Ppt Decision Making

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    Amrapali Institute Of

    Management

    PRINCIPAIS AND PRACTICE OF

    MANAGEMENT

    DECISION MAKING

    Prem Prakash Bafila

    M.B.A. Isem (B)

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    Decision making is said to be apsychological construct. This means

    that although we can never see adecision we can infer fromobservable behavior that a

    decision has been made. This isanother impotent function of amanager.

    INTRODUCTION

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    Decision making is a process ofselection of alternatives courses ofaction which is thought to fulfill theobjectives of the decision problemmore satisfactorily than others.

    IN the word of R.A. Killian ;

    A decision in its simplest from, is a

    selection of alternatives.

    Meaning And

    Concept

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    In the word of Peter Drucker ;

    Whatever manager does , he doesthrough decision making.

    Management & decision making goside by side. Whether knowingly or

    unknowingly, every manager has to

    Importance Of Decision

    Making

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    Decision makers face three types ofproblems.

    1) A crisis problem is a serious difficultyrequiring immediate action.

    1) A non-crisis problem

    2) An opportunity problem

    a. Opportunity involve ideas

    b. Non-innovative managers tend to focuson problems

    Nature Of Managerial

    Decision Making

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    Traditional approach to

    Decision makingv Decision making intend to maximize economicgains.

    v He is objective & rational.

    v He can identify the problem clearly.

    v

    He has the full information about variousalternatives.

    v He has complete freedom to chose the best

    alternatives.

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    Divided into two types ;

    1) Decision making underCertainty :

    Conditions of decision

    making

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    Following are the commonly used typesof decisions ;

    v Routine & Strategic

    v Policy & Operating

    v Organizational & Personal

    v Programmed & Non- programmed

    v Individual & Group

    Types of decision

    making

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    Types ; Decision tree hasfollowing three types :

    1) Classification tree

    1) Regression tree

    1) CART

    Decision tree

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    Largefactory

    Smallfactory

    Averagefactory

    StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy

    StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy

    StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy

    Sample Decision Tree

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    v Brain Storming

    v Nominal Group Technique

    v Delphi Technique

    v Consensus Making

    Other Decision Making Methods

    1. Delphi Method

    2. Scenario Analysis

    3. NGT Nominal Grou Techni ue

    Techniques used for

    group aided decisions

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    Thanks