17309785 Decision Making PPT by Afiz

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    Implementing and Evaluating

    a Decision

    PDO235

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    You may hit on a path-breaking idea.

    But every idea must first be tried out,

    tested and evaluated

    PDO235

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    Planning Your Actions

    Three steps to plan your actions Implementation basics

    Force-field analysis

    Grass-roots analysis

    PDO235

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    To Reach Your Goal, You Must: Form an integration team: recruit people

    from different teams affected by the decision

    Establish timelines and milestones:

    create an implementation calendar

    Create an ongoing communication plan:

    this is a yardstick of the teams effectiveness

    PDO235

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    Creating a Force-field Analysis List the driving forces that support theimplementation of your decision eg:

    - peoples attitudes- money

    Now, list the forces restraining yourdecision, eg:

    - negative influences

    - attitudes

    Quantify the strength of each force

    PDO235

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    Benefits of a Force-field Analysis

    A tool to help integrating teams identify keyteams in the implementation process, a force-field analysis helps:

    Estimate the probability of a successful

    implementation

    Examine restraining and driving forces

    PDO235

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    Grass-roots Analysis

    How it Works

    Members of different teams take on

    responsibility for root actions in other departments A task calendar of their assignments and timelines

    is maintained, updates provided

    Analysis of work done is provided

    PDO235

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    Grass-roots Analysis

    How it Works

    PDO235

    Newproduct image

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    Keeping Decision-makersInvolved in Decision-making

    Involve important gate-keepersBring in experts

    Promote your business idea

    PDO235

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    Evaluating the Action

    To remain problem-free:

    Evaluate potential problems

    Reduce the probability of problems

    PDO235

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    Assessing a Decision Outcome

    Thoroughly evaluate its end result

    Examine the negative consequences of the

    action

    Assess the degree to which the problem

    has been solved

    PDO235

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    When a Decision Fails

    Take action

    But dont sugarcoat the situation

    Separate the failure from the team involved

    Form a decision review team

    PDO235

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    DYNAMIC DECISION MAK

    ING

    PD 0234

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    Principles of Sound Decision Making

    Focusing on future

    Examining the timing Considering linked decisions

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    Decision Making Styles

    Use the most effective for each situation:

    Reflexive blunt, inefficient, but convenient

    Emotional hasty, inaccurate and ineffective

    Analytical completely logical, ignores emotion,intuition, experience, etc.,

    Comprehensive most effective and efficient:

    i. Deliberate - spend time to analyze every option

    ii. Multifaceted - consider all angles (emotional, intuitive)

    iii. Flexible - include more of emotional/intuitive/logical

    intervention as the situation demands

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    Decision Making inA

    ction

    Make decisions because they are right forthat situation/person/company

    Not because they are:

    1. Easy

    2. Cheap

    3. Popular

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    PMIAnalysis

    Pluses List of pluses of the decision

    Minuses List of minuses of the decision

    Interesting aspects Extended andinteresting implications of the decision

    (Assign any number between +1 to +5, or

    -1 to -5 depending on the implications of thedecision and tally the score)

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    The Ease and Effect Matrix

    Rating potential solutions according to theease of implementation

    - just effort and time involved Rating solutions according to the effect

    - on other businesses

    Prioritizing solutions and placing them on thematrix - (1 to 3)

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    Return-on-Investment Measure

    Establish revenue projections with timeframes

    Specify anticipated expense to implement it

    Calculate net cash flow

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    Devils Advocacy Technique

    To evaluate the proposed business decision:

    List evidences opposing the decision

    - 1storder evidence - immediate effect

    - 2nd order evidence - future possibility

    Explain both sides to a colleague and take his

    input

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    Decision Making WithUneasy Partners

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    ToEnsure Success in PartnershipDecisions

    Talk about options in a productive way

    Avoid wasting time in misunderstandings

    Build better relationships

    Enhance career success

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    Compromises and Trade-offs

    Aim for a win-win outcome

    Generate as many options as possible

    Establish an objective standard for:

    - research

    - cost

    - staffing

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    Real Dialogue

    Enquire and uncover assumptions

    Generate options and not ultimatums Focus on common grounds and not positions

    Dialogues for business decisions shouldintegrate like instruments of a music band

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    THANK YOU

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    PROBLEM SOLVING ANDDECISION MAKING IN GROUPS

    FOR OPTIONAL READING

    PD0236

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    Think Big

    A small group of committed people canchange the world

    Successful organizations depend on peoplecommitted to decision making

    Technology and capital are nothing without

    good decisions

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    HOW TO SPOT AN INEFFECTIVE

    PROBLEM-SOLVING GROUP

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    WhatThey Do Wrong

    Generate incomplete problem definition

    Seek limited number of potential solutions Fail to develop contingency plans

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    What Should They Do

    Define the problem:- Briefly

    - Clearly

    - Define performance measurement

    Write down all solutions

    - Dont dismiss any solution

    - Encourage people to offer more Dont rely on one solution

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    Group Dynamic Problems

    Inefficient communication flow

    (hierarchy should not disturb communication)

    Improper group size

    (5 to 10 is ideal)

    Lack of group cohesiveness

    (must know purpose, expectation;must use rewards)

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    GENERAL STRATEGIES FOR

    IMPROVINGGROUP SUCCESS

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    How to Harness the Power of

    Team Work

    Motivate till you meet goals

    -boosts team attitude

    Encourage groups to solve problems

    -boosts organizational morale

    These two increase the confidence of the team

    -leads to good decision making

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    Maintaining Team Engagement

    Meetings should be short and productive

    Identify meaningful milestones in meetings

    - mark intermediate goals

    Harness teams brain power

    Secure collective enthusiasm

    - celebrate success

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    Enhance Group Communication

    Make the right call

    Promote and encourage full participation

    Protect minority opinion

    Separate opinion and people

    Let team members summarize their opinion

    in mails

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    Handling Difficult Members

    Show them you are listening - repeat phrases

    Demonstrate patience dont provoke them

    Redirect conflict guide them to the goal

    Stick to the issue but take time to neutralizetheir outburst

    Agree to disagree - bring to an amicable close

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    BETTER GROUP DECISION MAKING

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    Effective Group Problem Solving

    Ensure that you have identified the issue

    Capitalize on the synergy of group interaction

    Employ productive group techniques

    Dont engage in a tug-of-war

    Enjoy the problem solving process

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    World View Method of

    Problem Diagnosis

    Break team into two groups

    Diagnose problem based on opposing

    world views:1. Internal 4. Process point of view

    2. External 5. Human point of view

    3. Switch world views 6. Re examine the whole issue Debate and analyze the result/decision

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    Group Brainstorming

    It is collective generation of potential solutions:

    Generate as many ideas as possible Withhold judgement on those ideas initially

    Develop ideas that piggy back on other ideas

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    Eliminate the Enemy - Groupthink

    What is groupthink?

    Members allow and enjoy conformity

    They censor dissenting opinion

    They seek unanimity at all costs

    They fail to seek other solutions

    Feel they are infallible

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    Strategy to Eliminate Groupthink

    Down play the strength of your own opinion

    Encourage open disagreement

    Assign a rotating devils advocate

    Seek feed back from an external expert

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    Using Nominal Group Technique

    NGT is the oldest and most widely used

    problem-solving technique:

    1. Anonymous voting on initial favored solutions

    2. Record of votes in a round robin fashion

    3. Clarification of confusing ideas

    4. Evaluation of final decision tallying scores:

    -ask members to vote for top two options

    -assign+2 for first and +1 for second

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    Holding a Decision Follow-up Meeting

    Look where you have been and review:

    Focus on the long term consequences of the

    decision

    Revisit discarded options

    Play devils advocate to the chosen option

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    THANK YOU