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BR S T BR S T BR S T BR S T BR S T BR S T BR S T Your key to India’s Next Trillion Dollar of GDP Growth N XT E MOSt Opportunity Strategy Trillion Dollar r a b t e i l n e g C Years October 2018

of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

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Page 1: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

BRSTBRSTBRST

BRSTBRST

BRSTBRST

Your key toIndia’s Next Trillion Dollar

of GDP Growth

N XTEMOSt

Opportunity StrategyTrillion Dollar

rab te il ne g

C

Years10

October 2018

Page 2: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Contents

India’s Next Trillion Dollar Opportunity (NTDOP)

Diversified Market Opportunity

1

Why Motilal Oswal PMS?

NTDOP Strategy details

Page 3: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Trillion Dollar GDP

Ÿ India has joined the club of countries with a Trillion Dollar GDP in FY08

Ÿ It took our GDP almost 60 years to reach 1st US $ trillion; but only 7 years to reach the 2nd US $ trillion.

Ÿ GDP is expected to reach next US $ trillions in faster successions.

Ÿ Overall robust service sector enabled by strong GDP growth

Ÿ Ser v ice sector dr iven by rap id productivity improvement is expected to lead future GDP growth

Ÿ Due to sustained growth in consumer income, manufacturing sector to be a key growth driver

Ÿ Dependency on agriculture is expected to reduce as witnessed in developed countries

Ÿ Higher contribution of service sector in GDP would reduce the volatility in GDP growth

Source: Statisticstimes.com

Above forward-looking graphs/statements are based on external current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments.

22 34 59 155 30

1 465

475

494

524

618

721

834

948 1,

239

1,22

6

1,36

6 1,70

8

1,87

9

1,82

8

1,86

4

2,04

2

2,09

0

2,27

4

2,45

3

2,70

2

2,97

6

3,27

8

3,61

1 3,97

7

FY51

FY60

FY70

FY80

FY90

FY00

FY01

FY02

FY03

FY04

FY05

FY06

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

E

FY17

E

FY18

E

FY19

E

FY20

E

FY21

E

FY22

E

FY23

E

1st US$ tn

2nd US$ tn 7 years

58 years

3rd US$ tn

4th US$ tn3 years

5 years

Source: Statisticstimes.com

GD

P (

USD

bn

)

FY77 FY87 FY97 FY12 FY15

37%

25%

36%

31%

26%

42%

26%

28%

46%

16%

31%

53%

17%

30%

53%

Contributors InGDP

Agriculture

Industry

Services

FY16

17%

29%

54%

2

Page 4: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Rising Discretionary Spending

Discretionary spending is expected to increasedisproportionately going forward

Discretionary spending will rise from 52%in 2005 to 70% in 2025

56

4234

25

5

6

5

5

14

12

12

10

2

3

3

3

4

8

9

11

11

17

19

20

1

23

6

35

69

4 7 9 13

1995 2005 2015 2025 E

Food, beverages &Tobacco

Housing & Utilities

Personal Products &Services

Transportation

Communication

Education & Recreation

Health Care

DISCRETIONARY ITEMSShare of Avg. Household consumption% thousand, INR

Necessities

Discretionary Items

Source: data.gov.in & Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd

Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments.

Ÿ Per capita GDP has grown to Rs. 103,007 in 2017 from Rs. 31,206 in 2007Ÿ Higher per capita GDP to increase disposable income

Pe

r C

apit

a In

com

e(I

n R

s. T

ho

usa

nd

)

-10,000

10,000

30,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

CAGR of 11.6%

CAGR of 9.5%

CAGR of 10.5%

110,000

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

3

Above forward-looking graphs/statements are based on external current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results.

Page 5: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Consumption

• Beneficiary from high GDP growth and savings rate

• Banks

• Broking

• Insurance

• NBFCs

Banking andFinancial Services

Infrastructure andRelated Services

• Benefit from Government Spending

• Power

• Cement

• Capital Goods

• Construction

• Real Estate

• Engineering

Some themes that benefit from GDP Growth

These are illustrative in nature and can change from time to time based on the outlook of the portfolio manager.

• Increasing consumer spending

• Retailing

• Consumer durables

• Passenger Vehicles

• Utility Services

4

Page 6: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies

Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000 Crs.) has almost quadrupled since 2008

Ÿ Companies with net sales over Rs. 5000 Crs. have increased by ~4 times from 2008 to 2016

Ÿ Companies with net sales of Rs. 1000 Crs. to Rs. 5000 Crs. have increased by ~2 times from 2008 to 2016

The Multi Cap Opportunity

<1000 Cr.

1000 Cr. - 5000 Cr.

5000 Cr. - 10000 Cr.

>10000 Cr.

Total

2579

185

37

53

2854

2008 2017Market Capitalisation

No. of Companies

Source : Capitaline

3174

449

132

241

3996

No

. of

Co

mp

anie

s

297

Companies with net sales over 5000 Cr.

Companies with net sales between 1000 Cr. To 5000 Cr.

84

222

468

2008 2016

500

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

5

Page 7: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Source: Motilal Oswal Securities, MOAMC Internal Analysis | Data as on 31st March 2017CAGR - is an investing specific term for the geometric progression ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the time period; Std Dev - a quantity expressing by how much the members of a group differ from the mean value for the group.The information provided herein is for illustrative purpose only and should not be construed as an investment advice.; Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments; Mar-95 is taken as base year

22-years CAGR of Sensex at 11% is exactly the same as 22-years Sensex EPS CAGR!

Markets return as much as growth in earnings

6

Sensex YoYSensex

EPS YoY Sensex YoYSensex

EPS YoY

Mar-95 3261 181

Mar-96 3367 3% 250 38%

Mar-08 15644 20% 833 16%

Mar-97 3361 0% 266 6%

Mar-09 9709 -38% 820 -2%

Mar-98 3893 16% 291 9%

Mar-10 17528 81% 834 2%

Mar-99 3740 -4% 278 -4%

Mar-11 19445 11% 1024 23%

Mar-00 5001 34% 280 1%

Mar-12 17404 -10% 1120 9%

Mar-01 3604 -28% 216 -23%

Mar-13 18836 8% 1180 5%

Mar-02 3469 -4% 236 9%

Mar-14 22386 19% 1329 13%

Mar-03 3049 -12% 272 15%

Mar-15 27957 25% 1354 2%

Mar-04 5591 83% 361 33%

Mar 16 25341 -9% 1330 -2%

Mar-05 6493 16% 446 24%

Mar-06 11280 74% 540 21%

CAGR 10% 10%

StdDev 32% 14%

Mar 17 29621 17% 1347 1%

Mar-07 13072 16% 720 33%

Page 8: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Food for thought

Over long periods of time equities do deliver in line with corporate earnings; but it’s a known fact that the volatility in share prices is way higher than volatility of earnings themselves.

This volatility in share prices results in emotional response of greed in rising markets and fear in falling markets. Mostly these responses are way more exaggerated on upside as well as downside.

When evaluated in hindsight after the data plays out; one usually rues that responses were disproportionate to changes in corporate earnings.

7

Page 9: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Characteristics of Multi cap market

Larger stock universe

Relatively under owned and under-researched companies

Fewer business lines and focused businesses

Attractive valuation as compared to large caps

8

Page 10: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Amongst India’s leading PMS providers, with Assets under Management of approx Rs. 14,762 Crores. and trusted by over 40,073 HNI investors

NTDOP Strategy has consistently outperformed the benchmark across market cycles

over last 10 years.

Overall PMS track record of over 15 years since its inception in 2003.

Why Motilal Oswal PMS?

thData as on 30 September 2018Investments in Securities are subject to market and other risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of any of the strategies of the Portfolio Management Services (PMS) will be achieved. Investors in the PMS Product are not being offered any guaranteed/assured returns. Past performance of the portfolio manager does not indicate the future performance for any of the strategies.

9

Page 11: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Our Investment Philosophy – ‘Buy Right : Sit Tight’

At Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company (MOAMC), our investment philosophy is centered on 'Buy Right: Sit Tight‘ principle.

Buy Right

‘Q’uality denotes quality of the business and management

‘G’rowth denotes growth in earnings and sustained RoE

‘L’ongevity denotes longevity of the competitive advantage or economic moat of the business

‘P’rice denotes our approach of buying a good business for a fair price rather than buying a fair business for a good price

QGLP

Sit Tight

Buy and Hold: We are strictly buy and hold investors and believe that picking the right business needs skill and holding onto these businesses to enable our investors to benefit from the entire growth cycle needs even more skill.

Focus: Our portfolios are high conviction portfolios with 25 to 30 stocks being our ideal n u m b e r. We b e l i e v e i n a d e q u a t e diversification but over-diversification results in diluting returns for our investors and adding market risk

10

Page 12: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Real wealth is created by riding out bulk of the growth curve of quality companies and not by trading in and out in response to buy, sell and hold recommendations.

This philosophy enables investor and manager alike to keep focus on the businesses they are holding rather than get distracted by movements in share prices.

An approach of buying high quality stocks and holding them for a long term wealth creation motive, results in drastic reduction of costs for the end investor.

While BUY RIGHT is largely the role of the portfolio manager, SIT TIGHT calls for involvement from the portfolio manager as well as investor. This brings in greater accountability from the manager and at the same time calls for better involvement and understanding from investor resulting in better education for the latter.

Long term multiplication of wealth is obtained only by holding on to the winners and deserting the losers.

Why ‘Buy Right : Sit Tight’ is significant?

11

Page 13: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Wealth Creators - Buy and Hold strategy

thPlease Note: The given stocks are part of portfolio of a model client of NTDOP Strategy as on 30 September 2018. The stocks forming part of the existing portfolio under NTDOP Strategy may or may not be bought for new client. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. Name of the PMS Strategy does not in any manner indicate its future prospects and returns. The Company mentioned above is only for the purpose of explaining the concept and should not be construed as recommendations from MOAMC.

l BUY & HOLD strategy, leading low churn, lower costs and enhanced returns

l A business is prudently picked for investment after a thorough study of its underlying hidden long-term potential.

l “We don't get paid for activity, just for being right. As to how long we'll wait, we'll wait indefinitely.”-Warren Buffett

Dec-07

Aug-10

Jun-14

Dec-07

Aug-10

456

63

1174

98

4864

Market Rate as on

30-Sep-18Stock

Purchase Date

Adjusted Purchase

Price% Growth

Holding Period

Since Inception

>5 Years

> 2 Years but <5 Years

<2 Years

No. of Scrips

2

12

5

5

The average holding period for stocks held under NTDOP Strategy is over 5 years 7 months

Source: MOAMC Internal Analysis

Page Industries Ltd.

Bajaj Finance Ltd.

Eicher Motors Ltd.

Hindustan PetroleumCorporation Ltd.

Bosch Ltd.

32,885

2,168

24,185

251

19,934

7106

3367

1961

156

310

12

Page 14: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Earnings growth drives stock prices

thData as on 30 June, 2018

PAT Growth: 12%; Stock Price: 18%;

Nifty 50: 13%

PAT Growth: 34%;

Stock Price: 48%;

Ni�y 50: 10%

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

0.00

100.00

200.00

300.00

400.00

500.00

600.00

700.00

800.00

900.00

1000.00

Eicher Motors - Reported PAT (RHS)

Eicher Motors - Share Price Rebased (LHS)

Ni�y 50 Rebased (LHS)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

Bosch - Reported PAT (RHS)

Bosch - Share Price Rebased (LHS)

Ni�y 50 Rebased (LHS)

13

Mar

-07

Jun

-07

Sep

-07

De

c-0

7M

ar-0

8Ju

n-0

8Se

p-0

8D

ec-

08

Mar

-09

Jun

-09

Sep

-09

De

c-0

9M

ar-1

0Ju

n-1

0Se

p-1

0D

ec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

De

c-1

1M

ar-1

2Ju

n-1

2Se

p-1

2D

ec-

12

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3M

ar-1

4Ju

n-1

4Se

p-1

4D

ec-

14

Mar

-15

Jun

-15

Sep

-15

De

c-1

5M

ar-1

6Ju

n-1

6Se

p-1

6D

ec-

16

Mar

-17

Jun

-17

Sep

-17

De

c-1

7M

ar-1

8Ju

n-1

8

Mar

-07

Jun

-07

Sep

-07

De

c-0

7M

ar-0

8Ju

n-0

8Se

p-0

8D

ec-

08

Mar

-09

Jun

-09

Sep

-09

De

c-0

9M

ar-1

0Ju

n-1

0Se

p-1

0D

ec-

10

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

De

c-1

1M

ar-1

2Ju

n-1

2Se

p-1

2D

ec-

12

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3M

ar-1

4Ju

n-1

4Se

p-1

4D

ec-

14

Mar

-15

Jun

-15

Sep

-15

De

c-1

5M

ar-1

6Ju

n-1

6Se

p-1

6D

ec-

16

Mar

-17

Jun

-17

Sep

-17

De

c-1

7M

ar-1

8Ju

n-1

8

The stocks mentioned above are used to explain the concept and is for illustration purpose only and should not be used for development or implementationof an investment strategy. It should not be construed as an investment advice to any party. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.

Page 15: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

NTDOP strategy characteristics

Focus on return on net worthCompanies which are likely to earn 20-25 % on its net worth going forward.

Margin of safetyTo purchase a piece of great business at a fraction of its true value.

Focus on Next Trillion Dollar GDP growthThe focus is on buying companies that will benefit out of the Next Trillion Dollar GDP growth.Buying stable earnings / cash flows in reasonably priced assets

Long-term investment viewStrongly believe that “Money is made by investing for the long term”

Bottom up approachTo identify potential long-term wealth creators by focusing on individual companies and their management bandwidth.

Focused strategy construct The portfolio consists of 25 stocks

14

Page 16: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Rigorous investment process

Top Down analysis: market views, thematic drivers, winner categories, category winners

INVESTMENT UNIVERSE

Existing/ Emerging large cap companies

QUANTITATIVESCREEN

(focus on earnings,FCF, ROA & ROE)

Secular growth thesis Discount to intrinsic

value >30%

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

‘360 degree view’of company

Identify competitiveadvantages

FUND PORTFOLIO

High conviction ideasSuperior risk adjustedreturn characteristics

500 Stocks 80-100 Stocks 20-25 Stocks

15

Page 17: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Next Trillion Dollar Opportunity Strategy

Strategy objective

Risk- Return matrix

Strategy construct

Model Holding

Performance

Risk analysis

Fund management

Strategy structure

16

Page 18: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Strategy objective

The Strategy aims to deliver superior returns by investing in stocks from sectors that can benefit from the Next Trillion Dollar GDP growth.

It aims to predominantly invest in diversified stocks with a focus on identifying potential winners that would participate in successive phases of GDP growth

17

Page 19: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Investment horizon:

- Medium to long term (3 Years +)

For Whom:

- Investors who like to invest with a long-term wealth creation view. NTDOP

Strategy

Risk-Return matrix & strategy construct

Strategy Construct

Market capitalization

- Maximum market cap at the time of buying new idea is 30000 Cr.

No. of stocks - Around 25 stocks for a portfolio

Scrip allocation - Not more than 10% in a single stock at the time of initiation

Sector allocation limit - 35% in a sector

18

Page 20: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Model holding

Top 10 Holdings

thPlease Note: These stocks are a part of the existing NTDOP Strategy as on 30 September 2018. These Stocks may or may not be bought for new clients. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. The strategy may or may not have any present or future holdings in these stocks. The companies mentioned above are only for the purpose of explaining the concept and should not be construed as recommendations from MOAMC.

Scrip Name %Holding

Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd.

Voltas Ltd.

Bajaj Finance Ltd.

Eicher Motors Ltd.

City Union Bank Ltd.

L&T Technology Services Ltd.

Godrej Industries Ltd.

Max Financial Services Ltd.

12.28

11.17

8.49

6.96

5.42

5.07

4.88

4.47

3.64

3.61

Sector Allocations

Page Industries Ltd.

Bosch Ltd.

Banking & Finance

FMCG

Auto & Auto Ancillaries

Diversified

Infotech

Oil and Gas

Pharmaceu�cals

Engineering & Electricals

Logis�c Services

Chemicals

19

Cash

Page 21: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Performance snapshot

Since Inception NTDOP has delivered 17.33% returns vs Nifty 500 Index returns of 5.55% delivering an alpha of 11.78%

*Strategy Inception Date: 11/12/2007.thPlease Note: The Above strategy returns are of a Model Client as on 30 September 2018. Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past performance

may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. Returns below 1 year are absolute and above 1 year are annualized. Strategy returns shown above are post fees & expenses.

20

NTDOP Strategy Ni�y 500

2.09

9.45

14.65

20.53

29.60

25.95 25.39

6.00

11.03 11.11

9.18

12.58 11.54

0.00

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

17.33

5.55

1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year 7 year 10 year Since Incep�on

35.00

40.00

15.73

Page 22: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

NTDOP Strategy Nifty 500

Inve

stm

en

t V

alu

e

5.64X

1.79X

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

Dec

-07

mar

-08

jun-

08Se

p-08

Dec

-08

Mar

-09

Jun-

09Se

p-09

Dec

-09

mar

-10

jun-

10Se

p-10

Dec

-10

mar

-11

jun-

11Se

p-11

Dec

-11

mar

-12

jun-

12Se

p-12

Dec

-12

mar

-13

jun-

13Se

p-13

Dec

-13

mar

-14

jun-

14Se

p-14

Dec

-14

mar

-15

jun-

15Se

p-15

Dec

-15

mar

-16

jun-

16Se

p-16

Dec

-16

mar

-17

jun-

17Se

p-17

Dec

-17

Mar

-18

Jun-

18A

ug-1

8

70.00

Performance since inception

Strategy Inception Date: 11/12/2007.thPlease Note: The Above strategy returns are of a Model Client as on 30 September 2018. Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past

performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. Returns below 1 year are absolute and above 1 year are annualized. Strategy returns shown above are post fees & expenses.

The chart below illustrates Rs. 1 crore invested in NTDOP Strategy in December 2007 is worth Rs. 5.64cr as thon 30 September 2018. For the same period Rs. 1 crore invested in Nifty 500 Index is now worth Rs. 1.79 cr.

21

_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _

Page 23: of GDP Growth BRSTBRST - motilaloswalmf.com · Ÿ Multi Cap companies of 2008 have transformed into today’s Large Cap companies Ÿ The number of Large Cap companies (> Rs. 10000

Rolling Returns Performance

thPlease Note: The Above strategy returns are of a Model Client as on 30 September 2018. Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the strategy. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments. Strategy returns shown above are post fees & expenses. Returns above 1 year are annualized.

The data shows rolling returns of the NTDOP Strategy over various time frames.

It is worth noting that on 1 year rolling basis, the returns are in a very wide range. The best return made by the Strategy is 141% and the worst return is -56%.

As we increase the time horizon, the outcomes narrow significantly from the average.

For instance, if we consider the 5 year time frame, historically the best return (CAGR) is 37%, least return is 8% and average return is 27%.

It may also be noteworthy that the negative returns above 2 years rolling periods are zero, barring 4 years rolling returns which is only 1%.

Total number of time periods: 1year: 3,366; 2years: 3,002; 3years: 2,637; 4years: 2,272; 5years: 1,906;6years: 1,541 , 7years: 1,176; 8years: 811; 9years: 456; 10years: 206;

thSource: MOAMC Research | Data as on 30 September 2018

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Investment tenor (in years)

12 1 1

NTDOP Strategy140.72%

72.92%

50.19%44.21%

36.93%43.39%

36.38% 37.28%

34.09%

3.70% 8.57%

9.55%

17.36%

17.21% 17.16%

-56.53%

-2.14% -1.01%

% of �mes returns were nega�ve Average returns

10

24.39%

18.95%

22

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Risk analysis

Source : Motilal Oswal AMC, Data as on 30/09/2018, returns annualized using model strategy *Nifty 500 Index

The data and analysis provided herein do not constitute investment advice and are provided only for informational purposes. It should not be construed as an offer or the solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future.

The NTDOP strategy has outperformed the benchmark with a lower level of volatility and has managed to deliver strong returns while offering defensive characteristics, reducing losses during periods of market downturn but participating in the upside.

5 Years Data Portfolio Benchmark*

Beta

2R

Up Capture Ratio

Down Capture Ratio

Sharpe Ratio

Standard Deviation

1.00

68.29

126.54

72.77

1.53

17.77

1.00

100.00

100.00

100.00

1.04

14.73

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Chairman

Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal

Mr. Raamdeo Agrawal is the Co-founder, Joint Managing Director of Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited and Chairman of Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd.

He is the brain behind the “QGLP” (Quality Growth Longevity & favorable Price) investment Process and its ‘Buy Right, Sit Tight’ investing philosophy.

He is also the driving force behind the MOFSL Groups highly awarded research. He has been authoring the annual Motilal Oswal Wealth Creation Study since its inception in 1996.

He is an Associate of Institute of Chartered Accountant of India and a member of the National Committee on Capital Markets of the Confederation of Indian Industry.

He has also authored the book “The Art of Wealth Creation” which compiles insights from 21 “Wealth Creation Studies”.

He has been awarded the Rashtriya Samman Patra by Central Board of Direct Taxes for a consistent track record of highest integrity in tax payments for a period of 5 years.

Chairman

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Fund Manager

Mr. Manish Sonthalia heads the Equity Portfolio Management Services at Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. He also, serves as the Chief Investment Officer and the Director of the Motilal Oswal India Fund

He has over 22 years of experience across equity fund management and research covering Indian markets and has been with Motilal Oswal for over 11 years.

He holds a Bachelor Degree in Commerce (Hons), ICWAI, CS, MBA-Finance, FCA

He has authored a paper ‘A Rising Consumer Class’ on Indian markets, published by the Global World Economic Forum in year 2010.

He is frequently interviewed by leading Media channels in India as well as globally. He has contributed various articles on Finance and Capital Markets in various Journals.

Mr. Manish SonthaliaFund Manager

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Strategy structure

Mode of payment By fund transfer/cheque and/or stock transfer

Investment Horizon Medium to long term (3 Years +)

Benchmark Nifty 500 Index

Account Activation Next business day of clearance of funds

Portfolio Valuation Closing NSE market prices of the previous day

Operations• Investments managed on individual basis

• Third party custodian for funds and securities

Reporting

• Monthly performance statement

• Transaction, holding and corporate action reports

• Annual CA certified statement of the account

Servicing• Dedicated Relationship Manager

• Web access for portfolio tracking

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Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared and issued on the basis of internal data, publicly available information and other sources believed to be reliable. The information contained in this document is for general purposes only and not a complete disclosure of every material fact and terms and conditions. The information / data herein alone is not sufficient and shouldn’t be used for the development or implementation of an investment strategy. It should not be construed as investment advice to any party. All opinions, figures, charts/graphs, estimates and data included in this presentation are as on date and are subject to change without notice. While utmost care has been exercised while preparing this document, Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Limited does not warrant the completeness or accuracy of the information and disclaims all liabilities, losses and damages arising out of the use of this information. The statements contained herein may include statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on our current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Readers shall be fully responsible / liable for any decision taken on the basis of this presentation. No part of this document may be duplicated in whole or in part in any form and/or redistributed without prior written consent of the Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Limited. Readers should before investing in the Strategy make their own investigation and seek appropriate professional advice. • Investments in Securities are subject to market and other risks and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of any of the strategies of the Portfolio Management Services will be achieved. • Clients under Portfolio Management Services are not being offered any guaranteed/assured returns. • Past performance of the Portfolio Manager does not indicate the future performance of any of the strategies. • The name of the Strategies do not in any manner indicate their prospects or return. • The strategy may not be suited to all categories of investors. • The material is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. • Neither Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC), nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this material. The recipient of this material should rely on their investigations and take their own professional advice. • Opinions, if any, expressed are our opinions as of the date of appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. • The Portfolio Manager is not responsible for any loss or shortfall resulting from the operation of the strategy. •Recipient shall understand that the aforementioned statements cannot disclose all the risks and characteristics. The recipient is requested to take into consideration all the risk factors including their financial condition, suitability to risk return, etc. and take professional advice before investing. As with any investment in securities, the Value of the portfolio under management may go up or down depending on the various factors and forces affecting the capital market. Disclosure Document shall be read carefully before executing the PMS agreement . • Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward - looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. • For tax consequences, each investor is advised to consult his / her own professional tax advisor. • This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished solely for information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without’ MOAMCs prior written consent. • Distribution Restrictions – This material should not be circulated in countries where restrictions exist on soliciting business from potential clients residing in such countries. Recipients of this material should inform themselves about and observe any such restrictions. Recipients shall be solely liable for any liability incurred by them in this regard and will indemnify MOAMC for any liability it may incur in this respect.

Disclaimer

Custodian: IL&FS Securities Services Ltd | Auditor: Aneel Lasod & Associates | Depository: Central Depositary Services Ltd

Portfolio Manager: Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC) | SEBI Registration No. : INP 000000670

THINK EQUITYTHINK MOTILAL OSWAL

For any PMS queries please call us on +91 22 39982602 or write to [email protected] or visit www.motilaloswalmf.com