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8/9/2019 17309785 Decision Making PPT by Afiz
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Implementing and Evaluating
a Decision
PDO235
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You may hit on a path-breaking idea.
But every idea must first be tried out,
tested and evaluated
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Planning Your Actions
Three steps to plan your actions Implementation basics
Force-field analysis
Grass-roots analysis
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To Reach Your Goal, You Must: Form an integration team: recruit people
from different teams affected by the decision
Establish timelines and milestones:
create an implementation calendar
Create an ongoing communication plan:
this is a yardstick of the teams effectiveness
PDO235
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Creating a Force-field Analysis List the driving forces that support theimplementation of your decision eg:
- peoples attitudes- money
Now, list the forces restraining yourdecision, eg:
- negative influences
- attitudes
Quantify the strength of each force
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Benefits of a Force-field Analysis
A tool to help integrating teams identify keyteams in the implementation process, a force-field analysis helps:
Estimate the probability of a successful
implementation
Examine restraining and driving forces
PDO235
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Grass-roots Analysis
How it Works
Members of different teams take on
responsibility for root actions in other departments A task calendar of their assignments and timelines
is maintained, updates provided
Analysis of work done is provided
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Grass-roots Analysis
How it Works
PDO235
Newproduct image
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Keeping Decision-makersInvolved in Decision-making
Involve important gate-keepersBring in experts
Promote your business idea
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Evaluating the Action
To remain problem-free:
Evaluate potential problems
Reduce the probability of problems
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Assessing a Decision Outcome
Thoroughly evaluate its end result
Examine the negative consequences of the
action
Assess the degree to which the problem
has been solved
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When a Decision Fails
Take action
But dont sugarcoat the situation
Separate the failure from the team involved
Form a decision review team
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DYNAMIC DECISION MAK
ING
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Principles of Sound Decision Making
Focusing on future
Examining the timing Considering linked decisions
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Decision Making Styles
Use the most effective for each situation:
Reflexive blunt, inefficient, but convenient
Emotional hasty, inaccurate and ineffective
Analytical completely logical, ignores emotion,intuition, experience, etc.,
Comprehensive most effective and efficient:
i. Deliberate - spend time to analyze every option
ii. Multifaceted - consider all angles (emotional, intuitive)
iii. Flexible - include more of emotional/intuitive/logical
intervention as the situation demands
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Decision Making inA
ction
Make decisions because they are right forthat situation/person/company
Not because they are:
1. Easy
2. Cheap
3. Popular
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PMIAnalysis
Pluses List of pluses of the decision
Minuses List of minuses of the decision
Interesting aspects Extended andinteresting implications of the decision
(Assign any number between +1 to +5, or
-1 to -5 depending on the implications of thedecision and tally the score)
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The Ease and Effect Matrix
Rating potential solutions according to theease of implementation
- just effort and time involved Rating solutions according to the effect
- on other businesses
Prioritizing solutions and placing them on thematrix - (1 to 3)
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Return-on-Investment Measure
Establish revenue projections with timeframes
Specify anticipated expense to implement it
Calculate net cash flow
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Devils Advocacy Technique
To evaluate the proposed business decision:
List evidences opposing the decision
- 1storder evidence - immediate effect
- 2nd order evidence - future possibility
Explain both sides to a colleague and take his
input
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Decision Making WithUneasy Partners
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ToEnsure Success in PartnershipDecisions
Talk about options in a productive way
Avoid wasting time in misunderstandings
Build better relationships
Enhance career success
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Compromises and Trade-offs
Aim for a win-win outcome
Generate as many options as possible
Establish an objective standard for:
- research
- cost
- staffing
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Real Dialogue
Enquire and uncover assumptions
Generate options and not ultimatums Focus on common grounds and not positions
Dialogues for business decisions shouldintegrate like instruments of a music band
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THANK YOU
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PROBLEM SOLVING ANDDECISION MAKING IN GROUPS
FOR OPTIONAL READING
PD0236
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Think Big
A small group of committed people canchange the world
Successful organizations depend on peoplecommitted to decision making
Technology and capital are nothing without
good decisions
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HOW TO SPOT AN INEFFECTIVE
PROBLEM-SOLVING GROUP
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WhatThey Do Wrong
Generate incomplete problem definition
Seek limited number of potential solutions Fail to develop contingency plans
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What Should They Do
Define the problem:- Briefly
- Clearly
- Define performance measurement
Write down all solutions
- Dont dismiss any solution
- Encourage people to offer more Dont rely on one solution
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Group Dynamic Problems
Inefficient communication flow
(hierarchy should not disturb communication)
Improper group size
(5 to 10 is ideal)
Lack of group cohesiveness
(must know purpose, expectation;must use rewards)
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GENERAL STRATEGIES FOR
IMPROVINGGROUP SUCCESS
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How to Harness the Power of
Team Work
Motivate till you meet goals
-boosts team attitude
Encourage groups to solve problems
-boosts organizational morale
These two increase the confidence of the team
-leads to good decision making
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Maintaining Team Engagement
Meetings should be short and productive
Identify meaningful milestones in meetings
- mark intermediate goals
Harness teams brain power
Secure collective enthusiasm
- celebrate success
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Enhance Group Communication
Make the right call
Promote and encourage full participation
Protect minority opinion
Separate opinion and people
Let team members summarize their opinion
in mails
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Handling Difficult Members
Show them you are listening - repeat phrases
Demonstrate patience dont provoke them
Redirect conflict guide them to the goal
Stick to the issue but take time to neutralizetheir outburst
Agree to disagree - bring to an amicable close
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BETTER GROUP DECISION MAKING
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Effective Group Problem Solving
Ensure that you have identified the issue
Capitalize on the synergy of group interaction
Employ productive group techniques
Dont engage in a tug-of-war
Enjoy the problem solving process
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World View Method of
Problem Diagnosis
Break team into two groups
Diagnose problem based on opposing
world views:1. Internal 4. Process point of view
2. External 5. Human point of view
3. Switch world views 6. Re examine the whole issue Debate and analyze the result/decision
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Group Brainstorming
It is collective generation of potential solutions:
Generate as many ideas as possible Withhold judgement on those ideas initially
Develop ideas that piggy back on other ideas
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Eliminate the Enemy - Groupthink
What is groupthink?
Members allow and enjoy conformity
They censor dissenting opinion
They seek unanimity at all costs
They fail to seek other solutions
Feel they are infallible
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Strategy to Eliminate Groupthink
Down play the strength of your own opinion
Encourage open disagreement
Assign a rotating devils advocate
Seek feed back from an external expert
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Using Nominal Group Technique
NGT is the oldest and most widely used
problem-solving technique:
1. Anonymous voting on initial favored solutions
2. Record of votes in a round robin fashion
3. Clarification of confusing ideas
4. Evaluation of final decision tallying scores:
-ask members to vote for top two options
-assign+2 for first and +1 for second
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Holding a Decision Follow-up Meeting
Look where you have been and review:
Focus on the long term consequences of the
decision
Revisit discarded options
Play devils advocate to the chosen option
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THANK YOU