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Venty | [email protected] Metode Penelitian Desember 2012 PENGOLAHAN DATA PANEL

Pengolahan Data Panel

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Page 1: Pengolahan Data Panel

Venty | [email protected]

Metode Penelitian

Desember 2012

PENGOLAHAN DATA

PANEL

Page 2: Pengolahan Data Panel

. encode kode, gen(id)

. xtset id tahun

panel variable: id (strongly balanced)

time variable: tahun, 1999 to 2001

delta: 1 unit

Page 3: Pengolahan Data Panel

1. Pooled Least Square (PLS)

2. Fixed Effect / Least Square Dummy Variable

3. Random Effect / Error Component Model

Which one better?

Test!

PENDEKATAN PANEL

Page 4: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xtreg abs_dac - ta, fe

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 309

Group variable: id Number of groups = 103

R-sq: within = 0.0363 Obs per group: min = 3

between = 0.1214 avg = 3.0

overall = 0.0160 max = 3

F(7,199) = 1.07

corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.4436 Prob > F = 0.3829

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | .042161 .0241284 1.75 0.082 -.0054192 .0897413

big4 | -.0376224 .0413772 -0.91 0.364 -.1192165 .0439717

lev | .0091587 .0245977 0.37 0.710 -.0393468 .0576642

growth | .0069892 .0055505 1.26 0.209 -.0039561 .0179345

sizelnta | .0009292 .0211456 0.04 0.965 -.0407691 .0426275

d_loss | -.0259335 .0217378 -1.19 0.234 -.0687995 .0169325

ta | 9.11e -10 2.49e-09 0.37 0.715 -4.01e-09 5.83e-09

_cons | .0837001 .4287693 0.20 0.845 -.7618143 .9292144

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

sigma_u | .09620508

sigma_e | .10184037

rho | .47156848 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

F test that all u_i=0: F(102, 199) = 1.62 Prob > F = 0.0019

PLS VS FIXED EFFECT: CHOW TEST

Page 5: Pengolahan Data Panel

H0: PLS

H1: FE

Tolak h0 jika Prob > F kurang dari alfa

Hasil: tolak H0 FE

CHOW TEST

Page 6: Pengolahan Data Panel

1. . xtreg abs_dac - ta, fe

2. . estimates store fe

3. . xtreg abs_dac – ta

4. . estimates store re

5. . hausman fe re

FIXED VS RANDOM: HASUMAN TEST

Page 7: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xtreg abs_dac - ta, fe

Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 309

Group variable: id Number of groups = 103

R-sq: within = 0.0363 Obs per group: min = 3

between = 0.1214 avg = 3.0

overall = 0.0160 max = 3

F(7,199) = 1.07

corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.4436 Prob > F = 0.3829

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | .042161 .0241284 1.75 0.082 -.0054192 .0897413

big4 | -.0376224 .0413772 -0.91 0.364 -.1192165 .0439717

lev | .0091587 .0245977 0.37 0.710 -.0393468 .0576642

growth | .0069892 .0055505 1.26 0.209 -.0039561 .0179345

sizelnta | .0009292 .0211456 0.04 0.965 -.0407691 .0426275

d_loss | -.0259335 .0217378 -1.19 0.234 -.0687995 .0169325

ta | 9.11e-10 2.49e-09 0.37 0.715 -4.01e-09 5.83e-09

_cons | .0837001 .4287693 0.20 0.845 -.7618143 .9292144

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

sigma_u | .09620508

sigma_e | .10184037

rho | .47156848 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

F test that all u_i=0: F(102, 199) = 1.62 Prob > F = 0.0019

. estimates store fe

HASUMAN TEST

Page 8: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xtreg abs_dac - ta

Random-effects GLS regression Number of obs = 309

Group variable: id Number of groups = 103

R-sq: within = 0.0002 Obs per group: min = 3

between = 0.3167 avg = 3.0

overall = 0.1413 max = 3

Random effects u_i ~ Gaussian Wald chi2(7) = 35.95

corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed) Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | -.0119793 .0153625 -0.78 0.436 -.0420893 .0181306

big4 | -.0153878 .02211 -0.70 0.486 -.0587226 .0279471

lev | .0626196 .0137332 4.56 0.000 .0357031 .0895361

growth | -.0034438 .0038282 -0.90 0.368 -.010947 .0040594

sizelnta | -.0160249 .0067692 -2.37 0.018 -.0292922 -.0027576

d_loss | -.0056008 .016712 -0.34 0.738 -.0383557 .0271542

ta | 1.32e-09 1.69e-09 0.78 0.436 -2.00e-09 4.63e-09

_cons | .4081115 .1325684 3.08 0.002 .1482822 .6679408

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

sigma_u | .0416745

sigma_e | .10184037

rho | .14343668 (fraction of variance due to u_i)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. estimates store re

HASUMAN TEST

Page 9: Pengolahan Data Panel

. hausman fe re

Note: the rank of the differenced variance matrix (6) does not equal the number of

coefficients being tested (7); be sure this is what you expect, or there may be

problems computing the test. Examine the output of your estimators for anything

unexpected and possibly consider scaling your variables so that the coefficients

are on a similar scale.

---- Coefficients ----

| (b) (B) (b -B) sqrt(diag(V_b-V_B))

| fe re Difference S.E.

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | .042161 -.0119793 .0541404 .0186058

big4 | -.0376224 -.0153878 -.0222346 .0349746

lev | .0091587 .0626196 -.0534608 .020407

growth | .0069892 -.0034438 .010433 .004019

sizelnta | .0009292 -.0160249 .0169541 .0200329

d_loss | -.0259335 -.0056008 -.0203327 .0139011

ta | 9.11e-10 1.32e-09 -4.07e-10 1.83e-09

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

b = consistent under Ho and Ha; obtained from xtreg

B = inconsistent under Ha, efficient under Ho; obtained from xtreg

Test: Ho: difference in coefficients not systematic

chi2(6) = (b-B)'[(V_b-V_B)^(-1)](b-B)

= 20.92

Prob>chi2 = 0.0019

Hasil: tolak h0 FE

Page 10: Pengolahan Data Panel

Per lu kah? T idak

. xttest0

Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test for random effects

abs_dac[id,t] = Xb + u[id] + e[id,t]

Estimated results:

| Var sd = sqrt(Var)

---------+-----------------------------

abs_dac | .014316 .1196494

e | .0103715 .1018404

u | .0017368 .0416745

Test: Var(u) = 0

chi2(1) = 3.71

Prob > chi2 = 0.0540

H0 : PLS

H1: FE Hasi l : t idak to lak h0 PLS

RANDOM VS PLS: LM TEST

Page 11: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xttest3

Modified Wald test for groupwise

heteroskedasticity

in fixed effect regression model

H0: sigma(i)^2 = sigma^2 for all i homo

chi2 (103) = 2.4e+05

Prob>chi2 = 0.0000

Hasil: tolak h0 ada hetero

PENGUJIAN BLUE - HETERO

Page 12: Pengolahan Data Panel

. corr spesialisasi- ta

(obs=309)

| spesia~i big4 lev growth sizelnta d_loss ta

-------------+------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | 1.0000

big4 | 0.3894 1.0000

lev | 0.0271 -0.0533 1.0000

growth | -0.0211 0.0359 -0.2325 1.0000

sizelnta | 0.2395 0.1254 0.0742 0.0539 1.0000

d_loss | -0.0198 -0.0245 0.4749 -0.1857 0.0480 1.0000

ta | 0.1704 -0.0454 0.0079 0.0098 0.6190 -0.0233 1.00

PENGUJIAN BLUE - MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Page 13: Pengolahan Data Panel

. vif, uncentered

Variable | VIF 1/VIF

-------------+----------------------

sizelnta | 11.30 0.088476 multikol

big4 | 8.83 0.113208

lev | 3.59 0.278708

spesialisasi | 3.04 0.329296

d_loss | 1.80 0.555426

growth | 1.55 0.647143

ta | 1.29 0.777585

-------------+----------------------

Mean VIF | 4.48

MULTIKOLINEARITAS

Page 14: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xtserial abs_dac spesialisasi big4 lev growth

sizelnta d_loss ta

Wooldridge test for autocorrelation in panel data

H0: no first-order autocorrelation

F( 1, 102) = 8.254

Prob > F = 0.0049

Hasil: tolak h0: tidak ada autokorelasi

PENGUJIAN BLUE - AUTOKORELASI

Page 15: Pengolahan Data Panel

Cross-sectional time-series FGLS regression

Coefficients: generalized least squares

Panels: homoskedastic

Correlation: no autocorrelation

Estimated covariances = 1 Number of obs = 309

Estimated autocorrelations = 0 Number of groups = 103

Estimated coefficients = 110 Time periods = 3

Wald chi2(109) = 351.14

Log likelihood = 335.3974 Prob > chi2 = 0.0000

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

spesialisasi | .042161 .0193632 2.18 0.029 .0042099 .0801122

big4 | -.0376224 .0332054 -1.13 0.257 -.1027038 .027459

lev | .0091587 .0197397 0.46 0.643 -.0295304 .0478479

growth | .0069892 .0044543 1.57 0.117 -.001741 .0157194

sizelnta | .0009292 .0169695 0.05 0.956 -.0323303 .0341887

d_loss | -.0259335 .0174447 -1.49 0.137 -.0601244 .0082574

ta | 9.11e-10 2.00e-09 0.46 0.649 -3.01e-09 4.83e-09

|

id |

2 | .2898759 .0911637 3.18 0.001 .1111984 .4685534

3 | -.0168839 .0709854 -0.24 0.812 -.1560128 .122245

4 | .0205374 .0696951 0.29 0.768 -.1160624 .1571372

5 | -.0010202 .0702496 -0.01 0.988 -.138707 .1366666

6 | -.0194081 .0681189 -0.28 0.776 -.1529187 .1141024

7 | -.0211798 .0736707 -0.29 0.774 -.1655717 .1232121

8 | -.0312662 .0686183 -0.46 0.649 -.1657556 .1032232

9 | .000552 .0813914 0.01 0.995 -.1589722 .1600762

10 | -.0356846 .0835675 -0.43 0.669 -.1994739 .1281046

11 | .0205514 .0670587 0.31 0.759 -.1108812 .1519839

SOLUSI: GLS

Page 16: Pengolahan Data Panel

. swilk abs_dac spesialisasi big4 lev growth sizelnta d_loss ta

Shapiro-Wilk W test for normal data

Variable | Obs W V z Prob>z

-------------+--------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | 309 0.71310 62.746 9.730 0.00000

spesialisasi | 309 0.99915 0.187 -3.945 0.99996

big4 | 309 0.96979 6.607 4.439 0.00000

lev | 309 0.71754 61.775 9.693 0.00000

growth | 309 0.78150 47.787 9.089 0.00000

sizelnta | 309 0.98845 2.526 2.178 0.01470

d_loss | 309 0.98975 2.242 1.898 0.02887

ta | 309 0.36027 139.913 11.615 0.00000

H0: normal

H1: t idak normal

J ika prob>z leb ih kec i l dar i a l fa , re ject h0 t idak normal

hasi l : yang normal cuma spes ia l isas i

UJI NORMALITAS

Page 17: Pengolahan Data Panel

. xtsu m abs_dac s pesiali sasi big4 le v growt h sizelnta d _loss t a

Variab le | M ean Std. D ev. Min Max | Observat ions

------ ----------- + ------- ------------ ------- ------------ ------ + ------------ ----

abs_da c overall | .1050 162 .11964 94 0 1.04 | N = 309

between | .08608 39 .0 133333 .49 | n = 103

within | .08338 87 -.2 549838 .65 50162 | T = 3

| |

spesia ~i overall | .592 233 .49221 66 0 1 | N = 309

between | .4224 94 0 1 | n = 103

within | .25482 36 -.0 744337 1 .2589 | T = 3

| |

big4 overall | .8608 414 .34667 33 0 1 | N = 309

between | .31145 27 0 1 | n = 103

within | .15430 33 .1 941748 1.5 27508 | T = 3

| |

lev overall | .7390 615 .57258 76 .03 4.6 | N = 309

between | .51887 04 .04 3.0 83333 | n = 103

within | .24572 01 -1. 717605 2.2 82395 | T = 3

| |

growth overall | 1.18 822 1.7973 24 -6.51 9.64 | N = 309

between | 1.4530 33 -2. 263333 7.85 | n = 103

within | 1.0643 21 -3. 058447 5.8 51554 | T = 3

| |

sizeln ta overall | 20.35 123 1.3651 64 17.35 24.79 | N = 309

between | 1.3314 98 17 .43333 24. 12667 | n = 103

within | .31984 27 18 .22123 22. 05123 | T = 3

| |

d_loss overall | .2750 809 .44727 94 0 1 | N = 309

between | .35371 41 0 1 | n = 103

within | .27524 09 -.3 915858 .94 17476 | T = 3

| |

ta overall | 2067 115 51131 86 34 311.14 5.8 3e+07 | N = 309

between | 42609 26 37 244.15 3.0 3e+07 | n = 103

within | 28472 92 -1. 55e+07 3.7 0e+07 | T = 3

STATISTIK DESKRIPTIF

Page 18: Pengolahan Data Panel

. sum abs_dac spesialisasi big4 lev growth sizelnta d_loss ta

Variable | Obs Mean Std. Dev. Min Max

-------------+--------------------------------------------------------

abs_dac | 309 .1050162 .1196494 0 1.04

spesialisasi | 309 .592233 .4922166 0 1

big4 | 309 .8608414 .3466733 0 1

lev | 309 .7390615 .5725876 .03 4.6

growth | 309 1.18822 1.797324 -6.51 9.64

-------------+--------------------------------------------------------

sizelnta | 309 20.35123 1.365164 17.35 24.79

d_loss | 309 .2750809 .4472794 0 1

ta | 309 2067115 5113186 34311.14 5.83e+07

Page 19: Pengolahan Data Panel

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