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Paul L. Jokiel
Hawai‘i Coral Reef Assessment and Monitoring Program (CRAMP)
Hawaii Institute of Marine BiologySchool of Ocean, Earth Science and Technology,
University of Hawaii,
http://cramp.wcc.hawaii.edu
1. Research Objective
To describe spatial and temporal variationIn Hawaiian coral reef communities in relation to naturaland anthropogenic forcing functions.
Develop knowledge required for a sustainable future.
2. Description of Program: Current Funding
Agency Project Funding
NFWF Stream Discharge and Hanalei Coral Reefs $73,827
EPA Effects of Climate Change on Hawaiian Coral Reefs $747,220
EPA Development of Coral Reef Biocriteria for Hawai‘i $158,428
HCRI Modeling for Anthropogenic Impacts on Coral Reefs $46,447
NOAA Mapping of Hawaiian Coral Reefs $237,738
DLNR Fine Scale Fisheries Habitat Characterization $99,930
DLNR Evaluation of reefs at Ahihi Kina‘u, Maui $51,000
USGS Coral Reef Investigations $210,512
Total = $1,625,120
HIMB/NWHI Ecosystem Management $167,886
GAsLisa Wedding (Fishery Habitat Utilization)
Will Smith (Habitat Mapping)Ron Hoeke (Modeling NWHI)
Lea Holingsworth (Population Modeling)Craig Musburger (Fish Transect Support)
UndergradsKaipo Perez
Tammy SummersChris Colgrove
Dan LagerClaire Sprecher
Full Time TechsErin Naughton (GIS Analysis)
Ann Farrell (Lab support and analysis)
Assistant Researcher Dr.Ku’ulei Rodgers
Ph.D. Major Prof. forBen Richards (NOAA CRED)
Erik Fanklin (HIMB-NWHI Program)
2. Description of Program: Personnel
Source: http://www.globalwarmingart.com/
3. Research Highlights
T
T
T
C
C
CControl Treatment
8 10 12 7 9 11
pCO
2 (u
atm
)
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700
Control Treatment
8 10 12 7 9 11
pCO
2 (u
atm
)
0
100
200
300
400
500
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700
8 10 12 7 9 11
Ara
go
nit
e s
atu
rati
on
sta
te
0
1
2
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4
Nov - Jan Jan - Mar Mar - May May - Jun Jun - Jul Jul - Aug
Cal
cific
atio
n ra
te (
mg
day-1
g-1
cor
al)
0
2
4
6
8
Reduced calcification in reef Coral Montipora capitata
Jokiel, PL, Rodgers KS, Kuffner IB, Andersson AJ, Mackenzie FT, Cox EF (in press) Ocean acidification and calcifying reef organisms: a mesocosm investigation. Coral Reefs
Trial 1
Trial 2
Trial 3
January 8, 2008OBSERVATORY
More Acidic Ocean Hurts Reef Algae as Well as Corals By HENRY FOUNTAIN
3. Research Highlights
Kuffner, Ilsa B., Andreas J. Andersson, Paul L. Jokiel, Ku‘ulei S. Rodgers, and Fred T. Mackenzie (2008) Decreases in recruitment and growth of crustose coralline algae due to ocean acidification. Nature Geoscience. Nature Geoscience
Data Source: P.Jokiel and E. Brown (2004)Data Source: P.Jokiel and E. Brown (2004)
Jokiel and Coles (1990) predict major bleaching
First major bleaching (Main Hawaiian Islands)
Major bleaching event, Northern Hawaiian Archipelago
Temperature trend off Oahu is significant p<0.001 for the 46 year record.
Cover, offshore, 50th %ile
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
2000
2006
2012
2018
2024
2030
2036
2042
2048
2054
2060
2066
2072
2078
2084
2090
2096
year
% o
rig
inal
co
ver
Om25 Cover
Om10 Cover
SST Cover
Cover, offshore, 50th %ile
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
2000
2006
2012
2018
2024
2030
2036
2042
2048
2054
2060
2066
2072
2078
2084
2090
2096
year
% o
rig
inal
co
ver
Om25 Cover
Om10 Cover
SST Cover
Cover, nearshore, 50th %ile
Buddemeier, R. W., P.L. Jokiel, K.M. Zimmerman, D.R. Lane, J. M. Carey, G.C. Bohling, J.A. Martinich. (in review) A modeling tool to evaluate regional coral reef responses to changes in climate and ocean chemistry.
Below: mild events in 2030, 2040, and 2080; a moderate event in 2050, and a severe event in 2070. (It looks bad, but with all of that it’s only down to 40% in 2070)
4. Future Plans
Global change and coral reefs (ocean acidification, coral bleaching)-Mesocosm Studies-Field Studies-Monitoring Network-Modeling
Ecological studies throughout the Hawaiian Archipelago(Integrated ecological studies of Main Hawaiian Islands and Northwest Hawaiian Islands).
Develop information needed for intelligent environmental management.