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8/3/2019 Ppt Decision Making
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5/5/12
Amrapali Institute Of
Management
PRINCIPAIS AND PRACTICE OF
MANAGEMENT
DECISION MAKING
Prem Prakash Bafila
M.B.A. Isem (B)
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Decision making is said to be apsychological construct. This means
that although we can never see adecision we can infer fromobservable behavior that a
decision has been made. This isanother impotent function of amanager.
INTRODUCTION
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Decision making is a process ofselection of alternatives courses ofaction which is thought to fulfill theobjectives of the decision problemmore satisfactorily than others.
IN the word of R.A. Killian ;
A decision in its simplest from, is a
selection of alternatives.
Meaning And
Concept
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In the word of Peter Drucker ;
Whatever manager does , he doesthrough decision making.
Management & decision making goside by side. Whether knowingly or
unknowingly, every manager has to
Importance Of Decision
Making
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Decision makers face three types ofproblems.
1) A crisis problem is a serious difficultyrequiring immediate action.
1) A non-crisis problem
2) An opportunity problem
a. Opportunity involve ideas
b. Non-innovative managers tend to focuson problems
Nature Of Managerial
Decision Making
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Traditional approach to
Decision makingv Decision making intend to maximize economicgains.
v He is objective & rational.
v He can identify the problem clearly.
v
He has the full information about variousalternatives.
v He has complete freedom to chose the best
alternatives.
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Divided into two types ;
1) Decision making underCertainty :
Conditions of decision
making
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Following are the commonly used typesof decisions ;
v Routine & Strategic
v Policy & Operating
v Organizational & Personal
v Programmed & Non- programmed
v Individual & Group
Types of decision
making
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Types ; Decision tree hasfollowing three types :
1) Classification tree
1) Regression tree
1) CART
Decision tree
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Largefactory
Smallfactory
Averagefactory
StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy
StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy
StrongEconomyStableEconomyWeakEconomy
Sample Decision Tree
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v Brain Storming
v Nominal Group Technique
v Delphi Technique
v Consensus Making
Other Decision Making Methods
1. Delphi Method
2. Scenario Analysis
3. NGT Nominal Grou Techni ue
Techniques used for
group aided decisions
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Thanks