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1
Police Recorded Injury Road Traffic
Collisions and Casualties
Northern Ireland
1st
January 2020 to 30th
November 2020
Key Statistics
Between 1
st January 2020 and 30
th November 2020:
There were 3,761 collisions recorded by the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI), compared with 5,203 between January and November 2019 – a decrease of 1,442 collisions (27.7%).
There were 54 fatalities, 538 people seriously injured and a further
5,203 people slightly injured. Whilst the number of fatalities increased by 7 compared to January to November 2019, there were 167 fewer killed or seriously injured (KSI) and 2,154 fewer slightly injured, decreases of 22.0% and 29.3% respectively.
Lockdown measures in relation to Covid-19 were introduced on 23rd
March 2020. The reduction in collisions and casualties should be seen in the context of overall traffic volumes which were estimated to have more than halved at the outset of lockdown and continue to show reductions throughout the current reporting period.
Newry, Mourne and Down district had the highest number of road deaths with 9 fatalities. The same district recorded the highest number of serious injuries (73 people).
The most common principal causation factors for KSI casualties during the reporting period were ‘wrong course/position’ (62), ‘excessive speed having regard to conditions’ (56) and ‘inattention or attention diverted’ (52).
Date of Publication:
29th January 2021
Frequency:
Monthly
Issued by:
PSNI Statistics Branch Lisnasharragh 42 Montgomery Road Belfast BT6 9LD PSNI Statistics
02890 650222 Ext. 24135
2
Page
1. Things you need to know about this release 3
2. Monthly Trends 4
3. Casualty Class 6
4. Age and Gender 8
5. District 9
6. Principal Causation Factors 11
7. Single Vehicle Collisions 12
8. Road Safety Strategy Targets 13
9. Northern Ireland Fatalities 17
10. Notes 18
We welcome user feedback on these statistics. This can be sent to the email address on the cover page or by contacting us at the telephone number provided.
Contents
3
1. Things you need to know about this release
Coverage
Police recorded statistics on injury road collisions and casualties in Northern Ireland are collated and produced by statisticians seconded to the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) from the Northern Ireland and Statistics Research Agency (NISRA). These statistics are the main source of official information on trends relating to road traffic collisions resulting in injury and their associated casualties, which have been reported to police. This monthly bulletin presents the most recent recorded injury collision and casualty statistics for the period 1
st
January 2020 to 30th November 2020. Figures for the financial year 2020/21 are provisional and subject to minor
amendment. A series of accompanying spreadsheets are available on our website which outlines the data in this bulletin and historic trends. Further information on how these statistics are collated, reported and used is included in the Traffic Statistics User Guide available on the PSNI website. The next monthly update will be published on the 25th June 2021. The 2020 Key Statistics report will be published on 26th March 2021, followed by the 2020/21 financial year report in May 2021. As part of our commitment to provide users with more timely information, we publish a provisional Daily Fatal Spreadsheet, giving details of the location, age and gender of road traffic fatalities. This is updated each working day on the PSNI website. These statistics only include those collisions involving injury that are brought to the attention of the police. A level of under-reporting of such incidents may exist and users of the statistics may wish to view the Traffic Statistics User Guide where this is discussed in more detail. At the time of publication, CRFs had been processed for 95% of reported injury collisions to 30th November 2020, including all fatal collisions. This may be lower than usual due to the impact of the ongoing pandemic on resources, resulting in a larger revision to the November figures in the final year reports.
National Statistics
National Statistics status means that our statistics meet the highest standards of trustworthiness, quality and public
value, and as producers, it is our responsibility to maintain compliance with these standards.
These statistics were designated as National Statistics in June 2012 following a full assessment against the Code of
Practice. Road accident and safety statistics for England, produced by the Department for Transport, underwent a
compliance check by the Office for Statistics Regulation and the report can be accessed at the following link:
https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/compliance-check-of-road-accidents-and-safety-statistics/ A
compliance check of the Northern Ireland statistics was subsequently undertaken in 2020, which resulted in these
statistics retaining the National Statistics designation. Further information can be found at:
https://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/correspondence/police-recorded-injury-road-traffic-collisions-and-casualties-
northern-ireland-statistics/
Since the assessment by the UK Statistics Authority, we have continued to comply with the Code of Practice for
Statistics, and have made the following improvements:
Enhanced the amount of information available to users, for example inclusion of longer trend information, regular updates on causation factors.
Improved accessibility by introducing user friendly methods of data presentation, for example tables, maps and charts, in addition to using additional distribution channels including the Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Information Service (NINIS) and Open Data NI.
Improved timeliness of the statistics, bringing forward publication of the calendar year reports in 2013.
Pre-release access was discontinued in 2014, which may enhance trustworthiness.
Continued to conduct regular consultation with internal and external users, for example via a customer satisfaction survey to obtain feedback and suggestions for improvements, with results published on the PSNI statistics website.
4
• There were 3,761 collisions recorded by the Police Service of Northern Ireland (PSNI) between January and November 2020, compared with 5,203 between January and November 2019 – a decrease of 1,442 collisions (27.7%).
• Between January and November 2020, there were 54 fatalities, 538 people seriously injured and a
further 5,203 people slightly injured. Whilst the number of fatalities increased by 7 compared to January to November 2019, there were 167 fewer killed or seriously injured (KSI) and 2,154 fewer slightly injured, decreases of 22.0% and 29.3% respectively.
• Lockdown measures in relation to Covid-19 were introduced on 23rd March 2020. The reduction in collisions and casualties should be seen in the context of overall traffic volumes which were estimated to have more than halved at the outset of lockdown and continue to show reductions throughout the current reporting period. DfI traffic flow figures are published at: Traffic Flows – Department for Infrastructure
Table 1 Police recorded road traffic casualties by injury severity and month: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
01 January – 30 November 2019 01 January – 30 November 2020*
Killed Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total Killed
Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total
January 3 67 70 609 679 8 90 98 740 838
February 5 72 77 616 693 4 63 67 649 716
March 7 63 70 673 743 3 37 40 437 477
April 4 53 57 640 697 3 21 24 183 207
May 3 63 66 711 777 7 26 33 304 337
June 2 62 64 674 738 4 47 51 426 477
July 7 70 77 618 695 8 56 64 460 524
August 4 62 66 670 736 5 43 48 556 604
September 7 68 75 770 845 4 56 60 494 554
October 2 72 74 688 762 3 68 71 501 572
November 3 60 63 688 751 5 31 36 453 489
Total 47 712 759 7,357 8,116 54 538 592 5,203 5,795 1. Killed or seriously injured * Figures are provisional and subject to change
2. Monthly Trends
5
Figure 1: Casualties killed or seriously injured in road traffic collisions by month January 2018 to November 2020
72
40
64
44
82 80 80
61 59
71 70
62
70
77
70
57
66 64
77
66
75 74
63
71
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40
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48
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36
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100
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2018 2019 2020
KS
I casu
alt
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Month
6
Figure 2: Casualties killed or seriously injured by road user type January to November 2020
• In the context of the overall reductions, there has been a decrease in the number of people killed or seriously injured amongst all the major road user groups, with the exception of motorcyclists, when comparing January to November 2020 with the same time period last year. The largest decrease in KSI figures was within the driver category which decreased by 70 to 242 KSI casualties in January to November 2020 in comparison with the 312 recorded for the same period last year.
• Passengers and pedestrian KSIs showed decreases of 49 and 42, with pedal cyclists showing a
decrease of 13. Motorcyclist KSIs increased by 1 over the period. Other road users showed an increase of 8. See Figure 3 below.
Figure 3: Difference in the number of KSI casualties by road user type: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
Drivers 40.9%
Pedestrians 18.9%
Passengers 15.4%
Motorcyclists 14.2%
Pedal cyclists 7.6%
Others 3.0%
8
-2
-49
-13
1
-70
-42
-80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10
Other road users
Pillion passengers
Passengers
Pedal cyclists
Motorcyclists
Drivers
Pedestrians
Change in the number of KSI casualties
Ro
ad
uS
er
Typ
e
3. Casualty Class
7
Table 2 Number of police recorded road traffic casualties by road user type: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
01 January – 30 November 2019 01 January – 30 November 2020*
Killed Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total Killed
Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total
Pedestrians 12 142 154 431 585 6 106 112 311 423
Drivers of motor vehicles
22 290 312 4,194 4,506 25 217 242 3,001 3,243
Motorcyclists 3 80 83 174 257 7 77 84 111 195
Pedal cyclists 2 56 58 220 278 4 41 45 193 238
Passengers 8 132 140 2,291 2,431 8 83 91 1,537 1,628
Pillion passengers 0 6 6 6 12 1 3 4 3 7
Other road users 0 6 6 41 47 3 11 14 47 61
Total 47 712 759 7,357 8,116 54 538 592 5,203 5,795
1. Killed or seriously injured * Figures are provisional and subject to change
8
The overall reduction in collisions and casualties is reflected in a reduction in KSI casualties in all male age categories and all female age categories, with the exception of females aged 25 – 34 which increased by 2. There have been 49 children (under 16) killed or seriously injured during the reporting period – 19 fewer than during January to November 2019.
In terms of total casualties, there were fewer female than males injured across all the age groups.
There were 2,321 fewer casualties recorded in this period in comparison with January to November 2019. Comparing periods, there were 1,130 fewer male casualties overall and 1,190 fewer female casualties. The largest decrease in male casualties during the period was in the 35 - 49 group with 266 fewer casualties. Over the same period the female casualties aged 65+ decreased by 189 casualties, a decrease of 45.4%.
Table 3 Number of police recorded road traffic casualties by age and gender: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
01 January – 30 October 2019 01 January – 30 October 2020*
Gender Age Group Killed Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total Killed
Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total
Under 16 0 45 45 386 431 2 32 34 267 301
Male
16 - 24 8 87 95 808 903 8 66 74 615 689
25 - 34 6 90 96 802 898 6 69 75 621 696
35 - 49 3 79 82 881 963 8 65 73 624 697
50 - 64 4 86 90 627 717 6 73 79 456 535
65 + 9 57 66 326 392 8 42 50 216 266
Unknown 0 0 0 14 14 0 0 0 4 4
Total 30 444 474 3,844 4,318 38 347 385 2,803 3,188
Female
Under 16 1 22 23 368 391 1 14 15 265 280
16 - 24 2 63 65 717 782 3 41 44 496 540
25 - 34 0 29 29 710 739 0 31 31 502 533
35 - 49 3 47 50 747 797 5 35 40 541 581
50 - 64 1 51 52 612 664 4 35 39 403 442
65 + 10 56 66 350 416 3 35 38 189 227
Unknown 0 0 0 7 7 0 0 0 3 3
Total 17 268 285 3,511 3,796 16 191 207 2,399 2,606
All
Under 16 1 67 68 755 823 3 46 49 532 581
16 - 24 10 150 160 1,525 1,685 11 107 118 1,111 1,229
25 - 34 6 119 125 1,512 1,637 6 100 106 1,124 1,230
35 - 49 6 126 132 1,628 1,760 13 100 113 1,165 1,278
50 - 64 5 137 142 1,239 1,381 10 108 118 859 977
65 + 19 113 132 676 808 11 77 88 405 493
Unknown 0 0 0 22 22 0 0 0 7 7
Total2 47 712 759 7,357 8,116 54 538 592 5,203 5,795 1. Killed or seriously injured. 2. Totals include those where gender is unknown. * Figures are provisional and subject to
change
4. Age and Gender
9
Table 4 Number of police recorded road traffic casualties by injury severity and Police District: January to April 2019 compared with January to April 2018
• Newry, Mourne and Down had the highest number of road deaths by district between January and
November 2020 with 9. Fermanagh & Omagh and Derry City & Strabane districts both recorded two fatalities during the period. Newry, Mourne and Down district had the most people seriously injured with 73 recorded during this period.
• All eleven districts showed a decrease in their overall casualties between January and November 2019 and this year to November. In the context of the overall reductions, three of the eleven districts showed increases in KSI casualties over the period, Newry, Mourne & Down (+5), Lisburn & Castlereagh City (+2) and Mid & East Antrim (+2).
Table 4 Number of police recorded road traffic casualties by injury severity and Police District: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
01 January – 30 November 2019 01 January – 30 November 2020*
District/Area Killed Seriously Injured
Total KSI
1
Slightly Injured
Total
Killed Seriously Injured
Total KSI
1 Slightly Injured
Total
Belfast City 2 119 121 1,843 1,964 3 68 71 1,239 1,310
Derry City & Strabane 1 52 53 514 567 2 32 34 453 487
Antrim & Newtownabbey 7 57 64 653 717 3 38 41 430 471
Causeway Coast & Glens 9 77 86 553 639 6 38 44 327 371
Mid & East Antrim 2 41 43 387 430 7 38 45 275 320
Lisburn & Castlereagh City 3 46 49 629 678 4 47 51 441 492
Ards & North Down 3 54 57 460 517 5 35 40 405 445
Armagh City, Banbridge & Craigavon
6 73 79 739 818 7 71 78 537 615
Fermanagh & Omagh 2 53 55 386 441 2 52 54 284 338
Mid Ulster 6 69 75 561 636 6 46 52 335 387
Newry, Mourne & Down 6 71 77 632 709 9 73 82 477 559
Northern Ireland Total 47 712 759 7,357 8,116 54 538 592 5,203 5,795
1. Killed or seriously injured * Figures are provisional and subject to change
5. District
10
Figure 4: Casualties killed or seriously injured by District: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
121
53
64
86
43 49
57
79
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75 77
71
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41 44 45
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KS
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as
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District
2019 2020
11
Table 5 Most common principal causation factors of those killed or seriously injured in road traffic collisions: January to November 2020
Principal Factor
Total KSI1 casualties*
Wrong course/position 62
Excessive speed having regard to conditions 56
Inattention or attention diverted 52
Impairment by drugs or alcohol - driver/rider 40
Overtaking on offside without care 36
Emerging from minor road without care 33
Crossing or entering road junction without care 28
Turning right without care 26
Heedless of traffic crossing carriageway 19
Disobeying traffic sign/signal 15
1. Killed or seriously injured * Figures are provisional
The most common principal causation factors for KSI casualties between January and November 2020 were ‘wrong course/position’ (62 KSI casualties), ‘excessive speed having regard to conditions’ (56 KSI casualties) and ‘inattention or attention diverted’ (52 KSI casualties).
PSNI Statistics Branch also produces statistics in relation to the number of motoring offences
detected, which includes speeding, drink driving and careless driving type offences https://www.psni.police.uk/inside-psni/Statistics/motoring-offences-statistics/.
6. Principal Causation Factors
12
Table 6 Casualties resulting from single vehicle collisions^ by injury severity and month: January to November 2020 compared with January to November 2019
01 January – 30 November 2019 01 January – 30 November 2020*
Killed Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total Killed
Seriously injured KSI
1
Slightly injured Total
January 0 8 8 83 91 1 15 16 87 103
February 1 8 9 70 79 0 11 11 67 78
March 4 16 20 77 97 0 7 7 47 54
April 3 15 18 73 91 1 3 4 36 40
May 2 18 20 87 107 2 7 9 30 39
June 1 15 16 106 122 1 5 6 46 52
July 2 11 13 49 62 2 14 16 51 67
August 0 10 10 70 80 2 12 14 69 83
September 1 12 13 87 100 1 8 9 44 53
October 1 20 21 74 95 2 17 19 51 70
November 1 13 14 67 81 1 7 8 33 41
Total 16 146 162 843 1,005 13 106 119 561 680 1. Killed or seriously injured * Figures are provisional and subject to change ^ Defined as a collision which results in casualties to the occupants of one vehicle only and where no other party was involved
• The 557 single vehicle collisions recorded between January and November 2020 accounted for 14.8% of the total number of collisions recorded during this period.
• There were 119 people killed or seriously injured as a result of a single vehicle collision between
January and November 2020. This was 43 fewer KSI casualties recorded than for the same period last year. In total there were 325 fewer casualties of single vehicle collisions between January and November 2020 than the same period in 2019.
7. Single Vehicle Collisions
13
The Northern Ireland Road Safety Strategy 2020 contains a series of road safety targets to be achieved by 2020, four of which are related to the PSNI’s injury road traffic casualty statistics. The current progress towards these targets is outlined below. The latest detailed update on the strategy targets and performance indicators was published by DfI in September 2020: https://www.infrastructure-ni.gov.uk/publications/northern-ireland-road-safety-strategy-2020-annual-statistical-report-2020 Lockdown measures in relation to Covid-19 were introduced on 23rd March 2020. The reduction in collisions and casualties should be seen in the context of overall traffic volumes which were estimated to have more than halved at the outset of lockdown and continue to show reductions throughout the current reporting period. DfI traffic flow figures are published at: Traffic Flows – Department for Infrastructure
Figure 5: Number of people killed on Northern Ireland’s Roads – Rolling 12 months January 2014 to November 2020
• The Department for Infrastructure (DfI) Northern Ireland Road Safety Strategy aims at a 60% reduction
on the number of fatalities on Northern Ireland’s roads each year, from the 2004 – 2008 average of 126 to fewer than 50 by 2020. This figure has fallen below this target previously, reaching 45 for the rolling 12 month period ending October 2012, however the current rolling 12 month figure of 63 for the period 1st December 2019 to 30th November 2020 is thirteen more than the target.
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Rolling 12 months ending
8. Road Safety Strategy Targets
Target = 50
14
Figure 6: Number of persons seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s Roads – Rolling 12 months January 2014 to November 2020
• The Department for Infrastructure Northern Ireland Road Safety Strategy also aims at a 45% reduction in the number of people seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s roads each year, from the 2004 – 2008 average of 1,111 to fewer than 611 by 2020. The current rolling 12 month figure covering 1st December 2019 to 30th November 2020 provisionally sits at 600, which is eleven fewer people seriously injured than the 2020 target level.
722
689
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Rolling 12 months ending
Target = 611
15
Figure 7: Number of children* killed or seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s Roads – Rolling 12 months January 2014 to November 2020
• The Road Safety Strategy has set a target of 55% reduction in the number of children killed or
seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s roads each year, from the 2004 – 2008 average of 128 to fewer than 58 by 2020. The current 12 month rolling figure of 52 to the end of November 2020 is six KSI child casualties below the set target.
*children casualties are those casualties aged 15 or under.
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Rolling 12 months ending
Target = 58
16
Figure 8: Number of young people (16-24) killed or seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s Roads – Rolling 12 months January 2014 to November 2020
• The Strategy also has a target of a 55% reduction in the number of young people (16-24) killed or seriously injured on Northern Ireland’s roads each year, from the 2004 – 2008 average of 366 to fewer than 165 by 2020. The current figure for the 12 month rolling period to the end of November 2020 provisionally sits at 131, which is thirty-four below the target level.
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Rolling 12 months ending
Target = 165
17
Figure 9 Number of people killed on Northern Ireland’s Roads – 2000 to 2021*
* Provisional fatality figure up to the 27
th January 2021
The number of people killed in road traffic collisions in the years up to and including 2009 was consistently above 100 and then in 2010, there was an unprecedented reduction in which fatalities fell to 55 (a reduction of 52.2%). This figure fluctuated around this level before increasing to 79 deaths in 2014 (up 38.6% from 2013) and reducing again gradually to 56 deaths provisionally recorded for 2020. Up to the 26th January 2021 there have been 4 fatal casualties which are four fewer deaths than the same time period in 2020 and one more fatality recorded in the equivalent period of 2019.
Of the 56 road deaths occurring in 2019, 34 (60.7%) occurred on rural roads (defined as where the speed limit is over 40 miles per hour excluding motorways and dual carriageways) while 10 occurred on urban roads (40 miles per hour or less) and 12 occurred on motorways or dual carriageways. The Daily Fatal Report on the PSNI website provides more information.
171
148 150 150 147 135
126
113 107
115
55 59 48
57
79 74 68 63
55 56 56
4*
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
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9. Northern Ireland Fatalities
18
User Guide The Traffic Statistics User Guide is available and provides information on the design, methodology and quality assurance of the statistics. The User Guide also provides useful information for users when interpreting and understanding the data including the coverage, definitions, strengths and limitations. Quality Our internal quality assurance and validation procedures are regularly tested, reviewed and updated. We have also used the UK Statistics Authority Administrative Data Quality Assurance Toolkit to ensure that we have provided users with as much information as possible and to make users aware of the quality and background of the statistics. The STATS19 form and the accompanying STATS20 guidance provide a set of established guidelines which are followed by police forces across the UK. For example, all road collisions involving human death or personal injury occurring on the public road and notified to the police within 30 days of the occurrence, and in which one or more vehicles are involved, are to be reported. This is a wider definition of road collisions than that used in legislation e.g. Road Traffic Acts. PSNI’s Collision Report Form (CRF) is based on the Department for Transport STATS19 form. This ensures data are checked and validated to an agreed set of standards and allows the statistics to be compared at a UK level. Note that a copy of the CRF is provided in the appendix of the User Guide. Daily Fatal Spreadsheet As part of our commitment to provide users with more timely information, we publish a provisional Daily Fatal Spreadsheet, giving details of the location, age and gender of road traffic fatalities. This is updated each working day on the PSNI website. Additional Data More detailed statistical tables on injury road traffic collisions in Northern Ireland are available on the police recorded injury road traffic statistics section of the PSNI website.
Great Britain Reported Road Casualties
Reported provisional estimates from the most recent period covered by the Department for Transport statistical releases (published 28th January 2021) refer to the year ending June 2020. Key points from the publication are as below:
Reported road casualties in Great Britain for the year ending June2020 shows, there were:
1,580 reported road deaths, a decrease of 14% compared to the previous year.
There were 24,470 killed or seriously injured casualties (KSIs), a decrease of 11%.
A total of 131,220 casualties of all severities, a decrease of 16%.
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/reported-road-casualties-in-great-britain-provisional-estimates-year-ending-june-2020
10. Notes
19
Revisions Revisions are carried out in accordance with our Revisions Policy, a copy of which is available as part of the Official Statistics documentation on the PSNI Statistics website. Figures within the current financial year to date are provisional and will be subject to slight revision until figures for the full calendar and subsequent financial year are published. This means that the totals for each month from April 2020 can change each time the figures are published during the financial year. These amendments can happen for a number of reasons, such as a collision being included, excluded or reclassified following further investigation by an officer.
Police recorded road traffic collision casualty figures by month
Collisions Casualties
Month No of injury collisions
Killed Seriously Injured
Slightly Injured
Total casualties
Scale of Revision (latest release compared with initial reporting)
Reported 28th August 2020 Apr-20 2 (1.4%) 0 0 2 (1.1%) 2 (1.0%)
Reported 28th August 2020 May-20 9 (4.4%) 0 2 (8.3%) 11 (3.8%) 13 (4.0%)
Reported 25th September 2020 Jun-20 8 (2.8%) 0 1 (2.2%) 12 (2.9%) 13 (2.8%)
Reported 25th September 2020 Jul-20 23 (7.4%) 0 3 (5.7%) 29 (6.7%) 32 (6.5%)
Reported 30th October 2020 Aug-20 23 (6.2%) 0 1 (2.4%) 32 (6.1%) 33 (5.8%)
Reported 27th November 2020 Sept-20 35 (10.4%) 0 9 (19.1%) 46 (10.3%) 55 (11.0%)
Reported 18th December 2020 Oct-20 60 (19.4%) 0 10 (17.2%) 85 (20.4%) 95 (19.9%)