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OPPORTUNITIES FOR WEB COATED MATERIALS
IN ELECTRONICS
ELECTRONICSGROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
• The Electronics Industry offers opportunity and issues not found in other industries
– High growth
– Unmet customer needs
– Rapidly changing supply base
– Steep business cycles
THE GLOBAL ELECTRONICS INDUSTRY
WY94.274bp
1990 2000 2010 20201980
$247 Bn
1982
Computer23%
Communications26%
Consumer15%
Military19%
Industrial/Medical13%
Automotive4%
Japan 6%
Asia 17%
China 34%
Europe 15%
Americas 28%
17%
37%
12%
24%
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Trillion $
2001 and 2002 will be remembered by survivors as an industry turning point.Over 20 years the electronics industry will grow to be 2.5x as big as it is today.
$950Bn
2003
2/3 of the industry isbased on networked communications
Consumer10.3%
Industrial/Medical11.3%
Automotive6.7%
Military9.3%
10%
China10.2%
Rest of Asia17.4%
USA30.4%
Rest of Americas6.2%
Japan11.9%
Western Europe21.8%
Eastern Europe2.1%
2003 Production
2003 Total: $950Bn
M103.288skc-prod
Computer37.7%
Communications24.7%
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
4.5%
3.5%
2.5%
1.5%
0.5%
0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Year-on-YearSemiconductor Growth
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
-50%1988 1989
WORLD SEMICONDUCTOR GROWTH RATES
N84.239jpp-world
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
$ Value of semiconductorshipments year- on-year change
Semiconductor long term growth rate
Year-on-Year Semiconductor Growth Rates
GDP long term growth rate
GDP of top 20 electronics nationsyear-on-year change
Year-on-YearGDP Growth
+ 16.8%
+ 42% + 37% + 14%
+ 4% + 1.3%
+ 15%
+ 2%
+ 32% + 19% + 32%
-9% -32% -10%
-8%1998 2003
1994 1999 2004
1995 2000 2005
1996 2001 2006
1997 2002
2008
2007
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSENABLE ELECTRONICS GROWTH
• Since the beginning of the industry’s history, materials have enabled advances at both the component and system level
– Performance Increase
– Size Reduction
– Cost ReductionS64-bit high-performance microprocessor chip Source: IBM
60:1 aspect ration trench fromLeading DRAM design – requires thin film HfO2 deposition
ELECTRONIC MATERIALDEFINITION
• Materials used in the fabrication of electronic components or the assembly of electronic components, systems and subsystems
• Materials can take many forms
– Solids, liquid, gases
– Powders, ingots, films
• Exclude poorly differentiated materials supplied to a wide variety of industries including electronics
– Sheet steel used in electronic enclosures
– Polymers used in enclosures and connector bodies
ELECTRONICS INDUSTRY VALUE CHAIN (2003)
Electronic Equipment$948Bn
Computers$350Bn
Communications$245Bn
Other Electronics$353Bn
Electronic Components$342Bn
Semi-conductors
$144Bn
Semi-conductorsPackage &
Test$22Bn
FabMaterials$17Bn
Wafers, Bulk Gas, Spec Gas, Wet
Chem, CMP, Targ/Precurs,
Resists,Ancillaries,Masks
Laminate, Resist and Ancillaries,CeramicModules,
Solder Masks, Strip and Etch,Plating Chem
Leadframes,Mold Comp,Die Attach, Encaps,Substrates
Solder Paste,InterfaceMaterials, Gaskets,Adhesives
InterconnectSubstrates
$39Bn
Packaging Materials
$4Bn
PWB Materials
$9bn
Assembly,Thermal EMI
$3Bn
Electronic Materials$62Bn
Raw and~ Industrial Materials
$12Bn
Metals, Salts, Acids, Polymers, Inorganics
K84.217jd-chain
Glass, ColorFilters, Films,
Optical Element,Resists, Polymers,Precursors,
Thick Film Mat
Displays$53Bn
DisplaysMaterial$15Bn
Powders, Electrode
Metals, Film,Foil,
Separator
Passives$21Bn
PassiveMaterials
$7bn
Lithium,Carbon,NiCad,Film,
Metal Can
BatteryMaterials
$1Bn
Disk Substrates,
Film Substrates,
Mag Materials,Record Heads
DataStorage$24Bn
DataStorage
$5Bn
Connectors,Wires, etc.
$31Bn
Brass, Gold,Molding Resin,Plat Chem, Wire and Insulation,
Mech Comp,Crystals andSensors
Connectors,Cable, etc.
$4Bn
Optical Fiber,Glass,
Dielectrics,Substrates,
Semi Materials
PhotonicDevices
$8Bn
Photonics$2Bn
Energy$7Bn
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSDEFINITION
• Electronic materials revenues were $62Bn in 2003
• Mid point in the Electronics Supply Chain
– 5x value of input raw materials
– 1/5 value of produced components
Polysilicon
Hemlock Shin-Etsu Intel Microstar Dell
Raw Material
ElectronicMaterial
Component Subsystem System
Silicon Wafer Microprocessor Motherboard Computer
ELECTRONIC MATERIALS POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH AND PROFIT
• Materials offer the highest potential for growth of any segment of the electronics value chain
– Electronic Materials 9.4% 5 year CAAGR
– Electronic Components 8.5% 5 year CAAGR
– Electronic Systems 5.8% 5 year CAAGR
• Materials offer an attractive opportunity for many companies
– Sizable $62Bn revenue (2003)
– Fast Growth 9.4% CAAGR (2003 – 2008)
– Profitable 9.5% OPBT (2003 average)
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSMARKET SEGMENTATION
• Electronic materials can be segmented in many ways
– By industry segment (Computer, Automotive . . . )
– By component (Semiconductor, Passive . . . .)
– By chemistry employed (Metals, Acids, Acrylics, Silicones . . . )
– By material form (Gases, Films, Liquids . . . )
• For the purposes of today’s discussion we will examine web coated materials
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSWEB COATED MATERIALS
• Web coated materials – flexible film coated with secondary material in reel to reel format
– Organic films coated with organic materials
• Flexible PWB coverlay
– Organic films coated with inorganic materials or metals
• LCD polarizer film
– Metal films coated with organic materials
• Resin coated copper foil (PWB)
– Exclude simple uncoated materials
• Separator films used in batteries and capacitors
Electronic Materials$62Bn2003
Web Coated Materials$8.5Bn2003
Web Coated Materials$8.5Bn - 14%
Semiconductor2%
PWB27%
Display43%
Energy0.2%
Data Storage 24%
Assembly4%
B104.175jd-electronic mat’ls
WEB COATED ELECTRONIC MATERIALS
$8.5Bn - 2003
WEB COATED ELECTRONIC MATERIALS
Dicing Film
Flexible Laminate
Flexible C
overlay
Resin Coated Copper Foil
Dry Film
Potoresist
PWB Phototoo
LCD AG Film
PV Encapsulants
Energy - 0.2%
Flexible Magnetic Media
Data Storage - 24%
ACF
Assembly - 4%
TIM - film type
LCD Polarizer
LCD BEF
LCD WVA Film
LCD Diffusion Film
LCD Prism
atic Film
LCD Refle
ctor Film
PDP EMI Film
ELD Substrate
ITO PET for Touch Screen
Backgrinding Tape
Semiconductor - 2%
PWB - 27%
Display - 43%
LOC Tape
B104.175jd-breakdown of electronic mat’ls
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSWEB COATED MATERIALS
• Web coated materials make up a significant and growing electronic materials segment
– 2003 Sales $8.5Bn
– 2008 Sales $15.4Bn
– CAAGR 12.6%
• The significance of web coated materials is expected to increase over the next five years
– 2003 13.7% of total materials
– 2008 16.2% of total materials
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSWEB COATED MATERIALS
• The growth in web coated materials is driven by a number of phenomena
– Use in high growth applications
• Flat Panel Displays > > > portable electronics, televisions
• Flexible Printed Wiring Boards > > > cell phones, laptops
– Characteristics of web processing
• High volume
• Lower costs
• We will highlight two of the leading web coated materials in the following section
– Flat Panel Display materials
– Flexible PWB materials
WEB COATED MATERIALS INWEB COATED MATERIALS IN
DISPLAY APPLICATIONSDISPLAY APPLICATIONS
LCD FilmsLCD Films
2003
0
50
20
30
70
10
60
40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
M m Area2
WY94.048jd-area
DISPLAY GROWTH 2003-2008 AREA
CRT-Televisions
LCD
PDP
OLED
CRT-Monitors
LCD DISPLAYS
• LCDs are currently the dominant display technology representing 78% of unit volume and 59% of revenue in 2003
– Units 1.7Bn
– Area 10.8M m2
– Revenue $37Bn
• Despite the size of the LCD market, its growth is expected to be rapid over the next five years (2003 – 2008)
– Units 5.5% CAAGR
– Area 16.9% CAAGR
– Revenue 9.9% CAAGR
• LCDs are materials rich with total materials usage equal to 25% of total display cost
Panel Materials$9.2Bn 24.9%
Glass$2,360M 25.6%
Thin Films Deposition$210M 2.3%
Photoresists$180M 2.0%
Color Filters$1,750M 19.0%
Photomask$220M 2.4%
Black Matrix$7M 0.0%
Alignment Layers
$100M 1.1%
Sealant$55M 0.6%
Spacers$70M 0.8%
LCDTotal: $36.97Bn
LCD MATERIALS
WY94.048jd-material
Panel MaterialsTotal: $9.2Bn
Liquid Crystal$350M 3.8%
Polarizers$1,500M 16.3%
AG Film$190M 2.1%
Viewing Angle Film$490M 5.3%
Brightness Enhancing Film
$550M 6.0%
Light Guide$210M 2.3%
Prismatic Sheet
$470M 5.1%
Diffusion Sheet
$120M 1.3%
Reflection Sheet
$50M 0.5%
ACF$330M 3.6%
Profit, LaborDepreciation and Other Materials
$36.97Bn 75.1%
LCD MATERIALS
• Web coated materials make up more than 35% of the materials used in the construction of LCD panels
• Web coated materials are critical to the performance and quality of the display
– Brightness
– Wide viewing angle
– Low power consumption
– Viewability in brightly lit rooms
• There are several distinct materials used in LCD fabrication
– Antiglare films - Polarizer films
– Retardation films - Brightness enhancing films
– Wide viewing angle films - Diffusion films
– Prismatic films - Reflector films
TYPICAL TRANSMISSIVE LCD
Source: Kyocera/Prismark
1. Top polarizer
2. Wide viewing angle film
3. Retardation film
4. Top glass
5. Column electrodes
6. Liquid crystal
7. Row electrodes
8. Over coating
9. Color filter
10. Bottom glass
11. Retardation film
13. Bottom polarizer
14. Brightness enhancing film (non-prismatic)
15. Prism sheet
16. Backlight system
12. Wide viewing angle film
B94.049RS-lcd
LCD MATERIALS
• LCD Films Market– 2003 $3.4Bn
– 2008 $7.0Bn
– CAAGR 15.7%
• Customer Base – almost exclusively Asian– Japan
– Korea
– Taiwan and China
• Leading LCD Film Suppliers– Nitto Denko
– 3M
– Fuji
– Sanritz
– Sumitomo Chemical
WEB COATED MATERIALS INWEB COATED MATERIALS IN
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDSFLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS
Flexible Laminate and CoverlayFlexible Laminate and Coverlay
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARDS
• Flexible printed circuit boards are one of the smallest segments of the overall printed circuit board market, representing less than 15% of the market in both area and revenue in 2003
– Area 32.7M m2
– Revenue $4.8Bn
• The flexible printed circuit board market will lead the overall printed circuit board market in growth over the next five years (2003 – 2008)
– Area 17.8% CAAGR
– Revenue 12.2% CAAGR
2003 2003 2003 2003 20032008 2008 2008 2008 20080
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Americas
Europe
Japan
Asia (Ex. Japan)
2003/2008 PCB MARKET PROFILES GROWTH
Commodity (Paper, Composite,
Rigid Glass)
Multilayers Microvia Si Platform Flex
($ Bn)
M44.044kk-growth
$7.27$7.84
$14.88
$17.86
$3.34 $3.03
$5.35$5.36 $4.80
$8.59
1.5%CAAGR
3.7%CAAGR
9.9%CAAGR
12.1%CAAGR
12.3%CAAGR
JVC DIGITAL CAMCORDER
• Microvia Boards- 2+ 4+ 2 laser via (main)- 1+ (1+ 2+ 1) + 1 rigid-flex microvia
(memory card)
• Rigid Boards- 2 four layer (playback, viewfinder)- 3 two layer (flash, infrared, headset)- 1 one layer (power)
• Rigid-Flex Boards- 2 six layer (CCD, tape drive)
• Flex Boards- 15 polyimide flex (2 DS, 13 SS)- 4 polyester flex (1 double layer)
59.182mvc
POLYMER THICK FILM CIRCUIT IN DIGITAL ANSWERING MACHINE
Cost effective integrated assembly of keyboard display and processor Source: Poly-Flex Circuits
126.182mvc
FPC APPLICATIONS IN MOBILE PHONES
• A variety of flexible circuits are used in a cell phone
• Clamshell designs require four or more flexible circuits
- LCD display Flex
- Hinge Flex
- Keypad Flex
- Camera Module Flex
• Standard “candy-bar” cell phone only needs one or two flexible circuits to connect the LCD display to the motherboard
• Growth of flexible circuit board demand is propelled by the following trends:
- Design change from “candy-bar” to “clamshell” style
- Adoption of color, larger and more displays per phone
- Incorporation of camera modules
- Constraint of the phone size, total thickness and increased functionality
74. 182rd
57.182mvc
CONTACTLESS SMART CARD
Flip chip attached with conductive adhesive to etched copper antenna. Manufactured by FELA-Hilzinger
Asian Companies$820M 16.5%
(Interflex, Young Poong,Career/Puka, Gflex,
AKM, MFS, etc.)
2003
European Companies
$160.7M 3.2%(Ruwel, etc.)
Japanese Companies
$3,155M 63.5%(Nippon Mektron, Fujikura,Sumitomo (EI), Nitto Denko,
Mitsui, Shindo, etc.)
Note: PCB value only. (Excludes value added assembly services. But includes packaging substrates, TAB, COF, etc.)
North American Companies
$836M 16.8%(3M, Innovex, M-Flex,Sheldahl, Parlex, etc.)
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT PRODUCTION BY COMPANY(EXCLUDE ASSEMBLY VALUE)
TOTAL: $4.97Bn
WY44.196skc-pc
CoverlaySuppliers
DuPont, DuPont Teijin, Kaneka, Ube$5/m
$12/m
$15/m
*
*
*
*Japan Energy, Mitsui
$2/m
2
2
2
2
FlexiblePWB
Fabricator
N94.039jd
Flexible LaminateSuppliers
Flexible FilmPI, PET, PEN
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARD SUPPLY CHAIN
* Prices for common adhesive-based polyimide materials.
Adhesives
CopperFoil
PI Adhesive FPC$3.4Bn 69%
PI Adhesiveless FPC$1.3Bn 25%
PET/PEN$0.3Bn 6%
2003 GLOBAL FLEX CIRCUIT MARKET BY MATERIAL OPTIONS
TOTAL: $4.97Bn
WY44.039skc-market
------
-----
---
HDD Dynamic flexCellphoneNotebookCameraEngine controlMedical
TBGA/CSPPrinter cartridgeCOFHDD suspensionCellphone multilayer flex
AutomotivePrinterConsumer
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARD MATERIALS
• Current market size (2003)
– Flexible laminate
• Area 49M m2
• Revenue $1,145M
– Coverlay
• Area 54M m2
• Revenue $519M
• Growth rate (2003 - 2008) – market growth
– Flexible laminate
• Area 14.2%
• Revenue 13.7%
– Coverlay
• Area 12.7%
• Revenue 10.2%
FLEXIBLE PRINTED CIRCUIT BOARD MATERIALS
• Supply Base
– NOK
– Nitto Denko
– Dupont
– Rogers
– Nippon Steel
– Mitsui Chemical
– 3M
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSKEY SUCCESS CRITERIA
• Driven by its favorable characteristics, the Electronic Materials business has attracted many new entrants
– Start-ups
– Chemical and materials companies
– Backward integrating component companies
• Not all new entrants succeed
– Steep business cycles
– Shifting customer lists and locations
– Capital and technical service requirements
– Many new materials carry high risk
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSKEY SUCCESS CRITERIA
• What does it take to succeed as a new entrant to the electronic materials market?
– Strategic Options
• Address unmet customer needs
– Technology – difficult for new entrant
» Not all segments have true unmet needs
» Most segments are well served by incumbents
– Cost – a key driver in all segments
– Scale – important in emerging applications
• Leverage key customer ties
– Strong linkage to dominant customer
– Ability to leverage position to generate sales
• Be an early and persistent investor
– Good longer term strategy
– Most near term opportunities well covered
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSKEY SUCCESS CRITERIA
• What does it take to succeed as a new entrant to the electronic materials market?
– Required Elements
• Sustainability - in the face of the Asian transition
– Local competitors emerge as businesses mature
– Are technology, cost advances sustainable?
• Value Capture
– What business model will generate necessary ROI?
– Many emerging opportunities will not generate adequate return using conventional m2 or kg pricing models
– Royalty or equity positions may be required
– Several companies investigating forward integration to capture value added from materials innovation
ELECTRONIC MATERIALSSUMMARY
• Web coated materials are used in a number of leading electronic applications
• Driven by their use in portable and display applications, the use of web coated materials will continue to lead the systems, components and total electronic materials markets
• Web coated materials may offer ample growth opportunities for new and existing electronic materials suppliers
THANK YOUTHANK YOU
P A R T N E R S L L C
PRISMARK
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