Upload
vancong
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Saudi Aramco: Public
Disclaimer
The next slides contain forward-looking statements regarding future events based on current expectations,
estimates, forecasts, and projections. The data is subject to updating, revision, further verification and
amendment without notice. No reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information or opinions
contained in this presentation or any other document or statement, or on the completeness, accuracy or
fairness of such information or opinions therein. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or
given by or on behalf of Saudi Aramco or its employees, or any other person as to the accuracy or completeness
or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation and no responsibility or liability is
accepted by any of them for such information or opinions or for any errors, omissions, misstatements, negligent
or otherwise, or for any communication writtenor otherwise, contained or referred to in this presentation.
2
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key opportunities for localization – RO Membranes
1. Composition and demand to be determined after discussion with leading playersSource: Saudi Aramco analysis
Op
po
rtu
nit
yR
ati
on
ale
Input raw materials Manufacturing Assembly & integration, operations, and maintenance
• Establish local production of key input materials1 e.g. Chlorophenylsulfone and polysulfone
• No local production of these raw materials in KSA
• Diverse applications of membranes beyond just oil & gas (e.g. waste water treatment, desalination)
• Establish local manufacturing plants of RO membranes through partnerships with international players
• Additional demand of ~$550 MM in KSA and ~$914 MM in GCC by 2025
• Limited local production of RO membranes to service KSA and GCC demand
• Provide aftersales services i.e., replacement membranes, troubleshooting, upgrades, etc.
• Limited local aftersales services offered in KSA to improve customer experience
Saudi Aramco: Public
Demand for RO membranes is expected to grow to by a CAGR of 7% to reach ~$550 MM by 2025
105 108 111 114 118 121 125 129 132
118 141 168201 213 226 239 254 26992
98104
110117
124131
139147
2021
447
2024
7%
2025
549
2023
521495
2022
471
383
425
20202018
347
2017 2019
315
KSA RO membrane market size evolution
KSA local demand for RO membranes
justifies ~2-3 manufacturing
facilities in KSA as they add new desalination and waste water plants
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis, GWI
Value(MM USD)
Oi l & gas
Desalination
Wastewater
Saudi Aramco: Public
Opportunity for localization exists across all value chain domains
Opportunity for localizationLargely localized
Building blocks and intermediates
Raw materials
Manufacturing Finished goods
End customerAfter Sales
support
Transport
EtheleneSulfur
AmmoniaBenzineChlorine RO
membranes
PolyethylenePolypropylene
PolyamidePVC
PolystyreneNylon
Polysulfone
Transport
Assembly & integration
Chloro-phenyl-sulfone
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Value Chain for membranes
Manufacturing
membrane parts
and components:
Extrusion
Injection molding
Blow molding
Casting
Saudi Aramco: Public
SMEs can invest in key components and equipment required to manufacture membranes
Localization potential – Components and equipment
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis, Nexant report
• Module making facility comprising:
– Membrane spiral making machine
– Membrane cutting device
– Membrane rolling machine
– Spiral element trimming machine
– Product tube making machine
– End caps molding machine
– Outer hard wrapping machines
– Sonic welding machine
– Permeate and feed spacer automatic cutting machine
• Spiral element test benches
• Water filters
• Chemical dosing
• Circulating & high pressure pumps
Key equipment
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key messages and next steps
✓ Consumption of membranes in KSA is expected to increase to ~$550 MM in 2025,driven by various applications in oil & gas, desalination, and waste water treatment
✓ Building blocks for raw materials are available in abundance (e.g. i.e., chlorine, sulfur, ammonia, benzene)
✓ Building blocks can be leveraged to manufacture several raw materials essential to membrane manufacturing e.g. Polysulfone (with Chlorophenylsulfone)
✓ Limited presence of RO membrane manufacturers in KSA presents an opportunity for local players to localize manufacturing processes
Key messages
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Salem Mohammed Alghamdi
Local Business Development
Saudi Aramco
In case you are interested in discussing this opportunity further, please contact
Ahmed Al Ebdah
IKTVA Support Unit
Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key opportunities for localization – Sludge Thickeners
1. Composition and demand to be determined after discussion with leading playersSource: Saudi Aramco analysis
Op
po
rtu
nit
yR
ati
on
ale
Sludge thickening chemicals
Component manufacturing and assembly
Installation and after sales
• Establish local production of key chemicals used in sludge thickening equipment1 e.g.iron chloride, iron chloro-sulfate
• No local production of these chemicals in KSA
• Availability of raw materials in KSA (i.e., iron, sulfur, chlorine)
• Diverse applications beyond sludge thickening (e.g. flocculants, coagulants)
• Manufacture sludge thickening equipment components
• Offer assembling services on-site for OEMs
• Demand expected to grow at ~6% CAGR and is expected to reach ~$380 MM by 2020
• Components such as routers, motors, casings, drains, etc. have a high potential for localization
• Localize installation and after sales services e.g. maintenance, installation, delivery, customer service, capability development, and consulting
• Limited players offering aftersales services especially in the water industry
Saudi Aramco: Public
Demand for sludge thickeners is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6% to reach ~$378 MM in the M. East by 2020
181 179 191218 234
194 209238
260284
39 4452
5255
6975
8087
95
2011
220
2018
318
2016
263
2015
270
2013
243
378
2019
347
289
20142012
223
2017
283
6%
2020
ME sludge treatment market size evolution
~50 new desalination and water treatment plants are expected to come online in KSA in the next 15 years- each plant will require additional sludge thickeners
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis, GWI
Value(MM USD)
Rest of MEKSA
Saudi Aramco: Public
Building blocks are available - opportunity for localization exists across all other value chain domains
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Opportunity for localizationLargely localized/limited potential
Design Building blocks
Components and modules
Manufacturing and assembly
End customerAfter Sales
support
Transport
Value Chain for sludge thickeners
Done as part of a global R&D center
Carbon
Sludge thickener
equipment
Manufacture
components
such as screws,
drains, belts,
sieves, etc.
Iron
Steel
Distribution
& transport
Assembly
& integration
Chlorine
Iron
Sulfur
BlendingCoagulantsFlocculants
Iron ChlorideIron Chloro-
Sulfate
Chemicals
Saudi Aramco: Public
There are 3 main technologies used for sludge thickening, each having localization potential
Three main sludge thickening operations equipment
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Component Localization
potential
Router High
LV Motor Medium
Seal Low
Drain line Low
Casing Medium
Centrifuge Gravity belt Drum
Component Localization
potential
Ramp High
Fence High
Belt High
Casing Medium
Component Localization
potential
Drum High
Ramp High
Sieve High
Screw Low
Casing Medium
Total CapEx
Total OpEx
$6.2 MM
$4.4 MM
Total CapEx
Total OpEx
$3.4 MM
$4.8 MM
Total CapEx
Total OpEx
$3.9 MM
$4.9 MM
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key messages and next steps
✓ Basic raw material (iron, carbon, steel) are available in abundance
✓ KSA market size for sludge thickeners is expected to grow at a rapid pace of 10% to~$95 MM by 2020
✓ Opportunity exists to leverage raw materials to localize key components such as seals, screws, ramps, etc.
✓ Availability of such components will stimulate final manufacturing and assembly of sludge thickeners
✓ In addition to equipment, several chemicals essential to sludge thickeners can be localized in KSA e.g. iron-chlorosulfate, iron chloride, coagulants, and flocculants
✓ Local players can also offer assembly and integration services to install sludge thickener equipment at OEMs
Key messages
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Salem Mohammed Alghamdi
Local Business Development
Saudi Aramco
In case you are interested in discussing this opportunity further, please contact
Ahmed Al Ebdah
IKTVA Support Unit
Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key opportunities for localization – Filters
1. Composition and demand to be determined after discussion with leading playersSource: Saudi Aramco analysis
Op
po
rtu
nit
yR
ati
on
ale
Component manufacturing Assembly Testing & inspection
• Establish local filter manufacturing facilities for the three main types of filters: air, water, and oil & gas
• Limited presence of manufacturing facilities in KSA
• Presence of machining parts in KSA such as seals, rolls, etc.
• Offer assembly of filters at the manufacturing facility
• Offer installation on-site at the asset location
• Limited assembly and installation services offered in KSA
• Provide aftersales services i.e., replacement membranes, troubleshooting, upgrades, etc.
• Limited local aftersales services offered in KSA to improve customer experience
Saudi Aramco: Public
Demand for filters is expected to grow to by a CAGR of 5% to 64 ktpa in 2030
15 20 22 23 24 24 26 29 3418 12 13 14 15 15 16 17
21
9
6
2018
456
2017
426
2016
405
2015
385
2014 2019
645
3% 64
20302025
547
2020
48396
KSA filter market size evolution
KSA local demand for
filters justifies
~1-2 manufacturing
facilities in KSA as they add new desalination and
waste water plants
1: fi lter parts are for both gas and liquidsSource: Saudi Aramco analysis, GWI, UN Comtrade
8 12 11 16 23 24 26 27 29
Volume(KTPA)
Value($ MM)
Liquid filters
Gas & air filters
Fi l ter parts 1
111 186 231 235 161 166 171 176 181
75 78 99 114 98 101 104 107 110
Saudi Aramco: Public
Opportunity for localization exists across all value chain domains
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Opportunity for localizationLargely localized
Building blocks and intermediates
Manufacturingcomponents
End customerAfter Sales
support
Transport
PolypropyleneAluminum
IronSteel
Filters
Assembly & integration
Value Chain for filters
Manufacturing
filter parts and
components:
Rolls
Seals
Fiberglass
Film die
+Inspection
Testing
Finishedproducts
+
Transport
Gauges
Frame
Saudi Aramco: Public
Local players exist in KSA and can potentially make customized components for filter manufacturing
Parts Manufacturing process Localization potential
Manufacturing of filter machine parts
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis, public company profiles
Rolls Extrusion, injection molding
Seals Elastomer conversion
Gage Blow molding, casting
Fiberglass Melting, forming, sizing, winding, twisting,
drying
Frame / plate Extrusion
Film die Blow molding
HighLow –
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key messages and next steps
✓ Consumption of filters in KSA and GCC is expected to increase to ~$459 MM by 2030, driven by various applications in oil & gas, desalination, and waste water treatment
✓ Building blocks for raw materials are available in abundance (e.g. i.e., aluminum, polypropylene)
✓ Limited presence of filter manufacturers in KSA presents an opportunity for local players to localize manufacturing processes
✓ Gap in local aftersales market presents an opportunity for KSA to localize assembly, maintenance, and operations service offerings
Key messages
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Salem Mohammed Alghamdi
Local Business Development
Saudi Aramco
In case you are interested in discussing this opportunity further, please contact
Ahmed Al Ebdah
IKTVA Support Unit
Saudi Aramco
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
PAM is an important chemical, with 50% of total production being used for water treatment
2
31: Misc. applications, i.e., mining, coating, dying, and printingSource: Technavio, A.T. Kearney
Global PAM market by application (2017-2021E)
Pulp & paper
Others1
Water mgmt.
Oil recovery
Applications & Market Opportunities ($ mn)
• Flocculant agent• Treatment of raw water,
urban sewage, and industrial wastewater
• Component of polymer-augmented flood systems
• Enhance the flow rate• Maximize the output
of oil from an existing well
• Fiber retention control • Drainage agent• Pigment settling agent • Dry-strength additive
• In mining: flocculants for either sedimentation or centrifugation
• Other: consumed in the sugar processing, superabsorbent resins, adhesives, and leather re-tanning sectors
Pri
ma
ryA
dd
itio
na
l
Polyacryla-mides (PAM)
47%
23%
18%
12%
Industries
+7%
3,349
20212017
2,525
1,6461,252
2017 2021
+7%
2021
1,006
2017
+7%
1,304
Not Exhaustive
XX% Share of global consumption
~3500 KT
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key opportunities for localization – PAM
1. Composition and demand to be determined after discussion with leading playersSource: Saudi Aramco analysis
Op
po
rtu
nit
yR
ati
on
ale
Input chemicals and materials
Blending and formulation
Logistics and supply chain
• Establish local production of key input materials1 e.g. Acrylonitrile and Acrylamide
• No local production of these raw materials in KSA
• Presence of building blocks in sufficient volumes in KSA
• Diverse applications of PAM beyond oil & gas, i.e., water treatment, mining, pulp and paper
• Establish blending facilities in KSA
• Additional demand of ~46 ktpa in KSA by 2020
• Diverse applications of blending and formulation beyond just PAM
• Provide handling services e.g. drums and iso containers
• Provide transportation and loading e.g. flatbed trailers and manifold trailers
• Demand for 20-30 additional iso tanks and drums by 2025
• Demand for ~1 additional flatbed and manifold trailers by 2025
Saudi Aramco: Public
KSA is expected to grow in line with global growth- 100% of PAM is imported presenting a clear opportunity
Source: : RCJY report, SRI reports, Technacvo, A.T. Kearney analysis
KSA PAM imports (‘000 MT)
There limited to no manufactures of PAM in the domestic market; significant potential exists to localize the supply
Key demand drivers for PAM include– Use of Chemical EOR
in Saudi Aramco
– Increased use of
drilling and completion
chemicals
– Increasing population
and industrial activity in
KSA
4643
38
46+6.5%
2020E2019E2018E2017E
Volume‘000 MT
Saudi Aramco: Public
Building blocks are available - opportunity for localization exists across all other value chain domains
Value Chain for PAM
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Building blocks
Intermediates & raw materials
System houses
Finished goods
Propylene
Acrylonitrile
Ammonia
Transport Hydration of
acrylonitrile
to
synthesize
Acrylamide
Opportunity for localizationLargely localized
End customerAfter Sales
support
Transport
PAM
Polymerization
of acrylamide
to synthesize
Polyacrylamide
(PAM)
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key messages and next steps
✓ Consumption of PAM in KSA is expected to increase to ~46 ktpa in 2020, driving opportunities for raw material manufacturing, such as acrylonitrile due to presence of propelyne and ammonia in KSA
✓ Local players can also establish local blending facilities to synthesize chemicals across the value chain, i.e., acrylamide and polyacrylamide
Key messages
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Khazisyed Ahmedjeelani
Industrial Development Department
Saudi Aramco
In case you are interested in discussing this opportunity further, please contact
Saudi Aramco: Public
Table of Contents
• Introduction
• Membranes
• Sludge thickeners
• Filters
• PAM
• Coagulants
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key opportunities for localization – Coagulants
1. Composition and demand to be determined after discussion with leading playersSource: Saudi Aramco analysis
Op
po
rtu
nit
yR
ati
on
ale
Input chemicals and materials
Blending and formulation
• Establish local production of both organic and inorganic input materials and chemicals1 e.g. aluminum hydroxide and melamine
• No local production of several key chemicals in KSA
• Diverse applications of melamine and melamine formaldehyde beyond coagulants (e.g., paints, varnishes and laminates)
• Establish local blending facilities in KSA for final formulations
• Demand expected to grow by 8% to reach ~120 ktpa in KSA by 2018
• Limited presence of coagulant formulation services and laboratories
Logistics and supply chain
• Provide handling services e.g. drums and iso-containers
• Provide inspection and testing services for OEMs
• Demand for 20-30 additional iso containers to meet demand for coagulants
• Limited presence of inspection and testing services for water treatment chemicals in KSA
Saudi Aramco: Public
Demand for coagulants is expected to grow at 8% CAGR, achieving a market value of ~$205 MM in 2025
Source: : GWI, A.T. Kearney Analysis
KSA coagulant market ($million)
205
189
175162
150139
129119
110101
9487
+8%
202520242014 20232021 202220192017 202020162015 2018
Total Value$ mn
Key demand drivers for coagulants include– Increasing
population and
industrial activity in
KSA driving
increased water
consumption and hence treatment
Represents ~40-50ktpa demand
in 2018
Saudi Aramco: Public
Building blocks are available - opportunity for localization exists across all other value chain domains
Inorganic
Opportunity for localization
Largely localized
Coagulant
formulation
services
and
laboratories
Finished goods
End customer
Coagulants
After Salessupport
Transport
BlendingBuilding blocks and intermediates
Intermediates & raw materials
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Value Chain for coagulants
Transport
OrganicUrea Melamine
Methanol
MelamineFormald-
ehyde
Sulfuric acid
Aluminum hydroxide
Aluminum sulfate, PACl
AluminumAluminum
chloride, ACH
IronFerric sulfate, ferrous sulfate
Chlorine Ferric chloride
Saudi Aramco: Public
Key messages and next steps
✓ Building blocks, i.e., sulfuric acid, urea, and methanol, are available in KSA in sufficient volumes
✓ Consumption of coagulants in KSA is expected to increase to ~$205 mm in 2025,driving opportunities for additional raw material manufacturing, i.e., aluminum formaldehyde, melamine and melamine formaldehyde
✓ Limited presence of local blenders presents additional opportunities for local players to invest in blending facilities for final formulations
✓ Potential also exists to offer additional value added logistics and aftersales services, i.e., transportation, inspection, testing, etc.
Key messages
Source: Saudi Aramco analysis
Khazisyed Ahmedjeelani
Industrial Development Department
Saudi Aramco
In case you are interested in discussing this opportunity further, please contact