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OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES Claire Curry 10 November 2014

OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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Page 1: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES

Claire Curry

10 November 2014

Page 2: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

1

Europe, Middle East & Africa

Asia Pacific Americas

PRODUCT STRUCTURE

Solar Wind Other Renewables

Advanced Transport

Energy Smart Technologies Gas Carbon &

RECs Markets

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Page 3: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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2,500 CLIENTS IN OVER 50 COUNTRIES

The logos listed do not represent a full client list. They are illustrative of the organizations we have worked with in the past.

Public Sector & NGOs

Finance & Investment

Supply Chain &Technology

Utilities & Energy

Page 4: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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DRILLING DOWN TO HIGHER VALUE PRODUCTS

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SA

LES

VO

LUM

E IN

CR

EA

SIN

G

PRICE DECREASING

Crude oil

Fuels

Base chemicals

Finished products & specialty chemicals

15-20% of petroleum is used in chemicals, yet up to 50% of the value of the barrel is as a chemical

Page 5: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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PALM OIL: CURRENT SITUATION

MALAYSIAN PALM EXPORTS, 2011

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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Malaysian Palm Oil Board

Export product $ per tonne (2013/14)

Palm oil $750

Palm kernel oil $960

Renewable diesel

$1,500

PKO fatty acids

Up to $4,000

Palm oil fatty acids

$1,250-1,800

Palm oil fatty alcohols

$1,500-2,000

Page 6: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

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PALM OIL CHEMICALS: TRADITIONAL, EMERGING AND THEIR ALTERNATIVES

Palm oil

Base oleochemials

Surfactants Biodiesel Personal care

Renewable diesel Paints, coatings

TRADITIONAL

Polymers

Speciality chemicals Finished oleochemicals

EMERGING

Sugarcane Waste feedstock

Base oleochemials

Finished oleochemicals Speciality chemicals

Olefins Di-functional oleochemicals

Isoalkanes Propane

Surfactants Biodiesel Personal care

Renewable diesel Paints, coatings Polymers

Flavours and fragrances

Base oils

Lubricants

Fibres

Palm fatty acid distillate

Palm mil effluent

Page 7: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

6 11/10/2014

TECHNOLOGY START-UP MODUS OPERANDI

Example: Amyris Small volume, high value products first; partnered with midstream and final consumer companies

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Amyris

Page 8: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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PARTNERSHIPS ARE FORMING

Wilmar & Elevance: A 50/50 owned plant in Indonesia producing oleochemicals, esters, acids, olefins, bolt-on to existing

Wilmar capcacity.

Neste Oil: Neste is switching away from palm oil use to palm waste and sugars. Also developing higher value products

than renewable diesel.

Versalis & Elevance: Technology partnership to develop pathway from veg oils and ethylene to key chemicals. Co-location/retrofit of petrochemical facility.

Sabic & Segetis: Sabic makes olefins, polymers and speciality chemicals.

Segetis’ tech could replace these with sugar-based biochemicals.

Palm oil plantation owners Petrochemical producers

Renewable fuel companies

Petrochemical producers

Sime Darby & Verdezyne: SD led a $48m investment round in Verdezyne, to

develop bio-fibers from palm wastes.

Palm oil plantation owners

REG & LS9: REG owns biodiesel and renewable diesel capacity. Bought LS9 to

develop sugars to oils platform -higher value products and diversify feedstock.

Renewable fuel companies

Mitsui & Solazyme: Mitsui has a stake in KLK Oleo, but despite this it has invested

$20m in Solazyme to produce oleochemicals from sugars.

Method & Amyris & Segetis: Method makes bio-detergents and has partnered

with Amyris and Segetis to use their chemicals in surfactants and solvents.

Petrochemical producers

Chemical off-takers

P&G, Amyris & LS9: P&G uses oloechemicals in its products and made a

few partnerships over the past years to explore sugar biochemicals.

Chemical off-takers

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance

Page 9: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance.

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THE ROLE OF CELLULOSIC SUGARS

Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013

About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne

Indonesia produced 142m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013

This means Indonesia and Malaysia could have the potential to produce 41m tonnes of cellulosic

sugars

Including a cost of capital of 10%. Cost of biomass of $45 per dry tonne

$ pe

r lb

cellu

losi

c su

gar

Page 10: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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This publication is the copyright of Bloomberg New Energy Finance. No portion of this document may be photocopied, reproduced, scanned into an electronic system or transmitted, forwarded or distributed in any way without prior consent of Bloomberg New Energy Finance. The information contained in this publication is derived from carefully selected sources we believe are reasonable. We do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and nothing in this document shall be construed to be a representation of such a guarantee. Any opinions expressed reflect the current judgment of the author of the relevant article or features, and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Bloomberg Finance L.P., Bloomberg L.P. or any of their affiliates ("Bloomberg"). The opinions presented are subject to change without notice. Bloomberg accepts no responsibility for any liability arising from use of this document or its contents. Nothing herein shall constitute or be construed as an offering of financial instruments, or as investment advice or recommendations by Bloomberg of an investment strategy or whether or not to "buy," "sell" or "hold" an investment.

COPYRIGHT AND DISCLAIMER

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Page 11: OPPORTUNITIES AND RISKS FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES · Malaysia had 88m tonnes of palm biomass in 2013 About 30% of the biomass in Malaysia is “mobilisable”, for $20-80 per tonne Indonesia

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