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UCL PK/PD Course 3B-1April 2011
Pharmacodynamics: the methods
• In vitro models
• Animal models
• Clinical studies
• Population studies
With the support of Wallonie-Bruxelles-International
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-2April 2011
Pharmacodynamics: the methods
"un peu de tout …"
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-3April 2011
In vitro dynamic models
• Dilution models• Diffusion models• Hybrid models• ‘Physiologic models’• Intracellular models
Adapted from J. Mouton, 4th ISAP Educational Workshop, 2001
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-4April 2011
Dilution models: a simple, useful system ...
MICTime Above MIC
Peak:MIC AUC:MIC Ratio
Time
Drug Conc.
Inflow = Clearance
Fresh Medium
Waste
V
T1/2 = 0.693 * V/Cl
Sampling of Drug, Bacteria
Pump
Adapted from M.N. Dudley, ISAP / FDA Workshop, March 1st, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-5April 2011
Diffusion models
• Membranes (hollow fibers)
• dialyzers (artificial kidneys)
Adapted from M.N. Dudley, ISAP / FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-6April 2011
Some models can be very complex
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-7April 2011
The goal is to mimic potentially useful and achievable serum concentration variations
Time (h)
Cef
tazi
dim
e(m
g/L)
0 6 12 18 24 30 360
30
60
90
120
intermittent dosing
continuous infusion
Adapted from J. Mouton, 4th ISAP Educational Workshop, 2001
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-8April 2011
Why in vitro dynamic models ...
Adapted from J. Mouton, 4th ISAP Educational Workshop, 2001
• The goal is to establish basic relationships between drug exposure (PK) and effect (PD) – PK/PD parameters for efficacy to apply across species,
models, for combinations, etc...– Basis of dosage in phase II trials
• Limitations:– Experimental conditions (laboursome; contamination; …)– Usually only 1 or 2 days (effects ‘fade’ after 12-24 h)– absence of host factors (includ. protein binding and
metabolism)– ...
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-9April 2011
Animal models
• neutropenic mouse• rabbit (endocarditis)• rat, guinea pig, ...
Adapted from W.A. Craig, 2d ISAP Educational Workshop, 2000
The main advantage is the possibility to explore a VERY large array of dosing regimens so as• dissociate PK covariables (Cmax vs AUC …)• explore the PK “conditions of failure”
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-10April 2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 4 8 12 16 20 24Time, hours
Con
cent
ratio
n, n
g/m
L
qd dosing dose = 1
MIC 90
Cmax / MIC
T > MIC
Dissociating PK covariables: see what are Cmax , time above MIC and AUC
with a once-a-day (qd) schedule of a given dose …
Adapted from F. O. Ajayi, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-11April 2011
Now see what are Cmax , time > MIC and AUC/MIC if increase the dose without changing the schedule
Adapted from F. O. Ajayi, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 4 8 12 16 20 24Time, hours
Con
cent
ratio
n, n
g/m
L
qd dosingdose = 1.4
MIC 90
Cmax / MIC
T > MIC
Cmax / MIC
Peak/MIC T > MIC AUC / MIC
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-12April 2011
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0 4 8 12 16 20 24Time, hours
Con
cent
ratio
n, n
g/m
L tid dosing
MIC 90
Cmax / MIC
T > MIC
But see how Cmax , time > MIC and AUC/MIC become dissociated if the SAME DAILY dose is given with a
different schedule (here: divided in 3 administrations) …
Peak/MIC T > MIC AUC / MIC =
Adapted from F. O. Ajayi, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-13April 2011
A typical animal model to establish which PK parameter is associated with efficacy
• Use neutropenic murine thigh-and lung-infection models
• Evaluate 20-30 different dosing regimens (5 different total doses given at 4-6 different dosing intervals)
• Measure efficacy from change in Log10 CFU per thigh or lung at the end of 24 hours of therapy
• Correlate efficacy with various pharmacodynamic parameters (Time above MIC, peak/MIC, 24-Hr AUC/MIC)
Adapted from W.A. Craig, 2d ISAP Educational Workshop, 2000
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-14April 2011
Relationship Between Peak/MIC Ratio and Efficacyfor Cefotaxime against Klebsiella pneumoniaein a Murine Pneumonia Model (after W.A. Craig * )
Peak/MIC Ratio0.1 1 10 100 1000 10000
5
6
7
8
9
10Lo
g 10 C
FU p
er L
ung
at 2
4 H
ours
* 2d ISAP Educational Workshop,Stockholm, Sweden, 2000
No correlation with peak / MIC ratio !!
Bac
teria
lgro
wth
Bac
teria
lkilli
ng
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-15April 2011
24-Hour AUC/MIC Ratio3 30 300 300010 100 1000
5
6
7
8
9
10Lo
g 10 C
FU p
er L
ung
at 2
4 H
ours
Relationship Between 24-Hr AUC/MIC and Efficacyfor Cefotaxime against Klebsiella pneumoniaein a Murine Pneumonia Model (after W.A. Craig * )
* 2d ISAP Educational Workshop,Stockholm, Sweden, 2000
No correlation with AUC / MIC ratio !!
Bac
teria
lgro
wth
Bac
teria
lkilli
ng
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-16April 2011
Relationship Between Time Above MIC and Efficacyfor Cefotaxime against Klebsiella pneumoniaein a Murine Pneumonia Model (after W.A. Craig * )
0 20 40 60 80 100
5
6
7
8
9
10
R 2 = 94%
Log 1
0 CFU
per
Lun
g at
24
Hou
rs
Time Above MIC (Percent)* 2d ISAP Educational Workshop,
Stockholm, Sweden, 2000
Excellent correlation with time above MIC !!
Bac
teria
lgro
wth
Bac
teria
lkilli
ng
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-17April 2011
End-points of animal models
• Bacterial counts– static dose– 50 % effect– Emax
• Mortality
• Recovery of resistant bacteria
Dose (mg/kg/6 hrs)10 30 100 300
Log 1
0 C
FU p
er T
high
at
24 H
rs
5
6
7
8
9
Static Dose
1 Log Kill
P50
Emax
* 2d ISAP Educational Workshop,Stockholm, Sweden, 2000
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-18April 2011
Demonstrated advantages of animal models
Adapted from W.A. Craig, 2d ISAP Educational Workshop, 2000
Is the magnitude of the parameter required for efficacy the same in different animal species?
YES
Does the magnitude of the parameter vary with:
1. the dosing regimen? NO
2. different drugs within the same class? NO
3. different organisms ? Minimal
4. different sites of infection (e.g. blood, lung, peritoneum, soft tissue)? NO, but ...
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-19April 2011
PK/PD of fluoroquinolones
in clinics
Demonstration of the role of the
24h-AUC / MIC ratioIn nosocomial
pneumonia
Forrest et al., AAC, 1993
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-20April 2011
Link between 24h-AUC /MIC and clinical success …
AUC
clinicaloutcome
AUC / MIC
F. O. Ajayi, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-21April 2011
24h AUC / MIC : what were the data of the Forrest et al's study ?
Parameter No.Pat. % CureMicrob. % CureClinicalMIC (mg/L) <0,125 28 82 790,125-0,25 13 75 690.5 14 54 791 9 33 442 2 0 024h AUC / MIC 0-125 19 32 42125-250 16 81 88250-1000 14 79 711000-5541 15 87 80
Forrest et al., AAC, 1993
succes
failures
success
failures
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-22April 2011
AUC/CMI =125 : a magical number??
125 was the limit below which failure rates became unacceptable based either– on a large MIC– or on a low dosage
(AUC is proportional to the dosage)
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-23April 2011
Is 125 good for all ??
3 30 30010 100 1000
0
20
40
60
80
100
24 hr AUC/MIC
Mor
talit
y (%
)
Neutropenic mice
Emax at125 ...
24 Hr AUC/MIC
Mor
talit
y (%
)
1 2.5 5 10 25 50 100
0
20
40
60
80
100
non-neutropenic mice
Emax at30 ...
For S. pneumoniae, it all depends on your immune status…
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-24April 2011
No conclusionpossible
Why are the conclusions of the clinical trials apparently (sometimes and apparently) contradictory ?
• insufficient separation of covariables– only one or a few dosage regimens
• not enough true failures– Pathologies pas assez sévères– study design
• intercurrent variables influencing outcome and not recognized as such
• unsufficient or inappropriate collection of PK data– only “peaks” or troughs...
Correct but uncomplete conclusion
Conclusionsof poorvalue (shedconfusion…)
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-25April 2011
Population approaches : Doctor or Regulator ?
• In clinical therapy, we would like to give optimal dose to each individual patient for the particular disease
• In new drug assessment / development, we would like to know the overall probability for a population of an appropriate response to a given drug and proposed regimen
Individualized therapy
Population-based recommendations
H. Sun, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-26April 2011
Obtaining population cumulative frequencies
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2.231
2.604
2.977
3.350
3.724
4.097
4.470
4.843
5.216
5.590
5.963
6.336
6.709
7.083
7.456
7.829
Drug Concentration (ug/ml)
Freq
uenc
y
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
cum
ulat
ive
effe
ct (%
)
FrequencyCumulative %, MIC=2Cumulative %, MIC=4Cumulative %, MIC=5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0.00
2.00
3.39
4.52
5.65
6.77
7.90
9.03
10.15
11.28
12.41
13.54
Tmic
Freq
uenc
y
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
% S
ubje
ct
Quantaldrug concentrationeffects
Quantal T>MICplots
H. Sun, ISAP-FDA Workshop, 1999
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-27April 2011
“Monte Carlo” simulations
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-28April 2011
Monte Carlo Simulation : the basics …
– “randomly" generating at least 10,000 scenarios of PK and PD parameters that could be seen in patients
– Determining what the PK/PD values would be under each of the 10,000 scenarios
– Forming a histogram of those results. This represents a discrete approximation for the probability distribution of the data.
Monte Carlo simulation allows us to make use of prior knowledge of how a target population handles a specific drug to predict how well that drug will perform clinically at the dose chosen for clinical trials
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-29April 2011
Monte Carlo Simulation …How is this done?
Through use of data from a population PK study, a sampling distribution is set up
think of every body in the world in a bucket from which you randomly select a large number of subjects, each of whom knows their PK parameter values.
This allows the pertinent PK parameters to be calculated for all the subjects
you then only need to apply your pertinent PD parameter !!
Modified from: G. Drusano, Joint ISAP/ECCMID Symposium, Glasgow, UK, May 11th, 2003
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-30April 2011
f
AUC
1. Patients' PK distribution
f
MIC
2. Bacteria MIC distribution
“Monte Carlo” simulation for pneumococci (based on AUC/MIC)
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-31April 2011
AUC / MIC
f
f
AUCpatients
f
MICbroth
“Monte Carlo” simulation for pneumococci (based on AUC/MIC)
3. Simulated AUC/ MIC distribution
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-32April 2011
AUC / MIC
f
f
0Cipro Levo
50 100 200 300
AUC / MIC Moxi
f
AUC1. patients
f
MIC2. broth
“Monte Carlo” simulation for pneumococci (based on AUC/MIC)
4. Solve the equations for the AUC values of 3 quinolones …
3. Simulation …
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-33April 2011
f
0Cipro Levo
50 100 200 300
AUC / MIC Moxi
“Monte Carlo” simulation for pneumococci (based on AUC/MIC)
The results are obvious …
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-34April 2011
Another look at Monte-Carlo simulations : Levofloxacin Vs S. pneumoniae
Preston SL, Drusano GL et at. AAC 1998;42:1098-1104; Ambrose PG, Grasela D. ICAAC 1999
Ambrose PG et al Chapter 17 in Antimicrobial Pharmacodynamics in Theory and Clinical Prectice, eds Nightingale CH, Murakawa T, Ambrose PG. 2002. Marcel Decker, NY
ProbabilityProbability0.050.05
0.0450.0450.040.04
0.0350.0350.030.03
0.0250.0250.020.02
0.0150.0150.010.01
0.0050.00500
00 5050 100100 150150 200200 250250 300300 350350 400400AUC:MIC ratioAUC:MIC ratio
LevofloxacinLevofloxacin
Certainty is only 80% to get values of AUC:MIC ratio higher than 30
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-35April 2011
Those methods allow to know that for each antibiotic
Dosing• Cmax
• AUC• half-life
PK PD
• dose response • Time• Emax
Therapeutic effects
Toxic effects
UCL PK/PD Course 3B-36April 2011
Those methods allow to know that for each antibiotic
Dosing• Cmax
• AUC• half-life
PK PD Therapeutic effects
Toxic effects
We now will tell you what these methods show ….
Section 3 c
• dose response • Time• Emax