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26 June 2008 Steve Bratt ( [email protected] ), Moderator Chief Executive Officer http://www.w3.org/ Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet http://www.w3.org/2008/Talks/0626-bratt-W3C-NGMG-intro/W3C-NGMN2008.pdf

Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

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Page 2: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

World Wide Web Consortium

Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work

• Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor of

the Web (current W3C Director)

• 420+ Members (corporate, government, non-

profit, academia) from 40+ countries

• Liaisons with 40+ global standards

organizations, e.g. UN (IGF), ISO, ITU, IETF, OGF,

Unicode, OMA, 3GPP, ETSI, …

• 1,500 participants in 60+ Groups

• 30,000 people subscribed to mailing lists

• 8,000,000 hits/day on www.w3.org

Page 3: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

W3C Vision:

Leading the Web’s Expansion…

.. from a Web of linked

documents (1.0),

to One Web: of Creators and

Consumers (2.0)

of Linked Data

and Services (3.0)

on Everything

for Everyone

Page 4: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

One Web …

… providing the

same information

and services to

users, regardless

of the operators

and device they

are using.

Page 5: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Challenges for the Web on Everything,

are Everywhere … but fading fast (imho)

Content that is useful

Content that is usable … given the screen size, key pad, speed, consistency

Reasonable pricing and revenue models

Ubiquitous interoperability

Identity, privacy, trust

… on a wide variety of devices

Page 6: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Mobile Web Landscape

Who is challenged, and who stands to gain?

6

Page 7: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Mobile Web Potential = Substantial

http://www.gsmworld.com/documents/universal_access_full_report.pdf (2006)

Mobile

haves

vs.

have

nots

Internet

haves

vs.

have

nots

People on

Internet

Page 8: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Mobile Reach (Q2 2008)

• “Mobile Internet Extends the Reach

of Leading Internet Sites by 13%”

(Neilsen)

• “EU's mobile data market grew by 40

per cent last year” to 112 million

users (silicon.com)

8

Page 9: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Perspective from one (of many)

browsers: Opera Mini

May 2008: Users = 15 million / Data vol = 43 million Mbytes / Pages = 3 billion

Growth = 10 – 15% per month

Page 10: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Mobile Advertising

Challenges

– Space, standards

Wildly-varying

growth projections(AccuraCast)

– Global now:

• $1 to 2B ?

– Global by 2112:

• $1B (Forrester)

vs.

• $21B for Google alone (Thomson)

10

AdMob Live Map

Page 12: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

MWI Next Generation:

New push about to start in W3C…

• mobileOK and testing

• Mobile Web 2.0 applications

• Mobile search, social networking, ads

• Location-based services (+ privacy & security)

• Mobile Web in developing countries

• Integration of voice and multimodality

• Mobile video

12

Page 13: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Starter Questions

• What content will drive growth of the mobile web?

– e.g, what does the user want?

• How important are web standards in this growth?

• How important is it to allow the customers maximum

freedom vs. providing a controlled environment?

• How can the operators profit?

• What can we learn from history?

13

Page 14: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Your Panelists …

Phil Brown

(Nokia)

Terry von Bibra

(Yahoo!)

Michael Walker

(Vodafone)

Steve Bratt

(W3C)

Page 15: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

• Extra slides follow

15

Page 16: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

More than 1 Billion Served

In 1995, there were ~16,000,000 Internet users, or 0.4% of global population

Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Page 17: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Internet Growth Driven by Open Web

Internet Users in early 2007 ~ 1+ billionUsers:Servers ratio=> 1996 ~ 150:1. 2000 ~ 50:1. 2006 ~ 10:1Sources: http://www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline/

http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Number of Web Sites (domain names and content)

Page 18: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

What Led to the Web’s Success?

• Simple architecture - HTTP, URI, HTML

• Networked - value grows with data, services, users

• Extensible - from Web of documents to ..

• Tolerant - works with imperfect mark-up, data, links,

SW

• Universal - regardless of HW, OS, SW, language,

ability

• Free / cheap - browsers, information, services

• Simple (and fun) for users - text, graphics, links

• Powerful - for people (and machines)

• Open standards ...

Page 19: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

What Can We Learn from History?(part 1)

Internet 1994 Mobile Data Services 2005

19

Too slow Too slow

“Walled gardens” “Walled gardens”

Lack of interoperability Lack of interoperability

Open Web changed the world ? ? ?

2005: W3C starts the Mobile Web Initiative

Page 20: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

What Can We Learn from History? (part 2)

Internet 1994 Mobile Data Services 2005

20

Lack of content Tons of content and growing

No industry / business model Both emerging rapidly

Web 1.0: Documents Web 2.0 and Web 3.0

Smaller user base Mobile = 2x current Web users

Web = novelty Web is a staple of life (for many)

2008: Is the mobile industry finally ready

to embrace the open Web model?

Page 21: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Challenges for Mobile Web

• 2 billion people own mobile phones with Web browsers

– 300-400 million are actively used

• 2-3 million new mobile phones sold / day

– Most new

phones will

continue to

include simple

Web browsers

Potential for

bringing the Web

to more people is

huge

Graphic: Nokia

Page 22: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

W3C Standards Address

Mobility Challenges

User Requirements W3C Solutions

User-friendly content Mobile Web Best Practices

“One Web”

Effective adaptation

Device Description

Ubiquitous Web

Labeling, protection Protocol for Web Description

Description, discovery, trust mobileOK

Voice, stylus, keys VoiceXML, Multimodal

Universality WAI, I18N, Developing World

Security Browser Security, Privacy

Interoperability Web standards: XHTML, CSS,

Graphics, Forms, AJAX,

Widgets, Ubiquitous Web, etc.

Page 23: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

The Promise: Web for Everyone

• Commerce

• Healthcare

• Education

• eGovernment

• Communication

• Mobile Web Initiative

• Accessibility

• Internationalization

• Developing Countries

Page 24: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Web 2.0

• What is it?

– Everyone is a creator, as well as a consumer

– Dynamic interaction

• Web 2.0 @ W3C = Rich Web Clients Activity

• Updating existing W3C standards & javascript

– HTML5 + graphics, styling, etc.

• Standardizing new technologies

– AJAX technologies and other javascript stuff

– Widgets, security, etc..

Page 25: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Web 3.0*

• Web 1.0 = Linked Documents

• Web 3.0 = Linked Data (Semantic Web)

– Web becomes

a global,

relational database

– Potential to

break down

walled gardens

of many Web 2.0

applications* * New York Times, InternetNews

Page 26: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Ubiquitous Web Applications

• Enabling Web applications to

interact across wide diversity of

devices:– Computers, equipment, media, appliances,

mobile devices, physical sensors, effectors,

consumer electronics

• Deliverables … standards for:– Device independent authoring

– Delivery contexts

– Remote eventing, device coordination

– Location service support26

Page 27: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

Internationalization

• Can you view content easily no matter where

you are in the world?

• How can we make mobile devices travel

more easily around the world?

Page 28: Panel 2: Challenges in the Air Mobile Internet · 2008. 6. 25. · World Wide Web Consortium Sets the Standards that Make the Web Work • Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor

For more information

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http://www.w3.org/

Mobile Web Initiativehttp://www.w3.org/Mobile/