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6/10/2016
1
Echinococcus multilocularis infection in animals:
from research project to EU regulation
Adriano Casulli
WHO CC for the epidemiology, detection and control of cystic and alveolar echinococcosis;
European Reference Laboratory for Parasites (EURLP);
ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ (Rome, Italy)
REGULATION (EU) No 1152/2011:
• Preventive measures for control of E. multilocularis in dogs;
• Ensure continuous protection of Finland, Ireland, Malta and UK who
claim to have remained free of parasite (treatment of pets prior to
travelling);
• Obligation to implement pathogen-specific surveillance programmes
and reports;
• Requirements for the pathogen-specific surveillance programmes.
Legislative Background
The EC has to review 1152/2011 Regulation in the light of scientific
developments regarding Em infection in animals (No later than 5 years
following entry into force) (Dec 2016).
• The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) has been requested to
provide a scientific opinion on Em infections in animals (Dec 2015).
• To assist in the review, EFSA funded the project “Echinococcus
multilocularis infection in animals” (2012-2015).
Future mandate
E.M.I.A.
consortium
6/10/2016
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• Identify and collate the current knowledge and data on 8
Epidemiological points;
• Apply systematic reviews of literature and data.
GP/EFSA/AHAW/2012/01:
Echinococcus multilocularis infection in animals
To prepare for the future opinion (EU 1152/2011):
TIMING: Jan 2013 – June 2015
THE AIM:
Art 36 collaboration project
In order to be able to provide a comprehensive and quantitative
assessment of Em infections in animals, the current knowledge
and data on the epidemiology and risk factors related to this
disease were collected in the EU and ac.
• EMIA consortium
• Board of external experts
Consortium partners
EXTERNAL EXPERTS
CONSORTIUM PARTNERS
COORDINATOR
PC: Adriano Casulli
Thomas Romig,
HU, Germany
Peter Deplazes,
IPZ, Switzerland Bruno Gottstein,
IPB, Switzerland Peter Kern,
UU, Germany
Lucy Robertson,
NVH, Norway
Partner 3:
FLI, Germany Partner 1:
ANSES, France
Partner 2:
RIVM, Netherlands
Partner 4:
EVIRA, Finland
Partner 5:
NVRI, Poland
Partner 6:
CSIC, Spain
SYSTEMATIC REVIEW ADVISORS
SAPIENZA UNIVERSITY, Italy
PROJECT MANAGEMENT ORGANOGRAM
ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ, Italy
Stage 1 • Project management and a priori Protocols ---------------------------------- Stage 2 • Data collection, evaluation and synthesis ---------------------------------- Stage 3 • Discussions and final drafts of the Project report
WP1
WP6
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EPIDEMIOLOGY (WP2)
• R_2&4: geographic distribution and the prevalence of infection in animals
and the importance of the different hosts species in the life-cycle.
RISK FACTORS (WP3)
•R_1: risk factors and steps for introduction and establishment in free areas;
•R_6: analysis of risk factors associated with human AE;
•R_7: evaluation of impact of infection in animals on public health.
DIAGNOSIS AND TREATMENT (WP4)
• R8: laboratory techniques for the detection in live or dead animals;
• R9: effectiveness of available de-worming drugs and the treatment protocols for pets.
MONITORING, SURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL (WP5)
• R_3: monitoring and surveillance programmes infection in hosts;
• R_5: potential programmes for the eradication in wildlife host species.
TERMS of REFERENCE SR APPROACH
1. a Priori protocols;
2. searching for research studies;
3. selecting studies for inclusion or exclusion;
4. collecting data from the included studies and creating evidence
tabs;
5. assessing methodological quality of included studies;
6. synthesis of data of included studies (meta-analysis);
7. Presenting results.
SYSTEMATIC SEARCH
• Carried out in a centralised way by the Documentation Service of the ISS.
The platform used for this SR is STN International – Fiz Karlsruhe.
• Bibliographic searches, within the 8 a priori protocols on the following databases:
MEDLINE; EMBASE; SCI SEARCH; BIOSIS; CABI; GOOGLE SCHOLAR
• The search was restricted to eight languages from electronic databases (English,
Italian, Polish, Dutch, German, Spanish, French and Finnish).
• Search was carried out on 5/11/2013 and 11/02/2015. The results of the two
searches were combined.
GREY LITERATURE SEARCHING
• EU reports and conference proceedings were searched
• Questionnaires were sent to NRLP in Europe
• Bachelor, Master and PhD thesis searches were carried out using databases:
http://ethos.bl.uk/Home.do;
http://www.dart-europe.eu/basic-search.php;
https://www.daad.de/deutschland/promotion/phd/en/13306-phdgermany-database/;
https://catalogue.lse.ac.uk/Record/1149203;
http://www.theses.fr/;
http://biblioteca.ucm.es/;
http://digital.csic.es/;
https//www.tesisenred.net/;
http://www.proquest.com/en-US/catalogs/databases/detail/abi_inform.shtml;
https://portal.dnb.de/opac.htm;
http://www.sudoc.abes.fr/;
http://www.collectionscanada.gc.ca/thesescanada/;
http://library.stanford.edu/guides/find-dissertations-and-theses;
http://www.oclc.org/support/services/firstsearch/documentation/dbdetails/details/WorldCatDis sertations.en.html;
https://qspace.library.queensu.ca/handle/1974/290.
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Papers identified through databases
searching 10,737
Papers after duplicates removed
5,421
Papers screened
(TITLE AND ABSTRACT) 5,421
Papers excluded (title and
abstract) 4,608
FULL-TEXT PAPERS assessed
for eligibility 813
Duplicates removed 5,316
DATA EXTRACTED from
443 papers
META-ANALYSIS performed
on 362 PAPERS0
PRISMA Flow Diagram (synthesis of 8 SR) EPIDEMIOLOGY (WP2)
• R_2&4: geographic distribution and the prevalence of infection in
animals and the importance of the different hosts species in the life-
cycle.
A spreading and increasing of the disease in animals in Europe is suggested by
recent new findings/expanding of the parasite in several new areas and the
unexpected increase in AE incidence in recognized endemic countries.
There are no studies confirming that dogs and cats can maintain the lifecycle in the
absence of (red) foxes.
KEY FINDINGS (DH):
• 2,805 identified papers, 402 full text, 244 used for meta-analysis.
Studies in 20 countries reported the presence of Em in red foxes, with the
following pooled prevalence (PP):
• Low (≤1%)
(Denmark, Slovenia and Sweden)
• Medium (>1% to <10%)
(Austria, Belgium, Hungary, Italy, Netherlands, Romania and Ukraine)
• High (>10%)
(Czech Republic, Estonia, France, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland,
Slovakia, Lichtenstein and Switzerland)
• Finland, Ireland, UK and Norway reported the absence of Em in red foxes.
• In Norway (Svalbard), Arctic foxes showed the presence of Em.
Fig. 2 Pooled prevalence of red foxes
at NUTS 1 level (data after 2000).
Fig. 1 Pooled prevalence in red and
Arctic foxes at national level (data
after 2000).
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KEY FINDNGS:
• Raccoon dogs (PP 2.2%), golden jackals (PP 4.7%) and wolves (PP 1.4%) showed
a higher PP than dogs (PP 0.3%) and cats (PP 0.5%).
• For IH, muskrats (PP 4.2%) and arvicolids (PP 6.0%) showed similar PP as
sylvatic DH (excluding foxes).
• Nutrias (PP 1.0%) and murids (PP 1.1%) could play a role in the life cycle of Em
in areas with medium to high PP in red foxes.
• In areas with low PP in foxes, no other DH was found infected with Em.
• For high fox PP, the wolf emerges as a potentially important DH.
• Dogs and cats could be irrelevant in the life cycle of the parasite in Europe.
RISK FACTORS (WP3)
• R_1: risk factors and steps for introduction and establishment in
free areas;
Despite the theoretical ways of introduction of Em into free areas, there are
substantial gaps in the knowledge on the true pathways.
Introduction of the parasite into free areas is necessary but not sufficient for the
establishment of the life cycle.
Appropriate DH and IH must exist to support the life cycle, but the potential role of
environmental factors for the persistence of the life cycle is only partially known.
RISK FACTORS (WP3)
• R_6: analysis of risk factors associated with human AE;
The relative importance of the various PRF for human infection is unknown.
The presumably very long incubation period (10-15 years) for human AE and oral
uptake of tapeworm eggs makes it extremely difficult to study PRF.
Socio-cultural habits from different regions of the world may influence pathways of
infection.
• Observational studies considered: cross-sectional and case-control studies;
• Performed in relation to the different PRF in the included studies;
• The pooled Odds Ratio (OR) were used as a measure of effect;
• The quality of studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale;
• The Cochrane-Q test to assess the degree of heterogeneity between studies.
METHODS for META-ANALYSIS
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SYNTHESIS of RESULTS
958 identified papers, 73 full text, 29 full text extracted, 17 used for meta-analysis.
17 publications were subjected to meta-analysis:
• CASE-CONTROL studies (n=6) [4 in the EU, 1in China, 1in North America].
• CROSS-SECTIONAL studies (n=11) [10 in China].
POTENTIAL RISK FACTOR N of studies N of participants OR
Dog ownership 5 13,883 2.88 (2.30, 3.62)
Playing with dogs 3 5,916 3.48 (2.20, 5.52)
Hand washing before eating 3 5,348 6.94 (4.99, 9.66)
Gender: female 10 42,812 1.50 (1.35, 1.67)
Age > 20 years 8 24,988 2.96 (2.39, 3.68)
Ethnic group: Tibetan 4 25,952 2.03 (1.56, 2.63)
Low income 2 4,124 3.92 (2.42, 6.36)
Source of drinking water other than well or tap 5 23,714 1.81 (1.52, 2.17)
Occupation: farming 5 17,878 1.29 (0.97, 1.72)
Occupation: herding 5 21,045 2.22 (1.76, 2.81)
Drinking unboiled water 2 7,096 0.63 (0.48, 0.84)
Hunting/handling foxes 3 9,442 1.29 (0.97, 1.71)
Low level of education 2 5,297 4.81 (2.73, 8.48)
CROSS-SECTIONAL STUDIES
with OR and 95 % CI, reporting PRF for human AE (Statistically significant PRF in bold).
CASE-CONTROL STUDIES
with OR and 95 % CI, reporting PRF for human AE (Statistically significant PRF in bold).
Data focusing only on European studies.
POTENTIAL RISK FACTOR
N of studies N of participants OR
Dog ownership 4 1,011 2.30 (1.56, 3.40)
Allowed dog into the house 2 216 1.80 (0.90, 3.62)
Playing with dogs 1 159 2.07 (0.97, 4.42)
Cat ownership 2 265 2.63 (1.42, 4.85)
Living in rural area 2 746 3.12 (1.95, 5.01)
Have a kitchen garden 2 746 5.21 (2.65, 10.22)
Occupation: farming 4 1,011 4.50 (2.74, 7.39)
Did haymaking in meadows not adjacent to water 2 238 3.50 (1.63, 7.55)
Went to forests for vocational reasons 2 266 2.61 (1.13, 6.05)
Ate unwashed strawberries 4 1,006 1.39 (0.87, 2.23)
Chewed grass 2 252 3.20 (1.65, 6.20)
Hunting 4 1,007 1.25 (0.73, 2.15)
Handling foxes 3 902 2.84 (1.57, 5.15)
Eating mushrooms 2 255 0.72 (0.38, 1.39)
Consumption of wild vegetables and fruit 4 990 1.50 (0.98, 2.31)
Protective factors (HLA) 1 604 0.55 (0.34, 0.88)
SYNTHESIS of RESULTS
• The following risk factors of potential global relevance were identified: dog
ownership, playing with dogs, living in endemic areas, female gender, age > 20
years and occupation (herding).
• Other identified potential risk factors were: having a kitchen garden, occupation
(farming), haymaking in meadows not adjacent to water, going to forests for
vocational reasons, chewing grass and handling foxes, whereas particular human
leukocyte antigen (HLA) types turned out to be protective.
6/10/2016
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CONCLUSION (and limits)
• The studies were rather heterogenic with regard to the geographic location, study
design, and quality of results…..
• ..…not least because of the long incubation period, which makes the
identification of PRF difficult (drivers? Confounders?);
• It should be emphasized that some of these PRF may represent confounders;
• The results will contribute to draft the review of the current Regulation (EU) No
1152/2011, especially in terms of targeting prevention and control measures
against human AE.
RISK FACTORS (WP3)
• R_7: evaluation of impact of infection in animals on public health;
The true number of cases of AE is not known in Europe mainly because of
underreporting.
Notification of “echinococcosis” is only mandatory in some countries and even
fewer countries have notification requirements on the species level to
differentiate AE from CE.
There is an increase in the number of reported AE cases in new areas, and an
increase of the human AE incidence in recognized endemic countries which
suggests a geographic spread and an increase of the Risk in Europe.
COUNTRY NOTIFICATION of HUMAN AE CASES DIFFERENTIATION BETWEEN CE and AE CASES
Albania -
Austria Yes -
Belgium Yes No
Belorussia Yes -
Bosnia Erzegovina - -
Bulgaria Yes -
Croatia Yes -
Cyprus No -
Czech Republic Yes -
Denmark Yes No
Estonia Yes No
Finland - -
France No No
FYR Macedonia - -
Germany Yes -
Greece - -
Hungary Yes Yes
Iceland Yes -
Ireland Yes -
Italy No -
Latvia - -
Lithuania - -
Liechtenstein - -
Luxemburg - -
Malta Yes No
Kosovo - -
Moldova - -
Montenegro - -
Netherlands No No
Norway Yes No
Poland Yes -
Portugal Yes No
Romania - -
Serbia - -
Slovakia Yes Yes
Slovenia Yes -
Spain Yes No
Sweden - -
Switzerland No -
Turkey - -
Ukraine - -
United Kingdom Yes -
Notification of AE human cases in EU and ac
COUNTRY ESTIMATED ANNUAL NUMBERS of CASES REFERENCES
Albania
Austria 7 Kern et al., 2003; Auer and Aspock, 2001; Torgerson et al., 2010
Belgium 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Belorussia 6 Torgerson et al., 2010
Bosnia Erzegovina
Bulgaria 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Croatia
Cyprus
Czech Republic 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Denmark
Estonia 9 Torgerson et al., 2010
Finland
France 21 Abdullaev et al., 2006; Torgerson et al., 2010
FYR Macedonia 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Germany 61 Torgerson et al., 2010
Greece 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Hungary 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Latvia 9 Torgerson et al., 2010
Lithuania 9 Torgerson et al., 2010
Liechtenstein
Luxemburg
Malta
Kosovo
Moldova 1 Torgerson et al., 2010
Montenegro
Netherlands
Norway
Poland 3 Torgerson et al., 2010
Portugal
Romania
Russia 1.180 Torgerson et al., 2010
Serbia
Slovakia 4 Torgerson et al., 2010
Slovenia 2 Torgerson et al., 2010
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland 20 Torgerson et al., 2010
Turkey >100 Torgerson et al., 2010
Ukraine 10 Bessanov et al., 2003; Torgerson et al., 2010
United Kingdom
Estimation of annual number of AE human cases in the EU and ac
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DIAGNOSIS AND TREATMENT (WP4)
• R8: laboratory techniques for the detection in live or dead animals;
Two main approaches are used for the diagnosis of Em in foxes: the SCT and
DNA-based methodologies.
Studies on the efficiency of the diagnostic tests for detection of Em in live or dead
animals are very heterogenic, which complicates drawing any conclusions from
them.
It has been demonstrated that there is a gap in evaluating diagnostic test with
scarce information on the sensitivity of tests, even those considered as the main
important to detect the parasite in definitive host populations.
Lack of standardization of diagnostic methods detecting Em probably causes
variation in sensitivity and specificity between labs.
DIAGNOSIS AND TREATMENT (WP4)
• R9: effectiveness of available de-worming drugs and the treatment
protocols for pets.
Due to its favorable pharmacokinetic properties and activity against both immature
and mature stages, praziquantel is the substance of choice for the treatment of
Em.
No information was found about the time of egg/parasite dispersal after treatment,
so no recommendation can be given how long after treatment feces need to be
discarded.
MONITORING, SURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL (WP5)
• R_3: monitoring and surveillance programmes infection in hosts;
There is no requirement for the monitoring or surveillance of Em in non-free
countries in the EU.
Risk-based surveillance is permitted but difficult to implement due to the limited
understanding of the risk factors.
There is considerable spatial and temporal heterogeneity in Em distribution within a
country and across Europe. Therefore, the results of local or regional surveys
cannot be extrapolated to a whole country.
MONITORING, SURVEILLANCE AND CONTROL (WP5)
• R_5: potential programmes for the eradication in wildlife host
species.
Eradication of EM in the European wildlife has not been achieved in areas where
foxes are present.
Long term control but not elimination of the parasite may be possible by baiting.
Increased fox hunting/trapping is not considered to be effective in controlling the
parasite.
6/10/2016
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• More oriented to EU regulation and data modelling…..
EFSA: Animal Health and Walfare panel Em status of EU MS and adjacent countries
Uncertain endemicity: freedom not documented but no case reported
MS Test used Test sensitivity as reviewed by
Reported method
(Sensitivity)
Cited Ref
by MS
Casulli et al.,
(2015)
Conraths et al.,
(2015)
FINLAND
MC-PCR (fishing Real time PCR
targetting 12S rRNA gene
(78% by internal validation)
Isaksson et al.,
2014 88% - 95.7%
88%
(compared to Isaksson et
al., 2014 on RT-PCR)
IRELAND SCT (Se 98%) Eckert, 2003 98% 83.8%
(Eckert et al., 2001)
MALTA
Sieving/flotation of faecal samples for
copro-egg detection and Multiplex-PCR
targetting 12S rRNA and nad1 genes
(Se 94%)
Mathis et al.,
1996 88% - 95.7%
50%
(Trachsel et al., 2007)
UK
sieving/flotation of faecal samples for
copro-egg detection and modified PCR
Cest1-Cest2 targetting nad1 mithocondrial
gene (proposed Se 85%)
Mathis et al.
1996;
Dinkel et al.,
1998
88% - 95.7% 89%
(compared with IST)
NORWAY
MC-PCR (fishing Real time PCR
targetting co1mithocondrial gene)
(Se 63%)
Øines et al.,
2014 88% - 95.7%
88%
(Isaksson et al., 2014)
Uncertainty around the diagnostic sensitivity of the different tests used
by the labs involved in the surveillance programmes under Regulation
(EU) No 1152/2011.
GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION used to estimate the probability
of introduction from an endemic area of origin to free areas.
NWILDi is N of foxes moving from the sub-area to a free area
ρWILDi is the true prevalence in the sub-area
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CONCEPTUAL MODEL:
probability of introduction,
transmission and establishment
of Em in a free country.
0 200 400 600 800 1000
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
Probability of Introduction
Wild canids
Number of foxes crossing the border
Pin
tro
WIL
D
0.4
0.30.1
0.050.010.001
Prevalence in
country of origin
PROBABILITY OF INTRODUCTION (P_introWILD) as a function of the number
of wild canids moving from an endemic area to a free area and of the hypothetical
true prevalence of infected foxes in the adjacent endemic area where the animals
come from (different colours)
TRELLIS PLOT with 16 DIFFERENT SCENARIOS
X-axis=number of dogs/foxes. Y-axis=probability of introduction.
Red line: dogs & border checks in place.
Blue line: dogs & no border checks in place.
Green line: foxes.
MAIN CONCLUSIONS and RECOMMENDATIONS
• Red fox as principal DH in Europe;
• No evidence that any other carnivore can maintain the lifecycle of Em;
• Rodents and other IH are not suitable target species for surveillance;
• Movements of infected DH is an important introduction pathway;
• Lack of standardization in diagnostic methods (diagnostic sensitivity needed!);
• Until better documentation is available, the diagnostic sensitivity should be set
conservatively at 78%.
• ENCOURAGE
• Studies targeting: PRF (enabling risk-based sampling), environmental influence on
Em life cycle;
• Notification of human cases and differentiation at species level (case definition!).
6/10/2016
11
http://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/supporting/pub/882e
Experts working group: Adriano Casulli, Franz Conraths, Helen Roberts, Helene Wahlström, Rene Bødker and Thomas Romig
http://www.efsa.europa.eu/en/efsajournal/pub/4373
Regulation (EU) No 1152/2011
by EC
SCIENTIFIC REPORT
by Grant Consortium (E.M.I.A.)
EXPERT OPINION
by EFSA, AHAW panel
New EU regulation!
by EC
• The research that led to these results has received funding from the EFSA (Echinococcus
multilocularis infection in animals) g.a. GP/EFSA/AHAW/2012/01.
Thank you!