

    one-of-a-kind

    Highstandardizedcommodity

    product

    ProductStandardization

    Workcenter

    AssemblyLine

    ContinuousProcess

    Photos and Exhibits

    Over fifty photos and over two hundred exhibits are included in the text, to enhancethe visual appeal and clarify text discussions. Many of the photos illustrateadditional examples of companies that utilize the operations and supply chainconcepts in their business.

    TOYOTAPRIUSES AND OTHER VEHICLES CLAD IN

    PROTECTIVE COVERING AWAIT SHIPMENT TO

    U.S.DEALERS AT THELONGBEACH, CA, PORT.

    IN2006 THE VALUE OF THE COMPANYS

    INVENTORY TOTALED ABOUT 1.62 TRILLION

    AND THE COST OF GOODS SOLD WAS

    15.73 TRILLION. SOTOYOTAS INVENTORY

    TURNED OVER ABOUT9.7 TIMES PER YEAR, OR

    ROUGHLY38 DAYS OF INVENTORY ON HAND.

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    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-ix

    S o l v e d P r o b l e m s

    SOLVED PROBLEM 1

    Sunrise Baking Company markets doughnuts through a chain of food stores. It has been experi-

    encing over-and underproductionbecause of forecastingerrors.The followingdata are its demand

    in dozens of doughnuts for the past four weeks. Doughnuts are made for the following day; for

    example, Sundays doughnut production is for Mondays sales, Mondays production is for

    Tuesdays sales, and so forth. The bakery is closed Saturday, so Fridays production must satisfydemand for both Saturday and Sunday.

    4 WEEKS AGO 3 WEEKS AGO 2 WEEKS AGO LAST WEEK

    Monday 2,200 2,400 2,300 2,400

    Tuesday 2,000 2,100 2,200 2,200

    Wednesday 2,300 2,400 2,300 2,500

    Thursday 1,800 1,900 1,800 2,000

    Friday 1,900 1,800 2,100 2,000

    Saturday

    Sunday 2,800 2,700 3,000 2,900

    Make a forecast for this week on the following basis:

    a. Daily, using a simple four-week moving average.

    b. Daily, using a weighted average of 0.40, 0.30, 0.20, and 0.10 for the past four weeks.

    c. Sunrise is also planning its purchasesof ingredients for bread production. If bread demandhad

    been forecast for last week at 22,000 loaves and only 21,000 loaves were actually demanded,

    what would Sunrises forecast be forthis week using exponential smoothingwith= 0.10?

    d. Suppose, with the forecast made in c, this weeks demand actually turns out to be 22,500. What

    would the new forecast be for the next week?

    Solution

    a. Simple moving average, four-week.

    Monday2,400+ 2,300+ 2,400+ 2,200

    4 =

    9,300

    4 = 2,325 doz.

    Tuesday2,200+ 2,200+ 2,100+ 2,000

    4 =

    8,500

    4 = 2,125 doz.

    Wednesday2,500+ 2,300+ 2,400+ 2,300

    4 =

    9,500

    4 = 2,375 doz.

    Thursday2,000+ 1,800+ 1,900+ 1,800

    4 =

    7,500

    4 = 1,875 doz.

    Excel:Forecasting

    Solved Problems

    Representative example problems are placed at the end of appropriate chapters.Each includes a detailed, worked-out solution and provides another level of supportfor students before they try problems on their own.

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    I-x INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

    K e y T e r m s

    Inventory The stock of any item or resource used in an

    organization.

    Independent demand The demands for various items are

    unrelated to each other.

    Dependent demand The need for any one item is a direct re-

    sult of the need for some other item, usually an item of which

    it is a part.

    Fixedorderquantitymodel (orQ-model) An inventorycon-

    trol model where the amount requisitioned is fixed and the

    actual ordering is triggered by inventory dropping to a speci-

    fied level of inventory.

    Fixedtime period model (or P-model) An inventory control

    model that specifies inventory is ordered at the end of a

    predetermined time period. The interval of time between

    orders is fixed and the order quantity varies.

    Inventory position The amount on-hand plus on-order

    minus backordered quantities. In the case where inventory

    has been allocated for special purposes, the inventory posi-

    tion is reduced by these allocated amounts.

    Safety stock The amount of inventory carried in addition to

    the expected demand.

    Cycle counting A physical inventory-taking technique in

    which inventory is counted on a frequent basis rather than

    once or twice a year.

    Key Terms

    The unique vocabulary of Operations and Supply Managementis highlighted in theKey Terms section at the end of each chapter and includes definitions.

    F o r m u l a R e v i e w

    Single-period model. Cumulative probability of not selling the last unit. Ratio of marginal cost of un-

    derestimating demand and marginal cost of overestimating demand.

    [12.1] P Cu

    Co + Cu

    Q-model. Total annual cost for an order Q, a per-unit cost C, setup cost S, and per-unit holding

    costH.

    [12.2] TC= DC+D

    QS+

    Q

    2H

    Q-model. Optimal (or economic) order quantity.

    [12.3] Qopt =

    2DS

    H

    Formula Reviews

    These lists at the end of chapters summarize formulas in one spot for easy studentaccess and review.

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    Cases

    Located at the end of most chapters, thirteen cases allow students to think criticallyabout issues discussed in the chapter. Cases include:

    Cell Phone Design, Chapter 2, page 48

    Toshiba, Chapter 4, page 103

    Altavox Electronics, Chapter 10, page 281

    Brunswick Motors, Chapter 13, page 371

    C A S E : D e s i g n i n g To s h i b a s N o t e b o o k

    C o m p u t e r L i n e

    Toshihiro Nakamura, manufacturing engineering sectionmanager, examined the prototype assembly process sheet

    (shown in Exhibit 4.7) for the newest subnotebook computer

    model. With every new model introduced, management felt

    that the assembly line had to increase productivity and lower

    costs, usually resulting in changes to the assembly process.

    When a new model was designed, considerable attention was

    directed toward reducing the number of components and sim-

    plifying parts production and assembly requirements. This

    new computer was a marvel of high-tech, low-cost innova-

    tion and should give Toshiba an advantage during the upcom-

    ing fall/winter selling season.

    Production of the subnotebook was scheduled to begin in

    10 days. Initial production for the new model was to be at

    150 units per day, increasing to 250 units per day the follow-

    ing week (management thought that eventually production

    would reach 300 units per day). Assembly lines at the plant

    normally were staffed by 10 operators who worked at a 14.4-meter-long assembly line. The line could accommodate up to

    12 operators if there was a need. The line normally operated

    for 7.5 hours a day (employees worked from 8:15 A.M. to

    5:00 P.M. and regular hours included 1 hour of unpaid lunch

    and 15 minutes of scheduled breaks). It is possible to run one,

    two, or three hours of overtime, but employees need at least

    three days notice for planning purposes.

    T h e A s s e m b l y L i n eAt the head of the assembly line, a computer displayed the

    daily production schedule, consisting of a list of model types

    edul

    when they were needed. The material supply system was verytightly coordinated and worked well.

    The assembly line consisted of a 14.4-meter conveyor belt

    that carried the computers, separated at 1.2-meter intervals by

    white stripes on the belt. Workers stood shoulder to shoulder

    on one side of the conveyor and worked on the units as they

    moved by. In addition to 10 assembly workers, a highly

    skilled worker, called a supporter, was assigned to each

    line. The supporter moved along the line, assisting workers

    who were falling behind and replacing workers who needed

    to take a break. Supporters also made decisions about what to

    do when problems were encountered during the assembly

    process (such as a defective part). The line speed and the

    number of workers varied from day to day, depending on

    production demand and the workers skills and availability.

    Although the assembly line was designed for 10 workers, the

    number of workers could vary between 8 and 12.

    Exhibit 4.7 provides details of how the engineers who de-signed the new subnotebook computer felt that the new line

    should be organized. These engineers design the line assum-

    ing that one notebook is assembled every two minutes by

    10 line workers. In words, the following is a brief description

    of what each operator does:

    1 The first operator lays out the major components of a

    computer between two white lines on the conveyor.

    2 The second operator enters the bar codes on those

    components into a centralized computer system by

    scanning the bar codes with a hand-held scanning

    wand. On a shelf above the conveyor, portable com-

    puters dis lay the operations that are performed at

    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-x

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    Text Web Site

    The Online Learning Center

    at www.mhhe.com/jacobs1efeatures InteractiveOperations Managementapplets, practice quizzes,Internet links, Excelspreadsheets, PowerPointlecture slides, OMresources, and chapter-by-chapters study aids forstudents.

    Student DVD-ROM

    The Student DVD-ROMpackaged free with each

    new copy of the textincludes practice quizzes,ScreenCam tutorials, Excelspreadsheets, full-lengthvideos, PowerPoint slides,Web links, and additionalresources.

    I-xii INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

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    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-xii

    S T R U C T U R I N G T H E S E R V I C EE N C O U N T E R : S E R V I C E - S Y S T E MD E S I G N M A T R I XService encounters can be configured in a number of different ways. The service-system

    design matrix in Exhibit 5.1 identifies six common alternatives.

    The top of the matrix shows the degree of customer/server contact: the buffered core,

    which is physically separated from the customer; thepermeable system, which is penetra-

    bleby thecustomervia phone or face-to-facecontact;and thereactivesystem, which is both

    penetrable and reactive to the customers requirements. The left side of the matrix showswhat we believe to be a logical marketing proposition, namely, that the greater the amount

    of contact, the greater the sales opportunity; the right side shows the impact on production

    efficiency as the customer exerts more influence on the operation.The entries within the matrix list the ways in which service can be delivered. At one

    extreme, service contact is by mail; customers have little interaction with the system. At

    the other extreme, customers have it their way through face-to-face contact. The remain-

    ing four entries in the exhibit contain varying degrees of interaction.

    As one would guess, production efficiency decreases as the customer has more contact

    ce e f s

    Vol. XI

    Service System Design

    Matrix

    Vol. X

    Operations Management

    Featuring St. Alexius

    Medical Center

    Video Icons

    These margin icons include the title of a segment in the McGraw-Hill/IrwinOperations Management Video series that enhances the text discussion.

    . s le solution.

    8 Shoney Video Concepts produces a line o v deodisc players to be linked to personal com-

    puters for video games. Videodiscs have much faster access time than tape. With such a

    computer/video link, thegamebecomes a very realisticexperience.In a simpledriving game

    where the joystick steers the vehicle, for example, rather than seeing computer graphics on

    thescreen,the playeris actuallyviewinga segment ofa videodiscshotfroma real movingve-

    hicle.Dependingon theactionof theplayer(hittinga guardrail,for example),the disc moves

    virtuallyinstantaneously to that segment andthe playerbecomes part of an actualaccident of

    real vehicles (staged, of course).

    Shoney is tryingto determinea production plan forthe next 12 months. The main criterion

    for this plan is that theemployment level is to be held constant over theperiod.Shoney is con-

    tinuing in its R&D efforts to develop new applications and prefers not to cause any adverse

    feeling with the local workforce. For thesame reason, allemployees shouldput in full work-weeks, even if this is not thelowest-cost alternative. The forecast forthe next 12 monthsis

    MONTH FORECAST DEMAND MONTH FORECAST DEMAND

    January 600 July 200

    February 800 August 200

    March 900 September 300

    April 600 October 700

    May 400 November 800

    June 300 December 900

    cost is $200 per s een materials a

    8. Workforce required=

    10(6700 200)/

    8(249)= 33.

    Total cost= $34,520.

    Check Answers

    These answers provide instructors with a quick reference in class.

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    OMC

    The Operations Management Center Supersite at www.mhhe.com/pom offers awealth of edited and organized OM resources including links to Operations

    ManagementBusinessWeekarticles, OM Organizations, and virtual tours ofoperations in real companies.

    I-xiv INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH

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    Instructor CD-ROM

    The Instructor Resource CD provides a library of video clips, PowerPoint slides,text figures, and digital versions of the teaching supplements including the Test

    Bank (in Word) and the E-Z Test Computerized Testing System, InstructorsSolutions Manual, and Instructors Resource Manual.

    INSTRUCTORSWALKTHROUGH I-xv