Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Offshore Wind in Germany
One important (and challenging)
element of the Energy Transition
(Energiewende)
Discussion on September 28th, 2015
Dr. Georg Maue, Counselor Climate and Energy Policy Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany 4645 Reservoir Road, Washington, DC 20007
Tel: +1 (202) 298 4355 Fax: +1 (202) 298 4391 E-mail: [email protected]
Three target areas of the Energiewende
Affordability, reliability and environmental protection are interlinked.
2
Motivation for the German Energy Transition (Energiewende):
Previous energy business as usual was not sustainable, would
cause huge economic and ecologic damage, therefore:
Two pillars of the Energiewende
The energy transition’s foundation are renewables and reduced energy consumption.
3
Renewable Energy
• Steady growth
• Environmentally friendly
Market and system
integration
Energy research and
development
Supporting fields of action
European energy and
climate policy
• Reduce energy consumption
• Cost-efficient
Energy Efficiency
Key legislation:
Energy Saving Ordinance
Heating Cost Ordinance
Key legislation:
Renewable Energy Sources Act
Renewable Energy Heat Act
Integrated policy package for the Energiewende
The German energy system is being transformed in all sectors.
15-09-28 Speaker 4
Electricity
• Priority access for
renewable energies
• Nuclear phase-out
• Support scheme for
renewable energies
Heating
• Renewable Energies
Heat Act
• Market Incentive
Programme (MAP)
Transport
• Emission reduction quota
for biofuels in transport
• Governmental plan on
e-mobility
Research & Development
• (Sixth) Energy Research
Programme (Federal
Government)
• Public research funding
> €150 million in 2012
2050 Energiewende targets
Renewables are on track. Additional measures will bring climate and energy efficiency on track.
15-09-28 5
* 2
01
3
So
urc
e: F
ed
era
l G
ove
rnm
en
t2
01
0, B
MU
/BM
Wi 2
01
4, A
GE
E-S
tat2
01
4, A
GE
B 2
01
5
Speaker
Climate
Renewable
Energies
Energy
Efficiency
% final energy
consumption
% gross electricity
consumption
% primary energy
consumption (vs. 2008)
final energy productivity
building renovation
% greenhouse gas
reduction (vs. 1990)
2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2050
+2.1% p.a.
doubling of renovation rate: 1% 2%
-40-55
-70-80 to -95
35 40 to 4550 65
8055 to 60
1830
4560
-20
-50
12%*
27.3%
- 8.9%
0.2%* p.a.
~1%* p.a.
-22.6%*
Achieved
2014
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
EU 2030 /ETS
Efficiency Strategy
Buildings Strategy
Transmission Grids
Distribution Grids
Monitoring
Evaluation of Incentive Regulation OrdinanceRevision of Incentive
Regulation Ordinance
Progress report Monitoring Report 2015 Monitoring Report 2016
Design of Electricity
Market
Drafting of renovation road
mapDrafting of holistic buildings strategy
Energy Saving Ordinance Process and Renewable
Energies Heat Act
Scenario framework 2015 Grid development plan 2015 Amendement to the Federal Requirements Plan Act
Expert report Green paper White paperMarket Design Act (Energy Industry Act
revision)
Energy Efficiency Action Plan Implementation of Energy Efficiency Action Plan incl. EED implementation
Renewable Energy
Resources Act
EU 2030 targets Deployment of 2030 governance
Reform of ETS (market stability reserve) and post-2020Negotiation of new EU legal framework (RE, ETS, etc.)
2014 2015 2016
Pilot auction
rulesRES Act 2.2 Pilot auctions & construction
Report on
effectsRES Act 3.0 (auctions)
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
EU 2030 /ETS
Efficiency Strategy
Buildings Strategy
Transmission Grids
Distribution Grids
Monitoring
Evaluation of Incentive Regulation OrdinanceRevision of Incentive
Regulation Ordinance
Progress report Monitoring Report 2015 Monitoring Report 2016
Design of Electricity
Market
Drafting of renovation road
mapDrafting of holistic buildings strategy
Energy Saving Ordinance Process and Renewable
Energies Heat Act
Scenario framework 2015 Grid development plan 2015 Amendement to the Federal Requirements Plan Act
Expert report Green paper White paperMarket Design Act (Energy Industry Act
revision)
Energy Efficiency Action Plan Implementation of Energy Efficiency Action Plan incl. EED implementation
Renewable Energy
Resources Act
EU 2030 targets Deployment of 2030 governance
Reform of ETS (market stability reserve) and post-2020Negotiation of new EU legal framework (RE, ETS, etc.)
2014 2015 2016
Pilot auction
rulesRES Act 2.2 Pilot auctions & construction
Report on
effectsRES Act 3.0 (auctions)
Implementation of the most important projects
6
Energiewende is planned and implementation is on track.
So
urc
e: B
MW
i2
01
4
92%
71%
56%
89%
82%
68%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
The increased development of renewable energyis "important" or "extremely important"
Phasing out nuclear energy by 2022 is the right decision
The energy transition - moving towards a predominantenergy supply from renewable sources - is right
The energy trasition is "important" or "very important"
The aims and targets of the energy transition are right
Aggregated index for acceptance of the energy transition(for businesses and the general public)
Percentage of people that agree or strongly agree with the given statement
Public acceptance of the Energiewende
The energy transition enjoys a high level of approval among the German public.
15-09-28 Referent 7
So
urc
es: B
MW
i 2
01
4, T
NS
Em
nid
20
14
, In
stitu
t fü
r D
em
osko
pie
20
14
,
BM
UB
20
14
, B
DE
W 2
01
4, F
ors
a 2
01
3, B
DI 2
01
3
German gross electricity production
Renewables have become the second biggest electricity source in just ten years.
15-09-28 Speaker 8
10.2% gas
lignite 25.6%
nuclear 27.1%
22.8% hard coal
5.2% others
4.1% wind
1.3% biomass
3.3% hydro
0.1% solar
0.4% waste
9.2%
2004
9.6% gaslignite 25.6%
nuclear 15.9%
hard coal 18%5.2% others
8.6% wind
7% biomass
3.4% hydro
5.8% solar
1% waste
25.8%
2014 total: 610 TWh
renewables share: ~157.4 TWh
total: 617.5 TWh
renewables share: 56.6 TWh
So
urc
e: S
tatistisch
es B
un
de
sa
mt,
BD
EW
/A
GE
B 2
01
4
6.2
10.2
17
27.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Re
ne
wa
ble
ssh
are
in %
45.0
40.0
Overall target corridor
In 2025: between 40% and 45% RES-E
In 2035: between 55% and 60% RES-E
Capacity additions
Onshore wind and PV2 500 MW (2.5 GW) per year each
Bioenergy 100 MW per year
Offshore wind 6.5 GW by 2020, 15 GW by 2030
Focus on Wind and PV as most cost-effective solutions
(1) Renewables share in gross electricity consumption
15-09-28 Referent 9
So
urc
e: B
MW
i2
01
4
Renewable power capacities worldwide
After hydropower, wind is the leading renewable source. Its main market is China.
15-09-28 Speaker 10
So
urc
e: R
EN
21
20
14
Wind market development worldwide
The German wind market has grown steadily, while other European markets have experienced highs and lows.
15-09-28 Speaker 11
So
urc
e: O
EC
D 2
01
3, G
WE
C 2
01
4, W
WE
A 2
01
5
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
annually installed capacity
(MW)
Rest of the world
Rest of EU-28
Poland
Sweden
France
Italy
United Kingdom
Spain
Germany
15-09-28 Referent 12
So
urc
e: N
DP
20
13
ba
se
line
sce
na
rio
20
23
Electricity generation per federal state in 2023
Generation capacity in the North will cover demand in the South.
Lignite
Hard coal
Natural gas
Oil
Pump storage generation
CHP
Other conventional
Wind onshore
Wind offshore
PV
Biomass
Hydro power
Other renewable
Demand
Pump storage consumption
Offshore wind potential
So
urc
e:
Ma
pfr
om
Off
sh
ore
Stift
un
g 2
01
4, D
ata
BM
WI
20
14
15-09-28 Referent 13
Figures for Germany Capacity (MW)
In operation (as of June 2014) 628.3
Under construction approx. 2,300
Electricity generation offshore wind 2012: 675 MWh(June 2014 estimate: 2.5 TWh)
Target 6.5 GW by 2020, 15 GW by 2030
Large offshore wind will support the system as baseload power plants.
Corridor Remuneration in ct/kWh Degression
Hydropower - 3,50 – 12,52 -0.5 %/a from 2016
Landfill, sewage
and mine gas
- 3.80 – 8.42 -1.5 %/a from 2016
Biomass 100 MW (gross) 5.85 – 23.73
(dependent on fuel and size)
-0.5 % every three months
from 2016
Geothermal 25.20 - 5.0 %/a from 2018
Wind energy
onshore
2,400 – 2,600 MW
(net)
Standard tariff: 8.90,
for at least 5 years;
Minimum 4.95
-0.4% every quarter from
2016
Wind energy
offshore
- Initial tariff: 15.40 for min.12
years;
Option: 19.40 for min. 8 years if
installed before 2020
Minimum 3.90
Standard tariff: - 0, 5
ct/kWh in 2018, 1 ct/kWh in
2020
- 0,5 ct/kWh/a 2021;
Option: - 1 ct/kWh in 2018
Solar energy
(PV)
2400 – 2600 MW
(gross)
9.05 – 12.89 (and tenders for
ground-mounted PV)
-0.5 % per month from
09/2014
Technology specific support levels EEG 2014
15-09-28 Referent 14
So
urc
e:
Ren
ew
ab
leE
ne
rgy
Act2
01
4 (
Dra
ft, 2
6.0
6.2
01
4)
Main Support Instrument: Feed-In Tarif
• Largest city on the German North Sea coast –population: 112,982.
• Situated at the Weser River estuary and is part of the Federal State of Bremen.
• Port and maritime industry (shipbuilding, engineering, steel and plant construction). Germany’s leading fish processing location.
• 5.92 Mio. TEU containers processed in 2011.
• Europe‘s biggest shipment center for cars: 2.13 Mio. in 2011.
• A nucleus for renewable energy sources with a focus on offshore wind, marine science and industry logistics.
• Tourism.
Seaport City Bremerhaven
Bremen
Bremerhaven
Slides on Bremerhafen provided by Dr. Joachim Lohse, Senator for Environment, Urban Development and Mobility, Free Hanseatic City of Bremen
A brief history…
• 1945: Ports of Bremen and Bremerhaven in American zone of occupation
• During the Cold War, Bremerhaven served as key supply harbor for the U.S. Armystationed in Western Europe.
• With growing competition from other Asian and Eastern European ports, theregion experienced a severe economic downturn.
– Structural change in the fisheries industry, – Loss of purchasing power due to withdrawal of American troops– downclosure of shipyards leading to a sharp rise in unemployment and a
dramatic population decrease (from 147,000 to 113,000).
• In 1998: unemployment at 22.3% (i.e. highest peak in West Germany).
Südlicher Fischereihafen, Labradorhafen 1999
Development of Industrial Real Estate
18
Development of Industrial Real Estate
Südlicher Fischereihafen, Industriegebiet Luneort 2012
Fraunhofer Institut
PowerBlades GmbH
REpower Systems AG
AREVA Wind GmbH
WeserWind GmbH
Offshore-wind industry in the south of Bremerhaven in 2012
Heavy Load Terminal Labradorhafen
Offshore Transition Kaiserhafen – ABC-Halbinsel
22
Offshore Terminal: Technical Data
• PURPOSE– Handling, pre-assembly, and storage of offshore wind turbines, exporting of components – Logistics center for the transportation/shipment of large industrial components
• OPERATING TIME– 24 hours a day, 365 days a year
• QUAY LENGTH– 500 m
• BERTHS– 2 to 3
• NAVIGABLE DEPTH– 14,10 m NN (-11,50m LAT)
• HEAVY-DUTY SLAB AT THE QUAY– 70 m wide, 500 m long
• TERMINAL DEPTH– 498 m
• AREA– Approx. 25 ha
• CAPACITY– 160 units per season
25
Thank you for your interest!
Growth of market volume in the green markets of the future (in billion EUR)
Energy imports and domestic
production in Germany
Renewables reduce Germany’s energy dependence.
15-09-28 Speaker 27
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
renewables
lignite
hard coal
gas
oil
oil imports
gas imports
hard coal imports
nuclear
total imports
% of primary energy
consumption
domestic production
import dependence
So
urc
e: B
MW
i 2
01
3
Net feed-in payment trends in Germany
The main share of payments for renewable electricity goes to existing
plants. New installations account for a much smaller share.
15-09-28 Speaker 28
So
urc
e: A
go
ra E
ne
rgie
wen
de
/ Ö
ko
In
stitu
t, 2
01
4
* B
iom
ass d
eve
lop
me
nt “l
ow
” sce
na
rio
0
5
10
15
20
25
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
bill. €
liquidity reserve + accountbalancesolar
offshore wind
onshore wind
biomass*
solar (old)
offshore wind (old)
onshore wind (old)
biomass (old)
15-09-28 Speaker 29
So
urc
e: E
co
fys 2
01
4, b
ase
do
n R
ag
witz
et a
l. (
20
12
)
Feed-in tariff
Quota obligation
Feed-in premium
Support scheme
currently suspended
Policy
uncertainty
Mixed models
Norway
Sweden
FranceAustria
Bulgaria
Romania
Hungary
Croatia
Finland
Estonia
Lithuania
PolandUK
Italy
Malta
Ireland
Greece
Cyprus
Denmark
ItalySpainPortugal
Latvia
Slovakia
Belgium
Slovenia
Renewable electricity support
mechanisms in Europe
Tendering
* support scheme was cut significantly
** Germany will starttendering ground-mounted PV in 2015
Netherlands
Czech Republic*
Germany**
Free Hanseatic City of Bremen
• One of 16 Federal States of Germany
• Area: 158 sq. mi (408 km²)
• Population: 661,301
• Main industries:
– Maritime and trade economies
– Automotive industry (Daimler AG)
– Aerospace
– Food and beverage industry
– Logistics
• Consists of two cities: Bremen & Bremerhaven
Bremen